- Sa rest cove 02105020 | FORM TP 2018142 MAY/JUNE 2018 CARIBBEAN EXAMINATIONS COUNCIL CARIBBEAN ADVANCED PROFICIENCY EXAMINATION* APPLIED MATHEMATICS, STATISTICAL ANALY’ UNI Paper 02 2 hours 30 minutes READ THE FOLLOWING INSTRUCTIONS CAREFULLY. | 1. This paper consists of six questions. Answer all questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided in this booklet. 3. Do NOT write in the margins 4, Unless otherwise stated in the question, all numerical answers MUST be given exactly OR to three significant figures as appropriate. 5. If you need to rewrite any answer and there is not enough space to do so on the | original page, you must use the extra lined page(s) provided at the back of this booklet. Remember to draw a line through your original answer. 6. If you use the extra page(s), you MUST write the question number clearly in the box provided at the top of the extra page(s) and, where relevant, include the question part beside the answer. xamination Material A list of mathematical formulae and tables (Revised 2012) DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO. eee Copyright © 2017 Caribbean Examinations Council All rights reserved. 02105020/CAPE 2018 atSECTION A MODULE 1: COLLECTING AND DESCRIBING DATA Answer BOTH questions. 1. @)_ For EACH of the following variables, state whether the data collected are discrete or continuous: Number of performers at last month's jazz concert Times recorded for the athletes in the 100 m race The heights of the players in the basketball team (b) Classify EACH of the following data as either quantitative or qualitative: The texture of the material used to make the tent cover ‘The number of phone calls that come into the switchboard in the last hour ‘The heights of the parsley plants in the plant nursery [3 marks] 02105020/CAPE 2018 GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE L MANN 0210502004 | Kiva) @) 02105020/CAPE 2018 Classify EACH of the following as either a population or a sample: The 100 cars sail at the Quality Cars dealership last year The 100 patients selected to test the new asthma medication The 100 children who attend the Magic Isle Primary School [3 marks} The distribution of students in a sixth-form college, arranged by sex and year level, is shown in the table below. ‘Year Sex 1 2 Male 175 100 Female 275 200 A.random sample of size 30 is taken, without replacement, from the students. Using the stratified sampling method, calculate the number of Year 1 males that @ would be in the sample. GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE |ociated with stratified randon (ii) Describe ONE advantage and ONE disadvantage a5*° iated with m sampling Advantage ... Disadvantage “2 marks} (e) A class of 20 students was given a quiz. The marks obtained by the students are recorded below. 5 6 10 u 12 12 13 13 14 14 4 14 15 16 20 20 25 30 34 44 (i) For these marks, determine the mode... median upper quartile lower quartile mean .. [7 marks] 02105020/CAPE 2018 GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGEGi) In the space below, construct a box-and-whiskw-gfageiasvo show the distribution of these marks. [4 marks} Total 25 marks GOON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 L 0 8 _| 0210502007r | 2 (a) Asurvey is conducted at a school to determine the number of Form 5 students who have siblings (not in Form 5) attending the same school. The results are shown in the following table. umber of Siblings 0 1 2 3 oF more Number of Students 56 42 28 14 Gi) Calculate the size of the sector angles required to represent EACH of the four categories (0, 1, 2, 3 or more) in a pie chart. [4 marks} (ii) Using a radius of 4 cm, draw a clearly labelled pie chart to show this information. [4 marks} GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 a0 0 a | 0210502008 iM |- ()— Aspart of the qualif a speed test is admis 9. ~] ations for employment as data entry clerks at a new offshore company, tered to 150 persons applying for positions. Persons who take less than 30 minutes to complete the test will be considered for employment. The following table shows the frequency distribution of the times, rminutes, to the rest minutes, taken by the applicants to complete the test. @ di) 02105020/CAPE 2018 L Time Frequency (@ minutes) 10-14 10 15-19 24 20-24 44 25-29 40 30-34 20 35-39 2 State ONE disadvantage of presenting the data in this manner the boundaries of the fifth