A Guidebook For Safety Risk Management For Airports
A Guidebook For Safety Risk Management For Airports
DETAILS
CONTRIBUTORS
GET THIS BOOK Kenneth Neubauer, Dave Fleet, and Manuel Ayres, Jr.; Airport Cooperative
Research Program; Transportation Research Board; National Academies of
Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine
FIND RELATED TITLES
SUGGESTED CITATION
Visit the National Academies Press at NAP.edu and login or register to get:
Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the National Academies Press.
(Request Permission) Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences.
Kenneth Neubauer
Futron Aviation Corporation
Norfolk, VA
Dave Fleet
Futron Aviation Corporation
Norfolk, VA
Subscriber Categories
Aviation • Safety and Human Factors
Airports are vital national resources. They serve a key role in trans Project 04-16
portation of people and goods and in regional, national, and inter ISSN 1935-9802
national commerce. They are where the nation’s aviation system ISBN 978-0-309-30865-6
connects with other modes of transportation and where federal respon Library of Congress Control Number 2015938387
sibility for managing and regulating air traffic operations intersects
with the role of state and local governments that own and operate most © 2015 National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
airports. Research is necessary to solve common operating problems,
to adapt appropriate new technologies from other industries, and to
introduce innovations into the airport industry. The Airport Coopera COPYRIGHT INFORMATION
tive Research Program (ACRP) serves as one of the principal means by
Authors herein are responsible for the authenticity of their materials and for obtaining
which the airport industry can develop innovative near-term solutions
written permissions from publishers or persons who own the copyright to any previously
to meet demands placed on it. published or copyrighted material used herein.
The need for ACRP was identified in TRB Special Report 272: Airport
Research Needs: Cooperative Solutions in 2003, based on a study spon Cooperative Research Programs (CRP) grants permission to reproduce material in this
publication for classroom and not-for-profit purposes. Permission is given with the
sored by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). The ACRP carries understanding that none of the material will be used to imply TRB or FAA endorsement
out applied research on problems that are shared by airport operating of a particular product, method, or practice. It is expected that those reproducing the
agencies and are not being adequately addressed by existing federal material in this document for educational and not-for-profit uses will give appropriate
research programs. It is modeled after the successful National Coopera acknowledgment of the source of any reprinted or reproduced material. For other uses of
tive Highway Research Program and Transit Cooperative Research Pro the material, request permission from CRP.
gram. The ACRP undertakes research and other technical activities in a
variety of airport subject areas, including design, construction, mainte
nance, operations, safety, security, policy, planning, human resources, NOTICE
and administration. The ACRP provides a forum where airport opera
tors can cooperatively address common operational problems. The project that is the subject of this report was a part of the Airport Cooperative Research
Program, conducted by the Transportation Research Board with the approval of the
The ACRP was authorized in December 2003 as part of the Vision Governing Board of the National Research Council.
100-Century of Aviation Reauthorization Act. The primary participants in
the ACRP are (1) an independent governing board, the ACRP Oversight The members of the technical panel selected to monitor this project and to review this
report were chosen for their special competencies and with regard for appropriate balance.
Committee (AOC), appointed by the Secretary of the U.S. Department of The report was reviewed by the technical panel and accepted for publication according to
Transportation with representation from airport operating agencies, other procedures established and overseen by the Transportation Research Board and approved
stakeholders, and relevant industry organizations such as the Airports by the Governing Board of the National Research Council.
Council International-North America (ACI-NA), the American Associa
The opinions and conclusions expressed or implied in this report are those of the
tion of Airport Executives (AAAE), the National Association of State researchers who performed the research and are not necessarily those of the Transportation
Aviation Officials (NASAO), Airlines for America (A4A), and the Airport Research Board, the National Research Council, or the program sponsors.
Consultants Council (ACC) as vital links to the airport community; (2)
The Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, the National Research
the TRB as program manager and secretariat for the governing board; Council, and the sponsors of the Airport Cooperative Research Program do not endorse
and (3) the FAA as program sponsor. In October 2005, the FAA executed products or manufacturers. Trade or manufacturers’ names appear herein solely because
a contract with the National Academies formally initiating the program. they are considered essential to the object of the report.
The ACRP benefits from the cooperation and participation of airport
professionals, air carriers, shippers, state and local government officials,
equipment and service suppliers, other airport users, and research orga
nizations. Each of these participants has different interests and respon
sibilities, and each is an integral part of this cooperative research effort.
Research problem statements for the ACRP are solicited periodically
but may be submitted to the TRB by anyone at any time. It is the
responsibility of the AOC to formulate the research program by iden
tifying the highest priority projects and defining funding levels and
expected products.
Once selected, each ACRP project is assigned to an expert panel,
appointed by the TRB. Panels include experienced practitioners and
research specialists; heavy emphasis is placed on including airport pro
fessionals, the intended users of the research products. The panels pre
pare project statements (requests for proposals), select contractors, and
provide technical guidance and counsel throughout the life of the
Published reports of the
project. The process for developing research problem statements and
selecting research agencies has been used by TRB in managing cooper AIRPORT COOPERATIVE RESEARCH PROGRAM
ative research programs since 1962. As in other TRB activities, ACRP
are available from:
project panels serve voluntarily without compensation.
Primary emphasis is placed on disseminating ACRP results to the Transportation Research Board
Business Office
intended end-users of the research: airport operating agencies, service 500 Fifth Street, NW
providers, and suppliers. The ACRP produces a series of research Washington, DC 20001
reports for use by airport operators, local agencies, the FAA, and other
interested parties, and industry associations may arrange for work and can be ordered through the Internet at
shops, training aids, field visits, and other activities to ensure that http://www.national-academies.org/trb/bookstore
results are implemented by airport-industry practitioners. Printed in the United States of America
The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific
and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the
authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal
government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Ralph J. Cicerone is president of the National Academy of Sciences.
The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel
organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the
National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also
sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior
achievements of engineers. Dr. C. D. Mote, Jr., is president of the National Academy of Engineering.
The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members
of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the
responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government
and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Victor J. Dzau is president of the
Institute of Medicine.
The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of
science and technology with the Academy’s purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in
accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the
National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and
the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine.
Dr. Ralph J. Cicerone and Dr. C. D. Mote, Jr., are chair and vice chair, respectively, of the National Research Council.
The Transportation Research Board is one of six major divisions of the National Research Council. The mission of the Transporta-
tion Research Board is to provide leadership in transportation innovation and progress through research and information exchange,
conducted within a setting that is objective, interdisciplinary, and multimodal. The Board’s varied activities annually engage about
7,000 engineers, scientists, and other transportation researchers and practitioners from the public and private sectors and academia,
all of whom contribute their expertise in the public interest. The program is supported by state transportation departments, federal
agencies including the component administrations of the U.S. Department of Transportation, and other organizations and individu-
als interested in the development of transportation. www.TRB.org
www.national-academies.org
FOREWORD
By Marci A. Greenberger
Staff Officer
Transportation Research Board
ACRP Report 131: A Guidebook for Safety Risk Management for Airports provides guidance
on conducting the safety risk management (SRM) process, one of the four components of
a Safety Management System (SMS). The guidebook is organized to allow readers who are
new to SMS and its components to understand where the SRM process falls within an over
all SMS; those familiar with the SMS concepts and ready to specifically learn more about
the SRM process can go directly to the relevant material.
The guidebook provides information on conducting safety risk assessments (SRA) and
tailors this information so that it can be scaled for smaller airports with fewer resources.
Tools and templates are provided as appendices and typical accident and incident rates are
provided to help airport operators understand some potential airport risks.
Although a final regulation has not been issued by the FAA to airport operators on estab
lishing an SMS, the industry has been preparing for this eventuality. There have been airport
pilot studies and those lessons learned have been published. It is also believed that many
airports currently conduct safety risk assessments; however, the formality expected to be
required will be new to airports. Futron Aviation, as part of ACRP Project 04-16, devel
oped this guidebook to assist airports of all sizes in navigating the safety risk management
process. Airport directors, safety managers, and operations, maintenance, and public safety
employees will benefit from understanding the SRM process and its application to the daily
operation of the airport and unique events, including construction.
CONTENTS
Note: Photographs, figures, and tables in this report may have been converted from color to grayscale for printing.
The electronic version of the report (posted on the web at www.trb.org) retains the color versions.
Pa rt I
This guidebook has five parts. Part I will help readers become familiar with Safety Management
System (SMS) and safety risk management (SRM) terms and definitions. Part I identifies key
terms and how they relate to one another and explains how to use the guidebook. Readers will
also learn how the guidebook can benefit all airports, regardless of size or complexity.
CHAPTER 1
Glossary
One reason for this guidebook is to promote consistency in the use of safety and risk manage-
ment terms. To do this, the authors compared FAA and International Civil Aviation Organization
(ICAO) references to non-aviation industry references to identify inconsistent nomenclature.
When the authors found multiple terms with common meanings and uses, they identified the
most commonly accepted terms.
Terms used by the FAA Office of Airports (ARP) and ICAO are preferred; where terms from
other industries or organizations are used, sources are noted. The glossary will help airport staff
use the terms more uniformly, thus reducing confusion and setting up consistency across the
industry. Although some of the terms defined are not used in this guidebook, they are included
because they are commonly used in industry or by regulators.
1.1 Acronyms
AAS FAA Office of Airport Safety and FOIA Freedom of Information Act
Standards
ICAO International Civil Aviation
ACM Airport Certification Manual Organization
ACRP Airport Cooperative Research KPI Key Performance Indicator
Program
PIREP Pilot Report
ARFF Aircraft Rescue and Fire Fighting
SA Safety Assurance
ARP FAA Office of Airports
SAS Safety Assessment Screening
ATCT Air Traffic Control Tower
SME Subject Matter Expert
ATO FAA Air Traffic Organization
SMS Safety Management System
AVS FAA Office of Aviation Safety
SOP Standard Operating Procedure
FAA Federal Aviation Administration
SRA Safety Risk Assessment
FBO Fixed-Base Operator
SRM Safety Risk Management
FOD Foreign Object Damage or
SRMD Safety Risk Management
Foreign Object Debris
Document
3
1.2 Definitions
Accountable Executive—a single identifiable person responsible for the effective and effi-
cient performance of the airport’s SMS. (ICAO Doc 9859, 3rd edition Safety Management
Manual—SMM)
Aircraft Accident—an occurrence, associated with the operation of an aircraft, that occurs
between the time any person boards the aircraft with the intention of flight and until all such
persons have disembarked; and in which any person suffers death or serious injury, or the air-
craft receives substantial damage. (NTSB, Part 830)
Aircraft Incident—an occurrence, other than an accident, that is associated with the opera-
tion of an aircraft and that affects or could affect the safety of operations. (NTSB, Part 830)
Airport Project—an airport construction project that affects the physical characteristics of
the airport, airport layout plan approvals, or review of construction safety phasing plans. (FAA
Order 5200.11)
As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP)—describes a safety risk reduced to a level that
is as low as reasonably practicable; that is, any further risk reduction is either impracticable or
grossly outweighed by the cost. (ICAO Safety Management Manual) Note: in the latest version
of ICAO Safety Management Manual (3rd Edition, 2013) ALARP was removed. It is provided here
for reference only.
Common Cause Failure—a failure that occurs when a single fault results in the correspond-
ing failure of multiple system components or functions. (FAA Order 5200.11)
Comparative Safety Assessment (CSA)—a safety analysis that provides a list of hazards asso-
ciated with a project proposal, along with a risk assessment of each alternative-hazard combina-
tion. A CSA is used to compare alternatives from a risk perspective. (FAA SRM Guidance for
System Acquisitions, 2007)
Construction Safety and Phasing Plan (CSPP)—a document that outlines procedures, coordi-
nation, and control of safety issues during construction activity on an airport. (FAA AC 150/5370-2)
Control—see Risk Control.
FAA Office of Airports (ARP)—provides leadership in planning and developing a safe and effi-
cient national airport system. The office is responsible for all programs related to airport safety and
inspections and standards for airport design, construction, and operation (including international
harmonization of airport standards). The office also is responsible for national airport planning
and environmental and social requirements and establishes policies related to airport rates and
charges, compliance with grant assurances, and airport privatization. (http://www.faa.gov/about/
office_org/headquarters_offices/arp/)
FAA Air Traffic Organization (ATO)—the operational arm of the FAA. It is responsible
for providing safe and efficient air navigation services to 30.2 million square miles of airspace.
(http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/ato/)
FAA Office of Aviation Safety (AVS)—responsible for the certification, production approval,
and continued airworthiness of aircraft; and certification of pilots, mechanics, and others in
safety-related positions. (http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/avs/)
Hazard—A condition that could foreseeably cause or contribute to an accident. (FAA Order
8040.4A) Note: Section 1.3 discusses this in further detail.
Hazard Assessment—a systematic, comprehensive evaluation of a change, operation, system,
or safety issue. (DRAFT FAA AC 150/5200-37A)
Glossary 5
Incident—an occurrence, other than an accident, associated with the operation of an aircraft,
that affects or could affect the safety of operations. (49 CFR 830.2)
Injury Severity (ICAO Annex 13)
• Minor—any injury that is neither fatal nor serious.
• Serious—an injury that (1) requires hospitalization for more than 48 hours, commencing
within 7 days from the date the injury was received; (2) results in a fracture of any bone
(except simple fractures of fingers, toes, or nose); (3) causes severe hemorrhages, nerve, mus-
cle, or tendon damage; (4) involves any internal organ; or (5) involves second- or third-degree
burns, or any burns affecting more than 5 percent of the body surface.
• Fatal—fatal injuries include all deaths determined to be a direct result of injuries sustained in
the accident, and within 30 days of the date of the accident.
International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)—a specialized agency of the United
Nations, the ICAO promotes the safe and orderly development of international civil aviation
throughout the world. (http://www.icao.int/about-icao/Pages/default.aspx)
Key Performance Indicator (KPI)—a set of quantifiable measures that a company or indus-
try uses to gauge or compare performance in terms of meeting strategic and operational goals.
Within the context of SRM, the KPI will be safety related. (Various sources)
Likelihood—the estimated probability or frequency, in quantitative or qualitative terms, of a
hazard’s effect. (FAA Order 5200.11)
Material Change—any change, relating to a construction project, that is a result of the envi-
ronmental or design process and/or alternative selection that changes the physical layout. Such
changes could introduce safety risks. (FAA Order 5200.11)
National Airspace System (NAS)—the common network of U.S. airspace; air naviga-
tion facilities; equipment and services; airports or landing areas; aeronautical charts and
information services; rules, regulations, and procedures; technical information; and labor
and material. The NAS includes system components shared with the military. (FAA Pilot/
Controller Glossary, 2014)
Operational Risk Management (ORM)—a decision-making tool used by personnel at all
levels to increase effectiveness by identifying, assessing, and managing risks. By reducing the
potential for loss, the probability of a successful mission increases. (Chief of Naval Operations
Instruction 3500.39C)
Outcome—a specific system state and sequence of events supported by data and expert
opinion that clearly describes the outcome. The term implies that it is reasonable to expect the
assumed combination of conditions may occur within the operational lifetime of the system.
(FAA Order 5200.11) Note: Other terms used in risk management as substitutes for outcome include
consequence, effect, and result. Outcome is used throughout the guidebook.
Preliminary Hazard Assessment (PHA)—an overview of the hazards associated with an
operation or project proposal consisting of an initial risk assessment and development of safety-
related requirements. (FAA ARP Desk Reference)
Preliminary Hazard List (PHL)—a list of anything that the analyst can think of that can go
wrong, based on the concept, its operation, and implementation. (FAA System Safety Hand-
book, 2000) Note the FAA System Safety Handbook, 2000, is no longer in use by the FAA and is
only used as a resource because it cross references some FAA ATO documents.
Qualitative Risk—level of risk based on subjective measures, rather than quantitative metrics.
(Various sources)
Quantitative Risk—level of risk based on objective data and metrics. (Various sources)
Risk—see Safety Risk.
Risk Analysis—the process during which a hazard is characterized for its likelihood and the
severity of its effect or harm. Risk analysis can be either quantitative or qualitative; however,
the inability to quantify or the lack of historical data on a particular hazard does not preclude
the need for analysis. (DRAFT FAA AC 150/5200-37A)
Risk Assessment—the process by which the results of risk analysis are used to make deci-
sions. The process combines the effects of risk elements discovered in risk analysis and com-
pares them against acceptability criteria. A risk assessment can include consolidating risks into
risk sets that can be jointly mitigated, combined, and then used in making decisions. (FAA
Order 5200.11)
Risk Assessment Code (RAC)—the ranking of risks based on the combination of likelihood
and consequence (severity) values. A widely used SRM term throughout DoD and governmental
agencies. (DoD MIL-STD-882E)
Risk Control—reduction of risk severity and/or likelihood, via the application of engineer-
ing and/or administrative hazard controls. Risk control can also be anything that mitigates or
ameliorates the risk. (FAA System Safety Handbook) Note: In this guidebook, risk mitigation is
used instead of risk control.
Risk Matrix—table depicting the various levels of severity and likelihood as they relate to the
levels of risk (e.g., low, medium, or high). (FAA Desk Reference)
Risk Mitigation—any action taken to reduce the risk of a hazard’s effect. (DRAFT FAA AC
150/5200-37A) Note: Further definition is provided in Section 1.3.
Root Cause Analysis—analysis of deficiencies to determine their underlying root cause.
(FAA AC 120-79A)
Safety—the state in which the risk of harm to persons or property damage is acceptable. (FAA
Order 8000.369A); The state in which the possibility of harm to persons or of property damage
is reduced to, and maintained at or below, an acceptable level through a continuing process
of hazard identification and safety risk management. (ICAO Doc 9859, Safety Management
Manual—SMM)
Safety Assessment—completion of the applicable SAS, the SRM 5-step process of identifying
and analyzing hazards and documentation of the SRA panel’s findings, as applicable. (FAA ARP
Desk Reference)
Safety Assessment Screening (SAS)—an FAA form (5200-8, 5200-9 or 5200-10) used to
document the ARP Safety Assessment process. Specifically, the SAS form is used to document
the appropriate level of assessment, the five steps of SRM, and the final signatures and approvals.
(FAA ARP Desk Reference)
Safety Assurance—the process and procedures of management functions that evaluate the
continued effectiveness of implemented risk mitigation strategies, support the identification of
new hazards, and function to systematically provide confidence that an organization meets or
exceeds its safety objectives through continuous improvement. (FAA AC 150/5200-37)
Safety Evaluation—procedures to monitor performance with respect to safety objectives,
SMS requirements, and/or safety initiatives. (FAA AC 150/5200-37)
SMS Manual—an airport-developed document that describes the SMS components and how
they will be established and will function. An SMS manual may resemble the Airport Certification
Glossary 7
Manual (ACM). Whereas an ACM describes how an airport operates, an SMS Manual describes
how the SMS functions. (FAA AC 150/5200-37)
Safety Management System (SMS)—a formal, top-down, organization-wide approach to
managing safety risk and ensuring the effectiveness of safety risk controls. An SMS includes
systematic procedures, practices, and policies for managing safety risk. (FAA Order VS
8000.369A)
Safety Objective—a measurable goal or desirable outcome related to safety. (FAA AC
150/5200-37)
Safety Performance Indicator (SPI)—a data-based safety parameter used for monitoring and
assessing safety performance. (ICAO Doc 9859, Safety Management Manual—SMM)
Safety Policy—defines the fundamental approach to managing safety that is to be adopted
within an organization. Safety policy further defines the organization’s commitment to safety
and overall safety vision. (AC 150-5200-37)
Safety Promotion—the combination of safety culture, safety training, and communication
activities that support the implementation and operation of the SMS in an organization. (AC
150-5200-37)
Safety Risk—the composite of predicted severity and likelihood of the potential effect of a
hazard. (FAA Order 8040.4A)
• Initial—the predicted severity and likelihood of a hazard’s effects or outcomes when it is
first identified and assessed; includes the effects of pre-existing risk controls in the current
environment.
• Current—the predicted severity and likelihood at the current time.
• Residual—the remaining predicted severity and likelihood that exists after all selected risk
control techniques have been implemented.
Safety Risk Assessment—assessment of a system or component, often by a panel of system
subject matter experts (SMEs) and stakeholders, to compare an achieved risk level with the
tolerable risk level. (Various sources)
Note: during the FAA SMS Pilot Studies multiple airports adopted the term SRA to describe the
5-step process, defined within SRM: (1) define the system, (2) identify the hazards, (3) assess the risks,
(4) analyze the risks, and (5) mitigate the risks. In this guidebook, safety risk assessment is used exclu-
sively when describing the 5-step process and the conduct of that process with a panel of SMEs.
Safety Risk Control—anything that mitigates the safety risk of a hazard. Safety risk controls
necessary to mitigate an unacceptable risk should be mandatory, measurable, and monitored for
effectiveness. (FAA AC 150/5200-37)
Safety Risk Management—a standard set of processes to identify and document hazards,
analyze and assess potential risks, and develop appropriate mitigation strategies. (FAA ARP SMS
Desk Reference)
Safety Risk Management Document (SRMD)—an ATO-specified description of the safety
analysis for a given proposed change. An SRMD documents the evidence to support whether
or not the proposed change to the system is acceptable from a safety risk perspective. SRMDs
are maintained by the organization responsible for the change for the lifecycle of the system or
change. (FAA Order 5200.11)
Safety Risk Management Panel—a group formed to formalize a proactive approach to system
safety and a methodology that ensures hazards are identified and unacceptable risk is mitigated
before the change is made. An SRM Panel provides a framework to ensure that, once a change is
made, the change will be tracked throughout its lifecycle. (FAA Order 5200.11)
Note: this term is synonymous with Safety Risk Assessment (SRA) Panel. This guidebook uses SRA
Panel as the common term.
Severity—the measure of how severe the results of a hazardous condition’s outcome are
predicted to be. Severity is one component of risk. The safety risk of a hazard is assessed on the
combination of the severity of and the likelihood (probability) of the potential outcome(s) of
the hazard. (FAA Order 8040.4A)
Single Point Failure—a failure of an item that would result in the failure of the system and
is not mitigated by redundancy or an alternative operational procedure. (FAA Order 5200.11)
Small Airport—a non-primary airport with less than 20 employees working full time.
