Unit 2 Bcom BE
Unit 2 Bcom BE
Unit-2
By-K.R.Ansari
An economy is made up of all of the financial transactions between companies and consumers in
a region or country.
Trend, can be thought of as a pattern. In most contexts, trends are formed and interpreted from
sets of data.
Thus an economic trend is an indicator that shows how a region or country is doing financially.
The economy of India is the tenth-largest in the world by nominal GDP and the thirdlargest by purchasing power parity(PPP). The country is one of the G-20 major economies, a
member of BRICS and a developing economy that is among the top 20 global traders according
to the WTO. India was the 19th-largest merchandise and the 6th largest services exporter in the
world in 2013; it imported a total of $616.7 billion worth of merchandise and services in 2013, as
the 12th-largest merchandise and 7th largest services importer. India's economic growth slowed
to 4.7% for the 201314 fiscal year, in contrast to higher economic growth rates in 2000s. IMF
projects India's GDP to grow at 5.4% over 2014-15. Agriculture sector is the largest employer in
India's economy but contributes a declining share of its GDP (13.7% in 2012-13). Its
manufacturing industry has held a constant share of its economic contribution, while the fastestgrowing part of the economy has been its services sector - which includes construction, telecom,
software and information technologies, infrastructure, tourism, education, health care, travel,
trade, banking and others components of its economy.
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Methods of Measurement
The national income of a country can be measured by three alternative methods: (i) Product
Method (ii) Income Method, and (iii) Expenditure Method.
1. Product Method:
In this method, national income is measured as a flow of goods and services. We calculate
money value of all final goods and services produced in an economy during a year. Final goods
here refer to those goods which are directly consumed and not used in further production
process. Goods which are further used in production process are called intermediate goods. In the
value of final goods, value of intermediate goods is already included therefore we do not count
value of intermediate goods in national income otherwise there will be double counting of value
of goods.
To avoid the problem of double counting we can use the value-addition method in which not the
whole value of a commodity but value-addition (i.e. value of final good value of intermediate
good) at each stage of production is calculated and these are summed up to arrive at GDP.
The money value is calculated at market prices so sum-total is the GDP at market prices. GDP at
market price can be converted into by methods discussed earlier.
2. Income Method:
Under this method, national income is measured as a flow of factor incomes. There are generally
four factors of production labour, capital, land and entrepreneurship. Labour gets wages and
salaries, capital gets interest, land gets rent and entrepreneurship gets profit as their
remuneration.
Besides, there are some self-employed persons who employ their own labour and capital such as
doctors, advocates, CAs, etc. Their income is called mixed income. The sum-total of all these
factor incomes is called NDP at factor costs.
3. Expenditure Method:
In this method, national income is measured as a flow of expenditure. GDP is sum-total of
private consumption expenditure. Government consumption expenditure, gross capital formation
(Government and private) and net exports (Export-Import)
Measurement of National Income in India
In India, a systematic measurement of national income was first attempted in 1949. Earlier, many
attempts were made by some individuals and institutions. The earliest estimate of Indias
national income was made by Dadabhai Naoroji in 186768. Since then many attempts were
made, mostly by the economists and the government authorities, to estimate Indias national
income. These estimates differ in coverage, concepts and methodology and are not comparable.
Besides, earlier estimates were mostly for one year, only some estimates covered a period of 3 to
4 years. It was therefore not possible to construct a consistent series of national income and
assess the performance of the economy over a period of time.
In 1949, A National Income Committee (NIC) was appointed with P.C. Mahalanobis as its
Chairman, and D.R. Gadgil and V.K.R.V. Rao as members. The NIC not only highlighted the
limitations of the statistical system of that time but also suggested ways and means to improve
data collection systems. On the recommendation of the Committee, the Directorate of National
Sample Survey was set up to collect additional data required for estimating national income.
Besides, the NIC estimated the countrys national income for the period from 194849 to 1950
52. In its estimates, the NIC also provided the methodology for estimating national income,
which was followed till 1967.
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In 1967, the task of estimating national income was given to the Central Statistical Organization
(CSO). Till 1967, the CSO had followed the methodology laid down by the NIC. Thereafter, the
CSO adopted a relatively improved methodology and procedure which had become possible due
to increased availability of data. The improvements pertain mainly to the industrial classification
of the activities. The CSO publishes its estimates in its publication, Estimates of National
Income.