class. [3 marks] What does the 24 in the frequency column indicate? [1 mark] Determine how many applicants would be considered for employment based on the results of the test? [2 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE a= 10- | (iv) State the modal class median class. [2 marks} () Calculate estimates for the mean time taken and the standard deviation of the times taken, Show your working in the space provided. Time Frequency (minutes) 10-14 10 15-19 24 20-24 44 25-29 40 30-34 20 35-39 12 + Mean time taken [4 marks] 02105020/CAPE 2018 GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE[~ -l- 7 + Standard deviation of the times taken [5 marks] Total 25 marks GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE nn tAenrniO ADE IRi -12- 7] SECTION B MODULE 2: MANAGING UNCERTAINTY Answer BOTH question: 3% @) (Given that R and T are two mutually exclusive events and that P(R) = 0.6 and P(R U T) = 0.8, determine P(T). [2 marks} (ii) K and L are two independent events such that P(K) = 0.4 and P(K 9 L) = 0.32. Calculate P(L). age: GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 i L " 0210502012 _lT a 7 Gil) The events Mand N are such that P(M) = 0.48, P(N) = 0.56 and P(M U N) = 0.76. Caleulate POM. N) and P(MIN). P(MON) [2 marks] P(MIN) [2 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 [= 0210502013, ann |— <4. I are thrown together repeatedly (b) A fair coin and a fair die with faces numbered 1,2, 3.4.5.6 ‘on the die. If the coin inva game. Ifthe coin shows a head, I, the seore is the number shows a tail, T, the sore is three times the number on the die. es that may be obtained fr The possibility space diagram below shows the possible scores that may obtained from one throw of the coin and the die. Die 1 2 3 4 8 6 H 1 2 3 P 5 G Coin Sores T ¢ 6 9 12 15 18 (State the values of p and q- Pp i 4 2 marks] | (ii) Determine the probability that on one throw + the score is 6 | | 02105020/CAPE 2018 G0 ON TO THE NEXT PAGE L an a Ir “1 7 : the coin shows a head given that the score is 6. [4 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE _ 02105020/CAPE 2018 Lr 4 (©) A bag consis tue (B) and yellow (Y) marbles, all identical except for colour. ‘A marble is drawn from the bag, its colour is noagd-gnd then it is replaced in the bag. This process is repeated three times. The jnapability of drawing a blue marble first is —f. The probability of drawing any subsequent blue marble is 3 (i) Complete the tree diagram below, to show this process, by filling in the missing probabilities. AAININ [3 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE Ly J 02105020/CAPE 2018r “v. 7 Gi) Calculate the probability that + the second marble drawn is yellow + only ONE yellow marble is drawn GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE | 02105020/CAPE 2018 Lr ow 7 huige marbles are the same colour. GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 I | 0 L = 0210502018 |4. (a) @)_ Briefly state FOUR assumptions that are made when modelling data by a binomial distribution. (ii) For EACH of the models described below, state whether or not a binomial model is appropriate. Give a reason for your answer. Model 1: A die is tossed until a 6 is obtained. [2 marks] Model 2: A bag contains 15 bottle caps of 2 different colours: red and green. The bottle caps are identical except for colour. Five bottle caps are selected one at a time, without replacement. The number of red bottle caps are recorded. GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 L ‘A a _| 0210502019-20- | turn e ‘competition, sts of throwing a dart 5 times. A darts layer believes that the probability that he will hit the butl’s eye on the first throw ofa dart is 0.3. Ihe misses the bull’s eye on the first throw, then the probability of hitting on the second throw is 0.5. For any further throws of the dart, the probability of hitting the bull’s eye is 0.75. X is the number of hits that he makes in S throws of the dart. [2 marks} (b) From past records, management of a petrol station has determined that 60% of the customers, Will use their debit card to pay for petrol a Fora random sample of 12 customers, write the distribution for the random variable X, the number of customers who will pay for their petrol with a debit card, and calculate the probability that exactly 8 customers will pay for their petrol with debit cards. Distribution for the random variable, X [3 marks] Probability that exactly 8 customers will pay with debit cards [3 marks] i) For a random sample of 80 customers, how many customers a with debit cards? re expected to pay 02105020/CAPE 2018 GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE L 0210602020 MH _I22 7] Use a normal distribution ¢ approximate the probability that more than 55 customers will pay for tieir petrol with debit cards. (Assume a random sample of 80 customers.) [7 marks} ‘Total 25 marks GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE PE 2018 02105020/CA\ vu ua | L 0210602021TION C MODULE 3: ANALYSING AND INTERPRETING DATA Answer BOTH questions. 