Manuals MK TG
Manuals MK TG
Marketing Simulation
Revised July 2016
Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Introduction ................................................................................................. 7
Why Use Simulations? ........................................................................................................ 7
What Will You Learn? .......................................................................................................... 8
LINKS Overview ................................................................................................................... 9
Market Demand Patterns ................................................................................................... 10
LINKS Decisions ................................................................................................................ 11
General Advice................................................................................................................... 11
Excel Spreadsheet Access To This Manuals Exhibits..................................................... 12
Chapter 1: Introduction
"The secret of getting ahead is getting started. The secret of getting
started is breaking your complex, overwhelming tasks into small
manageable tasks, and then starting on the first one." Mark Twain
In the LINKS Services Marketing Simulation, competing firms market and deliver support
services (e.g., computing/IT support, financial management, health care, repair, or
maintenance services) to household (consumer) and major accounts (business) customers
through a direct sales channel in multiple market regions. Your management team competes
against other firms in the support services marketplace. Working with your management team,
your goal is to improve your firm's overall financial, operating, and market performance.
The LINKS Services Marketing Simulation engages participants in all aspects and challenges of
services management:
Human Resources Management (hiring/firing/retaining and service personnel).
Marketing Management (segmentation, market selection, differential advantage, marketing
mix decisions, and service design and portfolio management).
Service Operations Management (technology, productivity, capacity management,
forecasting, and service quality management).
Research resources are available to LINKS firms, including service quality metrics, employee
and customer satisfaction surveys, and competitive benchmarking studies.
LINKS firms are challenged to effectively integrate business processes to create value for
customers and shareholders. LINKS highlights the interrelationships among marketing
activities, organizational capabilities, and service operations (human resource management and
technology), while enhancing and challenging participants management, analysis, planning, and
strategy skills. Your management team will also encounter challenges and opportunities arising in
organizational and group settings. These management considerations will be as important as
analysis and decision making skills in achieving success in LINKS.
The key to success in LINKS is a carefully developed long-run strategy with appropriate expertise
being applied to sales forecasting, market monitoring, financial analysis of alternative strategies,
planning, and marketing and operations decision making. A second major imperative is superior
execution of strategy in a dynamic competitive environment. Large doses of common sense and
managerial acumen will be needed throughout the LINKS exercise.
Why use simulations in management education? Why not use traditional classroom lectures,
perhaps combined with case studies? Adults learn best by doing. "Doing" involves taking
responsibility for one's actions, receiving feedback, and having an opportunity to improve through
time. In management education and training settings, management simulations foster learning in
a non-threatening but competitive environment of the kind that real managers face every day.
An ideal way to educate managers would involve taking over the management of a real
company. Unfortunately, real life has real-life costs and consequences associated with it. Few
companies would permit novices to run part or all of their business in real time. Perhaps more
importantly, real life evolves slowly. It takes quite a while for management initiatives to be
developed and implemented. Real life's feedback is slow in coming and often difficult or
impossible to interpret.
Like a flight simulator, a management simulator allows more rapid time compression, quick
feedback to the learner, and is a low-risk process (except to one's ego). A well-designed
management simulator can provide the student with a realistic education and training experience
in the relative safety of the simulations operating environment. And, perhaps more importantly,
the lessons learned in a management simulation occur within hours or days, not the months,
quarters, or years associated with real life.
Here are the classic reasons to favor management simulations in adult-learning environments.
Compared to traditional lecture/case/discussion educational events, simulations:
Reflect active rather than passive participation, enhancing learning motivation.
Apply key management concepts, especially coordination and planning.
Require analysis and decisions in the context of market-based feedback in the presence of
thoughtful, vigilant competitors.
Provide rapid feedback, encouraging participants to learn from their successes and failures
within a relatively low-risk competitive dynamic environment.
Provide learning variety through novel learning environments.
The learning objectives implicit in the LINKS Services Marketing Simulation include:
Developing and executing a strategy that creates value for customers and for shareholders.
Crafting an effective marketing program to communicate value to customers.
Matching demand and supply (capacity) in a competitive environment.
Managing service quality and technology
Managing service personnel (hiring/firing, training, and compensation)
Interpreting business performance metrics (e.g., employee job satisfaction and customer
satisfaction survey data)
Enhancing and encouraging fact-based analysis and decision making
Experiencing competitive dynamics in an evolving marketplace.
Beyond these learning objectives, other subtle learning goals include improving your ability to
recognize, anticipate, and cope with uncertain market forces. For example, well-designed
strategies, tactics, and plans can be thwarted by unanticipated environmental or competitive
forces.
Since the LINKS management simulation learning environment is built around teams, small group
functioning and decision making skills are emphasized in the background throughout this
simulation exercise. Since most workplaces include project teams, the management simulation
learning environment provides hands-on experience in identifying key principles and practices
associated with high-performing teams.
LINKS Overview
The best way to put distance between you and the crowd is to do an
outstanding job with information. How you gather, manage, and use
information will determine whether you win or lose. Bill Gates
Within LINKS, there are two support services categories (market segments): Household (i.e.,
individual consumers and family units) and Major Accounts (i.e., businesses and governments).
While sharing many elements in common from an operational perspective, these two market
segments represent completely different end-users. Household and Major Accounts support
services categories in LINKS are separate vertical markets that do not overlap.
Marketing activities articulate promises to potential customers of LINKS support services.
Support services are delivered by customer service representatives (CSRs). Firms support their
CSRs somewhat differently depending on their organizational capabilities (derived from how
services are designed) and technology investments.
Each LINKS firm in your support services industry has two services: one service targeted at the
Household market segment (service 1) and one service targeted at the Major Accounts market
segment (service 2). LINKS uses f-s terminology to describe specific firms and their service
offerings. For example, service 3-2 is firm 3s second service (a Major Accounts support service).
Each decision period in LINKS is one calendar quarter. Within LINKS, each calendar quarter
in the year is assumed to have an equal number of calendar days. There is no known time-ofyear seasonality in LINKS markets.
You assume control of your LINKS firm at the end of quarter 3. Thus, your first decisions will be
for quarter 4. Although your firm has been operating for a number of years, detailed information is
only available about the recent past.
All firms in your industry started quarter 1 identically. This is consistent with an industry that has
evolved over time so that (ultimately) all competitors now emulate each other. Decisions in
quarters 1-3 were constant throughout these three quarters. However, due to the normal random
forces in the various markets in which your firm operates (e.g., employee attrition), the financial
and market positions of the firms in your industry will vary somewhat at the end of quarter 3.
In each decision quarter, your management team accesses the previous quarter's results,
analyzes and evaluates recent performance, and plans and implements on-going marketing
programs and operations capabilities. The LINKS analysis-planning-implementation-evaluation
cycle is shown in Exhibit 1. This cycle repeats throughout your LINKS exercise enabling your
team to learn from experience.
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(3) Implementation:
Submit your decisions
for the next round via
the LINKS Simulations
website.
Iterate
The LINKS currency unit is the LCU, the "LINKS Currency Unit." The LCU is
abbreviated "$" and pronounced Ldollar ("el-dollar"). The "LINKS Currency
Unit" (LCU) is a Euro-like multi-country currency.
In your travels, you might have encountered the "$" symbol associated
with currencies in Australia, the Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Bermuda, Brunei Darussalam,
Canada, Cayman Islands, Fiji, Guyana, Hong Kong, Jamaica, Liberia, Namibia, New Zealand,
Singapore, Solomon Islands, Suriname, Taiwan, Trinidad/Tobago, the United States, and
Zimbabwe. That's merely a coincidence. The "$" currency symbol is widely known to have
originated with the Ldollar.
Customer demand in LINKS is measured in terms of (one-time) usage of a given service. In other
words, firms measure demand by counting transactions or units of service. Contracts for
support services that cover customers usage over a period of time do not exist in the LINKS
support services industry. Customers may have single or multiple transactions with a given
service firm within a given quarter. Some customers are more loyal than other customers, buying
more and (potentially) upgrading to a higher level of service.
Demand for each support service is influenced by its marketing program. For example, lower
prices and more marketing spending stimulate higher demand. In addition, various exogenous
factors influence market demand. There is no known time-of-year seasonality within the market
for LINKS support services. As with all goods or services, some customers are relatively heavy
users of support services while others would never purchase support services even with a price of
$0. Customers may choose to use your firms support services, purchase from a competitor, rely
on internal (i.e., in-house or do-it-yourself) support service, or do without altogether.
Customer demand for support services in the Household and Major Accounts market segments
may respond somewhat differently to the marketing variables at your firms disposal. Thus, what
might work well for one service in one geographic market might not work well for other services in
other geographic markets. For example, customers may be quite sensitive to price for a service
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offered in a particular market, while they are somewhat insensitive to wide ranges of prices for
services in other markets
LINKS Decisions
"The fight is won or lost far away from witnesses, behind the lines in the gym and
out on the road, long before I dance under those lights." Muhammad Ali
You assume control of your LINKS firm at the end of Quarter #3. Your first decisions are for
Quarter #4. Your predecessor management team left you no historical records other than the
Quarter #1-#3 financial and operating reports.
At the beginning of LINKS, teams take over management responsibilities of existing firms with ongoing marketing, human resource, and operations decisions in place. Whether these current
decisions are good, bad, or so-so is unknown. However, your firm is currently profitable, so things
can't be completely awful. You will have to live with uncertainty when LINKS begins. You are
expected to learn quickly. The strong current financial and market position of your firm means
that continuous negative profitability would be viewed as an obvious sign of poor management.
In each quarter, LINKS firms make a range of marketing, human resource, and operations
decisions that interact with each other, requiring close coordination between marketing programs
and operations capabilities. A number of research studies are available in LINKS. Firms may
choose to order these research studies in any quarter, incurring the associated research study
costs described later in the LINKS participants manual.
It is important to note that LINKS has a special continuous decision framework built into it. All
decisions from the previous quarter carry over intact into the present quarter, unless a firm issues
orders to change a decision. All decisions in LINKS are, therefore, standing orders and they will
continue to be in force until explicitly changed by a firm.
Youll submit your decision input changes and research study orders no later than the
designated input submission deadlines specified by your LINKS instructor. Youll access the
LINKS Simulation Database (via the LINKS website, http://www.LINKS-simulations.com) and
use your firms LINKS passcode to access your LINKS divisions data/decisions, retrieve past
financial reports, and make decision input changes for each quarter in your LINKS exercise.
General Advice
"The journey is the reward." Steve Jobs, Apple Computer Founder
Based on our observation of thousands of past LINKS participants, these general suggestions
have well-proven value:
Read and re-read this LINKS participant's manual (there's lots of good stuff in it).
Regularly think about general business and management principles and how they might relate
to and work within LINKS.
You don't have to know everything about LINKS at the beginning of the exercise, but you must
consistently increase your knowledge-base through time.
"Share toys" (i.e., work hard at sharing your useful fact-based analyses and important insights
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with all members of your LINKS team). "Knowing" something important personally is only a
part of the LINKS management challenge. Exploiting that knowledge effectively throughout all
of your LINKS team's deliberations, with and through your whole LINKS team, is the key to
harvesting the maximum ROI from your data, facts, analysis methodologies, insights, and
knowledge.
Get the facts and base your decisions on the facts, not on wishes, hopes, and dreams.
Work hard at anticipating and responding to changes in market-driving forces.
Coordination of demand and supply is key.
Remember the Ferengi proverb (for Star Trek fans): "There is no honor in volume without
profit." Volume, sales, and market share are easy to obtain, if there are no constraints on
profitability. Profitable volume is the "holy grail" in business and in LINKS.