(defined by the author for this guidebook)
System—an integrated set of constituent pieces combined in an operational or support envi-
ronment to meet a defined objective. Elements include people, hardware, software, firmware,
information, procedures, facilities, services, and other support facets. (FAA Order 8040.4)
Note: See the 5M Model.
System State—an expression of the various conditions, characterized by quantities or quali-
ties, in which a system can exist. (FAA ATO SMS Manual)
Triggers for SRM—the requirements, precursors, or organizational plans that lead
to initiation of the SRM process. Note: Triggers are explained in more detail in Part V,
Chapter 16.
Validation—the process of proving the functions, procedures, controls, and safety standards
are correct and the right system is being built (that is, the requirements are unambiguous, cor-
rect, complete, and verifiable.) (FAA Order 5200.11)
5M Model—A model often used to help define an operational system, composed of five
elements: Mission, huMan, Machine, Management, and environMent (also called Media).
(Various sources)
Safety
A well understood definition of the term safety is necessary given that the SRM process deals
predominately with safety risks. Three definitions of safety follow:
• Safety—freedom from harm or danger: the state of being safe; the state of not being danger-
ous or harmful. (Merriam-Webster)
• Safety—freedom from unacceptable risk. (FAA)
• Safety—the state in which the risk of harm to persons or property damage is reduced to, and
maintained at or below, an acceptable level throughout a continuing process of hazard iden-
tification and risk management. (ICAO)
Glossary 9
From an airport perspective, any of the definitions can suffice. The FAA’s definition is the
simplest, while ICAO’s definition is the most complete. All definitions address that which can
do harm within the organization. Airports should develop or adopt a definition for safety that
is compatible with their safety policies and objectives. For this guidebook, the FAA definition is
the accepted definition.
Hazard
Airport personnel must have a clear, consistent understanding of the term hazard. Many air-
ports in the early stages of SRM implementation use hazard synonymously with the term risk;
however, these are different although related terms. A hazard must exist for the airport to be at
risk. A hazard is defined as any existing or potential condition that can lead to injury, illness, or
death to people; damage to or loss of a system, equipment, or property; or damage to the envi-
ronment. A hazard is a condition that is a prerequisite of an accident or incident. A hazard might
or might not result in a situation of high risk. (Various sources)
Airport personnel need to learn the difference between a hazard and the risks posed by a haz-
ard. The SRM process functions effectively only when the organization actively identifies con-
ditions or potential conditions that can result in undesirable or harmful outcomes; the airport
identifies hazards, then assesses and mitigates the risks.
Risk
Hazards present risk. Risk is the composite of predicted severity and likelihood of the poten-
tial outcome of a hazard.
Risks may be categorized as follows:
• Initial—the severity and likelihood of a hazard’s risk when it is first identified and assessed,
including the effects of pre-existing risk controls in the current system.
• Current—the predicted severity and likelihood of a hazard’s risk at the current time.
• Residual—the risk that remain after all risk mitigations have been implemented or exhausted
and all risk mitigations have been verified.
Outcome
An outcome is the potential undesirable result of a hazard or the ill effects potentially
resulting from exposure to a hazard. In this guidebook, outcome is used rather than conse-
quence or effect.
Risk Mitigation
Mitigating airport risks is the result of a proactive SRM process. The FAA ARP defines risk
mitigation as follows:
Risk Mitigation—an airport operator-developed option or an alternative strategy to modify or reduce
the risk of an identified hazard. Mitigations can be used to reduce the hazard’s effects on the system. Risk
mitigation is also referred to as a risk control. Most risk management strategies address medium and
high-risk hazards. Low-risk hazards may be accepted after considering risk.
Risk management activities should identify feasible options to manage risk according to the
following categories:
• Avoidance—selecting a different approach or not participating in, or allowing, the operation
or procedure.
• Acceptance—accepting the likelihood, probability, and consequences associated with the
risk.
• Control—developing options and alternatives that minimize or eliminate the risk.
• Transfer—shifting the risk to another area.
Baseline Safety
An airport uses an SMS to improve safety performance. In order to measure change, airport
management must establish a safety performance baseline. Safety performance cannot be mea-
sured daily like the number of departures or gallons of fuel pumped into aircraft. Safety perfor-
mance is assessed over extended periods.
The baseline level of safety performance is established before SMS implementation. Airport
management should review and analyze past safety performance measures and identify a period
when performance was judged acceptable. This could be for a 3-month period, a 6-month
period, or as long as a year. The longer the selected period, the more patient the organization
must be in assessing the success of SMS initiatives.
Key decisionmakers should receive regular updates on safety performance compared with
baseline safety. These updates help decisionmakers make informed decisions on the use of
resources. Current safety data enhances discussions on whether safety resources are being used
effectively and where resources should be otherwise allocated.
CHAPTER 2
Introduction
The U.S. aviation system is one of the safest in the world. This is the result of decades of
examining and reviewing incidents and accidents and making improvements based on the find-
ings. After-action efforts—in response to aircraft incidents and accidents, ground movement
incursions (by vehicles, equipment, or pedestrians), and incidents that have hampered the safe
operation of aircraft—have resulted in regulations and guidance to reduce the likelihood of
incidents, accidents, and incursions occurring. For airports, 14 CFR Part 139 is, in many ways, a
proactive and systematic approach to managing risks. The FAA developed the regulations based
on the lessons learned by airports over time. The result is processes, procedures, and physical
requirements to reduce the likelihood of incidents, accidents, and incursions occurring.
Airport operators deal with risk every day and in everything they do. The risk is sometimes
within their control, and sometimes it is not. Regulations and guidance developed and enforced
by the FAA are a way to manage the risk inherent in the National Airspace System (NAS).
Although this approach has been successful for more than 50 years, as air traffic increases, safety
performance needs to improve. With traffic growth, the number of accidents tends to increase if
the level of safety remains constant. To preserve public confidence, the aviation industry, using
new technologies and approaches like SMS, needs to further reduce the chances of accidents. The
implementation of NEXTGEN technologies and processes over the coming decade will bring
changes to the NAS and require airports to adapt accordingly. SMS is a way to adapt current
safety programs and methods to meet the requirements of these changes. Safety Risk Manage-
ment, the key operational component of an SMS, is a creative method that looks into the future,
rather than solely reacting to past events as the catalyst for improving safety.
As the industry becomes more complex and aircraft become more sophisticated, demands
on airports will increase. If public confidence in the safety of the air transportation system is
to be maintained, everyone involved must play a role. Simply following regulations will not be
enough. Regulations too often are developed in reaction to past events. Managing risk needs
to be proactive and consider the specific characteristics of each airport. This guidebook gives
airport operators the means and methods to perform SRM and considers the wide spectrum of
airport characteristics. Airport owners and operators will benefit from regular use of this guide-
book, regardless of airport size or complexity.
2.1 Background
The FAA is developing regulations to require 14 CFR Part 139 certificated airports to develop
and implement SMS. This is a result of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)
requirement for all member states (the United States being one) to develop and implement SMS
for the regulator and the international airports of member states.
11
The airport industry knows that SMS will become a regulatory requirement. SMS will require
more knowledge and training for airport staff and stakeholders. SMS references that provide
objective and practical guidance specifically addressing airport needs are needed. The need for
SRM guidance became clear during the FAA pilot studies on SMS. Given this situation combined
with a desire to address pending regulation, the industry identified the need for this guidebook.
In developing this guidebook, the authors used many lessons learned from the FAA-sponsored
SMS Pilot Studies. Key information about SRM learned during the pilot studies helped to identify
tools and support data that were missing and that should be developed to help airports run their
SRM processes. The guidebook also reflects experiences from other countries and other industries
that have adopted SMS. The guidebook presents concepts that are important to proper implemen-
tation and application of SRM, but many of these concepts (such as SRM and SRA triggers) can be
difficult to understand or apply correctly. Questions about when the SRM process can and should
be applied, and what considerations go into the decision to convene a panel and conduct an SRA
arise often during early SMS implementation efforts. The guidebook provides explanations and
examples for important concepts like these.
The guidebook also consolidates information on the resources available, uses research and
experience to fill the gaps, and provides guidance and examples to help the industry move
forward with SMS to improve the managing of safety.
CHAPTER 3
The guidebook provides tools, examples, and guidance to help airports manage safety risks
using the SRM process. Airport operators can use the guidebook to develop scalable SRM
processes and procedures.
The guidebook provides sections and chapters that can standalone. An airport manager need
not need absorb all contents to start using SRM. For example, Appendix B, which provides the
basics for a handbook to conduct a safety risk assessment (SRA), is effective as a standalone tool.
If theory and background behind process and tools are needed, users can easily find and extract
such material for education and training when necessary.
All readers, regardless of their knowledge of SMS and SRM, should become familiar with the
overall content and structure and then review applicable chapters more thoroughly.
This guidebook is a resource—for ideas, examples, lessons learned, methods, techniques,
templates, and tools for use at their airport—airports should not consider it as required or
prescriptive doctrine. This guidebook reflects input from various industries and can provide the
foundation for how the airport management conducts its daily business, rather than SRM being
just part of safety business.
13
• Part V focuses on procedures for evaluating more complex hazards using SRA techniques
and templates. Part V addresses SRA planning, facilitation, and reporting, including specific
facilitation techniques and support material available in the appendices, such as preliminary
lists of hazards and baseline risks.
This icon and text box point out Key Aspects of the guidebook.
This icon and text box point to important concepts and how they
Apply to Small Airports.
This icon and text box point out Potential Bottlenecks and practi-
cal alternatives to overcome such bottlenecks.
This icon and text box point to Examples and Practical Recom-
mendations.
CHAPTER 4
Small Airports
For this guidebook, a small airport is non-primary and has fewer than 20 employees working
full time. Most small airports have limited resources and staff to manage an SMS and to run SRM
processes. Despite these limits, small airports can benefit from using SRM concepts and applying
the templates and tools presented in this guidebook.
At the end of each part, a section is devoted to helping small airports set up SRM using avail-
able resources. The Small Airport icon points out guidance for small airports throughout the
guidebook.
16
PA RT I I
Safety Risk
Management Concepts
Part II presents key concepts about SRM and identifies where it fits within an airport SMS.
Those leading the SMS and SRM efforts at an airport must fully understand these elements and
educate airport personnel on the aspects relevant to their safety roles and responsibilities.
CHAPTER 5
An SMS enables an airport to (1) anticipate and manage safety risks before system failures
occur and (2) find out how to improve safety after accidents and incidents have happened. Air-
ports have been pursuing these goals since long before SMS was introduced to the industry. With
SMS, airports can move from sporadic and isolated safety initiatives to a systematic process in
which the entire airport works in a coordinated, more effective manner.
The success of an airport’s SMS hinges on identifying potential hazards and deciding the
likelihood of accidents occurring and then using this information to make decisions in time to
lessen unacceptable risk. SRM also includes monitoring mitigations to find out their effective-
ness and to start future hazard mitigation plans. This is what SRM does and the reason that SRM
is considered the “heart” of an SMS.
Even with the importance of SRM, its effective use cannot improve safety performance by
itself. Effective SRM application works in coordination with the other three components of
SMS: Safety Policy, Safety Assurance, and Safety Promotion. The four SMS components work
in concert and continuously. None exists as a standalone element and each component provides
inputs to and supports the others.
SRM is the primary operational component of the airport SMS. SRM is used by every airport
function to manage risks at the airport every day. Effective SRM needs the active participation
of all personnel at the airport (that is, airport staff, airlines, tenants, business partners, and other
stakeholders). For SRM to work to benefit the airport, those involved in flight operations, emer-
gency response, ground handling, and facility maintenance must constantly watch for condi-
tions that could disrupt aircraft operations and the flow of people and cargo or cause damage to
the assets needed to promote air transportation.
A study identified the top ten airports with the highest rates of birdstrikes in the country; the
sign was the number of birdstrikes causing adverse effect on flights. The example airport was
19
one of the top ten airports. Adverse effects of a birdstrike can range from damage to aircraft to
aborted takeoffs and delays.
Examples for each component of SMS in relation to the scenario for birdstrike rates follow:
• Safety Policy: The airport management decided to act to lessen the number of birdstrikes. The
goal was to reduce the birdstrike rate by 20% every year, for 3 years. A special meeting with
the SMS Accountable Executive, the Director of Operations, the wildlife management staff,
and the SMS Coordinator was scheduled for once a month.
• Safety Risk Management: With the goal set by the airport management, airport personnel
conducted an SRA to identify hazards and develop actions to lessen the number of birdstrikes
at the airport. The SRA was conducted with the help of a panel composed of airport staff
members, two SMEs on birdstrikes from outside the airport staff, and an SRA facilitator.
During the SRA, a statistical summary of birdstrike data showed the species with the highest
number of birdstrikes and the periods of the year with the highest frequencies and ranked
the species causing the highest number of birdstrikes with adverse effects. The SRA used the
SRM 5-step process recommended by the FAA. Some actions were identified and approved to
reduce the attraction of hazardous species and to harass or deter those species. It was thought
that performing these actions would lessen the rate of birdstrikes to achieve the goal set by
airport policymakers.
• Safety Assurance: The SMS Coordinator defined the number of birdstrikes with adverse
effects as a new safety performance indicator for the airport. Data on birdstrikes was col-
lected monthly to record the total number of birdstrikes, the number of birdstrikes with an
adverse effect, and the birdstrikes associated with the species with the highest risk identi-
fied during the SRA. Data were collected in coordination with all tenant airlines and the
general aviation community. During the monthly meetings, the SMS Coordinator, with the
wildlife management staff, presented trends to the Accountable Executive and the Director
of Operations.
• Safety Promotion: In the SRA, incorporating a risk-based approach to wildlife manage-
ment was identified as an airport gap. The SMS Coordinator developed and delivered a
special training program on SMS for wildlife staff. Operations inspectors and maintenance
staff were asked to report to wildlife management when certain species of birds were on the
airside and posters with birdstrike hazard themes were prepared to remind staff to report.
The airport bought and used new tools for harassing and deterring hazardous species. At
the beginning of project implementation, and throughout the effort, the airport manager
communicated with personnel and explained the actions taken and the reasons for the
actions, as well as periodic progress reports on the success of the actions in reaching the
airport’s goal.
Conclusions drawn from this example follow. The airport management policy decisions
set a goal to lessen birdstrikes, to support the effort by keeping track of results, and to
allocate resources for equipment needed to carry out risk mitigation actions, which set the
stage for the SRM process to be successful. Keeping track of birdstrike data and trends is an
important assurance element that shows the actions defined by the SRM process are working
to meet the goal. If trends show the rate of birdstrikes is not decreasing, or the decrease will
not meet the goal set by the airport’s management, these results might trigger another SRA
to identify more actions. The training developed for airport stakeholders and the messages
from the airport manager helped promote awareness, understanding, acceptance, and sup-
port for the safety improvement initiatives. The approach to reducing the risk of birdstrikes
was anchored by SRM activities and supported by actions that fall under the other SMS
components.
Risk mitigation actions arising from SRM processes may require new tools and equipment,
more training, and improved awareness. Without safety promotion and management commit-
ment to use resources to control hazards, neither the SRM outcome nor SMS performance will
be effective.
CHAPTER 6
This chapter presents basic concepts of risk and how it is managed. The terms hazard and risk
are explained in detail, how hazards and risk relate is outlined, how risk is classified is described,
and how SRM interacts with the other SMS components is further clarified.
6.1 Hazards
In addition to the definitions provided in Sections 1.2 and 1.3, ICAO and the FAA clearly
define a hazard. According to ICAO, a hazard is a “condition or object with the potential of caus-
ing injuries to personnel, damage to equipment or structures, or reduction of ability to perform
a prescribed function.” The FAA uses this definition—“a condition that could foreseeably cause
or contribute to an accident.”
Some hazards are obvious, like a worn out tire. When driving, a flat tire may cause loss of
directional control or braking capability, which may lead to an accident. Other hazards are more
intangible. A passenger bridge operated by personnel with inadequate training may cause dam-
age to an aircraft arriving at the gate.
Some hazards are common to all airports—jet blast or rotating propellers, and hazardous
materials like fuel, oil and hydraulic fluid. The existence of these materials and equipment by
themselves does not set up a hazard; but when humans are exposed to them, or operations are
conducted contrary to normal procedures, these materials and equipment can become hazards.
Rotating propellers are not hazardous when the aircraft is taxiing on a taxiway with no per-
sonnel or equipment nearby. However, when the aircraft is parked at a loading gate, with one
engine running (rotating propellers) and ground crews and equipment are servicing the aircraft,
then the rotating propeller presents a hazardous condition. Harm to a person or damage to
equipment could occur if contact is made with the spinning propeller.
Each individual airport will also have unique hazards based on their configuration and pro-
cedures. Airport personnel recognize and understand many of these unique conditions. These
well-known hazards may affect many systems or situations in different ways and, therefore, are
22
routinely identified during the SRM process. Developing a preliminary hazard list (PHL) is a
timesaving SRM technique. The PHL can be a catalyst for proper hazard identification. Appen-
dix E lists some common airport hazards.
6.2 Risk
Before understanding how risk can be managed, it is necessary to fully understand what risk
is and how it relates to hazards. Risk combines two components: likelihood (or probability) and
severity. Under the SMS approach, risk is the probability of an undesirable event occurring.
Although risk is sometimes represented as a mathematical equation (risk = likelihood × severity
of outcome), risk is not calculated using this formula to come up with a quantitative value. The
“risk formula” is a simple representation that the parameter (risk) has two components (likeli-
hood and severity).
The terms hazard and risk are often used synonymously. This is in-
correct. A hazard is a condition that can present risk to the airport.
The risk is the likelihood that the hazard will cause an undesir-
able outcome and the potential severity of that outcome. This is a
key point for all airport personnel to understand. An airport with
strong SRM processes in place has all airport personnel identifying
and reporting hazards.
The analysis of risk is one of the steps of the SRM 5-step process and is addressed in detail
in Chapter 9. For the discussion herein, the two components of risk can be illustrated by an
example of how risk is analyzed for issues facing an airport. Suppose an airport has experienced
two runway excursions in the past 6 months and wants to find out the risk of future excursions
occurring. Several hazardous conditions can result in a runway excursion—the outcome.
paved areas off the runway—on the runway shoulders, for example. In this example, the severity
of the outcome is considered minor because no damage to the aircraft or injury to crew members
or passengers occurred. The range of outcomes associated with a hazard is normally classified
according to the severity of each possible outcome.
6.2.2 Likelihood
The likelihood component of risk is the estimated probability or frequency, in quantitative or
qualitative terms, of a hazard’s outcome. In other words, how often does or could the undesir-
able outcome happen? The airport safety data records can be the source of likelihood informa-
tion if such an event has occurred at the airport. If the airport has never experienced a potential
outcome of a hazard, other airports may have had such an event or agencies may have estimated
based on historical data. Occasionally, the likelihood will need to be estimated based on the
experience of airport personnel.
Continuing the runway excursion example, the likelihood of an aircraft leaving the runway
will vary depending on the hazard leading to the outcome. If one of the excursions occurred
because the runway was wet from a heavy rainstorm prior to landing and the airport is in Ari-
zona, the likelihood may be determined as highly unlikely for such an outcome to reoccur in the
next year or more. However, if the excursion happened because of ice on the runway and the
latest event occurred in December in Minnesota, the likelihood may be determined to be likely
to occur during the winter; thus the airport may need to consider actions related to the snow
removal plan. Chapter 9 presents more detailed discussions of likelihood.
Appendix F presents some likelihood values based on historical data from accidents and inci-
dents and associated with common airport risks. Appendix H presents basic concepts about
probability that should help airport staff in finding out outcome likelihood. Appendix H also
explains the basic notation used to characterize probability values.
Not all risk can be removed; the goal in most cases is to lessen the risk (by either reducing the
likelihood of an undesirable outcome or reducing the severity of the outcome) to an acceptable
level. Managing risk is to take actions to control unacceptable risks and use available resources
to improve the overall safety of airport operations.
An airport found the number of birdstrikes per 10,000 aircraft movements causing damage
to aircraft was high compared to the rate found in other Part 139 airports. The airport then
decided to carry out the SRM process to discover the reasons for the higher rates and how to
mitigate future risk. During the SRM exercise, made easy by the SMS Coordinator and with the
participation of airport staff involved with wildlife management, data from the FAA Wildlife
Strike Database showed that five bird species were responsible for 92% of birdstrikes causing
damage to aircraft and the risk was classified as high. With the exercise complete, the wildlife
team proposed new actions to target the presence of those five species in the airport area. The
actions were approved by the Director of Operations and were implemented over 6 months. All
these actions were part of the first SRM cycle for the safety issue.
A parallel SA process was created to monitor the number of birdstrikes associated with the
five bird species identified during the SRM. Data were collected monthly, and a performance
indicator was defined as the number of birdstrikes associated with the five species identified.
Data were analyzed for every month and the performance indicator was calculated and com-
pared to the baseline rate calculated during the SRM. Trends were noted and after 1 year, the
number of birdstrikes had decreased but not significantly. Because results were not considered
satisfactory, a new SRM exercise was scheduled to find alternative control actions that could
be more effective.
The risk assessment step generated the need to monitor birdstrike data and check for trends.
Monitoring or system assessment is part of the SA component of SMS. When the monitoring
and assessment of trends revealed unsatisfactory results during the SA cycle, the process led back
to SRM and the need for a new SRM cycle associated with the same hazard. Thus, the two SMS
components support each other and eventually lead to improved safety performance.
Some airports involved in early SMS development designed their SRM process with six steps
versus five; the sixth step being to monitor mitigation actions. Other high-risk organizations
using SRM include monitoring (or supervision) as part of the fifth process step. Regardless, the
mitigations selected to decrease the risk need to be monitored to assess effectiveness. The audit
and metrics monitoring functions of SA all work to support the continuous process of SRM.
Feeding back the monitoring data from SA allows airport personnel to reassess risk, find out
the residual risk that follows from mitigation, and, perhaps, identify new hazards with the SRM
process starting a new cycle.
