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Sample: Further Statistics 1

1. Discrete random variables can only take certain numerical values. The expected value (E(X)) of a discrete random variable X is the sum of each possible value x multiplied by its probability P(X=x). 2. For a discrete random variable X, the expected value of X^2 is calculated as E(X^2) = ∑x^2P(X=x). Any function of a random variable is also a random variable. 3. Banks and stock traders use random variables to model risks and calculate expected profits to determine if investments will make money in the long run.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
67 views13 pages

Sample: Further Statistics 1

1. Discrete random variables can only take certain numerical values. The expected value (E(X)) of a discrete random variable X is the sum of each possible value x multiplied by its probability P(X=x). 2. For a discrete random variable X, the expected value of X^2 is calculated as E(X^2) = ∑x^2P(X=x). Any function of a random variable is also a random variable. 3. Banks and stock traders use random variables to model risks and calculate expected profits to determine if investments will make money in the long run.

Uploaded by

Osama AlDouri
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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11 - 19 PROGRESSION

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Edexcel AS and A level Further Mathematics

Further Statistics 1

FS1
Edexcel AS and A level Further Mathematics

Sample material
Discrete random
variables
Objectives
1
Aer completing this chapter you should be able to:
● Find the expected value of a discrete random variable X → pages 2–5

● Find the expected value of X 2 → pages 3–5

● Find the variance of a random variable → pages 5–7

● Use the expected value and variance of a function of X → pages 7–11

● Solve problems involving random variables → pages 11–14

T
AF
DR
Prior knowledge check
1 The random variable X ∼ B(12, _16 ). Find:
a P(X = 2)
b P(X < 2) Statistics and Mechanics
c P(8 < X < 11) ← Year 1, Section 6.3

2 The discrete random variable Y has


probability mass function P(Y = y) = ky2,
Discrete random variables are an y = 1, 2, 4, 5, 10 …
important tool in probability. Banks
a Find the value of k. Statistics and Mechanics
and stockmarket traders use random
variables to model their risks on b Find P(Y is prime). ← Year 1, Section 6.1

investments that have an element 3 Solve simultaneously:


of randomness. By calculating the
3x + 2y − z = 5
expected value of their profits, they can
be confident of making money in the 2x − y = 8
long term. x−z=3 ← Pure Year 1, Chapter 3

1
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

1.1 Expected value of a discrete random variable a p + q + 0.1 + 0.3 + 0.2 = 1 Problem-solving
p + q = 1 − 0.6 Remember that the probabilities must add up
Recall that a random variable is a variable whose Links p + q = 0.4 (1) to 1. You will o en have to use ∑P(X = x) = 1
The probabilities of any discrete random
value depends on a random event. The random (1 × 0.1) + 2p + (3 × 0.3) + 4q + (5 × 0.2) = 3 when solving problems involving discrete
variable add up to 1. For a discrete random
variable is discrete if it can only take certain variable, X, you write ∑P(X = x) = 1. 2p + 4q = 3 − (0.1 + 0.9 + 1) random variables.
numerical values. ← Statistics and Mechanics Year 1, Chapter 6 2p + 4q = 1 (2)
E(X ) = ∑xP(X = x)
If you take a set of observations from a discrete random b 2p + 4q = 1
Watch out The expected value is a
variable, you can find the mean of those observations. 2p + 2q = 0.8 From (2).
theoretical quantity, and gives information
As the number of observations increases, this value will so 2q = 0.2
about the probability distribution of a
get closer and closer to the expected value of the q= 0.1 Multiply (1) by 2.
random variable.
discrete random variable. p= 0.4 − q
= 0.4 − 0.1 Subtract bottom line from top line.
■ The expected value of the discrete Notation The expected value is sometimes = 0.3
random variable X is denoted E(X ) referred to as the mean,
mean, and is sometimes
and defined as E(X ) = ∑xP(X = x) denoted by µ µ..