Good luck and try to have fun in LINKS. It's all about learning and, in a "learning marathon" like
LINKS, everyone can cross the finish line in a personal-best time.
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Your firm has two support services in two categories (segments). Service 1 is provided to
Households and service 2 is provided to Major Accounts (i.e., business and government
customers).
You may modify the design of these support services, within the limits described in this chapter.
However, you may not change the support services category or target market (Household and
Major Accounts) for services 1 and 2.
Each of your support services has a particular design (configuration) when you assume control of
your LINKS firms. You may change the design of your support services as your LINKS event
evolves over time. Design changes influence demand for a service and firm service productivity,
leading to direct and indirect financial consequences. Service is provided by CSRs (customer
service representatives) in each market region. Managing trade-offs between service design,
cost, and CSR productivity will be important in LINKS.
LINKS support services have standardized designs across all market regions. There are no
regional variations in LINKS support services design. For example, service 3-1 is the same
Household support service design (configuration) in all market regions in which it is actively
marketed.
Since customer preferences may vary across market regions, firms may have to make trade-offs
in deciding how much to customize a services design (configuration) to create superior value for
customers in a particular market region. Customization of a support service to maximize sales in
one region might mean fewer sales to customers in other regions who prefer alternate support
service designs (configurations).
In LINKS, service design (configuration) is described as a seven-character code with the following
elements and interpretations:
(1) Service Category: "H" for Household, "M" for Major Accounts
(2) CSR Technical Training: 0-9 (hours per month)
(3) CSR Service Skills Training: 0-9 (hours per month)
(4) Service Appointment Scheduling: 1-7 (days)
(5) Scheduling Style: 0-4 (appointment scheduling window in hours)
(6) Service Call Duration: 1-3 (1=minimum, 2=more than minimum, 3=maximum)
(7) Service Call Format: 0 or 1 (0=telephone service, 1=on-site visit).
For example, service H243121 is a Household support service with 2 hours/month of Technical
Training and 4 hours/month of Service Skills Training for CSRs assigned to this support service,
Service Appointment Scheduling of 3 days (support service provided within 3 days of the service
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request from customers), a Scheduling Style with a 1-hour appointment window for support
service calls, a more-than-minimum Service Call Duration is provided to solve the customers
service request, and an on-site visit Service Call
Format.
FAQ
15
option (7-day service) incurs variable costs per service call of 0.5(8-7)(8-7) = $0.50; the
most expensive Service Appointment Scheduling option (1-day service) incurs variable
costs per service call of 0.5(8-1)(8-1) = $24.50. The variable costs associated with
Household support service calls are one-half of the associated variable costs for Major
Accounts support service calls.
- Indirect Costs: CSR productivity is influenced by Service Appointment Scheduling. To
provide sufficient standby/reserve CSR capacity to service shorter Service Appointment
Scheduling programs, available CSR service time is reduced by 1.5(7-SAS)(7-SAS) hours
per quarter where SAS is the Service Appointment Scheduling level associated with a
support service.
Scheduling Style: Support service calls
Case Study: Waiting For The Cable Guy
are scheduled within appointment-time
windows (e.g., between 100pm and
Some cable companies are decreasing wait
300pm on a particular day). Appointmenttimes and improving service via technolog.
time windows of 0-4 hours are possible,
Charter Communications:
Four-hour
Scheduling Style.
Thus, a 2-hour
scheduling windows; added tech support
appointment-window scheduling style has
through internet chat system and is
associated variable costs of $6 for
expanding on-line self-help.
Household support services while a 0-hour
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productivity for on-site support service calls is reduced by the average travel time of 20
minutes between on-site support service calls.
Reconfigurations
"Get the product out there as soon as you can and let the market judge how good it is.
You can fix it as you go along." William R. Hambrecht, Founder/Chairman/CEO of WR Hambrecht & Co.
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Firm
Quarter
Service 1
Service 2
Notes:
(1) Your firm may reconfigure, at most, one service per quarter.
(2) To reconfigure a service, enter new values for one or more configuration elements (CSR
Technical Training, CSR Service Skills Training, Service Appointment Scheduling, Scheduling
Style, Service Call Duration, and/or Service Call Format).
(3) Service 1 must always be a Household service and service 2 must always be a Major
Accounts service.
Reminders
Only input changes. If you're happy with the current values of these decisions, leave the
appropriate decision entries blank.
All decision inputs change the existing values to the values that you specify. Do not enter "+" or
"-" values. Rather, enter new values only (new values replace the existing value of the decision
variable with your designated value).
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In LINKS, support services are delivered by CSRs (customer service representatives) in each
market region. Service employee decisions include CSR salary, CSR hiring and firing, and CSR
time allocations in each market region to your support services. Your firm maintains a separate
CSR staff in each market region in which you operate.
A firms utilization level of its CSRs is the largest
driver of its service quality.
Higher CSR
utilization is associated with lower perceived
service quality due to service queuing, lack of
time for CSRs to provide high-quality service,
and related issues associated with high
utilization levels (including CSR turnover).
There is a natural lag between perceived service
quality and CSR usage (utilization) since
perceived service quality is survey-based.
Customers are surveyed about their service
quality perceptions of support services for which
they have personal recent experience. So, the
current quarter's perceived service quality is
based on actual CSR usage (utilization) from
the previous quarter. Balancing the trade-offs
among CSR usage (utilization), cost, and service
quality perceptions will be an on-going challenge
for your management team.
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FAQ
"Is a service usage level of 100% ideal?" With
100% service usage, your service personnel
have
no
time
for
training, vacation,
administrative matters, or other non-customer
facing activity. This workload level may lead to
higher personnel turnover. In addition, 100%
service usage means that lots of customers
have to wait for service, with associated
degradation of perceived service quality. While
less-than-100% service usage has higher
associated costs per contact, the key issue is the
trade-off between cost per contact and
perceived service quality.
Recent experience in the support services industry indicates that CSRs resign at the rate of 7%10% per quarter. Workload and compensation are thought to influence resignation rates, in
positive and negative fashions respectively. If your CSRs are asked to work very hard, their
productivity increases but resignations may also increase. As might be expected, higher-paid
service representatives resign with less frequency than lower-paid service representatives.
For newly hired CSRs, a month's training is required before they are fully functional in their new
positions. This months training ensures that newly hired CSRs are knowledgeable and courteous
employees. New hires receive their normal salaries in this training month, but they dont provide
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Service Capacity
CSRs provide support services to your customers. Each CSR has 22 8-hour days of service
capability per month (i.e., 176 hours of service capacity per month or 528 hours of service
capacity per quarter). Support service design (configuration) influences the available service
capacity of CSRs assigned to that support service. For example, if a particular support service
includes a service design of 4 hours/month of CSR Technical Training, then the available capacity
of the CSRs associated with that support service would be reduced by 4 hours/month (12
hours/quarter). Note, also, that Service Call Duration and Service Call Format influence service
capacity, since these service design elements affect CSR call time per call.
Heres a sample calculation of CSR capacity in a particular region for a particular support
service. In this sample calculation, assume that
1. 4 hours of CSR Technical Training and 2 hours of CSR Service Skills Training are included
in that particular services design;
2. Service Appointment Scheduling is 7 and Service Call Duration and Service Call Format are
minimum (level 1), so that there are no indirect CSR productivity consequences.
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528 hours/quarter
12 hours/quarter
6 hours/quarter
510 hours/quarter
510 calls/quarter
382.5 calls/quarter
This sample calculation is for continuing CSRs (non-hires). For CSR hires to this region, only
two-thirds of the 510 hours are available (CSR hires train for one month).
CSR staffing levels and staff-movement timing in each region are defined as follows:
Beginning Staff - Firings - Resignations + Hirings = Available Staff
In this CSR staffing level calculation, note that:
Available Staff includes a mixture of continuing CSRs and new hires (inexperienced
CSRs). New hires have less-than-full-hours availability due to their one month of training.
Forced CSR reductions through firing are assumed to occur at the beginning of a quarter.
CSR resignations are assumed to occur at the beginning of a quarter.
Available Staff in a quarter equals Beginning Staff in the subsequent quarter.
In calculating total service personnel salary in any service in any quarter, the relevant number
of service personnel equals Available Staff times the relevant region-specific salary level.
Each sale of a support service requires a service call. Thus, the number of service calls in a
quarter always equals the sales volume in that quarter.
Unfilled Orders
Similar to other services, support services are characterized by simultaneity of production and
consumption and, of course, perishability. Consequently, unfilled orders occur when customer
demand for any service in any market region exceeds the available CSR capacity for that service
in that market region. In LINKS, the difference between potential customer sales (orders) and
actual customer sales due to insufficient CSR capacity is "unfilled orders."
Unfilled orders are not backlogged orders. Unfilled orders are not guaranteed (i.e.,
contracted, pre-paid) future sales. Unfilled orders incur costs of $20/unit (recorded an Unfilled
Handling costs on your corporate P&L statements).
Past experience suggests that unfilled orders reflect three customer types. Some customers
immediately defect to another competitor's (available) support service. Other customers decide
not to buy any support service now or in the near future. Still other customers wait and attempt to
repurchase the preferred support service having these unfilled orders again in the future when
CSR capacity is more favorable. The size of these three types of unfilled-orders customers is
unknown. In all cases, however, it should be expected that customers remember their
experiences with unfilled orders and these unfavorable experiences influence their perceptions of
your service offering, negatively influencing subsequent sales.
Unfilled orders represent demand that might have been realized beyond "filled orders" (i.e., sales)
if sufficient service capacity had been available to meet all customer purchase requests. With
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unfilled orders for multiple services offered to the same market segment in the same quarter, the
same customers may have attempted to purchase from multiple firms, so firms must be wary of
the potential for industry-wide double-counting in unfilled orders reporting. In such a situation, a
single customer would be counted as an unfilled order by both services.
Service Overhead
Each CSR incurs direct and indirect overhead expenses in connection with providing support
services. Direct expenses include CSR benefits (health insurance, government taxes of various
kinds, and so on). Indirect costs to support service representatives include periodic service
training activities, service management overhead, office support, and infrastructure support
related to support services. In total, these service overhead expenses equal the CSR salary level.
Thus, if you have a monthly service force salary level of $3,000 in a region, a further $3,000 of
service overhead per month is also incurred to support each CSR.
Your firm is automatically billed for the direct and indirect costs associated with maintaining
service representatives in each of the market regions. These service overhead expenses are
recorded as "Service O/H" on your financial statements.
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customer follow-up calls, self-improvement study, voluntary training, and related activities that
may enhance their long-run capabilities for providing high-quality service. When their available
time is fully used to service current demand, there is no time available for such productivity
improvement activities.
In the long run, operating at or near full capacity may lead to degradation in service quality and to
increases in CSR turnover. Thus, there is a delicate trade-off between maximizing short-run CSR
capacity utilization and maximizing long-run service quality.
There are no financial or operational consequences associated with setting CSR maximum
capacity limits above current sales volume realizations. CSR maximum capacity limits are
interpreted as contingencies that only take effect if needed.
CSR maximum capacity limits for each region may be any number (integer) between 50% and
100%.
A blank "Service Decisions" form may be found on the next page. Complete this decision form
during your team deliberations.
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Region 1
Firm
Quarter
Region 2
Region 3
Region 1
Region 2
Region 3
100%
100%
100%
Note: Service center time allocations must sum to 100% in each market region.
Reminders
Only input changes. If you're happy with the current values of these decisions, leave the
appropriate decision entries blank.
Don't forget to zero-out prior hiring/firing decisions if you don't wish them to continue
on into the next quarter.
