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AMS 131: Introduction To Probability Theory (Spring 2013)

This document provides an overview of probability distributions for random variables, including discrete and continuous univariate distributions, bivariate distributions, and concepts like independence and Bayes' theorem. Discrete random variables take on countable values defined by a probability mass function, while continuous random variables take on uncountable values defined by a probability density function. Bivariate distributions characterize the joint probability of two random variables using joint probability functions or densities.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
36 views3 pages

AMS 131: Introduction To Probability Theory (Spring 2013)

This document provides an overview of probability distributions for random variables, including discrete and continuous univariate distributions, bivariate distributions, and concepts like independence and Bayes' theorem. Discrete random variables take on countable values defined by a probability mass function, while continuous random variables take on uncountable values defined by a probability density function. Bivariate distributions characterize the joint probability of two random variables using joint probability functions or densities.

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Alex Bardales
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AMS 131: Introduction to Probability Theory (Spring 2013)

Discrete and continuous univariate distributions (Sections 3.13.3)


A (real-valued) random variable (r.v.) is a function dened on the sample space S associated with an
experiment and taking values on (a subset of) the real line R.
Discrete random variables: A r.v. X is discrete (equivalently, X has a discrete distribution) if it has
either a nite number or countable number of possible values, say, {x
1
, ..., x
k
} or {x
1
, x
2
, ...}, respectively.
The probability distribution of a discrete r.v. X can be dened through its probability function
(p.f.), f(x
i
) = Pr(X = x
i
), for any possible value x
i
of X (the denition can be extended to f(x) for any
x R, since f(x) = 0 for all x that are not possible values of X).
Any p.f. must satisfy the following two conditions:
(1) f(x
i
) 0, for all x
i
(2)

xi
f(x
i
) = 1
The probability of any subset A of the real line can be obtained from Pr(X A) =

xiA
f(x
i
)
Continuous random variables: A r.v. X is continuous (equivalently, X has a continuous distribution)
if it takes an uncountable number of possible values (say, values in a bounded interval, in R
+
, or in R).
The probability distribution of a continuous r.v. X is determined by its probability density function
(p.d.f.), f(x), such that for any subset A of the real line, Pr(X A) =

A
f(x)dx.
Any p.d.f. must satisfy the following two conditions:
(1) f(x) 0, for all x R (2)

f(x)dx = 1
Note that for a continuous r.v. X, Pr(X = x
0
) = 0 for any x
0
R. Moreover, a value of a p.d.f. is not
a probability, but rather a probability density (f(x
0
) indicates how dense probability is around x
0
).
Distribution functions: The distribution function can be used to characterize the distribution of a
r.v. regardless of its type (discrete or continuous). The distribution function (d.f.), or cumulative
distribution function (c.d.f.), of a r.v. X is a function on R with values in [0, 1] dened by
F(x) = Pr(X x), x R
If F is the d.f. for a real-valued r.v., it has the following properties:
F is non-decreasing, i.e., F(x
1
) F(x
2
) for any x
1
< x
2
.
lim
x
F(x) = 0 and lim
x
F(x) = 1.
F is right-continuous, i.e., lim
yx;y>x
F(y) = F(x).
(And conversely, any function from R to [0, 1] that satises these conditions is a d.f. for a r.v.)
The d.f. F of a r.v. X can be used to compute probabilities for various types of intervals other than
interval (, x] in the denition of F. For instance, Pr(x
1
< X x
2
) = F(x
2
) F(x
1
), for any x
1
< x
2
;
Pr(X < x) = F(x

), for any x R, where F(x

) = lim
yx;y<x
F(y); and Pr(X = x) = F(x) F(x

),
for any x R. The last result provides the connection between the p.f. and d.f. for a discrete r.v. X.
For a continuous r.v. X, we have F(x) =

f(t)dt, and therefore f(x) = dF(x)/dx for all x at


which F is dierentiable.
Bivariate distributions (Sections 3.43.6)
A bivariate distribution refers to the joint probability distribution of two random variables dened on
a common sample space and each taking values on (a subset of) the real line R.
Discrete joint distributions: A bivariate r.v. (X, Y ) is discrete if both r.v.s X and Y have either a
nite number or countable number of possible values. The probability distribution of a discrete bivariate
r.v. (X, Y ) can be dened through the joint probability function (joint p.f.),
f(x, y) = Pr({X = x} {Y = y}),
for any possible value (x, y) of (X, Y ) (the denition can be extended for any (x, y) R
2
, since
f(x, y) = 0 for all (x, y) that are not possible values of (X, Y )). A joint p.f. must satisfy two conditions:
(1) f(x, y) 0, for all (x, y); and (2)

y
f(x, y) = 1. The probability of any subset A of R
2
can be
obtained from Pr((X, Y ) A) =

