Building A Grad Nation 2019
Building A Grad Nation 2019
Grad Nation:
Progress and Challenge in
Raising High School Graduation Rates
Annual Update 2019
A Report By: Civic | Everyone Graduates Center at the School of Education at Johns Hopkins University
Lead Sponsor: AT&T Supporting Sponsors: Pure Edge and the Raikes Foundation
Building a
Grad Nation:
Progress and Challenge in
Raising High School Graduation Rates
Annual Update 2019
A Report By: Civic | Everyone Graduates Center at the School of Education at Johns Hopkins University
In Partnership With: Alliance for Excellent Education, America’s Promise Alliance
Authored By: Matthew N. Atwell, Robert Balfanz, John Bridgeland, Erin Ingram
Data Analysis By: Vaughan Byrnes
Lead Sponsor: AT&T
Supporting Sponsors: Pure Edge and the Raikes Foundation
Progress and Challenge in Raising High School Graduation Rates
Table of Contents
Executive Summary......................................................................................................................................................... 8
Introduction.................................................................................................................................................................. 12
Part I: High School Graduation Trends Across the Nation................................................................................................. 15
Part II: Reaching a 90 Percent Graduation Rate for All Students...................................................................................... 19
Where We Stand: Low-Income Students....................................................................................................................... 19
Where We Stand: Black and Hispanic Students............................................................................................................ 20
Where We Stand: Homeless Students .......................................................................................................................... 22
Highlight: Spotlight on Michigan: Supporting the Attendance of Students Experiencing Homelessness.......................... 23
Where We Stand: Students with Disabilities.................................................................................................................. 24
Highlight: Change in Graduation Requirements Leads to Dramatic Shift in Nevada’s Graduation Rate............................ 25
Where We Stand: English Learners............................................................................................................................... 25
Highlight: State Graduation Rate Accountability Fueled Graduation Rate Rise............................................................... 26
Where We Stand: Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools................................................................................................... 28
Highlight: From a Nation at Risk to a Nation at Hope:
The National Commission on Social, Emotional, and Academic Development......................................................... 31
Part III: Examining the Connection Between High School, Postsecondary, and the Workforce............................................ 33
Secondary School Improvement Index.......................................................................................................................... 33
Postsecondary Enrollment and Readiness.................................................................................................................... 36
Highlight: Promising Models in Boosting the School-to-Work Pipeline............................................................................ 37
Policy and Practice Recommendations........................................................................................................................... 39
Conclusion................................................................................................................................................................... 41
Acknowledgments......................................................................................................................................................... 42
Appendices
Appendix A. A
veraged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort
Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2003–2017...........................................................................................46
Appendix B. A
djusted Cohort Graduation Rates, by State and Subgroup, 2016–17..........................................................50
Appendix C. Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate Gaps—Black and White Students, by State, 2016–17..............................52
Appendix D. Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate Gaps—Hispanic and White Students, by State, 2016–17.........................53
Appendix E. A
djusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR) by State,
Percent Low-Income, ACGR Low-Income, ACGR Estimated Non-Low-Income,
Gap between Low-Income and Non-Low-Income, and Gap Change 2011–2017..........................................54
Appendix F. A
djusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR, 2016–17)
for Students with Disabilities (SWD) versus Non-SWD Students....................................................................55
Appendix G. A
djusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR, 2016–17)
for English Language Learners (ELs) Students versus Non-EL Students.......................................................56
Appendix H. E
stimated Number of Additional Graduates Needed to Reach
a 90 Percent Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR) by State and Subgroup, 2016–17...........................57
Appendix I. P
ercentage of Four-Year Non-Graduates, by State and Subgroup, 2016–17..................................................58
Appendix J. E
SSA High Schools (100 or more students)
with ACGR of 67 Percent or Below, by State and Type, 2016–17..................................................................59
Appendix K. L ow-Graduation Schools (ACGR Less than or Equal to 67%
& Enrollment Greater than or Equal to 100) and Number of Non-Graduates
Produced by Them, by State and Locale Code, 2016–17............................................................................60
Appendix L. Low-Performing High Schools, by Type and State, 2016–17........................................................................61
Appendix M. Secondary School Improvement Index.......................................................................................................65
Appendix N. State ESSA Plan’s Graduation Rate Goals....................................................................................................68
Appendix O. State ESSA Student Subgroup Graduation Rate Goals.................................................................................70
Figures
Figure 1. A
veraged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR)
and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2002–2017...............................................15
Figure 2. Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate, by State 2016–17.......................................................................................16
Figure 3. A
djusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR) for Black, Hispanic,
and White Students from 2010–11 to 2016–17...............................................................................................20
Figure 4. S
tate graduation rate goals, annual improvement targets,
and use of cohort graduation rate by year: 2003–2010....................................................................................27
Figure 5. E
ffect of state graduation rate goal and annual improvement target
type on school district graduation rates, assuming use of a non-cohort graduation rate: 2003–2010.................27
Tables
Table 1. State 2011 ACGR, by Range............................................................................................................................17
Table 2. State 2017 ACGR and Change since 2011, by Range.......................................................................................17
Table 3. Equity Path to 90: Estimated Additional Graduates Needed
to Reach a 90 Percent Graduation Rate by State and Subgroup........................................................................17
Table 4. States with the Largest Graduation Gaps Between
Low-Income and Non-Low-Income Students, 2016–17.....................................................................................20
Table 5. States with Highest Proportion of Low-Income Non-Graduates, 2016–17..........................................................20
Table 6. States with the Largest Percentage of Black Students.......................................................................................21
Table 7. States with the Highest Proportion of Non-Grads who are Black........................................................................21
Table 8. States with the Largest Percentage of Hispanic Students...................................................................................21
Table 9. States with Highest Percent of Non-Graduates in the State that are Hispanic.....................................................21
Table 10. Homeless Students National Data...................................................................................................................22
Table 11. State-Level ACGR for Homeless Students Compared
to All Students and Economically Disadvantaged Students..............................................................................22
Table 12. States with the Highest Proportion of Student With Disabilities (SWD) Non-Graduates, 2017...........................24
Table 13. States with the Highest Proportion of English Learner Non-Graduates, 2017...................................................28
Table 14. Characteristics of High Schools Identified for Comprehensive Support and Improvement (CSI)........................28
Table 15. Student Demographics in High Schools
Reporting 2017 ACGR and Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools.......................................................................29
Table 16. States with the Highest Percentage of Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools
(100 or more students) and Overall State ACGR, 2016–17..............................................................................30
Table 17. Percent of Schools With 100 or More Students that are
Low-Graduation-Rate Schools by Type, 2016–17............................................................................................30
Table 18. Secondary School Improvement Index, 2011–2017........................................................................................34
Table 19. High School Graduates Immediately Enrolling in College by Family Income, 1975–2016.................................36
This year’s annual update to the nation this period climbed from 67 percent to 77.8
includes three new features. The first is a percent for Black students, 70 percent to P
art I: High School Graduation
Secondary School Improvement Index to assess 78.3 percent for low-income students, and Trends Across the Nation
whether gains in high school graduation 59 percent to 67.1 percent for students The nation continues to see steady, but
rates nationally and by state are translating with disabilities. slowing, growth in graduation rates and
into better preparation for postsecondary Notwithstanding this progress, however, remains off-pace to reach the 90 percent
education. Sixty-eight percent of states have the nation is off pace to reaching its 90 goal, which would require graduating an
been able to improve both their graduation percent high school graduation rate goal and additional 199,466 more students on time
rates and at least two other measures of needs to more than double its annual rate of and more than doubling the annual rate of
academic success of their secondary schools, progress since 2011. Reaching the 90 percent gain since 2011 through 2020.
while nearly one-third have not. The second goal would have required graduating an In 2011, no state had reached a 90
feature is a focus on homeless students with additional 199,466 students on time across percent graduation rate and only nine had
graduation rate data available for the first the nation in 2017. What’s more, to achieve graduation rates above 85 percent. By 2017,
time from 26 states, together with a national an equitable path to 90 percent, the majority
two states were already at the national goal
graduation rate released by the National of these additional students would need to be
of 90 percent and 25 additional states had
Center for Homeless Education, signaling that students of color, low-income students, and
surpassed 85 percent.
homeless students may be the subgroup with students with disabilities.
the lowest graduation rates in the nation. The Students continue to live in two educational • In 2011, 15 states had graduation rates
third new component highlights indicators nations. Most students attend high schools below 75 percent but by 2017, all but one
of postsecondary success and provides with a graduation rate already at 90 percent, of those states had crossed the 75 percent
snapshots of innovations in the school-to- while other students remain trapped in a subset graduation rate threshold.
work pipeline as the nation works to prepare of high schools where the average graduation
• Of the 15 states that had the lowest
more Americans for the increasing demands rate for students is only 40 percent. This
graduation rates in 2011, five have seen
of the workplace. report looks at these issues of equity in-
their graduation rate increase by more than
This year’s report also continues to keep depth—both the subgroups of students that
10 percentage points, helping to close
the nation’s attention on the progress and disproportionately fail to graduate on time,
the gap between lowest- and highest-
challenge across the nation and by state as well as the types of schools where these
performing states in the nation and serving
in raising high school graduation rates, a students are educated. There were 2,357 low-
as a challenge: If some states can make
critical on-track indicator for young people graduation-rate high schools in 2017, down
as they enter adulthood. The graduation from 2,425 in 2016. These low-graduation- such significant gains, others can too.
rate has continued its rise from 79 percent rate high schools accounted for 12.5 percent • Despite the challenges of closing the last
in 2011 to an all-time high of 84.6 percent of all public high schools enrolling 100 or remaining gaps, reaching the 90 percent
in 2017 under the Four-Year Adjusted more students that reported ACGR in 2017, goal by 2020 in fact comes down to highly
Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), and from enroll about 6.5 percent of all students, and achievable numbers at the state level, as
71 percent since 2001 based on the best educate approximately 31 percent of all four- 17 states need to graduate fewer than 1,000
available estimate that has tracked the ACGR year non-graduates. The vast majority of these additional students on time to reach a 90
very closely. This progress means that more schools have been identified for reform. percent rate, while some larger states have
than 3.5 million additional students have We conclude with a list of policy and to graduate an additional 10,000 students.
graduated instead of dropping out over the last practice recommendations that aim to help
decade and a half. the nation reach its goal of a 90 percent The progress of high-poverty states like
Encouragingly, Hispanic, Black, and low- high school graduation rate for all students Georgia and West Virginia, which have seen
income students continue to drive increasing and ensure they are better prepared for their graduation rates increase by more than
graduation rates, with Hispanic students postsecondary education in an economy 10 percentage points since 2011, shows
being the first among them to reach an 80 that increasingly demands it. The report also that, even in the face of challenges, boosting
percent graduation rate in 2017, up from 71 includes a deep analysis of state-by-state high school graduation rates is possible,
percent in 2011. Graduation rates during data in the appendices. even as some states struggle to do so.