T
If X is a discrete random variable, then X 2 is also a discrete random variable. You can use this rule to
determine the expected value of X 2.
Links Any function of a random variable is
Example 1 ■ E(X 2) = ∑x2P(X = x)
AF

AF
also a random variable. → Section 1.3
A fair six-sided dice is rolled. The number on the uppermost face is modelled by the random
variable X.
a Write down the probability distribution of X.
X.
Example 3
b Use the probability distribution of X to calculate E(X
E(X ).
A discrete random variable X has a probability distribution.
DR

DR
a x 1 2 3 4 5 6 Since the dice is fair, each side is equally likely x 1 2 3 4
__1 __1 __1 __1 __1 __1 __
12 __
6 __
4 __
3
P(x = x) 6 6 6 6 6 6 to end facing up, so the probability of any face P(X = x) 15 25 25 25
ending up as the uppermost is _6
1

b The expected value of X is: a Write down the probability distribution for X 2.
_ _ _
6
E(X) = ∑ xP(X = x)) = 61 + 26 + … + 6 b Find E(X 2).
Substitute values from the probability
= __
21 _
7
6 = 2 = 3.5 X can take values 1, 2, 3, 4, so X 2 can take
distribution into the formula then simplify. a The distribution for X 2 is
values 12, 22, 32, 42.
If you know the probability distribution of X then you can calculate the expected value. Notice that in x 1 2 3 4
Example 1 the expected value is 3.5, but P(X = 3.5) = 0. The expected value of a random variable does x2 1 4 9 16
Note that because X takes only positive
not have to be a value that the random variable can actually take. Instead this tells us that in the long 12
___ 6
___ 4
___ 3
___
P(X 2 = x2) 25 25 25 25 values, P(X 2 = x 2) = P(X = x).
run, we would expect the average of several rolls to get close to 3.5.
b E(X 2) = ∑x2P(X = x2)
Watch out E(X 2) is, in general, not equal to
12 6 4 3
Example 2 = 1 × ___ + 4 × ___ + 9 × ___ + 16 × ___ In this example E(X ) = 1.92 and
(E(X ))2.
25 25 25 25
120 1.922 ≠ 4.8.
The random variable X has a probability distribution x 1 2 3 4 5 = ____
25
as shown in the table. p(x) 0.1 p 0.3 q 0.2 = 4.8
a Given that E(X ) = 3, write down two equations
involving p and q.
b Find the value of p and the value of q.

2 3
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

E/P 7 The discrete random variable X has probability function


Exercise 1A
P(X = x) = {
a(1 − x) x = −2, −1, 0
1 For each of the following probability distributions write out the distribution of X 2 and calculate b b x =x5= 5
both E(X ) and E(X 2).
Given that E(X ) = 1.2, find the value of a and the value of b. (6 marks)
a x 2 4 6 8
8 A biased six-sided dice has a _8 chance of landing on any of the numbers 1, 2, 3 or 4.
1
P(X = x) 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 E/P
Watch out Note that, for example,
The probabilities of landing on 5 or 6 are unknown. The outcome is modelled as a random
b x −2 −1 1 2 variable, X. Given that E(X ) = 4.1,
P(X 2 = 4) = P(X = 2) + P(X = −2).
P(X = x) 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 a find the probability distribution of X. (5 marks)
The dice is rolled 10 times.
2 The score on a biased dice is modelled by a random variable X with probability distribution
b Calculate the probability that the dice lands on 6 at least 3 times. (3 marks)
x 1 2 3 4 5 6
P(X = x) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 E 9 Jorge has designed a game for his school fete. Students can pay £1 to roll a fair six-sided dice.
Find E(X ) and E(X 2). If they score a 6 they win a prize of £5. If they score a 4 or a 5 they win a smaller prize of ££P.