CHAPTER 7
SRM Phases
Earlier chapters explained the importance of risk management for airports. Every airport has
multiple hazards to control. Some hazards are specific to certain airport activities and functions,
while others are common to two or more activities. Many activities will involve different phases.
For example, a construction project always includes planning and design phases, a preparation
phase, and the construction or execution phase. Another example is a special event like the Super
Bowl, or a popular college game in a small town. Again, the airport must plan for the changes in
operations the event will bring, prepare the airport before the event, and then carry out the plan
to help the event go off smoothly.
A construction project and a special event present major changes to an airport’s operation
and SRM should be used to identify and address any new hazards that such changes introduce.
However, hazards associated with each phase can be different and the best approach is to
conduct the SRM process for each project or event phase.
Often, an SRM approach can be helpful to deal with unanticipated hazards to daily activities
as well. Imagine that a large fuel spillage from an aircraft has occurred on the ramp. Several
hazards surface in a situation like this. During the response to the event, there is little time to
use a formal planning/preparation/execution approach. However, this type of incident can be
expected to occur on occasion and emergency response crews plan and prepare ahead so that
the airport response crew is ready to execute appropriate mitigation plans.
The application of SRM during the three phases differs in the time allotted to process execution,
the effort and detail put into each of the process steps, and the experience of the people using
the process. The three basic phases of SRM thus mirror the project phases: the planning phase,
the preparation phase, and the execution phase.
30
Planning and designing a new terminal is used here as an example.
As an example, an airport decides to build a new terminal. During the planning and design
phases, the location and the size of the terminal are defined, and any impacts to the airfield.
Many potentially, permanent hazard conditions can be avoided through an effective planning
phase SRM—line-of-sight limits on the ATCT personnel, airspace impacts, potential interference
with existing and/or proposed surveillance equipment are just a few.
In the planning phase, time is usually not a constraint. This phase typically addresses large
projects and complex evolutions that involve many parties, both inside and outside the airport
organization. Time is available to research and gather the data needed to assess the risks fully
and accurately.
Conducting an SRA is perhaps the best known technique applied to this SRM phase and it can
become a valuable component of any airport planning evolution. The best decisions are made
in a risk-informed manner. Applying the SRM process in all airport planning evolutions will
improve the overall effectiveness and thoroughness of the plan.
In the planning phase, the SRM process is often revisited on multiple occasions. As assign-
ments to research issues and gather information are completed, panels can be reconvened to
review the SRM process results and update the outputs of the process. This keeps the process
alive and relevant. The effectiveness of updating risk information can be increased during large
projects with extensive periods of execution through the regular meeting of stakeholders, or
risk reviews.
To show the difference between the planning and preparation phases, consider an airside
construction project. Before starting the project, a Construction Safety and Phasing Plan (CSPP)
is prepared and pre-construction meetings take place to define construction phasing and
how hazardous situations will be managed. Examples of safety issues considered during the
planning phase and the development of the CSPP include FOD control, definition of haul routes
and escorting procedures, potential impacts on operations, coordination, and interference with
NAVAIDs.
During the days just before the start of project work is the preparation phase—there is still
enough time to work through the 5-Step SRM process, and management should ensure the team
is disciplined and uses the process to improve the evolution. The SRM process is used to evaluate
the risks posed by the latest weather forecasts, recent changes in personnel, and the potential
performance levels of those who will carry out the project. Preparation phase SRM is still active
in nature and enables leaders to focus project planners, supervisors, and workers on the hazards
and levels of risk they will face.
process steps formally. In the execution phase, those involved may be able to take time to evaluate,
identify, and assess the new risk. At other times, they may have to act in the moment and need
to be able to recognize and act to control risk. In the latter case, having an easy way to remember
and act on processes can be of great value to the individuals involved.
In the example of fuel spillage, an SOP can help the emergency response crew remember the
sequence of actions to control the issue safely. There is little to no time to use a formal SRM
during execution to control fuel spillage.
CHAPTER 8
The SRM concepts presented in this part are equally applicable to small airports and to large,
complex airports. Many small airports may not have the resources to implement a formal SMS
with staff that has full-time responsibility to coordinate an SMS; however, despite the seeming
difficulty of having the right resources to perform an SMS, coordination and communication at a
small airport are more direct, with frequent face-to-face discussions during the day. The number of
hazards identified during daily inspections or PIREPs is low and hazards may be more manageable
as compared with larger airports because there are fewer layers in the decision-making process.
Hazards may be identified during routine tasks if the airport has a positive safety culture and
SMS and SRM concepts are known by both senior and front line staff at the airport. For small
airport operators, a wide understanding of the general concepts presented in this guidebook may
be more important than using formal SRM processes. In many situations, the manager of a small
airport will see an unsafe situation that is not so obvious and take intuitive actions to eliminate
the hazard. However, if the manager is familiar with SRM concepts, a brief, informal brainstorm-
ing session with his or her staff will help identify and control other hazards that were not on the
manager’s “intuitive” list. These types of SRM exercises will continually improve safety awareness
and help to instill a positive safety culture in the staff of the small airport.
The effective use of SRM processes is explained here using the
towing of aircraft as an example.
Consider a small airport that had a few incidents and minor accidents while towing aircraft
from the ramp to hangars. Besides the monthly briefings to improve safety awareness, the airport
manager met with the Supervisor of Operations and Safety and the individuals responsible for
the towing operations. The airport manager used the SRM approach and identified the ramp
and hangar areas, personnel and equipment involved with the coordination and processes asso-
ciated with the towing operation. The incidents were reviewed and a “5-Why” approach was
used to identify the hazards or root cause of the incidents. The towing operation was divided
into different tasks and hazards and things that could go wrong were identified for each task. In
a couple of hours, the group decided to develop an SOP for towing, use a wing-walker for each
towing operation, and prepare posters to remind the crew of the basic procedures. This example
explains how the SRM approach helped a small airport operator improve the safety of a routine
evolution and enhance the operational performance of the airport.
34
PA RT I I I
CHAPTER 9
Having a collective understanding by all airport personnel of SRM concepts and using
a common risk management process can increase the likelihood of successfully managing
safety and other organizational risks. Managing safety risk can take various forms, both for-
mal and informal. Using airport SRM methods based on a disciplined, systematic process
can promote understanding of foundational SRM techniques; this makes application easier
to accept and more successful. This chapter discusses an FAA-recommended 5-Step SRM
process used by many airports carrying out an SMS. The 5-Step SRM process follows this
sequence:
1. Describe the System
2. Identify Hazards
3. Analyze Risks
4. Assess Risks
5. Mitigate Risks
37
Using the 5M Model to describe the system means those looking at the system describe it in
terms of the mission to be performed, the media or environment in which it operates, the people
who work in the system, the machines involved, and the management that ensures proper opera-
tion and output. In addition, while examining the system, users must “bound” the system, that
is, they must also consider and exclude aspects that are not included in the system and parts that
may be influenced by but are not part of the system. Bounding the discussion is important in
focusing the SRM effort.
Here an airside construction project example is used to show how
to use the 5M Model.
To show how to use the 5M Model to describe the system, the guidebook presents an airside
construction project to rehabilitate a taxiway as an example. To carry out the construction project,
construction equipment, personnel, and materials will be on site. Also work must be carried out
so airport operations can continue safely and construction workers will be protected from harm
during the entire project. In this example, the 5M Model would describe the system as follows:
• Mission: The safe movement of aircraft on the ground from runway to ramp area and vice
versa. The project is described as follows: The work is to regain the functionality of the taxiway
being rehabilitated and any activity needed to perform the work is included in the mission.
Examples of activities are securing and marking construction area and haul routes; coordinat-
ing with ATC; coordinating with operations and engineering; transporting equipment, work-
ers and materials; escorting trucks and vehicles; milling old pavement and making repairs;
stockpiling material; controlling FOD; repaving and compacting; placing new markings;
cleaning up; and reopening the taxiway.
• Man: Any person involved with the construction project who may affect construction activi-
ties. Many of the people involved are not construction workers. For example, ATC personnel
who coordinate with airport operations staff and construction workers are part of this cat-
egory. Airport staff securing a special “construction gate” where trucks may enter the airside
are also in this category.
• Machine: Any equipment and tools involved with the construction activities defined in the
Mission. This includes trucks, pavers, compactors, milling machines, escorting and inspection
vehicles, communication equipment, barricades, aircraft, airfield lighting and other systems,
navigational aids, and communication equipment.
• Management: Any coordination and communication activities associated with the Mission.
Coordination and communication within the construction crew, between ATC and aircraft,
and operations, between operations and contractors, and so forth.
• Media (environMent): The media represents the physical area involved in the project, includ-
ing the weather and conditions that activities are subject to during construction. The physi-
cal area includes the taxiway being rehabilitated and adjacent areas, haul routes, plant and
stockpile areas, and equipment parking areas. Operational conditions may include potential
low visibility, strong wind, high temperatures, and snow—all conditions when construction
activities might be suspended.
As stated above, a hazard must exist for an accident or an undesirable incident to take place.
A hazard is the origin of risk to the airport. Airport stakeholders must make every effort to iden-
tify the hazards associated with the system or evolutions they are considering. Identifying and
mitigating hazards may lessen and potentially remove the chances for loss.
When considering hazards, personnel may find it helpful to break down the discussions into
categories. Similar to using the 5M Model for describing the system, categorizing hazards can
help ensure all hazards are acknowledged. Examples of hazard categories include the following:
• People: Could the condition lead to injuries or fatalities?
• Assets: Could the condition result in losses of property, equipment, and/or operating funds
for which the airport could be liable?
• Environment: Could the condition lead to damage to the environment or local pollution?
• Reputation: Could the condition lead to damage to the image of the airport or cause a loss in
public confidence about travel to or from the airport?
• Mission: Could the condition hinder the airport’s ability to move people and cargo to and
from desired destinations?
These hazard categories will be revisited in Step 3 of the SRM process, given that this tech-
nique can also be used to analyze the severity of the hazardous condition.
Often an identified hazard is simply the result or outcome of a hazard. Personnel must not
take a first suggestion for a hazard to be analyzed and assessed as the last word. As an example,
one member of a group exercising the 5-step process might suggest that a vehicle colliding with
an aircraft in the non-movement area is a hazard because such a collision could result in injuries
to people and/or damage to airport and airline assets. While accepting this as a hazardous con-
dition may serve the airport’s purposes, an underlying cause, or true hazard, may be uncovered
by asking “why?”—Why did the collision occur? Was the vehicle operator distracted, and if so,
why? Was the ramp wet or icy, and if so, why? And so on.
A rule of thumb when identifying hazards is to ask “why” five times before settling on the haz-
ard. Although there may not be five “whys” to ask, the answer to the final question will uncover
the hazard that needs to be addressed.
Another method to identify hazards is to use the proposed condition in a “risk statement.”
For example
Given that (state the condition or hazard), it is possible that (state the undesirable outcome or consequence).
If that statement makes sense when read aloud, then the hazard inserted in the statement is
likely valid and should be assessed. The risk statement technique is also useful in moving from
Step 2 of the SRM process, identify the hazards, to Step 3 where the potential outcomes of the
hazards are determined.
Continuing with the example of the Vehicle to Aircraft Collision on the ramp, the 5 Why’s
and the risk statement techniques can be explained. Those looking at the potential event could
ask “why might a collision occur?” The answer might be that a collision could be caused during
night operations because of low visibility. A follow-on “why” might be: “Why will visibility on
the ramp be degraded?” The answer might be there is inadequate lighting on certain segments of
the ramp area where a collision might occur. Another “why” might be “why is there insufficient
lighting?” The answer might be that funding is not available or the Airport Master Plan does not
call for extra lighting for certain areas, which may lead to deciding the hazard is “insufficient ramp
lighting.” (Figure 9-2 illustrates the preceding example.)
Using the risk statement technique with this example, such a statement might read as follows:
Given there is no funding for more lighting, it is possible a collision will occur that causes significant aircraft
damage.
In this example, the statement reads as if the lack of funding for improved lighting is the
hazard. Although this statement may support the airport’s assessment, the statement may not
fully highlight a condition that poses risk that can be mitigated. This determination could lead
to further dissection of the condition to better define the cause of the potential incident or haz-
ard. This further consideration might lead to insufficient lighting being the hazard. When that
condition is inserted in the risk statement, it would read as follows:
Given the insufficient lighting on select areas of the ramp, it is possible a vehicle could collide with an aircraft.
This statement makes sense when read aloud, confirms that “insufficient lighting on the ramp”
is a hazard to be addressed, and is a hazard that likely gives the airport multiple mitigation options.
Appendix E lists common airport hazards for various categories of activities. The lists can help
readers become familiar with common airport hazards.
To reiterate, the terms hazard and risk often are used synony-
mously,
but this is incorrect. A hazard is a condition that can pre
sent risk to the airport. The risk is the likelihood that the hazard
will cause an undesirable outcome and the potential severity of
that outcome.
Likelihood can only be estimated after the outcome is defined.
When deciding the outcomes of a hazard, the analysis should focus on making reasonable
assessments based on credible outcomes. Many areas on an airport are host to many dangers.
Working around aircraft and equipment is hazardous work. Although catastrophe is possible
with many hazards, safety statistics show and reason backs the fact that fatalities and/or destroyed
aircraft and equipment are rare. The goal is to discover credible outcomes—the outcomes most
likely to occur. Personnel can base decisions about credible outcomes on experiences at the
airport or historical events and statistics at other airports.
As discussed in Step 2, it can be valuable to consider potential outcomes according to the
aspect of the airport they may affect. Potential outcomes could be categorized as follows:
• People: Could the hazard lead to serious injuries or fatalities?
• Assets: Could the hazard result in losses of property, equipment, or operating funds for which
the airport could be liable?
• Environment: Could the hazard lead to negative effects on the environment or to increased
local pollution?
• Reputation: Could the outcome of the hazard degrade the image of the airport or reduce
public confidence about travel to and from the airport?
• Mission: Could the hazard degrade the airport’s ability to move people and cargo to and from
the desired destinations?
could be once in a month, once in a year, or even once in the history of the industry. Personnel
can consult safety databases to research the number and frequency of occurrences for many
outcomes. The most commonly referenced accident database is kept and provided by the NTSB.
The NTSB is responsible for investigating all U.S.- registered aircraft accidents (among other
transportation accident investigation duties).
The definitions of likelihood to be used during the SRM process should be developed during
the development of the airport SMS (or standalone SRM). These definitions should reflect the
history of the airport or the history of airports of similar size and complexity. Appendix D has
examples of likelihood definitions used by early SMS adopters.
Small airports may find the NTSB database helpful. The NTSB
keeps records for all aircraft accidents investigated in the United
States and its territories and for aircraft registered in the United
States. From January 2008 to April 2014, there were more than
7,800 GA aircraft accidents in the United States; presumably,
most of the aircraft involved were operating to and from GA
airports. (NTSB aircraft accident database)
Figure 9-3. FAA ARP Risk Matrix as of July 22, 2013 (Order 5200.11, Change 2).
Conditions resulting in a
minimal reduction in ATC
services, or Conditions resulting in a slight
ATC Services
Pilot Deviation (PD) where PD where loss of airborne collision (MAC) or impact with
separation falls within the same collision hazard existed between
loss of airborne separation falls separation falls within the same obstacle or terrain resulting in
parameters of a Category C two or more aircraft; or
within the same parameters of parameters of a Category B hull loss, multiple fatalities, or
OE, or Reduction of safety margin and
a Category D OE or PE, or OE, or fatal injury
A reduction of functional functional capability of the aircraft
Minimal risk on operation of Reduction in safety margin or
capability of aircraft but does not requiring crew to follow
aircraft functional capability of the
impact overall safety (e.g. normal emergency procedures as per
aircraft requiring crew to follow
procedures per AFM) AFM
abnormal procedures per AFM
Physical discomfort to
Physical distress on
passenger(s) (e.g. extreme
passengers (e.g. abrupt evasive
braking action; clear air
action; severe turbulence causing
Minimal injury or discomfort to turbulence causing unexpected Fatalities or fatal injury to
Flying Public
closure, or
little risk to passenger(s) or taxiway closure), or airport operations, or closure and destruction of critical
Major unplanned operations
workers Minor incident involving the Serious incident, or facilities; or
limitations (i.e.. runway closure),
use of airport emergency Deduction on the airport's ability Airport facilities and equipment
or
procedures to deal with adverse conditions destroyed
Major airport damage to
equipment and facilities
A Guidebook for Safety Risk Management for Airports
Table 9-2. Qualitative criteria for risk probability from the FAA ARP Internal Order 5200.11.
Expected to occur
Probability of occurrence Expected to more than once per
Frequent
Unlikely to occur,
Remote
operation/operational occur several occur once occur about per operation/operational years or 25 million
but possible in an
D
Unlikely to occur,
Extremely
• Low Risk—Within the ARP SMS, low risk is the target. Low risk is acceptable without restric-
tion. Low-risk hazards do not need to be managed actively, but must be recorded in the SRM
documentation.
When personnel use a risk matrix, they need to set priorities. Which risks are the most critical?
Which risks can the airport mitigate? What risks deserve having airport resources assigned to
mitigate them? If a risk is assessed as unacceptable or high risk, it is understood and required that
the risk must be mitigated. But, most of the assessed risks probably will fall into the acceptable
regions of the matrix, either medium or low risk. For these risks, mitigation may be desirable but
not be required to continue operations. Also, because an airport may not have the resources to
mitigate all assessed risks, airport decisionmakers can benefit from risk prioritization.
For medium and low risks, using the matrix can lead to questions about which risk is more
important to treat. Which poses the highest risk, if there are two different medium-level risks? Is
it the hazard with the higher severity or the one more likely to result in an undesirable outcome?
Personnel can use a Risk Assessment Code or RAC to help with prioritization. The RAC is a code
developed by the airport to signify a level of importance within the risk matrix and even within
the individual levels of risk (high, medium, and low). There is no set RAC system and the airport
should use a code that is easily understood and reflects the priorities of the airport. Appendices B
and D present an example of a risk matrix with a built-in RAC. The RAC in the example relates
to the severity categorization (e.g., as the severity increases so does the RAC #).
• Transfer: The airport can notify and reassign accountability and responsibility to another stake-
holder willing to accept the risk (buying insurance is an example of transferring financial risk).
• Monitor: The airport can monitor the activity, operation, or environment for changes to
hazardous conditions.
Accept A night inspection identified that two taxiway lights were
off. No actions were taken to stop operations because the
risk was considered low and maintenance could do the
repair the next day.
Avoid
Thunderstorms were approaching. The airport stopped
all ramp activity and cleared the ramp when the light-
ning detection/prediction system indicated severe
weather within 2 miles of the airport.
Reduce
On construction projects, use of personal protective
equipment (PPE) is mandatory so as to reduce the sever-
ity of injuries. Also, the airport expanded safety areas
between construction zones and aircraft movement
areas and used barricades to identify construction areas
so as to reduce the likelihood of damage to aircraft.
Transfer
The airport measured runway friction. Given the low
friction levels, the airport planned to remove rubber
within 15 days. Meanwhile, a NOTAM was issued to
warn pilots that poor runway friction was expected
under wet conditions. In this case, the airport trans-
ferred the responsibility for the risk of operating on the
runway to the pilot and the airline.
Monitor Pilots operating on the runway report runway condi-
tions during periods of rain, snow, or ice to the tower.
The tower passes the information to airport operations
and to other pilots. If hazardous conditions are identi-
fied, the approaching aircraft pilot may opt not to use
the runway or the airport may clear or close the runway.
Regardless of the strategy, mitigations should be practical and achievable. All possible miti-
gations should be identified. The mitigation that best addresses the hazard, does not introduce
added risk, and best fits the airport’s capabilities should be identified and implemented when-
ever possible.
When the most effective strategies are not practical, alternate risk strategies need to be used to
continue operations. These strategies could include delaying certain types of operations, trans-
ferring the risk or mitigation responsibilities to other agencies with greater means to deal with
the risk, or compensating for the risk through redundant procedures or equipment.
A vital component of effective mitigation strategies is assigning responsibility for the mitiga-
tions. Someone must be designated to organize and monitor the effectiveness of the strategies.
The responsible person should be able to make real-time decisions and influence those with
resource allocation authority. The responsible person is a key link between safety risk man-
agement and safety assurance. (See Chapter 14 for further information on carrying out risk
mitigations.)
CHAPTER 10
When airports use SRM processes, common questions arise. When should SRM be used?
Who performs it at the airport? How are hazards identified? Which mitigation actions should
be performed? Who makes the risk decisions on the airport? This chapter provides examples of
when and how SRM is applied.
The SRM process can be applied whenever a hazard or a hazardous situation is identified.
Table 10-1 presents some hazard identification techniques available for use by airports.
50
Technique Example
Anyone working at the airport or using airport facilities should be able to
report hazards that they see. The process can be more effective when
Observation and
airport staff has received training on how to identify and report hazards,
reporting
and a system or tool is available for reporting, like a hotline or intranet
based reporting system.
Daily inspections are effective in identifying airside hazards. The procedure
Daily inspections can be more effective if inspectors have received training to identify types of
hazards, not covered by the routine list of Part 139 requirements.
The hazards contributing to accidents or incidents are often difficult to
identify. A thorough investigation can discover the causes and contributing
Accident and incident
factors, particularly those hazards that are not obvious (for example
investigations
deficient training), and investigation reports can communicate the
identified hazards to airport decision makers for SRM action.
Some common safety issues and hazardous situations can signal the need to
put the SRM process in action, or the need to convene a formal SRA. A list
SRM triggers of common SRM triggers is presented in Chapter 16. The FAA uses a
technique called a Safety Assessment Screening (SAS) to identify situations
when SRM is required.
There are some common tools used by multiple industries to identify
Hazard identification hazards. Examples include Functional Hazard Analysis (FHA); Change
tools Analysis; Job Hazard Analysis (JHA); Job Safety Analysis (JSA); Failure Modes
and Effects Analysis (FMEA), and “What If…” tools.
Brainstorming is a tool that systematically identifies hazards, often using
hazard identification tools previously described. The airport may use
this technique whenever multiple airport functions or stakeholders are
Functional brainstorming
impacted by the hazardous situation. It consists of gathering a group of
people to discuss the issue and identify hazards. A facilitator will make the
process more effective.
