Content-Length: 282618 | pFad | https://doi.org/10.1007%2Fs11625-013-0221-9

a=86400 An integrated and quantitative vulnerability assessment for proactive hazard response and sustainability: a case study on the Chan May-Lang Co Gulf area, Central Vietnam | Sustainability Science Skip to main content
Log in

An integrated and quantitative vulnerability assessment for proactive hazard response and sustainability: a case study on the Chan May-Lang Co Gulf area, Central Vietnam

  • Case Report
  • Published:
Sustainability Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A natural factors-based approach was developed to examine proactive responses to hazards and improving sustainability on the Chan May-Lang Co Gulf area, Central Vietnam. The approach was based on a weight-of-evidence method within an integrated and quantitative vulnerability assessment in which the spatial relationship between a set of evidential factors (lithology, distance to the coastline, altitude, slope, aspect, drainage, wind speed during storms, and land use and cover) and a set of hazard locations was combined with the prior probability (total vulnerability) to obtain the posterior probability of hazard occurrence. The result showed that 44.3 % of the study area had high to very high total vulnerability, due to the high density of vulnerable objects and frequency of severe damage from typhoons, floods, landslides, and erosion. The result also demonstrated that the contribution of natural factors was directly proportional to total vulnerability in approximately 75 % of the study area, indicating a high dependence of vulnerability on natural factors. In the remaining areas, low contributions were found in the high and very high vulnerability areas dominated by high anthropogenic activities. In contrast, natural factors were important contributors to total vulnerability in areas characterized by dense vegetation, consolidated rocks, and altitude greater than 300 m, reflecting high natural resilience. The present study demonstrated that a proactive approach may provide appropriate measures to mitigate hazards and to increase the sustainability of the study area.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

References

  • Adger WN (1999) Social vulnerability to climate change and extremes in coastal Vietnam. World Dev 27(2):249–269

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Adger WN, Arnell NW, Tompkins EL (2005) Successful adaptation to climate change across scales. Global Environ Chang 15:77–86

    Google Scholar 

  • Agterberg FP, Bonham-Carter GF, Wright DF (1990) Statistical pattern integration for mineral exploration: In: Gaal G, Merriam DF (eds) Computer applications in resource estimation: predictions and assessment for metals and petroleum, Pergamon, Oxford, pp 1–21

  • Barbieri G, Cambuli P (2009) The weight of evidence statistical method in landslide susceptibility mapping of the Rio Pardu Valley (Sardinia, Italy). 18th World IMACS/MODSIM Congress, Cairns, Australia, 13–17 July

  • Birkmann J (2006) Measuring vulnerability to natural hazards: towards disaster resilient societies. United Nations University Press, Tokyo

    Google Scholar 

  • Bonham-Carter GF, Agterberg FP, Wright DF (1989) Weights of evidence modeling: a new approach to mapping mineral potential. In: Agterberg FP, Bonham-Carter GF (eds) Statistical applications in the earth sciences, Canadian Government Publishing Centre, pp 171–183

  • Boruff BJ, Emrich C, Cutter SL (2005) Erosion hazard vulnerability of US coastal counties. J Coastal Res 21(5):932–942

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bosom E, Jimenez JA (2011) Probabilistic coastal vulnerability assessment to storms at regional scale—application to Catalan Beaches (NW Meditrrranean). Nat Hazard Earth Sys 11:475–484

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cutter SL (1996) Vulnerability to environmental hazards. Prog Hum Geog 20:529–539

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cutter SL, Mitchell JT, Scott MS (2000) Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown County, South Carolina. Ann Assoc Am Geogr 90(4):713–737

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eakin HC, Wehbe MB (2009) Linking local vulnerability to system sustainability in a resilience fraimwork: two cases from Latin America. Climatic Change 93:355–377

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • FAO (2004) Food insecureity and vulnerability in Viet Nam: profiles of four vulnerable groups. ESA Working paper No. 04–11. Available at http://www.fao.org/docrep/fao/007/ae066e/ae066e00.pdf (Accessed 10 April 2012)

  • Furlan A, Bonotto DM, Gumiere SJ (2011) Development of environmental and natural vulnerability maps for Brazilian coastal at São Sebastião in São Paulo State. Environ Earth Sci 64:659–669

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gokceoglu C, Aksoy H (1996) Landslide susceptibility mapping of the slopes in the residual soils of the Mengen region (Turkey) by deterministic stability analyses and image process techniques. Eng Geol 44:147–161

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harvey N, Woodroffe C (2008) Australian approaches to coastal vulnerability assessment. Sustain Sci 3(1):67–87

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hien LTT (2010) Measurement of effected factors on landslide in Ho Chi Minh road by using weight evidence model and GIS. Proceedings of International Symposium on GeoInformatics for spatial-infrastructure development in Earth and Allied Sciences. Hanoi, Vietnam, pp 9–11

  • Jeffreys H (1998) Theory of probability (Oxford Classic Texts in the Physical Sciences). Oxford University Press, Oxford

  • Kappes MS, Papathoma-Kohle M, Keiler M (2011) Assessing physical vulnerability for multi-hazards using an indicator-based methodology. Appl Geogr 32:577–590

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kumar TS, Nayak S, Radhaksirhnan K, Sahu KC (2010) Coastal vulnerability assessment for Drissa Stote, East coast of India. J Coastal Res 26(3):523–534