All decision inputs change the existing values to the values that you specify. Do not enter "+" or
"-" values except for CSR firings which would, by definition, be a negative number. Rather,
enter new values only (new values replace the existing value of the decision variable with your
designated value).
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Price Decisions
You set prices for each support service in each region. Prices affect demand in the usual fashion.
Higher prices are normally associated with lower levels of customer demand in all categories and
market regions. The specific price sensitivities in the support services categories and market
regions in LINKS are unknown. Youll need to learn about the markets' responsiveness to price
through your experience in LINKS and by exploiting available LINKS research studies.
In addition to the physical costs of producing and distributing updated price sheets, lists, and
databases that accrue when a firm changes price (so-called menu costs), a range of indirect
and non-obvious costs arise with price adjustments.1
Managerial Costs: A firm must gather information, analyze, assess, and ultimately
communicate the logic associated with price changes throughout their organization.
Managerial costs presumably increase with larger price changes, since there is more to
assess/analyze and more organizational members become involved with larger price
changes.
Customer-Facing Costs: When implementing price changes, a communications program
must be created and executed to portray a price change in the most favorable light to
customers. In a B2B environment, price adjustments potentially involve (re)negotiation with
those customers who are resistant to new (higher) prices.
In LINKS, each price change by your firm for a service in a market region results in $10,000 in
costs plus $200 in costs per-dollar change in price (increase or decrease in price) plus costs of
1
Recent published research documents the range of direct and indirect costs associated with price
adjustments for a large U.S. industrial manufacturer (more than one billion USD$ revenues selling 8,000
products [used to maintain machinery] through OEMs and distributors). The authors found that
managerial costs are more than 6 times, and customer-facing costs are more than 20 times, the so-called
menu costs (physical costs) associated with price adjustments. In total, price adjustment costs comprise
1.22% of the companys revenue and 20.03% of the companys net margin. {Source: Mark J. Zbaracki,
Mark Ritson, Daniel Levy, Shantanu Dutta, and Mark Bergen, Managerial and Customer Costs of Price
Adjustment: Direct Evidence From Industrial Markets, The Review of Economics and Statistics,
Volume 86, Number 2 (May 2004), pp. 514-533.}
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0.25% of current-quarter revenues. For example, a $75 change in price for a service with
revenues of $4,500,000 in a particular region incurs price change costs of $10,000 + ($200)(75)
+ (0.0025)($4,500,000) = $10,000 + $15,000 + $11,250 = $36,250. These price change costs
are recorded as Price Changes in the Fixed and Other Costs section of your firms profitand-loss statements in the quarter in which the price change occurs.
It's very easy to drop price to attempt to
increase demand. However, it's always an
interesting question whether that increased
demand
actually
increases
profits.
Remember, the price drop that generates
increased demand also reduces your margin
on each unit sold. More importantly, it's easy
for competitors to see and feel threatened by
a price change. Price wars are often initiated
by thoughtless price manipulations by naive
managers who assume that competitors won't
notice, won't respond, or respond ineptly.
Airlines: -12.9%
Tobacco: -4.9%
Semiconductors: -3.0%
Across all industries, the average decrease in
operating profit from a 1% price decrease was
8.0%, assuming no change in volume or costs.
Price change costs only accrue for services that are already actively being sold in a region. No price
change costs accrue for a service as it is being introduced into a region (i.e., it was inactive in that region
in the last quarter).
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Pricing Worksheet
This pricing worksheet is designed to provide an analysis framework anytime you are
contemplating decreasing prices within LINKS.
Complete the "Before" columns and review the "Before" columns with your team members.
Complete the "After" column with actual data from the next quarter, after the results are available.
Review the before-after comparison with your team members.
Firm
Service
Region
Quarter
Price [$]
Revenue [$]
Next
Quarter,
Predicted
After Action
Review
Next Quarter,
Actual
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For each support service and region, a complete marketing program consists of three
components:
(1) Marketing spending budget (the Ldollars allocated to marketing support of a service in a
market region).
(2) Marketing mix allocation, a 6-digit code corresponding to the 2-digit percentages (excluding
"%" symbols) of the respective allocations of the total marketing spending budget to
advertising, promotion, and sales force sub-programs.
(3) Marketing positioning, a 2-digit code corresponding to competitive positioning ("how-you-sayit") and benefit proposition ("what-you-say").
Obviously, these marketing program elements should generally be consistent with your service
offerings actual standing in the support services industry. Customers will notice if your firm
promises things that it doesnt deliver! On the other hand, your firm may vary your marketing
decisions over time as the marketplace changes.
If you make any inadvertent input error in marketing mix allocation or marketing positioning inputs,
the previous quarter's values will continue to be in effect in the current quarter. Examples of input
errors include marketing mix allocations which don't sum to 100%, marketing mix allocations of
less than 10%, and invalid marketing positioning codes.
Marketing Mix Allocation
Marketing mix allocation refers to the distribution of your specified marketing spending budget
across advertising, promotion, and sales force programs in support of each support service in
each market region. Obviously, these three percentages must sum to 100% for each support
service in each market region. You may vary your marketing mix allocations across your support
services and market regions.
Advertising programs are implemented by your firm's advertising agency in each region in which
your firm operates. Your regional sales managers implement promotional and sales force
programs in your regions. Sales force programs can include both internal sales representatives
(company employees) and external sales representatives (independent sales representatives who
work for several non-competing companies simultaneously).
Your 6-digit marketing mix allocation (excluding "%" symbols) specifies the 2-digit percentage
allocations of your total marketing spending budget to advertising, promotion, and sales force
programs, respectively. You must allocate at least 10% of your marketing spending budget
to each of advertising, promotion, and sales force. For example, the 6-digit marketing mix
allocation 113653 specifies that 11%, 36%, and 53% of the total marketing spending budget is to
be allocated to advertising, promotion, and sales force programs, respectively.
29
Marketing Positioning
Each support service in each market region has a marketing positioning to guide advertising,
promotion, and sales force efforts. Marketing positioning communicates the value proposition that
a service offers to customers in a market.
Marketing positioning includes both how to say it (competitive positioning) and "what to say"
(benefit proposition). LINKS firms select a two-digit marketing positioning code for each support
service in each market region.
First Digit: How To Say It
(Competitive Positioning)
Details follow about the specifics of how to say it (competitive positioning) and what to say
(benefit proposition).
How to say it" (competitive positioning), the first digit in a LINKS marketing positioning
code, reflects a firms decision about whether to focus on benefit(s) exclusively, price exclusively,
or explicitly compare benefit(s) to price within marketing positioning. Your firm may use the
adjectives "more," "same," or "less" to describe your service offering relative to competing
services targeted at a specific market segment in a particular market region.
Different combinations of these competitive positioning options (benefits and price) produce eight
meaningful marketplace positions. These eight competitive positioning options, and their
associated LINKS codes, are described in the following table. Dominated options, such as less
benefits at a higher relative price, are "blacked out" (i.e., infeasible) because they are always
inferior to other competitive positioning options.
"Benefit"
More
Price
Same
More
Same
Less
No Mention
Less
No Mention
7
(Exclusive
Price
Emphasis)
What to say (benefit proposition), the second digit in a LINKS marketing positioning
code, is an articulation of the specific benefit(s) offered by a service. For example, a support
service might provide benefits because it is better designed to match customer preferences, it
delivers a superior service experience, or it is more accessible to customers. In LINKS, the
specific benefit emphasis possibilities include design quality, experience quality, and accessibility.
A "Design Quality" (service design quality) emphasis promises benefits derived from the
support services design/configuration, such as convenient appointment scheduling and
superior service call handling
30
An "Experience Quality" (service operations quality) emphasis promises benefits derived from
the customers experiences with your firm's CSRs (i.e., delivered service).
An "Accessibility emphasis generates top-of-mind awareness and promises benefits derived
from ease of access, purchase convenience, and general presence/prominence in the
marketplace.
A services marketing positioning may focus on one, two, or all three of these benefits. Note that
price is not a benefit to customers, but rather reflects the economic cost incurred to obtain the
offering's benefit(s). Price positioning is included within the first part of the marketing positioning
decision, "how you say it" (competitive positioning).
You may emphasize Design Quality
(service design quality), Experience Quality
(service
operations quality),
and/or
Accessibility individually, in pairwise
combination, or collectively in a services
marketing
positioning
using
these
3
benefit(s) proposition codes.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Design Quality
Experience Quality
Accessibility
Design Quality and Experience Quality
Design Quality and Accessibility
Experience Quality and Accessibility
Design Quality, Experience Quality, and Accessibility
Introduction/Drop Decisions
You may introduce support services into market regions not currently active or cease to offer
(drop) services in some market regions. Introduction incurs a one-time cost of $250,000 per
region. Withdrawing (dropping) a service offering from a region incurs no special costs.
Introduction costs are recorded under "Introductions" on your financial statements.
3
Exhibit 3 (Volume Drivers in LINKS) and Exhibit 4 (Accessibility Perception Drivers in LINKS) provide
further details about the drivers of Design Quality, Experience Quality, and Accessibility.
4
If you choose an exclusive price emphasis for your competitive positioning (i.e., first digit of 7), then the
second digit of the marketing positioning code (benefit proposition) is irrelevant.
31
If you wish to "activate" a support service in a market region, you must issue a specific
introduction decision. Change the "Active Service?" status to "Yes" to introduce a support service
into a specific market region. To drop a support service from active status in a market region,
change its "Active Service?" status to "No."
You only introduce a support service into a market region once. Once a support service is
active in a market region, it continues to be active until you make an explicit
withdrawal/drop ("No") decision.
You must explicitly introduce a support service to a market region, regardless of your marketing
spending and your sales volume forecasts. Setting marketing spending to zero does not result in
the associated support service being dropped from that market region.
If you drop a support service from a market region, you must change marketing spending to $0.
Otherwise, marketing spending continues to occur, in anticipation of a future relaunch.
Your firm has a policy of limiting simultaneous new service-region launches to a maximum
of three in any quarter. So, for example, two services each launched (introduced) into one
region in any quarter count as two launches. A reconfiguration isn't a launch if that service is
already actively distributed in a region.
32
Marketing Decisions
Service 1
Firm
Region 1
Region 2
Region 3
Region 1
Region 2
Region 3
Quarter
Service 2
Active Service? {YesNo}
Price
Marketing Spending
Marketing Mix Allocation
Marketing Positioning
Reminders
Only input changes. If you're happy with the current values of these decisions, leave the
appropriate decision entries blank.
All decision inputs change the existing values to the values that you specify. Do not enter "+"
or "-" values. Rather, enter new values only (new values replace the existing value of the
decision variable with your designated value).
33
Service organizations are challenged to match demand and supply in a dynamic competitive
marketplace. Consequently, sales forecasts are extremely important to effective management
and business performance in service organizations.
Forecasting accuracy requires an
understanding of how a firms decisions influence sales. In LINKS, quarterly sales volume
forecasts are required for each support services sales in every market region in which a support
service is active.
Forecasting Accuracy
In LINKS, forecasting accuracy influences operations performance both directly (via adjustments
in base administrative overhead for forecasting inaccuracies) and indirectly (via CSR capacity
management considerations).
Administrative overhead costs increase by 1% for every 1% inaccuracy in your sales volume
forecasts. For example, a forecast error of 10% (whether positive or negative) for a service in a
region increases the administrative overhead costs for that service in that region by 10%.
The maximum administrative overhead penalty associated with sales forecasting inaccuracy
for each service in each region is a doubling of administrative overhead.
