2203 Week 5 Template
2203 Week 5 Template
Before we go into the nitty-gritty of the balance sheet of the bank and of any regular company, first, we need to
look into the nature of each.
The bank acts as an intermediary between two parties. The job of a bank is to assist the company in which it can
help. Bank makes profits from the spread between the rate it receives and the rate it pays.
On the other hand, a company operates to produce goods or services and ultimately sell these goods or services
to another business, end customer, or to Government. The objective of running a regular company is to generate
and maximize wealth for its shareholders.
As the nature of both of these entities is different, it makes sense to prepare a unique balance sheet for each of
them.
Bank-Balance-Sheet-and-Company-Balance-Sheet
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Banks also create an allowance in the balance sheet to cover losses from the loans (if any) and change the
structure of this allowance depending on the economic factors going on in the market.
Short term investments
To the banks, short term investments are also of utter importance. That’s they include cash, securities under short
term investments. These short term investments do three things –
First, short term investments lower the duration of total assets.
Second, short term investments also lower the chances of loan default risk.
And lastly, short term investments also increase liquidity.
Format and example of Balance Sheet of Bank
ABC Bank Balance Sheet
Assets
Commercial 23,000
Investments 7 43,000
Credit Card 3500
Advances 6 12,500
Leases 4,500
Liabilities
Savings 45,000
A (in US $) B (in US $)
M (in US $) N (in US $)
We will now have a look at the “non-current liabilities.” These liabilities are long term liabilities, which the
company will pay off within a long period of time.
In “non-current liabilities,” we will include the following –
Financial Debt (Long term)
Provisions
Employee Benefits Liabilities
Deferred Tax Liabilities
Other Payables
By adding the “current liabilities” and “non-current liabilities,” we will get “total liabilities.”
To complete the balance sheet of a regular company, we have only one thing is left. And that is “shareholders’
equity.”
Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ equity is the statement that includes that share capital and all other related adjustments. Here’s a
format of shareholders’ equity –
Shareholders’ Equity
Paid-in Capital:
Common Stock ***
Common Stock **
Preferred Stock **
If we add total liabilities and shareholders’ equity, we will get a number, and that should match with the total
assets.
Now we will look at the format and example of the balance sheet of a regular company.
Format & example of the balance sheet of a regular company
Balance Sheet of ABC Company
Assets
Liabilities
Stockholders’ Equity
Preferred Stock 450,000 450,000
2. Objective The main objective is to showcase The main objective is to reflect the accurate
an accurate trade-off between financial picture of an organization to the
bank’s profit and risk. stakeholders.
Bank’s balance sheet needs a lot of The company’s balance sheet doesn’t take a
6. Time consumption
time to prepare. lot of time to prepare.
Bank balance sheet mentions The company balance sheet mentions its
8. Mentionable document
reference through “schedules.” reference via “notes.”
In the bank balance sheet, the type In the company balance sheet, the type of
9. Type of balance
of balance is the average balance. balance is ending balance.
Understanding a Bank's
Balance Sheet
In the first part of a series, we untangle a bank's assets.
Emil Lee
(Emil-Lee)
A bank's balance sheet is different from that of a typical company. You won't find
inventory, accounts receivable, or accounts payable. Instead, under assets, you'll see
mostly loans and investments, and on the liabilities side, you'll see deposits and
borrowings.
Let's take a closer look at the balance sheet of the fictional First Bank of the Fool.
Cash
Surprisingly, cash represents only 2% of assets. That's because the bank wants to put its money to work
earning interest. If the bank simply sticks its cash in a vault and forgets about it, it will have a hard time
making a profit. Thus, a bank keeps most of its money tied up in loans and investments, which are called
"earning assets" in bank-speak because they earn interest.
Securities
Banks don't like putting their assets into fixed-income securities, because the yield isn't that great.
However, investment-grade securities are liquid, and they have higher yields than cash, so it's always
prudent for a bank to keep securities on hand in case they need to free up some liquidity.
If we look at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC), SunTrust (NYSE:STI), and M&T Bank (NYSE:MTB), we
see that approximately 16%, 18%, and 17% of their earning assets are invested in securities. The purpose
of holding securities is for the bank to have safe, liquid assets available, so the banks primarily hold
Treasuries and agency debt (such as Fannie Mae- or Freddie Mac-issued debt), which yield around the
rate of the current long-term U.S. Government yield, anywhere from 4%-6%.