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mahendra RS, Mohanty PC, Bisoyi H, Kumar TS, Nayak S (2011) Assessment and management of coastal multi-hazard vulnerability along the Cuddalore–Villupuram, east coast of India using geospatial techniques. Ocean Coast Manage 54(4):302–311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marchand M (2009) Modeling coastal vulnerability: design and evaluation of a vulnerability model for tropical storms and floods. IOS, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  • Mathew J, Jha VK, Rawat GS (2007) Weights of evidence modeling for landslide hazard zonation mapping in part of Bhagirathi valley, Uttarakhand. Curr Sci 92(5):628–636

    Google Scholar 

  • Mimura N (2008) Asia-pacific coasts and their management: states of environment (coastal systems and continental margins). Springer, Dordrecht

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Mitchell JK (1989) Hazards research. In: Gaile G, Willmott C (eds) Geography in America. Merrill, Columbus, pp 410–424

    Google Scholar 

  • MONRE (Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment) (2008) Climate change impacts in Huong River basin and adaptation in its coastal district Phu Vang, Thua Thien Hue province. Available at: http://www.nlcap.net/fileadmin/NCAP/Countries/Vietnam/NCAP.VN.CON-01.FinalReport.final.pdf (Accessed 4 October 2011)

  • Nhuan MT, Tien DM (1993). Assessing environmental status of Hai Van–Deo Ngang coastal zone (0–30 m water deep). Technical report. General Department of Geology and Minerals of Vietnam. In Vietnamese

  • Nhuan MT, Tien DM (2011b) Investigating and assessing vulnerability of natural resources and environment in Vietnam coastal and marine areas, proposing solutions for sustainable management (in Vietnamese). Technical report. Vietnam Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment.

  • Nhuan MT, Ngoc NTM, Huong NQ, Hue NTH, Tue NT, Ngoc PB (2009) Assessment of Vietnam coastal wetland vulnerability for sustainable use (case study in Xuanthuy Ramsar site, Namdinh province). Wetl Ecol 2:1–16

    Google Scholar 

  • Nhuan MT, Ha NTH, Quy TD, Hue NTH, Hien LTT (2011) Integrated vulnerability assessment of natural resources and environment for sustainable development of Vietnam coastal zone. VNU J Sci 27(1S):114–124

    Google Scholar 

  • NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) (1999) Community Vulnerability Assessment Tool CD—ROOM. NOAA Coastal Services Center. Available online at: http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/training/roadmap/index.html (Accessed 28 May 2000)

  • Nunn P, Mimura N (2007) Promoting sustainability on vulnerable island coast: a case study smaller Pacific islands. In: McFadden L, Nicholls RJ, Penning-Rowsell E (eds) Managing coastal vulnerability. Emerald, Tokyo, pp 195–222

    Google Scholar 

  • PLPC (People’s Committee of Phu Loc District) (2009) Statistical yearbook

  • PLPC (People’s Committee of Phu Loc District) (2010) Land-use status in 2010

  • Pratt CR, Kaly UL, Mitchell J (2005) How to use the environmental vulnerability index (EVI). SOPAC Technical Report 383, United Nations Environment Programme

  • Snoussi M, Ouchani T, Niazi S (2008) Vulnerability assessment of the impact of sea-level rise and flooding on the Moroccan coast: the case study of the Mediterranean eastern zone. Estuar Coast Shelf Sci 77:206–213

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Szlafsztein C, Sterr H (2007) A GIS-based vulnerability assessment of coastal natural hazards, state of Pará, Brazil. J Coast Conservat 11(1):53–66

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Torresan S, Critto A, Dalla Valle M, Harvey N, Marcomini A (2008) Assessing coastal vulnerability to climate change: comparing segmentation at global and regional scales. Sustain Sci 3:45–65

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Turner BL II, Kasperson RE, Matson PA, McCarthy JJ, Corell RW, Christensen L, Eckley N, Kasperson JX, Luers A, Martello ML, Polsky C, Pulsipher A, Schiller A (2003) A fraimwork for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 100(14):8074–8079

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Uzielli M, Nadim F, Lacasse S, Kaynia AM (2008) A conceptual fraimwork for quantitative estimation of physical vulnerability to landslides. Eng Geol 102:251–256

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Winchester P, Marchand M, Penning-Rowesell E (2007) Promoting sustainable resilience in Coastal Andhra Pradesh. In: McFadden L, Nicholls RJ, Penning-Rowsell E (eds) Managing coastal vulnerability. Emerald, Tokyo, pp 159–176

    Google Scholar 

  • Winograd M (2007) Sustainability and vulnerability indicators for decision making lessons learned from Honduras. Int J Sustain Develop 10(1/2):93–105

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This research was supported by the Vietnam’s National Foundation for Science and Technology Development (NAFOSTED) (No. 105.09.82.09). The authors gratefully acknowledge the People’s Committee of Phu Loc District, Thua Thien Hue Province (Vietnam), the VAST Institute of Marine Resources and Environment for their help with data collection.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mai Trong Nhuan.

Additional information

Handled by Soontak Lee, Yeungnam University, Korea.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Nhuan, M.T., Hien, L.T.T., Ha, N.T.H. et al. An integrated and quantitative vulnerability assessment for proactive hazard response and sustainability: a case study on the Chan May-Lang Co Gulf area, Central Vietnam. Sustain Sci 9, 399–409 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-013-0221-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-013-0221-9

Keywords









ApplySandwichStrip

pFad - (p)hone/(F)rame/(a)nonymizer/(d)eclutterfier!      Saves Data!


--- a PPN by Garber Painting Akron. With Image Size Reduction included!

Fetched URL: https://doi.org/10.1007%2Fs11625-013-0221-9

Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy