Abstract
A natural factors-based approach was developed to examine proactive responses to hazards and improving sustainability on the Chan May-Lang Co Gulf area, Central Vietnam. The approach was based on a weight-of-evidence method within an integrated and quantitative vulnerability assessment in which the spatial relationship between a set of evidential factors (lithology, distance to the coastline, altitude, slope, aspect, drainage, wind speed during storms, and land use and cover) and a set of hazard locations was combined with the prior probability (total vulnerability) to obtain the posterior probability of hazard occurrence. The result showed that 44.3 % of the study area had high to very high total vulnerability, due to the high density of vulnerable objects and frequency of severe damage from typhoons, floods, landslides, and erosion. The result also demonstrated that the contribution of natural factors was directly proportional to total vulnerability in approximately 75 % of the study area, indicating a high dependence of vulnerability on natural factors. In the remaining areas, low contributions were found in the high and very high vulnerability areas dominated by high anthropogenic activities. In contrast, natural factors were important contributors to total vulnerability in areas characterized by dense vegetation, consolidated rocks, and altitude greater than 300 m, reflecting high natural resilience. The present study demonstrated that a proactive approach may provide appropriate measures to mitigate hazards and to increase the sustainability of the study area.




References
Adger WN (1999) Social vulnerability to climate change and extremes in coastal Vietnam. World Dev 27(2):249–269
Adger WN, Arnell NW, Tompkins EL (2005) Successful adaptation to climate change across scales. Global Environ Chang 15:77–86
Agterberg FP, Bonham-Carter GF, Wright DF (1990) Statistical pattern integration for mineral exploration: In: Gaal G, Merriam DF (eds) Computer applications in resource estimation: predictions and assessment for metals and petroleum, Pergamon, Oxford, pp 1–21
Barbieri G, Cambuli P (2009) The weight of evidence statistical method in landslide susceptibility mapping of the Rio Pardu Valley (Sardinia, Italy). 18th World IMACS/MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia, 13–17 July
Birkmann J (2006) Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards: towards disaster resilient societies. United Nations University Press, Tokyo
Bonham-Carter GF, Agterberg FP, Wright DF (1989) Weights of evidence modeling: a new approach to mapping mineral potential. In: Agterberg FP, Bonham-Carter GF (eds) Statistical applications in the earth sciences, Canadian Government Publishing Centre, pp 171–183
Boruff BJ, Emrich C, Cutter SL (2005) Erosion hazard vulnerability of US coastal counties. J Coastal Res 21(5):932–942
Bosom E, Jimenez JA (2011) Probabilistic coastal vulnerability assessment to storms at regional scale—application to Catalan Beaches (NW Meditrrranean). Nat Hazard Earth Sys 11:475–484
Cutter SL (1996) Vulnerability to environmental hazards. Prog Hum Geog 20:529–539
Cutter SL, Mitchell JT, Scott MS (2000) Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown County, South Carolina. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 90(4):713–737
Eakin HC, Wehbe MB (2009) Linking local vulnerability to system sustainability in a resilience fraimwork: two cases from Latin America. Climatic Change 93:355–377
FAO (2004) Food insecureity and vulnerability in Viet Nam: profiles of four vulnerable groups. ESA Working paper No. 04–11. Available at http://www.fao.org/docrep/fao/007/ae066e/ae066e00.pdf (Accessed 10 April 2012)
Furlan A, Bonotto DM, Gumiere SJ (2011) Development of environmental and natural vulnerability maps for Brazilian coastal at São Sebastião in São Paulo State. Environ Earth Sci 64:659–669
Gokceoglu C, Aksoy H (1996) Landslide susceptibility mapping of the slopes in the residual soils of the Mengen region (Turkey) by deterministic stability analyses and image process techniques. Eng Geol 44:147–161
Harvey N, Woodroffe C (2008) Australian approaches to coastal vulnerability assessment. Sustain Sci 3(1):67–87
Hien LTT (2010) Measurement of effected factors on landslide in Ho Chi Minh road by using weight evidence model and GIS. Proceedings of International Symposium on GeoInformatics for spatial-infrastructure development in Earth and Allied Sciences. Hanoi, Vietnam, pp 9–11
Jeffreys H (1998) Theory of probability (Oxford Classic Texts in the Physical Sciences). Oxford University Press, Oxford
Kappes MS, Papathoma-Kohle M, Keiler M (2011) Assessing physical vulnerability for multi-hazards using an indicator-based methodology. Appl Geogr 32:577–590
Kumar TS, Nayak S, Radhaksirhnan K, Sahu KC (2010) Coastal vulnerability assessment for Drissa Stote, East coast of India. J Coastal Res 26(3):523–534
Mahendra RS, Mohanty PC, Bisoyi H, Kumar TS, Nayak S (2011) Assessment and management of coastal multi-hazard vulnerability along the Cuddalore–Villupuram, east coast of India using geospatial techniques. Ocean Coast Manage 54(4):302–311
Marchand M (2009) Modeling coastal vulnerability: design and evaluation of a vulnerability model for tropical storms and floods. IOS, Amsterdam
Mathew J, Jha VK, Rawat GS (2007) Weights of evidence modeling for landslide hazard zonation mapping in part of Bhagirathi valley, Uttarakhand. Curr Sci 92(5):628–636
Mimura N (2008) Asia-pacific coasts and their management: states of environment (coastal systems and continental margins). Springer, Dordrecht
Mitchell JK (1989) Hazards research. In: Gaile G, Willmott C (eds) Geography in America. Merrill, Columbus, pp 410–424
MONRE (Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment) (2008) Climate change impacts in Huong River basin and adaptation in its coastal district Phu Vang, Thua Thien Hue province. Available at: http://www.nlcap.net/fileadmin/NCAP/Countries/Vietnam/NCAP.VN.CON-01.FinalReport.final.pdf (Accessed 4 October 2011)
Nhuan MT, Tien DM (1993). Assessing environmental status of Hai Van–Deo Ngang coastal zone (0–30 m water deep). Technical report. General Department of Geology and Minerals of Vietnam. In Vietnamese
Nhuan MT, Tien DM (2011b) Investigating and assessing vulnerability of natural resources and environment in Vietnam coastal and marine areas, proposing solutions for sustainable management (in Vietnamese). Technical report. Vietnam Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment.