Loans
Loans represent the majority of a bank's assets. A bank can typically earn a higher interest rate on loans
than on securities, roughly 6%-8%. You can find detailed information about the rates earned on loans and
investments in the financial statements.
Loans, however, come with risk. If the bank makes bad loans to consumers or businesses, the bank will
take a hit when those loans aren't repaid.
Because loans are a bank's bread and butter, it's critical to understand a bank's book of loans. In their 10-
Ks, banks characterize their loans in easily readable charts. For example, M&T tells us that at the end of
its last fiscal year, 36.5% of its average loans were backed by commercial real estate. We also know that
of its $14.5 billion in commercial real estate loans outstanding, $4.5 billion was in metropolitan New
York.
I was once interested in Corus Bankshares (NASDAQ:CORS). However, as of last quarter, 94% of its
loans were for condo construction and conversions, and 33% of its loans were in Florida. Although I've
heard good things about Corus' management, and the valuation looked compelling, I took a pass --
foreseeing the future of the Florida condo market is outside my circle of competence. However, bank
stock investors have to read the financials if they want to know the kind of risks to which they are
exposed.
Other assets
Other assets, including property and equipment, represent only a small fraction of assets. A bank can
generate large revenues with very few hard assets. Compare this to some other companies, where plant,
property, and equipment (PP&E) is a major asset.
SunTrust 1.0%
Disney (NYSE:DIS) 28.6%
Assessing assets
A bank's assets are its meal ticket, so it's critical for investors to understand how its assets are invested,
how much risk they are taking, and how much liquidity the bank has in securities as a shield against
unforeseen problems. In general, investors should pay attention to asset growth, the composition of assets
between cash, securities, and loans, and the composition of the loan book. Also, investors should note a
bank's asset/equity (equity multiplier) ratio, which measures how many times a dollar of equity is
leveraged. As of the latest quarter, SunTrust, Wells Fargo, and Corus had equity multiplier ratios of 9.9,
10.7, and 12.25. Paying attention to these trends is critical to making money in bank stocks.
Now that we've looked at a bank's assets, we also need to understand the other side of the balance sheet --
its liabilities, which are how a bank finances its assets. Check back tomorrow for the whole story.
Your essay will be graded on the following:
Describe the difference for at least three of the balance sheet elements
Organization Grading Guidelines: Presentation is very effective and presented in a logical format with a
clear beginning, middle, and end. There is a clear statement of ideas and smooth transitions. The writer has
stated the main idea clearly and has provided relevant details. The main idea is clearly conveyed in a
presentation that is highly relevant and interesting. The student provides evidence of thoughtful input.
Details are rich and appropriate. Spelling, punctuation, and capitalization are virtually always correct.
3
Learning Journal Unit 4
Prepare a (approximately) 200 word summary of the textbook material you have read this week on Chapter 9.
This summary should be entered in your learning journal this week.
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please see the project's home page. You can browse or download additional books
there. To download a .zip file containing this book to use offline, simply click here.
1. What is a balance sheet and what are the major types of bank assets and
liabilities?
Thus far, we’ve studied financial markets and institutions from 30,000 feet. We’re
finally ready to “dive down to the deck” and learn how banks and other financial
intermediaries are actually managed. We start with the balance sheet, a financial
statement that takes a snapshot of what a company owns (assets) and owes
(liabilities) at a given moment. The key equation here is a simple one:
ASSETS (aka uses of funds) = LIABILITIES (aka sources of funds) + EQUITY (aka
net worth or capital).
Figure 9.1 "Bank assets and liabilities" lists and describes the major types of bank
assets and liabilities, and Figure 9.2 "Assets and liabilities of U.S. commercial banks,
March 7, 2007" shows the combined balance sheet of all U.S. commercial banks on
March 7, 2007.
In the first half of the nineteenth century, bank reserves in the United States
consisted solely of full-bodied specie (gold or silver) coins. Banks pledged to pay
specie for both their notes and deposits immediately upon demand. The government
did not mandate minimum reserve ratios. What level of reserves do you think those
banks kept? (Higher or lower than today’s required reserves?) Why?
