SIFD - Dr. Sabitha
SIFD - Dr. Sabitha
Course Material
Unit I
Rx(%) 12 14 12 16 13
Ry(%) 20 22 25 18 23
Unit II:
1. What is Disinvestment
2. Extended Yield Method
3. Adjusted NPV
4. Advantages of Modified IRR
5. Project Abandonment Decisions
Unit III:
Unit V:
The essence of capital budgeting and resource allocation is a search for good investments in
which to place the firm‟s capital. The process can be simple when viewed in purely mechanical
terms, but a number of subtle issues can obscure the best investment choices. The capital-
budgeting analyst, therefore, is necessarily a detective who must winnow bad evidence from
good. Much of the challenge is in knowing what quantitative analysis to generate in the first
place.
Suppose you are a new capital-budgeting analyst for a company considering investments in the
eight projects listed inExhibit 1. The chief financial officer of your company has asked you to
rank the projects and recommend the “four best” that the company should accept.
In this assignment, only the quantitative considerations are relevant. No other project
characteristics are deciding factors in the selection, except that management has determined that
projects 7 and 8 are mutually exclusive.
All the projects require the same initial investment, $2 million. Moreover, all are believed to be
of the same risk class. The firm‟s weighted average cost of capital has neven been estimated. In
the past, analysts have simply assumed that 10% was an appropriate discount rate (although
certain officers of the company have recently asserted that the discount rate should be much
higher.)
1. Can you rank the projects simply by inspecting the cash flows?
2. What criteria might you use to rank the projects? Which quantitative ranking methods are
better? Why?
3. What is the ranking you found by using quantitative methods? Does this ranking differ
from the ranking obtained by simple inspection of the cash flows?
4. What kinds of real investment projects have cash flows similar to those in Exhibit 1?
Project 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Initial ($2000) ($2000) ($2000) ($2000) ($2000) ($2000) ($2000) ($2000)
investment
1 $330 $1666 $160 $280 $2200* $1200 ($350)
2 $330 $334* 200 $280 900* (60)
3 $330 $165 350 $280 300 60
4 $330 395 $280 90 350
5 $330 432 $280 70 700
6 $330* 440* $280 1200
7 $1000 442 $280 $2250*
8 444 $280*
9 446 $280
10 448 $280
11 450 $280
12 451 $280
13 451 $280
14 452 $280
15 $10000* ($2000) $280
Sum of 3310 2165 10000 3561 4200 2200 2560 4150
cash flow
benefits
Excess of 1310 165 8000 1561 2200 200 560 2150
cash flow
over initial
investment
*Year in which Payback was accomplished
This case is a group project that is due on March 28 just before class begins at 10.30.
Format: Each group will turn in one report (sounds obvious, but might as well make it explicit).
Each report should have a cover page that contains the following – the names of the group
members in alphabetical order and the following summary information on the analysis:
NPV: $ value
IRR: % value
With its dominance of the athletic shoe and sporting apparel businesses, Nike generated $2.81
billion in operating income on revenues of $20.9 billion in the fiscal year that ended in May
2011. While its stock price has rebounded in the last three years (see Exhibit 1), its sales and
earnings are being affected by increased competition from both established firms (like Reebok
and Adidas) and upstarts (such as Under Armour). Exhibit 2 summarizes Nike‟s income
statement for the last 4 years, and Exhibit 3 summarizes its balance sheet for the last 2 years.
Nike, which currently views itself as operating in the sporting wear (shoes and clothes) segment,
is considering an expansion into the fashion apparel business, producing high-priced casual
clothing for teenagers and young adults. You have been asked to collect the data to make the
assessment and have come back with the following information:
1. You estimate that it will cost Nike $ 2.5 billion to establish a presence in this business. Of this
amount, $ 1 billion will have to be spent right now acquiring land, equipment and other assets
needed for the business. There will be an additional $ 1 billion investment a year from now, and
final investment of $ 0.5 billion at the end of 2 years. The business will be operational at the start
of the third year.
2. Of the initial investment of $ 2.5 billion, $1.5 billion is fully depreciable over 10 years starting
in the third year, and will be depreciated using double-declining 2 balance depreciation
(switching to straight line when it provides a higher depreciation).
3. You have employed a major market-testing organization to do a market study. Their initial
study, which has already been completed and expensed, cost $ 250 million and has provided you
with a sense of the magnitude of this market, and Nike‟s potential in the market. 1
4. The total market for casual apparel is estimated to be $ 75 billion currently, growing at 5% a
year. Nike is expected to gain a 2% market share in the first year that it enters the market (which
is the third year), and to increase its market share by 0.5% a year to reach 5% of the market in
the ninth year.2 Beyond that point, Nike‟s revenues are expected to grow at the same rate as the
overall market. Nike expects to generate 50% of the apparel revenues to come from the United
States, 20% from China, 20% from India and 10% from Brazil.