(x,y)A
f(x, y).
The marginal p.f.s of X and Y are given by
f
1
(x) = Pr(X = x) =

y
f(x, y), x R and f
2
(y) = Pr(Y = y) =

x
f(x, y), y R.
For any y such that f
2
(y) > 0, the conditional p.f. of X given that Y = y arises directly from the
denition of the conditional probability of event {X = x} given event {Y = y}. In particular,
g
1
(x | y) = Pr(X = x | Y = y) =
f(x, y)
f
2
(y)
, x R.
Analogously, for any x such that f
1
(x) > 0, the conditional p.f. of Y given X = x is given by g
2
(y | x) =
Pr(Y = y | X = x) = f(x, y)/f
1
(x), y R.
Continuous joint distributions: A bivariate r.v. (X, Y ) is continuous if both r.v.s X and Y take
an uncountable number of possible values (say, values in a bounded interval, in R
+
, or in R). The
probability distribution of a continuous bivariate r.v. (X, Y ) is determined by its joint probability
density function (joint p.d.f.), f(x, y), such that for any subset A of R
2
,
Pr((X, Y ) A) =

A
f(x, y) dxdy.
(Note that under a continuous bivariate distribution, points in R
2
and one-dimensional subsets of R
2
have probability 0.) Any joint p.d.f. must satisfy two conditions: (1) f(x, y) 0, for all (x, y) R
2
; and
(2)

f(x, y) dxdy = 1.
The marginal p.d.f.s of X and Y are given by
f
1
(x) =

f(x, y) dy, x R and f


2
(y) =

f(x, y) dx, y R.
For any y such that f
2
(y) > 0, the conditional p.d.f. of X given that Y = y is dened by
g
1
(x | y) =
f(x, y)
f
2
(y)
, x R.
Analogously, for any x such that f
1
(x) > 0, the conditional p.d.f. of Y given X = x is dened by
g
2
(y | x) = f(x, y)/f
1
(x), y R.
Mixed bivariate distributions: Certain applications in probability and statistics involve pairs of r.v.s
where one is discrete and the other is continuous.
The probability distribution of a mixed bivariate r.v. (X, Y ), where, for example, X is discrete and
Y is continuous, is dened by a joint p.f./p.d.f., f(x, y), which provides the probability of any subset A of
R
2
by summing the values of f(x, y) over x and integrating f(x, y) over y, for all (x, y) A. Such a joint
p.f./p.d.f. must satisfy two conditions: (1) f(x, y) 0, for all (x, y) R
2
; and (2)

x
f(x, y) dy = 1.
Here, the marginal p.f. for X is given by f
1
(x) = Pr(X = x) =

f(x, y) dy, x R, and the


marginal p.d.f. for Y by f
2
(y) =

x
f(x, y), y R.
Bivariate cumulative distribution functions: Although less convenient to work with than the uni-
variate case, the denition of the cumulative distribution function can be extended to the joint cumu-
lative distribution function (joint c.d.f.), which can again be used to characterize the distribution of
a bivariate r.v. regardless of its type.
The joint c.d.f. of a bivariate r.v. (X, Y ) is a function on R
2
with values in [0, 1] dened by
F(x, y) = Pr({X x} {Y y}), (x, y) R
2
.
The marginal c.d.f. for r.v. X can be obtained from F
1
(x) = lim
y
F(x, y), x R, and the marginal
c.d.f. for r.v. Y can be obtained from F
2
(y) = lim
x
F(x, y), y R.
For a continuous bivariate r.v. (X, Y ), we have F(x, y) =

f(r, s) drds. Therefore, the joint


p.d.f. can be obtained from the joint c.d.f. using
f(x, y) =

2
F(x, y)
xy
for all (x, y) at which the second-order partial derivative above exists.
Independent random variables: Two r.v.s X and Y are independent if, by denition, for any sub-
sets A and B of R, Pr({X A} {Y B}) = Pr(X A)Pr(Y B).
It can be shown that r.v.s X and Y are independent if and only if
F(x, y) = F
1
(x)F
2
(y), for all (x, y) R
2
.
Moreover, a similar factorization applies under independence to the joint p.f., joint p.d.f. or joint
p.f./p.d.f., f(x, y), for discrete, continuous or mixed bivariate r.v.s, respectively. Specically, r.v.s X
and Y are independent if and only if
f(x, y) = f
1
(x)f
2
(y), for all (x, y) R
2
.
Bayes theorem for random variables: Assume that the joint p.f., p.d.f or p.f./p.d.f., f(x, y), for r.v.s
X and Y is built from the marginal p.f. or p.d.f., f
2
(y), for Y and the conditional p.f. or p.d.f., g
1
(x | y),
of X given Y . Then, the conditional distribution of Y given X can be obtained through its conditional
p.f. or p.d.f.,
g
2
(y | x) =
g
1
(x | y)f
2
(y)
f
1
(x)
where f
1
(x) =

y
g
1
(x | y)f
2
(y) or f
1
(x) =

g
1
(x | y)f
2
(y) dy, if Y is a discrete or continuous r.v.,
respectively.

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