High-Frequency Trading Should VVVVVVVV
High-Frequency Trading Should VVVVVVVV
NOTE
131
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Introduction
High-Frequency Trading (“HFT”) has deservedly captured the attention
of both regulators and the public. For some, HFT exemplifies the proposi-
tion that a financial elite is earning fortunes with socially useless
techniques.2 For others, HFT simply reflects the logical progression of tech-
nology in which markets operate with increasing speed, precision, and
efficiency.3 The truth lies between these caricatures; however, given the im-
portance of HFT in modern markets, it is essential that regulators work
assiduously to grasp the issues and ensure that these dynamic technologies
do not cause unintended problems.
On May 6, 2010, HFT earned its place on the regulatory agenda when
the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost nearly one thousand points in just a
matter of minutes.4 After the smoke cleared, it became apparent that no ter-
rorist attack, sovereign default, megabankruptcy, or other fundamental
event had occurred. Indices and stocks quickly recovered and closed the day
down only about 3 percent.5 But in an investigation of that frightening dislo-
cation, the staffs of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”)
and the Securities Exchange Commission (“SEC”) determined that the sud-
den volatility had coincided with HFT activity.6 A comprehensive report
released several months later detailed the chain of events on May 6 and con-
2. See generally Charles Duhigg, Stock Traders Find Speed Pays, in Milliseconds,
N.Y. Times (July 23, 2009), http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/24/business/24trading.html.
3. High-Frequency Trading, The Economist, http://www.economist.com/debate/
overview/224 (last visited Oct. 22, 2012) (noting that 55 percent of The Economist’s online
voters believe that high-frequency trading contributes to the overall quality of markets).
4. Bruno Biais & Paul Woolley, High Frequency Trading 13 (Mar. 2011) (un-
published manuscript), available at http://idei.fr/doc/conf/pwri/biais_pwri_0311.pdf.
5. Staffs of the Commodity Futures Trading Comm’n & Sec. Exch. Comm’n,
Findings Regarding the Market Events of May 6, 2010, at 1–3 (2010), available at
http://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2010/marketevents-report.pdf [hereinafter CFTC-SEC Find-
ings].
6. Id.
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cluded that HFT played a key role in exacerbating the markets’ rapid
downward movements.7 By this time, it became clear to global regulators
that HFT deserved their attention.
Several market events during the summer of 2012 renewed concerns
about HFT. First, during Facebook’s initial public offering on May 18, a
high volume of rapid order cancellations overwhelmed NASDAQ’s comput-
er systems.8 While the incident has not yet been comprehensively studied,
HFT may have contributed to these technical problems, which interfered
with many traders’ orders.9 Then, on August 1, HFT market maker Knight
Capital caused rapid price movements in 150 NYSE stocks when one of its
algorithms malfunctioned.10 It appears that Knight’s algorithm uncontrolla-
bly bought high and sold low, losing $440 million, causing irrational swings
in affected stocks, and shaking the public’s confidence in the integrity of the
market.11
But how exactly does HFT work, and what issues does it raise? Have
regulators properly evaluated these issues and taken steps to protect
markets?12 Section I of this Note summarizes the key strategies and method-
ologies that constitute HFT. Section II traces the thorny academic questions
surrounding how HFT affects markets. Section III examines whether regula-
tors in Europe and the United States have properly assessed the problem and
taken the right regulatory steps. The Section further argues that regulators
are moving in a good direction but nevertheless ought to place broader re-
strictions on HFT. In its conclusion, this Note argues that such broader
restrictions—like cancellation taxes, transaction taxes, or resting rules—
would mitigate HFT’s proven downsides, but at the cost of HFT’s specula-
tive and unproven benefits.
7. Id.
8. Michael J. De La Merced, Nasdaq Concedes Facebook Missteps, N.Y. Times (May
20, 2012), http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/20/nasdaq-chief-says-glitches-werent-at-
fault-for-facebook-stock-plunge/.
9. See, e.g., Ivy Schmerken, Facebook: The Strangest IPO of All Time?, Wall St. &
Tech. (May 24, 2012), http://www.wallstreetandtech.com/exchanges/facebook-the-strangest-
ipo-of-all-time/240000996?pgno=1; see also How HFT Caused the Opening Delay, and Later
Benefited at the Retail Customer’s Expense, Nanex (May 18, 2012), http://www.nanex.net/
aqck/3099.html.
10. Knightmare on Wall Street, Nanex (Aug. 13, 2012), http://www.nanex.net/aqck2/
3522.html.
11. Id.
12. It is possible to conceive of HFT as a prudential issue in which regulators should
ensure that HFT firms do not incur systemically harmful losses. From this viewpoint, HFT is
merely a special case in the larger question of how to set capital and prudential requirements
for hedge funds and other proprietary traders. This Note will focus primarily on the following
inquiries: What are HFT’s externalities in the market? How does the high volume of HFT on
the market affect other participants? The answers to these questions reveal that HFT intimate-
ly affects general market quality, and therefore regulators should not view it as merely a risk
to the firms that use it.