5. The pre-tax gross profit margins (prior to depreciation, advertising expenses and allocations of
corporate costs) are expected to be 23% of revenues.
6. Nike will allocate 5% of its existing general and administrative costs to the new division.
These costs now total $ 2 billion for the entire firm and are expected to grow 5% a year for the
next 12 years, irrespective of whether Nike enters the apparel business. In addition, it is expected
that Nike will have an increase of $ 50 million in general and administrative costs in year 3 when
the new division starts generating revenues, and that this amount will grow with the new
division‟s revenues after that. The latter cost is directly related to the new divisions and will be
charged to them in addition to the allocated corporate G&A costs.
7. While the new business will need distributional support, it is anticipated that Nike can use
excess capacity in its existing distribution network. The shoe business is currently using 60% of
the distribution capacity, and revenues from that business are growing 5% a year (it will use 63%
next year, 66.3% the year after and so on..). The apparel business will use 10% of the capacity in
year 3 (which is the first year of revenue generation) and its usage will track revenue growth
beyond that point. When Nike runs out of distribution capacity, it will have to pay for an
expansion of the distribution network. This is a major endeavor and will cost a substantial
amount and have to be capitalized. (The current estimate of the cost of expansion is $ 1 billion,
but this cost will grow at the inflation rate.)
8. Nike spent $ 1 billion in advertising expenses in the most recent year and expects these
expenses to grow 4% a year for the next 12 years, if the casual apparel division is not created. If
the casual apparel division is added to the company, total advertising expenses are expected to be
7% higher than they would have been without the apparel division each year from year 3 (the
first year of sales for the division) to year 12.
9. The apparel division will create working capital needs, which you have estimated as follows: •
The sale of apparel on credit to wholesalers and large retailers will create accounts receivable
amounting to 5% of revenues each year. • Inventory (of both raw material and finished goods)
will be approximately 10% of the cost of goods sold (not including depreciation, allocations or
advertising expenses). • The credit offered by suppliers will be 7.5% of the cost of goods sold
(not including depreciation, allocations or advertising expenses). All of these working capital
investments will have to be made at the beginning of each year in which goods are sold. Thus,
the working capital investment for the third year will have to be made at the beginning of the
third year.
10. The beta for Nike is 0.91, calculated using monthly returns over the last 5 years and against
the S&P 500 Index. The details of the beta calculation are included in Exhibit 4. Nike is
currently rated A+, and A+ rated bonds trade at a default spread of 1.0% over the long-term
treasury bond rate. The current stock price for the firm is $ 106.79 and there are 368.94 million
shares outstanding.
11. Nike expects to finance this apparel division using the same mix of debt and equity (in
market value terms) as it is using currently in the rest of its business. Nike‟s interest bearing debt
(short term and long term) has average maturity of 5 years but it has lease commitments for the
future:
Year 2 310
Year 3 253
Year 4 198
Year 5 174
The lease payment for the most recent financial year was $390 million. 12. Nike‟s effective tax
rate is 24%, but its marginal tax rate is 40%. 13. The current long-term US treasury bond rate is
3%, and the expected inflation rate is 2%. Exhibit 5 includes the equity risk premiums that you
can use, broken down geographically. 14. You have collected information on other apparel
companies that you believe will be the competitors to your apparel division in Exhibit 6. The
data includes the betas of these companies and relevant information on both market value and
operations. You can assume a 40% tax rate for these firms, as well.
Added Clarifications
1. Time: You can assume that the current year has just ended and that now is time 0. Year 1
begins today and the end of year 1 is a year from today.
2. Depreciation: For any assets that you may invest in, where no depreciation schedule is given,
assume straight line depreciation and a reasonable life.
3. Accounting allocations: If you have to allocate any expenses, where an allocation schedule is
not provided, make a reasonable assumption about allocation and move on.
Step 1: Estimate the straight line depreciation rate based upon the life of the asset (for example,
with a 10 year life, your depreciation would be 10%)
Step 2: Double the straight line rate. With a 10-year life, you would get 20%.
Step 3: For each year, estimate the double declining balance depreciation DDB Depreciation =
Remaining book value * DDB rate (from step 2) For instance, assume that you have an asset
with depreciable value of $ 5 billion and a 10-year life. The double declining balance
depreciation for the first two years will be: Depreciation in year 1 = $ 5 * 20% = $ 1 billion
Remaining BV = $ 4 billion Depreciation in year 2 = $ 4 * 20% = $0.8 billion Remaining BV =
$3.2 billion
Step 4: Each year, also estimate the straight-line depreciation if you switched in that year… This
would require that your divide the remaining depreciable book value by the remaining life of the
asset each year. Straight line Depreciation in year 1 = Depreciable BV * (1/n) = 5*(1/10) = $0.50
Straight line Depreciation in year 2 = Remaining Depreciable BV * (1/n) = 4*(1/9) = $0.45 Note
that the depreciable book value in year 2 is based upon the BV of $ 4 billion left over and that
the remaining life is reduced to 9 years.
Step 5: Pick the higher of the two numbers. Once you switch to straight line, remain with straight
line for the remaining life of the asset.
(This will require you to make some assumptions about allocation and expensing. Make your
assumptions as consistent as you can and estimate the return on capital.)
Estimate the after-tax incremental cash flows from the proposed apparel investment to Nike
over the next 12 years. • If the project is terminated at the end of the 12th year, and both
working capital and investment in other assets can be sold for book value at the end of that
year, estimate the net present value of this project to Nike. Develop a net present value
profile and estimate the internal rate of return for this project. • If the apparel division is
expected to have a life much longer than 12 years, estimate the net present value of this
project, making reasonable assumptions about investments and cash flows after year 12.
Develop a net present value profile and estimate the internal rate of return for this project.
3. Sensitivity Analysis
Estimate the sensitivity of your numbers to changes in at least three of the key
assumptions underlying the analysis (You get to pick what you think are the three key
assumptions).
(Based upon your analysis, and any other considerations you might have, tell me whether
you would accept this project or reject it. Explain, briefly,
UNIT IV: PUBLIC SECTOR COMPANIES WARM UP TO LEASING
Read on to find out how Maharatnas and Navratnas and other PSUs realised substantial savings
& convenience through their fleet outsourcing
Company
Country‟s largest public sectors with offices and plants spread across the nation
Background
• Company hired fleet that included various makes & models of cars used by their Top
Management and Executives.
Opportunity
• LeasePlan‟s fleet audit revealed that costs could be brought down significantly besides
providing new vehicles to the PSUs
• Comparative analysis convinced the company of the cost savings through outsourced fleet
management and enhanced comfort and convenience
Roadblocks
• 5 decade old system of hiring prevalent in almost all PSUs
• Handling of chauffeurs independently
Solution
• LeasePlan‟s „Total Cost of Ownership‟ (TCO) model for vehicle outsourcing made sure only
efficient car models are used by the company; thereby reducing costs significantly.
• LeasePlan‟s fixed monthly outflows provided budgeting of transportation expenses for top and
middle level management besides immunity from maintenance and damage risks.
• Executives provided with monthly driver allowance. So, every executive hires his/ her own
driver. • Benefit of individual reporting reaped instead of centralized hiring of drivers.
• Provision of cashless maintenance and insurance facilities even at remote plant locations. This
ensures zero involvement of cash in maintenance of vehicles thus giving convenience to all users
spread across the country.
• Vehicle procurement done centrally as it brings in benefits of price and delivery timelines.
• Choice remains with the users to buy the vehicle at the fair market price on expiry of lease
term.
Result
• Savings! Company hived off their entire fleet to LeasePlan. Cost reduction between 20- 25%
• Better accounting and peace of mind! Outflows have become predictable and under control.
• Increased acceptability of LeasePlan services within the company and other PSUs as well.
• Seamless Mobility
• Employee Satisfaction
Issues:
» The recent trends and structure facing the sporting goods industry
» The reasons for the ongoing mergers and acquisitions in the industry and its future
» The rationale behind the Adidas and Reebok merger
» Whether the merger will be successful in the long-term
Introduction
On August 03, 2005, Adidas-Salomon AG (Adidas), Germany's largest sporting goods maker
announced acquisition of the US-based Reebok International Limited (Reebok) for $3.8 billion.
The share prices of both the companies recorded an increase on the day of the announcement of
the deal.
The share price of Adidas increased by 7.4% from €147.52 on August 02, 2005 to €158.45 on
August 03, 2005 on the Frankfurt stock exchange, while Reebok's share price at the New York
Stock Exchange rose to $57.14 on August 03, 2005, an increase of 30% over the August 02,
2005 share price of $43.95. The deal would result in the union of two cutthroat competitors
through a "friendly takeover". Adidas and Reebok claimed that the merger was decided upon
because of the realization that their individual (company) goals would be best accomplished by
joining instead of competing. Nike International Inc. (Nike) was the common competitor for both
Reebok and Adidas.