15.6 percent of the 2016–17 cohort, they students with disabilities ranges from a low of
P
art II: Reaching a 90 Percent comprised 22.5 percent of the nation’s non- 36.4 percent in Mississippi to a high of 83.8
Graduation Rate for All Students graduates. Hispanic students were similarly percent in Arkansas. Students with disabilities
As accountability is transitioned back into the overrepresented, amounting to 23.4 percent of face some of the most inequitable outcomes of
purview of states under the Every Student the cohort but 30.4 percent of non-graduates. any student subgroup, with a 19.8 percentage
Succeeds Act (ESSA), it is important to point graduation rate gap between them
closely monitor states’ progress in reaching Homeless Students and their peers. What’s more, students with
their ESSA subgroup graduation rate goals Homeless students face barriers to graduation disabilities amount to more than one in four
(see Appendix O) and in driving sustained above and beyond poverty alone, and newly students that fail to graduate on time.
improvements in the schools attended by their collected graduation rate data reflects the
student populations with the lowest graduation challenges of keeping this demographic in English Learners
rates. By keeping a spotlight on progress, school and on track, highlighting that they English Learners (EL) represent a growing
these goals have the ability to continue to may have the lowest graduation rates in the population of America’s public school students,
play a crucial role in creating more equitable nation of any subgroup. Under the ESSA, all reaching 9.5 percent of all U.S. students in
outcomes for all students. Under ESSA, states states will be required to submit disaggregated grades K–12 by the fall of 2015. Discouragingly,
are also required to identify their lowest- graduation rates for homeless students for as English Learners increasingly make up a
performing high schools for comprehensive the 2017–18 school year. This year, 44 larger share of the population, in 2017 their
improvement, many of which educate states shared 2016–17 data voluntarily with graduation rate decreased nationally by 0.5
disproportionate numbers of Black, Hispanic, the National Center for Homeless Education percentage point, dropping to 66.4 percent. In
and low-income students, and to generate (NCHE). NCHE used the submitted state data 15 states, less than 60 percent of EL students
plans to improve them. to calculate a national average graduation graduate on time. English Learners graduate
rate of 64 percent for homeless students, as at a rate 19.4 percentage points below their
Where We Stand on Key Drivers compared to the low-income rate of 78.3 non-English Learner peers. Over 41 percent
Low-Income Students percent, and 84.6 percent for all students. In of all English Learners that do not graduate on
Low-income students made up 47.2 percent addition, 26 states shared their graduation rate time are concentrated in four states (Texas, New
of the nation’s graduating cohort in 2017, but data for homeless students with our Education Mexico, California, and Nevada).
nearly two-thirds of the nation’s four-year non- Leads Home campaign, which we provide for
graduates with an average graduation rate of the first time in this report. Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools
78.3 percent. The graduation rate gap between In 2017, there were 2,357 low-graduation-rate
• Twenty states have rates below 70
low-income and non-low-income students high schools of all types (regular, vocational,
percent for homeless students, and nine
ranges from a high of 24.5 percentage points charter, virtual, etc.) with a graduation rate
among that group have rates below 60
in Wyoming, to a low of -2.7 percentage points of 67 percent or less, enrolling 100 or more
percent. Minnesota has the lowest rate, at
in South Carolina. While the majority of states students, down from 2,425 in 2016. These
45.4 percent.
have seen their graduation gaps between low- low-graduation-rate high schools accounted for
income and non-low-income decline, 13 states • One state (Delaware) has a graduation rate 12.5 percent of all public high schools enrolling
have actually seen this gap increase. Fifteen above 80 percent for homeless students. 100 or more students that reported an ACGR in
states are driving progress for low-income 2017, enroll about 6.5 percent of all students,
students, with gains of 10 percentage points or Students With Disabilities and educate approximately 31 percent of all
more in the last seven years. The graduation rate for students with four-year non-graduates. The average graduation
disabilities ticked up in 2016–17, increasing rate for students trapped in these low-performing
Black and Hispanic Students by 1.6 percentage points to 67.1 percent schools is 40 percent. Black, Hispanic, and
Both Black and Hispanic students continue to nationally. This makes students with low-income students disproportionately
make gains greater than the national average. disabilities the student subgroup with the attend low-graduation-rate high schools. In
While Black students have had a double-digit third-lowest graduation rate across the four states, more than one in every five high
gain since 2011 in their graduation rates, country, ahead of only English Learners schools has an on-time graduation rate of 67
even higher than Hispanic students, Hispanic and homeless students (based on the data percent or less, while in seven states, over 25
students became the third major subgroup, available today). Although most states saw percent of on-time non-graduates are found in
after white and Asian students, to reach the improvements in their on-time graduation rate low-graduation-rate high schools. This report
80 percent mark. Yet, while these students for students with disabilities, just 26 states also breaks down low-graduation-rate high
continue to drive gains in the national saw increases of at least 1 percentage point. schools by whether they are alternative or
graduation rate, gaps remain considerable Moreover, 14 states saw their rates decline regular schools; district operated or charter
(10.8 percentage points between Black and over the past year. Still, a 1.6 percentage-point operated; and virtual schools. Through ESSA,
white students; and 8.6 percentage points increase amounts to the largest percentage- states identified 1,805 of their low-graduation-
between Hispanic and white students). point gain this past year among subgroups rate high schools by the spring of 2019. This
Moreover, these students continue to analyzed in this report and is more than three means that the vast majority of the 2,357 low-
disproportionately fall off track to graduate times the national rate of increase. Across graduation-rate high schools in the nation have
on time. While Black students made up states, the high school graduation rate for been targeted for comprehensive reform.
them taking remedial courses that can add better equipped to understand their needs and available to them, including financial aid
significant costs to a postsecondary education. implement appropriate interventions. and the application process, as well as
State leaders should establish diploma the course requirements to access certain
requirements aligned with state college and pathways. Moreover, schools and districts
university systems’ admissions criteria. Schools
Improve data collection and reporting on should provide greater access to dual
and districts should ensure more students, postsecondary transitions and outcomes. enrollment, early college, career academies,
Creation of the Four-Year Adjusted Cohort and career and technical education
especially those from traditionally underserved
Graduation Rate allowed for a reliable,
populations, earn a diploma that ensures they pathways. Postsecondary institutions should
consistent, on-track indicator for young people
are college and career ready. Ensuring high do more to support students, particularly
as they transition to adulthood, disaggregated
school diploma requirements are aligned with first generation and low-income students,
by race, ethnicity, income, disability, English
college- and career-ready standards can help both before they step onto campus and
Learners, and homelessness, as well as by
ensure more students are on track to graduate once they are there. Employers can also
state, district, and even school. Data reporting
prepared to immediately enter postsecondary help strengthen the transition between
on postsecondary enrollment and success rates
education or the workplace. education and the workplace by increasing
is, as a result of the nature of postsecondary
engagement with schools through
education, less reliable. In order to properly
internships and the Federal Work Study
understand the full nature of postsecondary
Create state-specific high school program that ground learning in real-
enrollment and success, there must be
graduation plans. world experiences in communities and the
improvement in data reporting. Specifically, we
States should develop “Closing the Grad Gap workplace. Federal policymakers can also
need state level data on how many high school
on the Path to 90 Plans” that analyze which contribute to creating stronger pathways
graduates immediately enroll in postsecondary
districts, schools, and students within their institutions, as this is an important metric of between high school and postsecondary
states need additional supports or guidance momentum toward postsecondary success. We by allowing high school students to use
on implementing evidence-based approaches also need better data on whether high school federal Pell Grants to pay for college courses
to enable all students to graduate on time and graduates are succeeding in postsecondary taken in dual enrollment and early college
be prepared for postsecondary or workforce education in a timely matter, and how that programs. They can also increase national
success. Using data in this report, including tracks with the state in which the student was service opportunities to provide additional
data on the equity path to 90 for all states (see educated and their socioeconomic background. mentors and tutors in high-needs schools,
Appendix H), states could identify where their help those who serve defray the cost of
biggest challenges remain. Creating these Strengthen the transition from high school college with education awards, and allocate
plans can better ensure students in need of to postsecondary and careers. additional funding to accelerate research
critical interventions do not fall through the It is critical that schools help students on college- and career-pathway initiatives to
cracks, and that districts and schools are understand the postsecondary options build the evidence of what is effective.
the report, Locating the Dropout equity gaps remain, as Black, Hispanic, and
low-income students continue to graduate
these gains have been driven by Black,
Hispanic, and low-income students, and
Crisis, which revealed that just high school at rates far behind their white
and more affluent peers. In addition, English
translated into greater rates of enrollment
in postsecondary programs for these very
15 percent of high schools were Learners, students with disabilities, and same students. We also know that progress
high school dropouts, enabling We know the schools that have continued
to struggle with low graduation rates. From
challenges, as many of the poorest-
performing states from 2011 have driven
a targeted approach to address the days prior to the GradNation campaign progress with graduation rate gains greater
with Locating the Dropout Crisis to the than 10 percentage points.
the problem. Great American High School Campaign Importantly, we also know what is
report released just last year, we know effective in boosting graduation rates,
where these schools are located and the including in the schools and communities
intensities of the educational challenges facing the most significant challenges.
they encounter. These high schools also Early warning systems have effectively
reflect the challenges of their surrounding begun tracking a student’s attendance
communities—communities that have been patterns, behavior, and course performance
unable to make the transition to a 21st to identify at-risk students early and to
century economy and are often at the intervene with the necessary supports.
nexus of the all-too-present divides our The Aspen Institute’s National Commission
nation faces. on Social, Emotional, and Academic
We are aware of concerns around Development reinforced that fostering a
accountability and graduation rate gaming child’s social and emotional learning is
that have arisen in tandem with the national essential to improving student academic
graduation rate. Each year, we highlight and career outcomes. High school
areas of significant progress and issues that redesign, comprehensive evidence-based
raise serious concerns. We also know that school improvements, and new high
schools focused on creating pathways to regular high schools. While we have a strong achievable gains that are necessary to
college and career success for all students understanding of what predicts success in reach the graduation rate goal;
are significant parts of the story. The four-year colleges and universities, there is
2. Reaching a 90 percent graduation
Great American High School Campaign more to learn on indicators for success in
rate for all students: highlighting both
report released by Civic and the Everyone two-year postsecondary programs.
continued improvement for historically
Graduates Center lays out a clear path for As the campaign moves closer to 2020,
underserved student subgroups and the
our lowest-performing schools. we remain committed to ensuring every
equity gaps that linger, and focusing
Now more than ever, we know that a student, regardless of background or zip
on the remaining lowest performing
high school diploma is no longer enough. code, receives a quality education. We are
schools by state; and
Researchers from Georgetown University encouraged by efforts across the nation to
have shown that by 2020, 65 percent of integrate social, emotional, and academic 3. The connection between high school,
jobs will require some type of postsecondary development, and to ensure all students postsecondary, and the workforce:
degree (Carnevale, Smith, and Strohl, have access to a quality education. We will exploring trends in postsecondary
2013). We need to double down on ensuring continue to report on progress and challenge preparation through secondary school
that high school graduation translates into in graduating students from high school and indicators, trends in immediate
postsecondary success. In this report, we building pathways to college and career, and enrollment for low-income students,
identify that a student’s GPA and their high to hold leaders at the federal, state, district, and the strongest predictors of
school coursework lead to greater rates of and school levels accountable for progress postsecondary success.
postsecondary completion. in creating a Grad Nation for all. To highlight The report also includes best practices
Still, there are issues that require further important trends over the past year, this in improving high school graduation rates
monitoring and exploration. We need to report is broken down into three sections: and strengthening the school-to-work
know more about credit recovery programs 1. High school graduation trends across the pipeline, highlights ongoing issues with
and ensure alternative education settings nation: examining the progress states high school accountability, and presents
are held to the same high standards as have made since 2011 and the highly recommendations for policy and practice.
…Attaining the goal of a 90 The National Picture State-Level Progress and Challenge
percent graduation rate by
In 2017, the national graduation rate reached A review of state-level data shows that some
an all-time high of 84.6 percent, up from states have already reached the national goal,
Figure 1 Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2001–2017
86
● AFGR
84 ● ACGR
82
GRADUATION RATE (%)
80
78
76
74
72
70 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
YEAR
Sources: Stetser, M. & Stillwell, R. (2014). Public High School Four-Year On-Time Graduation Rates and Event Dropout Rates: School Years 2010–11, 2011–12, and
2012–13: First Look (Provisional Data) (NCES 2014–391). U.S. Department of Education. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics; U.S. Department
of Education (2013). Provisional Data File: SY2012–13 Four-Year Regulatory Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rates.