Methodology used in India
Currently, net output and factor income methods are used by the CSO to estimate the national
income of the country. The output method is used for agriculture and manufacturing sectors, i.e.,
the commodity producing sectors. For these sectors, the value added method is adopted. Income
method is used for the service sectors including trade, commerce, transport and government
services. In its conventional series of national income statistics from 1950-51 to 1966-67, the
CSO had categorized the income in 13 sectors. But, in the revised series, it had adopted the
following 15 break-ups of the national economy for estimating the national income; (i)
Agriculture; (ii) Forestry and logging; (iii) Fishing; (iv) Mining and quarrying; (v) Large-scale
manufacturing; (vi) Small-scale manufacturing; (vii) Construction; (viii) Electricity, gas and
water supply; (ix) Transport and communication; (xii) Real estate and dwellings; (xiii) Public
Administration and Defence; (xiv) Other services; and (xv) External transactions. The national
income is estimated at both constant and current prices.
What are the factors that determine national income?
Factors determining national income can be discussed as follows Quality and quantity of factors of production: the quality and quantity of land, the climate,
the rainfall, etc., determine the quantity and quality of agricultural production. This determines
the size of national income. The quantity of labour has double influence since labour is both a
factor of production as well as the consumer of what is produced. The quality of labour depends
upon intelligence, training, which in turn decides the volume of industrial productivity. This will
have decisive influence on output. Likewise, the quantity and quality of entrepreneurial ability is
also a main element in the determination of national income.
State of technical know-how: the extent of technical know-how and technology in
production determine the capital formation in the country. A country with abundant resources
will be dormant without any determination if the resources are not scientifically exploited.
Natural resources combined with advanced technology will go a long way in increasing the size
of national income.
Political stability: the key to increase the national income rests with important factors like
capital formation, natural resources, technical know-how and political stability.
Whatare the difficulties in calculation of national income?
The measurement of national income is beset with difficulties. In under developed countries
these difficulties are more prominent. The difficulties in calculation of national income can be
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discussed as follows:
Conceptual difficulties: there has been a difference of opinion regarding the term nation
in the concept of national income. It has to define exactly, whether it is geographical entity of the
country or the nationals including those residing abroad. Since national income constitutes a
quantitative measure of economics activity rather than verbal description. Since everything has
to be equated to the money value, services produced in economy for love of humanity, affection
and philosophy could not be taken into consideration in calculating national income.
Difficulty in value estimation: in backward areas, the cultivators, artisans and cottage
industry workers do not have a fair idea of the expenses of their occupation. Hence the net value
of their products cannot be estimated precisely.
Non- monetized sector: barter dealing and non-monetized sector creates the problem of
inputting the value of their produce and services and by guess work and approximation.
Incomplete government records: due to ignorance and illiteracy in backward areas, the
data may not be available and if available, may be unreliable. Also, the figures furnished by
government officials may not be from reliable sources and data is not current.
Problems in industrial sector: data relating to output, cost, etc. are available only in big
units. The small units do not maintain these figures correctly. The village money lenders and
indigenous bankers maintain absolute secret of their and they do not furnish correct information.
Inefficient data collection: the machinery for collecting statistical data may not be
efficient. The investigators, preparation of adhoc figures, making sample surveys, etc.
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Industry in India
Over the years agriculture has been the major source of livelihood of the Indian population.
However, after Independence the founding fathers saw the nation progressing with a decent
industrial base. This triggered the formulation of programs and strategies to construct a proper
infrastructure for speedy industrialization.
India has been successful in achieving autonomy in producing different basic and capital
products since independence. The productivity of the major Indian industries incorporates
aircraft, vessels, automobiles, steam engines, heavy electrical equipment, construction
machinery, chemicals, precision equipments, communication instrument, power generation and
transmission tools and computers.
Since 1956, the industrial development in India took place mainly in the four forms:
Wide diversification of industrial base: production of several new products.
Development of public sector
Restricted Imports and less dependence on them.
Globalization of industries and their progressive privatization.
Industrial Development during the Five Yearly Planning
Ist Five Year Plan (1951-56):
Main emphasis was given on agricultural sector. But attempts were made to lay
foundation of future industrial growth.
To encourage small scale industries a cess was imposed on the products of large scale
industries.
Total expenditure on development of large scale industries was Rs. 55 Crore.
5% of total plan outlay was allocated for the industries.
Growth rate of industrial production during the first plan was 7.5%
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60 industrial estates were set up and 1000 small units were housed therein.
