Chapter 8 Statistical Inference Estimation For Single
Chapter 8 Statistical Inference Estimation For Single
Chapter 8
Statistical Inference: Estimation for Single
Populations
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
The overall learning objective of Chapter 8 is to help you
understand estimating
parameters of single populations, thereby enabling you to:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
CHAPTER OUTLINE
8.1
Unknown
Unknown and
8.4
8.5
KEY WORDS
Bounds
Chi-square Distribution
Degrees of Freedom(df)
Error of Estimation
Interval Estimate
Point Estimate
Robust
Sample-Size Estimation
t Distribution
t Value
= 25 = 3.5
95% Confidence
x
b)
z.025 = 1.96
= 25 + 1.96
= 119.6 s = 23.89
98% Confidence
= 3.419
90% C.I.
+ z
= 56.7
80% C.I.
z
= 25 + 0.89 =
n = 75
z.01 = 2.33
s = 0.974
z.05 = 1.645
= 12.1
z.10 = 1.28
n = 32
0.974
s
= 3.419 + 1.645
32
n
3.5
60
2.89
s
= 119.6 + 2.33 75
n
+ z
d)
c)
+ z
n = 60
N = 500
N n
12 .1
= 56.7 + 1.28
N 1
47
n = 47
500 47
500 1
8.2 n = 36
95% C.I.
x
8.3 n = 81
90% C.I.
x
s = 5.89
= 90.4
Point Estimate
z.03 = 1.88
49
8.5 n = 39
96% C.I.
x
= 47
z.05=1.645
2 = 49
= 90.4
+ z
5.89
s
= 47 1.645
81
n
94% C.I.
x
2
36
= 211 1.96
8.4 n = 70
x
= 211
= 23
z.025 = 1.96
N = 200
z.02 = 2.05
s
n
= 66
11
N n
= 66 2.05
N 1
9
s = 11
200 39
200 1
= 66
8.6 n = 120
99% C.I.
Point Estimate
x = 18.72
z.005 = 2.575
s = 0.8735
= 18.72
+ z
Point Estimate
0.8735
s
= 18.72 2.575 120
n
8.7 N = 1500
95% C.I.
n = 187
z.025 = 1.96
= 5.3 years
s
n
= 5.3 years
s = 1.28 years
Point Estimate
1.28
N n
= 5.3 1.96
N 1
187
1500 187
1500 1
8.9
n = 36
98% C.I.
x
= 5.656
z.05 = 1.645
s = 3.229
3.229
s
= 5.656 1.645
32
n
= 3.306
z.01 = 2.33
s = 1.167
1.167
s
= 3.306 2.33
36
n
8.10 n = 36
x
= 2.139
90% C.I.
x
s = .113
Point Estimate
z.05 = 1.645
(. 113 )
s
= 2.139 1.645
= 2.139 .03 = 2.109 < < 2.169
36
n
8.11 = 27.4
x
= 2.139
= 24.533
n = 45
s = 5.1239
z = + 1.96
Confidence interval:
+ z
5.1239
s
= 24.533 + 1.96
45
n
< 26.030
n = 41
8.13 n = 13
= 45.62
s = 5.694
df = 13 1 = 12
5.694
s
= 45.62 2.179
13
n
8.14 n = 12
= 319.17
s = 9.104
df = 12 - 1 = 11
t.05,11 = 1.796
9.104
s
= 319.17 (1.796)
12
n
= 319.17 4.72 =
323.89
8.15 n = 27
= 128.4
s = 20.64
df = 27 1 = 26
20 .6
s
= 128.4 2.479
= 128.4 9.83 = 118.57 < < 138.23
27
n
8.16 n = 15
s2 = 0.81
= 2.364
df = 15 1 = 14
s
= 2.364 1.761
n
8.17 n = 25
0.81
15
= 16.088
s = .817
df = 25 1 = 24
.817
s
= 16.088 2.797
25
n
8.18 n = 22
= 1,192
1,341.78
s = 279
df = n - 1 = 21
t.01,21 = 2.518
279
s
= 1,192 + (2.518)
= 1,192 + 149.78 = 1,042.22 <
22
n
<
8.19 n = 20
x
df = 19
= 2.36116
95% CI
t.025,19 = 2.093
s = 0.19721
2.36116 + 2.093
0.1972
20
< 2.45346
8.20 n = 28
= 5.335
s = 2.016
df = 28 1 = 27
/2=.05
t.05,27 = 1.703
x t
2.016
s
= 5.335 1.703
28
n
8.21 n = 10
95% Confidence
x t
= 49.8
/2=.025
18 .22
s
= 49.8 2.262
10
n
s = 18.22
df = 10 1 = 9
t.025,9 = 2.262
= 49.8 + 13.03 = 36.77 < < 62.83
8.22 n = 14,
/2 = .01,
98% confidence,
df = 13
t.01,13 = 2.650
from data:
= 152.16
s = 14.42
x t
confidence interval:
14 .42
s
= 152.16 + 2.65
14
n
< 162.37
8.23 a) n = 44
p z
p q
n
p z
d) n = 95
p z
= .82
(. 51 )(. 49 )
44
95% C.I.
