Abstract
Government regulation and policy strategies play very important roles in environmental pollution control. In this study on the evolutionary game theories and the relationship between the government, businesses, and the overall interests of society, we build two system dynamics-based tripartite evolutionary game models: a government environmental regulation-static punishment model and a dynamic punishment model. By factoring various policy strategies in the two models, including adjustments to the “Budget of pollution inspection”, “Reward for no pollution discharge”, “Enterprise production gain”, and “Punishment coefficient” and additional combinations of the adjustment schemes; this study observes the changes in the action and the data outputs of the two models. Finally, the operation of the two models under the same policy strategy is compared and analyzed. The results show that loss of integrated social benefit and the type of punishment mechanism will significantly impact the selection of the environmental regulation strategies. However, compared with a single strategy, a combination of policy strategies could work better in promoting the environmental regulatory model to achieve an “ideal state”.








Similar content being viewed by others
References
Jury, C., Rugani, B., Hild, P., et al.: Analysis of complementary methodologies to assess the environmental impact of Luxembourg’s net consumption. Environ. Sci. Policy 27, 68–80 (2013)
Perez-Suarez, R., Lopez-Menendez, A.J.: Growing green? Forecasting CO\(_{2}\) emissions with environmental kuznets curves and logistic growth models. Environ. Sci. Policy 54, 428–437 (2015)
Randari, A.H., Rostamy, A.A.A.: Designing a general set of sustainability indicators at the corporate level. J. Clean. Prod. 108, 757–771 (2015)
Vera, S., Sauma, E.: Does a carbon tax make sense in countries with still a high potential for energy efficiency? Comparison between the reducing-emissions effects of carbon tax and energy efficiency measures in the Chilean case. Energy 88, 478–488 (2015)
Cook, J.A., Sanchirico, J.N., Salon, D., et al.: Empirical distributions of vehicle use and fuel efficiency across space: implications of asymmetry for measuring policy incidence. Transp. Res. Part A 78, 187–199 (2015)
Simmons, ‘.R.A., Shaver, G.M., Tyner, W.E., et al.: A benefit-cost assessment of new vehicle technologies and fuel economy in the us market. Appl. Energy 157, 940–952 (2015)
Benchekroun, H., Martin-Herran, G.: The impact of foresight in a transboundary pollution game. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 251(1), 300–309 (2016)
Bahn, O., Chesney, M., Gheyssens, J., et al.: Is there room for geoengineering in the optimal climate policy mix? Environ. Sci. Policy 48, 67–76 (2015)
Maynard Smith, J.: Evolution and the Theory of Games. Springer, New York (1993)
Nax, H.H., Pradelski, B.S.R.: Evolutionary dynamics and equitable core selection in assignment games. Int. J. Game Theory 44(4), 903–932 (2015)
Gong, C.Z., Tang, K., Zhu, K.J., et al.: An optimal time-of-use pricing for urban gas: a study with a multi-agent evolutionary game-theoretic perspective. Appl. Energy 163, 283–294 (2016)
Guo, H., Wang, X.W., Cheng, H., et al.: A routing defense mechanism using evolutionary game theory for delay tolerant networks. Appl. Soft Comput. 38, 469–476 (2016)
Zhu, B., Xia, X.H., Wu, Z.: Evolutionary game theoretic demand-side management and control for a class of networked smart grid. Automatica 70, 94–100 (2016)
Riechmann, T.: Genetic algorithm learning and evolutionary games. J. Econ. Dyn. Control 25(6), 1019–1037 (2001)
Tomkins, J.L., Hazel, W.: The status of the conditional evolutionarily stable strategy. Trends Ecol. Evol. 22(10), 522–528 (2007)
Cushing, J.M., Henson, S.M., Hayward, J.L.: An evolutionary game-theoretic model of cannibalism. Nat. Resour. Model. 28(4), 497–521 (2015)
Wang, J., Botterud, A., Conzelmann, G., et al.: Multi-agent system for short-and long-term power market simulations. In: The 16th Power System Computation Conference (PSCC), pp.14-18. (2008)
Forrester, J.W.: System dynamics, systems thinking, and soft OR. Syst. Dyn. Rev. 10(2–3), 245–256 (1994)
Sterman, J.: Business Dynamics. Irwin-McGraw-Hill, Boston (2000)
Tesfamariam, D., Lindberg, B.: Aggregate analysis of manufacturing systems using system dynamics and ANP. Comput. Ind. Eng. 49(1), 98–117 (2005)
Shih, Y.H., Tseng, C.H.: Cost-benefit analysis of sustainable energy development using life-cycle co-benefits assessment and the system dynamics approach. Appl. Energy 119, 57–66 (2014)
Zhao, R., Zhong, S.Z.: Carbon labelling influences on consumers’ behaviour: a system dynamics approach. Ecol. Indic. 51, 98–106 (2015)
Kazemi, A., Hosseinzadeh, M.: Policy analysis of greenhouse gases’ mitigation in Iran energy sector using system dynamics approach. Environ. Progress Sustain. Energy 35(4), 1221–1230 (2016)