With some notorious exceptions known as wildcat banks, which were basically
financial scams, banks kept reserves in the range of 20 to 30 percent, much higher
than today’s required reserves. They did so for several reasons. First, unlike today,
there was no fast, easy, cheap way for banks to borrow from the government or other
banks. They occasionally did so, but getting what was needed in time was far from
assured. So basically borrowing was closed to them. Banks in major cities like Boston,
New York, and Philadelphia could keep secondary reserves, but before the advent of
the telegraph, banks in the hinterland could not be certain that they could sell the
volume of bonds they needed to into thin local markets. In those areas, which
included most banks (by number), secondary reserves were of little use. And the
potential for large net outflows was higher than it is today because early bankers
sometimes collected the liabilities of rival banks, then presented them all at once in
the hopes of catching the other guy with inadequate specie reserves. Also, runs by
depositors were much more frequent then. There was only one thing for a prudent
early banker to do: keep his or her vaults brimming with coins.
KEY TA KEA WA YS
A balance sheet is a financial statement that lists what a company owns (its
assets or uses of funds) and what it owes (its liabilities or sources of funds).
Major bank assets include reserves, secondary reserves, loans, and other assets.
Major bank liabilities include deposits, borrowings, and shareholder equity.
Savings banks, a type of bank that issues only savings deposits, and life insurance
companies hold significantly fewer reserves than commercial banks do. Why?
Savings banks and life insurance companies do not suffer large net outflows very
often. People do draw down their savings by withdrawing money from their savings
accounts, cashing in their life insurance, or taking out policy loans, but remember
that one of the advantages of relatively large intermediaries is that they can often
meet outflows from inflows. In other words, savings banks and life insurance
companies can usually pay customer A’s withdrawal (policy loan or surrender) from
customer B’s deposit (premium payment). Therefore, they have no need to carry large
reserves, which are expensive in terms of opportunity costs.
Where do banks get the wherewithal to purchase those assets? The right-hand side of
the balance sheet lists a bank’s liabilities or the sources of its funds. Transaction
deposits include negotiable order of withdrawal accounts (NOW) and money market
deposit accounts (MMDAs), in addition to good old checkable deposits. Banks like
transaction deposits because they can avoid paying much, if any, interest on them.
Some depositors find the liquidity that transaction accounts provide so convenient
they even pay for the privilege of keeping their money in the bank via various fees, of
which more anon. Banks justify the fees by pointing out that it is costly to keep the
books, transfer money, and maintain sufficient cash reserves to meet withdrawals.
The administrative costs of nontransaction deposits are lower so banks pay interest
for those funds. Nontransaction deposits range from the traditional passbook savings
account to negotiable certificates of deposit (NCDs) with denominations greater than
$100,000. Checks cannot be drawn on passbook savings accounts, but depositors can
withdraw from or add to the account at will. Because they are more liquid, they pay
lower rates of interest than time deposits (aka certificates of deposit), which impose
stiff penalties for early withdrawals. Banks also borrow outright from other banks
overnight via what is called, strangely, the federal funds market, and directly from
the Federal Reserve via discount loans (aka advances). They can also borrow from
corporations, including their parent companies if they are part of a bank holding
company.
That leaves only bank net worth, the difference between the value of a bank’s assets
and its liabilities. Equity originally comes from stockholders when they pay for shares
in the bank’s initial public offering (IPO) or direct public offering (DPO). Later, it
comes mostly from retained earnings, but sometimes banks make a seasoned offering
of additional stock. Regulators watch bank capital closely because, as we learned
in Chapter 8 "Financial Structure, Transaction Costs, and Asymmetric Information",
the more equity a bank has, the less likely it is that it will fail. Today, having learned
this lesson the hard way, U.S. regulators will close a bank down well before its equity
reaches zero. Provided, that is, they catch it first. Even well-capitalized banks can fail
very quickly, especially if they trade in the derivatives market, of which more below.
At the broadest level, banks and other financial intermediaries engage in asset
transformation. In other words, they sell liabilities with certain liquidity, risk,
return, and denominational characteristics and use those funds to buy assets with a
different set of characteristics. Intermediaries link investors (purchasers of banks’
liabilities) to entrepreneurs (sellers of banks’ assets) in a more sophisticated way than
mere market facilitators like dealer-brokers and peer-to-peer bankers do (see Chapter
8 "Financial Structure, Transaction Costs, and Asymmetric Information").