AK WA
VT ME
MT ND
OR MN NH
ID MA
SD WI NY
WY RI
CA MI CT
PA NJ
NV IA
NE
OH DE
UT IN
IL WV VA MD
CO DC
KS MO KY
NC
AZ TN
NM OK AR SC
HI
MS AL GA
LA
TX
70–74.9%
75–79.9% FL
80–84.9%
85–89.9%
90% and above
Six-Year Trends those states have crossed the 75 percent than 3 percentage points over the last six
While yearly growth has slowed, this is still graduation rate threshold. years.
important progress from 2011, when no • Five of these states—Alabama, Alaska, Despite the challenges of closing the last
state had achieved a 90 percent graduation Florida, Georgia, and Utah—have had remaining gaps, reaching the 90 percent
rate, and only 9 states had graduation rates goal by 2020 in fact comes down to highly
gains of more than 10 percentage
above 85 percent. In 2011, the gap between achievable numbers at the state level.
points since 2011, helping to close the
the state with the highest graduation rate Seventeen states need to graduate fewer
gap between the lowest and highest
and the lowest graduation rate was 26 than 1,000 additional students on time
graduation rates in the nation. Another
percentage points. By 2017, that gap has (Vermont needs only 53). Just six states
seven from among this group of previously
closed to about 20 percentage points. (Arizona, Michigan, Georgia, Florida, New
low-graduation-rate states had gains of
Six-year trend lines show 24 states York, and California) will need to graduate
more than 5 percentage points.
making gains of 5 percentage points or more than 10,000 additional students.
more, seven of which made gains of more • Of the nine states with the highest These states will need to focus intently
than 10 percentage points. Fifteen states graduation rates in 2011 (Iowa, on improving outcomes for students of
made gains between 3 and 5 percentage Vermont, Wisconsin, North Dakota, New color, students with disabilities, and low-
points, nine made gains of less than 3 Hampshire, Nebraska, Texas, Indiana, income students, as those are the majority
percentage points, and only two states have and Tennessee), none but New Jersey of students currently being left behind.
lost ground. and Iowa have managed to cross the 90 (See Appendix H for state and national
• In 2011, 15 states had graduation rates percent mark as of 2017. In fact, six of breakdown by subgroup of the additional
below 75 percent. In 2017, all but one of these states have growth rates of less graduates needed to reach 90 percent.)
Table 1 State 2011 ACGR, by Range Table 2 State 2017 ACGR and Change since 2011, by Range
Idaho** 77.3%
Kentucky* 86.1%
Oklahoma* 84.8%
Table 3 Equity Path to 90: Estimated Additional Graduates Needed to Reach a 90 Percent Graduation Rate by Subgroup
American Asian/
All Students Indian/Alaska Pacific Two or More Students with Low- Limited English
Cohort Year (N) Native (N) Islander (N) Black (N) Hispanic (N) White (N) Identities (N) Disabilities (N) Income (N) Proficiency (N)
2016–17 199,466 7,286 - 70,282 86,486 26,793 † 99,877 203,907 54,689
REACHING A 90 PERCENT
Graduation Rate for All Students
Table 4 States with the Largest Graduation Gaps Between Low-Income and Non-Low-Income this demographic. Many of these Midwestern
Students, 2016–17 states also have large proportions of low-
income students. For example, Minnesota,
Gap Between Non-Low-Income and Low- Percent of Low-Income Students
Michigan, Idaho, and Ohio have high school
State Income ACGR (Percentage Points), 2017 in the Cohort, 2017 (%)
graduation cohorts with over 40 percent
Wyoming 24.5 13.4% low-income students. In 2017, the 10 states
Minnesota 23.9 42.7% with the largest graduation gaps between low-
South Dakota 23.7 29.7% income and non-low-income students were
Michigan 20.6 40.2% Wyoming, Minnesota, South Dakota, Michigan,
Colorado, Ohio, Washington, North Dakota,
Colorado 20.0 47.0%
Idaho, and Rhode Island.
Ohio 19.3 42.5%
Over the last six years, the majority of
Washington 19.0 50.5% states have seen the gaps between low-
North Dakota 17.9 26.4% income and non-low-income students
Idaho 17.9 54.8% gradually decrease. Thirteen states, however,
have gone in the other direction and seen
Rhode Island 17.4 53.4%
this gap increase (Texas, Missouri, Maine,
Hawaii, North Dakota, Louisiana, Arizona,
Table 5 States with Highest Proportion of Low-Income Non-Graduates, 2016–17 Washington, Colorado, Michigan, South
Percentage of State Dakota, Minnesota, and Wyoming). The
Non-Graduates who are Percentage of Low-Income Low-Income majority of these states already had some
of the largest gaps between low-income
State Low-Income Students Within the 2017 Cohort ACGR, 2017
and non-low-income students to begin with,
West Virginia 92.0% 76.8% 87.3%
meaning even more low-income students are
Maine 84.2% 53.3% 79.3% being left behind.
Arkansas 82.2% 65.3% 84.9% To better tackle graduation rate gaps, it is
California 82.2% 67.1% 78.8% important to understand if there are specific
Nevada 81.4% 67.0% 76.8% subgroups that are over-represented in the
students that fail to graduate on time each
Kansas 81.1% 51.2% 78.6%
year. Reviewing percentages of non-graduates
Rhode Island 80.7% 53.4% 76.0% by subgroup can clarify where states can
Louisiana 80.1% 64.1% 72.6% direct their focus in order to make larger gains.
Massachusetts 79.9% 44.5% 79.0% For example, in California, more than eight out
Vermont 78.9% 45.3% 81.0% of 10 students who did not graduate on time
were low-income students.
The states with the highest proportions
of low-income non-graduates are a diverse
Figure 3 A djusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR) for Black, Hispanic/Latino, and White Students
group, ranging from small and largely rural
from 2010–11 to 2016–17
West Virginia to the State of California with its
large urban centers and the largest student
95% population in the country. In eight states,
more than eight out of 10 students who did
90%
not graduate with their peers were low-
85% income. Reducing the number of low-income
non-graduates in these states will require
ACGR (%)
80%
a range of reforms and smart tactics, given
75% the differences among states in terms of
population, challenges, and resources.
70%
65% W
here We Stand:
60% Black and Hispanic Students
2010–11 2011–12 2012–2013 2014–2015 2015–16 2016–17 Growth in the national graduation rate
School Year continues to be driven by increases for Black
— Black — Hispanic/Latino — White and Hispanic students across the country.
Black and Hispanic students made higher
Source: National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). Retrieved from http://www.ed.gov/news/press-releases/
achievement-gap-narrows-high-school-graduation-rates-minority-students-improve-faster-rest-nation
yearly gains than their white counterparts (1.4
and 0.7 percentage points respectively, as
Table 6 S tates with the Largest Percentage Table 7 States with the Highest Proportion of Non-Grads who are Black
of Black Students Percent of State’s Non- Percent of Students in the
Percent of State Graduates that are Black Cohort that are Black ACGR, Black
Students in Mississippi 60.3% 49.5% 79.3%
the Cohort ACGR, Black, Louisiana 54.1% 43.6% 72.8%
State that are Black 2016–17 Alabama 43.3% 34.3% 86.5%
Mississippi 49.5% 79.3% Georgia 43.2% 37.7% 77.8%
Louisiana 43.6% 72.8% Maryland 41.6% 35.1% 85.4%
Georgia 37.7% 77.8% South Carolina 40.8% 35.8% 81.3%
South Carolina 35.8% 81.3% Delaware 39.9% 31.1% 83.2%
Maryland 35.1% 85.4% Tennessee 39.1% 25.0% 84.0%
Alabama 34.3% 86.5% Missouri 34.3% 16.7% 75.9%
Delaware 31.1% 83.2% Florida 31.9% 22.4% 74.8%
North Carolina 26.5% 83.9%
Tennessee 25.0% 84.0% Table 8 States with the Largest Percentage of Hispanic Students
Virginia 23.1% 82.8%
State Percent of Students in the Cohort that are Hispanic ACGR for Hispanic Students
New Mexico 60.1% 70.5%
In 2017, Black students made up 15.6 The national graduation rate for Hispanic problematic that in states with substantial
percent of the nation’s total graduating students crossed 80 percent in 2017. Here Hispanic student populations—such as
cohort, but comprised 22.5 percent of again, we can see uneven progress across Arizona, Colorado, New Mexico, and New
the nation’s non-graduates. By looking at states. Gains in Hispanic graduation rates York—Hispanic graduation rates remain in
the percentage of Black students in each were in large part driven by improvements in the mid-to-low 70s. The net result is Hispanic
state who do not graduate with their peers, Texas and California—two highly populated students comprise 23.4 percent of the
we can better understand where we must states, where half of all students are Hispanic, graduating cohort in the nation, and 30.4
concentrate our efforts in order to see and Hispanic graduation rates are above percent of non-graduates.
improvements for these students. 80 percent. At the same time, it remains
W
here We Stand:
Table 10 Homeless Students National Data Homeless Students
Homeless students face multiple barriers
Homeless Students High School to graduation. Newly collected graduation
School Year Number of Homeless Students Graduation Rate rate data reflects the challenges of keeping
2016–17 1,355,821 64% this demographic in school and on track,
Note: The graduation rate is based on analysis of 44 states that submitted disaggregated high school highlighting that they may have the lowest
graduation rates to the Department of Education. Source: National Center for Homeless Education graduation rates in the nation of any subgroup.
Until very recently, states were not required
to report graduation rate data for homeless
Table 11 S tate-Level ACGR for Homeless Students Compared to All Students and Economically students, meaning there was no way to
Disadvantaged Students measure or hold states accountable for the
success of these young people. Under ESSA, all
State All Students Economically Disadvantaged Students Homeless Students
states will be required to submit disaggregated
Alaska 78.2% 72.0% 56.3% graduation rates for homeless students for
Arkansas 88.0% 84.9% 79.4% 2017–18. This year, 44 states shared 2016–17
Colorado 79.0% 70.5% 55.8% data voluntarily with the National Center for
Delaware 84.7% 76.5% 81.3% Homeless Education. While data specific to
each state will not be released by NCHE this
Florida 82.3% 76.8% 63.8%
year, NCHE used the submitted state data
Georgia 80.6% 76.4% 60.9%
to calculate a national average graduation
Idaho 79.7% 71.6% 55.1% rate of 64 percent for homeless students,
Indiana 83.8% 80.3% 70.3% as compared to the low-income rate of 78.3
Kansas 86.9% 78.8% 66.3% percent, and 84.6 percent for all students.
In addition, 26 states shared their
Maine 86.9% 79.3% 59.7%
graduation rate data for homeless students
Maryland 87.7% 79.3% 67.2%
with our Education Leads Home campaign.
Michigan 80.2% 67.9% 54.6%
• Twenty states have rates below 70 percent
Minnesota 82.7% 69.0% 45.4%
for homeless students, and nine among that
Missouri 89.0% 81.8% 76.4% group have rates below 60 percent. Minnesota
Montana 85.8% 76.6% 61.9% has the lowest rate, at 45.4 percent.
New Hampshire 88.9% 77.5% 65.4% • One state (Delaware) has a graduation rate
New Jersey 90.5% 83.9% 73.2% above 80 percent for homeless students.
North Carolina 86.5% 81.8% 69.2% Students experiencing homelessness are 87
Ohio 84.1% 73.1% 60.3% percent more likely to drop out of school than their
Oregon 76.7% 70.1% 50.7% housed peers, and without a high school diploma
Rhode Island 84.1% 76.0% 60.7%
youth are 4.5 times more likely to experience
homelessness later in life (Morton, Dworsky, and
South Dakota 83.7% 66.9% 56.8%
Samuels, 2017). Furthermore, more than 95
Texas 89.7% 86.9% 72.1% percent of jobs created during the economic
Washington 79.3% 70.0% 53.9% recovery have gone to workers with at least some
Wisconsin 88.6% 77.4% 68.7% college education, while those with a high school
Wyoming 80.2% 67.9% 60.8% diploma or less are being left behind. More and
more research supports the imperative of actively
As of the 2017–18 school year, ESSA requires all states to submit graduation rate data for students
experiencing homelessness. The individual state data shown here were provided voluntarily to the addressing the educational needs of homeless
Education Leads Home campaign by state education agencies. students to help break the cycle of poverty.
Table 12 States with the Highest Proportion of Student With Disabilities (SWD) Non-Graduates, 2017 postsecondary education. Making things
even murkier, when the National Center on
Percent of State Non- Percent of SWD Students
Educational Outcomes asked states that allow
State Graduates who are SWD within the 2017 Cohort SWD Student ACGR
students with disabilities to receive different
Maine 46.1% 22.0% 72.5%
diploma options if their states report data on
Massachusetts 44.6% 19.2% 72.8% the number of students receiving different
Connecticut 42.7% 15.5% 66.7% diploma types, just seven states responded
New Hampshire 39.7% 16.9% 74.0% (Johnson, Thurlow, Qian, and Anderson,
New York 38.3% 15.6% 55.4%
2019). In order to better understand the
education landscape for students with
Rhode Island 38.0% 16.3% 63.0%
disabilities and hold states accountable for
Mississippi 36.8% 9.8% 36.4% progress with this subgroup, all states should
Virginia 36.2% 11.8% 59.8% disaggregate data on the types of diplomas
Iowa 35.9% 12.6% 74.3% students with disabilities are receiving.
