Blackjack Strategy
Blackjack Strategy
Blackjack is in part a game of skill, not pure luck. A good blackjack player can
change the casino's normal edge by playing with a good strategy/system, and
can even on occasion gain an edge over the casino.
The way to win is to get a better hand than the dealer. Many players forget
this and play solely to get as close to 21 as possible, and end up busting
more often than they should.
The dealer has the advantage in that all players go first. If a player busts
first he/she loses even if the dealer busts later in the game.
The dealer has to follow a set of rules regardless of his position. Even if
the dealer has a winning hand with a total of 16 he still has to take another
card and may bust.
Because the dealer must play using the house rules he/she must always hit with
a hand of 16 or less and stand with a hand of 17 or more (some casinos allow
the dealer to hit on a soft 17). One of the dealer's cards is face-up for all to see,
and the following predictions for the dealer going bust have been computed.
It can now be seen that the dealer has a better chance of busting when his face-
up card is a six or smaller value card, and less if the face-up card has a value of
seven or more. Using this information the following blackjack strategy was
developed:
The basic strategy for playing soft hands is to double down when the dealer has
a high probability of busting (low value face-up cards).
Players
Strategy
Hand
Soft 19 or
Stand
20
Soft 18 Stand if the dealer is showing 2,7 or 8.
Hit if the dealer is showing 9,10 or Ace.
Double if the dealer is showing 3,4,5 or 6.
Soft 17 Hit if the dealer is showing 2, 7, 8, 9, 10 or
Ace.
Double if the dealer is showing 3,4,5 or 6.
Soft 16 or Hit if the dealer is showing 2, 3, 7, 8, 9, 10
15 or Ace.
Double if the dealer is showing 4,5 or 6.
Soft 14 or Hit if the dealer is showing 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 9,
13 10 or Ace.
Double if the dealer is showing 5 or 6.
In the event that you are dealt a card that changes your hand from a soft hand
(Ace = 11) to a hard hand (Ace = 1) then change strategies to the hard hand
rules discussed previously.
Casinos have different rules for doubling down; usually you can only double
down after you receive your initial two cards and before you draw a third card,
but some casinos only allow the option on certain hand values (usually 9, 10 or
11).
All other splitting decisions are made depending on the dealer's face-up card in
general split when the dealer is showing a low value face-up card. Split when:
• Player has a pair of 2's, 3's or 7,s and the dealer is showing 2 through 7.
• Player has a pair of 4's and the dealer is showing 5 or 6.
• Player has a pair of 6's and the dealer is showing 2 through 6.
• Player has a pair of 9's and the dealer is showing 2 through 6, 8 or 9. - If
the dealer is showing a 7 and you assume he/she has a hole card worth
10 then your 18 will beat it so you don't split.
Surrendering
This is not a popular blackjack option, and is not offered in many casinos. You
surrender when you have a hand that has a very poor chance of winning. Upon
surrendering you stop playing and lose one-half of your bet (thus keeping one-
half of the bet rather than losing it all).
When playing multiple deck blackjack games you should only surrender
when:
When playing two deck Blackjack games you should only surrender when:
Insurance
As a general rule you should not take insurance, it is a bad bet. We all get our
gut feelings sometimes, but the odds are never in your favor.