Market Commentary 05.04
Market Commentary 05.04
Indratno
Meike Purwadi
Deasy Rumopa
Helly Jusuf With the dollar squeeze on Friday, downside for the USD/IDR should be limited. Thin
Ivan Soekarma holiday markets should leave the pairing in consolidation around the 9100-handle with
Donny Indra Lukito
Lisda Lemena buoyant equities weighing. Intraday range is seen 9050-9125. High volume of trades in
Gracia Arliyanto the overnight dealt of 9085-9105 with closing at 9075-9100 from opening at 9100-9105.
Paula Wibisono (Surabaya)
Rini Marita Sajoto (Surabaya)
Ellen Suryani (Surabaya)
Weling Wiriyan (Medan)
The dollar firmed to its highest in more than seven months against the yen on today,
PHONE AND FAX NUMBER
extending after generally upbeat jobs data indicates the US economic recovery is on a
Jakarta (62-21) 5296 -1222 solid footing. A solid rise in private sector hiring in the jobs report has led traders to
Fax: (62-21) 52962291 believe the Fed may raise the discount rate again on today when it holds a meeting,
Surabaya (62-31) 3534123 providing support to the dollar. A declaration that China manipulated its currency would
Ext 6291 - 6293
Fax: (62-31) 5315577
trigger negotiations between Washington and Beijing and potentially lead to sanctions if
Bandung (62-22) 4221808 China refused to yield by moving toward a more flexible currency rate. China has
Ext 644 (Franky) amasses huge volumes of foreign reserve in the process of keeping the Yuan’s value
Fax: (62-22) 4221802 pegged to the dollar and its efforts to invest the reserve can cause prices to rise in global
Medan (62-61) 4555630
(direct Weling)
markets. Beijing has kept the Yuan steady since July 2008, after allowing it gradually rise
Fax: (62-61) 4578282 for the previous three years.
ECONOMIC NEWS ACTUAL EXPECT LAST
US Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) (MAR) -55.0% - -77.4%
Reuters dealing: BCOM US Initial Jobless Claims (MAR 27) 439K 440K 445K(R+)
US Continuing Claims (MAR 20) 4662K 4618K 4668K(R+)
US ISM Manufacturing (MAR) 59.6 56.0 56.5
www.commbank.co.id US ISM Prices Paid (MAR) 75.0 67.0 67.0
US Construction Spending (MoM) (FEB) -1.3% -1.5% -0.6%
US Domestic Vehicle Sales (MAR) 9.05M 9.00M 7.91M
PT Bank Commonwealth US Total Vehicle Sales (MAR) 11.77M 12.00M 10.36M
US Average Weekly Hours (MAR) 34.0 33.9 33.9(R+)
Wisma Metropolitan II US Average Hourly Earning (YoY) (MAR) 1.8% 1.9% 2.0%(R+)
3A Floor US Average Hourly Earning (MoM) (MAR) -0.1% 0.2% 0.2%(R+)
Jl. Sudirman 29-31 US Change in Manufacturing Payrolls (MAR) 17K 15K 6K(R+)
Jakarta 12930
US Unemployment Rate (MAR) 9.7% 9.7% 9.7%
Indonesia
US Change in Non-Farm Payrolls (MAR) 162K 184K -14K(R+)
Subsidiary
of Commonwealth
Bank of Australia
! "! # $ % &
Sterling hit a five week high versus the euro, extending the gains, as new poll showed
the chances of a hung parliament decreasing. However, analysts warned structural
issues in the UK economy would hamper investor confidence towards the pound in the
longer term. A poll by Metro/Harris showed the opposition Conservative party with a 10
point lead over the ruling Labor party, which would be enough to give the Conservatives
an overall majority after a general election expected next month. Headline manufacturing
PMI rose more than economist had forecast to its highest level since 1994, when the
economy was also emerging from recession.
Monday UK Market Closed for Easter today.
05 April 2010 ECONOMIC NEWS ACTUAL EXPECT LAST
UK Purchasing Manager Index Manufacturing (MAR) 57.2 56.8 56.5(R-)
TREASURY CONTACT
PERSONS: '
Australia Market Closed for Easter today.
FX INTERBANK:
Indratno
Meike Purwadi
Deasy Rumopa AUD/USD MONTHLY CHART
Helly Jusuf
Ivan Soekarma AUD/USD Mar 10 – Apr 10
Donny Indra Lukito
Lisda Lemena
Gracia Arliyanto
Paula Wibisono (Surabaya)
Rini Marita Sajoto (Surabaya)
Ellen Suryani (Surabaya)
Weling Wiriyan (Medan)
www.commbank.co.id
PT Bank Commonwealth
Wisma Metropolitan II
3A Floor
Jl. Sudirman 29-31
Jakarta 12930
Indonesia
Subsidiary
of Commonwealth
Bank of Australia
USD/IDR MONTHLY CHART
Monday
05 April 2010
TREASURY CONTACT
PERSONS:
FX INTERBANK:
Lenny Kurniawati
Veni Kriswandi
TREASURY CLIENT
RELATIONSHIP
Source: Bloomberg
Indratno
Meike Purwadi
Deasy Rumopa Disclaimer
Helly Jusuf
Ivan Soekarma
This document is produced by PT Bank Commonwealth Treasury based on information available at the time of
Donny Indra Lukito
publishing. We believe that the information in this report is correct and any opinions, conclusions or
Lisda Lemena
recommendations are reasonably held or made as at the time of its compilation, but no warranty is made as to
Gracia Arliyanto
accuracy, reliability or completeness. PT Bank Commonwealth accepts no liability to any person for loss or
Paula Wibisono (Surabaya)
damage arising from the use of this report. No person should act on the basis of this report without considering
Rini Marita Sajoto (Surabaya)
and if necessary taking appropriate professional advice upon their own particular circumstances.
Ellen Suryani (Surabaya)
Weling Wiriyan (Medan)
www.commbank.co.id
PT Bank Commonwealth
Wisma Metropolitan II
3A Floor
Jl. Sudirman 29-31
Jakarta 12930
Indonesia
Subsidiary
of Commonwealth
Bank of Australia