Wheatley Review LIBOR Initial Discussion Paper
Wheatley Review LIBOR Initial Discussion Paper
August 2012
August 2012
Crown copyright 2012 You may re-use this information (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence. To view this licence, visit http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/opengovernment-licence/ or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or e-mail: psi@nationalarchives.gsi.gov.uk. Any queries regarding this publication should be sent to us at: wheatleyreview@hmtreasury.gov.uk. ISBN 978-1-84532-997-6 PU1353
Contents
Page Executive summary Chapter 1 Chapter 2 Chapter 3 Chapter 4 Chapter 5 Annex A Annex B Introduction Issues and failings with LIBOR Strengthening LIBOR Alternatives to LIBOR Potential implications for other benchmarks The current mechanism and governance of LIBOR Current regulation of LIBOR and criminal sanctions for manipulation Consultation questions 3 5 9 21 33 43 49 53
Annex C
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Executive summary
Introduction
The Wheatley Review, commissioned by the Chancellor of the Exchequer following the emergence of attempted manipulation of LIBOR and EURIBOR, will report on the following:
necessary reforms to the current framework for setting and governing LIBOR; the adequacy and scope of sanctions to appropriately tackle LIBOR abuse; and whether analysis of the failings of LIBOR has implications on other global benchmarks.
This discussion paper sets out the direction of the Reviews initial thinking on these issues, inviting responses from involved and interested parties.
LIBOR is intended to be a representation of unsecured inter-bank term borrowing costs; as this segment of the market has significantly declined, submissions to LIBOR have become increasingly reliant on expert judgement rather than transaction data. Banks and individuals working for banks have an incentive to attempt to manipulate the submissions that compile the rate, either to signal their perceived institutional creditworthiness or to support trading positions. The mechanism by which LIBOR is administered leaves opportunity for contributors to attempt to manipulate submissions in line with these incentives; submissions are not always based on transactions and the process is self-policing. There are weaknesses in governance arrangements for the compilation process, and within contributing banks themselves. Stronger oversight, with greater independence and transparency is needed.
There are ongoing investigations by a number of global financial regulators and public authorities into alleged attempted manipulation of LIBOR. It is already clear that at least some serious misconduct has taken place relating to LIBOR submissions in recent years.
Strengthening LIBOR
This paper sets out detailed ideas on how LIBOR could be comprehensively reformed in order to deal with the issues identified and restore confidence in the rate. Options for strengthening all aspects of the LIBOR framework should be considered:
The mechanism for calculating LIBOR could be significantly improved, with the calculation and compilation methodologies made more robust and transparent in the light of the issues identified. For instance, a trade reporting mechanism could be established to improve the availability of transaction data. Governance of the LIBOR process could be amended to make it more independent, robust and transparent, both within the contributing banks and within the administrator of LIBOR. For example, a code of conduct could be introduced to establish clear guidelines relating to policies and procedures concerning LIBOR submissions. The regulatory framework could be reformed to bring administration of or submission to LIBOR within the regulatory purview. Furthermore, if necessary, sanctions could be strengthened.
Alternatives to LIBOR
Whatever improvements are made to LIBOR, it is likely that markets will want to consider alternative benchmarks for at least some of the types of transaction that currently rely on LIBOR. In some cases, there are existing rates that could be used more widely. For other types of transactions, new benchmarks may need to be developed. Any migration to new benchmarks would require a carefully planned and managed transition, in order to limit disruption to the huge volume of outstanding contracts that reference LIBOR. Given the global importance of LIBOR, a decision to migrate towards alternative benchmarks should be coordinated at an international level by relevant bodies. The UK authorities should take a leading role in these reforms.
a robust methodology for calculation; credible governance structures; an appropriate degree of formal oversight and regulation; and transparency and openness.
Introduction
1.1 The London Inter-Bank Offered Rate (hereafter referred to as LIBOR) refers to a series of daily interest rate benchmarks administered by the British Bankers Association (the BBA). These rates are calculated across ten currencies and fifteen tenors (borrowing periods) ranging from overnight to one year. They serve as a series of indices of the average cost to banks of unsecured borrowing for a given currency and time period. 1.2 Since 2009, the Financial Services Authority (FSA), along with regulators and public authorities in a number of different jurisdictions including the United States, Canada, Japan, Switzerland and the European Union have been investigating a number of institutions for alleged misconduct relating to LIBOR, EURIBOR and other benchmarks. 1.3 As part of its response to these investigations, the UK Government has established an independent review into a number of aspects of the setting and usage of LIBOR. This review is being led by Martin Wheatley, managing director of the FSA and CEO-designate of the new Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), the body which will have responsibility for regulation of wholesale markets in the UKs new regulatory framework. 1.4 Box 1.A sets out the Reviews terms of reference. It should be emphasised that the Review will not consider any specific allegations against particular financial institutions or individuals regarding attempts to manipulate LIBOR or other benchmarks. These allegations will continue to be investigated by the FSA and other regulators around the world. 1.5 This discussion paper sets out the Reviews initial analysis of the issues that have come to light in relation to LIBOR. The paper is structured as follows:
Chapter 2 identifies issues and failures within the current LIBOR processes that have contributed to the current state of affairs. Chapter 3 explores the options to strengthen LIBOR, covering the calculation mechanism, governance structures, and options for regulation and sanctions relating to manipulation and attempted manipulation of the rate. Chapter 4 considers whether LIBOR could be replaced by an alternative benchmark to reflect issues that have been identified, as well as changes in the applications for which the benchmark is used in todays financial markets. Chapter 5 addresses the question of whether the thinking applied to LIBOR in this paper is relevant to other benchmarks set in financial and other markets.
The Wheatley Review will formulate policy recommendations with a view to: 1 Reforming the current framework for setting and governing LIBOR. This work should, inter alia, consider:
Whether participation in the setting of LIBOR should be brought into the regulatory perimeter under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 as a regulated activity; How LIBOR is constructed, including the feasibility of using of actual trade data to set the benchmark; The appropriate governance structure for LIBOR; The potential for alternative rate-setting processes; The financial stability consequences of a move to a new regime and how a transition could be appropriately managed.
Determining the adequacy and scope of sanctions to appropriately tackle LIBOR abuse. This work should consider:
The scope of the UK authorities civil and criminal sanctioning powers with respect to financial misconduct, particularly market abuse and abuse relating to the setting of LIBOR and equivalent rate-setting processes; and The FSAs approved persons regime and investigations into market misconduct.
Whether similar considerations apply with respect to other price-setting mechanisms in financial markets, and provide provisional policy recommendations in this area.
to be included in the Financial Services Bill (which is currently being considered by the House of Lords). 1.10 With this timetable in mind, the Review will aim to present its findings to the Chancellor of the Exchequer by the end of September. Given the time available, consultation on this discussion paper will be necessarily brief. Responses are requested within four weeks, by 7 September 2012. 1.11 Recognising the challenging timetable, Martin Wheatley and the Review team will be seeking to engage actively with stakeholders in person, through meetings and seminars, as well as through written responses. If you wish to arrange such a meeting please contact the Review team using the details provided below. The Review is particularly interested in participating in events involving a wide range of market participants or other stakeholders. Expressions of interest from trade associations, user groups and other representative bodies will therefore be particularly welcome.
2.3 There are ongoing investigations by a number of global financial regulators and public authorities into alleged attempted manipulation of LIBOR. It is already clear that at least some serious misconduct has taken place relating to LIBOR submissions in recent years. 2.4 Retaining LIBOR unchanged in its current state is not a viable option, given the scale of identified weaknesses and the loss of credibility that it has suffered. Therefore, LIBOR has to be significantly strengthened to take account of these weaknesses, while, in parallel, alternative benchmarks that can take on some or all of the roles that LIBOR currently performs in the market should be identified and evaluated.