More specifically, banks (aka depository institutions) turn short-term deposits into
long-term loans. In other words, they borrow short and lend long. This, we’ll see,
makes bank management tricky business indeed. Other financial intermediaries
transform assets in other ways. Finance companies borrow long and lend short,
rendering their management much easier than that of a bank. Life insurance
companies sell contracts (called policies) that pay off when or if (during the policy
period of a term policy) the insured party dies. Property and casualty companies sell
policies that pay if some exigency, like an automobile crash, occurs during the policy
period. The liabilities of insurance companies are said to be contingent because they
come due if an event happens rather than after a specified period of time.
Asset transformation and balance sheets provide us with only a snapshot view of a
financial intermediary’s business. That’s useful, but, of course, intermediaries, like
banks, are dynamic places where changes constantly occur. The easiest way to
analyze that dynamism is via so-called T-accounts, simplified balance sheets that
list only changes in liabilities and assets. By the way, they are called T-accounts
because they look like a T. Sort of. Note in the T-accounts below the horizontal and
vertical rules that cross each other, sort of like a T.
Suppose somebody deposits $17.52 in cash in a checking account. The T-account for
the bank accepting the deposit would be the following:
Some Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves +
Transaction deposits +$17.52
$17.52
If another person deposits in her checking account in Some Bank a check for
$4,419.19 drawn on Another Bank,If that check were drawn on Some Bank, there
would be no need for a T-account because the bank would merely subtract the
amount from the account of the payer, or in other words, the check maker, and add it
to the account of the payee or check recipient. the initial T-account for that
transaction would be the following:
Some Bank
Assets Liabilities
Cash in collection +
Transaction deposits +$4,419.19
$4,419.19
Once collected in a few days, the T-account for Some Bank would be the following:
Some Bank
Assets Liabilities
Cash in collection −
$4,419.19
Reserves +$4,419.19
Another Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves −$4,419.19
Transaction deposits −
$4,419.19
1. Larry closes his $73,500.88 account with JPMC Bank, spends $500.88 of that
money on consumption goods, then places the rest in W Bank.
2. Suppose regulators tell W Bank that it needs to hold only 5 percent of those
transaction deposits in reserve.
3. W Bank decides that it needs to hold no excess reserves but needs to bolster its
secondary reserves.
4. A depositor in W bank decides to move $7,000 from her checking account to a CD
in W Bank.
5. W Bank sells $500,000 of Treasuries and uses the proceeds to fund two
$200,000 mortgages and the purchase of $100,000 of municipal bonds.
(Note: This is net. The bank merely moved $100,000 from one type of security
to another.)
KEY TA KEA WA YS
In five words, banks lend (1) long (2) and (3) borrow (4) short (5).
Like other financial intermediaries, banks are in the business of transforming
assets, of issuing liabilities with one set of characteristics to investors and of buying
the liabilities of borrowers with another set of characteristics.
Generally, banks issue short-term liabilities but buy long-term assets.
This raises specific types of management problems that bankers must be
proficient at solving if they are to succeed.
1. What are the major problems facing bank managers and why is bank
management closely regulated?
Bankers must manage their assets and liabilities to ensure three conditions:
1. Their bank has enough reserves on hand to pay for any deposit outflows (net
decreases in deposits) but not so many as to render the bank unprofitable.
This tricky trade-off is called liquidity management.
2. Their bank earns profits. To do so, the bank must own a diverse portfolio of
remunerative assets. This is known as asset management. It must also obtain
its funds as cheaply as possible, which is known as liability management.
3. Their bank has sufficient net worth or equity capital to maintain a cushion
against bankruptcy or regulatory attention but not so much that the bank is
unprofitable. This second tricky trade-off is called capital adequacy
management.
In their quest to earn profits and manage liquidity and capital, banks face two major
risks: credit risk, the risk of borrowers defaulting on the loans and securities it owns,
and interest rate risk, the risk that interest rate changes will decrease the returns on
its assets and/or increase the cost of its liabilities. The financial panic of 2008
reminded bankers that they also can face liability and capital adequacy risks if
financial markets become less liquid or seize up completely (q* = 0).
Let’s turn first to liquidity management. Big Apple Bank has the following balance
sheet:
Big Apple
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $10 Transaction deposits $30
Securities $10 Nontransaction deposits $55
Loans $70 Borrowings $5
Other assets $10 Capital $10
Totals $100 $100
Suppose the bank then experiences a net transaction deposit outflow of $5 million.
