The Numbers News
← January 2022 |
Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness trailer
February 14, 2022
Marvel action movie starring Benedict Cumberbatch opens in theaters on May 6 ... Full Movie Details.
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Weekend estimates: Death on the Nile wins Super Bowl weekend
February 13, 2022
The studios are in a cautious mood this morning, projecting a steep fall-off at the box office on Sunday thanks to the Super Bowl, and little upside from Sunday being the day before Valentine’s Day. That leaves the studio estimates somewhat behind what our model predicted on Friday morning, but still sees relatively solid debuts for Death on the Nile and Marry Me, at $12.8 million and $8 million respectively. Spider-Man: No Way Home continues to power ahead and will hit $759 million in total domestically by the end of the day today, per Sony’s prediction.
That leaves it just $1.5 million behind Avatar on the all-time domestic list
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Weekend predictions: Death on the Nile headed to welcome weekend win
February 11, 2022
In this week’s update to our annual market prediction, I mentioned how important the performance of Death on the Nile will be to gauging the key “older” demographic (in industry terms, “anyone over 25”). So its $1.1 million in previews (which includes some early access screenings on Wednesday, as well as regular Thursday previews) is a welcome sign, and points to a weekend win. Marry Me is also showing good numbers from previews this morning.
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Theater counts: jackass forever edges out more romantic options going into Valentine’s Day weekend
February 10, 2022

Despite three new wide releases entering theaters this weekend, last week’s widest release and box office winner, jackass forever, once again tops our chart, bringing the location count to 3,653 as it enters its second weekend. After taking in a solid $28 million in its first six days, this week the slapstick comedy will have to contend with a range of genres arriving to the big screen, including an action film, a thriller, and a romantic comedy just in time for Valentine’s Day.
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Jurassic World: Dominion trailer
February 10, 2022
Sci-fi action adventure starring Chris Pratt and Bryce Dallas Howard, directed by Colin Trevorrow opens in theaters on June 10 ... Full Movie Details.
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2022 market prediction: studio shifts pull expected box office down $200 million from last month
February 9, 2022
The Omicron variant dampened audience enthusiasm for going to movie theaters in January and the beginning of February, but Scream out-performed expectations and jackass forever hit its target, which was enough to make up for a modest debut by Moonfall and poor performances from Redeeming Love and The King’s Daughter. All of which meant that moviegoers fought our model to a draw overall—box office is running about 3% behind where we expected it to be this time last month. Some release date shuffling by the studios was enough to drag our prediction for the year as a whole down by $200 million to $6.6 billion though.
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Uncharted trailer
February 8, 2022
Treasure quest starring Tom Holland and Mark Wahlberg opens in theaters on February 18 ... Full Movie Details.
Street-smart thief Nathan Drake is recruited by seasoned treasure hunter Victor “Sully” Sullivan to recover a fortune lost by Ferdinand Magellan 500 years ago. What starts as a heist job for the duo becomes a globe-trotting, white-knuckle race to reach the prize before the ruthless Moncada, who believes he and his family are the rightful heirs. If Nate and Sully can decipher the clues and solve one of the world’s oldest mysteries, they stand to find $5 billion in treasure and perhaps even Nate’s long-lost brother… but only if they can learn to work together.
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The Cursed trailer
February 7, 2022
Supernatural horror movie opens in theaters on February 18 ... Full Movie Details.
In the late 1800s, a man arrives in a remote country village to investigate an attack by a wild animal but discovers a much deeper and sinister force that has the manor and its townspeople in its grip.
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Weekend estimates: jackass forever posts healthy $23.5 million
February 6, 2022
jackass forever was the hot favorite to win going into the weekend, and it’ll win in some style, as it appears to have gained momentum as the weekend has progressed. On Friday morning our model predicted an $18.1-million opening weekend for the stunt-reality-comedy movie. Paramount projected a $20.7-million weekend on Saturday morning once they’d seen Friday’s numbers, and have now upped that to a projected $23.5 million this morning. While that’s not huge by the standards of the franchise (Jackass 3D opened with over $50 million back in 2010, for example), it’s a very respectable figure by pandemic standards, and a welcome increase in business for movie theaters that have lacked new content in recent weeks. Moonfall’s $10-million debut is more disappointing, but also a little ahead of where things looked based on its modest Thursday previews.
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Weekend predictions: jackass forever headed for weekend win
February 4, 2022
Barring a massive slump for the two new releases, Spider-Man: No Way Home will finally lose its box office crown for good this weekend, possibly slipping into third place behind both jackass forever and Moonfall. jackass is looking the easy weekend winner, based on its overall pedigree and respectable preview numbers on Thursday.
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Theater counts: Moonfall and jackass forever end Spider-Man’s phenomenal run as widest release
February 3, 2022

While Spider-Man: No Way Home is still far from finished at the box office, the mega-hit has finally been overtaken on our theater count list. The film currently enjoys a worldwide total of over $1.7 billion. This week however ushers in two new wide releases in jackass forever and Moonfall, arriving in 3,604 and 3,446 locations respectively.
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Marry Me trailer
February 1, 2022
Romantic comedy starring Jennifer Lopez and Owen Wilson opens in theaters and on Peacock on February 11 ... Full Movie Details.
Kat Valdez is half of the sexiest celebrity power couple on Earth with hot new music supernova Bastian. As Kat and Bastian’s inescapable hit single, “Marry Me,” climbs the charts, they are about to be wed before an audience of their fans in a ceremony that will streamed across multiple platforms. But, on learning her on-stage partner has been having an affair behind her back, Kat decides to marry a stranger, math teacher Charlie Gilbert, who is holding a “Marry Me” sign by accident at her live concert.
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