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A. Strategies
HFT strategies are diverse, proprietary, and complex, so it is not possi-
ble to describe them except at a somewhat unfortunate level of abstraction.
Each strategy is susceptible to innumerable nuances, some of which I will
describe in the following Sections. Furthermore, HFTs operate in diverse
21. Peter Gomber et al., HighFrequency Trading 25 (Mar. 2011) (unpublished manu-
script), available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1858626.
22. Id. Markets compete with each other in providing rebates in order to attract liquidi-
ty providers.
23. See Brian Weller, Liquidity and High Frequency Trading 7 (Nov. 10, 2012) (un-
published manuscript), available at http://home.uchicago.edu/~bweller/files/Liquidity_
and_High_Frequency_Trading.pdf (discussing the categorization of fast traders who are not
market makers as HFTs). For further discussion of HFT market making, see Albert J. Men-
kveld, High Frequency Trading and the New-Market Makers 27 (Feb. 6, 2012) (unpublished
manuscript), available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1722924.
24. Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 30.
25. Bank for Int’l Settlements, High-Frequency Trading in the Foreign Ex-
change Market 5 (2011), available at http://www.bis.org/publ/mktc05.pdf.
26. Id.
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data points from different exchanges and looking for characteristic patterns
in variables like order depth, HFTs may determine the existence of a large
hidden limit order or a large trader attempting to enter or exit a position.27
Next, HFTs attempt to profit from the price movement created by other
traders; for example, HFTs may buy just prior to the execution of other trad-
ers’ large marketable orders.28 A variant of this strategy involves attempting
to detect and predict the behavioral patterns of other algorithmic traders and
exploiting their impact on the market.29
Much HFT activity belongs in the broad category of arbitrage. Arbitrage
involves identifying two or more securities that structurally tend to move in
unison.30 When they fall out of alignment, arbitrageurs buy the cheaper one
and sell the more expensive one until the difference is eliminated.31 Due to
its speed, HFT can engage in arbitrage involving extremely short time
frames and, consequently, extremely small price differences.32 This makes it
possible to profit from miniscule misalignments, for example, between iden-
tical assets on different exchanges. 33 HFT arbitrageurs can trade on
misalignments between different markets, between derivatives and their un-
derlying assets, between exchangetraded funds (“ETFs”) and their
constituent securities, or simply between statistically correlated assets on the
same market.34 “Latency arbitrage” involves trading in the subsecond time
windows between when market prices move and when market makers up-
date their quoted prices. During these time windows, HFTs have more
information than slower traders, which allows them to profit at slower trad-
ers’ expense.35
Unfortunately, these descriptions of HFT strategies come nowhere close
to exhausting the topic; the possibilities and nuances surrounding each strat-
egy are endless. It is important to note, however, that most of these
strategies (in their highfrequency incarnations) involve not only fast order-
ing but also fast order cancellation.36 HFT market makers, for example,
constantly cancel orders to optimize their quotes and avoid entering into
trades not informed by uptothemillisecond information. 37 Arbitrageurs
and directional traders may also use rapid, frequent order cancellation for a
range of purposes. For example, liquidity detection often involves sending
out and immediately cancelling orders in order to gain information about
invisible liquidity lurking off the public ticker (this is sometimes called
“pinging”).38 If the ping results in a trade before it is cancelled, the HFT can
use that information to infer the existence of a liquidity provider.
B. Methodologies
Familiarity with basic HFT methodologies helps one understand the
toolbox available to HFTs and the current HFT environment more generally.
In the immediate wake of the Flash Crash, U.S. regulators quickly took steps
that served to limit some of the market-access methodologies available to
HFTs. Regulations ensuring fairness in HFTs’ methods of obtaining market
access are, from a regulatory perspective, low-hanging fruit. Market partici-
pants have largely embraced these regulations,39 and while the changes cannot
eliminate fundamental concerns about HFT, they can meaningfully improve
fairness and risk.
Prior to the Flash Crash, many HFT firms gained special access to ex-
changes using a technique called “naked access.” With naked access,
brokers allowed HFTs to essentially piggyback on the brokers’ direct access
to markets.40 This permitted HFTs to reduce their trade latency while also
avoiding the risk checks and capital requirements to which they would be
subject if they were direct members of the market.41 In November 2010, the
SEC issued a new rule directed at brokers, Rule 15c3-5, that made this risk-
exacerbating practice impossible.42 The proposed revisions of the Markets in
Financial Instruments Directive (“MiFID”) would have the same effect in
Europe.43
A second important tool for understanding the HFT environment is
colocation. In the late 1990s through the early 2000s, many electronic ex-
changes began allowing firms to locate their servers at the same facility as
the exchanges’ servers.44 This allows HFTs to achieve lower latency. It thus
38. Jaksa Cvitanic & Andrei Kirilenko, High Frequency Traders and Asset Prices 2
(Mar. 11, 2010) (unpublished manuscript), available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1569075.
39. Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 41.
40. Id.
41. Id.
42. 17 C.F.R. § 240.15c3-5 (2012).
43. Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on Mar-
kets in Financial Instruments Repealing Directive 2004/39/EC of the European Parliament
and of the Council, at 25–26, COM (2011) 656 final (Oct. 20, 2011), available at http://eur-
lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=COM:2011:0656:FIN:EN:PDF [hereinafter
Proposed Directive] (“It is desirable to ensure that all high frequency trading firms be author-
ised when they are a direct member of a trading venue. This should ensure they are subject to
organisational requirements under the Directive and are properly supervised.”).
44. See, e.g., Graham Bowley, The New Speed of Money, N.Y. Times (Jan. 1, 2011),
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/02/business/02speed.html?pagewanted=all.
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confers advantages over other fast traders who are not colocated. Out of
fairness concerns, the CFTC proposed a rule in June 2010 requiring uniform
fees and access to colocation facilities.45 The proposed new version of Mi-
FID would likewise require equitable colocation practices.46
Perhaps the most controversial form of privileged market access for
HFTs is the “flash order.” Flash orders are particularly pertinent in the U.S.
due to SEC Regulation NMS, which requires orders to be routed to the ex-
change offering the best price.47 A flash order is a marketable order that,
immediately prior to being rerouted in accordance with Regulation NMS, is
flashed for milliseconds on the exchange where it is initially placed.48 Be-
cause flash orders persist for only milliseconds, regular traders cannot place
trades against them before they are withdrawn. HFTs, on the other hand,
sometimes act quickly enough to execute against flash orders. Thus, observ-
ers have voiced concern about creating a “twotier” market in which HFTs
could trade amongst themselves, increasing their informational advantage
over slow traders.49 The SEC proposed eliminating the rule exception per-
mitting flash orders in 2009, but has not finalized that change.50 While some
smaller exchanges have held out, most major exchanges have voluntarily
stopped the practice. For example, Direct Edge stopped offering flash orders
for stock trading in 2011, but apparently continued to allow flash orders for
options trading.51 Some smaller exchanges, like the Chicago Board Options
Exchange (“CBOE”), have continued to allow flash orders on certain kinds
of trades.52
45. Co-Location/Proximity Hosting Services, 75 Fed. Reg. 33198 (proposed June 11,
2010); Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 43.
46. Proposed Directive, supra note 43, at 117 (“Member States shall require a regulat-
ed market to ensure that its rules on co-location services and fee structures are transparent, fair
and non-discriminatory.”).
47. 17 C.F.R. § 242.602(a)(1)(i) (2012) (“Each national securities exchange shall at all
times such exchange is open for trading, collect, process, and make available to vendors the
best bid, the best offer, and aggregate quotation sizes for each subject security listed or admit-
ted to unlisted trading privileges which is communicated on any national securities exchange
by any responsible broker or dealer, but shall not include: (A) Any bid or offer executed im-
mediately after communication and any bid or offer communicated by a responsible broker or
dealer other than an exchange market maker which is cancelled or withdrawn if not executed
immediately after communication . . . .”).
48. Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 42.
49. Id.
50. Elimination of Flash Order Exception from Rule 602 of Regulation NMS, Ex-
change Act Release No. 34-60684, 74 Fed. Reg. 48632 (Sept. 23, 2009), available at
http://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed/2009/34-60684.pdf. For the Rule 602(a)(1)(i)(A) excep-
tion permitting flash orders, see 17 C.F.R. § 242.602 (2012).
51. Jacob Bunge, Direct Edge to Stop “Flashing” Orders on Monday, Wall St. J.
(Feb. 25, 2011), http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703409304576166930877
474292.html.
52. See NBBO Step-Up, Chi. Bd. of Exch., https://www.cboe.org/hybrid/nbbosu.aspx
(last visited Oct. 25, 2012) (describing the CBOE’s National Best Bid and Offer “Step Up”
system, which allows orders to be flashed for 150 milliseconds).
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A. Liquidity
A substantial body of literature suggests that HFT supplies liquidity to
markets.56 Liquidity refers generally to the ease of transacting; in this con-
text, it is useful to think of liquidity as the ability to find ready buyers and
sellers at or near the prevailing market price of a given security.57 Uncontro-
versially, HFT can provide liquidity, such as by intermediating large orders:
algorithms break large orders into pieces and rapidly find smaller buyers or
sellers willing to transact at a price close to the prevailing market price.58 By
contrast, human intermediaries are slower and might need to find larger
counterparties, potentially exposing themselves to delays and larger spreads.
B. Volatility
Probably the most prominent concern about HFT is that it may exacer-
bate volatility, a concern intensified by the Flash Crash. Yet when
researchers discuss HFT’s effect on volatility, they sometimes have very
different conceptions of the term in mind.69 Much research has focused on
the kind of severe, sudden volatility exemplified by the Flash Crash (and
more recently, the price fluctuations caused by Knight Capital’s rogue algo-
rithm). I will call this “anomalous volatility.” Research on the Flash Crash
has established beyond serious dispute that HFT has the potential to create
anomalous volatility, as this Section will discuss. However, questions about
HFT’s effect on volatility under normal circumstances remain contested and
warrant further research attention. I will call this kind of volatility “normal
volatility.” This Section will examine HFT’s relationship with anomalous
volatility, followed by an examination of HFT’s effect on normal volatility.
1. Anomalous Volatility
Academic research surrounding the Flash Crash,70 in concert with a
joint report by the staffs of the SEC and CFTC,71 depicts a concrete situation
in which HFT exacerbated volatility initiated by an unusually large sell or-
der in the E-Mini. The chain of events on that day is complicated. But, most
notably, the SEC staff concluded that when HFT firms held too many shares
of the E-Mini at a moment of sub-normal fundamental demand, they played
“hot potato” by repeatedly selling to each other at very low prices, causing
an abnormal decline in the E-Mini index.72 HFT algorithms were transacting
on the buy side, despite having an unwanted long position, because they
were trying to take advantage of the liquidity that they expected other op-
portunistic buyers to supply in light of the sharply lower price.73 Crossindex
arbitrageurs and other liquidity suppliers did indeed buy the E-Mini while it
was low, but not in quantities sufficient to stop the downward spiral.74 Sim-
ultaneously, arbitraging HFTs sold the S&P 500 stocks to which the E-Mini
was linked, reinforcing the illusion of a fundamental market event that
scared fundamental buyers out of the market.75 The Flash Crash has become
the paradigmatic instance of HFTs causing or exacerbating anomalous vola-
tility.
Unusual market conditions triggered the Flash Crash: a sell order of rare
magnitude against a backdrop of deep anxiety about European defaults.76
Thus, the Flash Crash does not necessarily indicate that HFT has a general,
everyday volatility-exacerbating effect. Of course, it is cold comfort if HFT
only exacerbates volatility in situations of extreme stress, and the distinction
has important regulatory implications. If HFT exacerbates volatility only in
certain anomalous situations,77 it might make sense for regulators to focus
on preventing sudden crashes. But if HFT increases volatility more general-
ly, broader regulatory action curtailing HFT under everyday circumstances
might be justified.
2. Normal Volatility
Research conflicts on whether HFT increases volatility under normal
market conditions. At least one study has suggested that stocks traded heavi-
ly by HFTs are causally linked with greater volatility.78 Consistent with this
finding, officials from the Bank of England have pointed toward higher
crossstock correlation as a proxy for HFT activity and have shown a positive
relationship between crossstock correlation and volatility. 79 Nevertheless,
credible empirical research muddies this picture by showing that HFT de-
creases volatility in the short term. 80 Indeed, it makes sense that HFT’s
becomes a liquidity taker when macro (i.e., not stockspecific) news induces market volatility,
perhaps because macro news is hard to hedge against. This aspect of Brogaard’s finding may
therefore lend support to the hypothesis that HFT contributed to the extreme macro news–
driven volatility of summer and fall 2011. Hasbrouck & Saar, supra note 57, at 36, find that
HFT decreases short-term volatility. But see Brogaard et al., supra, at 5 (noting that the
Hasbrouck & Saar study only looks at order book activity, an indirect proxy for HFT).
81. A sharp rise in the Chicago Board Options Exchange Market Volatility Index
(“VIX”) was fundamentally driven by uncertainty about the future of European economies,
but may have been amplified by HFT. See Off the Charts: Excess Stock Market Volatility,
N.Y. Times (Nov. 4, 2011), http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/11/04/business/economy/
Off-the-charts-excess-stock-market-volatility.html.
82. See Brogaard et al., supra note 80, at 30. Brogaard’s study is perhaps the mostcited
empirical work suggesting that HFT decreases intraday volatility. However, his study is con-
sistent with the theory that HFT exacerbates volatility under turbulent circumstances. He finds
that although HFT activity overall reduces net intraday volatility, HFT exacerbates volatility
following macroeconomic newsinduced movements.
83. Int’l Org. of Sec. Comm’ns, supra note 37, at 27.
84. It is important to note the interconnections between questions about HFT’s role in
price discovery, liquidity, and volatility. As explained supra note 57, a traditional supplier of
liquidity places limit orders. Limit orders allow transactions to take place without a change in
the price. Liquidity suppliers tend to dampen a price’s response to new information. Marketa-
ble orders, on the other hand, are generally understood as facilitating price discovery.
Accordingly, Hendershott et al., supra note 67, at 23 conclude that HFTs aid price discovery
through their marketable orders.
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Rightly or wrongly, the issue of HFT’s potential harm to price discovery has
generated less public concern than the issue of volatility. Some regulators
accept the argument that HFT helps price discovery.85 Nonetheless, many
academics consider HFT’s effect on price discovery to be a key concern.86
HFT might either harm or help price discovery processes for several in-
tuitive reasons, and it is helpful to keep these in mind. First, HFTs hold their
securities for short periods of time to avoid exposure to fundamentaldriven
price movements87 and therefore have little interest in the fundamental value
of the securities they trade. This suggests that HFTs do not contribute new
information to security prices, unlike long-term investors who carefully ana-
lyze the underlying value of assets. On the other hand, HFTs outperform
traders not using high-frequency strategies in some price discovery contexts.