Vermont 35.8% 16.2% 76.0% Although state-to-state discrepancies make
state comparisons challenging, one thing is
clear: Students with disabilities continue to
graduate at rates well below their peers. The
Encouragingly, six states have agreed W
here We Stand: graduation rate for students with disabilities
Students With Disabilities
to participate in a State Partnership
ticked up in 2016–17, increasing by 1.6
Challenge with the Education Leads Home
Previous Building a Grad Nation reports percentage points to 67.1 percent nationally,
(ELH) campaign that brings together
have explored the complexity in cross-state the largest uptick among subgroups analyzed
policymakers and practitioners with
comparisons for students with disabilities due in this report. This marks a six-year increase
the goal of overcoming child and youth
to variance in state diploma requirements of 8.1 percentage points. Still, the rate makes
homelessness through education. Through
and identification procedures. Research students with disabilities the student subgroup
the partnership, each state is committed to
has also indicated that anywhere from with the third-lowest graduation rate across
researching and implementing replicable
24 to 32 states offer diploma options the country, trailed only by English Learners
best practices that address the most urgent
specifically for students with disabilities and homeless students (based on the data
needs of their unique homeless student
populations. By working directly with state (Achieve, 2016; Johnson, Thurlow, Qian, available today). Although most states saw
leaders to develop and implement strategic and Anderson, 2019). This makes drawing improvements in their on-time graduation rate
action plans, and creating an innovative any generalizations from state-by-state for students with disabilities, just 26 states
and collaborative “learning lab” of best analysis for students with disabilities difficult. saw increases of at least 1 percentage point.
practices from birth through postsecondary More importantly, it presents challenges for Moreover, 14 states saw their rates decline
education, ELH’s State Partnerships will students themselves, as differences in the over the past year.
promote educational achievement and diploma requirements—and even the types of Students with disabilities face some of the
help break the cycle of poverty diplomas students with disabilities are eligible most inequitable outcomes of any student
and homelessness. to receive—leave students ill-equipped for subgroup, with a 19.8 percentage point
graduation rate gap between them and their
peers. Graduation gaps between students with
disabilities and their peers without special
needs fluctuate across states, from lows of 4.7
and 6.6 points in Arkansas and Oklahoma,
respectively, to a high of 51.7 points in
Mississippi. In 24 states, the graduation gap
between students with disabilities and their
peers without disabilities was greater than 20
percentage points. Only three states had such
gaps less than 10 percentage points.
Significantly, students with disabilities
make up 25.2 percent of all students who
fail to graduate on time, despite comprising
only 11.8 percent of the total 2017 cohort.
Half of the states where students with
disabilities are the largest proportion of
non-graduates are states with above average
high school graduation rates—Iowa, Maine,
Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and
Vermont. Thus, even states that have found with disabilities merits further study and was not born in the United States or whose
ways to improve their graduation rates overall, examination to understand why some states native language is a language other than
continue to struggle to find ways to graduate are making significant progress and others English; or who comes from an environment
students with disabilities at similar levels. This, continue to languish. where a language other than English is
and the fact that one of every four students dominant; or who is an American Indian
who fails to graduate high school on time is
special needs, emphasizes how important
W
here We Stand: or Alaska Native and who comes from an
environment where a language other than
it is to address the inequitable outcomes of English Learners English has had a significant impact on his
students with disabilities for all states. State The National Center for Education Statistics or her level of English language proficiency;
variation in graduation rates for students defines English Learner as an individual who and who, by reason thereof, has sufficient
Figure 4 State graduation rate goals, annual improvement targets, and use of cohort graduation rate by year: 2003–2010
Source: Reprinted from “Understanding the Great U.S. High School Graduation Rate Rise: 1998–2010,” by Princiotta, D., p. 203. Copyright 2019 by Daniel Princiotta.
Figure 5 Effect of state graduation rate goal and annual improvement target type on school district graduation rates,
assuming use of a non-cohort graduation rate: 2003–2010
Source: Reprinted from “Understanding the Great U.S. High School Graduation Rate Rise: 1998–2010,” by Princiotta, D., p. 229. Copyright 2019 by Daniel Princiotta.
Table 13 States with the Highest Proportion of English Learner Non-Graduates, 2017
W
here We Stand: Low-
Percent of State Non- Percent of EL Students Graduation-Rate High Schools
State Graduates who are EL within the 2017 Cohort El Student ACGR In 2004, Locating the Dropout Crisis was
New Mexico 34.4% 31.1% 68.1% released and identified the nation’s lowest
California 27.9% 14.7% 67.2% performing schools—schools that had a
promoting power of 60 percent or less.1 This
Virginia 25.2% 7.7% 57.3%
report identified 2,007 regular or vocational
Massachusetts 24.2% 7.7% 63.4% schools with a promoting power of 60 percent
Nevada 21.7% 22.6% 81.7% or less with enrollment of 300 or more in the
Colorado 20.3% 12.0% 64.6% 2001–02 school year. These schools were
Texas 19.9% 8.4% 75.5% educating 40 percent of the nation’s Black
students, a third of Hispanic students, and
Hawaii 19.2% 10.7% 69.0%
producing half of the nation’s dropouts.
Nebraska 16.9% 3.7% 50.0% Following the development of the ACGR, the
New York 16.8% 4.4% 30.8% Building a Grad Nation report began tracking
progress on regular and vocational schools that
enroll 300 or more students with graduation
With a graduation rate of 66.4 percent, the nation, English Learners made up 13.7 rates of 67 percent or lower. The number of
English Learners graduate at a rate 19.4 percent of all students who failed to graduate schools identified by this measure tracked
percentage points below their non-English in four years, but comprised just 6.3 percent closely with the schools captured by promoting
Learner peers. Graduation rate gaps for of the cohort. Of the states with the largest power and in “Locating the Dropout Crisis.”
English Learners ranges from a low of 4.4 percent of non-graduates that are English Now, after a decade and a half of progress,
percentage points in New Mexico to a high Learners, three of the four states share a there are only 731 regular or vocational high
of 53.4 in New York. Four other states have border with Mexico—Texas, New Mexico, and schools with graduation rates of 67 percent or
graduation gaps greater than 40 percentage California—and the other is Nevada. Each lower and 300 or more students and producing
points, and in total, 23 have gaps greater of these states has significant proportions of just 16 percent of non-graduates. This
than 20 percentage points. English Learners, as well as Hispanic students. represents substantial progress from the 2,007
English Learners comprise disproportionate In fact, over 41 percent of all non-graduates schools identified in 2004 that housed half of
rates of the nation’s non-graduates. Across that are ELs come from these four states. the nation’s non-graduates.
With the passage of the Every Students
Succeeds Act in 2015, every state is required
Table 14 Characteristics of High Schools Identified for Comprehensive Support and Improvement (CSI) to identify high schools enrolling at least 100
students with graduation rates of 67 percent
Special
or lower for comprehensive support and
Total Regular Education Vocational Alternative Charter*
improvement. Last year, we began tracking
N= 1,805 1,017 17 14 756 501 progress on these schools. In 2017, there
Enrollment 381 538 117 413 176 271 were 2,357 such low-graduation-rate high
Free/ 69% 72% 53% 71% 66% 67% schools, down from 2,425 in 2016. These
Reduced low-graduation-rate high schools accounted
Lunch for 12.5 percent of all public high schools
Native 5% 7% 1% <1% 3% 3% enrolling 100 or more students that reported
ACGR in 2017, enroll about 6.5 percent of
Asian 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
all students, and educate approximately 31
Hispanic 35% 28% 14% 48% 44% 37% percent of all four-year non-graduates.
Black 26% 33% 29% 36% 17% 28% Low-income students and students of color
White 31% 29% 51% 14% 32% 29% disproportionately attend low-graduation-
Pacific 1% 1% <1% <1% 1% <1% rate high schools. While low-income
Islander students comprised just under 44 percent
of all students in schools with 100 or more
Multi Racial 4% 3% 4% 2% 4% 4%
students that reported ACGR in 2016–17,
Urban 50% 56% 47% 57% 43% 62%
over 58 percent of the student body in
Suburban 26% 18% 47% 21% 36% 25% low-graduation-rate high schools were low-
Town 12% 11% 6% 14% 13% 7% income students. Table 15 shows that both
Rural 12% 16% 0% 7% 8% 6%
*C
harter school is a status separate to and overlapping with school types (regular, special education,
1
Promoting Power compares the number of seniors enrolled
vocational, alternative). in a high school to the number of freshmen four years
earlier (or three years earlier in a 10–12 high school).
Table 15 Student Demographics in High Schools Reporting 2017 ACGR and Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools
Total Number Total Native
School Type of Schools Enrollment Low-Income American Asian Hispanic Black White Multi-Racial
Schools with 100 or
more Students reporting 18,822 15,545,284 43.9% 1.1% 5.1% 24.5% 15.3% 50.6% 3.0%
2016–17 ACGR
Schools with 100 or
more Students and
2,357 1,012,152 58.4% 3.7% 2.7% 30.6% 27.7% 31.3% 3.5%
2016–17 ACGR at or
below 67%
Hispanic and Black students are similarly time non-graduates. Moreover, states must second consecutive year. Meanwhile, it is no
over-represented in low-graduation-rate high ensure schools are not intentionally keeping coincidence that New Mexico has the lowest
schools. Conversely, while white students enrollment below 100 students to avoid on-time graduation rate in the nation, as
amount to over half of all students in schools accountability. Troublingly, while the national almost three of every 10 schools (29 percent)
with 100 or more students nationally, they proportion of non-graduates attending schools in the state are low-graduation-rate high
make up less than one-third of all students with fewer than 100 students remained the schools. In another three states—Arizona,
attending low-graduation-rate high schools. same, 21 states saw their percent of on-time Colorado, and Florida—more than one in every
States have begun identifying schools non-graduates at these schools increase, five high schools has an on-time graduation
in need of comprehensive support and including Nevada, where the percent of on- rate of 67 percent or lower.
improvement (CSI, or CSI schools). Table 14 time non-graduates from schools with fewer Other states have extensive numbers of
shows how many schools have been identified than 100 students increased by 8 percentage their on-time non-graduates come from low-
under ESSA to this point. So far, lists of CSI points to 38 percent. graduation high schools. Over 25 percent of on-
schools were available for 43 states.2 These time non-graduates come from low-graduation-
lists have identified 1,805 high schools for Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools by State rate high schools in seven states, while more
comprehensive support and improvement. The number and percentage of low- than one-third of on-time non-graduates are
Interestingly, while half of all CSI schools graduation-rate high schools varies widely found in low-graduation-rate schools in Indiana,
were found in urban areas, the majority of across states, and with that the numbers New Mexico, and New York.
alternative schools identified were found in of on-time non-graduates attending these
suburbs, towns, and rural areas. schools. At the low end of the spectrum, West Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools, by Type
That states have identified 1,805 of their Virginia is the only state in the nation to not For the purposes of this report, we examine
low-graduation-rate high schools is significant. have a low-graduation-rate high school for the two broad types of low-graduation-rate high
This means the vast majority of the 2,357
low-graduation-rate high schools in the nation
have been targeted for comprehensive reform.
If ESSA works as intended, these schools The Great American High School Campaign
should all be engaging in evidenced-based
reforms informed by a needs assessment. It In a separate report issued last year, The Great American High School Campaign (GAHS), we
will be important to ensure that states and highlighted that after more than a decade of progress in improving high school graduation
schools implement ESSA with fidelity as it rates, there remain about 1,300 traditional high schools that enroll 300 or more students in
pertains to these low-performing high schools. need of serious improvement and redesign. While the Every Student Succeeds Act (ESSA)
Under ESSA, the enrollment cutoff point will flag schools with 100 or more students as in need of comprehensive reform, GAHS
for high schools automatically identified for focused on the struggling traditional high schools that serve both a substantial number of
comprehensive support and improvement students and a defined geographic region. These are the schools that were once the pride
is 100 students. It is important, however, of their community but no longer provide a reliable pathway for students to progress from
for states to be aware of what is happening adolescence to successful adulthood. From the inner city to the heartland of America, these
in schools that fall under this threshold. In low-performing high schools are concentrated in struggling communities that sit at the fault
2016–17, schools with enrollments of fewer lines of race, class, and inequality. Remarkably, students in America still live in two different
than 100 accounted for 6 percent of all on- educational nations. In the first such nation, the vast majority of high schools have an average
graduation rate of 90 percent or higher and dropping out is a rarity. The push and focus are
getting kids into college and the workforce. In the second educational nation, the average on-
2
For Maine, Maryland, and Vermont, CSI schools time graduation rate for students trapped in the remaining 1,300 low-performing high schools
had not yet been identified as of March 2019. For is only 49 percent (and only 40 percent in the remaining 2,357 larger set of low-performing
Nebraska, CSI schools had been identified but the list high schools) and success in college is an unrealized dream. The GAHS report lays out a
is not publicly available. For Alabama, Arkansas, the clear path forward for the communities and schools where the past decade of high school
District of Columbia, and North Dakota, the status of reform efforts have failed to take hold.
their CSI lists is unknown.
Table 16 S tates with the Highest Percentage of Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools schools. Regular charter-operated schools
(100 or more students) and Overall State ACGR, 2016–17 accounted for 8 percent of all high schools
in 2017 but amounted to 19 percent of all
Percent of All High Schools that are low-graduation-rate high schools.
State Low-Graduation-Rate High Schools State 2016–17 ACGR
New Mexico 29% 71.1% Alternative High Schools: District Operated
Florida 21% 82.3% The characteristics of alternative schools—
Colorado 21% 79.1% and the definition of what an alternative
school is—vary significantly from state to
Arizona 20% 78.0%
state. A 2014 state scan found that 43 states
Michigan 19% 80.2%
and the District of Columbia have formal
California 19% 82.7% definitions of alternative education, yet there
Alaska 18% 78.2% is little consensus among states on how to
New York 17% 81.8% define the term. Differences arise on student
Utah 17% 86.0% populations served, the education settings,
the length of time students spend within
Idaho 16% 79.7%
alternative settings, and the instructional and
environmental characteristics.
schools: regular and alternative schools. non-graduates, and, as such, are home to large What is known, however, is that alternative
These schools cover the majority of schools percentages of several states’ non-graduates. schools educate many of the most at-risk
reporting ACGR in 2017. NCES defines students in the nation, some of whom are
a regular high school as any school that Regular High Schools: District Operated sent to alternative settings, and others who
does not fall into the alternative, special District-operated regular high schools make elect to attend district-operated alternative
education, or vocational category. In up the bulk of high schools in America, and settings. Students in alternative settings are
contrast, alternative schools, as defined by the majority are viewed as the traditional
often struggling with poor grades or chronic
NCES, address the needs of students that American high school. In 2017, 83 percent
absenteeism; are pregnant or parenting;
of all high schools and 34 percent of all low-
typically cannot be met in a regular school, have disciplinary infractions; are in the midst
graduation-rate high schools were regular
provide a nontraditional education, serve as of re-engaging with school; are returning
district-operated schools. While the 770
adjuncts to a regular school, or fall outside from incarceration/adjudication; are wards
low-graduation-rate regular district-operated
the category of regular, special education, or of the state (i.e., in foster care or homeless
high schools made up just 5 percent of
vocational education. This report examines youth); in need of extra assistance; have
all regular district high schools, that does
alternative and regular schools that are both jobs that require them to work to support
represent a slight increase from 2016.
district- and charter-operated. In 2017, themselves or their families; are newcomers
charter-operated regular and alternative Regular High Schools: Charter Operated to the U.S. or refugees; or have mental
schools accounted for 9 percent of all Charter schools are publicly funded, health needs (Deeds and DePaoli, 2017).
high schools, but 26 percent of all low- privately operated schools. Currently, 44 In 2017, district-operated alternative
graduation-rate high schools. states and the District of Columbia have schools made up just 5 percent of all high
This report also examines virtual schools. charter-school laws, with just Montana, schools, but 32 percent of all low-graduation-
While the number of these schools is much Nebraska, North Dakota, South Dakota, rate high schools. In all, three in four district-
smaller in comparison, virtual schools educate a Vermont, and West Virginia as the only operated alternative settings had graduation
disproportionate number of the nation’s four-year remaining states that do not allow charter rates at or below 67 percent.
Table 17 Percent of Schools With 100 or More Students that are Low-Graduation-Rate Schools by Type, 2016–17
Alternative High Schools: Charter Operated charter-run alternative schools are low- states, virtual schools educate even greater
Alternative charter schools, similar to their graduation-rate high schools. percentages of four-year non-graduates, like
district-operated counterparts, serve non- Ohio (24 percent), Idaho (23 percent), and
traditional, often at-risk, students. They Virtual Schools Arizona (22 percent), where more than one
make up just 1 percent of all high schools While virtual schools make up just 1 percent in five students who fail to graduate on time
reporting ACGR, but disproportionately of all high schools across the nation, they are educated by a virtual school. In total, 78
account for 7 percent of all low-graduation- amount to about 7 percent of all low- percent of all virtual schools qualify as low-
rate high schools. Eighty-two percent of all graduation-rate high schools. In several graduation-rate schools.
it as an on-track indicator
college and workplace readiness. The main something schools and school districts
evidence for this viewpoint has come from actively aim to achieve, as 8th grade
for students at or around comparing gains in graduation rates with
stagnation or minor gains in college aptitude
proficiency measured by state assessments
is integral to all state accountability systems
the age of 18 and not a final tests—the ACT and SAT—and in some and has been since the advent of No
majority of jobs today and by those who argue that, as high school
graduates have become more diverse and
the outcomes of the entire population of
students, and as such, are not as affected
in the future will require less advantaged over time, flat scores on high as SAT and ACT scores are by changing
school assessments represent progress. They
some level of postsecondary
populations of test-takers over time. Finally,
indicate more students than ever, including we argue that 8th grade NAEP scores are
for postsecondary success. index uses four measures that are employed
uniformly across states and, taken together,
To measure high school academic
outcomes, we instead use the percent
We also feature in this year’s provide a measure of the extent to which of high school graduates who score a 3
states have been able to improve both the or higher on Advance Placement tests.
report some innovative graduation rates and academic outcomes of This captures the percent of high school
approaches to strengthening
their secondary schools. graduates who demonstrate the ability to
These measures are the percent of do college level work, while in high school.
first time ninth graders who graduate school prepared for postsecondary success, success rates of high school graduates,
within four years, and is used by all state are graduating from high school on time, are declining.
accountability systems. and are succeeding in college-level work We measure improvement from 2011
Ideally, we would hope to see substantial while in high school. A red flag should be to 2017, given that 2011 is the first year
growth at the state level across all four raised if we find many states in which high we have a common state measure of high
measures. This would indicate a state in school graduation rates are rising, school graduation rates, and 2017 is the
which more students are entering high but proficiencies of 8th graders, and AP most recent year we have data on all four
measures. This six-year period runs from did not. Thus, there is no strong evidence graduation rates decline or did not see
the last years of NCLB through the period within this data set that increases in high improvements in at least two of the four
when the majority of states received waivers school graduation rates have come at the academic measures. Only two states—
from the U.S. Department of Education to expense of academic outcomes and levels Maine and Montana—reached red flag
modify NCLB. Though it stretches through of postsecondary preparation. The national status with small gains in graduation rates
the signing of ESSA, it effectively captures data also clearly show, however, that there but declines in the other three academic
improvements prior to its implementation. is much room for improvement, with only measures. Counter to many perceptions,
National data show solid and continuing about one-third of students entering high in 20 states the percent of high school
improvements in high school graduation school with academic proficiencies aligned graduates scoring a three or higher on AP
rates during this time period, with a 5.6 with postsecondary success and one in five tests increased at a faster rate than did
percentage point increase over six years. high school graduates demonstrating the high school graduation rates.
Encouragingly, the percent of high school ability to do college-level work, while in Table 18 also examined improvements
graduates scoring a three or higher on high school. in an additional manner. States were
AP tests improved at a similar rate of 5.7 Looking at the state-level data shows awarded one point for each percentage
percentage points. Eighth grade NAEP a more complex picture. Twelve states point of improvement in each of the four
proficiencies in Reading improved, but at reached the ideal of demonstrating measures. States are then ranked in order,
a slower rate of 3.1 percentage points, and improvements in all four measures, while based on their total combined percentage
Math proficiencies had a marginal decline 20 other states saw their graduation point improvements. This shows that two
of 1 percentage point. Thus, between rates increase, as well as two of the three of the most populous states, California and
2011 and 2017, at the national level more academic measures. Thus, 68 percent of Florida, along with Georgia had high rates
students graduated high school and more states saw their graduation rates increase of improvement across all four measures
high school students were succeeding with in addition to at least two measures of between 2011 and 2017. All three of these
college-level work. The reading proficiencies academic success among their secondary states with one exception1 outperformed
of students entering high school also students. This means, however, that a third the national average on all four secondary
improved modestly, but math proficiencies (32 percent) of the states either saw their improvement measures and their cumulative
1
Georgia’s gain in AP test outcomes at 5.2 percentage points is marginally below the national average of 5.7.
Table 19 High School Graduates Immediately Enrolling in College by Family Income, 1975–2016 2.7 or higher, and completing the required
set of courses for admission to state
Year Low Income Middle Income High Income university systems and taking an AP class—
1975 31% 46% 65% identified students with very high odds of
1995 34% 56% 84% postsecondary success. Eighty-four percent
of Boston Public School graduates in the
2005 54% 63% 81%
Class of 2010 who had all three of these
2016 65% 65% 83%
indicators earned bachelor’s degrees. In
contrast, only 10 percent of BPS graduates
who had none of these indicators earned a
totals ranged from 26 to 30 points, two times high school. Sixty-five percent of low-
bachelor’s degree. So, the odds of a four-
the national outcome. At the other end of income and 65 percent of middle-income
year degree swing from 10 percent to 84
the spectrum, eight states had cumulative students enrolled immediately, while 83
percent as your number of college success
improvements of less than 5 percentage percent of upper-income students did so.
indicators grows from zero to three.
points, with four states (North Dakota, As seen in Table 19, this resulted from
Maine, Maryland, and Montana) having substantial improvements among high 2. The most consequential indicators were GPA
cumulative improvement scores of zero or a school graduates from low-income families, and taking the set of courses required by the
negative total outcome. building on an upward trend starting state university system. This adds additional
Thus at the state level, as well as at in the 1990s. Over the past decade, confirmation to the findings from “Closing
the national level, the bulk of evidence the percent of low-income high school the College Gap,” a report on college
supports a picture of improvements in both graduates enrolling immediately in college readiness and persistence that Civic and
graduation rates and measures of secondary has increased 11 percentage points, while EGC completed in 2016. Doing solid work in
school achievement. This is balanced by middle- and upper-income students have challenging courses in high school is a strong
the fact that not all states experienced these only seen modest 2 percentage point predictor of the ability to do the same in four-
outcomes. This data, consistent with other increases. As a result, over the past decade year colleges. The Boston findings also show
data we have analyzed and reported in the low-income students closed a 9 percentage that, at least for the cohort studied, solid,
past, continues to support the position that point gap with middle-income high school not spectacular, outcomes in high school
if some states can make gains in both high graduates in immediate college enrollment. are predictive of postsecondary success. A
school graduation rates and achievement, High school graduates who enroll in college GPA of 2.7 represent more Bs than Cs, and
pointing toward success in postsecondary immediately after high school have higher 94 percent attendance can be achieved
education, other states can as well. college success rates. Thus, it is an important while still missing an average of two weeks of
step toward postsecondary degree attainment. school per year.
