FINM3003 Continuous Time Finance
FINM3003 Continuous Time Finance
NOTE: The questions here are indicative in length and degree of difficulty
of the sorts of questions that may appear on the final exam, but do not nec-
essarily reflect the scope and coverage of the exam. For extra practise, revise
the questions on the assignments and tutorial sheets.
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2. (a) Draw schematic diagrams showing the variation of your profit
or loss with the terminal stock price for a portfolio consisting of:
(i) One share and a short position in one call option;
(ii) Two shares and a short position in one call option;
(iii) One share and a short position in two call options;
(iv) One share and a short position in four call options.
Your diagrams need not be to scale, but you should indicate clearly the
distinguishing features of the graphs, such as intercepts and gradients of lines,
etc.
(b) Define a cashornothing call, having payoff Q at time T , on a
stock whose price St follows geometric Brownian motion with parameters ,
2 . Then show that its value at 0 is
erT QN (d2 ),
where d2 = (ln(S0 /K) + (r (1/2) 2 )T )/ T and N (x) is the value of the
Normal c.d.f. at x.
(c) Define an assetornothing call on a stock whose price St follows
geometric Brownian motion with parameters , 2 . Then show that its value
at 0 is
S0 N (d1 ),
where d1 = d2 + T . (You may assume the Black-Scholes formula for a
European call.)
(d) Write down formulae extending the values in (b) and (c) to time
t < T.
3. (a) Use a one-step Binomial model and a no-arbitrage approach to
find the value at time 0 of a derivative on a stock as the present value of an
expectation with respect to a risk-neutral probability distribution. Express
the parameter of the riskneutral distribution in terms of the parameters in
the underlying model.
(b) Next, using a two-step Binomial model, show how to set up a syn-
thetic European call that is, a portfolio consisting of investments in the
stock and a risk-free asset which exactly replicates the cash flow of a Euro-
pean call on the stock. Verify that this replication in fact occurs, and that
your portfolio is self-financing.
(c) Now repeat (b), but this time set up a replicating portfolio consisting
of futures contracts on the stock and a risk-free asset. Again verify that your
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portfolio is self-financing and exactly replicates the cash flow of the European
call. (d) Briefly discuss the possible applications of each of the procedures
in (b) and (c) in terms of practical (investing) applications.
4. The unit root test is used in econometrics to see if a time series can
be regarded as a random walk. The stochastic d.e.
arises in one of the papers in this area (Phillips Towards a unified theory
for autoregressions, Biometrika 74 (1987) 535547).
(a) Show that the solution of (1) is
Z t
xt = Z t + e(ty) Zy dy. (2)
0
Sj = S0 ji=1 (1 + Zi ), j = 1, 2, . . . , n, (1)
where the Zi are i.i.d. with distribution N (t, 2 t), and t is small
(e.g., t = 0.01) while n is large (e.g., n = 100). Then (S1 , S2 , . . . Sn ) is an
approximate realisation of the process
2 )t+Z
St = S0 e((1/2) t
(2)
at the points t, 2t, . . . , nt. Using the Central Limit Theorem and the
Law of large numbers, demonstrate (without being too rigorous) how (2)
follows from (1). [Hint: recall the Taylor expansion for the log function,
ln(1 + x) = x x2 /2 . . ..]
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5. The Black-Scholes price at time t T of a European call option on
a stock with price St at time t and volatility , when the strike price is K,
the expiry time is T and the riskfree interest rate is r, is given by
(c) What does this tell you about the time rate of change of the option
price, when all other parameters are held constant?
(d) What is meant by the (Rho) of a security or portfolio?
(e) Show that for the option in Question 1, the corresponding is given
by
= K(T t)er(T t) N (d2 ).
(f) What does this tell you about the way the option price changes with
changing interest rates, when all other parameters are held constant?
6. (a) Outline a market theory in discrete time whereby a market
consists of a risk-free asset and a risky asset whose values at time t are Bt
and St , t = 1, 2, , T . Your outline should include explanations of the
following concepts:
(i) A Trading Strategy, and when it can be said to be predictable;
(ii) the corresponding Value and Gains processes for the strategy, and
what is meant by an arbitrage opportunity in this setup.
(iii) State the theorem of Harrison and Pliska which gives a criterion for
the market to be arbitrage-free.
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(iv) State exactly what is meant by saying that the discounted stock price
process St = St /Bt is a martingale. What interpretation(s) can be given to
this?
(b) (i) In the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein model of a discrete time market,
Bt grows at the risk-free rate and St can be constructed from i.i.d. random
variables Zi taking values u and d. What exactly is this construction?
(ii) Use the construction in (i) to show that the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein
model is arbitrage-free if and only if
d < er < u.
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8. A stock price St satisfies the stochastic differential equation (sde) (in
the usual notation)
dSt
= dt + dzt , t 0. (1)
St
(a) is called the expected return on the stock. Why? [2 marks]
(b) What is called? Discuss briefly the estimation of in practice.
[3 marks]
(c) What is zt called? List some important properties satisfied by zt .
[3 marks]
(d) Verify that
2
St = S0 e((1/2) )t+zt
satisfies the sde in Equation (1). [6 marks]
NOTE: For (d), it will be helpful to recall Itos Lemma: if dx(t) = adt + bdzt
defines an Ito process and G is a function of x and t, then,
G G 1 2 2 G
G
dG(x, t) = a + + b 2
dt + b dzt .
x t 2 x x