Skip to main content

Construct an Artificial Population with Urban and Rural Population Differences Considered: To Support Long-Term Care System Evaluation by Agent-Based Simulation

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
PRIMA 2020: Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems (PRIMA 2020)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNAI,volume 12568))

  • 597 Accesses

Abstract

Bottom-up simulation approaches such as agent-based simulation are attracting attention in Chinese Long-Term Care (LTC) studies. To enable the deployment of agent-based modelling approaches in evaluating LTC systems, a computational base which entails individual and household details is necessary. In this work, we propose a method to construct such an artificial population with the urban and rural population differences considered. Given the situation that nationwide disaggregated records on health issues of households and individuals are not available for the Chinese case, we first propose a method to generate such records based on the first wave of China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study. Drawn upon above records containing health-related attributes, we then propose a revised combinatorial optimization method to construct an artificial population mirroring a Chinese city including both urban and rural residents. It will be among the first methods in constructing such artificial populations to support agent-based simulation approaches in LTC studies.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Beijing Municipal Bureau of Statistics (2020). http://tjj.beijing.gov.cn/tjsj/yjdsj/rk/2020/index.html

  2. Atun, R.: Health systems, systems thinking and innovation. Health Policy Plann. 27(SUPPL. 4), 4–8 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Braithwaite, J.: growing inequality: bridging complex systems, population health and health disparities. Int. J. Epidemiol. 351–353 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Chang, S., Deguchi, H.: A computational base with well-preserved household and age structure for health policy analysis. In: Proceeding of IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, pp. 1150–1155 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Epstein, J.M., Axtell, R.: Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up. The Brookings Institution, USA (1996)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Feng, Z., Liu, C., Guan, X., Mor, V.: China’s rapidly aging population creates policy challenges in shaping a viable long-term care system. Health Aff. 31, 2764–2773 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Fukushima, N., Nagata, Y., Kobayashi, S., Ono, I.: Proposal of distance-weighted exponential natural evolution strategies. In: 2011 IEEE Congress of Evolutionary Computation (CEC), pp. 164–171, June 2011

    Google Scholar 

  8. Gu, D., Vlosky, D.A.: Long-term care needs and related issues in China (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Hu, Z., Peng, X.: Household changes in contemporary China: an analysis based on the four recent censuses. J. Chin. Sociol. 2(1), 9 (2015)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Huang, Z., Williamson, P.: A comparison of synthetic reconstruction and combinatorial optimisation approaches to the creation of small-area microdata (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Jean-Philippe, A., Gilles, V., Olivier, K.: Generating a located synthetic population of individuals, households, and dwellings. LISER Working Paper Series 2017–07, LISER, May 2017

    Google Scholar 

  12. Lei, P., Feng, Z., Wu, Z.: The availability and affordability of long-term care for disabled older people in China: the issues related to inequalities in socialsecurity benefits. Arch. Gerontol. Geriatr. 67, 21–27 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Norman, P.: Putting iterative proportional fitting on the researcher’s desk. Copyright of the School of Geography, University Of Leeds (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Peking University. China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS) (2011). http://charls.ccer.edu.cn/en

  15. Sturmberg, J., Lanham, H.J.: Understanding health care delivery as a complex system: achieving best possible health outcomes for individuals and communities by focusing on interdependencies. J. Eval. Clin. Pract. 20(6), 1005–1009 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. UNESCAP. Long-term care for older persons in China. SDD-SPPS PROJECT Working Papers Series: Long-Term Care for Older Persons in Asia and the Pacific (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Voas, D., Williamson, P.: An evaluation of the combinatorial optimisation approach to the creation of synthetic microdata. Int. J. Popul. Geogr. 6(5), 349–366 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Williamson, P., Birkin, M., Rees, P.H.: The estimation of population microdata by using data from small area statistics and samples of anonymised records. Environ. Plann. A Econ. Space 30(5), 785–816 (1998). PMID: 12293871

    Google Scholar 

  19. Yi, Z., Wang, Z.: Dynamics of family and elderly living arrangements in China: newlessons learned from the 2000 census. China Rev. 3(2), 95–119 (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Zhan, H., Liu, G., Guan, X., Bai, H.: Recent development in Chinese institutional elder care: changing concepts and attitudes. J. Aging Soc. Pol. 18(2), 85–108 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Zhao, Y., Hu, Y., Smith, J., Strauss, J., Yang, G.: Cohort profile: the China health and retirement longitudinal study (CHARLS). Int. J. Epidemiol. 43(1), 61–68 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgment

This work was supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 20K18958.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Shuang Chang .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Chang, S., Deguchi, H. (2021). Construct an Artificial Population with Urban and Rural Population Differences Considered: To Support Long-Term Care System Evaluation by Agent-Based Simulation. In: Uchiya, T., Bai, Q., Marsá Maestre, I. (eds) PRIMA 2020: Principles and Practice of Multi-Agent Systems. PRIMA 2020. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12568. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-69322-0_25

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-69322-0_25

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-69321-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-69322-0

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy