Sample Windfarm Model: Assumptions
Sample Windfarm Model: Assumptions
Assumptions
Site Location
Ireland
Turbine type
Rated MW per turbine
Number of expected wind turbines
Total installed capacity (MW)
Gross Production Loss Factor
Gross Energy Yield
Modelling uncertainties
Wake effect
Technical Availability
Electrical losses
Total Loss Factors
Production Achievement (kWh)
Net equivalent hours (h/a)
e.g. GE 1.5sl
1,500
1
1.5
50%
6,570,000
10%
4.2%
5.0%
3.0%
22.2%
5,111,460
3,408
Reporting Currency
Power Purchase Agreement Price
Spill Price
Partial Price Inflation
Full Price Inflation
Y
N
5.216
0.00
2.50%
2.50%
Cost Inflation
2.50%
1,150,000
1.49%
12.50%
Front Loading
Price
Full Indexation
Cost Inflation
1.00
5.216
1.00
1.00
1.00
5.216
1.025
1.025
1.00
5.216
1.051
1.051
1.00
5.216
1.077
1.077
Cash Flow
Total Production
1
5,111,460
2
5,111,460
3
5,111,460
4
5,111,460
5,111,460
5.216
266,614
5,111,460
5.346
273,279
5,111,460
5.480
280,111
5,111,460
5.617
287,114
Total Revenues
266,614
273,279
280,111
287,114
12,904
7,998
20,902
245,711
13,226
8,198
21,425
3,393
248,461
46,862
8,403
55,265
18,123
206,723
48,034
8,613
56,647
19,663
210,804
92,307
118,568
34,836
86,241
124,634
37,586 -
79,865
131,010
4,152 -
73,162
137,713
71
37,586 72,423
1.18
4,152 68,271
0.98
34,836
34,836
1.17
71
68,200
1.00
Debt Schedule
Opening Debt
Drawdowns
Add Interest
Annuity Repayments
Cash Sweep
Closing Debt
Closing Net Debt
Taxation Calculation
Profit before tax and depreciation
Losses forward
Capital Allowances
Losses available for c/fwd
Taxation @
1,900,000
1,781,432
1,656,798
1,525,788
92,307
210,875
86,241
210,875
79,865
210,875
73,162
210,875
1,781,432
1,656,798
1,525,788
1,388,075
1,746,596
1,619,212
1,529,940
1,388,146
153,404
12.5%
291,875
138,471
-
266,614
20,902
92,307
165,613
138,471
27,142
3,393
273,279
21,425
86,241
144,981
144,981
18,123
280,111
55,265
79,865
157,305
157,305
19,663
287,114
56,647
73,162
Depreciation
Taxation
Retained Profits
Cumulative Retained Profits
116,750
36,654
36,654
3,393
162,220
198,874
18,123
126,858
325,733
19,663
137,642
463,375
2,218,250
34,836
2,253,086
1,781,432
2,101,500
72,423
2,173,923
1,656,798
1,984,750
68,271
2,053,021
1,525,788
1,868,000
68,200
1,936,200
1,388,075
471,654
517,124
527,233
548,125
Financed By
Share Capital
Profit and Loss
497,435
36,654
497,435
198,874
497,435
325,733
497,435
463,375
534,089
696,309
823,168
960,810
Balance Sheet
Net Book Value Of Assets
Cash
Net Assets
Loans
1,725,000
250,000
160,000
200,000
610,000
Project Cost
2,335,000
ciation Years
Repurchase
20
81.37%
0.00%
7.71%
0.00%
7.71%
13.59%
103%
5%
ommunity Equity
Uplift Percentage
Payback Period (Years)
Mezzanine Debt
3.50%
4%
7.50%
5
Cost Of Funds
Cost Of Funds
al Operating Costs
e Maintenance
0%
0%
1,900,000
0
180,000
0
180,000
317,435
Difference
333,307
6
3%
35.00%
7.50%
Senior Debt
3.50%
1.50%
5.00%
12
11,000
1.20%
0.30%
0.60%
1.50%
600
11,000
20,700
6,405
1,600
3,999
900
44,604
1.00
5.216
1.104
1.104
1.00
5.216
1.131
1.131
1.00
5.216
1.160
1.160
1.00
5.216
1.189
1.189
1.00
5.216
1.218
1.218
1.00
5.216
1.249
1.249
5
5,111,460
6
5,111,460
7
5,111,460
8
5,111,460
9
5,111,460
10
5,111,460
ne break insurance
oss insurance
gement/Administration
Energy supply
operating costs
5,111,460
5.757
294,292
5,111,460
5.901
301,649
5,111,460
6.049
309,190
5,111,460
6.200
316,920
5,111,460
6.355
324,843
5,111,460
6.514
332,964
294,292
301,649
309,190
316,920
324,843
332,964
49,234
8,829
58,063
21,264
214,965
50,465
9,049
59,515
20,944
221,190
51,727
9,276
61,003
24,658
223,530
53,020
9,508
62,528
26,456
227,936
54,346
9,745
64,091
28,327
232,426
55,704
9,989
65,693
30,272
236,999
66,116
144,759
4,090 -
74,582
152,165
317,435
322,992
50,925
159,950
12,655
42,742
168,133
17,061
34,140
176,735
21,551
25,098
185,777
26,124
322,992
250,702 0.98
12,655
238,047 1.06
17,061
220,986 1.08
21,551
199,436 1.10
26,124
173,311
1.12
1,388,075
1,243,316
1,091,151
931,201
763,068
586,333
66,116
210,875
58,710
210,875
50,925
210,875
42,742
210,875
34,140
210,875
25,098
210,875
1,243,316
1,091,151
931,201
763,068
586,333
400,555
1,239,227
1,414,143
918,546
746,007
564,782
374,431
170,112
170,112
21,264
294,292
58,063
66,116
167,552
167,552
20,944
301,649
59,515
74,582
197,263
197,263
24,658
309,190
61,003
50,925
211,651
211,651
26,456
316,920
62,528
42,742
226,612
226,612
28,327
324,843
64,091
34,140
10
242,173
242,173
30,272
10
332,964
65,693
25,098
21,264
148,848
612,223
20,944
146,608
758,832
24,658
172,605
931,436
26,456
185,194
1,116,631
28,327
198,286
1,314,917
30,272
211,902
1,526,818
1,751,250
72,289 1,823,539
1,243,316
1,634,500
250,702 1,383,798
1,091,151
1,517,750
238,047 1,279,703
931,201
1,401,000
220,986 1,180,014
763,068
1,284,250
199,436 1,084,814
586,333
10
1,167,500
173,311
994,189
400,555
580,223
292,647
348,501
416,946
498,482
593,633
497,435
612,223
180,000
758,832
180,000
931,436
180,000
1,116,631
180,000
1,314,917
180,000
1,526,818
1,109,658
938,832
1,111,436
1,296,631
1,494,917
1,706,818
1.00
5.216
1.280
1.280
1.00
5.216
1.312
1.312
1.00
5.216
1.345
1.345
1.00
5.216
1.379
1.379
1.00
5.216
1.413
1.413
1.00
5.216
1.448
1.448
11
5,111,460
12
5,111,460
13
5,111,460
14
5,111,460
15
5,111,460
16
5,111,460
5,111,460
6.677
341,288
5,111,460
6.844
349,820
5,111,460
7.015
358,566
5,111,460
7.190
367,530
5,111,460
7.370
376,718
5,111,460
7.554
386,136
341,288
349,820
358,566
367,530
376,718
386,136
57,097
10,239
67,335
32,295
241,658
58,524
10,495
69,019
34,400
246,402
59,987
10,757
70,744
35,978
251,844
61,487
11,026
72,513
36,877
258,140
63,024
11,302
74,326
37,799
264,594
64,600
11,584
76,184
38,744
271,208
15,593
195,282
30,783
5,602
205,273
35,527
251,844
258,140
264,594
271,208
30,783
142,529 1.15
35,527
107,002
1.17
251,844
144,842
0.00
258,140
402,982
0.00
264,594
667,575
0.00
271,208
938,784
0.00
400,555
205,273 -
15,593
210,875
5,602
210,875
0 -
0 -
0 -
0
-
205,273 -
0 -
0 -
0 -
0 -
174,490 -
35,527 -
251,844 -
258,140 -
264,594 -
271,208
11
258,360
258,360
32,295
11
341,288
67,335
15,593
12
275,200
275,200
34,400
12
349,820
69,019
5,602
13
287,822
287,822
35,978
13
358,566
70,744
-
14
295,017
295,017
36,877
14
367,530
72,513
-
15
302,393
302,393
37,799
15
376,718
74,326
-
16
309,952
309,952
38,744
16
386,136
76,184
-
32,295
226,065
1,752,883
11
1,050,750
142,529 908,221
205,273 -
34,400
240,800
1,993,683
35,978
251,844
2,245,527
36,877
258,140
2,503,667
37,799
264,594
2,768,260
38,744
271,208
3,039,469
12
934,000
107,002
826,998
0 -
13
817,250
144,842
962,092
0 -
14
700,500
402,982
1,103,482
0 -
15
583,750
667,575
1,251,325
0 -
16
467,000
938,784
1,405,784
0
702,948
826,998
962,092
1,103,482
1,251,325
1,405,784
180,000
1,752,883
180,000
1,993,683
180,000
2,245,527
180,000
2,503,667
180,000
2,768,260
180,000
3,039,469
1,932,883
2,173,683
2,425,527
2,683,667
2,948,260
3,219,469
1.00
5.216
1.485
1.485
1.00
5.216
1.522
1.522
1.00
5.216
1.560
1.560
1.00
5.216
1.599
1.599
17
5,111,460
18
5,111,460
19
5,111,460
20
5,111,460
5,111,460
7.743
395,790
5,111,460
7.937
405,684
5,111,460
8.135
415,826
5,111,460
8.339
426,222
395,790
405,684
415,826
426,222
66,215
11,874
78,088
39,713
277,989
67,870
12,171
80,041
40,705
284,938
69,567
12,475
82,042
41,723
292,062
71,306
12,787
84,093
42,766
299,363
277,989
284,938
292,062
299,363
277,989
1,216,772
0.00
284,938
1,501,711
0.00
292,062
1,793,772
0.00
299,363
2,093,135
0.00
0 -
0 -
0 -
0
-
0 -
0 -
0 -
277,989 -
284,938 -
292,062 -
299,363
17
317,701
317,701
39,713
17
395,790
78,088
-
18
325,644
325,644
40,705
18
405,684
80,041
-
19
333,785
333,785
41,723
19
415,826
82,042
-
20
342,129
342,129
42,766
20
426,222
84,093
-
39,713
277,989
3,317,457
40,705
284,938
3,602,396
41,723
292,062
3,894,457
42,766
299,363
4,193,820
17
350,250
1,216,772
1,567,022
0 -
18
233,500
1,501,711
1,735,211
0 -
19
116,750
1,793,772
1,910,522
0 -
2,093,135
2,093,135
0
1,567,022
1,735,211
1,910,522
2,093,135
180,000
3,317,457
180,000
3,602,396
180,000
3,894,457
180,000
4,193,820
3,497,457
3,782,396
4,074,457
4,373,820
20
Senior Debt
Repayment Schedule
Total Debt
Rate of interest
1,900,000
5.00%
No. of years
Year
1
0
0
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
12
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
(7,917)
(7,876)
(7,836)
(7,795)
(7,755)
(7,714)
(7,673)
(7,631)
(7,590)
(7,548)
(7,507)
(7,465)
(7,423)
(7,380)
(7,338)
(7,295)
(7,252)
(7,209)
(7,166)
(7,123)
(7,079)
(7,036)
(6,992)
(6,948)
(6,903)
(6,859)
(6,814)
(6,769)
(6,724)
(6,679)
(6,634)
(6,588)
(6,542)
(6,496)
(6,450)
(6,404)
(6,357)
(6,311)
(6,264)
(6,217)
(6,169)
(6,122)
(6,074)
(6,026)
(5,978)
(5,930)
(5,881)
(5,833)
(5,784)
(5,735)
(5,685)
(5,636)
(5,586)
(5,536)
(5,486)
(5,435)
(5,385)
(5,334)
(5,283)
(5,232)
(5,180)
(5,129)
(5,077)
(5,025)
(4,973)
(4,920)
(4,867)
(4,814)
(4,761)
(4,708)
(4,654)
(4,601)
(4,546)
(4,492)
(4,438)
(4,383)
(4,328)
(4,273)
(4,217)
(4,162)
(4,106)
(4,050)
(3,993)
(3,937)
(3,880)
(3,823)
(3,766)
(3,708)
(3,650)
(3,592)
(3,534)
(3,476)
(3,417)
(3,358)
(3,299)
(3,239)
(3,179)
(3,119)
(3,059)
(2,999)
(2,938)
(2,877)
(2,816)
(2,754)
(2,693)
(2,631)
(2,568)
(2,506)
(2,443)
(2,380)
(2,317)
(2,253)
(2,189)
(2,125)
(2,061)
(1,996)
(1,931)