Analysts said that the merging companies were alike in many ways. Both the companies had a
reputation of using cutting-edge technologies to produce innovative products and both had
eminent brand ambassadors from the sports and entertainment worlds.
Thus, the merger would help spreading the global appeal of the brands in places where they had
not made a mark as individual brands. However, some analysts had doubts about the success of
the merger of the companies.
They cited that the merger would not generate much synergy because the individual brand
identities would be maintained even after the merger.
Analysts also doubted the effectiveness of the merger, as a strategy to beat Nike. They felt that
the combined entity would have to work really hard to further expand its market share in the US
market and globally.
Background Note
Adidas
The story of Adidas dates back to the year 1920 when Adolf Dassler (Adi) produced a handmade
shoe fitted with black spikes. On July 01, 1924, Adi and his brother Rudolf Dassler (Rudolf)
started a company under the name "Dassler Brothers OHG".
In 1956, Adi's son Horst Dassler (Horst) promoted Adidas strongly during the Olympic Games at
Melbourne. He also signed a licensing agreement with the Norwegian Shoe factory, located in
Gjovik, Norway.
In 1959, Horst was assigned the job of establishing production facilities in France. A factory in
Schweinfeld, Germany was started in the same year. In 1960, Adidas was the dominant brand at
the Olympic Games held in Rome; 75% of the track and field athletes used Adidas shoes. Adidas
stepped into the production of apparel and balls (soccer balls, basketball balls) in 1961and started
manufacturing track suits in 1962. The company launched its first jogging shoe called, "Achille"
in 1968. The "Trefoil Logo" was introduced in 1972. The essential feature of the logo was three
leaves representing the Olympic spirit, joining the three continental plates...
EXCERPTS
The US market is the largest market for sporting goods. Experts estimate that the US sporting
goods market will grow at a rate of approximately 8.9% between 2004 and 2008 to reach a value
of $51 billion, forming 47.6% of the world market. It is estimated that 33% of the athletic
footwear purchased by the US consumers is used for sports and fitness activities and bought on
the basis of price, comfortability and fashion. In 2004, 40% of the consumers of sports apparel
lay in the age group 12-24. T-shirts and running shoes were considered as the top selected
categories. In 2004, sports apparel retail sales in the US were worth $38.8 billion - compared
with $37 billion in 2003. Athletic footwear retail sales were $16.4 billion in 2004, compared with
$15.9 billion in 2003...
The Merger
According to the merger deal, Adidas would buy all the outstanding shares of Reebok at $59 per
share in cash. This price represented a premium of 34.2%, as per the closing share price of
$43.95 on August 02, 2005. Adidas proposed to fund the purchase through an arrangement of
debt and equity. The deal price was equal to the latest twelve month sales of Reebok and 11.7
times its EBITDA . Some analysts felt that the deal was priced too high. As Uwe Weinrich, an
analyst at HVB Group remarked, "The price Adidas will pay for Reebok is ambitious." He added
that acquisitions in the sporting goods industry rarely brought in good returns...
The Synergies
Both the companies claimed that their missions were complementary. As Fireman remarked,
"Adidas is a perfect partner for Reebok.
Reebok's mission is to enroll global youth inclining towards the music-and-lifestyle image that it
promotes through sports, music and technology.
This complements Adidas's mission to be the leading sports brand in the world, with a focus on
performance and international presence"...
Integration Issues
Adidas said the companies would grow as a combined entity but would retain separate
management. The companies also ruled out any workforce reductions.
The new entity would continue to have separate headquarters and their individual sales forces.
The companies would also keep most of the distribution centers independent and would have
separate advertising programs for their brands. Hainer said, "The brands will be kept separate
because each brand has a lot of value and it would be stupid to bring them together.
The companies would continue selling products under respective brand names and labels."
Adidas declared that the deal would involve investment in both Adidas and Reebok. These
investments would guide the companies towards effective consolidation.
Analysts had varied opinions about the deal. Some analysts felt that Adidas could beat Nike to
become the industry leader. Al Ries said that, "The biggest benefit is that it removes a
competitor. Now, all they need to do is to focus all their efforts on competing with Nike."
However, a few analysts opined that it was impossible to dislodge Nike from its No. 1 position.
Nike was a preferred brand because of its fashion status, colors, and combinations. Although
Adidas was perceived to have good quality products that offered comfort and Reebok was
perceived as a 'cool' brand, Nike was perceived as having both 'hipness' and quality...
Exhibits