When available, preliminary lists of hazards can be helpful to streamline the
SRM process, and to identify main categories of hazards, including specific
Preliminary lists of hazards associated with unique situations at airports. Appendix E presents
hazards several example lists of hazards. A preliminary list of hazards is by definition
not comprehensive, nor does it address special cases. The lists should be
used carefully and as a prelude to in depth hazard identification.
Monitoring of safety performance indicators and statistics improves SRM by
Trend analysis identifying undesirable trends associated with certain hazards like
birdstrikes, runway incursions, and injuries to personnel.
Safety and SMS audits, like accident investigations, are effective tools to
identify hazards that are not obvious. Hidden hazards can include outdated
Audits
training, organizational issues, deficient operational processes and
procedures.
Interviews during gap analyses or audits, or even informal interviews during
inspections represent an excellent opportunity to identify hazards with line
Interviews
workers and supervisors – those airport personnel with the most in depth
knowledge of the airport systems.
Usually, these reports will lead to an accident or incident investigation. The
purpose of an investigation is to discover causal and contributing factors to
Review of prior accident the event so they can be prevented or mitigated. The airport staff can
and incident reports augment and complement investigations by performing a SRA and
identifying risk mitigation actions and staff responsibilities to reduce the
chances of a similar incident or accident.
CHAPTER 11
Making SRM work to the advantage of small airports takes leadership, dedication, and ingenuity.
Small airport operators may have to combat the perception that applying SRM to their operations
is too difficult, too expensive, and unsustainable. The size of the airport staff and budget will fuel
negative SRM views. The reality is that smaller airports may have some distinct advantages when
it comes to SRM. This chapter discusses SRM application techniques, considerations, and paths
to successful management of risk for the small airport.
52
documentation helps to ensure that key information is available. Ensuring that other appropriate
staff know where and how to access the information is equally important.
Personnel can track the process and results with simple office software. This guidebook
offers several examples of tools and processes that can be applied when implementing SRM. In
general, most tools and processes can be accomplished using word processing and spreadsheet
software. A complete SRM software package can help airports, but, airports should be able to
develop, implement, and administer SRM using their existing administrative tools (for example,
Microsoft Office). This will speed acceptance by the staff and stakeholders and reduce the amount
of necessary administrative changes.
PA RT I V
The previous parts of the guidebook focus on SRM principles and processes and how the
5-step process works. The chapters in this part link existing airport activities to SRM concepts
and steps, explain how effective SRM uses mitigation strategies and risk controls the airport
already has in place, and address ways airport personnel can apply SRM thinking when faced
with unanticipated hazards in daily activities.
CHAPTER 12
Chapter 7 discussed how SRM can be phased to mirror the phases of an airport event or proj-
ect. In the planning and preparation phases, looking into the future and formulating strategies
to manage risk are key aspects of these SRM phases. However, airports do not experience losses
during the planning and preparation phases; airports experience losses while executing the tasks
required to keep the airport working. Closing the SRM loop and ensuring it works as a continu-
ous process requires application of SRM principles during daily operations; those on the ramp,
in the baggage well, or performing maintenance must understand that SRM principles apply at
all times. SRM is integral to operational excellence.
SRM training programs, an element of the SMS Safety Promotion component, should high-
light the links between SRM in the planning phase and SRM in the execution. Formal train-
ing for those regularly in the execution phase and performing airport business should produce
an understanding of the operational effects of improperly managed risk, which include the
following:
• Injuries: In addition to causing workplace stress, lost time by employees puts greater burdens
on replacements and loss of expertise on the job.
• Damage: Equipment taken off the line requires repair time, incurs the financial costs of
replacement parts, and may delay operations.
57
• Delays: Errors can cause delays that interrupt schedules and cost money for air carriers and
general aviation operators alike.
Introducing SRM in the execution phase of airport operations minimizes and often eliminates
these undesirable effects, thus improving airport efficiencies and operational effectiveness.
Performing SRM in the preparation phase is the bridge between SRM in the planning phase
and the execution phase. Supervisors involved in complex changes should
• Be well versed about the anticipated hazards identified in the planning phase
• Understand the mitigations put into place to manage the anticipated risks
• Brief all participants involved with the change on the anticipated risks and the planned
mitigations
• Ensure that participants understand their responsibilities in watching for the emergence of
new hazards and addressing errors before they result in adverse outcomes
One way to keep the SRM mindset active in the execution phase is to ask a simple question
when going into an event or preparing to perform a task that is done multiple times per week,
per month, each year:
What is Different Today?
Answering this question reminds those about to perform routine tasks that they should take
care and heighten their senses. Answering this question raises awareness of changing conditions
and focuses those who continuously perform the same tasks on the potential for error.
“What is different today?” can lead to follow-up questions such as
• Will the weather cause problems with this task?
• Do I have the right tools with me?
• Did I get a good sleep last night and am I as alert as I need to be?
• Am I performing this task in an unfamiliar location?
Questions such as these can start the mental execution of the SRM process and will enhance
both situational awareness and operational performance.
CHAPTER 13
Both supervisors and frontline workers need an easy-to-recall way to both trigger and exe-
cute a quick run-through of the SRM process. The 5-step process described in Chapter 9 can
be effective in a short-response situation if those facing risk decisions are well versed in the
process. Usually, this is not the case for frontline workers not exposed to the SRM process daily.
The Department of the Navy uses an easy-to-remember trigger for the SRM process in the
execution phase—this may be useful for those working at airports. The ABCD Model provides
frontline workers involved in high-risk tasks with an easy-to-recall trigger that engages the risk
management thought process. The ABCD Model, a variation on the 5-step process, is for fast
action.
“ABCD” stands for
Assess the situation
Balance resources
Communicate to others
Do and debrief the event
This model provides those in the execution phase with a consistent approach and easy-to-
remember tool for dealing with changing conditions and hazards previously unforeseen.
As an event begins or conditions change, the focus of the individuals involved tends to shift
to understanding the changes and how to deal with them. As participants become more focused,
their ability to take in additional information or give adequate attention to normal procedures
diminishes. This paves the way for errors. The use of a tool such as the ABCD Model can help
individuals take a step back, maintain situational awareness, and better manage risk during
dynamic conditions.
A detailed explanation of the ABCD Model is presented below [as adapted from the Navy’s
Instruction on Operational Risk Management (OPNAV Instruction 3500.39C)].
• Assess the Situation: In a real-time situation, individuals must consider the event in which
they are engaged and choose appropriate resources and controls to meet the hazards they
identify. In a time-critical situation, assessing the situation requires an accurate perception of
what is happening in a relatively short time and then quickly projecting its effect—in other
words, maintaining good situational awareness. Unlike in the planning or preparation phases
where there is time to assess hazards, an individual’s ability to comprehend the situation and
apply appropriate, available resources quickly and effectively can mean the difference between
success and failure.
• Balance Resources: After assessing the situation, personnel must consider all the resources
available for the task or activity. Are backup personnel available if additional people are
61
needed? Is there a way to call supervisors or emergency response assets? Are spare tools
nearby if something breaks? Thorough planning before an event will increase the avail-
ability of appropriate resources to mitigate hazards effectively. Understanding the task or
mission, proper training, using PPE, and knowing personal limitations are essential aspects
of balancing resources; they are also aspects that can be pre-planned.
• Communicate to Others: Good communication is essential to the success of SRM in the exe-
cution phase. The “C” in ABCD is a reminder to explicitly communicate during the event, and
it is tied to all steps of the 5-step process. Maintaining good situational awareness of changing
conditions and increased task loading is critical to communication. This is because perception
and communication skills deteriorate as people lose situational awareness. As stress increases
or events become more time constrained, communication tends to become limited or non-
existent. Individuals who understand this relationship are better able to adjust and mitigate
additional risk when they recognize a loss of awareness.
Although communicating intentions works best when multiple individuals are involved in
the event, situations may occur where individuals must weigh decisions on their own, where
“self-communication” is crucial. When working alone, individuals should ask themselves:
• Who needs to know about the situation?
• Who can help or assist?
• Who can provide backup?
• Can this be done differently?
These are just a few examples of questions individuals can ask to ensure positive and effec-
tive communication takes place.
• Do and Debrief: The “D” of the Model starts the risk mitigation actions—Do the task or
execute the evolution. To ensure success in the task or event, the individual must select and
use the appropriate resources while adjusting actions as required to manage the new risks. The
second aspect of the “D” is ensuring that the feedback loop or “Debrief” aspect of the model
is performed. It is beneficial for individuals or teams to follow through and complete the
ABCD mnemonic loop by identifying what worked and what did not work and then ensuring
documented lessons are disseminated. Debriefs will improve performance and mitigate risks
in future activities. During debriefs, questions should be asked of those completing the event
or task, such as
• Was our assessment accurate?
• Were we lucky?
• How well did we use the resources?
• Was the communication effective?
• What can we do to improve response to similar events in the future?
Asking these types of questions, and then documenting the new hazards and real-time
mitigation actions taken and discussed in an event debrief, helps ensure future activities are
improved and risks are reduced.
CHAPTER 14
The last step in the SRM process is to mitigate and monitor the actions taken for the identified
hazards. This step includes tasks and actions that should be implemented to reduce the risk. In
most situations, these actions will be assigned when the level of risk is found to be unaccept-
able; however, actions may be established to address medium and low risk as well. Medium risk
should be mitigated whenever possible and feasible, and low risks can be further mitigated if
simple, low-cost actions are possible (e.g., improve situational awareness). Medium risk should
be mitigated further if it is believed that the outcome is a single point of failure, defined as a part
of a system that, if it fails, will stop the entire system from working.
To understand how mitigation actions can reduce the level of risk, it is necessary to understand
basic risk concepts, particularly severity of outcome and likelihood. This chapter presents differ-
ent categories of risk mitigation actions, how mitigation actions can affect different components
of risk, and how actions should be managed and monitored to complete the SRM process.
Outcome
The potential outcome or effect if the hazard is not addressed is the first component of risk.
The key question to answer is “what can go wrong?” when certain conditions are assumed. For
example, the user can ask what can go wrong during an aircraft landing if the runway surface is
contaminated with ice and runway friction is reduced. The answer could be “a runway excursion.”
In reality, there is a range of outcomes—from a minor veer-off with no damage to the aircraft
to a catastrophic overrun with hull loss and multiple fatalities. So, which outcome should be
used when doing a risk assessment?
There is no rigid rule for this; a few credible outcomes should be used so that the focus of
mitigation actions is defined. There is an important difference between the worst outcome and
the worst credible outcome. The worst outcome is always major asset loss, major damage to the
environment, or death. When considering airports, catastrophic failure of the system is always
possible.
64
Working with the worst rather than the worst credible outcome can have major effects on
resources required to mitigate risks, and risk classification will lose its effectiveness because every
risk will fall in one column of the risk matrix. In many situations, it will be significantly more
expensive to implement actions for over-rated risks.
For the example, the worst credible outcome for a runway excursion is likely to be an accident
with multiple fatalities. The outcome is credible because accidents with this level of severity have
happened, and a collision between two aircraft or an aircraft at high speed and a vehicle during
a landing can lead to a catastrophic accident.
Another example is the risk of wingtip collision during taxiway operations when the separation
is lost. Chances are that an aircraft may deviate excessively from the taxiway centerline resulting
in collision of aircraft wingtips. There may be a tendency to classify the worst credible outcome
for this type of risk as catastrophic because of the possibility of fuel spillage and fire that could kill
everyone on board and destroy the aircraft. However, historical records indicate that no events of
this type involving fatalities have occurred in the United States during the past 30 years. A more
credible outcome is major damage to aircraft involved. This does not mean that the catastrophic
event will never happen, but it is unrealistic to expect that it will happen at any individual airport
in the next 100 years.
Therefore, when estimating the severity of a risk, it is important to recall if the event has occurred
in recent years at the airport or in the U.S. aviation industry. The NTSB accident databases are
excellent sources of information on whether or not an event has occurred at other airports.
Risk classification involves the assumption of credible outcomes. In most situations, the per-
son or group assessing the risk will have a risk matrix to make the classification and a single
classification for severity should be selected. Table 14-1 provides the FAA severity classification
impacts specific to airports.
When reviewing the examples presented, the credible outcome for a runway excursion can be
classified as Catastrophic (1); and the severity associated with wingtip collision during a taxiway
operation is Major (3), because major damage to aircraft is a plausible scenario.
Likelihood
The second component of risk is likelihood; it is the chance that the assumed outcome will
take place. Likelihood is normally presented in terms of the number of occurrences per number
of operations or number of occurrences per period. For example, the likelihood of a birdstrike
to commercial aircraft is one per 7,300 movements. If we use this rate for a large airport with
1,000 commercial aircraft movements per day, one birdstrike per week is expected for the air-
port; however, if this rate is applied to a smaller airport with only ten commercial flights per day,
a birdstrike is expected to occur approximately every 2 years.
Appendix F presents a table with benchmark risks based on historical rates for the U.S. avia-
tion industry. The information may be helpful when assessing the likelihood component of a
specific risk. Table 14-2, used by the FAA to classify risk likelihood in five different levels, is a
simplified version of the FAA Likelihood classifications presenting those specific to airports.
An important question arises from these examples: Should the rate or the occurrences per
number of movements be used or should the expected period for one occurrence be the reference?
The answer is simple. . . it depends! For the small airport with low traffic volumes, the expected
period is usually best, and for the large airport, the incident rate may be more appropriate. The
rule is simple: the likelihood should be classified according to both the accident/incident rate and
expected period, and then the lowest likelihood classification should be used. Likelihood criteria
are normally presented in both accident/incident rate and expected period for occurrence, as
shown in Table 14-2. Other forms of determining likelihood are the use of passenger enplane-
ment numbers for airports with commercial service. This is particularly helpful when dealing with
terminal issues. (See Appendix D, SRM Templates for the tables for likelihood.)
Table 14-2. FAA Order 5200.11 (Change 1) – likelihood classifications for airports.
Expected to occur more than o nce per week or every 2500 departures,
Frequen
nt (A)
whichever occurs sooner
Expected to occur about once e very month or 250,000 departures,
Probablle (B)
whichever occurs sooner
Expected to occur about once e very year or 2.5 million departures,
Remotte (C)
whichever occurs sooner
Expected to occur once every 1 0 100 years or 25 million departures,
Extre
emely Remotte (D)
whichever occurs sooner
Extreme
ely Improbab
ble (E) Expected to occur less than eve ry 100 years
Here is an example using the “birdstrike scenario” for different size airports. When using the
table to classify the risk of birdstrikes for the large airport, the accident rate of 1/7,300 move-
ments can be used, and the likelihood is “Frequent (A).” In the period form, the same likelihood
level is obtained, considering the frequency of one birdstrike per week.
The results for the small airport are different. When using the rate, the same classification
for the large airport is obtained: “Frequent (A).” Nevertheless, if one event every 2 years is
used, the likelihood classification is “Remote (C).” In this case, the lowest likelihood classifi-
cation is “Remote (C),” and this should be the likelihood classification for birdstrikes when
analyzing risk at the small airport.
The understanding of risk components and risk classification will help the understanding of
how mitigation actions may affect the severity, the likelihood of the event, or both.
For example, based on PIREPS, an airport has identified that runway hold position markings
are faded and difficult to see from the aircraft cockpit during rain or low-visibility conditions. A
possible outcome associated with this hazard is a runway incursion. A risk assessment performed
by the airport staff classified the credible outcomes as catastrophic and the likelihood as remote.
Two mitigation actions were planned: the first action was to repaint the markings and the second
to install stop bars at the runway intersections most used by aircraft.
The credible outcomes with mitigation actions remain catastrophic; however, the likelihood
was considerably reduced and is now classified as extremely improbable. Figure 14-1 illustrates
the risk change. In this case, the credible outcome was not changed by the mitigation actions,
and only the likelihood of a runway incursion was reduced to take the risk from unacceptable
(red) to medium (yellow). The risk assessed falls in the yellow or medium half of the lower
right box of the 5 × 5 matrix because other mitigations are in play for risk of a runway incur-
sion; in other words, the repainting of the runway markings is not a single point of failure in
the system.
At another airport, an airside vehicle struck a ramp worker, resulting in a severely injured
employee. The accident investigation identified the causes of the accident as poor driver train-
ing and speeding. A risk assessment by the SMS manager assessed the risk of new accidents and
assumed that the worst credible outcome could be classified as “Hazardous (2),” according to
the airport’s risk matrix, which is similar to that presented in FAA Order 5200.11. Reviewing
the history of similar accidents and incidents at the airport in the past 10 years, it was found that
Mitigation
Mitigation
2C
tion
3D M itiga
two similar events had occurred and the likelihood was classified as “Remote (C).” Therefore the
existing risk was classified as 2C using the matrix, or high risk.
Based on the accident investigation, the airport decided to make changes to its airside driving
program and introduce an airside driver responsibility and speed enforcement program. The
actions are expected to reduce both the likelihood and severities if the vehicle speed is reduced
to minimum levels. The assessment with the new mitigation actions classified the credible out-
comes as “Major (3)” and the likelihood to “Extremely Remote (D),” taking the risk to the green
zone, as illustrated in Figure 14-1.
• Cost/benefit: the extent to which the perceived benefits of the mitigation outweigh the costs.
Cost estimation of mitigation actions is normally a separate process but is essential to support
decision making.
• Practicality: the extent to which mitigation can be implemented and the appropriateness of
available technology, financial, administrative, and operational resources. This is barring any
legislation or regulation, political issues, and so forth.
airport measured runway friction after noticing excessive rubber accumulation on the runway
surface and found that it is lower than acceptable levels. The airport then decided to issue a
NOTAM announcing that poor braking conditions should be expected when the pavement
was wet. The information was acquired by the pilots and they chose whether to use or avoid
the runway when the pavement was wet. Issuances of NOTAMs by airports are examples of a
risk transfer strategy.
Tower
Phone
Safety Reporting Airfield Web/
Network
Call Center
Data Recording
Database
Screen, Process,
Analyze & Monitor
Severity
Minimal Minor Major Hazardous Catastrophic
5 4 3 2 1
Probability
Frequent
A
Probable
B
Remote
C
Extremely
Remote
D
Extremely
Improbable
E
• Training programs
• FARs, FAA ACs, Letters of Agreement (LOAs), FAA Orders
• Pilot reports (PIREPS)
• FAA Runway Safety Action Team (RSAT)
• Airspace and Aeronautical Information Management (AIM)
• Commonly Used Safe Operational Practices for Taxi Safety (CAST)
• Automatic Terminal Information System (ATIS)
• Pre-construction meetings
• Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs)
• Mutual aid agreements
• Modification of Standards (MOS)
• Airport Certification Manual (ACM)
• TSA 1542 Airport Security
• Local ordinances
• Airport Codes of Rules and Regulations
When considering the present condition during risk analysis, the references listed are assumed
to be existing risk mitigation measures. Although this is true for many situations, that some
procedures are documented in ACs does not mean that those procedures are in place or will be
in place when the hazardous situation is present.
For instance, one of the common hazards of construction projects on the airfield is FOD.
Construction debris may be generated during demolition, excavation, and paving operations
and ingested or blasted by aircraft engines causing damage and/or injuries. FAA AC 150/5370-2,
Operational Safety on Airports during Construction, describes FOD management as one of the ele-
ments of a Construction Safety and Phasing Plan (CSPP). The airport must ensure that the CSPP
is developed for the specific construction project, that a plan for FOD management is included,
that the plan is in place during construction, and that the plan is working effectively to control
FOD generated by construction activities.
The first task involves ensuring that the responsible party has put the mitigation actions in
place, that implementation schedules are being followed, and that changes can be measured.
With the example of implementing a FOD Management Plan for airfield construction, during
the construction period, airport operations and engineering staff may want to check the areas
near the construction site frequently for the presence of FOD, even though Part 139 airports
should already include this task in daily inspections processes. If FOD is present, the FOD con-
trol plan may not be effective and should be evaluated for improvements. If the amount of FOD
is higher than expected based on observations during daily inspections, the planned mitigations
are not having the desired effect. A new risk assessment should be made and mitigation action
changes identified.
The success of risk mitigation actions can be determined by using established performance
indicators as a baseline. For example, an airport may decide to monitor the number of wildlife
strikes that adversely affect operations. An adverse outcome of this hazard may be aircraft dam-
age or a flight delay, a go around, or an aborted takeoff. By taking data from the FAA Wildlife
Database and counting the number of strikes during each month, it is possible to see the trend
over a period of a few years to check if the wildlife management program is working as expected
or if additional actions should be considered to further reduce the presence of certain species in
the airport area and its vicinity.
CHAPTER 15
As discussed throughout the guidebook, small airports have less staff and resources to facilitate
the easy addition of new approaches and tasks to routine operations. For small airports, SMS
in general, and SRM in particular can be seen as a burden, rather than a benefit. Much of this
perception comes from the fact that larger airports have dedicated staff to coordinate SMS activities
and are taking steps to implement specific software solutions for hazard reporting and docu-
mentation, as well as providing SMS training to staff.
Smaller airports have some unique advantages for using SMS and SRM precisely because of having
fewer staff members. In most cases, staff members work in the same area and communicate face to
face many times during the day. Small airports do not require special software to report hazards and
unsafe conditions because a simple phone call, electronic message, or daily discussions are effective to
initiate and make decisions to implement actions to mitigate risks. Simple electronic spreadsheets or
database software is sufficient and effective to document and track hazards, classify risks, and define
control actions—the only added requirement is the discipline to take these administrative actions.
The ABCD Model presented in Chapter 13, or the more thorough SRM 5-step process, should
be used daily. Before SMS, airport managers likely did not have clear, systematic approaches to
address safety issues, document them, and support risk decisions. SRM provides the processes for
this when used properly and regularly. The ABCD Model enables employees at small airports to
address risk faced in everyday activities, even when performing tasks alone. When more complex
safety issues arise, convening a small group, perhaps two or three employees and stakeholders
if necessary, to conduct an SRA is appropriate. The keys to success are knowledge and practice.
An example of SRA for a small airport was provided in Chapter 8. The focus was the towing of
aircraft to the hangar following the reporting of a few incidents associated with this type of opera-
tion. The SRA example involved only the airport manager, the supervisor of operations, and a towing
operator. The example showed how the SRM process is beneficial in determining simple risk con-
trol actions that can be implemented with a low level of effort and few resources (e.g., developing a
simple SOP for towing aircraft and developing posters to remind the operator on the SOP).
Figure 15-1, Example of Hazard and Risk Log Table, provides an example of a hazard and risk
table that can be used by small airports and some large ones alike. Tables 15-1 and 15-2 provide
example lists of ACs that airports use as guidance for risk controls and mitigations.
The Hazard and Risk Log Table in Figure 15-1 is relatively easy to
develop and use and can be a great tool for smaller airports to track
SRM actions.
74
Foreign Object Debris Management AC 150/5210 24 Provides Guidance on Foreign Object Damage (FOD) and Guidelines for
Developing an Airport FOD Plan/Program
Airport Safety Self Inspection AC 150/5200 18 Provides Guidance on Self – Inspection Processes and Programs
Notices to Airmen (NOTAMS) AC 150/5200 28 Provides Guidance and Requirements for Issuing NOTAMS
Airport Winter Safety and Operations AC 150/5200 30 Provides Guidance and Guidelines on Winter Safety and Operations and
Developing a Snow Plan
Heliport Design AC 150/5210 20 Provides Guidance for Developing a Heliport
Ground Vehicle Operations on Airports AC 150/5300 13 Provides Guidance for Training, Control and Safety of Ground Vehicles
Airport Design AC 150/5300 13 Provides Airport Design Standards and Guidance
Surface Movement Guidance Control System AC 120 57 Provides Guidance for Developing and Implementing a SMGCS Plan
(SMGCS) /Program
Signs, Markings and Lighting, Standards for AC 150/5340 1 and 18 Provides Guidance for Signs, Markings, and Lighting and Standards for
Airport Sign Systems Airport Sign Systems
Hazardous Wildlife Attractants On or near AC 150/5200 32 Provides Guidance for Wildlife Attractant Development and Mitigation
Airports
Qualifications for Wildlife Biologist AC 150/5200 36 Provides Guidance and Experience for Selecting Wildlife Consultants and
Experience and Credentials/Certifications
Debris Hazards AC 150/5380 5 Provides Guidance for Developing a Debris Program and Controls
Design and Installation Details for Airport AC 150/5340 30 Provides Guidance and Data for Design and Installation of Airport Visual
Visual Aids Aids
Safety During Construction AC 150/5370 2 Provides Guidance for Developing a Construction Safety Phasing Plan
(CSPP) and Safety Processes
A Guidebook for Safety Risk Management for Airports
Table 15-1. (Continued).
Pilot Reports (PIREPS) SEE Order JO 7110.65 and Order PIREPS provide real time pilot reports of restricted visibility, icing
JO 7110.10 conditions, turbulence, cloud base, layers, tops and other information of
Flight Conditions for Pilots and Air Traffic Controllers and FAA Flight
Services (FSS)
Aeronautical Information Manual (AIM) AIM Provides wide range of regulatory and non regulatory references with
capability of cross referencing CFRs and Advisory Circulars
Obstruction Lighting and Marking AC 150/7460 1 Provides Guidance for Lighting and Marking Obstructions on Airports and
Filing
Objects Affecting Navigable Airspace Part 77 Provides Requirements and Standards for proposed construction and to
determine obstructions
Operator Driver Training Parts 121, 135 Provides Guidance and Requirements for Airline Vehicle Operators
Airport Certification Manual (ACM) AC 150/5210 22 Provides Methods for Meeting Certification Requirements for the ACM
Runway Safety Program Order JO 7050.1 Provides Information and Guidance on FAA’s National Runway Safety
Program to reduce runway incursions
Airport Traffic Control Tower Siting Order Order JO 6480.4 Air Traffic Provides Guidance and Requirements for Proposed New, Relocated or
Control Siting Order Existing Tower Site, Height and Visibility Requirements
FAA Engineering Brief # 75 Engineering Brief # 75 Provides Guidance for Incorporating Runway Incursion Prevention into
Taxiway and Apron Design
Safety Management Systems for Airports ACRP Report 1; Volume 2 Provides comprehensive reference that will help users determine what
Guidebook constitutes an airport SMS. Offers guidance in planning, implementation, and
operation of an airport SMS. This guidebook supplements ACRP Report 1:
Volume 1 which provides an overview of SMS.
Letters of Agreement (LOAs) LOAs Provide wide distribution of information to users on specific operating
processes for e.g. LOA between Air Traffic Control and Airport Operations
when responding to an emergency
Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) SOPs Provide wide distribution of information to users on frequently used
operating protocols. I.e. consistent and frequently used procedures
primarily used internally to an airport department for e.g. airport FBO
towing aircraft into / out of a hangar
A Guidebook for Safety Risk Management for Airports
Table 15-2. Key FAA advisory circulars and CertAlerts applied to airport safety.
PA RT V
This part presents a detailed discussion about the SRM application likely to be the most visible to
airport management, staff, and stakeholders. The SRA is the practical application of the 5-step pro-
cess in a formal, in-depth manner. This part introduces the concept of SRA triggers—precursors
that lead to an airport’s formal use of the SRM process and triggers that may not require the formal
use of a panel. The chapters describe the SRA process, keys to its effective and efficient conduct, and
recommendations and lessons learned for effective facilitation of the SRA.
CHAPTER 16
Introduction to SRA
SRM processes are used to address many different types of safety issues, from simple haz-
ards, like FOD originated from uncovered trash cans, to very complex airport construction and
improvement projects that affect airfield operations. These examples illustrate conditions that
require changes to how the airport does business. Change generates risk. An SRA is a way to
thoroughly address the risks.
The SRA is a safety assessment performed by a panel of stakeholders and subject matter experts
(SMEs) to analyze a safety issue, run the SRM process to establish risk mitigation actions, and
document the process. The SRA is a formal application of the SRM process to study an airport
condition, either planned or discovered. The SRA will likely be the most visible application of
SRM to airport personnel and tenants. The SRA is triggered by conditions or events at the air-
port; follows the SRM 5-step process in a formal, proactive manner; is facilitated by a person
well versed in the SRM process; and provides airport management with actionable knowledge
to enhance effective, risk-informed decisions.
In general, an SRA should be conducted if a change to the airport system is planned or deemed
necessary. A planned system change might come in the form of an airport construction project,
such as the renovation of a concourse. A system change that is deemed necessary could be dis-
covered from the analysis of safety reports that highlight an undesirable trend, such as increased
levels of FOD. Some safety issues may be unique to specific airport conditions, but may affect
multiple airport stakeholders. Although certain corrective actions may seem apparent and easy
to correct, the airport personnel who identify the condition may not fully understand all of the
effects of the condition or the range of effects the corrections may have. Similarly, when a change
to the configuration of the airport is planned, the integrated nature of airport operations and the
number of stakeholders affected demand a thorough examination of the change. For scenarios
such as these, an SRA gives airport decisionmakers the information necessary to make fully risk-
informed decisions regarding the allocation of resources.
81
complaints from the FAA ATCT personnel that maintenance staff is not using proper ingress/
egress procedures to access the airfield movement areas. The Director of Maintenance deter-
mines an SRA may help determine risks and identify actions for the maintenance department
to take to improve the use of correct procedures. In this case, only staff from the maintenance
department may be involved in the SRA because the issue was specific to the department.
In each of these instances, airport management will face decisions regarding operations and
assets that will alter the way the airport does business. With change comes potential risk. The
SRA is the most complete method to ensure risk is managed as effectively as possible.
The rules of thumb are not all inclusive. Any issue that affects aviation safety can be the subject
of an SRA. The following questions can be asked when considering the need for a panel:
• Will the FAA require an SRA for a planned change/project?
• Do we have an important safety issue that we have not been able to resolve?
• Do we have undesirable trends in our safety performance indicators and we cannot explain why?
• Was an incident reported at another airport with causes similar to conditions at our airport?
• Are incidents or reported hazards on the rise?
• Does a type of incident occur frequently at the airport?
• Is a safety issue affecting the airport’s reputation?
• Is there an important safety issue on the landside of the airport?
• Have we received frequent complaints from our stakeholders about a certain safety issue at
the airport?
• Is an important decision pending that has safety implications?
If the answer is “yes” to one of these questions, there is a good chance that an SRA will benefit
the airport.
Another determining factor regarding when to conduct the SRA is time. Is there sufficient
time to prepare, conduct, and document the SRA? If a panel of SMEs is needed, an effective and
complete SRA requires time. The amount of time necessary may be a function of the complex-
ity of the issue at hand, the size of the airport and number of stakeholders, or the availability of
data needed to properly analyze and assess the risks. For some airports participating in the SMS
Pilot Studies, an SRA scheduled over 2 days, with one 4-hour block held each day was effective.
This length of time allows the panel members to continue their daily duties and to gather more
information for the SRA if required. Other airports learned that one 8-hour day worked well,
or even two 8-hour days were best if the subject matter was complex and the discussions among
the panel members warranted the added time.
In general, the SRA should primarily be considered as a proactive planning evolution. It is best
used in advance of a planned system change or as a result of safety trend analysis.
The airport will generally use its internal resources to support the SRA. On occasion, it
may be necessary, and beneficial, to call upon external resources from stakeholders and con-
sultants. Although the availability of resources may pose a near-term obstacle when deciding
to execute an SRA, it is important to remember that SRM is a key component of an effective
SMS and that absorbing near-term costs may achieve greater long-term safety and capacity
benefits.
The FAA uses an internal procedure to identify the need to organize an SRA Panel and
complete a safety assessment systematically. The Safety Assessment Screening (SAS) process
is described in FAA Order 5200.11 and ARP SMS Desk Reference guide. Some of the triggers
defined by the FAA (e.g., development and update of ARP standards) will only require internal
FAA actions. Other FAA triggers may require actions by airport operators to participate in and
organize a safety assessment and convene an airport SRA panel. The list below presents the most
common FAA triggers for airport SRAs:
• Airport Planning
• Airport Construction Safety and Phasing Plan (CSPP) Development
• 49 CFR Part 150 Noise Compatibility Planning Projects
• Modification of FAA Airport Design Standards
• Airspace Determinations for Non-Construction Changes
Additional Non-Construction Changes include
• Runway or taxiway designation changes
• Pavement marking and signage changes
• Runway categories changes
• Planned approach/departure procedure changes
• Airport modifications or updates that substantially change an action already approved by
the FAA
Some triggers can be considered universal; all airports can use these as SRA initiation points
or as catalysts for evaluating the need for an SRA. Additionally, each airport should determine
its own SRA triggers that fit the needs of the airport, its available resources, and the philosophy
of airport management. Table 16-1 lists common SRA triggers.
Airfield maintenance (beyond day to day work) Rubber removal; chip seal on Runway 10
Changes in access roads onto airport property Adding or subtracting lanes and access points
Safety issues reported by pilots or airport Reports of pavement failure, blind spots, or
employees (including tenants) hazardous conditions on the ramp
Safety Reports (Hazardous
FOD generated by poor pavement conditions at
Condition Reports) Safety issues resulting from daily inspections
the intersection of taxiways
Proposed New
FAA research and development work (e.g. the
Infrastructure/Facilities and Perimeter taxiway; new NextGen equipment
FAA Tech Center)
Regulatory Standards
Table 16-2 presents examples of frequently reported airport hazards. In most situations, the
parties listed in the table are those reporting the issues; in special circumstances, other stake-
holders may report the issue. Some of these issues are SRA candidates, particularly if reported
frequently at the airport, frequently at a specific location, or in the movement area of the airfield.
For these hazard categories, only the most serious or frequently reported issues generally lead
to a formal SRA. In fact, convening a panel would only slow the decision-making and reaction
processes necessary for normal daily operations. Airports are encouraged to consider panels in
those cases of frequently recurring issues; an example might be FOD reported every day, in the
same location, at about the same time of day. Examples like this are clear indications of systemic
problems that a panel might be better equipped to solve completely. The SRA process would
identify root causes, determine risk levels, and mitigate the situations more thoroughly rather
than just treating the symptom—routinely picking up the FOD every day.
Faded or removed pavement markings Airport operations personnel performing daily inspections
PIREPs
areas. Having many workers and much equipment in a confined area, often under substantial
time pressure, creates an environment in which injuries and aircraft damage may occur.
Runway incursion and excursion accidents and serious incidents are investigated by the NTSB
and the FAA. Determination of causal and contributing factors will help the airport evaluate
the need for mitigation actions, such as new equipment installations to prevent runway incur-
sions, modifications of airfield layout to avoid confusion and hotspots, or improvements to
runway friction, safety areas, and emergency response. An SRA using the investigation reports
as a resource will assist in the evaluation.
FOD and damage caused by wildlife strikes frequently occur at all types of airports. Although
these events rarely lead to fatal accidents, direct and indirect associated costs are high. Airport
SRM will benefit by tracking these events to evaluate trends in frequency, location, and severity.
The SRA may identify further actions in addition to those outlined in the investigation report to
mitigate risk at specific areas or for certain species involved in wildlife strikes.
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
Sometimes the simple analysis and trending of data may help identify the focus of actions
to mitigate risks. However, to understand which actions will be more effective will require a
discussion with SMEs or personnel from specific airport functions. In this case, an SRA may be
the best option to understand the problem, the associated risks, and the means to reduce the
likelihood of occurring.
For example, a small airport had a few incidents with aircraft under tow to the hangars. In a
few cases, the wingtip of the aircraft struck the doors or the internal structures of the hangar.
An SRA with the airport director and staff responsible for towing aircraft helped to revise the
existing SOP and reduce the likelihood of the incident occurring. During the brainstorming
session, the group identified each step of the towing process (e.g., place work order, assign tow
crew, select tow equipment, hook up, tow, maneuver aircraft in/out hangar, and park and secure
aircraft). Risks were assessed for each step of the proposed procedure, and the procedure was
reviewed again to address the higher risks.
In this example, each towing incident caused major problems and legal actions for the small
airport. The airport management was seeking alternatives to reduce the negative perception of
stakeholders and ensure the view that hiring airport services for towing aircraft was safe. The
results of an SRA would support both of these goals.
• Appendix C: SRM Process Tools presents practical processes and associated tools for use
during the SRM process
• Appendix D: SRM Templates presents additional templates, risk matrixes, SRA report struc-
tures and examples
• Appendix E: Preliminary Hazard Lists provides lists of common hazards for various categories
of airport safety issues
• Appendix F: Typical Accident and Incident Rates presents historical accident and incident
rates for airport safety issues that can be used as baselines during the SRA process
• Appendix G: Typical KPIs and Associated Data provides examples of typical Key Performance
Indicators that may be used/created by the airport for monitoring trends after SRA control
actions have been implemented
• Appendix H: Basic Probability and Statistics for SRM presents basic approaches to calculating
probability and statistics which are intended to support the risk assessment portion of SRM
CHAPTER 17
Conducting an SRA
The SRA process can be divided into three different parts: preparation, conduct, and docu-
mentation. Each part includes two or more subtasks, as illustrated in Figure 17-1. The process
can be used for a range of safety issues with varying degrees of complexity. Some of the sub-
tasks described in this chapter can be eliminated if the SRA Panel is experienced with SRM
processes.
92
• Review Documents
• Develop SRA Plan
• Identify Panel Members
SRA • Identify Facilitator
• Contact Stakeholders
Preparation • Prepare Material
• Develop Preliminary Hazard List
• Schedule SRA
• Introductions
SRA • SRM Basics
Conduct • SRA Template and Example
• SRA Facilitation
• Identification of System
SRAs are relatively new and represent a change to business practices for airports. Those that
participate will need prior notification and guidance.
In many cases, it may be beneficial to limit the size of the panel, particularly when the group
is formed with the most experienced personnel involved with the specific SRA theme. Smaller
groups of no more than ten people are easier to manage. The SRA needs to include the ultimate
owner of the subsystem being assessed, the project manager (if the assessment will cover a con-
struction project), the SMS manager, and important stakeholders of the potential impacts of
the assessment.
Examples of required panel members include
• Airport operations
• SMS manager/coordinator
• Risk management
• FAA (as appropriate from ARP, ATC, Tech Ops)
• Airlines
• SMEs
• Facilitator (while not a voting panel member, a facilitator ensures the process is followed)
Panels may also include staff from:
• Airfield maintenance
• Planning
• Development and engineering
• Public safety (Police and Fire)
• Environmental management
• Ground handlers
• FBOs
• Fueling services
• Transportation
(allowing staff to have time for their daily responsibilities and provide more information for the
SRA process if necessary), a single session lasting a full day, and a single half-day session. There
is not enough information in the airport industry yet to recommend a time standard. Airport
operators need to determine what works best at their airports and how best to ensure the process
is followed and productive.
A simple table where each column represents the date and rows represent the period of the
day (i.e., morning or afternoon) is suitable. The cells should contain
• The time period (e.g., from 8:00 AM-12:00 PM)
• The location (e.g., Meeting Room A, Ops Bldg.)
• The parties involved if the sessions involve smaller groups (e.g., Ops and Engineering only)
It may be hard to schedule SRAs with large parties. An alternative is to break the panel into
smaller groups of up to ten people. This approach allows for the accommodation of individual
schedules and organizes more manageable groups to make the process simpler and focused, thus
helping the facilitator and the groups to keep the SRA efficient. The disadvantage of an SRA with
multiple groups is that some synergy and interaction between different parties with varied views
may be lost. To mitigate this disadvantage, the final SRA meeting can be scheduled to have at
least one member of each group present to overcome the loss of interaction. This strategy also
avoids discussions focused to only one or two subgroups, while the other SRA panelists remain
silent and may lose motivation.
1. Opening Remarks,
Intros, Handouts,
& Agenda
things to avoid during the meetings (e.g., responding to text messages, answering phones, and
sidebar conversations). Only one person should speak at a time during the SRA.
risk mitigations resulting from discussions and convert those decisions into action. To improve
the quality of the SRA, the group should be asked “What went well?” and “What can we improve
on next time?”
The report will contain important details and may be used to guide discussions in other
meetings, particularly for decision making on risk mitigation actions that should be implemented
and the persons responsible for those actions.
Risk Value
Haz # Hazard Outcome Severity Likelihood Risk Value
1 Haz 1 11 Sev. 1 1 Lik. 1 1 RV. 1 1
12 Sev. 1 2 Lik. 1 2 RV. 1 2
2 Haz 2 21 Sev. 2 1 Lik. 2 1 RV. 2 1
3 Haz 3 31 Sev. 3 1 Lik. 3 1 RV. 3 1
Risk 2-1 (Medium Level of Risk): Performance of routine operations in the presence
of new structures erected to support construction work causing lack of situ-
ational awareness and potential accidents in ramp area affected by construction.
A table summarizing the parties responsible for implementing each risk mitigation action is
also desirable in this section.
17.3.2.5 Attachments
This section should include the risk matrix used to determine risk values, along with any
materials supporting the SRA (e.g., plans, procedures, and data).
CHAPTER 18
Facilitating an SRA
The facilitator should spend time with the airport staff in advance of the SRA. The time should
be spent accomplishing preparatory tasks and getting answers to important questions such as
• Learning about and understanding the reason for the SRA. What was the triggering event and
how does it fit into the existing system?
• What is the airport staff’s understanding of the issues associated with the SRA? What are the
underlying conditions, personalities, or hidden agendas that may surface during the SRA?
• Confirm the SRM processes, procedures, and templates to be used. Have these been agreed to
with any outside agencies who are participating? (e.g., FAA and airlines)
• Confirm the logistics associated with the SRA
– Dates
– Times
– Location (exact)
– Refreshments
– Projectors
– White boards and or white paper to capture notes in real time
– Responsibilities for documents, drawings, plans, and data
– Responsibilities for other logistics as needed
• If the triggering event is a construction project, the airport staff should provide a detailed
description of the project, including any preferences the staff may have with regard to project
phasing and priorities to tenant and airport impacts.
103
Sometimes, airport staff may be able to fill in certain templates as the SRA is being conducted.
However, this approach slows the process because members of the SRA panel begin to assist with
writing the details in the tables and report, rather than responding to questions and providing
information that supports decisions.
important. Alternately, panel members experienced with SRAs may have had a bad experience,
such as a protracted timeline, arguments among panel members, or poor data, which may arouse
negative feelings about the process. The briefing is an opportunity to demonstrate how this SRA
will be improved. Keep the mood professional and focused on the tasks at hand.
• Referring to the timeline prior to taking breaks and coming out of breaks so that panel members
see progress and can adjust accordingly
• Starting on time after breaks and refreshment periods
• Having a plan for how long each step in the process will take for discussion and decisions
• Asking panel members what can be done to ensure the process and the timeline proceeds
efficiently
• Calling time-out and reminding the panel members that their time is valuable and you, as
the facilitator, want to ensure it is not wasted. This may be necessary for those panels
members who insist on straying off topic and discussing matters that do not directly pertain
to the SRA
• Striving to prevent participants from skipping ahead. Following the process is critical to ensure
the best and most accurate results come from the SRA. Some SMEs who are participating on
the panel may want to skip ahead in the process and jump to conclusions. The facilitator must
recognize this and not allow it to happen
The best technique to ensure the timeline is followed is to keep the panel members focused on
the process. Gather the necessary information from them and ask for decisions. By leading the
process, the facilitator can help ensure that the SRA follows the agreed timeline.
• Allow some discussion, but be mindful of the schedule and call the panel members back if
need be. Some discussion is important because it gives the panel members an opportunity to
debate and perhaps discover issues that otherwise would not be mentioned
• Take breaks. When a break is finished, make it clear when the panel reconvenes as to where
they left off and what is coming next
As mentioned earlier, facilitation is more art than science. Each SRA panel will have a different
dynamic and the members will have different relationships with one another and perhaps bias
about the topic being assessed. To the extent possible, the facilitator should be aware of these
conditions in advance and understand how these conditions may affect the SRA process.
SRA panel members will sometimes want to assess risk based on the worst outcome of the
hazardous condition and not necessarily on the worst credible outcome. People tend to believe
that all hazardous conditions could lead to a catastrophic event. Although the worst can happen,
it may not represent what is reasonable or credible. The facilitator needs to challenge this by
specifically asking for data to support the panel’s assertion. Questions the facilitator should ask
include, “Is that truly what you expect to happen?” or “When was the last time that occurred?”