The bank’s balance sheet (we could also use T-accounts here but we won’t) is now like
this:
Big Apple
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $5 Transaction deposits $25
Securities $10 Nontransaction deposits $55
Loans $70 Borrowings $5
Other assets $10 Capital $10
Totals $95 $95
The bank’s reserve ratio (reserves/transaction deposits) has dropped from 10/30 = .
3334 to 5/25 = .2000. That’s still pretty good. But if another $5 million flows out of
the bank on net (maybe $10 million is deposited but $15 million is withdrawn), the
balance sheet will look like this:
Big Apple
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $0 Transaction deposits $20
Securities $10 Nontransaction deposits $55
Loans $70 Borrowings $5
Other assets $10 Capital $10
Totals $90 $90
The bank’s reserve ratio now drops to 0/20 = .0000. That’s bound to be below the
reserve ratio required by regulators and in any event is very dangerous for the bank.
What to do? To manage this liquidity problem, bankers will increase reserves by the
least expensive means at their disposal. That almost certainly will not entail selling
off real estate or calling in or selling loans. Real estate takes a long time to sell, but,
more importantly, the bank needs it to conduct business! Calling in loans (not
renewing them as they come due and literally calling in any that happen to have a call
feature) will likely antagonize borrowers. (Loans can also be sold to other lenders, but
they may not pay much for them because adverse selection is high. Banks that sell
loans have an incentive to sell off the ones to the worst borrowers. If a bank reduces
that risk by promising to buy back any loans that default, that bank risks losing the
borrower’s future business.) The bank might be willing to sell its securities, which are
also called secondary reserves for a reason. If the bankers decide that is the best path,
the balance sheet will look like this:
Big Apple
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $10 Transaction deposits $20
Securities $0 Nontransaction deposits $55
Loans $70 Borrowings $5
Other assets $10 Capital $10
Big Apple
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Totals $90 $90
The reserve ratio is now .5000, which is high but prudent if the bank’s managers
believe that more net deposit outflows are likely. Excess reserves are insurance
against further outflows, but keeping them is costly because the bank is no longer
earning interest on the $10 million of securities it sold. Of course, the bank could sell
just, say, $2, $3, or $4 million of securities if it thought the net deposit outflow was
likely to stop.
The bankers might also decide to try to lure depositors back by offering a higher rate
of interest, lower fees, and/or better service. That might take some time, though, so in
the meantime they might decide to borrow $5 million from the Fed or from other
banks in the federal funds market. In that case, the bank’s balance sheet would
change to the following:
Big Apple
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $5 Transaction deposits $20
Securities $10 Nontransaction deposits $55
Loans $70 Borrowings $10
Other assets $10 Capital $10
Totals $95 $95
Notice how changes in liabilities drive the bank’s size, which shrank from $100 to
$90 million when deposits shrank, which stayed the same size when assets were
manipulated, but which grew when $5 million was borrowed. That is why a bank’s
liabilities are sometimes called its “sources of funds.”
EX ERCISES
Manage the liquidity of the Timberlake Bank given the following scenarios. The legal
reserve requirement is 5 percent. Use this initial balance sheet to answer each
question:
Timberlake
Balance Sheet (Millions USD)
Bank
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $5 Transaction deposits $100
Securities $10 Nontransaction deposits $250
Loans $385 Borrowings $50
Other assets $100 Capital $100
Totals $500 $500
4. A large depositor says that she needs $1.5 million from her checking account,
but just for two days. Otherwise, net outflows are expected to be about zero.
5. Net transaction deposit outflows are zero, but there is a $5 million net
outflow from nontransaction deposits.
Asset management entails the usual trade-off between risk and return. Bankers want
to make safe, high-interest rate loans but, of course, few of those are to be found. So
they must choose between giving up some interest or suffering higher default rates.
Bankers must also be careful to diversify, to make loans to a variety of different types
of borrowers, preferably in different geographic regions. That is because sometimes
entire sectors or regions go bust and the bank will too if most of its loans were made
in a depressed region or to the struggling group. Finally, bankers must bear in mind
that they need some secondary reserves, some assets that can be quickly and cheaply
sold to bolster reserves if need be.