p q
= .82 1.96
n
c) n = 1150
p z
99% C.I.
= .51 2.575
b) n = 300
=.51
= .48
z.025 = 1.96
z.05 = 1.645
(. 48 )(. 52 )
=
1150
= .32
p q
= .32 1.555
n
(. 82 )(. 18 )
= .82 .043 = .777 < p < .863
300
90% C.I.
p q
= .48 1.645
n
z.005 = 2.575
88% C.I.
(. 32 )(. 68 )
=
95
z.06 = 1.555
.32 .074 = .246 < p < .394
8.24 a) n = 116
x = 57
= x = 57
n
116
p q
= .49 2.575
n
b) n = 800
x = 479
p q
n
= .60 2.17
c) n = 240
=
p z
d) n = 60
p z
(. 49 )(. 51 )
116
97% C.I.
z.015 = 2.17
x
479
=
= .60
n 800
p z
z.005 = 2.575
= .49
p z
99% C.I.
x = 106
(. 60 )(. 40 )
800
85% C.I.
z.075 = 1.44
x 106
=
= .44
n 240
p q
= .44 1.44
n
x = 21
x
21
=
n 60
(. 44 )(. 56 )
240
90% C.I.
z.05 = 1.645
= .35
p q
= .35 1.645
n
(. 35 )(. 65 )
= .35 .10 = .25 < p < .45
60
8.25
n = 85
x = 40
90% C.I.
z.05 = 1.645
= x = 40 = .47
p z
85
p q
= .47 1.645
n
95% C.I.
p z
z.025 = 1.96
p q
= .47 1.96
n
99% C.I.
p z
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 .09 = .38 < p < .56
85
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 .106 = .364 < p < .576
85
z.005 = 2.575
p q
= .47 2.575
n
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 .14 = .33 < p < .61
85
All things being constant, as the confidence increased, the width of the interval
increased.
8.26
n = 1003
p z
= .245
p q
= .245 + 2.575
n
99% CI
z.005 = 2.575
n = 560
n = 560
8.28
p z
8.29
a)
b)
= .28
90% CI
z.05 = 1.645
(. 28 )(. 72 )
= .28 + .0312 = .2488 < p < .3112
560
x = 997
98% C.I.
z.01 = 2.33
x
997
=
= .80
n 1250
p q
= .80 2.33
n
n = 3481
(. 80 )(. 20 )
= .80 .026 = .774 < p < .826
1250
x = 927
x
927
=
= .266
n 3481
99% C.I.
p z
z.025 = 1.96
(. 47 )(. 53 )
= .47 + .0413 = .4287 < p < .5113
560
p q
= .28 + 1.645
n
n = 1250
95% CI
p q
= .47 + 1.96
n
p z
p z
= .47
z.005 = 2.575
p q
= .266 + 2.575
n
8.30
n = 89
x = 48
85% C.I.
z.075 = 1.44
x 48
=
= .54
n 89
p q
= .54 1.44
n
p z
8.31
= .63
n = 672
8.32 a) n = 12
2
.995,11
18.46 <
b) n = 7
.975,6
.95,19
.005,11
s = 1.24
s2 = 1.5376
df = 12 1 = 11
= 4.37
95% C.I.
