Abstract
Fires become one of the common challenges faced by smart cities. As one of the most efficient ways in the safety science field, risk assessment could determine the risk in a quantitative or qualitative way and recognize the threat. And Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) has gained a reputation for being powerful techniques for modeling complex systems where the variables are highly interlinked and have been widely used for quantitative risk assessment in different fields in recent years. This work is aimed at further exploring the application of Bayesian Belief Networks for smart city fire risk assessment using history statistics and sensor data. The dynamic urban fire risk assessment method, Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs), is described. Besides, fire risk associated factors are identified, thus a BBN model is constructed. Then a case study is presented to expound the calculation model. Both the results and discussion are given.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
CTIF Center of Fire Statistics Communication Group CTIF Newsletters Fire & Rescue World News. World fire statistics (2018). https://www.ctif.org/news/world-fire-statistics-issue-no-23-2018-updated-version. Accessed 20 Mar 2018
Rausand, M.: Risk Assessment: Theory, Methods, and Applications. Wiley, Hoboken (2013)
Xin, J., Huang, C.F.: Fire risk assessment of residential buildings based on fire statistics from China. Fire Technol. 50(5), 1147–1161 (2014)
Lu, S., Mei, P., Wang, J., et al.: Fatality and influence factors in high-casualty fires: a correspondence analysis. Saf. Sci. 50(4), 1019–1033 (2012)
Shai, D.: Income, housing, and fire injuries: a census tract analysis. Public Health Rep. 121(2), 149–154 (2006)
Asgary, A., Ghaffari, A., Levy, J.: Spatial and temporal analyses of structural fire incidents and their causes: a case of Toronto, Canada. Fire Saf. J. 45(1), 44–57 (2010)
Jennings, C.R.: Social and economic characteristics as determinants of residential fire risk in urban neighborhoods: a review of the literature. Fire Saf. J. 62, 13–19 (2013)
Henriksen, H.J., Rasmussen, P., Brandt, G., et al.: Engaging stakeholders in construction and validation of Bayesian belief network for groundwater protection. In: Topics on System Analysis and Integrated Water Resource Management, pp. 49–72 (2007)
Fu, S., Zhang, D., Montewka, J., et al.: Towards a probabilistic model for predicting ship besetting in ice in Arctic waters. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 155, 124–136 (2016)
Kelangath, S., Das, P.K., Quigley, J., et al.: Risk analysis of damaged ships–a data-driven Bayesian approach. Ships Offshore Struct. 7(3), 333–347 (2012)
Zhang, G., Thai, V.V.: Expert elicitation and Bayesian network modeling for shipping accidents: a literature review. Saf. Sci. 87, 53–62 (2016)
Zhang, J., Teixeira, Â.P., Guedes Soares, C., et al.: Maritime transportation risk assessment of Tianjin Port with Bayesian belief networks. Risk Anal. 36(6), 1171–1187 (2016)
Khakzad, N., Khan, F., Amyotte, P.: Safety analysis in process facilities: comparison of fault tree and Bayesian network approaches. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 96(8), 925–932 (2011)
Zarei, E., Azadeh, A., Khakzad, N., et al.: Dynamic safety assessment of natural gas stations using Bayesian network. J. Hazard. Mater. 321, 830–840 (2017)
Staid, A., Guikema, S.D.: Risk analysis for US offshore wind farms: the need for an integrated approach. Risk Anal. 35(4), 587–593 (2015)
Wu, X., Liu, H., Zhang, L., et al.: A dynamic Bayesian network based approach to safety decision support in tunnel construction. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 134, 157–168 (2015)
Bashari, H., Naghipour, A.A., Khajeddin, S.J., et al.: Risk of fire occurrence in arid and semi-arid ecosystems of Iran: an investigation using Bayesian belief networks. Environ. Monit. Assess. 188(9), 531 (2016)
Dlamini, W.M.: Application of Bayesian networks for fire risk mapping using GIS and remote sensing data. GeoJournal 76(3), 283–296 (2011)
Papakosta, P., Xanthopoulos, G., Straub, D.: Probabilistic prediction of wildfire economic losses to housing in Cyprus using Bayesian network analysis. Int. J. Wildland Fire 26(1), 10–23 (2017)
Moskowitz, P.D., Fthenakis, V.M.: Toxic materials released from photovoltaic modules during fires: health risks. Solar Cells 29(1), 63–71 (1990)
Pearl, J.: Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems: Networks of Plausible Inference. Elsevier, Amsterdam (2014)
Mahadevan, S., Zhang, R., Smith, N.: Bayesian networks for system reliability reassessment. Struct. Saf. 23(3), 231–251 (2001)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this paper
Cite this paper
Sun, J., Fang, H., Wu, J., Sun, T., Liu, X. (2020). Application of Bayesian Belief Networks for Smart City Fire Risk Assessment Using History Statistics and Sensor Data. In: He, J., et al. Data Science. ICDS 2019. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1179. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2810-1_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-2810-1_1
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-15-2809-5
Online ISBN: 978-981-15-2810-1
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)