Today, bankers’ decisions about how many excess and secondary reserves to hold is
partly a function of their ability to manage their liabilities. Historically, bankers did
not try to manage their liabilities. They took deposit levels as given and worked from
there. Since the 1960s, however, banks, especially big ones in New York, Chicago, and
San Francisco (the so-called money centers), began to actively manage their liabilities
by
That leaves us with capital adequacy management. Like reserves, banks would hold
capital without regulatory prodding because equity or net worth buffers banks (and
other companies) from temporary losses, downturns, and setbacks. However, like
reserves, capital is costly. The more there is of it, holding profits constant, the less
each dollar of it earns. So capital, like reserves, is now subject to minimums called
capital requirements.
If $5 billion of its loans went bad and had to be completely written off, Safety Bank
would still be in operation:
Safety Bank Balance Sheet (Billions USD)
Assets Liabilities
Reserves $1 Transaction deposits $10
Securities $5 Nontransaction deposits $75
Loans $85 Borrowings $5
Other assets $4 Capital $5
Totals $95 $95
You don’t need to be a certified public accountant (CPA) to know that red numbers
and negative signs are not good news. Shaky Bank is a now a new kind of bank,
bankrupt.
Why would a banker manage capital like Shaky Bank instead of like Safety Bank? In a
word, profitability. There are two major ways of measuring profitability: return on
assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE).
Suppose that, before the loan debacle, both Safety and Shaky Bank had $10 billion in
profits. The ROA of both would be 10/100 = .10. But Shaky Bank’s ROE, what
shareholders care about most, would leave Safety Bank in the dust because Shaky
Bank is more highly leveraged (more assets per dollar of equity).
This, of course, is nothing more than the standard risk-return trade-off applied to
banking. Regulators in many countries have therefore found it prudent to mandate
capital adequacy standards to ensure that some bankers are not taking on high
levels of risk in the pursuit of high profits.
a. By buying (selling) their own bank’s stock in the open market. That reduces
(increases) the number of shares outstanding, raising (decreasing) capital and
ROE, ceteris paribus
b. By paying (withholding) dividends, which decreases (increases) capital,
increasing (decreasing) ROE, all else equal
c. By increasing (decreasing) the bank’s assets, which, with capital held constant,
increases (decreases) ROE
Bankers must manage their bank’s liquidity (reserves, for regulatory reasons and
to conduct business effectively), capital (for regulatory reasons and to buffer against
negative shocks), assets, and liabilities.
There is an opportunity cost to holding reserves, which pay no interest, and
capital, which must share the profits of the business.
Left to their own judgment, bankers would hold reserves > 0 and capital > 0, but
they might not hold enough to prevent bank failures at what the government or a
country’s citizens deem an acceptably low rate.
That induces government regulators to create and monitor minimum
requirements.
9.4 Credit Risk
LEA RN IN G OBJ ECTIV E
As noted above, loans are banks’ bread and butter. No matter how good bankers are
at asset, liability, and capital adequacy management, they will be failures if they
cannot manage credit risk. Keeping defaults to a minimum requires bankers to be
keen students of asymmetric information (adverse selection and moral hazard) and
techniques for reducing them.
Bankers and insurers, like computer folks, know about GIGO—garbage in, garbage
out. If they lend to or insure risky people and companies, they are going to suffer. So
they carefully screen applicants for loans and insurance. In other words, to reduce
asymmetric information, financial intermediaries create information about them.
One way they do so is to ask applicants a wide variety of questions.
One way that lenders create long-term relationships with businesses is by providing
loan commitments, promises to lend $x at y interest (or y plus some market rate)
for z years. Such arrangements are so beneficial for both lenders and borrowers that
most commercial loans are in fact loan commitments. Such commitments are
sometimes called lines of credit, particularly when extended to consumers.
As the world learned to its chagrin in 2007–2008, banks and other lenders are not
perfect screeners. Sometimes, under competitive pressure, they lend to borrowers
they should not have. Sometimes, individual bankers profit handsomely by lending to
very risky borrowers, even though their actions endanger their banks’ very existence.
Other times, external political or societal pressures induce bankers to make loans
they normally wouldn’t. Such excesses are always reversed eventually because the
lenders suffer from high levels of nonperforming loans.
The government must be careful to try to support the financial system without giving
succor to those who have screwed up. Directly bailing out the subprime lenders by
guaranteeing mortgage payments would cause moral hazard to skyrocket, it realized.
