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Fake Breakout Strategy

This strategy looks for "false breakouts" of strong support and resistance levels where the price breaks through the level but fails to close above or below it. It then places an entry order a few pips in the opposite direction of the false breakout. The trade is exited in stages, taking partial profits after the first candle and moving the stop loss to break even, and then exiting the rest of the position after the second candle. Multiple pinbars can also provide an opportunity for this strategy.

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Valmir Oliveira
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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
1K views3 pages

Fake Breakout Strategy

This strategy looks for "false breakouts" of strong support and resistance levels where the price breaks through the level but fails to close above or below it. It then places an entry order a few pips in the opposite direction of the false breakout. The trade is exited in stages, taking partial profits after the first candle and moving the stop loss to break even, and then exiting the rest of the position after the second candle. Multiple pinbars can also provide an opportunity for this strategy.

Uploaded by

Valmir Oliveira
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Fake Breakout strategy:

It is a universal market strategy, applicable to any speculation market. It can be applied to any TF,
best to use on Weekly, Daily, 4hr, etc as it allows more time to assess your trade.

Based on fear/greed principle in the FX Market, price breaks thru strong S/R level and more traders
join the trend in greed to try and make more money. Then for some reason a large # of traders
leave their trade (could be 1 or more institutions traders) fear kicks in and everybody starts rushing
to get out of their retracing trade.

(for purpose of quick explaining and less typing: lets use the example as an Up trend, breakout of
obvious strong Resistance)
ONLY on obvious strong Support/Resistance levels:

Wait for false breakout (pinbar) @ S/R level must break thru that level, fail to close above
Resistance;
o Wait for this pinbar to close;
Place Sell order to open 5pips below Low of Pinbar;
Entry will be triggered in next candle;
o If not triggered in this candle, cancel your trade;
 Unless you get a 2nd pinbar, then still valid option.
SL measure the pinbar, place SL @ 50% +5pips;
TP1 - @ close of entry candle, buy 66% of your sell trade ;
o Move SL to BE+spread;
TP2 - @ close of 2nd candle, buy balance of this trade;

Buy 66% @ first sell candle, move SL to BE. Buy remaining at close of 2nd candle

Buy 66%, SL to BE. Note no 2nd sell candle, thus you can Buy immediately or wait to see what market
decide if it goes in your favour longer, your benefit, else market will reach SL

Same with sell side, pinbar, retrace off Support... 5pips off high of pinbar, sell 66% at close of 1st
candle, move sl to BE, etc etc.

Multiple pinbars same story...

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