These are simple ways to challenge the panel without stifling discussion and interaction.
It is very difficult for the facilitator to both take notes and effectively
facilitate during the SRA. SRAs may benefit from having a recorder
or note taker to free the facilitator to focus on keeping the process
moving and productive.
At the conclusion of the SRA, all notes should be gathered and pulled into a draft report
as expeditiously as possible. This ensures the capture of the information while it is still “fresh”
in everyone’s minds. Refer to Appendix D for sample final report templates.
CHAPTER 19
110
APPENDIX A
The FAA may require some 14 CFR Part 139 certificated airports to develop and maintain
an SMS that encompasses aircraft movement areas of the airfield. The SMS should include
the four components: safety policy, safety risk management, safety assurance, and safety
promotion.
In addition to the “internal SMS” processes required by the FAA, there are some important
interfaces between Part 139 airports and the FAA lines of business, particularly Airports—ARP
and Air Traffic Organization—ATO, which are summarized in this guidebook. Figure A-1 illus-
trates the interactions among ARP, ATO, and the airport. Some areas are common to two of the
three elements; in some situations, all three SMS will interact. This section describes how these
elements may work together regarding SMS.
111
Figure A-1. SMS
interactions between FAA
and Part 139 airports.
the objectives defined by the airport and, in some cases, these objectives are documented in the
SMS manual. For example, a large airport established a safety objective of reducing by 40% the
monthly number of birdstrikes causing adverse effect to flights over a period of 2 years. Histori-
cal information collected from the FAA Wildlife Strike Database served as the baseline for future
improvements and actions were implemented to reduce the presence of species causing adverse
effects. The trend was monitored over a 2-year period, with additional measures implemented to
affect the presence of the most hazardous species and a reduction of 55% in the annual number
of serious birdstrikes was achieved after 2 years.
The SRM cycle does not end with the implementation of risk miti-
gation actions. Often, it is necessary to monitor both the effective-
ness of those actions and the risk level achieved to ensure risks
are and remain acceptable. Whenever it is identified that risk was
not controlled to acceptable levels, the SRM 5-step process should
be restarted.
Table A-1. FAA internal SMS triggers for airport operator involvement.
Some safety assurance processes used by the FAA, like Part 139 certification inspections, have
been in place for decades.
With the implementation of the FAA ARP’s internal SMS, some triggering actions for safety
assessments have been established and may require interactions with the airport operator, as
presented in Table A-1. Not all safety assessments will require a panel, and the FAA will inform
the airport about the need to convene a panel.
Note: sometimes, the FAA ARP can provide facilitation services, but this is handled on an
individual basis.
1. A project plan, change, or other approval is proposed by the airport or the FAA and a Safety
Assessment Screening (SAS) is required.
2. Documents and relevant information are reviewed by the FAA office overseeing or adminis-
tering the project.
3. The appropriate SAS form (Form 5200-8, 5200-9 or 5200-10) is initiated.
4. The airport sponsor and/or facilitator prepares a Proposal Summary and, when necessary,
submits this summary to other FAA offices and stakeholders to verify the effect on aviation/
airport safety and operations.
5. Based on the reviews, it is determined if an SRM Panel is required. If a panel is not required,
the project manager completes and signs the SAS form and the process stops.
6. If an SRM panel is necessary, the airport will be notified for coordination, to acquire a facilita-
tor and arrange the panel, and prepare the schedule. Additional safety data and analyses are
assembled by the FAA and the airport to support the SRM panel meeting.
7. The panel meeting is conducted using standard SRM processes and tools, and the discussions,
conclusions, and actions are reported.
8. The SAS Form is prepared, completed, and finalized prior to being signed by meeting partici-
pants, the airport sponsor, and the FAA; the process is then complete.
FAA’s SRMTS is an internal IT system to document and manage hazards and risks. With
this system, the FAA can keep track of hazards identified in its internal processes as well as
those involving airport changes and improvements and monitor risks and the implementa-
tion of actions associated with these risks. With this tool, the FAA can screen the SMS ele-
ments by risk level, risk category, risk priority, airport, and specific categories of mitigation
action.
APPENDIX B
SRM Handbook
The following material is designed to be customized, removed, and copied in order to provide
a 5- to 6-page handbook that is scalable for all airports. The information in these examples is
for illustration only. Each airport should use information pertinent to that airport. Having a
handbook for reference during an SRA, especially with a large panel of SMEs, has proven very
helpful. Individual roles and responsibilities of those conducting and participating in the SRM
process are also defined on Page 4 of this handbook. Note: this handbook is intended to assist
airports conducting a SRA by and for their own needs. It is not intended to replace the FAA
ARP process as defined in FAA Internal Order 5200.11 and explained further in the FAA ARP
SMS desk reference guide.
117
2. Idenfy Hazards
There may be mulple hazards associated with the system that is being evaluated. For example, a
construcon project may involve hazards such as FOD and the movement of haul trucks in airfield
areas.
3. Analyze Risk
Each hazard may have one or more outcomes (e.g. FOD may cause damage to aircra if ingested by
the engine, or it may cause injuries to construcon workers due to jet blast). NOTE: It is important to
idenfy exisng controls. The controls should be considered before assessing the level of risk prior to
other migaon acons that are not in place. SOP, ACs, safety plans, and regular inspecons are
examples of exisng controls (e.g., FOD control plan for a construcon project).
5. Migaon Acons
The high and medium risks should be controlled with migaon acons. Each risk may have one or
more migaon/control acons to reduce the risk to an acceptable level. An airport that is
experiencing high frequency of FOD may reduce the risk of accidents by taking addional measures
such as increasing frequency of maintenance and removal of debris with sweeper trucks, and
increasing the frequency of inspecons.
PAGE 1
C - Supporting Documentation/Information
Document Title (examples) Specific Document Responsible Party Status
1. Gate Assignments
2. e.g. Airline Operations #
3. e.g. Gate Layout (aircraft
restrictions)
4. e.g. Airline Scheduled Aircraft
5. e.g. Snow Removal Plan
6. Others
D Final Documentation
Section/Content Author/Owner Status
1. SRA Draft Report
2. SRA Review Team
3. SRA Final Report
4. SRA Signoff
5. SRA Submittal
6. Hazard Tracking
7. Hazard Status
8. Final Budget
PAGE 2
Extremely
L2 L7 L10 M16 M19
Remote
Extremely
L1 L6 L9 L11 M18
Improbable
Likelihood:
Frequently Occurs once every month or XXXX commercial operations or XXXXXX passenger enplanements
Probable Occurs once every year or XXXXX commercial operations or XXXXXXX passenger enplanements
Remote Occurs once every 5 years or XXXXXXX commercial operations or XXXXXXXXX passenger enplanements
Extremely
Occurs once every 10 years or XXXXXXX commercial operations or XXXXXXXXX passenger enplanements
Remote
Extremely Occurs once every 20 years or over XXXXXXXX commercial operations or XXXXXXXXXX passenger
Improbable enplanements
PAGE 3
SRA Airport Accountable Executive, Approve and or require the SRA to be conducted
Sponsor Safety Manager, Ensure it is conducted in accord with the airport’s
Department Head protocols
Participate as needed
Review and approve results
SRA Airport or consultant Consultant, Safety Lead the panel in accord with the documented
Facilitator (FAA led SRA may be Manager, other designee airport’s process
provided by the FAA) in the organization Ensure the five step SRM process is followed
correctly
Ensure the panel members participate as needed
Ensure the documentation is thorough and accurate
(this may be completed by the scribe; however the
facilitator needs to ensure it’s accomplished and
correct)
Note taker Airport’s responsibility Airport personnel and or Take all appropriate notes and documentation in
or scribe to ensure someone is consultant order to develop and provide the final SRA report
assigned the duty. Must which represents the SRA, decisions made, and
work hand in hand with actions taken.
the facilitator
PAGE 4
APPENDIX C
C-1 Introduction
This appendix presents templates to support risk assessments. The templates guide the user
through the necessary steps to conduct an SRA and identify the most important factors and
parameters in the process.
C-3 Categories
Many techniques may be used to identify hazards and conduct risk assessments. The tem-
plates present techniques for use by airport staff performing analyses of many common airport
issues. Techniques include
• Basic Risk Assessment
• Safety Risk Assessment (SRA)
• Comparative Safety Assessment (CSA)
• Bowtie
• What-if Analysis
123
An SMS Administrator could use this technique daily to make risk assessments of sim-
ple safety issues reported or identified during self-inspections. A formal report may not be
required. Having software to record the parameters presented in the template may be very
helpful to track implementation of actions and perform trend analysis. Table C-1 illustrates
this process.
The following are the parameters in the template:
Column 1—Describe the System
Describing the system limits the scope of the risk assessment. The system is often described
using the 5M Model, as follows:
• Mission: the specific airport activity (e.g., taxiway B reconstruction)
• Man: the personnel involved with the activity (e.g., construction workers and airport engi-
neering and operations staff )
• Machine: the equipment involved (e.g., trucks, pavers, and compactors)
• Media: the environment, including physical areas and ambient conditions (e.g., taxiway B
between taxiways J and N and haul routes)
• Management: organization, procedures, regulations, and advisory material (e.g., FAA ACs)
SOP, ACs, safety plans, and regular inspections are examples of existing controls (e.g., FOD
control plan for a construction project).
Column 4—Assess Level of Risk
In this column, the level of risk with the existing controls is estimated and recorded. In most
cases, a risk matrix will be used to estimate the risk. First, the user or the group will estimate
the worst credible consequence and then the likelihood of this occurring. In most cases, a code
consisting of a number (corresponding to the severity) and a letter (corresponding to the like
lihood) will be assigned to identify the level of risk. It is always helpful to use a background color
to identify if the risk is low (green), medium (yellow) or high (red). The colors will provide
quick identification of higher risks. For example, if using the risk matrix used by the FAA, a risk
level 2C represents a risk of hazardous consequences (2) and remote likelihood (C). A 2C risk
level is assumed to be a medium risk (yellow). If colors are not used, the risk may be characterized
as 2C-medium.
Column 5—Mitigation Actions
The high and medium risks should be controlled with mitigation actions. Each risk may have
one or more mitigation/control actions to reduce the risk to an acceptable level. An airport
experiencing high frequency of FOD on the runway may reduce the risk of accidents by tak-
ing additional measures (e.g., increasing frequency of maintenance and removal of debris with
sweeper trucks, planning runway rehabilitation, and increasing the frequency of inspections).
Column 5a—Reassess Level of Risk with Mitigation Actions in Place
This column is similar to Column 5; however, the new control actions are considered in order
to estimate the new level of risk when all mitigation actions are in place.
Column 3—Outcome
A short description of the outcome involved with the hazard. There may be one or more out-
comes associated with each hazard.
Column 4—Risk Mitigation Actions
Description of risk mitigation actions. There may be one or more recommended risk mitiga-
tion actions that the airport could implement.
Columns 5–9
Columns 5–9 indicate any involvement of a specific stakeholder to implement the specific
mitigation action. In the first line of the example table, the planning and design, as well as
the contractor staff are responsible for ensuring sweepers will be available at the construc-
tion site.
11 Poor visibility Lack of At night #1 Airlines use Aircraft Hazardous, Extremely #1: M16 – #1: Install #1:
on the highmasted wing walkers accident because of remote, Medium highmasted Hazardous
aircraft ramp lighting #1 Consistently and lighted with multiple because it lights and
11 exacerbated wands #1 another aircraft happened #2: M14 – Extremely
Faded lead at night #2 aircraft #1 being once in the Medium #2: Paint new Improbable
in lines at Airlines use damaged past 10 lead in lines and (changed
gates #2 wing walkers Aircraft and driving years #1 aircraft safety likelihood to
and lighted incident up $$$ #1 envelopes every 20
wands #2 with Remote, years) = L11
ground Major, because it – Low
Local NOTAM equipment because of happened
issued to #2 damage to within the #2:
airlines who only one past five Major and
operate at aircraft #2 years #2 Extremely
that airport; Remote
posted in all (changed
airline likelihood to
operations occurring
offices #3 every 10
years) = L1 –
Low
12 Desc. 1 2 … … … … … … … … …
21 Desc. 2 1 … … … … … … … … …
22 Desc. 2 2 … … … … … … … … …
23 Desc. 2 3 … … … … … … … … …
31 Desc. 3 1 … … … … … … … … …
41 Desc. 4 1 … … … … … … … … …
• Column 5—Existing Control or Requirement: Use this column to identify any measures in place
that will help mitigate the risks associated with the hazard (e.g., FAA Orders, binoculars).
• Column 6—Possible Outcome: The hazard may lead to an unsafe condition, which is described
in this column. The hazard may not necessarily be described in terms of consequences. There
may be one or more possible effects for each hazard (e.g., loss of separation and holding air-
craft interference with NAS equipment).
• Column 7—Severity Rationale: This column is used to justify the estimate of the worst
credible consequence. Often, a SME or group of experienced stakeholders may perform
the estimate.
• Column 8—Likelihood Rationale: Similar to Column 7, this column is used to justify the ratio-
nale used to obtain the estimate. A SME may have the experience to make the estimate, or it
may be estimated using available data for the airport.
• Column 9—Initial/Current Risk: In this column, the level of risk with the existing controls
in place is characterized. Usually, a risk matrix will be used to estimate the risk. The user or
the group will estimate the worst credible consequence and then the likelihood of it occur-
ring. Often, a code composed of a number (corresponding to the consequence) and a letter
(corresponding to the likelihood) will be assigned to identify the level of risk. It is always
helpful to use a background color to identify if the risk is low (green), medium (yellow),
or high (red). The colors will provide quick identification of higher risks. For example, if
using the risk matrix used by the FAA, a risk level 2C represents a risk of hazardous con-
sequences (2) and remote likelihood (C). A 2C risk level is assumed to be a medium risk
(yellow). If colors are not used, the risk may be effectively characterized as 2C-medium to
ensure understanding.
• Column 10—Recommended Safety Requirements: In this column, the list of control actions
to address the hazard should be included. Examples of controls to mitigate the risks for a
tower siting study might include pilot position reports and signage to avoid runway/taxiway
incursions.
• Column 11—Predicted Residual Risk: The residual risk is the risk level estimated if the controls
are implemented to reduce the current risk. The new control actions are considered in order
to estimate the residual level of risk when all mitigation actions are in place.
In addition to the CSA worksheet, a summary table can be used to help compare the alterna-
tives being evaluated. Each line represents one of the alternatives evaluated and numbering fol-
lows the order used in the CSA worksheet. Three columns present the number of hazards with
high, medium, and low risk for each alternative. The last column contains key justification for
selection or elimination of the alternative, as shown in Table C-5.
1 0 0 1 Recommended alternative
Eliminated because one of the medium risks
2 0 2 1
could not be further mitigated
C-7 Bowtie
The bowtie method of risk assessment is often used when quantitative data is available and
is an excellent tool for communication to management. The focus is a single undesirable event
(e.g., a runway/taxiway incursion at a specific hotspot or an aircraft overrun). The name origi-
nated from the basic shape of the analysis diagram, illustrated in Figure C-1.
The left side of the event (accident) is characterized as the fault tree and the right side as the event
tree. The knot of the bowtie is the undesirable event. The fault tree contains proactive controls that
act as safety barriers to prevent, control, or mitigate the chance that a hazard leads to an accident.
The event tree has proactive controls to mitigate the severity of consequences if an accident/incident
takes place, despite the proactive controls. The diagram helps illustrate the relationships among
hazards, controls, and consequences and supports a systematic approach for the risk assessment.
The following are the steps to conduct a bowtie risk assessment:
Hazards Consequences
Proactive Reactive
Haz #1 Controls Controls
Cons #1
PC #1 Undesired
Haz #2
Event
PC #2 RC #1
Haz #3
Accident RC #2 Cons #2
Haz #4 PC #3
RC #3
PC #4
Haz #5
Cons #3
Haz #6
an emergency plan, reduce emergency response time, improve ARFF training, and establish a
recovery plan for operations). Each reactive control may address one or more consequences
and each consequence may be mitigated with one or more reactive controls.
Figure C-2 illustrates the application of the bowtie method for an airport safety issue. The
undesirable event is an aircraft overrun.
APPENDIX D
SRM Templates
D-1 Introduction
The SRM templates support the SRM processes and procedures being developed by airports.
Each section presents templates by category and briefly explains their origin. The templates were
developed using MS Excel and Word templates to help airports in effective, efficient application
of SRM. These templates are scalable and include examples used during the SMS Pilot Studies.
There are explanations and an approach to developing individual airport-specific SRM tem-
plates along with these examples. The intent is not to require the use of any one template, but to
provide airport operators with options and an approach so that local philosophy and require-
ments can be incorporated into the SRM process.
132
2. Onsite Contact
3. Facilitation Date(s)
4. Location
5. Start Time (Airport Team)
6. Start /End Time SME Panelists
7. Documentation
8. Visual Aids
9. Agenda
10. Other Logistics
B – Stakeholder Names and Contacts
1. Facilitator
2. Meeting Coordinator
3. Consultants
4. Airport Ops/Safety
5. Airport Admin.
6. Airport Admin.
7. Airport ARFF/PD
8. Major Local Airline
9. Major Local Airline (Cargo)
10. Any Other Airline Stakeholders
11. FBO
12. Catering Company
Severity
Minimal Minor Major Hazardous Catastrophic
5 4 3 2 1
Likelihood
Frequent Low Risk Medi um Risk Medi um Risk High Risk High Risk
A
Probable Low Risk Medi um Risk Medi um Risk High Risk High Risk
B
Remote Low Risk Low Risk Medi um Risk High Risk High Risk
C
Extremely Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Medi um Risk High Risk
Remote
D
Extremely Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk Low Risk *
Improbable HalfHi
E gh/Half
* Unacceptable with Single Point and/or Common Cause Failures
High Risk
Medium Risk
Low Risk
Figure D-1. FAA ARP risk matrix as of July 22, 2013 (update to document:
Internal Order 5200.11 V2).
Acceptable Risk
Unacceptable Risk
Severity
No Safety
Minor Major Hazardous Catastrophic
Likelihood Risk
Extremely
L2 L7 L10 M16 M19
Remote
Extremely
L1 L6 L9 L11 M18
Improbable
Figure D-4. Risk matrix used by multiple SMS pilot study airports.
Figure D-4 presents another type of risk matrix similar to that in use by the FAA and developed
by consultants during the FAA Pilot Study. The cells are characterized by a letter representing
the risk acceptability (low, medium, and high) and a number that helps classify the risk within
the acceptability level: the higher the number, the higher the level of risk and the priority for
mitigation actions. The combination of the letter and number represents the Risk Assessment
Code (RAC).
In Figure D-4, each category of risk (e.g., Low, Medium, and High) is assigned a Risk Assess-
ment Code (RAC) to enhance risk identification and prioritization. The risk level numbers
increase within risk category from left to right, corresponding to increasing severity. Example:
A risk assessed to be a M14 will carry a higher priority than a risk assessed to be a M12. Both are
assessed to be Medium level of risk; however, the risk with the higher classification of severity
will take priority for mitigation actions.
Table D-3. Definitions for severity from the FAA ARP Internal Order 5200.11.
(OD), or
A Proximity Event (PE)
PD due to response to TCAS
Potential for PD due to TCAS
Corrective Resolution Advisory (CRA)
Flight crew receives TCAS Preventive Resolution Advisory (PRA) Near mid air collision (NMAC) results
issued advising crew to take vertical
Traffic Advisory informing of advising crew not to deviate from due to proximity of less than 500 feet
action to avoid developing conflict
nearby traffic or, present vertical profile, or from another aircraft or a report filed
with traffic, or Conditions resulting in a mid
Pilot Deviation (PD) where PD where loss of airborne by pilot or flight crew member that a
Flight Crew
Physical discomfort to
passenger(s) (e.g. extreme braking
Physical distress on
action; clear air turbulence causing
Flying Public
Risk on Loss of
Slight to moderate Loss of community Loss of state Loss of national
airport international
impact reputation reputation reputation
reputation reputation
Major damage
Noticeable damage Large damage
Slight damage is between Severe damage
Financial between between
less than $1,000,000 exceeds
loss $10,000 and $100,000 and
$10,000 and $10,000,000
$100,000 $1,000,000
$10,000,000
Table D-5. Definitions for severity from a medium-hub (SMS Pilot Study) airport.
No Safety
No injury No Damage No Impact No Impact
Risk
Table D-6. Severity definitions from a large-hub (SMS Pilot Study) airport.
Expected to occur
Probability of occurrence more than once per
Frequent
hour 1x10 3 months for an item system week 1-2 days departures, whichever
Probability of occurrence occurs sooner
per operation/operational
Expected to occur
hour 1x10 5 about once every
Probability of occurrence
Probable
250,000 departures,
hour 1x10 5 for an item system month times per month
whichever occurs
sooner
Expected to occur
Probability of occurrence Probability of occurrence about
Expected to occur Expected to occur Expected to occur Expected to occur once every year or
Remote
hour 1x10 5 but 1x10 an item’s lifecycle system’s lifecycle year 3 years hour 1x10 5, but 1x10 7 departures,
7 whichever occurs
sooner
Expected to occur
once
Extremely
Probability of occurrence Unlikely to occur, but Expected to occur Expected to occur Expected to occur Probability of occurrence
Remote
hour 1x10 7 but 1x10 9 lifecycle system’s lifecycle years 3 years hour 1x10 7 but 1x10 9 departures,
whichever occurs
sooner
Improbable
Probability of occurrence Unlikely to occur, but Expected to occur Expected to occur Probability of occurrence
per operation/operational be assumed that it per operation/operational Expected to occur <
it is possible in less than every 100 less than every
E
Table D-8. Quantitative criteria for likelihood (ACRP Report 1, Vol 2).
Table D-9. Quantitative criteria from a medium-hub (SMS Pilot Study) airport.