Borrowers might be more likely to default by rationalizing that the crime is a
victimless one (though, in fact, all taxpayers would suffer—recall that there is no such
thing as a free lunch in economics). Lenders would learn that they can make crazy
loans to anyone because good ol’ Uncle Sam will cushion, or even prevent, their fall.
KEY TA KEA WA YS
Credit risk is the chance that a borrower will default on a loan by not fully
meeting stipulated payments on time.
Bankers manage credit risk by screening applicants (taking applications and
verifying the information they contain), monitoring loan recipients, requiring
collateral like real estate and compensatory balances, and including a variety of
restrictive covenants in loans.
They also manage credit risk by trading off between the costs and benefits of
specialization and portfolio diversification.
9.5 Interest-Rate Risk
LEA RN IN G OBJ ECTIV E
If interest rates increase, Some Bank’s gross profits, the difference between what it
pays for its liabilities and earns on its assets, will decline because the value of its rate-
sensitive liabilities exceeds that of its rate-sensitive assets (assuming the spread stays
the same). Say, for instance, it today pays 3 percent for its rate-sensitive liabilities
and receives 7 percent on its rate-sensitive assets. That means it is paying 20 × .03 =
$.6 billion to earn 10 × .06 = $.7 billion. (Not bad work if you can get it.) If interest
rates increase 1 percent on each side of the balance sheet, Some Bank will be paying
20 × .04 = $.8 billion to earn 10 × .08 = $.8 billion. (No profits there.) If rates
increase another 1 percent, it will have to pay 20 × .05 = $1 billion to earn 10 × .09 =
$.9 billion, a total loss of $.2 billion (from a $.1 billion profit to a $.1 billion loss).
Inflation was unexpectedly high in the 1970s. Given what you learned about the
relationship between inflation and nominal interest rates in Chapter 5 "The
Economics of Interest-Rate Fluctuations", and between interest rates and bank
profitability in this chapter, what happened in the 1980s?
Bank profitability sank to the point that many banks, the infamous savings and loans
(S&Ls), went under. Inflation (via the Fisher Equation) caused nominal interest rates
to increase, which hurt banks’ profitability because they were earning low rates on
long-term assets (like thirty-year bonds) while having to pay high rates on their
short-term liabilities. Mounting losses induced many bankers to take on added risks,
including risks in the derivatives markets. A few restored their banks to profitability,
but others destroyed all of their bank’s capital and then some.
Of course, if the value of its risk-sensitive assets exceeded that of its liabilities, the
bank would profit from interest rate increases. It would suffer, though, if interest
rates decreased. Imagine Some Bank has $10 billion in interest rate-sensitive assets
at 8 percent and only $1 billion in interest rate-sensitive liabilities at 5 percent. It is
earning 10 × .08 = $.8 billion while paying 1 × .05 = $.05 billion. If interest rates
decreased, it might earn only 10 × .05 = $.5 billion while paying 1 × .02 = $.02
billion; thus, ceteris paribus, its gross profits would decline from .8 − .05 = $.75
billion to .5 − .02 = $.48 billion, a loss of $.27 billion. More formally, this type of
calculation, called basic gap analysis, is
C ρ = ( A r - L r ) × △ i
where:
Ar = risk-sensitive assets
Lr = risk-sensitive liabilities
C ρ = ( 10 - 20 ) × .02 = - 10 × .02 = - $ .2 billion ,
C ρ = ( 10 - 1 ) - ( - .03 ) = - $ .27 billion .
EX ERCISE
Use the basic gap analysis formula to estimate Some Bank’s loss or gain under the
following scenarios.
C ρ = ( A r - L r ) × △ i
Risk Sensitive Assets Risk Sensitive Liabilities Change in Interest Answer:
(Millions USD) (Millions USD) Rates (%) CP (Millions USD)
100 100 100 0
100 200 10 −10
100 200 −10 10
199 200 10 −0.1
199 200 −10 0.1
200 100 10 10
200 100 −10 −10
200 199 10 0.1
200 199 −10 −0.1
1000 0 1 10
0 1000 1 −10
Now, take a look at Figure 9.3 "Basic gap analysis matrix", which summarizes, in a 2
× 2 matrix, what happens to bank profits when the gap is positive (Ar > Lr) or
negative (Ar < Lr) when interest rates fall or rise. Basically, bankers want to have
more interest-sensitive assets than liabilities if they think that interest rates are
likely to rise and they want to have more interest rate-sensitive liabilities than
assets if they think that interest rates are likely to decline.
