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U.S. Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 191909 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0209 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 Valid 201200Z - 211200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... The previous forecast remains generally on track. A few hours of dry and occasionally breezy conditions may precede isolated thunderstorm development across northern portions of the Texas Panhandle into northwestern Oklahoma. However, the marginal nature of these conditions suggest that wildfire-spread concerns should remain localized, so no fire weather highlights have been introduced this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 09/19/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0121 AM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024/ ...Synopsis... A low-latitude midlevel low will advance eastward across the Lower CO River Valley, while a related belt of strong deep-layer southwesterly flow overspreads the Southwest. Boundary-layer mixing into this strong deep-layer flow will favor dry/breezy conditions across portions of western NM and eastern AZ during the afternoon. While this could lead to locally elevated fire-weather conditions, fuels are generally unsupportive of large-fire spread at this time. Elsewhere, a minimal overlap of breezy surface winds and low RH should limit fire-weather concerns.
U.S. Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 191950 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0250 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024 Valid 211200Z - 271200Z Multiple mid-level troughs will traverse the Intermountain West and eject into the central and northern Mississippi Valley through the middle of next week, encouraging surface high pressure and cooler air to gradually overspread much of the CONUS. Appreciable rainfall accumulations are likely across the southern Plains into the Ohio Valley through next week, which should help dampen very dry fuels across these regions. Approaching cooler temperatures or meaningful rainfall accumulations over much of the CONUS suggests that quiescent fire weather conditions should prevail for this upcoming week. Locally dry and breezy conditions may occur over portions of the Interior West or High Plains, but such conditions appear too localized to warrant critical probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 09/19/2024
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