= 1.237347
= 26.7569
0.64 <
<
99% C.I.
< 189.73
(7 1)(1.5376 )
<
14 .4494
c) n = 20
s2 = 44.9
= 2.60321
z = + 1.96
(. 63 )(. 37 )
= .63 + .0365 = .5935 < p < .6665
672
= 28.4
95% Confidence
p q
= .63 + 1.96
n
p z
(. 54 )(. 46 )
89
.025,6
= 14.4494
(7 1)(1.5376 )
1.237347
<
< 7.46
= 105
90% C.I.
s = 32
df = 20 1 = 19
= 10.117
( 20 1)(1024 )
<
30 .1435
<
.05,19
= 30.1435
( 20 1)(1024 )
10 .117
s2 = 1024
df = 12 1 = 11
645.45 <
s2 = 18.56
d) n = 17
.90,16
< 1923.10
12.61 <
.99,15
.10,16
= 5.22935
18.24 <
= 23.5418
<
98% C.I.
<
.01,15
< 106.66
s = 4.3
s2 = 18.49
98% C.I.
df = 20 1 = 19
= 7.63273
.99,19
9.71 <
df = 16-1 = 15
= 30.5779
n = 12
2
df = 17 1 = 16
< 31.89
8.34
s2 = 37.1833
n = 16
= 9.31223
8.33
80% C.I.
.01,19
= 36.1980
( 20 1)(18 .49 )
7.63273
<
< 46.03
s2 = 3.067
n = 152
.995,14
= 4.07468
1.37 <
< 10.54
99% C.I.
<
.005,14
= 31.3193
df = 15 1 = 14
8.36
s2 = 26,798,241.76
n = 14
95% C.I.
df = 14 1 = 13
.975,13
= 5.00874
= 24.7356
.025,13
14,084,038.51 <
8.37 a) = 36
<
< 69,553,848.45
E=5
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 2 (1.96) 2 (36 ) 2
n=
= 199.15
=
E2
52
Sample 200
b) = 4.13
n=
E=1
99% Confidence
z 2 2 (2.575 ) 2 (4.13) 2
=
E2
12
= 113.1
Sample 114
c) E = 10
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 2 (1.645 ) 2 (105 ) 2
= 298.3
=
E2
10 2
Sample 299
d) E = 3
Range = 108 - 50 = 58
z.06 = 1.555
z.005 = 2.575
n =
= 56.5
Sample 57
8.38 a) E = .02
n =
p=.40
96% Confidence
z.02 = 2.05
z 2 p q ( 2.05 ) 2 (. 40 )(. 60 )
=
= 2521.5
E2
(. 02 ) 2
Sample 2522
b) E = .04
n =
p=.50
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 600.25
E2
(. 04 ) 2
Sample 601
c) E = .05
p = .55
90% Confidence
z 2 p q (1.645 ) 2 (. 55 )(. 45 )
=
n =
= 267.9
E2
(. 05 ) 2
Sample 268
z.05 = 1.645
d) E =.01
n =
p = .50
99% Confidence
z.005 = 2.575
z 2 p q (2.575 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 16,576.6
E2
(. 01) 2
Sample 16,577
8.39
E = $200
n =
= $1,000
99% Confidence
z.005 = 2.575
z 2 2 (2.575) 2 (1000 ) 2
= 165.77
=
E2
200 2
Sample 166
8.40
E = $2
n =
= $12.50
90% Confidence
Sample 106
8.41
E = $100
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 2 (1.645) 2 ( 475) 2
n =
= 61.05
=
E2
100 2
Sample 62
z.05 = 1.645
8.42 p = .20
q = .80
90% Confidence,
n =
E = .02
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 p q (1.645 ) 2 (. 20 )(. 80 )
=
= 1082.41
E2
(. 02 ) 2
Sample 1083
8.43 p = .50
q = .50
95% Confidence,
E = .05
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
n =
E2
(. 05 ) 2
= 384.16
Sample 385
8.44 E = .10
p = .50
95% Confidence,
n =
q = .50
z.025 = 1.96
z 2 p q (1.96 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 96.04