(1,866)
(1,801)
(1,735)
(1,669)
(1,603)
(1,536)
(1,469)
(1,402)
(1,335)
(1,267)
(1,199)
(1,131)
(1,063)
(994)
(925)
(855)
(786)
(716)
(645)
(575)
(504)
(433)
(362)
(290)
(218)
(146)
(73)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
92,307
86,241
79,865
73,162
66,116
58,710
50,925
42,742
34,140
25,098
15,593
5,602
210,875
210,875
210,875
210,875
118,568
210,875
124,634
(17,573)
Total repayments
Monthly repayments
(2,530,500)
1,900,000
Total interest
(630,500)
210,875
131,010
210,875
137,713
210,875
144,759
210,875
152,165
210,875
159,950
210,875
168,133
210,875
176,735
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
0
-
Mezzanine Debt
Repayment Schedule
Total Debt
Rate of interest
0
7.50%
No. of years
Year
1
0
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Repayment
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Monthly repayments
Total repayments
Total interest
Taxation Computation
Capital allowances term
Capital Allowances
Cumulative Capital Allowances
1
291,875
291,875
153,404
-
291,875
138,471
0
2
291,875
3
291,875
4
291,875
5
291,875
6
291,875
7
291,875
8
291,875
9
291,875
10
291,875
11
291,875
12
291,875
13
291,875
14
291,875
15
291,875
16
291,875
17
291,875
18
291,875
19
291,875
20
291,875
165,613
138,471
27,142
3393
144,981
144,981
18123
157,305
157,305
19663
170,112
170,112
21264
167,552
167,552
20944
197,263
197,263
24658
211,651
211,651
26456
226,612
226,612
28327
242,173
242,173
30272
258,360
258,360
32295
275,200
275,200
34400
287,822
287,822
35978
295,017
295,017
36877
302,393
302,393
37799
309,952
309,952
38744
317,701
317,701
39713
325,644
325,644
40705
333,785
333,785
41723
342,129
342,129
42766
AER VI
Summary Targets and Prices
Category
Limits
MW
Price Caps
c./KWh
5.216
Pricing Terms
400
85
5.742
2. Can opt for price +35% in ist half of term and-35% thereafter
Offshore Wind
50
8.400
Hydro
7.018
Biomass
6.412
Biomass AD
7.000
Biomass CHP
28
7.000
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
333,307
15,872
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
317,435
0
Surplus Operating Project Cashflow
Cumulative Free Cashflow
100.00%
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
-2,335,000
34,836
34,836
37,586 72,423
4,152 68,271
71
68,200
4,090 72,289 -
322,992
250,702 -
12,655
238,047 -
17,061
220,986 -
21,551
199,436 -
26,124
173,311 -
30,783
142,529 -
35,527
107,002
251,844
144,842
258,140
402,982
264,594
667,575
271,208
938,784
277,989
1,216,772
284,938
1,501,711
292,062
1,793,772
299,363
2,093,135
-180,000
34,836
34,836
37,586 72,423
4,152 68,271
71
68,200
4,090 72,289 -
322,992
250,702 -
12,655
238,047 -
17,061
220,986 -
21,551
199,436 -
26,124
173,311 -
30,783
142,529 -
35,527
107,002
251,844
144,842
258,140
402,982
264,594
667,575
271,208
938,784
277,989
1,216,772
284,938
1,501,711
292,062
1,793,772
299,363
2,093,135
17
18
19
20
15%
0.00%
#NUM!
-2,335,000
8%
245,711
248,461
206,723
210,804
214,965
221,190
223,530
227,936
232,426
236,999
241,658
246,402
251,844
258,140
264,594
271,208
277,989
284,938
292,062
299,363