Many HFTs are, in one form or another, arbitrageurs.88 Thus, when asset A’s
value is affected by changes in the price of asset B, HFTs incorporate this
information more quickly and accurately than slower human traders.89
Different HFT strategies, just like various traditional trading strategies,
have differing effects on price discovery. This makes it problematic to study
the price discovery implications of HFT as an umbrella category.90 Unfortu-
nately, much of the leading empirical research on price discovery research
does just that:91 its findings pertain to HFT’s aggregate contribution to price
discovery. This creates interpretive difficulties. The problem is that an over-
all positive effect of HFT on price discovery might hide the fact that some
subset of HFT harms price discovery.92 For example, even if crossmarket
price arbitrage helps price discovery, some statistical arbitrage strategies
might contribute unreliable information to prices.93 Further, market-making
85. Eur. Sec. & Mkt. Auth., Consultation Paper: Guidelines on Systems and Controls
in a Highly Automated Trading Environment for Trading Platforms, Investment Firms and
Competent Authorities 51, ESMA/2011/224 (July 20, 2011), available at http://www.
esma.europa.eu/system/files/esma_2012_122_en.pdf.
86. See, e.g., Zhang, supra note 54, at 1–2; Biais & Woolley, supra note 4, at 14–15.
87. Kirilenko et al., supra note 55, at 17.
88. See supra notes 30-35 and accompanying text.
89. Biais & Woolley, supra note 4, at 6. Arbitrage strategies also target differing price
movements in the same asset on different exchanges, triangular arbitrage as in FX trading, and
more complex strategies.
90. Zhang, supra note 54, at 10 (“A tick by tick study using open market data is likely
to be influenced by HFT’s market making activities, which tend to be more beneficial to the
capital market than aggressive HFT strategies.”).
91. See id. at 3–4; see also Jonathan Brogaard, High Frequency Trading and Its Impact
on Market Quality 6 (July 16, 2010) (unpublished manuscript), available at
http://www.futuresindustry.org/ptg/downloads/HFT_Trading.pdf. One partial exception is
Jonathan Brogaard et al., High Frequency Trading and Price Discovery 26–28 (July 30, 2012)
(unpublished manuscript), available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1928510, which separately
analyzes the price discovery implications of HFT’s limit orders and marketable orders.
92. See Zhang, supra note 54, at 3.
93. While crossmarket arbitrageurs trade on information about the same asset in other
fora, statistical arbitrage strategies trade on more speculative relationships between different
assets. See supra notes 30–36 and accompanying text.
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94. Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 59; Zhang, supra note 54, at 10.
95. In September 2011, the SEC and FINRA requested computer code used in trading
from several HFTs in order to examine it in detail. Although most observers believe this re-
quest was aimed at finding illegal or market-manipulating algorithms, it was also a potential
first step towards differentiating between different HFT strategies in regulation. See Sarah N.
Lynch & Jonathan Spicer, U.S. Regulators Seek High-Frequency Trading Secrets, Reuters
(Sept. 2, 2011, 9:34AM), http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/09/02/idINIndia-59107920110902.
96. See, e.g., Eur. Sec. & Mkt. Auth., supra note 85, at 63; Bank for Int’l Settle-
ments, supra note 25, at 13.
97. See Brogaard, supra note 91, at 46, 53.
98. Brogaard et al., supra note 91, at 2. They also find that HFTs’ limit orders, which
have less of an effect on price, tend to lose money and to execute against informed counter-
parties. Id. Costs are recouped in these trades through the bid-ask spread and liquidity rebates.
Id.
99. Zhang, supra note 54, at 26.
100. Zhang examines accumulated effects on price discovery over the course of quarters.
Id. at 9–10. Brogaard, Hendershott, and Riordan, on the other hand, examine whether HFT pri-
marily participates in short-term price movement versus utterly ephemeral “noise.” Brogaard et
al., supra note 91, at 2–3.
101. See Zhang, supra note 54, at 26.
102. Brogaard et al., supra note 91, at 4 n.5.
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induce.119 In “smoking,” HFTs post generously priced limit orders with the
intention of inducing a flow of slow marketable orders. The HFTs then can-
cel their generously priced limit orders before they execute and trade with
the incoming marketable orders on more advantageous terms.120 In “spoof-
ing,” HFTs place large limit orders to sell that are above the best asking
price, with the intention of quickly cancelling them if the price moves up-
wards so that they will not be executed. The HFTs hope during spoofing that
the size of the sell orders will scare other traders into selling at a low price,
thus allowing the HFTs to scoop up a bargain.121 This list of deceptive strat-
egies is not exhaustive, but it provides insight into HFTs’ ability to use
speed to illegally hoodwink slower investors.122
119. Id.
120. Id.
121. Id.
122. See infra Part III.A.2 (discussing the legal implications of HFT market manipula-
tion).
123. For example, compare Zhang, supra note 54, with Brogaard et al., supra note 91,
for a discussion on price discovery.
