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Hurricane IKE
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Hurricane IKE


ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE IKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
0900 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008
 
INTERESTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
CENTRAL BAHAMAS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  61.0W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 270SE 180SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  61.0W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  60.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 23.7N  63.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.3N  65.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 22.8N  68.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N  70.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.0N  75.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 24.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 26.0N  81.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N  61.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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