LIBOR is calculated by Thomson Reuters on behalf of the BBA. Contributing banks submit a response to the following question for each currency and tenor: At what rate could you borrow funds, were you to do so by asking for and then accepting inter-bank offers in a reasonable market size just prior to 11 am? The highest and lowest submissions are discarded, with the remaining submissions averaged to create LIBOR for the given day. For some currencies, more outliers are discarded as there are a higher number of contributing banks. 2.7 Today, inter-bank benchmarks such as LIBOR and EURIBOR are used across the world for a range of financial products by a wide variety of financial market participants, for both hedging and speculative purposes. Table 2.A sets out some of the more common uses for LIBOR, along with an estimate of the notional value of financial products using LIBOR, which in total adds up to at least $300tn. No comprehensive source of data on the use of LIBOR exists so this data is drawn from a number of different published sources and relies on a number of assumptions, none of which will be complete or exact. Table 2.A should therefore be treated as indicative rather than comprehensive. A number of other estimates of the value of contracts linked to LIBOR exist in the public domain, ranging from $300tn up to $800tn.
Table 2.A: Use of LIBOR in Financial Contracts
Instrument/Application Syndicated Loans Floating Rate Notes Interest Rate Swaps Exchange-traded Interest Rate Futures and Options Forward Rate Agreements
Total
Estimated value of contracts with LIBOR as benchmark ~$10tn(a) ~$3tn(b) $165(c) $230tn(d) $30tn(d)
Note: Assumptions are that 50% of contracts reference LIBOR and that this list is not exhaustive. Sources: (a) Oliver Wyman; (b) Dealogic; (c) DTCC; (d) Bank for International Settlements; (e) Trioptima
2.8 Although LIBOR is currently published for ten currencies and fifteen maturities, this was not always the case. LIBOR was originally published for just three currencies Sterling, US Dollar and Japanese Yen before growing to cover a total of 16 currencies prior to the introduction of the euro in 2000. Similarly, the number of maturities has increased over time from 12 to 15 in 1998 the 1-week rate was added, and in 2001 the overnight and 2-week rates were added. 2.9 Although LIBOR is calculated in London, it is based on daily submissions from a number of international banks and is used as a benchmark globally. The increasing global integration of financial markets has meant that contracts have converged to a single internationally recognised benchmark, and LIBOR in particular has benefited from a combination of the rise of the euro markets and the convenient time-zone in which London sits. Additionally, as the prevalence of LIBOR-linked contracts increased, there were network effects that made it more attractive for other products to link to LIBOR: for example, adjustable rate mortgages in local markets moved from being linked to niche measures of cost of funds to the more widely recognised and more easily hedged LIBOR.
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2.10 Several alternative benchmarks, such as the New York Funding Rate, have been established. However, with the exception of EURIBOR, few have been able to build up market share comparable to that of LIBOR.
There has been a significant increase in perceived risk of counterparty default (i.e. credit risk), particularly in the aftermath of the collapse of Lehman Brothers. The spread between inter-bank term interest rates and projected overnight cash rates (derived from Overnight Index Swaps, hereafter OIS) increased sharply around this time, although has since fallen (Chart 2.A). Further, regulatory capital charges arising from this increase in counterparty risk have reduced the demand for unsecured funding. The introduction of liquidity coverage ratios in the UK and in Basel III have modified the demand and supply of inter-bank funding, as banks transition to more longer maturity funding and more secured funding sources. There was, and continues to be, a significant increase in liquidity available to banks as a consequence of the exceptional measures taken by major central banks during and after the crisis.
Chart 2.A: 3m LIBOR-OIS Spread 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 2007 Source: Bloomberg 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 GBP USD
2.13 The long-term impact of these factors will vary. The increase in perceived counterparty credit risk may be cyclical, although its effect on the inter-bank market may last for longer. The effect of central bank operations has reduced the reliance of banks on private credit facilities. However, the changing regulatory requirements concerning capital and liquidity both in the UK, and anticipated at an international level reflect a permanent structural change, and so
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might have a permanent effect on the volume of lending in the inter-bank market, and particularly on inter-bank unsecured lending at longer maturities. 2.14 Under the current definition of LIBOR a lower volume of trades is not necessarily a problem since there is no mechanical link from transactions to the LIBOR calculation (see Annex A). However it might make the expert judgement required to determine the appropriate rate submission more difficult. The problem of limited transactions is not uniform. While there is still some inter-bank lending, for many currencies and maturities trading remains very thin (see Chart 2.B).
Chart 2.B: Transactions underlying LIBOR, per bank in 2011 (using current LIBOR definition)
O/N 1w 2w 1m 2m 3m 4m 5m 6m 7m 8m 9m 10m 11m 12m
USD GBP EUR JPY CHF CAD AUD NZD SEK DKK
low activity medium-low activity medium activity high activity
Note: This is based on data from a subset of contributing banks and may not be representative for all currencies.
2.15 Overall, the limited number of transactions means that there are some problems inherent in a widely used benchmark that is nominally derived from unsecured inter-bank term lending. First, determining an appropriate rate for all required points is difficult. Second, a relatively small and illiquid market is used as the basis for determining rates in global loan and derivative contracts that have a nominal outstanding value that is several multiples of the value of the underlying inter-bank transactions. 2.16 However the large majority of financial contracts use only a small sub-set of these maturities. In particular, three and six months are used most often, while use of the other tenors in contracts is very limited. And dollar, yen and sterling rates continue to be by far the most widely used, as Chart 2.C demonstrates in the cases of interest rate swaps and floating rate notes.
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12m 0.1% 0%
2.17 Furthermore, it could be argued that In the current environment inter-bank lending rates are dominated by credit risk and there is a large dispersion in the perceived creditworthiness of banks. This, together with the low volume of interbank unsecured lending transactions, arguably means that the concept of an average inter-bank rate derived from a panel of diverse banks has less meaning as a measure of bank funding costs.
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On 27 June 2012, the FSA fined Barclays Bank plc 59.5 million for significant failings relating to LIBOR and EURIBOR. Barclays breaches occurred over a number of years. Barclays were found to have breached several of the FSAs Principles for Businesses in relation to its submissions to the LIBOR and EURIBOR setting process. It breached the following Principles:
A firm must take reasonable care to organise and control its affairs responsibly and effectively, with adequate risk management systems (Principle 3)
Barclays breached Principle 3 by failing to have adequate risk management systems or effective controls in place relating to its LIBOR and EURIBOR submissions processes. There were no specific systems and controls in place until December 2009. The extent of Barclays misconduct was exacerbated by these inadequate systems and controls.
A firm must conduct its business with due skill, care and diligence (Principle 2)
Compliance failures meant that inappropriate submissions and inadequate controls persisted. Barclays failed to conduct its business with due skill, care and diligence when considering issues raised internally in relation to its LIBOR submissions, thereby breaching Principle 2. LIBOR issues were escalated to its internal Compliance function on three occasions, and in each case Compliance failed to assess and address them effectively. As a consequence of these breaches, the FSA fined Barclays 59.5m, which included a 30% discount under the FSAs executive settlement procedures for agreeing to settle at an early stage. Were it not for this discount, Barclays would have been fined 85m. Barclays was separately fined $360m by the US authorities for attempted manipulation of and false reporting concerning LIBOR and EURIBOR benchmark interest rates over a four year period commencing as early as 2005. There are a series of ongoing investigations by regulatory authorities concerning conduct with respect to LIBOR, and the Barclays settlement is merely the first to conclude.
This box is a summary of the Final Notice issued in respect to the Barclays case. The document is available in full at http://www.fsa.gov.uk/static/pubs/final/barclays-jun12.pdf.
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2.19 LIBOR is a representation of unsecured inter-bank borrowing costs, and given not all contributing banks need to borrow at all maturities and in all currencies every day, it involves an element of judgement and inference on the part of the contributor. 2.20 The need for judgement on the part of a contributor involves a discretion which can be misused. Some contributing banks have sought to exploit the conflicts of interest that arose from their respective roles as contributor to the rate, user of the rate, and wider participant in the market. There is a risk that submissions may have reflected inappropriate factors, such as the banks trading position, or concerns as to adverse media comment, as illustrated above. 2.21 There are two types of problem that might arise from these conflicts of interest:
First, the credit-signalling (or stigma) effect: although a banks daily LIBOR submission does not necessarily reflect increased counterparty risk, it may be interpreted by external observers as an indication of the creditworthiness of that particular bank. During periods of market stress there is therefore an incentive to lower submissions in order that perception of that banks relative creditworthiness is not negatively affected. Second, there are private economic incentives: contributing banks are both users of and contributors to LIBOR and will therefore have assets and liabilities with substantial sensitivities to changes in LIBOR. This then gives traders within banks a clear incentive to seek to affect the overall LIBOR rate for the benefit of a particular trading exposure. Further, the possibility of collusion between contributing banks exists.
2.22 Whatever the ultimate outcome of the ongoing investigations into alleged attempted manipulation of LIBOR by a number of global banks, it has become increasingly clear that there are a number of potential failings that need to be considered in detail:
weaknesses in the LIBOR mechanism; limitations in the existing governance and regulation framework; and a question around whether existing regulatory powers and sanctions are appropriate
The rates that banks submit require expert judgement and inference on the part of the contributor. This allows flexibility when determining rates but can give rise to a risk of manipulation due to conflicts of interest. There is currently no standard, regularly employed, procedure to corroborate individual submissions, which can allow contributors to act on the conflicts of interest set out above. It is difficult to corroborate individual submissions as the market that LIBOR is intended to provide an assessment of is illiquid and the types of transactions are becoming increasingly less relevant for bank funding. This is particularly the case for less well-used currencies and maturities.
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Knowledge of intended or recent submissions from individual banks can facilitate manipulation and individual submissions to LIBOR are made public on a daily basis. The rate definition is for a cost of funds for the contributors own bank. Although it provides transparency and accountability, such information is market sensitive as it can be interpreted as an indicator of a particular banks creditworthiness. The existing LIBOR panels are relatively small. Although they vary in size, even the largest panels have only 18 banks at most. Furthermore, participation is voluntary, so a large group of users benefit from the contribution of a small group of banks.
internal compliance and systems and controls within contributing banks, or within BBA LIBOR Ltd, are not systematically overseen in order to provide assurance before any potential misconduct arises; and it is not clear that the oversight function carried out by the Oversight subcommittee has either the capacity in terms of resource and expertise or the appropriate sanctions to detect, investigate and enforce against misconduct effectively.
2.30 Third, there is an apparent lack of transparency the oversight and scrutiny provided by FX&MM and its two subcommittees does not appear to be sufficiently open and transparent to provide the necessary degree of accountability to firms and markets with a direct interest in being assured of the integrity of LIBOR. For example:
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the membership of FX&MM and its subcommittees is not publicly known; and information regarding referrals of potentially problematic submissions to the LIBOR manager or the Fixings Subcommittee, or relating to any enforcement action taken by the Oversight Committee, is not published.
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On 25 July the European Commission published its amendments to the proposed MAR and CSMAD. These pieces of draft legislation constitute proposals for a new EU market abuse regime, a piece of EU conduct regulation which creates prohibitions against (and sanctions to apply to) insider dealing and market manipulation. The proposed amendments will prohibit and criminalise the manipulation of benchmarks, including LIBOR and EURIBOR. Specifically, the European Commission has published amendments to the proposed Market Abuse Regulation to bring benchmarks into the scope of the Regulation, using a definition of benchmarks based on that proposed in the Regulation for Markets in Financial Instruments (MiFIR). It has also proposed amendments to the definition of the offence of market manipulation, to capture both attempted and actual manipulation of benchmarks themselves. The justification for these amendments has been presented in the recitals. Similarly, the European Commission has proposed amendments to the draft CSMAD, to include the MiFIR definition of benchmarks, amendments to the criminal offence of market manipulation to include the manipulation of benchmarks themselves, and amendments to the criminal offence of inciting, aiding and abetting and attempt to include these behaviours in relation to benchmarks. The Commission proposes to require each member state to provide for criminal sanctions in its national laws to cover the manipulation of benchmarks, as defined by the proposed changes outlined above. The Commission is not proposing to set the minimum types and levels of criminal sanctions; however it has proposed to undertake a review of the appropriateness of such minima within four years of the Directives entry into force. At present, the UK Government has not committed to opt into CSMAD, and will review this decision upon the completion of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) and the MAR. At present, the UK already has a domestic civil regime for market abuse under FSMA and a criminal regime in the Criminal Justice Act 1993. As part of the European Commissions announcements on its proposed changes to the market abuse regime, Commissioner Barnier has said that even more specific formula and approaches will be required for all benchmarks, and that all those involved in the markets should be subject at least to public supervision and public regulation, including in relation to benchmarks. The European Commission and the European Central Bank, along with the International Organisation of Securities Commissions and the Financial Stability Board are currently examining how benchmarks are established in order to identify weaknesses and shortcomings and suggest possible ways of addressing the problems at hand. This work is not limited to interest rate benchmarks. Commissioner Barnier also announced that the European Commission and its partners intend to submit a proposal to create a direct and integrated supervisory mechanism by the beginning of September.
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likely offence in FSMA, concerning misleading statements and practices established by Section 397 of FSMA, is unlikely to apply. 2.38 However, LIBOR manipulation and attempted manipulation may well constitute a criminal offence under the law relating to fraud for example, fraud by false representation under Section 2 of the Fraud Act 2006 but this regime is not enforced and prosecuted by the FSA. The Serious Fraud Office (SFO) has announced that it intends to proceed with investigations into LIBOR, but the application of law relating to possible LIBOR-related offences is, for now, untested.
Approaches to reform
2.39 It is clear that, in light of the allegations of manipulation of the LIBOR benchmark by a number of major banks, the existing LIBOR framework has lost credibility. The actual and potential weaknesses identified above suggest that some strengthening of the LIBOR framework will be needed if this credibility is to be restored. 2.40 The very public way in which these failings of the current LIBOR framework have been exposed, and the significant scrutiny that the framework has come under, will clearly act as a strong driver for reform. Given the weaknesses in the current system, it seems likely that changes to all three aspects of the framework the calculation methodology, independent governance, and regulatory oversight and sanctions need to be considered carefully. This discussion paper therefore proceeds with a working assumption that retaining the status quo with no change at all will not be a viable approach.
Reform options
2.41 The Review will therefore consider and consult on two approaches to making changes to the status quo:
strengthening LIBOR: the issues identified could be tackled through significant reform of the existing system preserving the rate would limit the costs of transferring existing contracts, while reforms could deal with failings in the system; or finding an alternative to LIBOR: If the issues and failings of LIBOR are considered beyond resolution, new benchmarks could be recommended to replace some or all of LIBORs role in financial markets.
2.42 It should be noted that these two options are not mutually exclusive. Changes could be made to the current framework in order to strengthen it, alongside developments of alternative benchmarks in the longer-term. Given the large volume of contracts that reference LIBOR, either approach will need to be conscious of transition risks and the potential role of international authorities in coordinating reform or migration to an alternative benchmark (see box 2.D). Further discussion of these issues can be found in Chapter 5.
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As noted, the existence of a common benchmark for interest rates has significant benefits, reducing transaction costs for participants in markets, and driving substantial network effects in that the more a particular benchmark is used in financial products, the more liquid these financial products are and the easier it is to manage exposures and hedge risk. Given the globalisation of financial markets, these benefits clearly also apply across national boundaries. Indeed, the history of the development of LIBOR suggests that even when a reference rate does not begin as a global benchmark, these characteristics will tend to drive global convergence to a common benchmark. Ultimately, the market will play an important role in determining which benchmarks to use, and the extent to which there is convergence to a common global rate. However, the consideration of whether a benchmark is likely to be used globally may have some implications for the regulatory approach to benchmarks. For example, if a common benchmark is going to be used across jurisdictions in the EU, the US and beyond then authorities will certainly need to be aligned. These issues are discussed in more detail in Chapter 5.
Do you agree with our analysis of the issues and failings of LIBOR?
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Introduction
Strengthening LIBOR
3.1 This chapter sets out detailed ideas on how LIBOR could be comprehensively reformed in order to deal with the issues identified and restore confidence in the rate. Options for strengthening all aspects of the LIBOR framework should be considered: The mechanism for calculating LIBOR could be significantly improved, with the calculation and compilation methodologies made more robust and transparent in the light of the issues identified. For instance, a trade reporting mechanism could be established to improve the availability of transaction data. Governance of the LIBOR process could be amended to make it more independent, robust and transparent, both within the contributing banks and within the administrator of LIBOR. For example, a code of conduct could be introduced to establish clear guidelines relating to policies and procedures concerning LIBOR submissions. The regulatory framework could be reformed to bring administration of or submission to LIBOR within the regulatory purview. Furthermore, if necessary, sanctions could be strengthened.
submissions necessarily involve judgement and inference on the part of the contributor; there is no standard, regularly employed procedure to corroborate individual submissions; corroboration is difficult since the underlying market is increasingly illiquid and the types of transactions are less relevant for bank funding; daily publication of individual submissions can facilitate the effectiveness of attempted manipulation; LIBOR submissions may be perceived as an implicit signal about bank creditworthiness; and LIBOR panels contain relatively few contributors, allowing other banks to benefit from their contributions.
Options for addressing these weaknesses are set out below. It should be noted that significant change to the mechanism, governance and regulation of LIBOR will potentially cause some transition risks for those existing transactions that reference LIBOR.
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The number of transactions under the current LIBOR definition of inter-bank lending is particularly thin for certain maturities and currencies (see Chart 2.C). A key issue with using transaction data would be how to publish benchmarks for currencies and tenors with few transactions against which to corroborate submissions. One solution could be to use the previous days rate. However, in periods of sustained illiquidity, the benchmark would effectively become fixed, and unreflective of the true state of wider market conditions (not just wholesale funding), which could cause market disruption. A transaction data approach is not immune to manipulation. Particularly in a low volume environment, only a small number of transactions at off-market rates would be sufficient to move the final rate fixing. Manipulation of this type may be harder to monitor as it could be attempted by both internal and external parties. There may also be issues arising from the timing of a fix based on trading data. SONIA and other overnight rate submissions are collected throughout the trading day and fixed at the close of the market (approximately 5pm). By contrast, LIBOR fixes at 11am for all currencies and this timing is embedded into some contracts. Use of transaction data means that either the timing of the fix would have to change, with the associated transition risk, or rates would need to be compiled over two calendar days (24hr period before 11am). Establishing a trade repository would be potentially complex and costly.
3.7 The use of expert judgement and inference in determining rate submissions makes those submissions vulnerable to a particular form of manipulation and attempted manipulation. Therefore, a submission-based approach could be augmented by the use of transaction data, where available and relevant. Furthermore, transactions data could be used to corroborate submissions by individual banks. 3.8 Contributor submissions could be required to have followed some specific determination process, with a requirement to use transactions data where relevant and useable. Where contributing banks use their judgement, that judgement must be capable of being scrutinised and justified ex post to ensure the integrity of those submissions. To do so, an auditable process must be followed. Matters such as a banks trading position, profitability, concerns about
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negative media comment are clearly inappropriate factors on which to base submissions, and must not be taken into account.
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Chart 3.A: Wholesale unsecured transactions per bank in 2011 Transactions underlying LIBOR, per bank in 2011 (using current LIBOR definition)
O/N 1w 2w 1m 2m 3m 4m 5m 6m 7m 8m 9m 10m 11m 12m
USD GBP EUR JPY CHF CAD AUD NZD SEK DKK Transactions, per bank in 2011 (using broader LIBOR definition)
O/N 1w 2w 1m 2m 3m 4m 5m 6m 7m 8m 9m 10m 11m 12m
USD GBP EUR JPY CHF CAD AUD NZD SEK DKK
low activity medium-low activity medium activity high activity
Note: This is based on data from a subset of contributing banks and may not be representative for all currencies.
3.14 Corroboration of submissions is much harder in the maturities and currencies where there are few trades. To mitigate this, one option could be to reduce the number of maturities and currencies submitted by LIBOR contributors, which would have the benefit of reducing the operational burden on contributing banks. Therefore a broad range of trades could be considered including FX forwards and swaps.
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case for restricting the publication of daily individual submissions to an oversight body and delaying or aggregating the daily publication of individual submissions. 3.18 The existing calculation for LIBOR is the simple mean of the individual submissions of banks. However, there may be benefits to using the median as an alternative. As only the middle one (or two) submissions would affect the final rate, only movements by an individual contributor to the middle fixing pair, or crossing the submission (from below the middle pair to above, or vice versa) could affect the rate fix. 3.19 Chart 3.B illustrates an example. In the Median (i) scenario, the rate is influenced by Bank Fs submission moving above the fix; in Median (ii) scenario, where the submission remains below the fix, the final rate fixing is unchanged. Behaviour of this type could be monitored actively and any suspicious movements into, out of or across the fix could trigger a scrutiny or corroboration process.
Chart 3.B: A fix using the mean and the median
Bank A Bank B Bank C Bank D Bank E Bank F Bank G Bank H Mean Median Median (i) Median (ii)
3.20 There are alternative options for changing the calculation method. For example, the fix could be calculated by discarding the highest and lowest 25% of submissions, and then taking a random submission from the central 50%. Depending on how dispersed submissions tend to be, this may result in slightly higher day-to-day volatility than the current mean approach.
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reduce the litigation risk to contributors. Further, in theory contributors would no longer be restricted to banks and could be expanded to include other participants in the wholesale funding market, although this would need careful consideration as it might interact with changes to the regulatory regime and other unintended consequences.
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3.31 First, as noted above, the oversight could support the establishment of effective systems and controls within firms by establishing a clear code of conduct relating to policies and procedures concerning LIBOR submissions. Such a code of conduct could cover, for example:
contributing banks internal policies covering the submission process, governance, systems, training, record keeping, compliance, audit and disciplinary procedures, including complaints management and escalation process; organisational structures, for example: a requirement that the LIBOR submitting function should be located within liquidity and liability management division of the bank, rather than a primarily trading division; and the establishment of internal communication barriers to mitigate conflicts of interest (so-called Chinese walls); people issues: such as the need to have clearly accountable named individuals, at the appropriate level of seniority within the bank, responsible for LIBOR submissions and other relevant functions; the need for appropriate training and development programmes for all those involved; and the establishment of appropriate performance management frameworks, including remuneration policies; systems: to ensure consistent and timely delivery of submissions; record-keeping requirements covering all relevant aspects of the submission process for an appropriate time horizon; analysis and management information to support contributing banks own monitoring of submission as well as oversight carried out by the overseeing body; compliance and audit: stipulating, for example, periodic internal and external audit of submissions and procedures; and disciplinary procedures: providing for clear internal sanctions, establishing a zerotolerance policy for non-compliance, with a credible whistle-blowing policy.
3.32 A detailed code such as this would provide much clearer guidance to contributing banks as to the procedures they ought to be following in making LIBOR submissions. And it would also allow governance structures to take a much more systematic approach to its oversight of contributing banks to enable problems to be identified early and dealt with effectively. 3.33 Of course, the effectiveness of such a code will depend on the willingness of contributing banks to comply with it, and also on the credibility of oversight of the code provided by the governing body. Establishing credible oversight will depend on sufficient resource and expertise being devoted to this function, so that appropriate mechanisms can be put in place to regularly evaluate contributing banks performance against the code. These mechanisms might include a degree of supervision, as well as more automated processes such as introducing additional checks to individual rate submissions that could trigger more detailed investigations for example, submissions, or groups of submissions, that behave in a specific suspicious manner, or rates for particular maturities that do not appear to fit with the fixing curve. 3.34 Finally, effective oversight requires strong and credible sanctions. The existing oversight function has limited powers to sanction contributors for misconduct. It is not clear that the available sanction of preventing a contributor from continuing to participate in the panel is either a sufficient deterrent to misconduct, or an appropriate penalty for those that are found to have engaged in misconduct. Stronger sanctions could be introduced, such as financial or reputational penalties. Transparency, discussed in the next section, would also act to increase the credible deterrence effect of more robust oversight.
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Institutional arrangements
3.37 Alongside consideration of the nature of the governance and oversight arrangements that will be needed to establish greater credibility sits the question of which institution should be given responsibility for them. Broadly speaking, there are two options:
a representative body, along similar lines to the current arrangements; or a commercial body a model exemplified by FTSE (a subsidiary company of the London Stock Exchange Group), which is responsible for the production and publication of the FTSE 100 and other equity, fixed income and investment indices.
first, bringing LIBOR-related activities into the FSMA regulatory perimeter; and second, as highlighted in the Reviews terms of reference, strengthening the criminal sanction regime in respect of LIBOR-related offences.
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previous section on governance, it is also clear that there is a case to be considered for also bringing the activity of administering the benchmark within regulation. 3.43 Second, there is the question of whether and how the approved persons regime ought to be brought to bear on LIBOR-related activities. 3.44 There would be three potential approaches to achieve this. First, it might be sufficient for a member of senior management (for example the Board-level executive of a contributing bank with responsibility for LIBOR submissions) to be subject to additional requirements which relate specifically to their LIBOR role under the approved persons regime. This could be done within the existing framework and would not require additional primary legislation since senior management within regulated firms are already approved persons. The FSA would need to review the Statement of Principles which applies to senior management to ensure it adequately covered behaviour expected from these senior executives in relation to LIBOR. 3.45 A second option would be to bring those managers who are responsible for LIBOR related activities within the scope of the approved persons regime. If participation in the LIBOR setting process is made a regulated activity, it might be appropriate to make having significant influence over how the firm carries on such activities a controlled function for the purposes of the approved persons regime. This would ensure that individuals who are responsible for the firms role in LIBOR setting, but who are not necessarily part of the senior management team, are subject to prior approval and enforcement action by the regulator. 3.46 A third option would be to bring those individuals responsible the firms submissions to the LIBOR process within the approved persons regime. This would be a more significant departure from the current regime. The approved persons regime is currently limited to either those who have significant influence on the conduct of a firms affairs or who has a role in dealing with customers or the property of customers. In other words, the approved persons regime is currently limited to those who have a management role or those who deal with customers or their property. Additional primary legislation would be needed to apply the approved persons regime to those who do not have a management responsibility for the firms role in relation to LIBOR setting but who are responsible for making the firms submission to the process. 3.47 If LIBOR administration was also specified as a regulated activity, there would also be a case for bringing those individuals who exercise key roles in relation to that process (such as the LIBOR Manager or members of FX&MM) within the scope of the approved persons regime. 3.48 Third, there is the question of whether contributing to LIBOR ought to be made subject to a form of regulatory compulsion. One of the issues with the current framework identified in Chapter 2 is that participation is currently voluntary. This creates a potential problem whereby some banks are able to benefit from having a publicly available benchmark without having contributed to its creation. The voluntary nature of the current regime may also impact adversely on the importance which firms and individuals within those firms attach to LIBOR submissions being accurate and reliable. 3.49 While there are a number of ways through which the eligible pool of contributors could be widened, it is not clear that there is an obvious way to make contributing to LIBOR more attractive to potential contributors. Therefore if increased participation in the LIBOR panels is a desirable outcome, consideration may need to be given to a specific power enabling the regulator to compel firms to participate. It is not clear whether this is an appropriate function for the regulator to perform. Consideration would also need to be given as to whether compelling firms to contribute to LIBOR (and incurring considerable expense as a result) would be proportionate; which firms should be compelled to participate, and what the most appropriate way of achieving this would be.
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whether available alternatives, such as regulatory mechanisms, would provide effective, proportionate and dissuasive sanctions;
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any particular drivers behind the proposed new offences (including, for example, strong public interest in change); whether the behaviour is sufficiently serious to merit the stigma associated with a criminal conviction (which attempted benchmark manipulation arguably is); whether the behaviour is already caught by the existing criminal law; the formulation of the individual offences proposed, in particular whether they focus on the behaviour being targeted without criminalising behaviour more widely; where it is proposed to create a hierarchy of enforcement mechanisms, such as a regulatory system supplemented by criminal offences, whether the offences will be a sanction of last resort and how that is achieved (for example, by restricting criminal offences to the most serious or persistent breaches, with guidance to this effect for prosecutors).
3.57 The Review will consider the case for broadening section 397 or for creating other LIBOR related offences (for example, colluding with other submitters to attempt to manipulate the benchmark) which the FSA could prosecute on the basis of the factors listed above, together with other relevant factors. 3.58 Steps are also being taken in Europe to consider the implementation of a new criminal sanctions regime through CSMAD, which includes amendments to bring benchmark manipulation within scope. This would provide another route for bringing LIBOR manipulation under a criminal regime. 3.59 Some Member States the UK, Ireland and Denmark are not automatically opted in to the Directive. The UK Government has signalled its intention not to opt in at this stage, until the implications of the Directive can be assessed properly, once parallel negotiations on the civil regime and MiFID2 have concluded. The Review will nevertheless consider the draft proposals brought forward by the European Commission.
Box 3.A: Consultation questions
Can LIBOR be strengthened is such a way that it can remain a credible benchmark? Could a hybrid methodology for calculating LIBOR work effectively? Could the number of maturities and currencies currently covered by the LIBOR benchmark be reduced? Is an alternative governance body for LIBOR required in the short term? Should the setting of and/or the submission to LIBOR be regulated activities? Should the regulator be provided with specific powers of criminal investigation and prosecution in relation to attempted manipulation and manipulation of LIBOR? What role should authorities play in reforming the mechanism and governance of LIBOR? Which types of financial contract, if any, would be particularly affected by the risks of a transition from LIBOR?
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4
Introduction
Alternatives to LIBOR
4.1 Whatever improvements are made to LIBOR, it is likely that markets will want to consider alternative benchmarks for at least some of the types of transaction that currently rely on LIBOR. In some cases, there are existing rates that could be used more widely. For other types of transactions, new benchmarks may need to be developed. 4.2 Any migration to new benchmarks would require a carefully planned and managed transition, in order to limit disruption to the huge volume of outstanding contracts that reference LIBOR. 4.3 Given the global importance of LIBOR, a decision to migrate towards alternative benchmarks should be coordinated at an international level by relevant bodies. The UK authorities should take a leading role in these reforms. 4.4 This Chapter therefore examines whether an alternative benchmark could provide a global benchmark that is sufficiently robust and credible. Any discussion of alternative benchmarks will need to consider three issues: The appropriate financial instrument, which is used to determine an interest rate; The mechanism or methodology by which the final benchmark is compiled; and The likely costs and impacts of migrating to an alternative rate, given the scale and scope of existing financial contracts that reference LIBOR.
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Counterparty credit risk: LIBOR currently includes an element of counterparty credit risk of the average bank contributing to the LIBOR panel, as this is a component of their funding cost. This aspect is desirable for a benchmark for loans, as lenders can pass on their borrowing costs. It may be that some users do not require a credit risk component for the benchmark. Liquidity risk of using cash for an extended period: for example, LIBOR currently reflects the premium that lenders require to give up access to their funds for a specific period of time. Again, some usage of a benchmark may not require this feature.
4.8 Different levels of counterparty credit and/or liquidity risk can be appropriate for different applications in which interest rate references are used
The benchmark should have a maturity curve, to allow flexible use of the rate in different contracts and to allow the hedging of different interest rate exposures; i.e. the rate should contain a curve of future expected interest rates. For a benchmark rate to be representative and dynamic, there should be sufficient transaction volumes with which to establish a rate The rates provided should be resilient throughout periods of illiquidity. The rate should be able to be published even during periods of financial stress when many markets cease to function properly. Be simple and standardised with respect to the instruments and transactions that are used to determine the rate; particularly, across multiple currency jurisdictions. This in turn can facilitate a deep and liquid market, from which data inputs can be captured. Have a long data series, in order to have a robust data input into pricing and risk models.
There may be conflicting objectives for national central banks in directly determining private interest rates for a global benchmark. In practice, banks do not trade with each other at precisely the central bank policy rate.
4.12 Overnight unsecured lending: The representation of the central bank policy rate is the average overnight cash lending rate. In the UK, this is measured by the SONIA (Euro area equivalent is EONIA), which is comprised of the weighted average of all overnight sterling money trades, reported to WMBA.
Overnight cash lending has increased since the decline in term unsecured lending began in 2007-08 meaning the rate is composed by a robust volume of transactions and is representative of interbank lending.
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However, as the lending is overnight, there is no maturity curve and very little credit or liquidity risk priced into the rate. Additionally, basing the rate on transactions would cause difficulties for simultaneous settlement in different currencies.
4.13 Certificates of deposit (CDs) or commercial paper (CP): Banks issue CDs and CP in order to raise cash funding. Both tend to pay a fixed rate of interest and have specific, short-term maturity dates. CDs are promissory notes on time deposits, whereas CP is a debt certificate. Prices of these instruments from trading in the secondary market can be used to generate a yield.
CDs and CP are issued by commercial banks and hence reflect the credit risk of the issuer. CDs are also issued by some central banks (known as bank bills), which removes credit risk. There are low volumes in both the primary and secondary markets for CDs and CP; these markets have been adversely affected by concerns for counterparty credit risk since 2007-08. The low volumes also affect the ability for the rates to be representative of bank funding.
4.14 Overnight index swaps (OIS) are interest rate swaps between a fixed rate and the overnight cash lending rate (e.g. SONIA or EONIA), for a specific maturity. Transactions in the swap market can then be used to generate a maturity curve for overnight interest rates.
The OIS curve should be a representation of the expected future path of the central bank policy rate. As the instrument is a swap, no principal is paid between counterparties and hence the rate does includes limited liquidity and counterparty risk premia. OIS as a benchmark would be heavily dependent on the robustness of the overnight cash rate.
4.15 Treasury Bills (T-Bills): Another alternative is to use the yield of high quality short-term government debt securities.
A key advantage of this is that a well-established and liquid market for these securities already exists, and a yield curve exists for different maturities. Yields on sovereign bills include the liquidity and credit risk of the respective issuer.
4.16 Repurchase agreements (repo rates): Indices based on the rates paid for repo transactions could also be used. The recent increase in the use of repos for banks, as a response to counterparty risk concerns, may increase the relevance of a repo rate-based benchmark. Reflecting this, measures of repo rates have recently been launched in the UK or US. 1
Some specified and standardised set of collateral and haircuts would be required to be used for compiling a benchmark based on repo rates. Repo rates may reflect not only counterparty credit risk, but the credit and liquidity risks of the underlying collateral. Repo activity is mostly concentrated on short tenors.
For example, the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) in the US has recently launched an index called the General Collateral Finance (GCF) Repo Index. In the Sterling market, the Wholesale Markets Brokers Association (WMBA) have introduced the Repurchase Overnight Index Average (RONIA).
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liquidity premia either have a limited or no maturity profile. In addition, it should be noted that some of these rates are based on, or incorporate, expert judgement and surveys. Ultimately, the decision over which type of benchmark should be used for a particular transaction will be taken depending on the intended use of the benchmark. For example, not all products will require a benchmark that takes into account movements in credit and liquidity risks.
Table 4.A: Comparison of interest rate instruments
Term unsecured lending Counterparty risk Liquidity risk/cash usage Maturity curve Transaction volume Resilience Standardised terms Long data series CB policy rate Overnight unsecured lending CDs/CPs OIS T-bills Repo rates
N/A
N/A
Simultaneous publication: if any alternative benchmark is intended to be used globally, rates for different currencies and maturities must be published simultaneously. Basis and cross-currency swaps for example, a swap of 3m USD LIBOR to 3m GBP LIBOR would require simultaneous publication of both rates in order to avoid any distortion from market movements that occur between different publication times. Deep and liquid market: In order for a robust and representative rate to be compiled, a significant volume of transactions, ideally for tenors up to twelve months, may be required. This allows contributors to take a robust assessment of the marker and is especially important where the rate is based solely on transaction data. Resilience in a stressed market: In stressed scenarios, market participants may be less willing to trade with one another. In turn, the number of transactions falls which could affect the availability of the rate. As an alternative benchmark would be referenced in a significant number of contracts, it is vital that the rate is available during stressed periods.
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Effect on contributor balance sheet: The mechanism should not impose a large burden on contributor balance sheet size. In particular, participants should not be forced to take on credit and liquidity risks that they do not require. The sample size: the benchmark compilation process can either use all or a subsample of the participants or transactions for a particular instrument. For example, LIBOR uses a sub-set of banks arranged into currency panels. In order to increase the overall representativeness of the rate, the number of participants/transactions should be high. Incentives to participate: the mechanism should not discourage the participation of particular contributors. Any disincentive to participate could compromise the availability of the benchmark, particularly in stressed conditions. Operational costs to contributors: similarly, the direct and indirect costs of participating in the benchmark mechanism should not be prohibitively high. Transparency of methodology: to ensure accountability and external evaluation of the robustness of the benchmark.
This system is flexible in terms of publication timing. This methodology does not place any pressures on contributor balance sheets and is low cost. Contributors are required to make an assessment of the market conditions, which means that a rate can also be produced in any market scenario. However, if market conditions deteriorate, an uncommitted submission mechanism would become more reliant on the contributors expert judgement, which may be susceptible to conflicts of interest. Therefore, a strong and robust governance framework is required to manage those conflicts.
4.21 Average transaction prices: In this mechanism, all, or a subset, of participants in a particular market are required to report transactions of the specified instrument to a central repository. At a set time each day, the price of those transactions can then be analysed using some calculation methodology (e.g. weighted average) to create a final interest rate fixing for that particular instrument.