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Figure 1
1. Systemic Risk 2. Illegality 3. Harm to Day-to-Day
Market Quality
Regulatory remedy • Circuit breakers • Consolidated Audit • Pigovian tax schemes
urged • Enforceable market- Trail • Limit up/limit down rules
making obligations • Increased securities • Resting rules
• Naked-access ban law enforcement
• Regulatory review of
algorithms
Regulatory remedies If HFT imposes systemic risks, hides illegal activity, and has a negative or neutral
urged by the three effect on market quality, its harms likely outweigh its benefits. The three propositions
perspectives on HFT taken together therefore suggest that more restrictive regulatory measures—like
risk, when taken resting rules131 and cancellation or transaction taxes—are probably justified.
together
As a whole, U.S. and European regulators have taken the threat of sys-
temic events like the Flash Crash seriously, placing them on the right track
regarding HFT policy. Some abusive HFT methodologies—most notably
naked or unfiltered access—have been eliminated.132 In November 2010, the
SEC approved rules banning stub quotes—posted orders at grossly implau-
sible prices that can exacerbate price swings.133 Furthermore, in June 2012,
the SEC announced its approval of limit up/limit down rules.134 U.S. ex-
130 See, e.g., Bank of Int’l Settlements, supra note 25; Int’l Org. of Sec.
Comm’ns, supra note 37.
131. Haldane, supra note 14, at 17–18.
132. Press Release, SEC, SEC to Publish for Public Comment Updated Market-Wide
Circuit Breaker Proposals to Address Extraordinary Market Volatility (Sept. 27, 2011), avail-
able at http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2011/2011-190.htm.
133. Press Release, SEC, SEC Approves New Rules Prohibiting Market Maker Stub
Quotes (Nov. 8, 2010), available at http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-216.htm.
134. Press Release, SEC, SEC Approves Proposals to Address Extraordinary Volatility in
Individual Stocks and Broader Stock Market (June 1, 2012), available at
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2012/2012-107.htm; see also Joint CFTC-SEC Advisory
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change rules are also moving in the right direction: most recently, Nasdaq
and Direct Edge implemented fees, albeit on fairly lenient terms, for very
large order cancellations.135 European regulators, too, are discussing serious
changes in HFT regulation for MiFID II, which could take effect around
2015.136 But risks remain, and far too little has been done to root out HFT
market manipulation. Although regulators have discussed good ideas,
change has been tentative and incremental.
While caution regarding unintended consequences is warranted,137 def-
erence to the questionable evidence of HFT’s market benefits is not. The
empirical research does not demonstrate that HFT has enough clear social
utility to justify its clear risks. Below, this Note explains and evaluates re-
cent regulatory actions within the three perspectives of systemic risk,
illegality, and market quality. It builds toward the conclusion that regulators
should move forward confidently with measures like resting rules or cancel-
lation taxes that would broadly alter the practice of HFT.
142. Notice of Filing of a National Market System Plan to Address Extraordinary Market
Volatility, 76 Fed. Reg. 31647-01 (June 1, 2011); Press Release, SEC, SEC Announces Filing
of Limit Up-Limit Down Proposal to Address Extraordinary Market Volatility (Apr. 5, 2011),
available at http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2011/2011-84.htm.
143. Press Release, SEC, SEC to Publish for Public Comment Updated Market-Wide
Circuit Breaker Proposals to Address Extraordinary Market Volatility (Sept. 27, 2011), availa-
ble at http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2011/2011-190.htm.
144. Press Release, SEC, Chairman Schapiro Statement on Knight Capital Group Trad-
ing Issue (Aug. 3, 2012), available at http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2012/2012-151.htm.
145. Investor Bulletin: New Measures to Address Market Volatility, SEC (July 23,
2012), http://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/circuitbreakersbulletin.htm.
146. Market-making guidelines are obligations designed to prevent liquidity providers
from fleeing the market in times of stress. These would mirror the liquidity-providing obliga-
tions of exchange “specialists”—analog market makers who have largely been supplanted by
HFT. Joint Advisory Recommendations, supra note 134, at 10.
147. CFTC-SEC Findings, supra note 5, at 7.
148. Press Release, SEC, supra note 143.
149. Investor Bulletin: New Stock-by-Stock Circuit Breakers, SEC (Aug. 9, 2011),
available at http://www.sec.gov/investor/alerts/circuitbreakers.htm.
150. Press Release, SEC, SEC Approves Rules Expanding Stock-by-Stock Circuit
Breakers and Clarifying Process for Breaking Erroneous Trades (Sept. 10, 2010), available at
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2010/2010-167.htm.
151. Investor Bulletin, supra note 149; SEC Press Release, supra note 150, at 2 (“For
stocks priced $25 or less, trades will be broken if the trades are at least 10 percent away from
the circuit breaker trigger price. For stocks priced more than $25 to $50, trades will be broken
if they are 5 percent away from the circuit breaker trigger price. For stocks priced more than
$50, the trades will be broken if they are 3 percent away from the circuit breaker trigger
price.”).
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individual securities from occurring outside of a specified price band. These price limit bands
will be 5%, 10% or 20%, or the lesser of $0.15 or 75%, depending on the price of the stock.