E2
(. 10 ) 2
Sample 97
8.45
= 45.6
s = 7.7467
80% confidence
x z
z.01 = 2.33
s
7.7467
= 45 .6 2.33
n
35
42.549 <
s = .4373
/2 = .05
s
.4373
= 12 .03 1.833
n
10
11.78 <
= 45.6 + 3.051
< 48.651
x t
= 45.6 + 2.462
< 48.062
98% confidence
8.46
z.03 = 1.88
s
7.7467
= 45 .6 1.88
n
35
43.138 <
= 45.6 + 1.676
< 47.276
94% confidence
xz
z.10 = 1.28
s
7.7467
= 45 .6 1.28
n
35
43.924 <
x z
n = 35
< 12.28
n = 10
t.05,9= 1.833
= 12.03 + .25
df = 9
/2 = .025
s
.4373
= 12 .03 2.262
10
n
x t
11.72 <
s
n
= 12 .03 3.25
11.58 <
8.47 a) n = 715
p =
= 12.03 + .31
< 12.34
/2 = .005
t.025,9 = 2.262
t.005,9 = 3.25
(. 4373 )
= 12.03 + .45
10
< 12.48
x = 329
329
= .46
715
95% confidence
p z
z.025 = 1.96
p q
(. 46 )(. 54 )
= .46 1.96
= .46 + .0365
n
715
= .71
q
p
= .71 1.645
n
90% confidence
z.05 = 1.645
(. 71)(. 29 )
= .71 + .0443
284
c) n = 1250
= .48
95% confidence
z.025 = 1.96
p q
(. 48 )(. 52 )
= .48 1.96
= .48 + .0277
n
1250
p z
x = 270
98% confidence
z.01 = 2.33
270
= .591
457
p q
(. 591 )(. 409 )
= .591 2.33
= .591 + .0536
n
457
p z
8.48
n = 10
90% confidence,
.95,9
s2 = 54.7667
s = 7.40045
/2 = .05
= 3.32511
29.133 <
.975,9
<
= 16.919
/2 = .025
= 2.70039
4.258 <
.05,9
1 - /2 = .95
< 148.236
95% confidence,
df = 10 1 = 9
< 182.529
.025,9
<
1 - /2 = .975
= 19.0228
8.49 a) = 44
n =
E=3
95% confidence
z 2 2 (1.96 ) 2 (44) 2
= 826.4
=
E2
32
Sample 827
b) E = 2
Range = 88 - 20 = 68
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 2 (1.645 ) 2 (17 ) 2
= 195.5
=
E2
22
Sample 196
c) E = .04
p = .50
98% confidence
q = .50
z.01 = 2.33
z 2 p q ( 2.33 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 848.3
E2
(. 04 ) 2
Sample 849
d) E = .03
p = .70
95% confidence
q = .30
z.025 = 1.96
z2 p q
4(1.96 ) 2 (. 70 )(. 30 )
=
= 896.4
E2
(. 03 ) 2
Sample 897
z.025 = 1.96
8.50
n = 17
= 10.765
S = 2.223
/2 = .005
99% confidence
s
2.223
= 10 .765 2.921
17
n
x t
df = 17 - 1 = 16
t.005,16 = 2.921
= 10.765 + 1.575
8.51
p=.40
n =
E=.03
90% Confidence
z.05 = 1.645
z 2 p q (1.645 ) 2 (. 40 )(. 60 )
=
= 721.61
E2
(. 03 ) 2
Sample 722
8.52
s2 = 4.941
n = 17
.995,16
2.307 <
<
.005,16
df = 17 1 = 16
= 34.2672
< 15.374
= 213
98% Confidence
xz
= 5.14224
8.53 n = 45
99% C.I.
s = 48
z.01 = 2.33
s
48
= 213 2.33
= 213 16.67
n
45
8.54 n = 39
= 37.256
90% confidence
s = 3.891
z.05 = 1.645
s
3.891
= 37 .256 1.645
= 37.256 1.025
n
39
x z
8.55
=6
E=1
98% Confidence
z.98 = 2.33
z 2 2 ( 2.33) 2 (6) 2
= 195.44
=
E2
12
n =
Sample 196
8.56
n = 1,255
p =
714
1255
z
p
x = 714
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
= .569
q
p
= .569 1.96
n
8.57 n = 25
s = 21
= 128
98% C.I.