The compilation of the rate may not require increased contributor balance sheets and capital requirements unless contributors are required to enter into transactions to ensure a rate is published. Moreover, the rate would likely be an accurate representation of the underlying market. The robustness and availability of the rate may be affected by the volume and significance of transactions in the underlying market, both in normal times and particularly in a stressed scenario. Where transaction volumes are low, a rate based purely on transaction prices could still be subject to conflicts of interest or manipulation. Additionally, to take into account the maximum number of transactions, the rate should be published towards the end of each business day. If a similar rate was required for different currencies, this would prove difficult.
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4.22 Committed quote-based trading platform: Another way to reveal the price at which banks are able to obtain funding from a marginal source is through a committed two-way quote (bid and offer) process. Banks would submit quotes to a trading auction platform either for unsecured cash or commercial paper, which are executable if matched by another participant.
A platform where quotes can be executed would have the attraction that it forces banks to only submit quotes that they are willing to honour. This would reduce the incentives to manipulate the rate, as banks would be less likely to bid and offer rates at which they are unwilling to trade if they might be forced to trade at those rates. However, the corollary of this is that during periods of stress, contributors would likely submit wide bid-offer spreads to avoid the risk of their quotes being executed. This rate mechanism, especially when the rate is required to be published daily, could also expand contributor balance sheet, attracting further capital requirements. Operational costs to participants would also likely be high. These two issues would be clear disincentives to participate.
4.23 None of these mechanisms are immune from attempts to manipulate the benchmark, especially while conflicts of interest exist. Therefore, in order to mitigate these problems each mechanism would require credible governance and oversight procedures, and indeed, they may require official regulation.
Simultaneous publication Deep & liquid market required? Resilience in stressed market Effects on contributors balance sheet Small sample size Incentives to participate Operational and costs to contributors Transparency
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4.31 It would be difficult to mandate an immediate migration from one benchmark to an alternative. Such a transition would need to be carefully managed and acceptable to all counterparties to avoid disruption. There are four possibilities for a migration to an alternative rate: 4.32 Allow LIBOR and alternatives to co-exist: LIBOR is not discontinued and market participants are free to choose which rate they prefer. In this scenario, it is likely that inertia and the role of legacy contracts would not provide sufficient incentive for participants to choose an alternative. In this case, participants may require some direction to migrate away from LIBOR by the authorities. As with LIBOR, there may be network effects from an alternative rate, so exposures and liquidity in that rate will grow as the rate becomes more established. It is unlikely that this growth would be available in the short- to medium-term. 4.33 Peg LIBOR to an alternative benchmark after co-existence: After a specific time period of co-existence for LIBOR and an alternative, LIBOR becomes pegged at a fixed spread to an alternative benchmark (e.g. LIBOR = alternative benchmark + X). This approach allows LIBOR to continue to exist, but carries the possibility of transition risk. 4.34 Discontinue LIBOR after co-existence: In this migration approach, the two rates run in parallel until some pre-determined date, after which LIBOR is discontinued. Discontinuation of LIBOR would require re-negotiation and re-drafting of millions of contracts, which in turn would lead to litigation and disputes between counterparties. This approach would likely be severely disruptive. 4.35 Switch to an alternative rate on a specific deadline: This migration can be compared to the transition to the Euro from individual currencies. In order for this transition to be smooth it would be necessary for an alternative rate to be acceptable to all parties, including international authorities. As an alternative rate would not be available prior to deadline day, there would be significant re-distributional effects if an alternative is divergent from LIBOR, which could have macro-prudential consequences. This approach also presents similar disruption and litigation risks as discussed above. 4.36 All of the approaches to migration away from LIBOR above present risks to market participants. LIBOR as a benchmark is used globally and any enforced transition would require meticulous planning and international coordination. Consequently, it is likely that management of any transition would require universal agreement and a significant role for the global regulatory authorities.
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Are there credible alternative benchmarks that could replace LIBORs role in the financial markets? Should an alternative benchmark fully replace LIBOR, or should it substitute for LIBOR in particular circumstances? Should particular benchmarks be mandated for specific activities? Over what time period could an alternative to LIBOR be introduced? What role should authorities play in developing and promoting alternatives to LIBOR?
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5
Introduction
5.1 The issues that have been identified with LIBOR have broader implications for a range of other benchmarks, both within financial markets and beyond. 5.2 Some benchmarks are already under scrutiny; IOSCO is investigating on oil spot prices, while the European Commission is looking into other financial benchmarks, such as EURIBOR. 5.3 It is worth considering whether there is a clear set of principles or characteristics that should be applied to all globally used benchmarks. These could include: a robust methodology for calculation; credible governance structures; an appropriate degree of formal oversight and regulation; and transparency and openness.
5.4 It is important to note in this context that this Review primarily focuses on issues that address the failing of LIBOR. While there may be important interactions with initiatives elsewhere to address shortcomings of other benchmarks, this Review will not provide any detailed recommendations on how other benchmarks should be improved. However, the findings of this Review may nonetheless contribute some valuable insights to the wider international policy discussion on benchmarks. In particular the high level principles set out in this chapter that are informed by the LIBOR work may help guide work elsewhere.
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being based on a judgement-led surveys, requiring contributing banks to rely on inference and judgement rather than reporting actual borrowing rates; taking submissions from many of the same banks as LIBOR; and having similar governance structures to that of LIBOR, with relatively low levels of scrutiny of the rate.
5.9 This suggests that some of these rates may be susceptible to the same opportunities to be manipulated as LIBOR. Indeed, investigations into the attempted manipulation of some of these benchmarks are ongoing.
Table 5.A: Examples of global interbank benchmarks Region Example rates
Europe
Asia
BKIBOR (Bangkok) EIBOR (UAE) HIBOR (Hong Kong) IIBOR (Islamic/Shariah) JIBOR (Jakarta) KIBOR (Karachi)
KLIBOR (Kuala Lumpur) KORIBOR (South Korea) MIBOR (Mumbai) PHIBIOR (Philippines) SHIBOR (Shanghai) SIBOR (Singapore) CHILIBOR (Chile)
Americas
COLIBOR (Columbia)
Africa Oceania
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5.11 As another example, some widely used indices are proprietary, and as a consequence information about them is not freely available to all. Although the component price feeds of indices generally relate to traded prices on regulated markets, the weightings and calculation methodology are determined by the index provider. These providers are usually unregulated, meaning there could potentially be a similar vulnerability to attempted manipulation as has been exposed in the case of LIBOR.
Available at www.iosco.org.
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will consider making a recommendation for an international body such as the FSB to develop a set of principles and a common global standard that can aid to restore confidence in the international financial system and support the smooth functioning of markets by tackling manipulation and price distortions. .
Robust methodology: the mechanism used to compile and calculate the benchmark needs to be sound and be subject to regular internal scrutiny and controls to underpin its reliability. A benchmark should be representative and reflect the true value and risk of the activity undertaken when determining its price. It should ideally be based on actual and verifiable data, rooted in sufficiently liquid and frequently traded markets. Credible governance structure: a benchmark must be trusted by market participants, requiring firm ground-rules and governance structures that build trust in the rate and help avoid manipulation. As such, the process of setting the benchmark needs to be governed by a clear and independent process that is free from conflicts of interest and limits its susceptibility to manipulation or price distortion. Formal oversight: confidence in the benchmark may be further enhanced through formal regulation and oversight and an appropriate sanctions regime that allows sanctions for improper conduct. This would improve the incentive system that underlies benchmarks, sharpen accountability and as a result add rigour to the process of compiling benchmarks. Transparency: to further build confidence and aid the efficiency of markets, a benchmark needs to be transparent and accessible, with fair and open access to the benchmark. Trust in any benchmark would benefit from a high degree of transparency on the process determining a benchmark, which would also help foster understanding of the benchmark in the market place. Knowing how a benchmark is derived and what information it encapsulates would support a more sophisticated application of the benchmark in other markets. However, transparency needs to be carefully balanced against protecting confidentiality, as the release of institution-specific information could lead to market manipulation. Finally, fair and open access would resonate with the near public good character of these benchmarks and their importance due to their widespread use in global markets.