Additionally, these price bands will double during the opening and closing periods of the
trading day. If the stock’s price does not naturally move back within the price bands within 15
seconds, there will be a five-minute trading pause.”)
161. Haldane, supra note 14, at 17.
162. Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 48.
163. Haldane, supra note 14, at 17–19.
164. See supra note 122.
165. See Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 53.
166. See Haldane, supra note 14.
167. Regulation NMS requires brokers to execute market orders on the market with the
best available price, thus increasing intermarket linkages. Gomber et al., supra note 21, at 1.
168. Id. at 11–12.
169. See Gomber et al., supra note 21.
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will get the best possible price. This argument stakes too much on the effi-
cacy of stock-specific circuit breakers, and likely overestimates the
importance of extremely short-term price arbitrage.
While the legislative process continues, the draft version of MiFID II
includes changes that will affect HFT. If it is adopted, HFTs will no longer
be able to escape the Directive’s requirements through an exemption in Mi-
FID Article 2.170 That exemption, intended for “persons who do not provide
any investment services or activities other than dealing on their own ac-
count,” will no longer apply to HFTs.171 Thus, HFTs will need to comply
with basic reporting requirements and rules on internal risk controls.172 Fur-
thermore, changes to MiFID Article 17 may require HFTs to disclose details
of their algorithms to regulators, to ensure that they provide liquidity irre-
spective of market conditions.173 It is not yet clear how this potentially
sweeping provision would be enforced or whether it would apply to all
HFTs.174
Amidst industry opposition, a few aggressive proposals discussed in the
MiFID review process—such as amendments to MiFID Articles 14 and 39
that would have imposed liquidity provision obligations and limited the
speed at which HFTs could cancel orders175—did not make it into the Octo-
ber 2011 draft of the proposed directive.176 However, a September 26, 2012
vote by the European Parliament’s economic affairs committee officially
revived the idea of a speed limit or “resting period,” which would require
traders to let limit orders remain open for a half-second before cancella-
tion.177 Such a “resting rule,” which may become law when MiFID II goes
into effect in 2014 or 2015, could mitigate liquidity droughts like the Flash
Crash and also address a range of other concerns about HFT. Perhaps most
importantly, resting rules could reduce illegal or deceptive trading, as dis-
cussed below.
to FINRA and the exchanges; these entities may decide to pass the cost on
to HFTs.187 MIT economist Andrew Lo comments that this system would be
a bargain if spread out over the course of several years and if it helped regu-
lators manage turmoil and restore confidence to retail investors.188 Yet it
would be a waste if, after enormous investment, regulators remained a step
behind the curve.
In September 2010, the SEC took the aggressive step of asking some
HFT firms to disclose their algorithms to the agency in order to aid in the
scrutiny of possible market manipulation.189 Although this signals serious-
ness about stopping manipulation, it is questionable whether the SEC can
usefully interpret the algorithms.190 The Office of Financial Research, a
creation of the Dodd-Frank Act meant to support the data analysis capability
of the Financial Stability Oversight Board,191 may have the capability to
perform the needed analyses. Therefore, if algorithm monitoring is to be-
come an ongoing part of the regulatory scheme, intensive and continuous
interagency cooperation might prove necessary. European regulators face
similar workability questions regarding the proposed algorithm disclosure
requirements in MiFID II.192
An exception to the apparent unenforceability of HFT market abuse
came in the case of Trillium Brokerage Services in September 2010.193
FINRA levied a $2.26 million fine against Trillium and nine of its traders
for engaging in highfrequency trades aimed at deceiving counterparties.194
However, this fine reflects an industry self-regulatory action, not a legal
sanction. FINRA’s report on the incident leaves it unclear how the violation
was detected. 195 Furthermore, FINRA has taken no comparable action
against an HFT firm since Trillium.
In short, regulators worldwide lack the ability to effectively monitor
markets for HFT abuse and reassure investors of market integrity. Better
monitoring tools like the SEC’s Consolidated Audit Trail (or the more re-
cently announced “Midas” system) may help,196 but it is far from clear that
187. Scott Patterson, SEC Pushes Plan for Audit System, Wall St. J. (Sept. 21, 2011),
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424053111904491704576574883908453622.html.
188. See Kavoussi, supra note 185.
189. See Lynch & Spicer, supra note 95.
190. Id.
191. See U.S. Dep’t of the Treasury, Office of Fin. Research, Strategic Frame-
work 2 (Mar. 2012), available at http://www.treasury.gov/initiatives/wsr/ofr/Documents/
OFRStrategicFramework.pdf.
192. See Linton, O’Hara & Zigrand, supra note 136, at 17–19.
193. Press Release, Fin. Indus. Reg. Auth, supra note 116.
194. Id.
195. Letter from Trillium Brokerage Servs., LLC, et al., to FINRA, Letter of Ac-
ceptance, Waiver and Consent (Aug. 5, 2010), available at http://www.finra.org/web/groups/
industry/@ip/@enf/@ad/documents/industry/p122044.pdf.
