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Covid-19 Deaths in India

The document provides forecasts for the total number of COVID-19 deaths by December 1 for each Indian state under three scenarios: a worst-case scenario with continued easing of lockdown restrictions and current mask usage levels, a most likely scenario with current mask usage levels and potential six-week state lockdowns if the daily death rate exceeds a threshold, and a best-case scenario with rapidly increased mask usage and potential six-week state lockdowns if the daily death rate exceeds a threshold. The number of predicted deaths ranges widely between the worst and best case scenarios for each state.

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17K views2 pages

Covid-19 Deaths in India

The document provides forecasts for the total number of COVID-19 deaths by December 1 for each Indian state under three scenarios: a worst-case scenario with continued easing of lockdown restrictions and current mask usage levels, a most likely scenario with current mask usage levels and potential six-week state lockdowns if the daily death rate exceeds a threshold, and a best-case scenario with rapidly increased mask usage and potential six-week state lockdowns if the daily death rate exceeds a threshold. The number of predicted deaths ranges widely between the worst and best case scenarios for each state.

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Express Web
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
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The forecasts of total COVID-19 deaths by state by December 1 are:

Worst-case Most likely Best-case


scenario scenario Mask scenario Face
Lockdown usage remains at mask usage
restrictions current levels; rapidly increases
continue to ease six-week, state- to 95% starting
up and mask level lockdowns now; six-week,
usage remains at are re-imposed if state-level
current levels daily death rate lockdowns are re-
exceeds 8 per imposed if daily
million death rate
population in that exceeds 8 per
state million
population in that
state
India 492380 445265 291145
Andhra Pradesh 32586 30179 19685
Arunachal 177 177 52
Pradesh
Assam 10691 10691 3770
Bihar 6083 6083 2290
Chhattisgarh 17577 14678 8147
Delhi 5717 5717 5145
Goa 2422 1333 1129
Gujarat 5465 5465 4438
Haryana 6918 6918 3029
Himachal 737 737 297
Pradesh
Jammu & 4253 4253 2206
Kashmir and
Ladakh
Jharkhand 11794 11794 5168
Karnataka 45109 39598 31001
Kerala 16608 15599 11602
Madhya Pradesh 10206 10206 4621
Maharashtra 110971 91438 85686
Manipur 1698 1586 615
Meghalaya 439 439 261
Nagaland 8 8 8
Odisha 18663 18362 7851
Punjab 27953 18773 16404
Rajasthan 4420 4420 2397
Tamil Nadu 45553 43770 24592
Telangana 1905 1905 1367
Tripura 5149 3250 2516
Uttar Pradesh 50631 50631 21524
Uttarakhand 5887 5289 3288
West Bengal 42760 41965 22053

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