P
ostsecondary Enrollment The gains among lower-income students 3. When the college success indicators are
and Readiness immediately enrolling in college occurred analyzed across the full cohort of 2010
A recent data set and research study during an era when low-income high school high school graduates, some clear high-
provide further insight into the state of graduation rates also grew considerably. This leverage improvement strategies emerge.
national efforts to improve postsecondary means that not only have more low-income For example, about a quarter of BPS
access and attainment, as well as the work students been graduating from high school, graduates with a GPA above 2.7 did not
that remains. but more have also been improving their complete the required courses for the
momentum toward postsecondary success by state university system and 40 percent
Low-Income High School Graduates immediately enrolling in college. of HS graduates had none of the college
Match Immediate College Enrollment Rates success indicators. Moving these students
High School Predictors of from zero to one indicator would triple
of Middle-Income High School Graduates
Postsecondary Success their odds of college success and moving
for the First Time
A recent longitudinal study of the from zero to two indicators would increase
Recent data from the Census Bureau’s
postsecondary outcomes of high school their odds five-fold.
Current Population Survey shows for
graduates in Boston, “College, Career and Life
the first time that high school graduates 4. The strength with which four-year college
Readiness: A Look at High School Indicators
from low-income families, defined as the outcomes could be predicted with high
of Post-Secondary Outcomes,” extends our
bottom 20 percent of all family income, school outcomes was matched by the
knowledge of keeping students on track to
are enrolling in college immediately after inability to predict two-year outcomes. At
postsecondary success in several key ways.
completing high school at the same rates least for the cohort of 2010 high school
as those from middle-income families 1. It further confirmed that the attainment of graduates, it seems the circumstances and
(defined as the middle 60 percent of a bachelor’s degree is highly predictable process by which students experienced two-
family income distribution). In 2016, based on high school outcomes. It found year college options swamped the impact
the most recent year of data available, that combining three indicators—an of varied levels of academic preparation.
70 percent of all high school graduates attendance rate of 94 percent or higher Forty percent of BPS graduates enrolled
enrolled in college immediately following during four years of high school, a GPA of in community college options but only 6
percent earned a two-year degree in seven 5. Boston Public Schools gives its seniors a participation in extra-curricular activities,
years. Among those who did graduate, 25 fairly extensive senior survey, which asks there was no difference in the responses of
percent had high school GPAs of 3.0 or about their views and experiences with their those who did not go onto postsecondary,
classes, teachers, and schools; the extent to
higher, but another 25 percent had high those who enrolled in two-year programs,
which they feel they were educated to think
school GPAs below 2.0. As a result, the four and those who enrolled in four-year
critically, write well, use and understand
indicators that strongly predicted obtaining technology; and what types of guidance postsecondary institutions. As such, it did
a bachelor’s degree did not predict which and postsecondary support they received. not provide an effective source of additional
students would earn associate degrees. One interesting finding is that, beyond predictive information.
or two-year postsecondary, degree directly necessarily a four-year college degree. As the • There have been 185 graduates to date
aligned to industry needs. demand for higher-skill jobs increased, nearly from the most mature schools, graduating
The first P-TECH school opened in seven million jobs requiring only a high school with both a high school diploma and an
Brooklyn, New York in September 2011, diploma disappeared between 2008 and 2016. Associate of Applied Science (A.A.S.)
designed by IBM as a collaboration among The U.S. education system, however, is not degree within 3.5–6 years
IBM, the New York City Department of producing the talent required for New Collar
Education, The City University of New jobs. P-Tech, along with its industry partners, is • The first cohort of students graduated at
York and the New York City College of working to solve this problem. four times the on-time national community
Technology (“City Tech”). Today, there are college graduation rate, five times the rate
currently 110 P-TECH schools across eight Using Partnerships to Boost Opportunity— for low-income students
U.S. states (New York, Illinois, Connecticut, and Outcomes • Twenty-three graduates have already been
Maryland, Colorado, Rhode Island, Texas, P-TECH is powerful because it combines hired into full-time positions directly after
and Louisiana), Australia, Morocco, and the expertise of public and private systems
graduating with their A.A.S.
Taiwan. Further replication is under way and institutions, school districts, community
in existing states, including California, colleges and industry—with high-level
New Jersey, and Virginia, as well as new government support. The many partners Implementation Requirements
countries, such as Singapore, Korea, collectively provide students with the academic, P-TECH is implemented with the highest-
Ireland, Colombia, and Brazil. technical, and professional skills required to level government support, on a country-
The P-TECH 9–14 School Model directly compete in the 21st century economy. They wide, statewide, or regional level. It is NOT
addresses both education and workforce- enable students to complete high school and implemented on a school-by-school basis
development issues in an integrated fashion, college coursework at the same time, at no cost because scale and sustainability requires
providing a seamless school-to-college-to to students or their families. They also enable support at the system level. Public sector
-career program, with two goals: 1) to address students to participate in a range of innovative funding and private sector engagement,
the global “skills gap” and strengthen regional workplace experiences that include mentoring,
together with a launch within at least two
economies by building an educated and skilled workplace-learning coursework, worksite visits,
schools and with at least two different industry
workforce with the technical and professional and paid internships. These opportunities
partners, are required to implement the
skills required for New Collar jobs; and 2) to together ensure students complete their
P-TECH model. Partners must also commit
provide underserved youth with an educational two-year postsecondary degree, with no
opportunity that enables them to earn a that each P-TECH school follows basic
spending on remedial courses, and are ready
two-year college degree, along with the skills to either continue their education or enter into tenets relating to a long-term commitment,
required to continue their educations or garner competitive entry-level careers. scope, and sequence of courses leading to
New Collar jobs with a range of employers. The P-TECH model as a whole is now industry-recognized credentials, real-world
The United States economy will create 16 in its eighth year, and only a few schools work opportunities, open student enrollment,
million New Collar jobs by 2024—positions have completed all six years (the full grades a cost-free postsecondary degree, and being
requiring postsecondary degrees, though not 9–14), and thus have completion data. first in line for jobs with industry partners.
C
ontinue to improve graduation there are high-quality models that exist to diploma and how these students fare in
rate data collection and reporting. help off-track students get back on track, postsecondary education.
the growth of credit recovery has also led
P
romote greater alignment
While the Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate
to many schools that are sometimes no
remains the “gold standard” for collecting
and reporting on high school graduation
more than warehouses or storefronts, where and clarity on how students
rates in its seventh year, there is still room
student learning consists exclusively of
with disabilities are treated
online courses with little to no interaction
for improvements that would guarantee
with teachers or other students. Questions across states.
the best data is available. Discrepancies As previously mentioned in this report,
have been raised about rigor, whether
remain in how states remove students from research has indicated that anywhere
their cohort counts, what is considered a students in these courses are actually able
from 24 to 32 states offer diploma options
“regular” diploma, how transfer students to master critical concepts online and in a
specifically for students with disabilities.
are taken into account, and how certain condensed time period, and if these courses
Moreover, there is a strong increasing
subgroups (e.g., students with disabilities, are more susceptible to student cheating.
trend in the number of states providing
English Learners, and low-income students) Issues have also been raised over the growth
diploma options exclusively for youth with
are identified within the cohort. These of the credit recovery sector alongside
disabilities (Achieve, 2016; Johnson,
issues challenge the reliability of cross- increasing pressure on schools to raise
Thurlow, Qian, & Anderson, 2019). This
state graduation rate comparisons and graduation rates.
makes comparing state-by-state data for
leave loopholes for states in calculating These practices and pathways have
students with disabilities difficult. More
their rates. rightfully become a cause for concern and
importantly, it presents challenges for
In addition, there remain important add to the recent skepticism over high
students themselves, as often differences
elements of data not being collected that school graduation rate gaming. Yet, this
in the diploma requirements and the types
would provide valuable insights into the is due, in large part, to the fact that few
of diplomas students with disabilities are
high school graduation rate challenge. rigorous studies have been done on the
eligible to receive leave students ill-equipped
Currently, national graduation rate data quality and effectiveness of credit recovery
for postsecondary education. Moreover,
is not disaggregated by gender, leaving a courses. Given the lack of comprehensive
just seven states actually collect and report
gaping hole in high school graduation rate knowledge on the rigor of the most widely data on the types of diplomas students with
analysis. There is also no way to examine adopted credit recovery programs, it is disabilities are receiving (Johnson, Thurlow,
the intersection of various socioeconomic difficult to understand the true impact of Qian, and Anderson, 2019).
subgroups (e.g., low-income white these courses. While two recent reports State variation in graduation rates for
students, English Learners with disabilities, using data from the 2015–16 Civil Rights students with disabilities merits further
etc.) and disaggregate the data to narrow Data Collection shed more light on credit study and examination to understand
where major problem areas may exist. recovery programs, there is still much why some states have been able to make
Resolving these issues will help to ensure that is unknown. It is then essential significant progress, while others continue
accurate graduation rate data and the that deeper investigations be done to to lag. In order to better understand the
ability to accurately pinpoint and properly understand how effective credit recovery education landscape for students with
design interventions for students needing courses and programs are; what types of disabilities and hold states accountable
additional supports. students make up the enrollment in credit for progress, all states should disaggregate
recovery courses and programs; how many data on the types of diplomas students
P
robe deeper on credit credit recovery courses on average are with disabilities are receiving. NCES should
recovery programs. taken per student and what percentage also consider setting a universal definition
While credit recovery courses have long of total credits earned by students come for who is a student with a disability and
been in existence to help students failing from credit recovery; what courses are how states count students with the most
core coursework to graduate, the advent predominantly taken in these settings; and significant cognitive disabilities who
of computer technology has allowed credit the degree to which credit recovery courses graduate with a state-defined alternative
recovery courses to help more students are enabling some students to learn course diploma. Finally, states should ensure
earn their diploma in a timely manner. While content and graduate with a legitimate their graduation requirements and diploma
options for students with disabilities align university systems is a strong predictor of enrollment and success, there must be
with postsecondary requirements so postsecondary success. The misalignment improvement in data reporting on the
students are not denied the opportunity to between what students need to graduate issue. Specifically, we need state-level
access a postsecondary education. high school and what they need to succeed data, disaggregated by subgroups, on the
in postsecondary education puts students percent of high school graduates who
P
romote policies that reduce at a disadvantage and often leads to enroll immediately in postsecondary
damaging academic disparities. them taking remedial courses that can schooling. This is a key metric of
add significant costs to a postsecondary momentum toward postsecondary success.
The data show that Black, Hispanic, and
education. State leaders should establish We also need more knowledge on whether
low-income students are less likely to be on
diploma requirements aligned with state high school graduates are succeeding
track to graduate on time and persist on to
college and university systems’ admissions in postsecondary in a timely matter, and
postsecondary college and career ready.
criteria. Schools and districts should how that tracks based on the state where
Though the gaps between these students
ensure more students, especially those the student was educated and their
and their white and more affluent peers
from traditionally underserved populations, socioeconomic background.
have narrowed, they remain behind on
earn a college- and career-ready diploma.