df = 25 1 = 24
t.01,24 = 2.492
Point Estimate = $128
x t
s
21
= 128 2.492
n
25
117.534 <
= 128 + 10.466
< 138.466
8.58
n = 60
= 6.717
98% Confidence
xz
s
n
s = 3.059
N =300
z.01 = 2.33
N n
3.059
= 6.717 2.33
N 1
60
300 60
300 1
6.717 0.824 =
5.893 < < 7.541
8.59 E = $20
z.025 = 1.96
Sample 196
8.60
n = 245
p =
x = 189
90% Confidence
z.05= 1.645
x 189
=
= .77
n 245
p q
= .77 1.645
n
p z
(. 77 )(. 23 )
=
245
.77 .044
8.61
n = 90
p =
x = 30
x 30
=
n 90
95% Confidence
z.025 = 1.96
= .33
p q
(. 33 )(. 67 )
= .33 1.96
= .33 .097
n
90
p z
8.62
n = 12
s2 = 228
= 43.7
df = 12 1 = 11
t.025,11 = 2.201
x t
s
n
34.11 <
.975,11
228
= 43 .7 2.201
= 43.7 + 9.59
< 53.29
= 3.81575
114.42 <
12
<
< 657.28
.025,11
= 21.92
95% C.I.
8.63
n = 27
95% CI:
x t
= 4.82
s = 0.37
df = 26
t.025,26 = 2.056
s
0.37
= 4.82 2.056
= 4.82 + .1464
n
27
8.64
n = 77
= 2.48
95% Confidence
xz
s = 12
z.025 = 1.96
s
12
= 2.48 1.96
n
77
= 2.48 2.68
8.65
n = 560
99% Confidence
p z
=.33
z.005= 2.575
p q
= .33 2.575
n
(. 33 )(. 67 )
560
8.66
p = .50
E = .05
98% Confidence
z.01 = 2.33
z 2 p q ( 2.33 ) 2 (. 50 )(. 50 )
=
= 542.89
E2
(. 05 ) 2
Sample 543
8.67
n = 27
= 2.10
98% confidence
x t
s = 0.86
/2 = .01
df = 27 - 1 = 26
t.01,26 = 2.479
s
0.86
= 2.10 2.479
= 2.10 (2.479) = 2.10 0.41
n
27
8.68
n = 23
.95,22
df = 23 1 = 22
= 12.338
( 23 1)(. 0631455 ) 2
<
33 .9244
.0026 <
8.69
n = 39
x z
s = .0631455
.05,22
90% C.I.
= 33.9244
<
( 23 1)(. 0631455 ) 2
12 .338
< .0071
= 1.294
s = 0.205
s
0.205
= 1.294 2.575
n
39
99% Confidence
z.005 = 2.575
8.70
The sample mean fill for the 58 cans is 11.9788 oz. with a standard deviation of
.0556 oz. The 99% confidence interval for the population fill is 11.9607 oz. to
11.9970 oz. which does not include 12 oz. We are 99% confident that the
population mean is not 12 oz. indicating an underfill from the machine.
8.71
The point estimate for the average length of burn of the new bulb is 2198.217
hours. Eighty-four bulbs were included in this study. A 90% confidence interval
can be constructed from the information given. The error of the confidence
interval is + 27.76691. Combining this with the point estimate yields the 90%
confidence interval of 2198.217 + 27.76691 = 2170.450 < < 2225.984.
8.72
The point estimate for the average age of a first time buyer is 27.63 years. The
sample of 21 buyers produces a standard deviation of 6.54 years. We are 98%
confident that the actual population mean age of a first-time home buyer is
between 24.02 years and 31.24 years.
8.73
A poll of 781 American workers was taken. Of these, 506 drive their cars to
work. Thus, the point estimate for the population proportion is 506/781 = .648. A
95% confidence interval to estimate the population proportion shows that we are
95% confident that the actual value lies between .613 and .681. The error of this
interval is + .034.