Forecast error costs are recorded as Forecast Inaccuracy costs on your firms profit-and-loss
statements, so the reported base administrative overhead costs are always $100,000 per
quarter per service per region.
Forecasting accuracy is also one of the measures included in evaluating each firms business
performance via the LINKS scorecard. See Chapter 10 for details of the LINKS scorecard.
Forecasting accuracy is equal to 100*(1-(abs(Forecast-Actual)/Actual)) expressed in percentage
terms, where "abs" is the absolute value function. Thus, a forecast value of 11,000 and an actual
value of 8,000 result in a forecast accuracy of 100*(1-abs(11,000-8,000)/8,000) = 100*(1(3,000/8,000)) = 100*(1-0.375) = 62.5%. The minimum possible value of forecasting accuracy is
0.0%. For example, with an Actual sales volume of 8,000, a Forecast above 16,000 results in a
forecasting accuracy score of 0.0%.
34
Step 2 (the "hard" part): Make adjustments for planned changes in your marketing (customerfacing) programs. The potential impacts of changes in service design, price, communications,
and service operations on your sales must be quantified.
Step 3 (the "subtle" part): Account for foreseeable competitors' changes in their marketing
(customer-facing) programs. It's easy to overlook competitors in forecasting. Assume that
competitors are vigilant and thoughtful and present.
35
Complete this
36
Forecasting Decisions
Firm
Region 1
Region 2
Quarter
Region 3
Service 1
Service 2
Reminders
Only input changes. If you're happy with the current values of these decisions, leave the
appropriate decision entries blank.
All decision inputs change the existing values to the values that you specify. Do not enter "+" or
"-" values. Rather, enter new values only (new values replace the existing value of the decision
variable with your designated value).
37
Information technology (IT) options extend your firms current IT systems. Some IT options
provide optional reports that can be made available to a firm. Other IT options are enhancements
to existing hardware, software, systems, and infrastructure that entail a significant one-time
expenditure to purchase/install a technology platform, as well as on-going expenses to operate
the system in each subsequent quarter. The costs associated with your IT decisions are recorded
on your "Corporate P&L Statement" under the heading "Information Technology."
In addition to the costs associated with the information technology (IT) options described in this
chapter, your IT charges include a $1,000/page charge for all financial and operating reports
plus research studies. Each quarter's charge is based on the previous quarter's actual page
counts (e.g., the quarter-32 charge is based on the quarter-31 page count).
38
39
40
A blank "Information Technology Decisions" form may be found on the following page. Complete
this decision form during your team deliberations.
41
Firm
Quarter
Region(s)?
Note: See the descriptions of these information technology options for the interpretation of each
possible decision option.
Reminders
Only input changes. If you're happy with the current values of these decisions, leave the
appropriate decision entries blank.
All decision inputs change the existing values to the values that you specify. Do not enter "+" or
"-" values. Rather, enter new values only (new values replace the existing value of the decision
variable with your designated value).
42
Your firm may choose a firm name. Any firm name with up to 40 characters is acceptable. This
firm name is printed on the top of all financial, operating, and research reports. Firm names have
no cost or known demand-side implications, so you are free to choose (or change) your firm's
name as you wish.
A blank "Other Decisions" form may be found on the following page. Complete this decision form
during your team deliberations.
43
Other Decisions
Firm
Quarter
Reminders
Only input changes. If you're happy with the current values of these decisions, leave the
appropriate decision entries blank.
All decision inputs change the existing values to the values that you specify. Do not enter "+" or
"-" values. Rather, enter new values only (new values replace the existing value of the decision
variable with your designated value).
44
Profitability Drivers
"A company can outperform rivals only if it can establish a difference that it can
preserve. Competitive strategy is about being different, deliberately choosing a
different set of activities to deliver a unique value mix." Michael Porter
The financial and operating reports described in this chapter are lengthy and detailed. To provide
an overall roadmap for thinking about the drivers of profitability, Exhibits 2-3 decompose net
income into its underlying components. In Exhibit 2, the principal drivers of net income are
revenues and costs. Taxes and non-operating income play lesser roles. Exhibit 3 provides a
breakdown of the underlying drivers of volume, one of the two key drivers of revenues. In
addition, Exhibit 4 provides a breakdown of the underlying drivers of accessibility perception.
Collectively, these exhibits provide a sense of the DNA of net income in LINKS.
Please consult Chapter 10 for a detailed discussion of the "Performance Evaluation Report" that
forms the first page of your financial and operating reports.
45
Volume
Revenues
Price
Variable Costs
Costs
Fixed Costs
Net Income
Interest Rates
Loans
Non-Operating
Income
Marketable Securities
Taxes
46
Price
Price Volatility (Over Time)
Technical Training
Service Skills Training
Appointment Scheduling
Scheduling Style
Service Call Duration
Service Call Format
CSR Capacity and Usage
CSR Compensation
CSR Turnover
CSR Employee Satisfaction
Service Tangibles
Support Service Technology
Marketing Program
(Marketing Spending, Mix
Allocation, Positioning,)
Price
Design Quality
(Service Design Quality)
Experience Quality
(Service Operations Quality)
Accessibility
Unfilled Orders
Competitors Marketing
Programs
Exogenous Factors
(Customers, Economy,
Regulatory and
Technology Environment)
Uncontrollables
Volume
47
Awareness
Perception
Competitors Marketing
Programs
Accessibility
Perception
Fill Rate
Availability
Perception
48
Corporate overhead ("Corporate O/H") is $500,000 per support service per quarter. This
per-service charge is incurred if a support service is active in one or more market regions.
Forecast Inaccuracy records the costs associated with forecasting errors.
"Information Technology" records all IT charges. Your IT charges include a $1,000/page
charge for all financial and operating reports plus research studies. This charge is per-firm
and is not related to the number of members of your firm's management team. Each
quarter's charge is based on the previous quarter's actual page counts (e.g., the quarter-32
charge is based on the quarter-31 page count).
"Introductions" reflects costs when services are introduced into market regions.
"Marketing" equals total marketing spending.
"Non-Operating Income" derives either from interest earned on "Marketable Securities"
(from the previous quarter's "Balance Sheet") or from interest paid on "Loans" (from the
previous quarter's "Balance Sheet").
"Operating Income" equals "Gross Margin" minus "Total Fixed Costs."
"Order Processing" records the $10/unit cost associated with processing all sales orders.
"Reconfiguration" equals the total costs associated with service design reconfigurations.
"Research Studies" reflects the total costs associated with last quarter's research study
requests. Note that the current quarter's research studies are executed after the current
quarter's financial reports are prepared. Thus, research study billings are lagged a quarter.
"Service Salaries" is the total salary cost associated with all CSRs.
"Service O/H" is the overhead cost levied on CSR salaries.
"Service Hire&Fire costs are the service hiring and firing costs.
"Unfilled Handling" costs are the unfilled orders handling costs ($20/unit).
"Taxes" reflects corporate taxes payable. Your corporate tax rate is 50%.
"Total Fixed Costs" is the sum of all fixed costs. Note that "Total Fixed Costs" does not sum
correctly down and across since some fixed costs are not allocated to specific services.
Balance Sheet
Your balance sheet records the usual assets and liabilities associated with your firm at the end of
each quarter.
On the "Balance Sheet":
49
Statement" in the following quarter. If cash falls below 5% of revenues, a loan is automatically
arranged to increase cash to 5% of revenues. You pay interest of 3% per quarter on "Loans"
and this interest payment is recorded as "Non-Operating Income" (a negative value of "NonOperating Income") in the following quarter's "Corporate P&L Statement."
"Corporate Capitalization" is the Ldollar-value of the original capital invested by your
shareholders to start your firm.
"Dividends" are cash payments to shareholders. In any quarter in which "Net Income" is
positive, 30% of the "Net Income" is allocated to "Dividends."
"Facilities and Equipment Investment" represents the Ldollar-value of your firm's investment in
facilities and equipment.
You can't run out of cash within LINKS. As necessary, loans are automatically issued to bring
your cash up to minimum requirements. Of course, you do have to pay interest on loans.
Whenever profits are positive, corporate policy is to allocate 30% of net income to dividends.
Current and potential customers interact with your firms call center to purchase support services,
schedule service appointments, and to ask questions about all aspects of your firms support
services. Your firm systematically tracks/counts callers questions.
The "Service Center Statistics Report" provides categorized service center call counts of callers
questions for each of your firms services in each market region. Service center call counts are
reported for these ten categories: billings, design configuration, design quality, first-time usage,
introduction (service introductions to market regions), miscellaneous, service call duration, service
experience, service scheduling, and unfilled orders. Where a single caller has several questions,
the call is recorded in multiple categories. Thus, these call counts are really question counts
rather than counts of caller calls.
Your firm outsources service center management to a reputable provider/vendor in each region
in which your firm operates. Your firm pays your outsourced service center $6/call received.
These costs are recorded as Call Center Service on your firms financial statements.
50
In the Excel results supplemental spreadsheet (accessible within the LINKS Simulation Database
on the LINKS website), additional service center results are reported within the
financial/operations results for the current quarter.
A Service Center Statistics History Report follows immediately after the Service Center
Statistics Report. Historical service center statistics (service center calls in each of the ten
calling categories) are reported for each service and region for each of the last six quarters.
This report permits convenient historical analysis of trends in service center calls.
Sales volume for each service/region/quarter is included with the service center statistics and
the service center statistics history (an additional row of data) to permit convenient data
scaling. For example, dividing the raw service center calls data by sales volume expresses
the service center calls in scale-adjusted call per sales order terms.
Sample Reports
"The meaning of life is to do the best you can with what you've got." Anonymous
51
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 5 Support Services Ltd.