Likelihood:
Frequently Occurs once every month or 5,600 commercial operations or 336,000 enplanements
Probable Occurs once every year or 68,000 commercial operations or 4,000,000 enplanements
Remote Occurs once every 5 years or 340,000 commercial operations or 20,000,000 enplanements
Extremely Remote Occurs once every 10 years or 680,000 commercial operations or 40,000,000 enplanements
Extremely Improbable Occurs once every 20 years or over 1,360,000 commercial operations or 80,000,000 enplanements
Table D-10. Quantitative criteria from a non-hub (SMS Pilot Study) airport.
Likelihood:
Frequently Occurs once every month or 3,000 aircraft operations or 25,000 enplanements
Probable Occurs once every year or 34,000 aircraft operations or 300,000 enplanements
Remote Occurs once every 5 years or 170,000 aircraft operations or 1,500,000 enplanements
Extremely Occurs once every 10 years or 340,000 aircraft operations or 3,000,000 enplanements
Remote
Extremely Occurs once every 20 years or over 700,000 aircraft operations or 6,000,000 enplanements
Improbable
Severity:
People Assets Environmental Reputation
Loss of an aircraft/or over A spill or release that is An event or a series of
$1,000,000 dollars in not contained and results events resulting in the
Catastrophic Fatality+ damage/or loss of critical in long term damage to community NOT using XXX
system(s) for an extended the environment and fines for an extended period of
period of time. to the airport. time.
Damage to an aircraft taking
An event or a series of
it out of service for an A reportable spill or
events resulting in the
Severe Injury, extended period of time/or release that causes short
community lessening the
Hazardous requiring damage in excess of term damage to the
use of XXX causing
hospitalization $500,000/or disruption of environment and requires
negative (annual) financial
critical services for extended mitigation.
or operational impacts.
period of time.
Damage to an aircraft that is An event or a series of
Minor Injury
reparable/or damage to events resulting in the
requiring A reportable spill or
Major equipment or facility that is community lessening the
medical release that is contained.
reparable within a short use of XXX for a short
treatment
period of time. period of time.
Minor injury Minor damage to an aircraft, An event or a series of
not requiring equipment, or facility not A spill or release that does events resulting in the
Minor
medical requiring it to be taken out of not require a report. community questioning
treatment service the reliability of XXX.
No Safety Risk No injury No Damage No Impact No Impact
Note: This airport combined severity and likelihood into one table for ease of reference.
• Column 3a—Identify Existing Controls: This column is used to identify existing controls. It is
important to consider these controls before assessing the level of risk and developing other
mitigation actions. SOP, ACs, safety plans, and regular inspections are examples of existing
controls (e.g., FOD control plan for a construction project).
• Column 4—Assess Level of Risk: In this column, the level of risk with the existing controls is
estimated and recorded. In most cases, a risk matrix will be used to estimate the risk. Initially,
the user will estimate the worst credible outcome or risk and then the likelihood of that out-
come occurring. Usually, an alphanumeric code (a letter for likelihood and a number for
severity) will be assigned to identify the level of risk. It is helpful to use a background color to
identify if the risk is low (green), medium (yellow), or high (red). The colors allow for quick
identification of higher risks. For example, if using the FAA risk matrix, a RAC 2C represents
a risk of hazardous severity (2) and remote probability (C). A 2C risk level is assumed to be
a High risk (Red). If colors are not used, the risk may be described as 2C-High to ensure the
correct characterization.
• Column 5—Mitigation Actions: Any risk classified as a high level of risk must be mitigated
and cannot be accepted. Any medium risk level may be accepted, but should be controlled
with mitigation actions to the degree possible, given the airport resources. Each risk may
have one or more mitigation/control actions to reduce the risk to an acceptable level. An
airport experiencing high frequency of FOD on the runway may reduce the risk of accidents
by taking additional measures (e.g., increasing frequency of repairs and removal of the
debris with sweeper trucks or planning runway rehabilitation and increasing the frequency
of inspections).
• Column 5a—Reassess Level of Risk with Mitigation Actions in Place: This column is similar to
Column 5; however, the new control actions are considered to estimate the new level of risk
when all mitigation actions are in place. An example using this template is presented in the
guidebook.
Table D-12. (Example) Hazard table from large & medium-hub airports.
Risk Assessment
Result (Risk Remaining
# Hazard Outcome Severity Likelihood Level) Mitigation(s) Risk
1 Men and 1. Aircraft 1. Hazardous 1. Remote 1. M17 1. Marked and lighted 1. M16
equipment and vehicle 2. Hazardous 2. Extremely 2. M16 equipment 2. M16
working in accident Remote 2. Reflective vests on all
Taxiway N 2. Aircraft personnel in area
safety area and 3. FAA ATC ground radios
pedestrian in vehicles and actively
accident monitored
4. Airport Ops personnel
bi hourly inspections and
actively monitoring radio
traffic.
2 XXXX 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1.
2. 2. 2. 2. 2. 2.
In Table D-12, the hazards are numbered. There can, and most likely will, be multiple effects
associated with each hazardous condition. In this table each risk is tracked through the risk
assessment process, mitigations are considered which may address multiple risks, and a risk reas-
sessment is conducted and documented to determine the residual level of risk post mitigation.
The RAC is highlighted to indicate the level of risk (in this case yellow, representing medium).
In most cases, mitigations decrease the likelihood of the risk, not the severity. Severity can be
reduced (e.g., wearing a helmet while riding a motorcycle).
In Table D-13, the smaller airport elected to provide the same level of information as provided
in Table D-12 by using fewer cells and combining the information often presented in multiple
Remaining
Hazard Outcome Risk Assessment Mitigation
Risk
1. Pedestrians on the Impact to Severity – Minor 1. The FBO provides designated walking paths. MEDIUM
airfield pedestrians personal injury 2. The FBO escorts all pedestrians to and from
GA.
3. The FBO and the XXXX maintain visual
Likelihood – contact with all pedestrians while they are
Probable on the airfield.
4. The FBO train all staff from other airports.
Medium Risk 5. The FBO maintains a list of between 5 and
10 employees from other airports. Only
those employees are allowed to work on
major event days.
2.
3.
Table D-14. Hazard table from a comparative risk assessment (FAA ATO).
EC #3 LRat. #3 RSR #3
12 Desc. 1 2 … … … … … … … … …
21 Desc. 2 1 … … … … … … … … …
22 Desc. 2 2 … … … … … … … … …
23 Desc. 2 3 … … … … … … … … …
31 Desc. 3 1 … … … … … … … … …
41 Desc. 4 1 … … … … … … … … …
A Guidebook for Safety Risk Management for Airports
cells. This airport also elected to use color coding to provide a visual cue for the reader (yellow
representing a medium RAC).
In Table D-14, the CRA is used by the FAA ATO in tower siting studies and SRM panels for
proposed changes to the NAS. Table D-14 provides a more granular level of information than
Tables D-12 and D-13. This approach can mitigate causes and system state factors, thus chang-
ing the hazard condition rather than only mitigating the risks. An example of this: A hazardous
condition exists on a commercial aircraft ramp at night because it is dark. By simply lighting the
ramp with highmasted ramp lights, in accord with ACs, the hazardous condition has changed;
the hazard probability of the possible effect of a vehicle—aircraft accident occurring has been
lessened.
1. Training: controllers, airfield XXX (airport) operations work with Plan complete by XXX, XXXX
Copyright National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
2. Improve communications: XXX operations will address updating All to be completed and in place by XXX, XXXX
determine… publications
XXX operations will create diagram
and advertise at FBOs
XXX ATCT will assist with departure
card content and provide to XXX
operations
3. Facility: install Runway guard XXX planning and engineering Runway guard light investigation should be concluded with a report of results by XXX,
lights… departments will investigate… XXXX
4. System changes – Ground The XXX ATCT management will Form the working group by XXX, XXXX.
based radar… investigate the status of ground based
radar for XXX. Provide an interim report of findings by XXX, XXXX
XXX operations and XXX ATCT
management will form a working Make a recommendation for… XXX, XXXX
group to investigate if there’s any
benefit to pursuing video cameras and
camera analytics…
5. Add a brochure to foreign air Individuals named (due to contract Provide an interim report by XXX, XXXX
carriers… issues) will investigate the necessary
contents of a brochure and discuss
this issue with XXX property
department for inclusion in LOA.
A Guidebook for Safety Risk Management for Airports
1.
2.
3.
4.
1 (mitigations are numbered to Specific individuals are Includes any milestone dates.
correspond with the hazard, risk, named.
and mitigation table)
Presented by:
Authored by:
Table of Contents
NOTE: insert a table of contents here for the report as necessary.
Introduction
The introduction should include the reason (trigger) for the SRA, a brief description of what
is to be assessed, and who is taking the lead or sponsoring the SRA.
The introduction should also summarize the process that will be used. Because each airport
may have a slightly different way of working the SRA process, here is one example:
The SRA facilitation and subsequent documentation is based on the 5-Step Safety Risk Assessment
process plus a 6th step for monitoring. The six steps are
1. Define the System,
2. Identify the Hazards,
3. Analyze the Risk (Effect),
4. Assess the Risk (through use of a risk matrix),
5. Treat/mitigate the Risk,
6. Mitigation and Monitoring Plan, mitigating the risk also includes a monitoring plan that assigns
tasks, timelines, and responsibility for implementation and management.
Background
The background should include what led to the SRA. The background section should describe
the actions, reference regulations, and outline how the airport is authorized to conduct the SRA
(i.e., if the airport developed and implemented an SMS program and the SRM component of
that program requires an SRA to be conducted). The timeline for the SMS development and
implementation should be referenced. Any additional information pertinent to the SRA (e.g.,
any interaction between FAA ATCT and the airport staff that jointly identified this need) should
be noted.
Logistics
The logistics should include the date, time, location, and panel members and should briefly
mention responsibilities (e.g., facilitation, documentation, and results acceptance).Table D-X
provides an example.
Overall System
In order to focus the discussion, the panel agreed to bound the system and discussion specifi-
cally to the issue that was identified . . . The system . . .
The panel employed the 5-M Model as a guide to define the system. The 5-M Model is:
1. Mission
2. Management
3. Machine
4. huMan
5. environMent
Following are examples of the 5-M Model:
Mission
1.1.1 The airfield is intended to provide for the safe movement of aircraft on the ground and
during takeoff and landing.
a. One or two sentence brief statement.
Management
1.1.2 FAA ATCT SOPs
a. Describe what processes and procedures one of the stakeholders has that need to be
accounted for. Such as FAA ATCT procedures.
1.1.3 The Airport’s Air Operations Area (AOA) Rules and Regulations
a. Describe what processes and procedures one of the stakeholders has that need to be
accounted for. Such as the Airport’s procedures.
Machine
1.1.4 Aircraft
a. Describe what machines need to be accounted for. Use the number of them if it is
appropriate.
b. Aircraft operations (example)
c. Type of aircraft (example)
1.1.5 Airport Maintenance and Operations Vehicles
a. Vehicles (example)
1.1.6 FAA Vehicles
a. Vehicles: airport snow removal, fuelers, FAA tech ops (examples).
1.1.7 Runways and Taxiways
a. Runway XXX
huMan
1.1.8 Airport Operations and Maintenance Personnel
a. Operations Managers
b. Break it down if needed
1.1.9 Pilots
a. Airlines (example)
1.1.10 FAA
a. ATCT personnel (example)
b. Tech ops personnel (example)
EnvironMent
1.1.11 Weather
a. Note if the condition being assessed is contingent upon the weather
1.1.12 Time of Day
1.1.13 Time of Year
1.1.14 Other
a. Terminal area (example)
b. Parking garage (example)
c. Public roads (example)
visibility, AC, AC to V) Catastrophic Improbable 1B = M Operations), flight crews (chief pilots) for accuracy of 1B = M
human 2. Incursion 1B – People – 1B – Extremely 1C = M location reporting could include discussion with station 1C = M
accuracy, etc. 3. Deviation (Pilot or V) Catastrophic Improbable 2A = L manager’s level of awareness training. Situational 2ª = L
(including 4. Delay in operations 1C – Reputation – 1C – Extremely 3A = L awareness to be emphasized. Training focus on staff 3ª = L
erroneous Major Improbable 4A = M that are based at XXX. 4ª = L
information) 2A – Reputation –
Minor
2A Remote
3A – Extremely
D – Improved communications, add
information to Airport Facility Directory; no
3A – Reputation – Remote
ground radar available, add to Jeppesen chart
Minor 4A – Frequent
notes, airport 5010 form, in publications (in
4A – Reputation –
general) for safety notes. Advertise at FBOs.
Minor
Issue airport diagram for all pilots. Automatic
terminal information system (ATIS). Include
the communication in special event cards, i.e.
knee board cards/departure cards add
information on the specific area’s challenges.
D – Facility – install in pavement runway guard
lights. This mitigation requires further
investigation. Future planning consideration
for expansion of the Northeast side of airfield.
4 – System changes – Ground based radar, video
cameras, camera analytics.
Mitigation Plan
The mitigation action plan identifies the item to be investigated and/or deployed; the responsi-
ble party for implementing the investigation, documentation, reporting; and the completion date.
Table X. Mitigation plan (example from a SMS pilot study airport).
Title: Title:
Date: Date:
Signature:
Title:
Date:
Likelihood:
Frequently Occurs once every month or 5,600 commercial operaons or 336,000 enplanements
Probable Occurs once every year or 68,000 commercial operaons or 4,000,000 enplanements
Remote Occurs once every 5 years or 340,000 commercial operaons or 20,000,000 enplanements
Extremely Remote Occurs once every 10 years or 680,000 commercial operaons or 40,000,000 enplanements
Extremely Occurs once every 20 years or over 1,360,000 commercial operaons or 80,000,000
Improbable enplanements
Severity:
People Assets Environmental Reputaon
A spill or release that An event or a series
Loss of an aircra/or over
is not contained and of events resulng in
$1,000,000 dollars in
results in long term the community NOT
Catastrophic Fatality+ damage/or loss of crical
damage to the using XXX for an
system(s) for an extended
environment and fines extended period of
period of me
to the airport. me.
Damage to an aircra An event or a series
taking it out of service for of events resulng in
Severe Injury, an extended period of A reportable spill or the community
Hazardous requiring me/or damage in excess release that requires lessening the use of
hospitalizaon of $500,000/or disrupon migaon. XXX causing negave
of crical services for (annual) financial or
extended period of me operaonal impacts.
An event or a series
Damage to an aircra that
of events resulng in
Minor Injury is reparable/or damage A reportable spill or
the community
Major requiring medical to equipment or facility release that is
lessening the use of
treatment that is reparable within a contained.
XXX for a short period
short period of me.
of me.
An event or a series
Minor damage to an
Minor injury not A spill or release that of events resulng in
aircra, equipment, or
Minor requiring medical does not require a the community
facility not requiring it to
treatment report. quesoning the
be taken out of service
reliability of XXX.
No Safety Risk No injury No Damage No Impact No Impact
Severity
No Safety
Minor Major Hazardous Catastrophic
Risk
Extremely
L2 L7 L10 M16 M19
Remote
Extremely
L1 L6 L9 L11 M18
Improbable
was carried out, towing procedures and each step of aircraft towing and phases were discussed to
identify activities. This preliminary step assisted in facilitating the identification of hazards asso-
ciated with each step and activity. Following the initial meeting, the SRA panel proceeded with
additional analysis and prepared a draft report for review by the participants of the panel.
List of Participants: Name and affiliation of seven participants
3. References
• FAA AC 150/5200-37, Introduction to Safety Management Systems for Airport Operators
• FAA Order 5200.11, FAA Airports (ARP) Safety Management System
• XXX Safety Management System Manual (2008)
• ACRP Report 1—Safety Management Systems for Airports—Volume 2: Guidebook
After estimating the risks and the likelihood, this information is used to classify risk according
to XXX Risk Matrix, which follows that presented by the FAA in Order 5200.11. Risk classifica-
tion is necessary to identify how serious is the risk and to define the priorities to treat these risks.
Step 5—Treat and monitor risk
Risk treatment alternatives should address the risk probability, the risk severity, or both.
More detailed information on these steps is described in ensuing sections of this report.
(see Attachments A and B). These include escorting, coordination, training and SOPs activities
performed by XXX staff and the Flight School staff. Towing operations usually take place in the
ramp area and inside the hangars of XXX airport.
Current
Treated
Activity Hazards Effect (previously Risk) Risk Control Actions
Risk
Level
Work order Errors in work Damage to aircraft, injury to Recheck tow order data
verbal or written order persons, damage to facilities before initiating tow actions
containing and equipment
aircraft data, Low Low
location and
planned tow
route
Assign tow crew Inexperienced Damage to aircraft and injury Provide training
operator to persons, damage to
Fatigue facilities, and equipment Medium Low Promote awareness
Training
Awareness
Assign tow crew Insufficient crew Damage to aircraft, facilities Mandate at least 2 crew
staff and equipment, and injury to staff to each aircraft tow
Medium Low
Sense of persons by SOPs
urgency/pressure
Select tow Equipment Damage to aircraft Mark towing safety rules
equipment maintenance Injury to persons on tug
Obstructed
visibility Add to SOP’s, clean
Low Low windshield of tug
Improper tow bar
Mark tow bars with list
of aircraft that can be
towed
Select tow Obstructed Injury to persons Improve awareness
equipment visibility Medium Low Place safety/operating
checklist in tugs
Position tug and Careless driving Damage to aircraft, injury to Promote awareness
hook up Approach aircraft persons, damage to facilities Medium Low
too fast Review SOP
Tow aircraft Driving careless Damage to aircraft and Review SOP and training
facilities, injury to persons Medium Low
Current
Treated
Activity Hazards Effect (previously Risk) Risk Control Actions
Risk
Level
Maneuver aircraft Hangar doors not Damage to aircraft and Already addressed by
in/out of hangar fully open facilities, injury to persons XXX, use reflective
Medium Low materials on hangar
doors and include
recheck in SOP
Multiple Damage to aircraft and Training and recurrent
command orders facilities, injury to persons Low Low
training
Lack of Damage to aircraft and Training and recurrent
conspicuity of facilities, injury to persons Medium Low training. SOPs
obstacles
Promote awareness
Park and secure Lack of visible Damage to aircraft and Medium Low Implement centerline
aircraft centerline marking facilities, injury to persons markings outside hangar
8. Attachments
• XXX Towing Procedures
• XXX FBO Towing Procedures
• Pictures of Accidents
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Brainstorming Tool
Figure 2: Risk Matrix
Figure 3: XXX AOA and Deicing Pads
Figure 4: Risk Reduction
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: SRA Panel Participants
Table 2: Likelihood Classification Criteria
Table 3: Severity Classification Criteria
Table 4: Safety-Significant Activities
Table 5: Safety-Significant Activities—Anchor Elements
Table 6: Hazards, Risks and Risk Values
Introduction
Background
The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) is conducting a Part 139 Safety Management System
(SMS) Implementation Study. This study serves as a continuation of the Airport SMS Pilot Studies.
The intent of the current implementation study is to examine how airports can implement
the SMS pillars of safety risk management (SRM) and Safety Assurance throughout their airfield
environment including the aircraft movement and non-movement areas. The study will also
evaluate the validity of SMS documentation developed during the first pilot studies.
Scope
This report outlines the conduct of a safety risk assessment (SRA) that is part of the FAA Pilot
Study on SMS. The focus areas for this SRA are Winter Weather Operations and this risk assess-
ment was conducted to address only hazards in the aircraft movement and non-movement areas
of the airport as applicable.
Methodology
General
The approach followed for the execution of the risk assessment is in line with the phases of
SRM described in the FAA Advisory Circular: AC 150/5200-37—Introduction to Safety Manage-
ment Systems for Airport Operators, namely:
1. Describe the System
2. Identify the Hazards
3. Determine the Risk
4. Assess and Analyze the Risk
5. Treat the Risk (i.e. mitigate, monitor and track)
The execution of these phases was achieved by conducting some facilitated workshops held at
XXX. Participants in these workshops are provided in the following section.
… … …
Workshop Participants
The individuals indicated in the table represented XXX Airport and other airport stake-
holders and provided SMEs support with respect to the risk assessment focus areas and SRA
facilitation.
During the workshops, members of the facilitation team guided the XXX stakeholders through
the SRM process described below and documented the SRA.
• People
• Equipment
• Materials
• Environment
• Procedures
For each of these elements the attributes specific to the system in question were used as a guide
(e.g. type of equipment used, personnel in the area, etc.).
Based on these “what could go wrong?” scenarios, the facilitation team and XXX stakeholders
were able to identify the conditions or situations that could create adverse safety risks to the
airport (i.e. hazard).
A brainstorming tool developed by the facilitation team was used to facilitate the identifica-
tion of hazards. This tool is provided below.
Extremely
So unlikely, it can be assumed that it will not
Improbable Expected to occur less than every 100 years
occur in an item’s life cycle
E
Following the assignment of likelihood and severity values, each risk was assigned a value
based on the risk matrix given in FAA National Policy, Order 5200.11—FAA Airports (ARP)
Safety Management System.
Physical Description
Both XXX aircraft movement and non-movement areas are affected by winter weather opera-
tions. It may involve any runway(s), taxiway(s) and ramp(s) where aircraft can be de-iced and
where airfield areas require to be cleaned or treated for winter surface contaminants (e.g. snow, ice,
slush). The following are the main categories associated with winter weather operations at XXX:
• Airfield operational areas
• Snow removal and deicing equipment staging areas
• Storage of surface treatment material
Functional Description
There are several activities that are associated with winter weather operations at XXX, includ-
ing the following categories:
• Aircraft inspection and deicing operations
• Snow and ice removal
• Treatment of airfield areas contaminated with ice/snow
• Airfield condition assessment
• ...
These functions are managed and performed by specific groups of XXX staff and stakeholders,
including the following:
• Snow and Ice Control Committee (XXX staff, tenants, and FAA ATC collaboration) convened
at the beginning of winter weather season in October then whenever a winter weather emer-
gency is declared for XXX Airport with continuing communications as needed
• XXX Operations Department
– Airfield Operations
– SMS Coordinator
– AOC
• Asset Management
• . . .
Environment
Operational
During winter weather operations several organizations and XXX staff will be performing
duties in the AOA specifically related to winter weather operations and will be transiting with
various vehicles and equipment.
