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Math 362, Problem Set 2

The document contains a math problem set with 6 questions. Question 1 involves finding the joint and conditional PDFs of order statistics and evaluating an expectation. Question 2 uses the Central Limit Theorem to find a confidence interval for the mean of a gamma distribution. Question 3 provides a confidence interval for the parameter of a gamma-type distribution based on the maximum order statistic. Question 4 finds a 95% confidence interval for the probability of success in a binomial experiment. Question 5 derives a confidence interval for the variance of a normal distribution based on the sample variance. Question 6 determines the value of b such that the probability that a t-distribution falls between -b and b is 0.9, using values from a provided table.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
73 views3 pages

Math 362, Problem Set 2

The document contains a math problem set with 6 questions. Question 1 involves finding the joint and conditional PDFs of order statistics and evaluating an expectation. Question 2 uses the Central Limit Theorem to find a confidence interval for the mean of a gamma distribution. Question 3 provides a confidence interval for the parameter of a gamma-type distribution based on the maximum order statistic. Question 4 finds a 95% confidence interval for the probability of success in a binomial experiment. Question 5 derives a confidence interval for the variance of a normal distribution based on the sample variance. Question 6 determines the value of b such that the probability that a t-distribution falls between -b and b is 0.9, using values from a provided table.

Uploaded by

Noormanto Armin
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Math 362, Problem set 2

Due 2/9/10

1. (5.2.17) Let Y1 < Y − 2 < Y3 < Y4 be the order statistics of a random


sample of size n = 4 from a distribution with pdf f (x) = 2x, 0 < x < 1,
zero elsewhere.
(a) Find the joint pdf of Y3 and Y4 .
(b) Find the conditional pdf of Y3 , given Y4 = y4 .
(c) Evaluate E[Y3 |y4 ].
Answer: Recall:

fY1 ,Y2 ,Y3 ,Y4 (y1 , y2 , y3 , y4 ) = 4!(2y1 )(2y2 )(2y3 )(2y4 )

for 0 < y1 < y2 < y3 < y4 < 1. We have:


Z y3 Z y2
fY3 ,Y4 (y3 , y4 ) = fY1 ,Y2 ,Y3 ,Y4 (y1 , y2 , y3 , y4 )
y2 =0 y1 =0

= 48y35 y4

for 0 < y3 < y4 < 1.


For (b):
fY3 ,Y4 (y3 , y4 ) 6y 5
fY3 |Y4 (y3 |y4 ) = = 63
fY4 (y4 ) y4
for 0 < y3 < y4 .
For (c), we have that
y4
6y36
Z
6
E[Y3 |Y4 = y4 ] = 6 = y4 .
0 y4 7

2. (5.4.9) Let X̄ denote the mean of a random sample of size 25 from a


gamma-type distribution with α = 4 and β > 0. Use the Central Limit
theorem to find an approximate 0.954 confidence interval for µ, the mean
of the gamma distribution.
p
Hint: Use the random variable (X̄ − 4β)/ 4β 2 /25

1
Answer: Wep note that P(−2 < Z < 2) = 0.954. Using the fact that
(X̄ − 4β)/ 4β 2 /25 is approximately N (0, 1), we know that
p
.954 = P(−2 < (X̄ − 4β)/ 4β 2 /25 < 2)
= P(−2 < 5X̄/2β − 10 < 2)
= P(8 < 5X̄/2β < 12)
5X̄ 5X̄
= P( < 4β < ).
6 4
This gives a confidence interval for µ = 4β of ( 5x̄ 5x̄4
6 , ) . Note that the book
gives a confidence interval for β instead of 4β.
3. (5.4.13) Let Y1 < Y2 < · · · < Yn denote hte order statistics of a random
sample of size n from a distribution that has pdf f (x) = 3x2 /θ3 , 0 < x < θ,
zero elsewhere.
(a) Show that P(c < Yn /θ < 1) = 1 − c3n where 0 < c < 1.h
(b) If n is 4 and if the observed value of Y4 is 2.3, what is a 95% confidence
interval for θ.
Answer:
We know that
x3 n−1 x2
fYn (yn ) = 3n( ) .
θ3 θ3
and
θ
x3n−1
Z
P(cθ < Yn < θ) = 3n dx = 1 − c3n .
cθ θ3n

For (b), we note that

P(cθ < Y4 < θ) = 1 − c12 = .95,

if c = (.5)1/12 . That is,

Y4
.95 = P((.5)1/12 θ < Y4 < θ) = P(Y4 < θ < )
(.5)1/12

This gives a 95% confidence interval for θ of (2.3, 2.3/(.5)1/12 ).


4. (5.4.16) When 100 tacks were thrown on a table, 60 of them landed point
up. Obtain a 95% confidence interval for the probability that a tack of
this type will land point up. Assume independence.
Answer: We have that p̄ = .6, and have a 95% (approximate) confidence
interval of
p p
(p̄ − 1.96 p̄(1 − p̄)/n, p̄ + 1.96 p̄(1 − p̄)/n) = (.503, .696)

2
5. (5.4.14) Let X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn be a random sample from N (µ, σ 2 ) where
both parameters µ and σ 2 are unknown. A confidence interval for σ 2 can
be found as follows: We know (n − 1)S 2 /σ 2 is a random variable with
a χ2 (n − 1) distribution. Thus we can find constants a and b so that
P((n − 1)S 2 /σ 2 < b) = 0.975 and P(a < (n − 1)S 2 /σ 2 < b) = 0.95.

(a) Show that this second probability statement can be written as

P((n − 1)S 2 /b < σ 2 < (n − 1)S 2 /a) = 0.95

(b) If n = 9 and s2 = 7.93 (here s2 is the actual value of S 2 given data),


find a 95% confidence interval for σ 2 .
(c) If µ is known, how would you modify the preceding procedure for
finding a confidence interval for σ 2 .

Answer: For (a), just rearrange P(a < (n − 1)S 2 /σ 2 < b); note the in-
equalities flip when we take the reciprocal.
For n = 9, we find (from Table II) that b = 17.535 and a = 2.18. Thus we
have a confidence interval of

(3.618, 29.1).

For (c), note that√if we know µ we know that (X̄ − µ)/(σ/ n) ∼ N (0, 1),
so (X̄ − µ)2 /σ 2 / n has a χ2 (1) distribution. We can use this as above to
find a confidence interval for σ.
6. (3.6.2) Let T have a t-distribution with 14 degrees of freedom. Determine
b so that P(−b < T < b) = 0.9. Use Table IV.
Answer:
Take b = 1.761.

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