5.21 The above principles are intended to capture the key requirements of a credible benchmark, in order to inform the ongoing debate on the credibility of benchmarks other than LIBOR, that operate in a variety of markets.
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5.22 Inevitably, the way that these principles may be put into practice would likely differ across markets and benchmarks in order to be effective. Further work is therefore required in international forums to develop a comprehensive set of principles that is relevant for key global benchmarks. However, while principles may act as useful guides, regulators and domestic authorities should ultimately play a role in how any such principles are translated into specific rules and regulations. This approach would help take better account of diverse legal and supervisory structures across countries, as well as structural differences in local markets.
Box 5.A: Consultation questions
Are there other important markets or benchmarks that could face similar issues to those identified relating to LIBOR? Should there be an overarching framework for key international reference rates?
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FSA
PROCESS
BBA
Owns intellectual property relating to bbalibor
OVERSIGHT
FX&MM committee
Fixings Subcommittee
Oversight Subcommittee
Thomson Reuters
Liaises with Thomson Reuters and Panel banks Reports queries raised by TR to FX&MM committee
Panel Banks
Scrutinises issues relating to fixings unresolved by Thomson Reuters Recommends changes to members of panels
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the scale of market activity of the bank; the banks reputation; and the banks perceived expertise in the particular currency.
A.4 While this approach is intended to ensure that the most relevant banks participate, it does have the effect of restricting the pool of contributors to a fairly narrow set of institutions.
Definition of LIBOR
A.5 Individual contributions to LIBOR are obtained by asking each contributor bank the question: At what rate could you borrow funds, were you to do so by asking for and then accepting inter-bank offers in a reasonable market size just prior to 11am? A.6 The rate definition is intended to reflect the rate of interest that the submitting bank could expect to pay for a cash loan in the London money markets each day. However, it is unlikely that each contributing bank will require unsecured funds every day in each of the currencies and maturities for which they quote LIBOR. Therefore individual LIBOR submissions are not based on actual rates obtained from transactions in the money market, but are based, to a large extent, on each banks perception of their cost of funds. This allows 150 rates to be published each day, but does also mean that there is not necessarily a formal link between actual transactions and LIBOR submissions.
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An individual LIBOR contributor panel bank will contribute the rate at which it could borrow funds, were it to do so by asking for and then accepting inter-bank offers in reasonable market size, just prior to 1100 London time. Rates shall be contributed for currencies, maturities and fixing dates and according to agreed conventions. Contributor banks shall input their rate without reference to rates contributed by other contributor banks. Rates shall be for deposits:
made in the London inter-bank market in reasonable market size; that are simple and unsecured; governed by the laws of England and Wales; where the parties are subject to the jurisdiction of the courts of England and Wales.
Maturity dates for the deposits shall be subject to the ISDA Modified Following Business Day convention, which states that if the maturity date of a deposit falls on a day that is not a Business Day the maturity date shall be the first following day that is a Business Day, unless that day falls in the next calendar month, in which case the maturity date will be the first preceding day that is a Business Day. Rates shall be contributed in decimal form to at least two decimal places but no more than five.
Contributor banks will provide their rates to the Designated Distributor between 1100hrs and 1110hrs, London time.
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impact on the calculated rate. The use of a mean allows for the publication of a single reference rate that reflects the cost of funding for a hypothetical average bank. There is no weighting placed on the submissions, either for reasons of creditworthiness or activity in the market.
the use of written guidance; a requirement for the contributing bank to conduct a re-audit of the its rate submitting processes; or issuance of a recommendation to FX&MM that the contributor is removed from the panel at the next biennial review of membership of LIBOR panels.
The BBA LIBOR manager is also responsible for undertaking periodic scrutiny of the performance of the panels and the contributing banks that sit on them.
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Regulation of individuals
B.6 The FSAs powers in relation to individuals working in regulated firms derive primarily from the approved persons regime. Individuals who perform certain functions (known as controlled functions) in relation to the carrying on by a regulated firm of a regulated activity must be approved in advance by the FSA. It is for the FSA to specify which functions are controlled (subject to the criteria set out in FSMA). However, only functions which are connected to the exercise by the firm of regulated activities may be specified by the FSA as controlled functions. B.7 As LIBOR submitting and administration are not regulated activities, participation in LIBOR setting is not, and could not be, specified as a controlled function by the FSA. As a result, the disciplinary powers established in relation to approved persons under s.66(2)(a) of FSMA are not available to the FSA. B.8 If individual submitters happen also to be approved persons because they exercise another function which is a controlled function, then it will be possible for the FSA to take disciplinary action against them under s.66(2)(b) of FSMA if they are knowingly concerned in a contravention by a firm of a regulatory requirement imposed on that firm under FSMA, such as a breach by the firm of the FSAs Principles for Businesses. However, this provides the FSA with a highly contingent and indirect mechanism for taking disciplinary action against individual submitters.
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distort, or would be likely to distort, the market in such an investment. However, subsection (8) will cease to have effect from 31 December 2014. 1 B.10 In summary, section 118 is not specifically targeted at the manipulation of benchmarks and would at best catch only some instances of benchmark manipulation. The current market abuse regime is significantly limited as a means of taking action against a bank or individuals who may have attempted to manipulate LIBOR or other benchmarks. B.11 As discussed above, the European Commission has proposed amendments to MAR and CSMAD which may address some of these issues.
Fraud/conspiracy offences
B.14 The manipulation of benchmarks could potentially constitute a criminal offence under legislation other than FSMA, for example fraud by false representation in breach of section 2 of the Fraud Act 2006. A person who intended to make a gain for himself or for another (e.g. a bank) by dishonestly making a representation which is untrue or misleading would be guilty of this offence. The maximum sentence on conviction in the Crown Court is imprisonment for no more than 10 years or a fine of any amount (or both). B.15 However, the FSA does not have power to investigate such offences (although evidence obtained investigating FSMA offences or in investigating firms for regulatory purposes could potentially be used in other proceedings), and it is not FSAs practice to prosecute such offences unless they are ancillary to the commission of other FSMA offences or insider dealing under the Criminal Justice Act 1993. This is unlikely to be the case with any manipulation and attempted manipulation of LIBOR. B.16 Action in respect of these offences is for other agencies, including the Serious Fraud Office. On 30 July, the Director of the Serious Fraud Office, David Green QC announced that he is satisfied that existing criminal offences are capable of covering conduct in relation to the alleged attempted manipulation of LIBOR and related interest rates. The SFO investigation, announced on 6 July, which involves a number of financial institutions, will proceed on this basis.
See section 118(9). See section 118(9). Subsection 118(8) will cease to have effect from 31 December 2014, as this is a super-equivalent provision in the UKs market abuse regime and is subject to a sunset clause. As the Market Abuse Directive 2003 is being replaced with a directly-applicable Regulation, this provision will not exist under the future MAR.
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Consultation questions
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The Wheatley Review contacts This document can be found in full on our website: http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk If you require this information in another language, format or have general enquiries about The Wheatley Review and its work, contact: The Wheatley Review HM Treasury 1 Horse Guards Road London SW1A 2HQ Tel: 020 7270 5000 Fax: 020 7270 4861 E-mail: wheatleyreview@hmtreasury.gov.uk