3rd Five Year Plan (1961-66)
Aim was to expand heavy industries so as to meet the need of the industries within its
own resources in the next ten years.
In this plan automobile, diesel engines, cement and heavy chemical units made
considerable progress.
The production capacity of many industries like iron and steel, machines etc. that were
set up in the 2nd plan was expanded.
Total expenditure on development of large scale industries was Rs. 1,726 Crore and Rs.
241 Crore on small scale industries.
23% of total plan outlay was allocated for the industries.
Growth rate of industrial production was 9% per annum.
One Year Plans (1966-69)
Due to the Indo-China war and Indo-Pak war, the fourth plan was unable to start in 1966.
Our economy was facing the shortage of funds.
Instead of Five year plan, three annual plans were formulated.
The prime aim was to focus on green revolution. Industrial development took a back seat.
The average industrial growth rate during these plans was 1.6% per annum.
4th Five Year Plan (1969-74):
The industrial development did not however match its target during the 4th plan.
No worth while change in the industrial production structure took place.
Total expenditure on development of large scale industries was Rs. 2,864 Crore and Rs.
243 Crore on small scale industries.
19.7% of total plan outlay was allocated for the industries.
Growth rate of industrial production was 4.5% per annum.
Number of industries increased to 465
5th Five Year Plan (1974-79):
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The main aim was the attainment of self sufficiency and growth with justice.
Increased development of basic industries.
Development of export industries
Increase in the supply of mass consumption goods.
Development of industrially backward regions.
Application of modern technology in the development of industries.
Total expenditure on development of large scale industries and minerals was Rs. 8,989
Crore
24.3% of the total outlay was allocated to industries.
The industrial growth rate was 5.9% per annum.
6th Five Year Plan (1980-85)
The main objective was to make optimum utilization of existing capacity of industrial
production and to increase productivity.
To make maximum use of the existing industrial capacity and increased productivity.
To increase considerably the installed capacity of industries in the public and private
sectors not only to produce mass consumption goods but also intermediary and capital
goods.
To pay attention to the development of capital goods industry in general and electronic
industry in particular.
To realize the importance of superior technique for industrial progress, import of foreign
technology and technical know-how.
To develop industrially backward regions.
Total expenditure on development of large scale industries was Rs. 14,790 Crore and Rs.
1,945 Crore on small scale industries.
26.5% of total plan outlay was allocated for the industries.
Growth rate of industrial production was 6.4% per annum.
7th Five Year Plan (1985-90)
The main aim was to increase the production of consumer goods.
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Modernization and import of capital goods were considered important for improving the
efficiency of the industrial sector.
Companies under MRTP Act were given various concessions. E.g. such companies need
not to take special permission for mergers, diversification, expansion etc
Licensing policy was liberalised.
In some industries, foreign equity participation was increased to 100%.
Total expenditure on development of large scale industries was Rs. 33,587 Crore and on
the development of small scale industries was Rs. 8,384 Crores.
Growth rate of industrial production was 5% per annum. (due to slower growth of the
world economy)
10th Five Year Plan (2002-07)
The industrial sector will have to grow at over 10% to achieve the target of 8% growth
for GDP.
Special emphasis is given for the infrastructure development, power generation,
development of roads, railways, air-ports etc. it was thought that rapid industrial growth
can be achieved through improving the quality of infrastructure.
Special concessions were extended to ready-made garment industry like liberal import of
capital goods; tax-concessions etc. were extended. Apparel-parks have been established
to promote the same.
To make the industry more competitive, R&D, modernization and technological up
gradation activities have been emphasized.
Loss making public sector units have been disinvested
Special concessions were given to export oriented units in order to promote exports.
Special Economic Zones have been set up for promoting rapid industrialization of the
economy. For promoting agro based industrial units, agro export zones have been set up.
For promoting leather industry, leather industry development programmes have been
undertaken.
More privatization has been encouraged. The funds from global capital market are also
encouraged.
Foreign investments are encouraged in the service sector like banking, insurance etc
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Four key industrial economic sectors are identified in India. The primary sector, largely extract
raw material and they are mining and farming industries. In the secondary sector, refining,
construction, and manufacturing are included. The tertiary sector deals with services and
distribution of manufactured goods. India's service industry accounts for 57.2% of the country's
GDP while the industrial and agricultural sector contribute 28% and 14.6% respectively.
Agriculture is the predominant occupation in India, accounting for about 52% of direct and
indirect employment. The service sector makes up a further 34%, and industrial sector around
14%. The labour force totals around half a billion workers. Industry accounts for 28% of the
GDP and employ 14% of the total workforce.