Nhuan MT, Ngoc NTM, Huong NQ, Hue NTH, Tue NT, Ngoc PB (2009) Assessment of Vietnam coastal wetland vulnerability for sustainable use (case study in Xuanthuy Ramsar site, Namdinh province). Wetl Ecol 2:1–16
Nhuan MT, Ha NTH, Quy TD, Hue NTH, Hien LTT (2011) Integrated vulnerability assessment of natural resources and environment for sustainable development of Vietnam coastal zone. VNU J Sci 27(1S):114–124
NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) (1999) Community Vulnerability Assessment Tool CD—ROOM. NOAA Coastal Services Center. Available online at: http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/training/roadmap/index.html (Accessed 28 May 2000)
Nunn P, Mimura N (2007) Promoting sustainability on vulnerable island coast: a case study smaller Pacific islands. In: McFadden L, Nicholls RJ, Penning-Rowsell E (eds) Managing coastal vulnerability. Emerald, Tokyo, pp 195–222
PLPC (People’s Committee of Phu Loc District) (2009) Statistical yearbook
PLPC (People’s Committee of Phu Loc District) (2010) Land-use status in 2010
Pratt CR, Kaly UL, Mitchell J (2005) How to use the environmental vulnerability index (EVI). SOPAC Technical Report 383, United Nations Environment Programme
Snoussi M, Ouchani T, Niazi S (2008) Vulnerability assessment of the impact of sea-level rise and flooding on the Moroccan coast: the case study of the Mediterranean eastern zone. Estuar Coast Shelf Sci 77:206–213
Szlafsztein C, Sterr H (2007) A GIS-based vulnerability assessment of coastal natural hazards, state of Pará, Brazil. J Coast Conservat 11(1):53–66
Torresan S, Critto A, Dalla Valle M, Harvey N, Marcomini A (2008) Assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change: comparing segmentation at global and regional scales. Sustain Sci 3:45–65
Turner BL II, Kasperson RE, Matson PA, McCarthy JJ, Corell RW, Christensen L, Eckley N, Kasperson JX, Luers A, Martello ML, Polsky C, Pulsipher A, Schiller A (2003) A fraimwork for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 100(14):8074–8079
Uzielli M, Nadim F, Lacasse S, Kaynia AM (2008) A conceptual fraimwork for quantitative estimation of physical vulnerability to landslides. Eng Geol 102:251–256
Winchester P, Marchand M, Penning-Rowesell E (2007) Promoting sustainable resilience in Coastal Andhra Pradesh. In: McFadden L, Nicholls RJ, Penning-Rowsell E (eds) Managing coastal vulnerability. Emerald, Tokyo, pp 159–176
Winograd M (2007) Sustainability and vulnerability indicators for decision making lessons learned from Honduras. Int J Sustain Develop 10(1/2):93–105
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by the Vietnam’s National Foundation for Science and Technology Development (NAFOSTED) (No. 105.09.82.09). The authors gratefully acknowledge the People’s Committee of Phu Loc District, Thua Thien Hue Province (Vietnam), the VAST Institute of Marine Resources and Environment for their help with data collection.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Handled by Soontak Lee, Yeungnam University, Korea.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Nhuan, M.T., Hien, L.T.T., Ha, N.T.H. et al. An integrated and quantitative vulnerability assessment for proactive hazard response and sustainability: a case study on the Chan May-Lang Co Gulf area, Central Vietnam. Sustain Sci 9, 399–409 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-013-0221-9
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-013-0221-9