S trengthen the transition from
all of the critical indicators across the
Ensuring high school diploma requirements
educational spectrum. The schools that
many of them are enrolled in are still
are aligned with college- and career-ready high school to postsecondary
among the lowest performing in the nation.
standards can help ensure more students
and careers.
are on track to graduate prepared to
Greater investments need to be made in There are clear steps K–12 education
immediately enter postsecondary or leaders can take to ease the transition from
these students and their schools across the
career pathways. high school to postsecondary and careers.
education continuum to ensure equitable
access to opportunities from early education It is critical that schools help students
to postsecondary. C
reate state-specific high school understand the postsecondary options
Additionally, states should address graduation plans. available to them and the application
inequities between high- and low-poverty States should develop “Closing the Grad process, as well as the course requirements
school districts by establishing weighted Gap on the Path to 90 Plans” that analyze to access certain pathways. Moreover,
funding formulas that provide more money which districts, schools, and students schools and districts should provide greater
to schools serving students with the greatest within their states need additional supports access to dual enrollment, early college,
needs. States and districts should also work or guidance on implementing evidence- career academies, and Career and Technical
together to identify where those dollars based approaches to enable all students Education (CTE) coursework pathways, as
can have the greatest impact, especially to graduate on time and be prepared well as model innovative approaches to
as they begin to develop comprehensive for postsecondary or workforce success. strengthening the school-to-work pipeline
support and improvement plans for their Using data in this report, including data such as those highlighted in this report.
lowest-performing schools under ESSA. on the equity path to 90 for all states (see States also must work to ensure students
Though there is no direct accountability Appendix H), states could identify where from all backgrounds have the same access
on states for failing to meet set subgroup their biggest challenges remain. Creating to rigorous coursework like GATE and AP
graduation goals, the federal government these plans can better ensure students in programs, and high-quality science and
should continue to monitor state progress need of critical interventions do not fall math courses.
through the cracks, and that districts Postsecondary institutions should do
toward ESSA subgroup goals and continue
and schools are better equipped to more to support students, particularly first
to identify and report on racial, income, and
understand their needs and implement generation and low-income students, both
disability disparities through the Office for
appropriate interventions. before they step onto campus and once they
Civil Rights data collection.
are there. This can include working with
A
lign diplomas with college- Improve data collection and high schools to offer academic preparation
reporting on postsecondary
courses prior to high school graduation;
and career-ready standards. embracing testing-optional-admissions
Two recent reports on the quality of high transitions and outcomes. policies; developing more structured
school diplomas found mismatches between Creation of the Adjusted Cohort Graduation and strategic advising and engagement
high school graduation requirements and Rate allowed for a reliable, consistent on- opportunities for students during the
state college admissions criteria, as well as track indicator for young people as they summer gap and school year, particularly
the number and types of students earning transition to adulthood, disaggregated by during their critical freshman year; and
college- and career-ready diplomas in the race as well as state, districts, and even ensuring students have access to tutoring
few states that offer them (Almond, 2017; schools. Data reporting on postsecondary and other academic support. As more
Jimenez and Sargrad, 2018). Moreover, enrollment and success rates is, inherently low-income students enter postsecondary,
our analysis showed that students who due to the nature of postsecondary it will become increasingly important that
graduate high school after completing the education, less reliable. In order to properly these institutions recognize their needs and
courses required for admission to state understand the full nature of postsecondary understand that financial aid packages often
are not enough to cover basic expenses Federal policymakers can also contribute high school dropout challenge and improve
such as food and housing. to creating stronger pathways between high the life prospects of millions of students.
Employers can also help strengthen school and postsecondary by allowing high That focus has paid off with benefits to
the transition between education and the school students to use federal Pell Grants individuals, the economy, and our civic
workplace. They can increase engagement to pay for college courses taken in dual society. America now needs a second
with schools by providing internships and enrollment and early college programs.
act, as the rise in high school graduation
job shadowing to ground learning in real They can also increase national service
rates slows down and the demands of the
experiences, as well as provide mentoring to opportunities to provide additional mentors
workplace require postsecondary education
high school students who lack the positive and tutors in high-needs schools, and allocate
additional funding to accelerate research on and training of some kind for most jobs
adult relationships so critical to school
success. Employers can also work with high college and career pathway initiatives to build today and in the future. Our country has
schools and postsecondary institutions to the evidence of what is effective. always risen to its challenges and the futures
create a more innovative last semester of of young people are at stake. It is time to
high school where students can have the C
onclusion summon our energy and courage again to
opportunity to have more practical, hands- For nearly two decades, the nation has address once and for all America’s high
on experiences. focused attention on the need to address its school dropout challenge.
A special thanks to the staff, fellows, interns, and volunteers of the co-convening organizations:
America’s Promise Alliance, the Alliance for Excellent Education, Civic, and the Everyone
Graduates Center of Johns Hopkins University School of Education, and all the partner
organizations of GradNation. In particular, we express sincere gratitude for the America’s Promise
Alliance Trustees, without whom the GradNation Campaign would not be possible.
Thank you especially for the significant contributions of Deborah Delisle, Phillip Lovell, and
Jason Amos of the Alliance for Excellent Education; John Gomperts, Monika Kincheloe, Nevasha
Noble, Liz Glaser, Melissa Mellor, and Maya Grigorovich-Barsky of America’s Promise Alliance;
Amanda Martorana of the Everyone Graduates Center; and for the energy and enthusiasm of the
Civic team, Bruce Reed, Ellie Manspile, and Kelly Wert.
It is with the utmost gratitude that we give thanks to our lead sponsor, AT&T and its AT&T Aspire
Initiative, as well as our supporting sponsors, Pure Edge, Inc. and the Raikes Foundation for
their support. We specifically want to thank Charlene Lake, Mylayna Albright, Nicole Anderson,
Kelem Butts, and Cathy Friese of AT&T, Jessica Abensour of VOX Global, Chi Kim of Pure Edge,
and Tricia Raikes, Zoe Stemm-Calderon, and Casey Trupin of the Raikes Foundation. Without the
leadership, initiatives, and investments of these four organizations, this would not be possible.
We also give a special thanks to the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, CEO Patricia de Stacy
Harrison, Debra Sanchez, and Stephanie Aaronson, for their leadership on the public media
initiative American Graduate.
Lastly, thanks to the many respondents from the schools, districts, and states across the country
who contributed their wisdom and expertise to helping us shape particular sections of this report.
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Appendix A Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2003–2017
Average Annual Change in
Change in ACGR, Four-Year
2011–2017 Cohort Rate,
2005 (%) 2006 (%) 2007 (%) 2008 (%) 2009 (%) 2010 (%) 2011 (%) 2012 (%) 2013 (%) 2014% 2015 (%) 2016(%) 2017(%) (% Point)* 2011–2017 (%)**
All States
AFGR 74.7 73.2 73.9 74.7 75.5 78.2 80.0 81.0 81.8 — — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 79.0 80.0 81.4 82.3 83.2 84.1 84.6 0.9 5.6
Alabama
AFGR 65.9 66.2 67.1 69.0 69.9 71.8 76.0 75.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 65.1 — 72.0 75.0 80.0 86.3 89.3 87.1 89.3 2.9 17.3
Alaska
AFGR 64.1 66.5 69.1 69.1 72.6 75.5 78.0 79.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 68.0 70.0 71.8 71.1 75.6 76.1 78.2 1.7 10.2
Arizona
AFGR 84.7 70.5 69.6 70.7 72.5 74.7 79.0 77.0 — — —
ACGR 74.6 69.9 73.4 74.9 76.1 75.4 77.9 76.0 75.1 75.7 77.4 79.5 78.0 0.0 0.1
Arkansas
AFGR 75.7 80.4 74.4 76.4 74.0 75.0 77.0 78.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 68.0 80.5 80.7 84.0 84.9 86.9 84.9 87.0 88.0 1.2 7.3
California
AFGR 74.6 69.2 70.7 71.2 71.0 78.2 80.0 82.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 74.7 76.3 79.0 80.4 81.0 82.0 83.0 82.7 1.1 6.4
Colorado
AFGR 76.7 75.5 76.6 75.4 77.6 79.8 82.0 82.0 — — —
ACGR — — 70.2 74.4 70.7 72.4 73.9 75.0 76.9 77.3 77.3 78.9 79.1 0.9 5.2
Connecticut
AFGR 80.9 81.8 82.2 82.3 75.4 75.1 85.0 86.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 79.3 81.8 83.0 85.0 85.5 87.0 87.2 87.4 87.9 0.8 4.9
Delaware
AFGR 73.1 76.3 71.9 72.1 73.7 75.5 76.0 77.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 75.8 78.5 80.0 80.4 87.0 85.6 85.5 86.9 1.4 8.4
District of Columbia
AFGR 68.8 — 54.9 56.0 62.4 59.9 61.0 71.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 58.6 59.0 62.3 61.4 68.5 69.2 73.2 2.4 14.6
Florida
AFGR 64.6 63.6 65.0 66.9 68.9 70.8 72.0 75.0 — — —
ACGR 59.3 58.8 59.8 62.7 65.5 69.0 70.6 75.0 75.6 76.1 77.9 80.7 82.3 2.0 11.7
Appendix A Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2003–2017 (continued)
Average Annual Change in
Change in ACGR, Four-Year
2011–2017 Cohort Rate,