INDUSTRY SRV
PERFORMANCE EVALUATION REPORT, QUARTER 16
PAGE
1
*****************************************************************************
52
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
INDUSTRY SMK
CORPORATE P&L STATEMENT, QUARTER 6
PAGE
2
*****************************************************************************
Sales Volume
Unfilled Orders
Price
Revenues
- Variable Costs
- Order Processing
Gross Margin
Fixed & Other Costs:
Administrative O/H
Call Center Service
Consulting Fees
Corporate O/H
Forecast Inaccuracy
Information Technology
Introductions
Marketing
Marketing Creative
Price Changes
Reconfiguration
Research Studies
Service Salaries
Service O/H
Service Hire&Fire
Unfilled Handling
Total Fixed & Other
Operating Income
Non-Operating Income
Taxes
Net Income
All Services
------------
Service 3-1
-----------
Service 3-2
-----------
95,734
57,762
37,972
239
150
375
22,903,800
4,025,341
957,340
-----------17,921,119
8,664,300
1,386,288
577,620
----------6,700,392
14,239,500
2,639,053
379,720
----------11,220,727
600,000
694,776
-300,000
1,000,000
104,179
17,000
0
2,400,000
0
0
0
0
2,826,000
2,826,000
162,000
0
10,329,955
-----------7,591,164
-----------121,434
-3,856,299
============
3,856,299
============
300,000
464,172
300,000
230,604
49,517
54,662
1,200,000
0
0
1,200,000
0
0
1,439,010
1,439,010
63,180
1,386,990
1,386,990
98,820
4,954,889
----------1,745,503
-----------
4,658,066
----------6,562,661
-----------
53
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
INDUSTRY SMK
HISTORICAL CORPORATE P&L STATEMENT, QUARTER 6
PAGE
3
*****************************************************************************
Previous (Quarter 5)
--------------------Sales Volume
Unfilled Orders
Price
Revenues
- Variable Costs
- Order Processing
Gross Margin
Fixed & Other Costs:
Administrative O/H
Call Center Service
Consulting Fees
Corporate O/H
Forecast Inaccuracy
Information Technology
Introductions
Marketing
Marketing Creative
Price Changes
Reconfiguration
Research Studies
Service Salaries
Service O/H
Service Hire&Fire
Unfilled Handling
Total Fixed & Other
Operating Income
Non-Operating Income
Taxes
Net Income
Current (Quarter 6)
---------------------
99,611
95,734
243
239
24,291,750
4,281,461
996,110
-----------19,014,179
100.0%
17.6%
4.1%
-----78.3%
22,903,800
4,025,341
957,340
-----------17,921,119
100.0%
17.6%
4.2%
-----78.2%
600,000
698,238
-300,000
1,000,000
129,294
17,000
0
2,400,000
0
0
0
0
2,844,000
2,844,000
162,000
0
10,394,532
-----------8,619,647
-----------76,774
-4,348,210
============
4,348,211
============
2.5%
2.9%
-1.2%
4.1%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
9.9%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
11.7%
11.7%
0.7%
0.0%
42.8%
-----35.5%
-----0.3%
-17.9%
======
17.9%
======
600,000
694,776
-300,000
1,000,000
104,179
17,000
0
2,400,000
0
0
0
0
2,826,000
2,826,000
162,000
0
10,329,955
-----------7,591,164
-----------121,434
-3,856,299
============
3,856,299
============
2.6%
3.0%
-1.3%
4.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
10.5%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
12.3%
12.3%
0.7%
0.0%
45.1%
-----33.1%
-----0.5%
-16.8%
======
16.8%
======
54
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
INDUSTRY SMK
SERVICE 3-1 P&L STATEMENT, QUARTER 6
PAGE
4
*****************************************************************************
All Regions
(TOTAL
)
------------
Region 1
( Central)
------------
Region 2
(
North)
------------
Region 3
(
East)
------------
Yes
Yes
Yes
57,762
19,015
13,119
25,628
150
150
150
150
8,664,300
1,386,288
577,620
-----------6,700,392
2,852,250
456,360
190,150
-----------2,205,740
1,967,850
314,856
131,190
-----------1,521,804
3,844,200
615,072
256,280
-----------2,972,848
300,000
464,172
49,517
1,200,000
0
0
1,439,010
1,439,010
63,180
4,954,889
-----------1,745,503
100,000
149,922
13,852
400,000
0
0
445,770
445,770
63,180
1,618,494
-----------587,246
100,000
103,506
10,724
400,000
0
0
312,840
312,840
0
1,239,910
-----------281,894
100,000
210,744
24,941
400,000
0
0
680,400
680,400
0
2,096,485
-----------876,363
Active?
Sales Volume
Unfilled Orders
Price
Revenues
- Variable Costs
- Order Processing
Gross Margin
Fixed Costs:
Administrative O/H
Call Center Service
Forecast Inaccuracy
Marketing
Marketing Creative
Price Changes
Service Salaries
Service O/H
Service Hire&Fire
Total Fixed Costs
Operating Income
=============================================================================
Sales Volume Forecast
Service:
Service:
Service:
Service:
CSR
CSR
CSR
CSR
Salary $/Month
Hiring&Firing
Maximum Capacity Limit
Time Allocation
16,381
11,712
19,236
3,000
27
95
39
3,000
3,000
95
44
95
70
403030
37
403030
37
403030
37
H446320
55
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
INDUSTRY SMK
BALANCE SHEET, QUARTER 6
PAGE
6
*****************************************************************************
ASSETS
-----Cash
Marketable Securities
Facilities and Equipment Investment
Total Assets
1,772,795
8,697,216
50,000,000
60,470,011
50,000,000
-854,748
-3,632,395
0
2,849,163
12,107,991
60,470,011
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
INDUSTRY SMK
SERVICE VARIABLE COST REPORT, QUARTER 6
PAGE
6
*****************************************************************************
Service
3-1
------0.00
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.00
10.00
10.00
------20.25
Service
3-2
------0.00
0.00
0.00
12.50
12.00
5.00
20.00
------49.50
56
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 1: Support Services Inc.
INDUSTRY TRC
SERVICE OPERATIONS REPORT, QUARTER 18
PAGE
7
*****************************************************************************
All
Region Region Region
Regions
1
2
3
------- ------- ------- ------===============
STAFFING REPORT
===============
127
-9
0
18
136
42
-3
0
0
39
108
-14
0
8
102
528.0
-12.0
-12.0
-1.5
-45.7
456.8
39
304.5
0
42%
7,482
95%
7,107
528.0
-12.0
-12.0
-1.5
-45.7
456.8
94
304.5
8
65%
29,495
91%
26,840
528.0
-18.0
-18.0
-24.0
-172.4
295.6
39
197.1
0
58%
6,685
95%
6,350
528.0
-18.0
-18.0
-24.0
-172.4
295.6
94
197.1
8
35%
10,276
91%
9,351
+
=
Beginning CSRs
CSR Resignations
CSR Firing
CSR Hiring
Available CSRs
277
-26
0
26
277
===================
PRODUCTIVITY REPORT
===================
57
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 1: Support Services Inc.
INDUSTRY TRC
SERVICE OPERATIONS REPORT, QUARTER 18
PAGE
8
*****************************************************************************
===============
ACTIVITY REPORT
===============
SERVICE 1-1
Service Calls
48,902
CSR Capacity
60,731
CSR Utilization [Q#18]
CSR Utilization [Q#17]
CSR Cost/Call
54.40
CSR Turnover
18,605
23,754
78%
78%
55.76
2%
5,242
7,482
70%
85%
62.59
6%
25,055
29,495
85%
83%
51.68
16%
SERVICE 1-2
Service Calls
34,909
CSR Capacity
40,016
CSR Utilization [Q#18]
CSR Utilization [Q#17]
CSR Cost/Call
77.53
CSR Turnover
21,133
23,055
92%
93%
73.63
11%
6,350
6,685
95%
94%
71.35
8%
7,426
10,276
72%
71%
93.89
8%
58
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: AAA Support Services
INDUSTRY MBA
SERVICE CENTER STATISTICS REPORT, QUARTER 8
PAGE
9
*****************************************************************************
All
Region Region Region
Regions
1
2
3
------- ------- ------- ------SERVICE 1-1
----------Billings
Design Configuration
Design Quality
First-Time Usage
Introduction
Miscellaneous
Service Call Duration
Service Experience
Service Scheduling
Unfilled Orders
3,743
3,772
16,351
8,823
0
7,708
3,547
8,414
31,840
832
1,381
1,172
5,588
2,903
0
2,859
1,142
1,978
11,166
0
836
845
3,388
2,081
0
1,584
766
3,078
7,596
636
1,526
1,755
7,375
3,839
0
3,265
1,639
3,358
13,078
196
SERVICE 1-2
----------Billings
Design Configuration
Design Quality
First-Time Usage
Introduction
Miscellaneous
Service Call Duration
Service Experience
Service Scheduling
Unfilled Orders
2,587
2,422
9,378
5,758
0
5,705
1,247
6,929
8,905
601
1,156
1,075
4,432
2,623
0
2,485
603
2,157
4,163
425
841
845
3,114
2,008
0
1,966
401
3,034
2,906
176
590
502
1,832
1,127
0
1,254
243
1,738
1,836
0
2,537
2,247
10,020
5,526
0
5,344
1,745
4,135
15,329
425
1,677
1,690
6,502
4,089
0
3,550
1,167
6,112
10,502
812
2,116
2,257
9,207
4,966
0
4,519
1,882
5,096
14,914
196
ALL SERVICES
-----------Billings
6,330
Design Configuration
6,194
Design Quality
25,729
First-Time Usage
14,581
Introduction
0
Miscellaneous
13,413
Service Call Duration
4,794
Service Experience
15,343
Service Scheduling
40,745
Unfilled Orders
1,433
... Total ...
128,562
59
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: ??????????????????????????????????????????????????
INDUSTRY UND
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY REPORT, QUARTER 6
PAGE 10
*****************************************************************************
IT Costs
-------0
1,000
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
000
Note: This listing of IT Costs does not include the $1,000/page charge for
the previous quarter's financial/operating reports and research studies.
*****************************************************************************
FIRM 3: Worldwide Support Services Unlimited
INDUSTRY IMC
FORECASTING ACCURACY REPORT, QUARTER 16
PAGE 11
*****************************************************************************
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
SUMMARY:
3-1
3-1
3-1
3-2
3-2
3-2
For
Region
------
Forecast
----------
Actual
----------
Accuracy
--------
1
2
3
1
2
3
16,452
11,840
19,277
12,904
9,811
6,805
17,731
12,203
22,301
15,016
10,383
8,675
92.8%
97.0%
86.4%
85.9%
94.5%
78.4%
89.2%
REGION 1
Service 3-1H
Service 3-2M
16,452
12,904
16,305
15,040
20,604
14,561
16,171
12,826
16,582
17,143
17,731
15,016
REGION 2
Service 3-1H
Service 3-2M
11,840
9,811
12,485
11,527
11,957
11,246
11,952
9,791
11,970
10,071
12,203
10,383
REGION 3
Service 3-1H
Service 3-2M
19,277
6,805
23,861
8,593
27,637
9,642
24,909
7,744
25,848
8,690
22,301
8,675
60
This chapter describes the research studies that are available in the LINKS Services Marketing
Simulation. These research studies provide information about competitors and about your firm,
competing firms, and about the support services industry and markets. These research studies
are typical of the kinds of research resources that exist in service industries, and the associated
costs are typical of the approximate magnitude of the costs associated with such research studies
in real industries. However, there's no reason to believe that every one of these research
studies is appropriate and useful at all times or worth the associated costs. You'll have to decide
whether these research studies are worth their stated costs.
Research studies requests are submitted along with your other decision variable changes.
Although LINKS research studies are ordered prior to the beginning of the next quarter,
research studies are executed during and after the next quarter, as appropriate. Thus,
research studies reports always reflect the just-completed quarter's experience.
An overview of the available LINKS research study resources is provided in Exhibit 5.
In the following research study descriptions, sample output illustrates the style and formatting of
research study output. These samples are only for illustrative purposes. The output should
not be viewed as providing any specific insight into your particular support services industry.
Which research studies should you purchase? When should you purchase these research
studies? Two snappy but uninformative responses would be "purchase exactly the research
studies that you need and no others" and "it depends." Unfortunately, these responses are not
very constructive counsel. Heavy-duty anticipatory thinking is needed before deciding on
research study purchases.
Bruce Henderson, noted strategist, author, and management consultant, offers the following
insightful process-based suggestion for conducting research:
"Define the problem and
hypothesize the approach to a solution intuitively before wasting time on data collection and
analysis. Do the first analysis lightly. Then, and only then, redefine the problem more rigorously
and reanalyze in depth. Don't go to the library and read all the books before you know what you
want to learn." The problem "reanalysis" stage is particularly relevant since that is where research
studies may play a role, once you have determined that the information provided in the research
may provide useful insight into the problem.
61
Research Study
Cost
Limit
Benchmarking - Earnings
$500
$5,000
Benchmarking - Marketing
$5,000
10
$1,000
11
$2,500
12
Market Statistics
$2,500
13
Employee Satisfaction
$15,000
14
18
$10,000
20
Customer Satisfaction
$10,000
23
Concept Test
24
26
Importance-Performance Analysis
27
28
31
Self-Reported Preferences
$20,000
34
$20,000
38
Retention Statistics
$10,000
In thinking about research studies strategy and tactics, some generalizations are possible:
Excellent strategy can only be developed based on excellent analysis. Since research
provides the raw data for excellent analysis, research should be an important component of
your LINKS decision-making process. Do not relegate your research studies pre-ordering
decisions to the last five minutes of team meetings. Rather, treat research studies ordering
decisions as a fundamental part of your whole LINKS decision-making process.
