Tropical Depression NINE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1500 UTC MON SEP 01 2008
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 1 1 1 1 1 2 3
TROP DEPRESSION 32 12 6 6 4 5 8
TROPICAL STORM 66 78 64 50 33 34 37
HURRICANE 1 9 29 43 62 60 53
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 8 25 32 36 33 29
HUR CAT 2 X 1 3 8 15 15 13
HUR CAT 3 X 1 1 3 9 9 8
HUR CAT 4 X X X 1 3 2 2
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35KT 45KT 55KT 60KT 70KT 70KT 70KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
PONCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
SAINT MAARTEN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7)
BARBUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
AVES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
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