2005 (%) 2006 (%) 2007 (%) 2008 (%) 2009 (%) 2010 (%) 2011 (%) 2012 (%) 2013 (%) 2014% 2015 (%) 2016(%) 2017(%) (% Point)* 2011–2017 (%)**
Georgia
AFGR 61.7 62.4 64.1 65.4 67.8 69.9 70.0 70.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 58.6 64.0 67.5 70.0 71.7 72.5 78.8 79.4 80.6 2.2 13.1
Hawaii
AFGR 75.1 75.5 75.4 76.0 75.3 75.4 74.0 78.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 80.0 81.0 82.4 81.8 81.6 82.7 82.7 0.5 2.7
Idaho
AFGR 81.0 80.5 80.4 80.1 80.6 84.0 83.0 84.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — — — — 77.3 78.9 79.7 79.7 0.8 2.4
Illinois
AFGR 79.4 79.7 79.5 80.4 77.7 81.9 80.0 82.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 83.8 82.0 83.2 86.0 85.6 85.5 87.0 0.5 3.2
Indiana
AFGR 73.2 73.3 73.9 74.1 75.2 77.2 80.0 80.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 81.5 84.1 85.7 86.0 87.0 87.9 87.1 86.8 83.8 -0.3 -1.9
Iowa
AFGR 86.6 86.9 86.5 86.4 85.7 87.9 89.0 89.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 88.8 88.3 89.0 89.7 90.5 90.8 91.3 91.0 0.5 2.7
Kansas
AFGR 79.2 77.6 78.9 79.1 80.2 84.5 87.0 89.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 80.7 83.0 85.0 85.7 85.7 85.7 85.7 86.5 0.6 3.5
Kentucky
AFGR 75.9 77.2 76.4 74.4 77.6 79.9 81.0 82.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — — — 86.1 87.5 88.0 88.6 89.7 0.9 3.6
Louisiana
AFGR 63.9 59.5 61.3 63.5 67.3 68.8 71.0 72.0 — — —
ACGR — 64.8 66.3 66.0 67.3 67.2 70.9 72.0 73.5 74.6 77.5 78.6 78.1 1.2 7.2
Maine
AFGR 78.6 76.3 78.5 79.1 79.9 82.8 86.0 87.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 80.4 82.8 83.8 85.0 86.4 86.5 87.5 87.0 86.9 0.5 3.1
Maryland
AFGR 79.3 79.9 80.0 80.4 80.1 82.2 84.0 84.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 82.0 82.8 84.0 85.0 86.4 87.0 87.6 87.7 0.8 4.9
Massachusetts
AFGR 78.7 79.5 80.8 81.5 83.3 82.6 85.0 86.0 — — —
ACGR — 79.9 80.9 81.2 81.5 82.1 83.4 85.0 85.0 86.1 87.3 87.5 88.3 0.8 4.9
Michigan
AFGR 73.0 72.2 77.0 76.3 75.3 75.9 75.0 77.0 — — —
ACGR — — 75.5 75.5 75.2 76.0 74.3 76.0 77.0 78.6 79.8 79.7 80.2 1.0 5.9
Minnesota
AFGR 85.9 86.2 86.5 86.4 87.4 88.2 89.0 88.0 — — —
ACGR 74.8 75.2 74.8 74.3 74.3 75.5 76.9 78.0 79.8 81.2 81.9 82.2 82.7 1.0 5.8
Appendix A Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2003–2017 (continued)
Average Annual Change in
Change in ACGR, Four-Year
2011–2017 Cohort Rate,
2005 (%) 2006 (%) 2007 (%) 2008 (%) 2009 (%) 2010 (%) 2011 (%) 2012 (%) 2013 (%) 2014% 2015 (%) 2016(%) 2017(%) (% Point)* 2011–2017 (%)**
Mississippi
AFGR 63.3 63.5 63.6 63.9 62.0 63.8 69.0 68.0 — — —
ACGR — 70.8 73.8 72.0 71.6 71.4 73.7 75.0 75.5 77.6 75.4 82.3 83.0 1.6 9.3
Missouri
AFGR 80.6 81.0 81.9 82.4 83.1 83.7 85.0 86.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 81.3 86.0 85.7 87.3 87.8 89.0 88.3 1.2 7.0
Montana
AFGR 81.5 81.9 81.5 82.0 82.0 81.9 84.0 86.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 82.2 84.0 84.4 85.4 86.0 85.6 85.8 0.6 3.6
Nebraska
AFGR 87.8 87.0 86.3 83.8 82.9 83.8 90.0 93.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 86.0 88.0 88.5 89.7 88.9 89.3 89.1 0.5 3.1
Nevada
AFGR 55.8 55.8 54.2 56.3 56.3 57.8 59.0 60.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 62.0 63.0 70.7 70.0 71.3 73.6 80.9 3.2 18.9
New Hampshire
AFGR 80.1 81.1 81.7 83.4 84.3 86.3 87.0 87.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 85.9 86.1 86.0 87.3 88.1 88.1 88.2 88.9 0.5 2.8
New Jersey
AFGR 85.1 84.8 84.4 84.6 85.3 87.2 87.0 87.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 83.2 86.0 87.5 88.6 89.7 90.1 90.5 1.2 7.3
New Mexico
AFGR 65.4 67.3 59.1 66.8 64.8 67.3 71.0 74.0 — — —
ACGR — — — 60.3 66.1 67.3 63.0 70.0 70.3 68.5 68.6 71.0 71.1 1.4 8.1
New York
AFGR 65.3 67.4 68.8 70.8 73.5 76.0 78.0 78.0 — — —
ACGR 65.8 67.2 71.0 73.6 74.0 76.0 76.8 77.0 76.8 77.8 79.2 80.4 81.8 0.8 5.0
North Carolina
AFGR 72.6 71.8 68.6 72.8 75.1 76.9 77.0 79.0 — — —
ACGR — 68.3 69.5 70.3 71.8 74.2 77.9 80.0 82.5 83.9 85.6 85.9 86.6 1.4 8.7
North Dakota
AFGR 86.3 82.1 83.1 83.8 87.4 88.4 90.0 91.0 — — —
ACGR 86.7 86.2 87.7 86.9 85.4 86.2 86.3 87.0 87.5 87.2 86.6 87.5 87.2 0.2 1.0
Ohio
AFGR 80.2 79.2 78.7 79.0 79.6 81.4 82.0 84.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 78.0 80.0 81.0 82.2 81.8 80.7 83.5 84.2 0.7 4.2
Oklahoma
AFGR 76.9 77.8 77.8 78.0 77.3 78.5 80.0 79.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — — — 84.8 82.7 82.5 81.6 82.6 -0.6 -2.2
Oregon
AFGR 74.2 73.0 73.8 76.7 76.5 76.3 78.0 78.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — 66.2 66.4 67.7 68.0 68.7 72.0 73.8 74.8 76.7 1.5 9.0
Appendix A Averaged Freshman Graduation Rate (AFGR) and Four-Year Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rate (ACGR), by State, 2003–2017 (continued)
Average Annual Change in
Change in ACGR, Four-Year
2011–2017 Cohort Rate,
2005 (%) 2006 (%) 2007 (%) 2008 (%) 2009 (%) 2010 (%) 2011 (%) 2012 (%) 2013 (%) 2014% 2015 (%) 2016(%) 2017(%) (% Point)* 2011–2017 (%)**
Pennsylvania
AFGR 82.5 — 83.0 82.7 80.5 84.1 86.0 88.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 77.8 82.6 84.0 85.5 85.3 84.8 86.1 86.6 0.7 4.0
Rhode Island
AFGR 78.4 77.8 78.4 76.4 75.3 76.4 77.0 76.0 — — —
ACGR — — — 73.9 75.5 75.8 77.3 77.0 79.7 80.8 83.2 82.8 84.1 1.1 6.8
South Carolina
AFGR 60.1 — 58.9 62.2 66.0 68.2 69.0 72.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 72.0 73.6 75.0 77.6 80.1 80.3 82.6 83.6 1.7 10.0
South Dakota
AFGR 82.3 84.5 82.5 84.4 81.7 81.8 82.0 83.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 83.4 83.0 82.7 82.7 83.9 83.9 83.7 0.1 0.3
Tennessee
AFGR 68.5 70.6 72.6 74.9 77.4 80.4 81.0 83.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 85.5 87.0 86.3 87.2 87.9 88.5 89.8 0.7 4.3
Texas
AFGR 74.0 72.5 71.9 73.1 75.4 78.9 81.0 82.0 — — —
ACGR 84.0 80.4 78.0 79.1 80.6 84.3 85.9 88.0 88.0 88.3 89.0 89.1 89.7 0.6 3.8
Utah
AFGR 84.4 78.6 76.6 74.3 79.4 78.6 78.0 78.0 — — —
ACGR — — — 69.0 72.0 75.0 76.0 80.0 83.0 83.9 84.8 85.2 86.0 1.7 10.0
Vermont
AFGR 86.5 82.3 88.6 89.3 89.6 91.4 93.0 93.0 — — —
ACGR — 85.1 86.4 85.7 85.6 87.5 87.5 88.0 86.6 87.8 87.7 87.7 89.1 0.3 1.6
Virginia
AFGR 79.6 74.5 75.5 77.0 78.4 81.2 83.0 84.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — — 82.0 83.0 84.5 85.3 85.7 86.7 86.9 0.8 4.9
Washington
AFGR 75.0 72.9 74.8 71.9 73.7 77.2 79.0 79.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 75.4 76.6 77.0 76.4 78.2 78.2 79.7 79.4 0.5 2.8
West Virginia
AFGR 77.3 76.9 78.2 77.3 77.0 78.3 78.0 80.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 75.5 76.5 79.0 81.4 84.5 86.5 89.8 89.4 2.2 12.9
Wisconsin
AFGR 86.7 87.5 88.5 89.6 90.7 91.1 92.0 92.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 85.7 87.0 88.0 88.0 88.6 88.4 88.2 88.6 0.3 1.6
Wyoming
AFGR 76.7 76.1 75.8 76.0 75.2 80.3 80.0 80.0 — — —
ACGR — — — — — 80.4 79.7 79.0 77.0 78.6 79.3 90.0 86.2 1.1 6.5
Sources: Stetser, M. & Stillwell, R. (2014). Public High School Four-Year On-Time Graduation Rates and Event Dropout Rates: School Years 2010–11, 2011–12, and
2012–13: First Look (Provisional Data) (NCES 2014-391). U.S. Department of Education. Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics; U.S. Department
of Education (2013). Provisional Data File: SY2012–13 Four-Year Regulatory Adjusted Cohort Graduation Rates.
*The Average Annual Change in ACGR reflects the annual change from 2013 to 2017 for Kentucky and Oklahoma and from 2014 to 2017 for Idaho.
**The Change in Four-Year Cohort Rate reflects the change from 2013 to 2017 for Kentucky and Oklahoma and from 2014 to 2017 for Idaho.
Regulatory Adjusted Cohort Regulatory Adjusted Cohort Graduation Graduation Rate Gap between White and
State Graduation Rate, White: 2016–17 Rate, Black: 2016–17 Black Students, 2016–17
Alabama 91.0% 86.5% 4.5%
Alaska 82.2% 74.0% 8.2%
Arizona 82.8% 73.8% 9.0%
Arkansas 90.0% 83.4% 6.6%
California 87.3% 73.1% 14.2%
Colorado 83.9% 71.9% 12.0%
Connecticut 92.8% 80.1% 12.7%
DC 85.0% 72.4% 12.6%
Delaware 89.9% 83.2% 6.7%
Florida 86.2% 74.8% 11.4%
Georgia 84.0% 77.8% 6.2%
Hawaii 80.0% 79.0% 1.0%
Idaho 81.1% 70.0% 11.1%
Illinois 90.6% 78.9% 11.7%
Indiana 87.5% 70.8% 16.7%
Iowa 92.7% 82.0% 10.7%
Kansas 88.8% 78.0% 10.8%
Kentucky 91.2% 81.6% 9.6%
Louisiana 83.7% 72.8% 10.9%
Maine 87.4% 83.0% 4.4%
Maryland 92.7% 85.4% 7.3%
Massachusetts 92.6% 80.0% 12.6%
Michigan 83.7% 68.6% 15.1%
Minnesota 88.1% 64.8% 23.3%
Mississippi 87.1% 79.3% 7.8%
Missouri 91.4% 75.9% 15.5%
Montana 88.7% 81.0% 7.7%
Nebraska 92.5% 81.0% 11.5%
Nevada 84.2% 67.7% 16.5%
New Hampshire 89.8% 79.0% 10.8%
New Jersey 94.5% 83.4% 11.1%
New Mexico 76.4% 68.0% 8.4%
New York 89.8% 71.5% 18.3%
North Carolina 89.3% 83.9% 5.4%
North Dakota 90.5% 75.0% 15.5%
Ohio 88.2% 68.6% 19.6%
Oklahoma 83.7% 80.3% 3.4%
Oregon 78.0% 68.0% 10.0%
Pennsylvania 91.0% 73.8% 17.2%
Rhode Island 87.7% 81.0% 6.7%
South Carolina 85.2% 81.3% 3.9%
South Dakota 89.5% 78.0% 11.5%
Tennessee 92.6% 84.0% 8.6%
Texas 93.6% 86.1% 7.5%
Utah 88.3% 73.0% 15.3%
Vermont 89.8% 77.0% 12.8%
Virginia 91.3% 82.8% 8.5%
Washington 81.9% 71.5% 10.4%
West Virginia 89.5% 87.0% 2.5%
Wisconsin 92.7% 67.0% 25.7%
Wyoming 87.5% 83.0% 4.5%
United States 88.6% 77.8% 10.8%
Regulatory Adjusted Cohort Graduation Regulatory Adjusted Cohort Graduation Graduation Rate Gap between White and
State Rate, White: 2016–17 Rate, Hispanic: 2016–17 Hispanic Students, 2016–17
Alabama 91.0% 88.0% 3.0%
Alaska 82.2% 77.0% 5.2%
Arizona 82.8% 74.5% 8.3%
Arkansas 90.0% 85.7% 4.3%
California 87.3% 80.3% 7.0%
Colorado 83.9% 71.1% 12.8%
Connecticut 92.8% 77.7% 15.1%
DC 85.0% 72.0% 13.0%
Delaware 89.9% 82.0% 7.9%
Florida 86.2% 81.3% 4.9%
Georgia 84.0% 73.6% 10.4%
Hawaii 80.0% 80.0% 0.0%
Idaho 81.1% 74.8% 6.3%
Illinois 90.6% 83.5% 7.1%
Indiana 87.5% 75.8% 11.7%
Iowa 92.7% 82.4% 10.3%
Kansas 88.8% 81.1% 7.7%
Kentucky 91.2% 84.0% 7.2%
Louisiana 83.7% 67.0% 16.7%
Maine 87.4% 89.0% -1.6%
Maryland 92.7% 74.0% 18.7%
Massachusetts 92.6% 74.4% 18.2%
Michigan 83.7% 73.3% 10.4%
Minnesota 88.1% 66.3% 21.8%
Mississippi 87.1% 81.0% 6.1%
Missouri 91.4% 84.4% 7.0%
Montana 88.7% 80.0% 8.7%
Nebraska 92.5% 81.6% 10.9%
Nevada 84.2% 79.7% 4.5%
New Hampshire 89.8% 76.0% 13.8%
New Jersey 94.5% 84.3% 10.2%
New Mexico 76.4% 70.5% 5.9%
New York 89.8% 71.2% 18.6%
North Carolina 89.3% 80.6% 8.7%
North Dakota 90.5% 76.0% 14.5%
Ohio 88.2% 73.6% 14.6%
Oklahoma 83.7% 79.3% 4.4%
Oregon 78.0% 72.5% 5.5%
Pennsylvania 91.0% 73.9% 17.1%
Rhode Island 87.7% 76.0% 11.7%
South Carolina 85.2% 80.5% 4.7%
South Dakota 89.5% 71.0% 18.5%
Tennessee 92.6% 83.8% 8.8%
Texas 93.6% 87.7% 5.9%
Utah 88.3% 77.3% 11.0%
Vermont 89.8% 90.0% -0.2%
Virginia 91.3% 73.0% 18.3%
Washington 81.9% 72.7% 9.2%
West Virginia 89.5% 92.0% -2.5%
Wisconsin 92.7% 80.3% 12.4%
Wyoming 87.5% 80.0% 7.5%
United States 88.6% 80.0% 8.6%