Achievements of Industrialization
Growth Rate of Industrial Production
Strong Industrial Base
Modernisation
Development of the Public Sector
Building up of the Infrastructure
Increasing Share of Industries in National Income & Export
Increase in Foreign Collaboration
Increase in Industrial Production
Weakness of Industrialization
Unregulated Increase in the Industrial Production
Excessive Capacity
Much Increase in Monopoly Power
Capital Investment in Low Priority Industries
Inefficient performance of the Public Sector
Growth of Regional Imbalance
Less Development of the Small Scale Industries
Industrial Sickness
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Balance of Trade
The balance of trade is the difference between the monetary value of exports and imports of
output in an economy over a certain period. It is the relationship between a nation's imports and
exports. A positive or favorable balance of trade is known as a trade surplus if it consists of
exporting more than is imported; a negative or unfavorable balance is referred to as a trade
deficit or, informally, borrowed prosperity, living beyond a nation's means, or a trade gap. The
balance is said to be favorable when the value of the exports exceeded that of the imports
(i.e.exports exceed imports), and unfavorable when the value of the imports exceeded that of the
exports (i.e. imports exceed exports).
Factors that can affect the balance of trade include:
The cost of production (land, labour, capital, taxes, incentives, etc.) in the
exporting economy vis--vis those in the importing economy;
The cost and availability of raw materials, intermediate goods and other inputs;
Exchange rate movements;
Multilateral, bilateral and unilateral taxes or restrictions on trade;
Non-tariff barriers such as environmental, health or safety standards;
The availability of adequate foreign exchange with which to pay for imports; and
Prices of goods manufactured at home (influenced by the responsiveness of
supply)
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This category consists of items such as tuition paid to universities by international students,
money spent on travel by tourists, banking, insurance, consulting services etc.
3. Interest payments on international investments.
{Interest, dividends and other income received on assets held abroad are credits (+)
{Interest, dividends and payments made on foreign assets held in are debits (-).
4. Current transfers
{Remittances by residence working abroad, pensions paid by foreign countries to their citizens
living in the country. aid offered by foreigners to the country count as credits (+).
{Remittances by foreigners working in the country., pensions paid by the country to its citizens
living abroad, aid offered to foreigners by the country count as debits (-)
As expected the country runs a deficit in current transfers.
The sum of these components is known as the current account balance. A negative number is
called a current account deficit and a positive number called a current account surplus. As
expected, given that it runs a surplus only in the services component of the current account, the
country runs a substantial current account deficit.
Intuitively, think of credits to the current account as transactions involving receipt of income to
country resident and debits to the current account as transactions involving payment of income to
foreigners. The transactions can involve goods, services, investment income, pension income or
other current transfers.
The Financial Account
The current account does not include the purchase and sale of financial and non-financial assets.
All such transactions are reflected in the financial account portion of the BOP accounts.
Once again, a positive value for the financial account is called a financial account surplus, a
negative value is called a financial account deficit.
The financial account is where the BOP accounts starts to get tricky. Since assets can be sold as
well as bought, we need to track the sale of assets as well as their purchase. The easiest way is to
record the sale of assets in the BOP in the exact opposite way we record the purchase of assets
(i.e. think of a $500 sale as a purchase of a -$500 asset). Therefore,
The financial account consists primarily of four types of transactions:
1. Foreign Direct Investment
Purchases of country capital assets (factories, machines, companies) by foreigners are credits (+)
Purchases of foreign capital assets (factories, machines, companies) by country residents are
debits (-)
Sales of country capital assets by foreigners count as debits to the financial account (-)
Sales of foreign capital assets by country residents count as credits to the financial account (+)
2. Portfolio Investment
Purchases of country securities (stocks, bonds, CDs, money-market accounts) by foreigners are
credits (+)
Purchases of foreign securities (stocks, bonds, CDs, money-market accounts) by country
residents are debits (-)
Sales of country securities by foreigners count as debits to the financial account (-)
Sales of foreign securities by country residents count as credits to the financial account (+)
3. Other Investments - Loans and Currency
Increases in loans & trade credits to country residents by foreigners (purchase of domestic IOUs
by foreigners) count as credits (+)
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Increases in loans & trade credits to foreigners by country residents (purchase of foreign IOUs
by domestic residents) counts as debits (-)
Repayments of loans & trade credits to country residents by foreigners (sale of domestic
IOUs by foreigners) count as debits (-)
Repayments of loans & trade credits to foreigners by country residents (purchase of foreign
IOUs by domestic residents) counts as debits (+)
Increases in $ holdings by foreigners counts as a credit (+)
Increases in holdings of foreign currency by country residents counts as a debit (-)
Decreases in $ holdings by foreigners counts as a debit (-)
Decreases in holdings of foreign currency by country residents counts as a credit (+)
4. Reserve Assets
Increases in dollar reserves held by foreign central banks count as credits (+)
Increases in holdings of foreign currency reserves by country central banks count as debits (-)
Decreases in dollar reserves held by foreign central banks count as debits (-)
Decreases in holdings of foreign currency reserves by country central banks count as credits (+)
The Capital Account
The capital account is designed to capture one-sided financial transactions, i.e. transactions in
which one country gifts financial assets to another country with no expectation of receiving
anything in kind.