Blumberga, A., Lauka, D., Barisa, A., et al.: Modelling the baltic power system till 2050. Energy Convers. Manag. 107, 67–75 (2016)
Jetha, A., Pransky, G., Hettinger, L.J.: Capturing complexity in work disability research: application of system dynamics modeling methodology [J]. Disabil. Rehabil. 38(2), 189–194 (2016)
Rehan, R., Unger, A., Knight, M.A., et al.: Water utility management and financial planning using system dynamics. J. Am. Water Works Assoc. 107(1), 87–88 (2015)
Ferreira, J.O., Batalha, M.O., Domingos, J.C.: Integrated planning model for citrus agribusiness system using systems dynamics. Comput. Electron. Agric. 126, 1–11 (2016)
Lane, D.C., Munro, E., Husemann, E.: Blending systems thinking approaches for organisational analysis: reviewing child protection in england. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 251(2), 613–623 (2016)
Tsai, J.M., Hung, S.W.: A novel model of technology diffusion: system dynamics perspective for cloud computing. J. Eng. Technol. Manag. 33, 47–62 (2014)
Jeong, S.J.: System dynamics approach for the impacts of finex technology and carbon taxes on steel demand: case study of the POSCO. Int. J. Precis. Eng. Manuf. Green Technol. 2(1), 85–93 (2015)
Chen, S.H.: The influencing factors of enterprise sustainable innovation: an empirical study. Sustainability 8(5), 17 (2016)
Bharathy, G.K., McShane, M.K.: Applying a systems model to enterprise risk management. Eng. Manag. J. 26(4), 38–46 (2014)
Rafiei, H., Rabbani, M., Hosseini, S.H.: Capacity coordination under demand uncertainty in a hybrid make-to-stock/make-to-order environment: a system dynamics approach. Sci. Iran. 21(6), 2315–2325 (2014)
Thies, C., Kieckhafer, K., Spengler, T.S.: Market introduction strategies for alternative powertrains in long-range passenger cars under competition. Transp. Res. Part D 45, 4–27 (2016)
Love, P.E.D., Edwards, D.J., Smith, J.: Rework causation: emergent theoretical insights and implications for research. J. Constr. Eng. Manag. 142(6), 9 (2016)
Besiou, M., Pedraza-Martinez, A.J., Van Wassenhove, L.N.: Vehicle supply chains in humanitarian operations: decentralization, operational mix, and earmarked funding. Prod. Oper. Manag. 23(11), 1950–1965 (2014)
Udenio, M., Fransoo, J.C., Peels, R.: Destocking, the bullwhip effect, and the credit crisis: empirical modeling of supply chain dynamics. Int. J. Prod. Econ. 160, 34–46 (2015)
Trappey, A.J.C., Trappey, C.V., Chang, S.W.C., et al.: A one-stop logistic services framework supporting global supply chain collaboration. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 25(2), 229–253 (2016)
Golroudbary, S.R., Zahraee, S.M.: System dynamics model for optimizing the recycling and collection of waste material in a closed-loop supply chain. Simul. Model. Pract. Theory 53, 88–102 (2015)
Vanderby, S.A., Carter, M.W., Latham, T., et al.: Modelling the future of the canadian cardiac surgery workforce using system dynamics. J. Oper. Res. Soc. 65(9), 1325–1335 (2014)
Abidin, N.Z., Mamat, M., Dangerfield, B., et al.: Combating obesity through healthy eating behavior: a call for system dynamics optimization. Plos One 9(12), 17 (2014)
Wittenborn, A.K., Rahmandad, H., Rick, J., et al.: Depression as a systemic syndrome: mapping the feedback loops of major depressive disorder. Psychol. Med. 46(3), 551–562 (2016)
Tomaskova, H., Kuhnova, J., Cimler, R., et al.: Prediction of population with alzheimer’s disease in the European Union using a system dynamics model. Neuropsychiatr. Dis. Treat. 12, 1589–1598 (2016)
Sice, P., Mosekilde, E., Moscardini, A., et al.: Using system dynamics to analyse interactions in duopoly competition. Syst. Dyn. Rev. 16(2), 113–133 (2000)
Kim, B., Park, C.: Coordinating decisions by supply chain partners in a vendor-managed inventory relationship. J. Manuf. Syst. 29(2–3), 71–80 (2010)
Wang, H., Cai, L., Zeng, W.: Research on the evolutionary game of environmental pollution in system dynamics model. J. Exp. Theor. Artif. Intel. 23(1), 39–50 (2011)
Tian, Y., Govindan, K., Zhu, Q.: A system dynamics model based on evolutionary game theory for green supply chain management diffusion among Chinese manufacturers. J. Clean. Prod. 80, 96–105 (2014)
Li, C., Duan, W.: Renewable energy policies impact concentrated solar power development in inner Mongolia using the leap model. Energy Educ. Sci. Technol. Part A 31(1), 601–604 (2013)
Acknowledgments
This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Project Numbers 71262022 and 71162015) and Inner Mongolia Natural Science Foundation (Project Numbers: 20090401).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Duan, W., Li, C., Zhang, P. et al. Game modeling and policy research on the system dynamics-based tripartite evolution for government environmental regulation. Cluster Comput 19, 2061–2074 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10586-016-0642-1
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10586-016-0642-1