Plan ahead. To identify patterns and trends, you will probably need to order some research
studies on a more-or-less regular basis. A formal research studies plan should be a part of
your management planning process.
Systematize the post-analysis of research studies. This might involve, for example, the
continual updating of databases, charts, or graphs to reformat the raw LINKS research studies
62
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY # 1 (Benchmarking - Earnings
)
=======================================================================
Firm 1
Firm 2
...
Current
Net Income
----------2,974,292
3,472,461
Cumulative
Net Income
----------5,788,265
6,234,171
Current
Dividends
----------892,287
1,041,738
Cost: $500.
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY # 3 (Benchmarking Service Design
)
=======================================================================
Service 1-1H Configuration:
Service 1-2M Configuration:
Service 2-1H Configuration:
...
H351120
M724310
M522211
[reconfigured in quarter 3]
[reconfigured in quarter 13]
[reconfigured in quarter 7]
63
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY # 8 (Benchmarking - Service (CSR Usage)
)
=======================================================================
Quarter 93
-----------------REGION 1
-------Service 1-1H
Service 1-2M
Service 2-2M
...
61
51
66
Quarter 94
-----------
70
56
71
Quarter 95
-----------
80
65
67
Quarter 96
-----------
73
62
69
Cost: $5,000.
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY # 9 (Benchmarking Marketing
)
=======================================================================
Quarter 55
-----------
Quarter 56
-----------
Quarter 57
-----------
Quarter 58
-----------
----------HOUSEHOLD
REGION 1
min/ave/max
----------Price [$]
Mktg [$K]
----------MAJORACC
REGION 1
min/ave/max
----------Price [$]
Mktg [$K]
64
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #10 (Benchmarking - Info Tech & Research Studies
)
=======================================================================
Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm Firm
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---Billing System Technology
Industry CSR Satisfaction Survey
Internal CSR Satisfaction Survey
Internet-Delivered Ancillary Service
Telecommunications Systems Support
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #11 (Benchmarking - Operating Statistics
)
=======================================================================
Firm 8
-----------
Minimum
-----------
Average
-----------
Maximum
-----------
100.0%
50.7%
30.5%
5.7%
4.5%
.0%
4.7%
25.7%
4.8%
2.9%
100.0%
44.3%
30.5%
4.7%
3.8%
.0%
3.6%
22.0%
4.8%
2.9%
100.0%
49.1%
32.6%
5.6%
4.7%
.0%
4.5%
24.9%
7.8%
4.4%
100.0%
50.7%
38.2%
6.0%
6.0%
.1%
4.9%
27.2%
13.7%
7.3%
2,000
1,975
2,025
1,850
1,910
1,950
1,956
2,005
2,075
2,125
2,150
2,200
21,059
18,485
29,680
19,107
17,339
25,487
19,964
18,171
27,747
21,059
18,930
30,611
10.73
11.79
7.88
10.73
11.79
7.36
11.57
12.90
8.10
12.99
14.42
8.55
65
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #12 (Market Statistics
)
=======================================================================
--------------INDUSTRY DEMAND
--------------Region 1:
Household Demand
Household Unfilled
MajorAcc Demand
MajorAcc Unfilled
Region 2:
Household Demand
...
...
--------------------OVERALL MARKET SHARES
--------------------Firm 1
Firm 2
Firm 3
Firm 4
Firm 5
Quarter 11
-----------
Quarter 12
-----------
Quarter 13
-----------
Quarter 14
-----------
60,231
0
29,940
0
59,075
0
31,385
0
59,244
0
31,145
0
59,165
0
30,422
0
21,988
23,306
23,136
22,930
18.0
19.5
19.9
21.7
20.9
26.6
17.4
19.1
19.8
17.1
25.3
18.8
17.6
19.7
18.6
20.7
17.9
20.0
19.6
21.8
Cost: $2,500.
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #13 (Employee Satisfaction
)
=======================================================================
Quarter 33
-----------
Quarter 34
-----------
Quarter 35
-----------
Quarter 36
-----------
Information
Source:
Employee -------REGION 1
-------Service 1-1H
23.0
18.8
27.2
satisfaction is estimated via a regular,
Service 3-1H
16.0
22.8
26.8
Service 4-2M
25.2
27.2
29.3
quarterly industry-wide CSR employee
Service 5-1H
31.5
29.5
29.9
...
satisfaction survey.
CSR employee
satisfaction is the percentage of survey
respondents rating their overall job satisfaction with as "excellent" on a 4-point "poor"-fair-good"excellent" rating scale.
Cost: $15,000.
Limitations: The results of any quarters employee satisfaction survey only exist for firms who
agree to participate in the industry-wide CSR employee satisfaction survey. Blanks are reported
for firms declining to participate. Note also that this research study is only available to firms who
are currently participating in the industry-wide CSR employee satisfaction survey conducted by
the Support Services Industry Trade Association.
25.8
23.4
20.0
21.9
66
Purpose: This research study provides a regional summary analysis for each specified market
region, including current-quarter market shares, prices, and perceptions of design quality (service
design quality), experience quality (service operations quality), and accessibility of all activelymarketing support services.
"Experience
Quality"
(service REGION
HOUSEHOLD Volume
Market Share
Price DQ EQ Ac
3-1
15,938
16.6
5-1
15,855
16.6
215 2 77+ 31
quality associated with their support 6-1* 7,082 7.4
330 3 74+ 41
service levels, since customers must 5-2r
6-2u 11,781 12.3-
67
The historical time span for Research Study #18 is the current and preceding three quarters. But, only
three quarters of historical data pairs are available for analysis since current-quarter experience quality
perceptions are plotted against last-quarter service capacity usage rate. For example, in Quarter #10:
The first of the three quarters of available historical data are Q#10 experience quality perceptions vs.
Q#9 service capacity usage rates.
The second of the three quarters of available historical data are Q#9 experience quality perceptions
vs. Q#8 service capacity usage rates.
The third of the three quarters of available historical data are Q#8 experience quality perceptions vs.
Q#7 service capacity usage rates.
68
Sample Output:
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #18 (Experience Quality Perceptions
)
=======================================================================
-------REGION 1
-------Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
1-1H
1-2M
2-1H
2-2M
3-1H
3-2M
Quarter 14
-----------
Quarter 15
-----------
Quarter 16
-----------
Quarter 17
-----------
50.2
43.9
61.1
47.7
36.2
36.6
47.4
44.6
54.1
40.5
9.9
20.0
55.2
35.9
42.9
40.0
10.2
26.5
13.0
13.0
38.3
42.5
9.0
36.6
-------REGION 1
--------
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
80 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
.
HOUSEHOLD
.
.
1.
.
.
Perceived 60 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
Experience
.
.
1.1
.
.
Quality
.
.
1 .1 1
.
.
(%), This
.
.
. 2
.
.
Quarter
40 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 . . . . . . . . . . .
[n= 18]
.
.
.
1 .
.
.
.
.
.
1 .
.
.
.
.
.
20 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 . .1. .
.
.
.
.
.
3
.
.
.
.
.1 1
20
40
60
80
100
HOUSEHOLD Service Capacity Usage Rate (%), Last Quarter
Note: Active services for the last three quarters are plotted with multiple
data points in the same grid location coded by numbers (e.g., if three data
points occupy the same grid location, then the number "3" is reported). Ten
or more data points at one grid location are denoted by "*".
69
Sample Output
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #20 (Customer Satisfaction
)
=======================================================================
Quarter 33
-----------
Quarter 34
-----------
Quarter 35
-----------
Quarter 36
-----------
-------REGION 1
-------Service
Service
Service
Service
...
1-1H
23.0
18.8
27.2
Information
Source:
Customer
3-1H
16.0
22.8
26.8
4-2M
25.2
27.2
29.3
satisfaction is based on a customer survey.
5-1H
31.5
29.5
29.9
Customer satisfaction is the percentage of
survey respondents rating their overall
satisfaction with a support service as "excellent" on a 4-point "poor"-fair-good-"excellent" rating
scale.
25.8
23.4
20.0
21.9
Cost: $10,000.
Purpose: This research study provides concept test scores for a range of service configurations
"around" a designated configuration in a specified market region.
Information Source: This research study is based on end-user customer surveys.
Study Details: These concept test scores are "top-box" scores. They represent the percentage
of end-user customers surveyed assessing the hypothetical support services concept as being
"excellent" on a 4-point "poor"-"fair"-"good"-"excellent" rating scale. This rating scale is equivalent
to design quality perception reported in
Sample Output
other LINKS research studies.
Concept test scan searches are =======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #23 (Concept Test
)
conducted
"around"
the
specified =======================================================================
1-2 Current Configuration [Region 1]
configuration. Here, "around" means that Service
M886320
.9% [Region 1]
M885210 1.9%
M875220 2.1%
M885310 2.5%
M885320 3.1%
243 concept tests are executed (subject to
M886210 2.3%
M876220 2.9%
M886310 3.7%
M886320 3.7%
M875210 1.9%
M875220 1.9%
M875310 2.4%
M875320 2.6%
prevailing support services technology
M876210 2.3%
M876220 2.4%
M876310 3.2%
M876320 3.0%
limits), one for each of the configuration ...
attributes that are tested in concept tests,
varying the values up and down one from the specified configuration for each attribute. Concept
test scores are reported for all scanned concepts whose scores exceed that of the
designated configuration by at least 1%.
70
As may be noted from the sample output, the concept test score for the specified
configuration is reported, along with all of the results for the concept test scanning search around
that specified configuration. Only those scanned concept scores exceeding the specified
configuration by at least 1% are reported. In this sample output, the configuration M886320 is
apparently an unattractive configuration in region 1, thus accounting for the generally low concept
test scores for the specified configuration and for its scanned variants.
Cost: $15,000 per concept test per region for up to four concept tests in a quarter. Concept tests
beyond four in a single quarter cost double the standard cost of $15,000 (per concept test per
region).
Limitations: A maximum of eight (8) research studies of this type may be executed each quarter.
Each of these research study requests must reference a specific region; this research study
cannot be executed for "all" regions, but only for a single region. Concept test scans ordered
for all regions (region "0") will not be executed.
Additional Information: You need baseline concept test scores to interpret concept test scores.
A concept test score of 40% is interesting, but there is no way to tell if that score is associated
with a configuration that offers competitive advantage unless you have corresponding concept test
scores for existing support services that are already on the market. Current configurations or the
configurations of leading support services are obvious baselines. Of course, you would have to
execute concept tests on such baseline configurations (in addition to the hypothetical concepts of
interest) if you want access to such baseline-configuration concept test scores.
Purpose: This research study provides a price sensitivity analysis for a specific support service in
a specific region (or all regions). This research study permits the simultaneous testing of a
reconfiguration of an existing, active service and an associated price level of the users
choosing. Thus, Research Study #24 is a focused test marketing experiment with userspecified configurations and prices.
Information Source: This research study is based on surveys of customers, using advanced
marketing research techniques.
Study Details: These price sensitivity analyses isolate the impact of price on market share, while
holding other market share drivers constant (design quality, experience quality, and accessibility
perceptions).
Nine price levels are used in this research study. With no user-specified price input, these
price levels are automatically centered around the current price (the Reference Price) of the
service in each region for which this research study is executed. Values of -40%, -30%, -20%, 10%, 0% (i.e., current price), +10%, +20%, 30%, and +40%, relative to the service's Reference
Price, are used.