Of course, not all rate-sensitive liabilities and assets have the same maturities, so to
assess their interest rate risk exposure bankers usually engage in more sophisticated
analyses like the maturity bucket approach, standardized gap analysis, or duration
analysis. Duration, also known as Macaulay’s Duration, measures the average length
of a security’s stream of
payments.http://www.riskglossary.com/link/duration_and_convexity.htm In this
context, duration is used to estimate the sensitivity of a security’s or a portfolio’s
market value to interest rate changes via this formula:
△ % P = - △ % i × d
Δi = change in interest (not decimalized, i.e., represent 5% as 5, not .05. Also note the
negative sign. The sign is negative because, as we learned in Chapter 4 "Interest
Rates", interest rates and prices are inversely related.)
So, if interest rates increase 2 percent and the average duration of a bank’s $100
million of assets is 3 years, the value of those assets will fall approximately −2 × 3 =
−6%, or $6 million. If the value of that bank’s liabilities (excluding equity) is $95
million, and the duration is also 3 years, the value of the liabilities will also fall, 95 × .
06 = $5.7 million, effectively reducing the bank’s equity (6 − 5.7= ) $.3 million. If the
duration of the bank’s liabilities is only 1 year, then its liabilities will fall −2 × 1 = −2%
or 95 × .02 = $1.9 million, and the bank will suffer an even larger loss (6 − 1.9 =) of
$4.1 million. If, on the other hand, the duration of the bank’s liabilities is 10 years, its
liabilities will decrease −2 × 10 = −20% or $19 million and the bank will profit from
the interest rate rise.
A basic interest rate risk reduction strategy when interest rates are expected to fall is
to keep the duration of liabilities short and the duration of assets long. That way, the
bank continues to earn the old, higher rate on its assets but benefits from the new
lower rates on its deposits, CDs, and other liabilities. As noted above, borrowing
short and lending long is second nature for banks, which tend to thrive when
interest rates go down. When interest rates increase, banks would like to keep the
duration of assets short and the duration of liabilities long. That way, the bank earns
the new, higher rate on its assets and keeps its liabilities locked in at the older, lower
rates. But banks can only go so far in this direction because it runs against their
nature; few people want to borrow if the loans are callable and fewer still want long-
term checkable deposits!
KEY TA KEA WA YS
Interest rate risk is the chance that interest rates may increase, decreasing the
value of bank assets.
Bankers manage interest rate risk by performing analyses like basic gap analysis,
which compares a bank’s interest rate risk-sensitive assets and liabilities, and duration
analysis, which accounts for the fact that bank assets and liabilities have different
maturities.
Such analyses, combined with interest rate predictions, tell bankers when to
increase or decrease their rate-sensitive assets or liabilities, and whether to shorten
or lengthen the duration of their assets or liabilities.
Bankers can also hedge against interest rate risk by trading derivatives, like swaps
and futures, and engaging in other off-balance-sheet activities.
KEY TA KEA WA YS
Off-balance-sheet activities like fees, loan sales, and derivatives trading help
banks to manage their interest rate risk by providing them with income that is not
based on assets (and hence is off the balance sheet).
Derivatives trading can be used to hedge or reduce interest rate risks but can also
be used by risky bankers or rogue traders to increase risk to the point of endangering
a bank’s capital cushion and hence its economic existence.
2204
Budgets, Budgets, and More Budgets
by Kerri Schaffert (Instructor) - Wednesday, 2 September 2020, 5:09 PM
Number of replies: 1
Review the material in Chapter 5 on "Financial Plans: Budgets." Discuss one of the following in at least 100
words.
2
Written Assignment Unit 4
Prepare an essay approximately 500-650 words that answers all three elements below. Cite references to material
that you use in preparing the essay.
a. What financial tools described in this chapter can help you make better financial decisions?
b. What are the components of a comprehensive budget and what is the purpose of each component?
c. How are specialized budgets prepared? What is the relationship of specialized budgets to the comprehensive
budget?
3
Learning Journal Unit 4
When is a cash flow budget a useful alternative to a comprehensive budget? Answer in approximately 250
words.