5 (a) _The length of time, x hours, fora sample of 200 cars parked in ear park is Ex = 358.2 and Ex? = 773.18, 1c of the parking times by 1, and 0° respectively, Denoting the population mean and variane Cs i¢ 90% confidence interval for calculate the unbiased estimates of and o*, and a symmetri i (i) Unbiased estimates of ut, and 0 [5 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 0210502022T -23- 7 90% confidence interval for x [4 marks] (b) Analysis of the purchases at a snack bar over a long period shows that 55% of the customers buy a hot drink. Using a suitable approximation, find the probability that in a random sample of 120 customers, 77 or more will buy a hot drink. [6 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 L 0210502023 |r a “] of the new vari cty of potato. A random sample of 80 roots of U iety Oo ee tug, per root 15 found ha the Oty is 3.20 ky per root, and the standard deviation is 0.50 kg per root. Based on his knowledge of the land, the farmer expected 3.30 kg per root (©) A farmer grows a new v vested and weighed to det alu You are required to test at the 4% level whether the sample provides significant evidence the erop is NOT what the farmer expected (i) State, in symbols, appropriate null and alternate hypotheses for the test. Null hypothesis Alternate hypothesis... seeerrnnnstnnnnnnnnnt Gi) Determine the critical region(s) for the test. (iii) Calculate the value of the test statistic. (iv) State your conclusion, giving a reason for your. answaxs = a [3 marks] Total 25 marks GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE mann a |al 6 (a) A market researcher records the number of advertisements for vehicles in each of three categories on three TV channels over a period of time. AX test is carried out at the 5% level of significance to determine whether or not there is evidence of the proportion of advertisements for each type of vehicle being dependent on the channel. (i) Formulate a null and an alternate hypothesis for this test. Null hypothesis Alternate hypothesis [2 marks} (ii) Complete the following table which shows the observed (O) and the expected (E) frequencies of the results of the research. Channel 1 ‘Channel 2 Total ° E ° E ° E Honda | 69 | 55.55 | 35 | 46.75 | 28 Kia 20 28 | 2338 | 18 Toyota | 12 2 8 Total 240 [4 marks] GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE 02105020/CAPE 2018 nn | L i 0210802025 iker 1 7 Gi) Caleut re X' test value. [4 marks} (iv) Determine the critical region of the test at the 5% level of significance. B ma GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE | 02105020/CAPE 2018 in L 0210502026a -27- =] om Cle ly state the clusion that may be drawn from this test “2 marks] (6) An Internet service provider runs a series of television advertisements at weekly intervals. To investigate the effectiveness of the advertisements, the company records the viewing figures in millions, v, for the programme in which the advertisement is shown, and the number of new customers, c, who sign up for its service the next day. The results are summarized as follows: 4.92, = 104.4, S.= 594.05, S,, 9.44. (i) Calculate the equation of the regression line, c on v, in the form ¢ =a + by. context. Give an interpretation of the constants a and 6 in t [2 marks} GO ON TO THE NEXT PAGE, 02105020/CAPE 2018 sn If (a 0502027 =r a. 7 (ii) Estimate the number of customers who will sign up with the company the day after an advertisement is shown during a programme watched by 3.7 million viewers, [2 marks] (iv) State TWO factors, other than the number of viewers, that will affect the success of an advertisement in gaining new customers for the company. [2 marks] Total 25 marks END OF TEST IF YOU FINISH BEFORE TIME IS CALLED, CHECK YOUR WORK ON THIS TEST. 02105020/CAPE 2018