If configuration and price are left at their default values (?? and 0, respectively), then
Research Study #24 is executed with the existing service centered around the current price of
the specified service. Otherwise, the user-specified configurations and prices (with the
specified price being the Reference Price) are used. Market share predictions are provided for
71
Price
$ 111$ 130$ 148$ 167$ 185$ 203$ 222$ 240$ 259
Cost
$
65$
65$
65$
65$
65$
65$
65$
65$
65
Margin
$
45$
64$
82$ 101$ 119$ 137$ 156$ 174$ 193
Sales Volume61,32047,17837,32729,23323,30818,70114,93512,30510,138
Market Share 94.7% 72.9% 57.7% 45.2% 36.0% 28.9% 23.1% 19.0% 15.7%
Gross Margin$2,759$3,019$3,060$2,952$2,773$2,562$2,329$2,141$1,956
(in $000s)
(in $000s)
Special Interpretation Reminder: In interpreting these Gross Margin estimates for different
price levels tested, service-related costs are assumed to be fixed. That is, it is assumed that
there is no change in CSR staffing assignments (and service costs) for this support service in
this region across any of the price levels tested in this Price Sensitivity Analysis. In addition, it
is assumed that there is sufficient CSR capacity available for this support service in this region
so that no unfilled orders exist across any of the price levels tested. Since these assumptions
may be inappropriate, the Adjusted Gross Margin estimates are provided at the bottom of the
72
$240
6,508
10.1%
$280
4,603
7.2%
$320
4,398
6.8%
$360
3,319
5.2%
$400
2,778
4.3%
$440
2,564
4.0%
$480
2,432
3.8%
$520
2,487
3.9%
$560
1,781
2.8%
Limitations: A maximum of four (4) research studies of this type may be executed each quarter.
Each of these price sensitivity analysis research study requests must reference a single service
and one or all regions. This research study may only be conducted for services that are already
actively distributed in a region. This research study may not be used for services prior to their
introduction into a region.
Additional Information: These market share predictions and subsequent estimates of gross
margins are based on the assumption that competing support services don't change their
generate demand programs. Obviously, large price changes will tend to evoke competitive
responses.
The reported market shares in Research Study #24 are long-run estimates of market
shares if you continue with all of your current customer-facing initiatives (configurations,
marketing spending, service levels, etc.) as they are now and so do competitors. Market
infrastructure issues (like unfilled order status) are not considered. Only your price is
"manipulated" in Research Study #24. Thus, these Research Study #24 estimates of market
share will not correspond exactly to your current actual market shares (as reported, for
example, in Research Study #14).
73
Competitive Disadvantage:
Customer
Importance
low
below
average
1.0
above
average
74
Determining the true importance of market share drivers (such as price, perceived [service]
design quality, perceived [service] experience quality, and perceived accessibility) to customers is
one of the great continuing challenges in
Sample Output
marketing. And, of course, to further
complicate the matter, these importances ====================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #26 (Importance-Performance Analysis)
presumably vary across customer Service 7-2 [MAJOR ACCOUNTS], Region 3
====================================================
segments. The stakes are very high
MS=12.0% [ms=13.4%]
here. If you were sure that perceived
P= 330 [ p= 230 ]
D= 2.9% [ d= 2.9%]
(service) design quality was the major
E=39.2% [ e=62.3%]
A=38.3% [ a=42.3%]
driver in a particular market segment, the
--------------------38.1|
|
|
right managerial response would be to
|
|
|
|
E |
e
|
work to improve (service) design quality.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
This would have the most significant RELATIVE
CUSTOMER
--------------------|
|
impact on market share. In such a IMPORTANCE ||
|
|
|
P|
p |
circumstance, great attention and
|
| Dd
|
|
| Aa
|
resources would be appropriately
18.0|
|
|
--------------------devoted to reconfiguration activities. On
0
1
3+
the other hand, if price was crucial, then
RELATIVE COMPETITIVE PERFORMANCE
[compared to all competitors]
efforts to lower prices would be
paramount (perhaps via efforts to
reconfigure costs out of a service. Note Notes:
(1) Relative Customer Importance" references self-reported importance
weights.
that these are two entirely different (2) "Relative
Competitive Performance" compares a particular driver (e.g.,
perceived accessibility) to the average driver value. In such relative
strategies, and they depend crucially on
comparisons, an index value of 1.0 denotes parity with the industry
average while values greater [less] than 1.0 denote superiority
the true underlying importance of the
[inferiority]. For price, the index is reversed, so that higher
performance (i.e., lower price than the industry average) represents
superior performance.
drivers of market share.
(3) Symbol definitions in these importance-performance charts are as follows:
MS [ms] = market share, current [previous] quarter
Self-reported importance weights are
P [p] = end-user price, current [previous] quarter
D [d] = perceived (service) design quality, current [previous] quarter
fragile things, subject to a variety of
E [e] = perceived (service) experience quality, current [previous]
quarter
possible biases. Survey respondents
A [a] = perceived accessibility, current [previous] quarter.
may report that they want it all
("everything is important"), that the
convenient-to-answer price-effect is quite important when it really isn't, or may be unable or
unwilling to make reliable trade-offs among price, perceived (service) design quality, perceived
(service) experience quality, and perceived accessibility.
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #27 (Marketing Program Benchmarking
)
=======================================================================
Marketing Program Spending
Marketing --------------------------Spending Advertis Promotion SalesFor Pos
--------- -------- --------- -------- --REGION 1, HOUSEHOLD
1-1H
500,000
2-1H
900,000
3-1H
450,000
4-1H
600,000
5-1H
362,000
...
250,000
180,000
180,000
210,000
144,800
150,000
360,000
135,000
210,000
144,800
100,000
360,000
135,000
180,000
72,400
53
12
23
21
12
75
each category in each specified market region, marketing program benchmarks are provided:
total marketing spending; advertising spending ("Advertis"); promotion spending; sales force
spending ("SalesFor"); and, marketing communications positioning ("Pos").
Purpose: This research study conducts a marketing program experiment. Inputs include a full
marketing program (marketing spending, marketing mix allocation, and positioning) for a service
in one or all regions. Outputs include customer perceptions of design quality, experience quality,
and accessibility.
Information Source:
This marketing program experiment is executed in a small but
representative part of the specified market region. This marketing program experiment is
executed using your specified marketing program and all other current marketing mix variables of
your service and all competitors' services. Your competitors will not be aware of the existence of
this marketing program experiment and they have no opportunity to intervene to attempt to
influence the results of this experiment. Competitors' marketing decision variables are held
constant at their values in the previous quarter.
Cost: $12,500 per marketing program experiment.
Execution Details: To specify "all" regions within a single marketing program experiment, enter
"0" (zero) as the region selection. This, of course, would involve multiple executions of marketing
program experiments with consequent cost implications. Marketing program experiments must be
executed for a specific service. If you wish to execute multiple marketing program experiments,
you must specify them separately for each service.
Research Study #28 (Marketing Program Experiment) automatically includes three
experiments for each RS#28 input set. Research Study #28 includes experiments with the
specified marketing spending input plus additional experiments with 50% more and 50% less
than the specified marketing spending input. These three experiments are included at the
standard cost of Research Study #28.
76
Sample Output:
=======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #28 (Marketing Program Experiment
)
=======================================================================
Marketing Program Inputs
Service 4-1
Service 4-1
Service 4-1
MktgSp
2
2
2
200K
100K
150K
50K
33K
30K
50K 73
33K 12
90K 37
Perceptions
DQ
27.1%
34.2%
14.3%
EQ
Ac
20.1% 23.5%
15.9% 25.1%
18.3% 43.9%
Notes:
(1) In the heading, "R" refers to region, "MktgSp" refers to total marketing
spending (in L$000s), "MktgMx" refers to marketing mix allocations (2-digit
%s of total marketing spending allocated to advertising, promotion, and sales
force), "Adve" refers to implied advertising spending (in L$000s), "Prom"
refers to implied promotion spending (in L$000s), "SFor" refers to implied
sales force spending (in L$000s), and "MP" refers to marketing positioning.
(2) This research study may only be executed for services already actively
marketed in a region. Blank results are reported for perceptions for
services not actively marketed.
Limitations: A maximum of seven (7) marketing program experiments may be conducted in any
quarter. Each marketing program experiment may reference one or all regions.
Marketing program experiments may only be executed for services already actively
distributed in a region. Blank results are reported for perceptions for services not already
actively distributed in a region.
Other Comments: Marketing program experiments permit an assessment of the impact of
marketing spending, marketing mix allocation, and positioning on key perceptual outputs (design
quality perceptions, experience quality perceptions, and accessibility perceptions). Although not a
final outcome measure like market share, sales volume, or profitability, customer perceptions
have the advantage of being the direct consequences of a services marketing program. Final
outcome measures like market share, sales volume, and profitability are influenced by many
forces, not just a service's marketing program.
Benchmarks are needed to assess the perceptual results in marketing experiments. You can
create your own benchmark by testing the marketing program along with variations of interest.
While such benchmarking requires the execution of a base marketing experiment (with current
marketing spending, marketing mix allocation, and positioning) in addition to the test variations of
interest, such benchmarking provides the standard against which marketing program variations
may be compared.
Marketing experiments have some randomness inherent in their results. This implies that you
would only change your marketing program (marketing spending, marketing mix allocation, and
positioning) if a particular marketing program variation yielded a noteworthy change in customer
perceptions.
77
Sample Output
=========================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #31 (Self-Reported Preferences
)
=========================================================
Region
1
------
Region
2
------
Region
3
------
2.46
3.60
3.55
6.56
3.11
2.03
5.60
5.27
3.32
3.65
2.75
2.27
4.78
4.49
5.54
2.40
4.24
4.66
5.01
4.36
3.12
4.03
3.13
3.94
4.69
4.07
3.18
6.18
3.41
6.19
5.63
2.10
3.90
3.20
5.97
6.00
3.17
3.75
4.61
5.81
6.16
2.78
--------HOUSEHOLD
--------Accessibility
Advertising
CSR Service Skills Training
CSR Technical Training
Design Quality
Experience Quality
Marketing
Price
Promotion
Sales Force
Scheduling Style
Service Appointment Schedule
Service Call Duration
Service Call Format
78
79
Sample Output
======================================================================
RESEARCH STUDY #38 (Retention Statistics
)
======================================================================
-------REGION 1
-------Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
Service
...
1-1H
1-2M
2-1H
2-2M
3-1H
3-2M
4-1H
Quarter 13
----------
Quarter 14
----------
Quarter 15
----------
Quarter 16
----------
60.2
39.6
60.5
41.4
59.0
39.1
58.0
58.3
40.5
58.2
41.1
60.0
38.8
61.3
58.1
39.4
60.2
41.3
61.4
39.0
58.6
58.0
38.9
60.7
40.3
57.9
41.0
60.5
Cost: $10,000.
Other Comments: Retention rates are measures of long-run average customer loyalty to a justpurchased support service. They are estimates of the average current purchasers stated
intention of probability of repeat purchase. Retention rates are also used by marketing analysts to
estimate customer lifetime value (CLV).
80
CLV
t 1
(GMt )r t
(1 d ) t
81
the companies. Their estimates were reasonably close to the market values for three firms, and
significantly lower for two firms (Amazon and eBay). They inferred that these two firms are either
likely to achieve higher growth rates in customers or margins than they forecast, or they have
some other large option value that the CLV framework doesnt capture.