During special inspections and aircraft deicing operations there will be personnel on foot
performing activities in certain areas where aircraft and vehicles may also be present.
Weather
Low temperatures and frozen precipitation are likely conditions during operations with winter
weather conditions. The airport area is susceptible to snow and icing conditions, typically from
November through March.
Wind
The prevailing winds at XXX are from the south and they average 5 to 10 mph. However,
quadrant changes and gusts of 50 mph and above are not uncommon.
Snow
Accumulation with an annual average of 43 inches.
Ice
From October to April it can be expected that temperatures fall below 32°F and ice is encountered.
Behavioral Influences
The following key stressors, which could negatively influence human performance, are pos-
sible within the environment of the working area:
Psychological Stressors
Restricted operations under hazardous conditions for aircraft, vehicles and people create an
environment prone to many psychological stressors.
Physical Stressors
Very low temperatures, frozen contaminants, deicing fluids and poor visibility will also influ-
ence the working environment.
Physiological Stressors
Early shifts, night shifts, weekend shifts, changing working hours, long working hours, very
intensive work conditions.
Safety-Significant Activities
Once a description of the system to be assessed was achieved, the hazard identification
process was started. As described in the methodology section earlier, the hazards are identi-
fied from safety-significant activities, which are derived by the SMEs from the system char-
acteristics above. In this analysis, the SMEs were participants of the workshops held at XXX
airport.
The following list is the summary of the key safety-significant activities identified by the SMEs:
Dependencies
During the brainstorming sessions, participants were reminded of the following anchor
elements:
Based on these anchor elements, participants were able to generate some system dependen-
cies to consider during the hazard identification process. A sample of some of the dependencies
identified can be found in the sections below.
Personnel
Presence of
• XXX staff that is unfamiliar with the Aircraft Movement Area (AMA) and FAA ATC
coordination
• Airline personnel operating deicing equipment that has limited experience working in
the AOA
• . . .
Equipment
Aircraft
• Propeller/Turbine
• Low profile turbine
• Others
Vehicles/Equipment
• Aircraft deicing equipment
• Snow/ice removal and control equipment
• Airfield operations vehicles
• Others
Operational
• Push/tow tractors
• Baggage tractors
• Others
Service vehicles
• Fuel trucks
• Catering trucks
• Maintenance vehicles
• Others
Service Equipment
• Baggage carts
• Cargo dollies
• ULDs
• Others
Other
• Radios
• Telecommunications equipment
• Others
Procedures
• Procedures associated with the safety-significant activities
Materials
• Snow and ice
• Water
• Type I deicing fluid
• Type II deicing fluid
• Type IV deicing fluid
• Sand
• Others
Environment
• Open Area
• Snow
• Ice
• Wind
Results
Hazards, Risks and Risk Values
The following is a summary of the Hazards, Effect (previously Risks), Risk Severities (S) and
Probabilities (P) and Risk Values (V) identified during the workshops. Risk Values are given as
High (H) in red; Medium (M) in yellow; and Low (L) in green. These risk levels are associated
with the risk matrix presented in XXX SMS Manual.
The list is sorted in descending order from the highest to the lowest risk value.
4. Air crew unfamiliarity with deicing pad Aircraft to aircraft or deicing equipment collision
E 1 M
layout/operations
5. Miscommunication during emergency Delay in response to an emergency resulting in personnel or
call due to equipment failure passenger fatality E 1 M
6. … … … … M
7. Non standardized training program Shortcomings on the delivery of existing training leading to
E 2 L
equipment failure and damage or personnel injury
8. Improper training for winter operation Equipment damage/personnel injury
D 3 L
equipment
9. ... … … … L
Mitigating Actions
Once the risk values were determined, a second evaluation took place in light of the mitigating
actions associated with the winter weather operations at XXX and other actions XXX will put in
place to control the identified risks.
The following table provides a summary of the information derived for each hazard, associ-
ated risk and mitigating actions used to reduce the risk value. The information is presented in
the following format:
Considerations
In some instances, despite the existence of mitigating actions, the risk value presented remains
unchanged. This is because the granularity of the matrix suggested by the FAA does not allow
for capturing differences within each bracket. For example, if the probability of an identified
risk is that it may be expected to occur every 10 years, as per the matrix a probability “D” would
be assigned. If mitigating actions implemented are deemed to reduce this probability to occur
every 90 years, as per the matrix a value of “D” would remain, even though the probability has
been reduced ninefold.
2 Hazard Runway snow removal covering only central portion of runway width
Effect Lateral deviations during landing and takeoff and snow windrows causing asymmetric drag on landing gears and
potential lateral runway excursions
Risk Value 1 D HIGH
Mitigating actions PIREPS Airlines internal training program
Special inspections Snow & Ice Committee meetings
Revised Risk Value 1 E MEDIUM
Recommended further Increase snow removal capability to reduce probability of partial snow removal
mitigating actions
Conclusions
Main Hazards
The key hazards identified in this analysis as a result of winter weather conditions at XXX can
be summarized as follows:
1. Potential runway excursions as result of the following hazards:
a. Low runway surface friction due to snow/ice accumulated due to partial snow/ice removal
or severe weather conditions surpassing XXX capability to remove winter contaminants
b. Inaccurate reporting of runway surface conditions
c. Inaccurate assessment of runway conditions
d. Partial removal of winter contaminants leaving snow banks, drifts or windrows leading to
differential drag of landing gear during aircraft operations
2. Loss of situational awareness due to working conditions
a. Pressure to maintain operational capacity
b. Exposure to low temperatures, winter precipitation, high noise and possible low visibility
and/or night conditions
c. Need to coordinate with operators of snow/ice control equipment
d. Fast paced and changing work environment
e. Non-routine working conditions
f. Obscured markings and lights making it harder to get oriented in the airfield
g. Increased communication traffic
h. High density of personnel, equipment and aircraft in operational areas (e.g. de-ice pads)
Effect Categories
The major effects categories associated with winter weather operations at XXX can be sum-
marized as follows:
1. Runway excursion accidents (overruns and veer-offs) due to poor runway surface friction
conditions or asymmetric braking and drag
2. Runway incursion accidents due to loss of situational awareness
3. Aircraft/vehicle/equipment/personnel collisions due to loss of situational awareness under
winter weather conditions and limited experience of staff working under such conditions
4. . . .
Mitigation Actions
A series of mitigating actions have been identified to control risks associated with winter weather
operations at XXX. The key actions as they refer to the summary risks described above are:
Risk #1: Runway overruns and veer offs due to poor runway fricon condions resulng from winter
weather contaminants and leading to major accidents
Migaon Acons
XXX Winter Weather Operaons Manual
Snow & Ice Commiee meengs
XXX Movement Area Familiarizaon Manual
XXX Policy Radio Standards AO.006.00
XXX Policy Runway Crossing by Authorized Ground Vehicles
…
Risk #4: …
…
Risk Value
As result of applying the identified mitigating actions, and their effect on the risk values, the
following conclusions can be drawn:
1. There are no “unacceptable” (HIGH) risks
2. The overall risks associated with XXX winter weather operations can be effectively mitigated
using procedural measures developed by XXX and the airlines
3. Additional measures targeting specific risks can further reduce the probability and/or severity
of airside accidents during winter weather conditions. These measures are recommended in
the ensuing section of this report
4. Figure X summarizes the potential risk levels with and without mitigation actions adopted.
Significant improvements to safety associated with winter weather conditions at XXX can be
achieved with the actions presented in this SRA.
High, 0
100.0% High,
21 Medium
30
80.0%
Medium
21
60.0%
Low
40.0%
Low 59
47
20.0%
0.0%
Original With Mitigation Actions
Recommendations
Further Mitigating Actions
Many risk mitigating actions and procedures listed in previous sections were already imple-
mented by XXX. This section describes additional measures to further reduce risk levels when
winter weather conditions arise.
1. Upgrade snow removal equipment to increase XXX capacity
2. Retrofit radios to accommodate headsets plugs
3. Develop standardized training program for winter weather operations and provide refresher
training during the fall
4. . . .
Monitoring
It is recommended that XXX ensures that the actions are implemented and monitored for
effectiveness over an appropriate period. If monitoring reveals that any action is not effective,
new actions should be developed and implemented to maintain the identified risk at an accept-
able level.
APPENDIX E
Airfield Construction
179
Excavation close to utilities and Power and system FAA AC; CSPP; Part 139; excavation plan/
cables outages, collisions, SOP and onsite supervision; daily shift
runway/taxiway briefings; hand digging until utilities/cables
incursions and excursions located
Generation of debris to operational FOD damage SOP; FAA AC; CSPP; Part 139; training; FOD
areas patrols; sweepers; wheel wash stations
Loose maintenance tools and parts FOD damage SOP; CSPP; FAA AC; Part 139; FOD patrols;
escorts following vehicles
NAVAIDS
Construction workers unaware of Aircraft accident, NAVAID SOP; CSPP; Part 139; Part 77; Air Traffic
NAVAIDS restrictions damage Orders; training; onsite supervision; FAA AC
Proximity of construction vehicles to Aircraft accident, NAVAID SOP; CSPP; Part 139; Part 77; Air Traffic
NAVAIDS damage Orders; training; onsite supervision; FAA AC
Changes to airside aircraft traffic Runway/taxiway SOP, NOTAMs; Part 139; Air Traffic Orders;
patterns due to construction incursion, surface FAA AC; CSPP
incident, collision
Trash from Construction
Trash as wildlife attractants Wildlife strikes SOP, NOTAMs; Part 139; FAA AC; CSPP;
FOD/ trash patrols
Generation of FOD FOD damage SOP; CSPP; Part 139; FAA AC; FOD patrols
Wildlife Movement
Installation of temporary gates Wildlife strikes Guards; Part 139; Wildlife Hazard
Management Plan (WHMP); CSPP; FAA AC;
TSA Part 1542; SOP
Temporary removal of fences Wildlife strikes Guards; Part 139; WHMP; CSPP; FAAAC;
TSA Part 1542; SOP
Drainage
Construction debris obstructing FOD damage Part 139; CSPP; FAA AC; SOP
drainage systems
Excavation close to utilities and other Circuit light outages on FAA AC; CSPP; Part 139; excavation plan and
systems AOA onsite supervision; daily shift briefings;
hand digging until utility/cables located;
SOP
Flooding or ponding in movement FOD damage, closed CSPP; Part 139; FAA AC; SOP; sweepers on
areas areas resulting in delay in call
operations
Wildlife Hazards
Personnel
Trash in open areas FOD, wildlife strikes SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Wildlife
Hazard Management Plan (WHMP); Part 139
Trays, bags and trash from FOD, wildlife strikes SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Wildlife
catering services Hazard Management Plan (WHMP); Part 139
Loose flight line items (wheel FOD damage SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Part 139
chalks, badges, pens, tags, etc.)
Other
Loose branches and vegetation FOD damage SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Part 139
Rain water and drainage FOD damage SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Part 139
streaming mud, pebbles and
other debris
Pieces of aircraft tires or parts FOD damage SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Part 139;
NOTAM’s
Winter contaminants (snow, ice) FOD, runway excursion, SOP; FAA AC; FOD patrols; training; Part 139;
surface accident Environmental regulations; Snow Plan for
aircraft deicing; NOTAMs
Airfield Configuration
Construction and temporary Runway/taxiway incursion, CSSP; Part 139; ATIS; NOTAM’s; training; Air
markings, signs and lighting surface accident, collision Traffic Orders; Letter of Agreement; FAA AC;
SOP
Deficient airfield driver training Runway/taxiway incursion, Part 139 recurrent driver training;
surface accident, collision Airport/City policies on punishment; FAA AC;
SOP
Deficient taxi route planning Runway/taxiway incursion Part 139; Air Traffic Orders; Letter of
Agreement; ATIS; NOTAMs; “standard taxi
routes” chart publishing; signage, lighting,
marking; FAA AC; SOP
Temporary closures, Runway/taxiway incursion, Part 139; Air Traffic Orders; Letter of
construction, and changes in surface accident, collision Agreement; ATIS; NOTAMs; “standard taxi
status of NAVAIDS routes” chart publishing; signage, lighting,
marking; CSPP; training; maps provided to
airport departments, construction crews and
airlines, FBOs and pilots; FAA AC; SOP
Winter Operations
Slippery surfaces Surface accident, collision Part 139; FAA AC; SOP; training; pre check
tow route and sand/treat
Training
Deficient training of personnel Environmental impact, SOP; FAA AC; Part 139; use of other qualified
involved with deicing collision, surface accident personnel
Snow clearing crews and Surface accident, collision Escorts; close runway and taxiways to be
equipment in movement areas cleared; NOTAMs; conference call briefing;
ATIS; training; SOP; FAA AC
Deficient communication between Surface accident, collision Training; SOP; FAA AC; onsite supervision
snow clearing crews and and monitoring
airport/airfield operations crews
Deficient SMGCS training Surface accident, collision Training; SMGCS Plan review; SOP; FAA AC;
use escorts
Lighting, Marking, Signage
Deficient conspicuity of markings, Surface accident, collision Part 139; FAA AC; SOP
lights and signs
Out of service obstruction lights Surface accident, collision Part 139; FAA AC; SOP
Equipment and Stockpiling
Large equipment parked on/near Collision Part 139; FAA AC; SOP; Part 77; training
safety areas
Large stockpiles of snow on/near Collision Part 139; FAA AC; SOP; Part 77; training;
safety areas Snow Plan
Snow accumulated in proximity of Aircraft accident, loss of Part 139; FAA AC; SOP; Part 77; training
NAVAIDS operational capabilities
Ruts or wash outs and ponding Runway excursions Part 139; FAA AC; SOP
of water
Severe Weather
Airside Driving
APPENDIX F
Runway/Taxi Towered airports 2.5 runway/taxiway incursions per day GAO, 2008 Partial data
way Incursion in the U.S. from 2008
Towered airports 1 incursion per 167,000 operations GAO, 2008 1998 to 2007
Towered airports 1 collision per 37,500,000 operations FAA, 2004 2000 to 2003
Towered airports 1 fatality per 65,500,000 operations FAA, 2004 2001 to 2003
197
Birdstrikes Birdstrikes with damage to 1 birdstrike with damage to FAA, 2012 1990 to 2011
commercial aircraft commercial aircraft per 75,200
movements
Birdstrikes with damage to 1 birdstrike with damage to GA aircraft FAA, 2012 1991 to 2011
GA aircraft per 417,000 movements
Birdstrikes commercial 1 birdstrike to commercial aircraft per FAA, 2012 1992 to 2011
aircraft 7,300 movements
Birdstrikes GA aircraft 1 birdstrike to GA aircraft in 132,000 FAA, 2012 1993 to 2011
movements
Foreign Annual cost to aerospace USD 4 billion Boeing, 1998
Object industry
Damage Annual direct cost to USD 1.26 billion ACRP Synthesis
global aviation industry 26, 2011
Annual direct cost to US USD 474 million ACRP Synthesis
aviation industry 26, 2011
Annual total cost to global USD 13.9 billion ACRP Synthesis
aviation industry 26, 2012
Annual total cost to USD 5.2 billion ACRP Synthesis
aviation industry 26, 2013
Total no. of engine FOD 1 event per 3,200 aircraft movements McCreary, 2008
events
Tech test/inspection 1 test/inspection per 6,700 McCreary, 2008
movements
Blade pairs replaced 1 blade pair replaced per 5,900 McCreary, 2008
movements
Tire FOD events 1 tire FOD event per 1,030 movements McCreary, 2008
Tires replaced due to FOD 1 tire replaced per 2,940 movements McCreary, 2008
Aircraft fuselage damage 1 aircraft fuselage damage per 3,850 McCreary, 2008
movements
APPENDIX G
G-1 Introduction
KPIs are quantifiable measures that a company or industry uses to gauge or compare per-
formance in terms of meeting strategic and operational goals. KPIs vary among companies and
industries, depending on priorities and performance criteria. KPIs are also referred to as “key
success indicators (KSIs).” When measuring safety performance, some organizations use safety
performance indicators (SPIs). Regardless of the term used, an airport must be able to assess
safety performance. The indicators need to be measurable and in line with an organization’s
goals and objectives. Indicators can change and should be updated as progress is made. In this
appendix, the term KPI is used.
For airports, KPIs represent known data sources and existing data collected through the nor-
mal course of business. If an airport is Part 139 certificated, the airport operator is obligated to
collect, document, and retain certain safety data points, including Part 139 daily inspections,
ARFF inspections, driver training, and incursions. For airports that are not Part 139 certificated,
operators must consider the data points they already have in place and those missing that might
provide a more complete safety performance picture. Two lists of KPIs or potential KPIs that
all airports should consider including in their SMS and subsequently use to support their SRM
process follow.
199
APPENDIX H
Introduction
SMS and SRM are terms that have been recently introduced to the airport industry—they
highlight the need to understand some basic principles of probability because risk has two com-
ponents: severity and likelihood. While the meaning of severity is straightforward, understand-
ing the term likelihood requires some basic understanding of probability.
This appendix will help airport workers understand basic principles and notations used to
describe the chance of an accident or incident occurring. Reviewing these principles will help
airport workers understand and participate in discussions about risk and in panels assembled
for safety assessments.
Catastrophic accidents in aviation are rare and estimating the probability of occurrence is
best estimated using historical data. However, many types of incidents are frequent, particularly
at larger airports, because of the associated volume of operations and activities. Birdstrikes and
FOD incidents may occur daily at some airports.
The initial sections of this appendix describe basic concepts that airport staff can use in deal-
ing with SMS at the airport. The last section presents mathematical operations with probabilities
to help staff understand more advanced concepts.
201
If we divide the number of events by the total observation period (18 events divided by
15 years), the result is approximately 1.1 events per year, which is about one event per year. In
this case, the probability of that event is ranked as “Remote.” However no event occurred in the
first 3 years, three events occurred in the 5th year, and so on.
Given two options to classify likelihood, which one should we use? Should we use the criteria
based on the number of operations or that based on the period? When the risk is associated with
aircraft operations, the likelihood definition to be applied will depend on the volume of opera-
tions at the airport. If the volume of operations is small, the likelihood definition based on time
should be used. At larger airports, a criterion based on the number of departures is the correct
one to apply. As a rule of thumb, airports with less than 200 departures per day should use likeli-
hood definitions based on the expected period for an event to occur.
Another important aspect is that risk management at an airport may be associated with other
operational areas of the airport. For example, many airports have extended the SMS scope to
terminal operations and landside. In addition, some airside risks, like collision between vehicles/
equipment at the ramp are not directly associated with the total number of operations at the air-
port. For such cases, likelihood definition based on the period or criteria defined by the airport
may be the best alternative.
Although smaller airports with less than 400 movements per day
should use the FAA likelihood criteria based on the period, the
probability may still be calculated using a baseline risk based on
the number of operations. For example, based on historical data,
the probability of birdstrikes with damage to GA aircraft is 1 in
417,000 movements. If the airport has 4,000 annual operations
of GA aircraft, it may take over 100 years for an incident with air-
craft damage due to birdstrike. In this situation, the likelihood is
assumed to be extremely improbable.
Types of Events
Mutually Exclusive Events: These are events that cannot occur at the same time. It is unlikely
that a runway overrun will occur following a runway undershoot and these two events can be
assumed as mutually exclusive. In another example, aircraft damage and injury to passengers
may result from an aircraft accident; in this case, the events are not mutually exclusive.
Complementary Events: These are events that have two possible outcomes. The probability of
event A plus the probability of A′ equals one. P(A) + P(A′) = 1. Any event A and its complemen-
tary event A′ are mutually exclusive. Heads or tails in one toss of a coin are complementary events.
Independent Events: These are two or more events for which the outcome of one does not
affect the other (i.e., the events are not dependent on what occurred previously). Each toss of a
fair coin is an independent event.
Conditional Events: These events are dependent on what occurred previously. If a plane
catches fire on the ground during a taxiway operation, there is a chance of fatalities due to the
fire. The number of fatalities depends on the severity of the fire and the effectiveness of the
emergency response.
Probability Calculations
Sometimes it is necessary to calculate the total probability that two events will occur simul-
taneously or in succession. For example, if we know that the probability of an aircraft over
running a runway is 1 in 1 million operations and that approximately 20% of those incidents
result in accidents, we can calculate the probability that an overrun accident occurs. In this case,
the probability is calculated by the product of the two probabilities.
The first step is to identify different types of events for which the probability will be calculated,
as follows:
• Mutually Exclusive Events: These are events that cannot occur at the same time. It is extremely
improbable that a runway overrun will occur following a runway undershoot and these two
events can be assumed as mutually exclusive. In another example, aircraft damage and injury
to passengers may result from an aircraft accident; in this case, the events are not considered
mutually exclusive because damage to aircraft may cause injury to passengers.
• Complementary Events: These are events that have only a few possible outcomes. For example,
an event may have outcome A or B. The probability of event A plus the probability of B equals
one. P(A) + P(B) = 1. Any event A and its complementary event B are mutually exclusive. Heads
or tails in one toss of a coin are complementary events.
• Independent Events: These are two or more events for which the outcome of one does not
affect the other. They are events that are not dependent on what occurred previously. Each
toss of a fair coin is an independent event.
• Conditional Events: These are events that are dependent on what occurred previously. If a
plane catches fire on the ground during a taxiway operation, there is a chance of fatalities due
to the fire. The number of fatalities depends on the severity of the fire and the effectiveness of
the emergency response.
Sometimes an airport wants to estimate the total probability of an accident occurring at the
ramp. It involves accidents involving people, aircraft, vehicles, and equipment that have occurred
on the ramp within a certain period.
Total Probability
Sometimes it is necessary to calculate the total probability that an event may occur and it is
possible to add the probabilities if the events are mutually exclusive. An airport may define a
safety performance indicator as the probability of an accident at the ramp. The probability is
estimated by adding the probabilities for each type of accident on the ramp.
P (A) is the probability that accident A type occurs
P (B) is the probability that accident B type occurs
ADDRESS SERVICE REQUESTED
Washington, DC 20001
500 Fifth Street, NW
TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD
NON-PROFIT ORG.
ISBN 978-0-309-30865-6
COLUMBIA, MD
PERMIT NO. 88
90000
U.S. POSTAGE
PAID
9 780309 308656