In today's world, this implies one major type of transaction - debt forgiveness and relief.
{Forgiveness of countrys debt by foreigners count as credits (+)
{Forgiveness of foreign debt by country entities count as debits (-)
Money is any item or verifiable record that is generally accepted as payment for goods and
services and repayment of debts in a particular country or socio-economic context.[1][2][3] The
main functions of money are distinguished as: a medium of exchange; a unit of account; a store
of value; and, perhaps, a standard of deferred payment.[4][5] Any item or verifiable record that
fulfills these functions can be considered money.
Functions of Money
Various functions of money can be classified into three broad groups:
(a) Primary functions, which include the medium of exchange and the measure of value;
(b) Secondary functions which include standard of deferred payments, store of value and transfer
of value; and
(c) Contingent functions which include distribution of national income, maximization of
satisfaction, basis of credit system, etc. These functions have been explained below:
1. Medium of Exchange:
The most important function of money is to serve as a medium of exchange or as a means of
payment. To be a successful medium of exchange, money must be commonly accepted by people
in exchange for goods and services. While functioning as a medium of exchange, money benefits
the society in a number of ways:
(a) It overcomes the inconvenience of baiter system (i.e., the need for double coincidence of
wants) by splitting the act of barter into two acts of exchange, i.e., sales and purchases through
money.
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Apart from the Regulatory bodies, there are the Intermediaries that include the banking and nonbanking financial institutions. Some of the specialized financial institutions in India
are as follows:
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Effects of Inflation
Increase in production and investment: Inflation motivates producers increase production as
their goods or services will earn more profits (law of supply).
Greater inequality of income: Poor people more adversely affected by inflation. Inflation
widens the gap between rich and poor.
Balance of trade: Inflation will cause the prices of the goods and services to go up. It will make
the countrys exports less competitive in the international market and have a negative effect on
the balance of trade.
Exchange rate: High rate of inflation will affect the external value of money or the exchange
rate of the country. Other countries will find the currency more expensive and hence there will
be less demand for it and the value of currency will fall.
Measures to control inflation or Price Rise::
1. Monetary measures- Classical economists are of the view that inflation can be checked by
controlling the supply of money. Some of the important monetary measures to check the
inflation are as under:
Control over moneyIt is suggested that to check inflation government should put strict restrictions on the issue of
money by the central bank.
Credit controlCentral bank should pursue credit control policy .In order to control the credit it should increase
the bank rate ,raise minimum cash reserve ratio etc. It can also issue notice to other banks in
order to control credit
2.Fiscal measures- Measures taken by the government to control inflation.
A: Decrease in public expenditure- One of the main reasons of inflation is excess public
expenditure like building of roads ,bridges etc. Government should drastically scale down its non
essential expenditure.
B-Delay in payment of old debts: Payment of old debts that fall due should be postponed for
sometime so that people may not acquire extra purchasing power.
C-Increase in taxes : Government should levy some new direct taxes and raise rates of old taxes.
D-Over valuation of money: To control the over valuation of money it is essential to encourage
imports and discourage exports
Other measures
1 Increase in the production- One of the major causes of the inflation is the excess of demand
over supply ,so those goods should be produced more whose prices are likely to rise rapidly .In
order to increase production public sector should be expanded and private sector should be given
more incentives.
2 Proper commercial policy- Those goods which are in scarcity should be imported as much as
possible from other countries and their export should be discouraged.
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3 Encouragement to savings During inflation government should come out with attractive
saving schemes. It may issue 5 or 10 year bonds in order to attract savings.