196. See Nathaniel Popper and Ben Protess, To Regulate Rapid Traders, S.E.C. Turns To
One Of Them, N.Y. Times (Oct. 7, 2012), http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/08/business/
sec-regulators-turn-to-high-speed-trading-firm.html?pagewanted=all.
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such tools will yield enough information to prove scienter in market manip-
ulation crimes. By contrast, comprehensive measures curtailing HFT order
cancellation could greatly diminish HFTs’ ability to use misdirection to de-
ceive other market participants. If such measures work as intended, they
would stop abuse before it happened, rather than scouring complex data to
find it after the fact.
European regulators have been more aggressive in this area. Markus
Ferber, German member of the European Parliament and a leader in the Mi-
FID review process, has advocated for a resting rule in stocks and
derivatives.197 On September 26, 2012, the European Parliament’s economic
affairs committee approved a measure requiring limit orders to remain valid
for at least five hundred milliseconds, placing the measure on the road to
becoming law.198 If structured carefully, this could make it difficult or im-
possible for HFTs to post limit orders that they have no intention to fulfill.199
That, in turn, could undermine strategies like stuffing, smoking, and spoof-
ing, and reduce the problem of illusory liquidity.
Andrew Haldane of the Bank of England has strongly argued for resting
rules.200 He explains the key distinction between this regulatory proposal
and others, like marketmaking guidelines and circuit breakers: “Minimum
resting periods are an ex-ante, non-state contingent intervention rule. They
tackle the arms race at the source by imposing a speed limit on trading.”201 A
well-designed resting rule could mitigate many of HFT’s problems, from
flash crashes to market abuse. Indeed, the most problematic HFT market
strategies require the ability to cancel orders quickly. A resting rule would
limit that possibility, forcing HFTs to assume a risk familiar to analog trad-
ers: namely, if conditions change fractions of a second after you place a
limit order, a counterparty may trade with you before you can retract. The
potential downside is that if HFT benefits market quality, minimum resting
or holding periods would reduce those benefits by increasing the cost of
HFT market making.
Therefore, regulators seeking to eliminate market abuse should closely
scrutinize the question of whether HFT’s market quality benefits substantial-
ly outweigh accompanying harms. The clear evidence of HFT’s potential for
market abuse should shift the burden to HFTs to prove overriding benefits to
market quality. If unambiguous evidence of substantial benefit to market
quality cannot be found—and the research largely suggests it cannot—
regulators ought not shy away from major rule changes like resting periods
or order cancellation taxes (described below). These measures could greatly
increase both the actual and perceived fairness of markets.
202. Eur. Sec. & Mkt. Auth, supra note 85, at 10.
203. Int’l Org. for Sec. Comm’ns, supra note 37, at 25.
204. Eur. Sec. & Mkt. Auth., supra note 85, at 64; Bank of Int’l Settlements, supra
note 25, at 28; Int’l Org. for Sec. Comm’ns, supra note 37, at 25.
205. See supra notes 103–104 and accompanying text.
206. The following quote concisely illustrates how many regulators have interpreted the
empirical work on HFT: “Overall, the empirical literature suggests that algorithmic trading
and HFT are neutral to beneficial for market quality, in that volatility has declined and quoted
spreads have narrowed. The findings on liquidity provision are mixed. Generally, algorithmic
liquidity appears to be more strategic than non-algorithmic liquidity and tends to decline when
volatility rises. Regarding price discovery, contrary conclusions have been drawn for FX and
for equities. Taken as a whole, the literature consistently shows that information in orders has
become more relevant than information in trades.” Bank of Int’l Settlements, supra note
25, at 13; see also Int’l Org. for Sec. Comm’ns, supra note 37, at 26–27 (“The available
evidence fails to find a consistent and significant negative effect of HFT on liquidity . . . .
[T]he limited empirical evidence available so far has not clearly identified negative effects of
HFT on the efficiency of the price discovery process.”).
207. See Biais, Foucault, & Moinas, supra note 36, at 27–28.
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Conclusion
Academic analysis of HFT’s effect on markets is difficult, and further
study would help point the way forward; however, existing evidence sug-
gests a handful of general conclusions. HFT adds to systemic risk by tightly
interlinking markets and creating the possibility of Flash Crash–type events.
HFT also provides opportunities for illegal market manipulation that are
difficult and expensive to detect. On the positive side, HFT provides liquidi-
ty and narrows spreads under normal trading conditions, and its marketable
orders tend to move prices in the right direction. But empirical research has
not demonstrated that these benefits are substantial, for several reasons.
First, HFT stops providing liquidity—and even reduces it—when volatility
is high and liquidity is most in demand. Second, HFT’s apparent contribu-
tions to price discovery could be: A) an artifact of HFT’s ability to identify
and front-run informed traders, or B) the result of millisecond price arbi-
trage strategies, impounding information that the market would soon have
incorporated anyway.213
International and domestic regulators have by and large accepted these
conclusions. However, their actions until now have focused largely on
avoiding Flash Crash–like events by beefing up circuit breakers, closing
regulatory loopholes like naked access and the exemption in MiFID Article