Sample Customer Lifetime Value Calculation
An auto dealership tracks customers who use its service facility. New customers represent $50 in
1st-year margins, $100 in 2nd-year margins, $125 in 3rd-year margins, and $100 in margins in
subsequent years. The dealership estimates that customers defect at a rate of 20% per year.
That is, only 80% of new customers continue to use the automobile dealership's services in the
second year, only 60% of new customers continue to use the automobile dealership's services in
the third year. etc. Assume the firms discount rate is 20%. We can calculate the CLV for the
average customer as follows:
2
Suppose the auto dealership was able to reduce customer defections from 20% to 15% per year.
Then, CLV for the average customer would be $205.10. Thus, a 5% reduction in the rate of
customer defections (a 5% increase in the customer retention rate) increases profitability by
22.1%. Note that, in this example, we discount cash flows back to year 0 and assume there was
no acquisition cost at year 0.
82
83
Benchmarking - Earnings
Benchmarking - Marketing
10
11
12
Market Statistics
13
Employee Satisfaction
14
18
20
Customer Satisfaction
Firm
Quarter
Region(s)?
Notes:
(1) Circle the number of each research study that you wish to order. If additional information is
required for a research study, provide that information in the designated space(s).
(2) When region numbers are required, enter a single region number. Use region "0" as a
designation to run a research study for all regions. See the research study descriptions for
details about the associated multi-region costs.
Reminders
Research study requests are for one quarter only. If you wish to reorder a research study in a
subsequent quarter, you must reenter that research study request.
84
24
Concept Test
Price
Sensitivity
Analysis
Firm
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Region?
Configuration?
Quarter
Service?
Region?
Configuration?
Price?
Service?
Region?
Configuration?
Price?
Service?
Region?
Configuration?
Price?
Service?
Region?
Configuration?
Price?
26
Importance-Performance Analysis
Region(s)?
27
Region(s)?
31
Self-Reported Preferences
34
38
Retention Statistics
Notes:
(1) Circle the number of each research study that you wish to order. If additional information is required for a
research study, provide that information in the designated space(s).
(2) When region numbers are required, enter a single region number. Use region "0" as a designation to run
a research study for all regions. See the research study descriptions for details about the associated
multi-region costs.
Reminders
Research study requests are for one quarter only. If you wish to reorder a research study in a subsequent
quarter, you must reenter that research study request.
85
Service?
Firm
Region?
MarketingMix?
Service?
Region?
Region?
Region?
Region?
MarketingMix?
Marketing$?
Positioning?
Region?
MarketingMix?
Service?
Marketing$l?
Positioning?
MarketingMix?
Service?
Marketing$?
Positioning?
MarketingMix?
Service?
Marketing$?
Positioning?
MarketingMix?
Service?
Marketing$?
Positioning?
MarketingMix?
Service?
Quarter
Marketing$?
Positioning?
Region?
Marketing$?
Positioning?
Reminders
Research study requests are for one quarter only. If you wish to reorder a research study in a
subsequent quarter, you must reenter that research study request.
86
87
Weight
Sub-Measure Details
Weight
Sub-Measure Details
Fill Rate
Forecasting Accuracy
CSR Turnover
-1
CSR Cost/Call
-1
Weight
Sub-Measure Details
Customer Satisfaction
Operational Sub-Measures
Customer Sub-Measures
Notes: Positive "weights" are associated with sub-measures where "more is better" and negative
"weights" are associated with sub-measures where "less is better." "Change" measures are
based on quarter-to-quarter changes.
88
This chapter discusses a range of topics related to successfully managing your LINKS firm
throughout your LINKS event.
Planning
"Direct, simple plans, and clear concise orders are essential to reduce the chances of
misunderstanding and confusion. Other factors being equal, the simplest plan executed
promptly is to be preferred over the complex plan executed later." U.S. Army Field Manual 100-5
Planning occurs throughout LINKS. Your decisions are your plans. But that's not the whole story.
How are plans developed? And, much more importantly, how are good plans developed?
Planning and plans are the consequence of careful analysis and formulation of appropriate
strategies and tactics. Your plan is, therefore, the natural consequence of considerable prior
analysis and thinking. This analysis-planning-implementation-evaluation sequence iterates
through time as the results of your plans are revealed in the market place (and in your financial
and operating statements).
The essence of planning involves answering these questions (and in this order):
(1) What is happening?
(2) How are we doing?
(3) How and what are "they" (our major competitors) doing?
(4) What factors are important for success?
(5) What are we going to do? Why? With what effect? At what cost?
(6) Who - specifically - is to do what to make the plan work?
The SWOT Analysis Worksheet, on the next page, is the classic strengths-weaknessesopportunities-threats template for organizing your thoughts under the "What is happening?" and
"How are we doing?" questions.
Youre a member of a team in LINKS. Managing your team to obtain the best efforts of all team
members is a continuing management challenge.
Your most limited resource is your team's available time. Well-performing teams inevitably
manage their management time carefully and thoughtfully. You will need to think carefully
about how to allocate your management time to necessary tasks that exist within LINKS.
89
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
What
organizational,
competitive,
and
environmental threats do you face now and in
the near future?
90
As you gain experience with LINKS, it may well appear that a review is needed of an earlier
group decision about how to allocate tasks, responsibilities, and available management time.
Don't be shy within your LINKS team about asking the question: "Are we organized in the
best way for the tasks ahead?" This is always a good question.
There are predictable signals of well-performing teams in simulations (and in real life!). Pamela
Van Rees (Boston University MBA student), provided the following list of characteristics of wellfunctioning simulation teams:
The firm's long-term well-being is the top priority of all members.
Relevant issues are fully and adequately explored.
Proposals and objectives are clearly explained.
Members feel comfortable and spontaneous.
Feedback is given freely and directly.
Members feel respected, supported, and listened to.
Disagreements are tactfully stated without being offensive.
Differences and misunderstandings are resolved in such a way as to strengthen and deepen
rather than weaken relationships (by exploring the origins and implication of ideas).
Everyone's judgment is acknowledged and explored.
Interruptions are minimal.
Everyone's schedule is accommodated as fully as possible.
At any given time in a group meeting, each firm member is either engaged in holding the
focus (proposing an idea or decision), listening to another's focus, giving feedback about the
focus, or facilitating (creating the structure or leading) the discussion.
The principal causes of poor team performance in the simulation are a combination of the
following factors:
(1) uncoordinated demand-supply management;
(2) not really meeting customer requirements for support services (i.e., failure to establish any
meaningful differential advantage, particularly regarding service design);
(3) lack of focus (capacity, reconfiguration, time, and human resource constraints combine to
favor concentrated effort in fewer than "all" market regions);
(4) limited research and/or limited efforts to interpret the research studies that are available;
(5) limited attention to competitive developments (i.e., lack of in-depth competitor analysis to
discover the underlying drivers of market behavior);
(6) financial mismanagement related to cost structure management (variable and fixed costs
management, covering corporate-wide overheads, etc.), and capacity management;
(7) not understanding the simulation's structure/environment (i.e., treating the participant's manual
in a cursory, fashion rather than something to be studied and referenced regularly);
(8) poor work ethic (not spending enough time on the simulation); and,
(9) team mismanagement (not spending enough time thinking about and discussing team
management issues and related human resource deployment strategies and tactics).
Should you do anything special or unusual at or near the end of your LINKS exercise? Behave as
if the simulation will not end at any specific pre-announced quarter. Keep a long-run view and
continuously try to improve your firm's performance. Attempts to end-game the simulation can
91
Postscript
"The journey is the reward." Steve Jobs, Apple Computer Founder
Good luck and try to have fun in LINKS. It's all about learning and, in a "learning marathon" like
LINKS, everyone can cross the finish line in a personal-best time.
92
93
Accessing LINKS Results Files Via a Browser on a Public Computer: Web browsers leave
tracks to previously accessed web-pages in browser history files. If you access LINKS results
files on a public computer (e.g., in a public PC lab), others could access your results too via the
browser history.
Instructions for cleaning the cache in Internet Explorer follow. Other web browsers have
similar browser-cache cleaning protocols.
If you access LINKS results files on a public computer, follow these steps to clear
Internet Explorers browser history (cache):
1. Exit/close Internet Explorer after accessing your LINKS results file.
2. Re-start Internet Explorer.
a. Click on Tools and then Internet Options.
b. On the Internet Options screen, look for the Browsing History sub-section. Check
Delete browsing history on exit (it may already be checked).
c. Click the Delete button in the Browsing History sub-section.
d. Check the History box on the Delete Browsing History screen (it may already be
check).
e. Click the Delete button at the bottom of the Delete Browsing History screen.
f. Wait until the Internet Options screen re-appears.
g. Click the OK button.
3. Exit/close Internet Explorer.
These steps clear the browsing history from Internet Explorer on any computer and preserve
the security and privacy of your LINKS results files.
94
Index
accessibility perception, 66
Active Service?, 31
administrative overhead, 33
Administrative Overhead, 44
advertising, 28
advice, 11
team management and organization, 88
Balance Sheet, 48
Billing System Technology, 37
calendar, 9
Call Center Service, 49
capacity utilization, 22
case studies
Northwest Airlines, 22
Waiting For The Cable Guy, 15
Change in Market Share, 87
Change in Ratio of Net Income to Revenues,
87
Consulting Fees, 44
Corporate Capitalization, 49
Corporate O/H, 48
Corporate P&L Statement, 44
corporate tax rate, 48
CSR capacity utilization, 22
CSR Cost/Call, 87
CSR productivity, 13, 14
CSR salary, 18
CSR Service Skills Training, 13
CSR Technical Skills Training, 13
CSR Turnover, 18, 23, 87
currency, 10
customer lifetime value (CLV), 79, 80
Customer Satisfaction, 87
decision form
information technology, 41
marketing, 32
other decisions, 43
research studies (1), 83
research studies (2), 84
service design, 17
service operations, 24
design quality perception, 66
Dividends, 49
dropping a service, 31
end-gaming, 90
Equipment and Facilities Investment, 49
evaluation, 86
scorecard, 87
experience quality perception, 66, 67
Fill Rate, 87
financial and operating statements, 44
firm management, 88
Forecast Inaccuracy, 33, 48
forecasting, 33
forecasting accuracy, 33, 35, 50
sales volume, 33
Forecasting Accuracy, 87
Forecasting Accuracy Report, 50
FYI
Customer Interaction Costs, 18
Price Cuts and Profits, 26
Historical Corporate P&L Statement, 48
Household, 9
Industry-Wide CSR Employee Satisfaction
Survey Participation, 38
information technology, 37
Billing System Technology, 37
costs, 48
Industry-Wide CSR Employee
Satisfaction Survey Participation, 38
Internal CSR Employee Satisfaction
Survey, 38
Internet-Delivered Ancillary Service, 38
Telecommunications Systems Support,
39
information technology decision form, 41
95
96
hiring limit, 20
overhead, 22
resignations, 19
time allocation, 20
training, 19
Service Appointment Scheduling, 13
Service Call Duration, 13
Service Call Format, 13
Service Center Statistics Report, 49
service design, 13
service design decision form, 17
Service Hire&Fire Costs, 48
Service O/H Costs, 48
service operations decision form, 24
Service Operations Report, 49
Service P&L Statement, 48
Service Salaries Costs, 48
simulation
end-gaming, 90
why use?, 7
SWOT Analysis Worksheet, 88, 89
Taxes, 48
team management and organization, 88
Telecommunications Systems Support, 39
Total Fixed Costs, 48
Unfilled Handling Costs, 48
unfilled orders, 21
website, 7
worksheets
Judgmental Sales Forecasting
Worksheet, 34
Pricing Worksheet, 27
SWOT Analysis Worksheet, 89