T
By modelling the amount paid out in prize money as a
3 The random variable X has a probability function Hint The expected profit from the
discrete random variable, determine the maximum value
game is the cost of playing the game
1 of P in order for Jorge to make a profit on his game.
P(X = x) = __
AF

AF
x x = 2, 3, 6 minus the expected value of the
amount paid out in prize money.
a Construct tables giving the probability distributions of X and X 2.
b Work out E(X ) and E(X 2).
c State whether or not (E(X ))2 = E(
E(X
X 2). Challenge
Three fair six-sided dice are rolled. The discrete random variable X is
4 The random variable X has a probability function given by defined as the largest value of the three values shown. Find E(X
E( ).
DR

DR
P(X = x) = { −−44
2 −x x = 1, 2, 3, 4
2 x=5
a Construct a table giving the probability distribution of X.
b Calculate E(X ) and E(X
E(X 2). 1.2 Variance of a discrete random variable
c State whether or not (E(X
(E(X ))2 = E(
E(X 2). If you take a set of observations from a discrete random variable, you can find the variance of those
observations. As the number of observations increases, this value will get closer and closer to the
E/P 5 The random variable X has the following probability distribution. variance of the discrete random variable.
x 1 2 3 4 5 ■ The variance of X is usually written as Var(X ) and is defined as
P(X = x) 0.1 a b 0.2 0.1 Var(X ) = E((X − E(X ))2)
Given that E(X) = 2.9 find the value of a and the value of b. (5 marks) ■ Sometimes it is easier to calculate the variance using Notation The variance is
the formula Var(X) = E(X2) − (E(X ))2 sometimes denoted by σ 2, where
E/P 6 The random variable X has the following probability σ is the standard deviation.
Hint You can use the given The random variable (X − E(X ))2 is the squared deviation
distribution.
information to write down from the expected value of X. It is large when X takes values
x −2 −1 1 2 simultaneous equations for a, b and c that are very different to E(X ).
P(X = x) 0.1 a b c which can be solved using the matrix
From the definition you can see that Var(X ) > 0 for any random variable X. The larger Var(X ) the
inverse operation on your calculator.
Given that E(X ) = 0.3 and E(X 2) = 1.9, find a, b and c. ← Core Pure Book 1, Section 6.6
more variable X is. In other words, the more likely it is to take values very different to its expected
(7 marks) value.

4 5
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

3 Given that Y is the score when a single unbiased six-sided dice is rolled, find E(Y ) and Var(Y ).
Example 4

A fair six-sided dice is rolled. The number on the uppermost face is modelled by the random P 4 Two fair cubical dice are rolled and S is the sum of their scores. Find:
variable X. a the distribution of S b E(S )
Calculate the variance using both formulae and check that you get the same answer. c Var(S ) d the standard deviation.

We have that E(X ) = 3.5 This was calculated in the first example 5 Two fair tetrahedral (four-sided) dice are rolled and D is the difference between their scores.
The distributions of X, X 2 and (X − E(X))2 are given by of the previous section. Find:
a the distribution of D and show that P(D = 3) = _8
1
x 1 2 3 4 5 6
x2 1 4 9 16 26 36 b E(D)
(x − E(X ))2 6.25 2.25 0.25 0.25 2.25 6.25 c Var(D).
__1 __1 __1 __1 __1 __1
P(X = x) 6 6 6 6 6 6

So the variance is E 6 A fair coin is tossed repeatedly until a head appears or three tosses have been made. The random
Var(X ) = ∑(x − E(X )) 2 P(X = x) variable T represents the number of tosses of the coin.
a Show that the distribution of T is

T
Substitute values into the formula for
= 6.25 × __
2 __
2 __
2
6 + 2.25 × 6 + 0.25 × 6 variance.
t 1 2 3
= (6.25 + 2.25 + 0.25) × __
1 ___
35
3 = 12 _1 _1 _1
P(T = t) 2 4 4 (3 marks)
AF

AF
The expected value of X2 is
__ __
91 b Find the expected value and variance of T.
T. (6 marks)
E(X 2) = ∑x 2 P(X = x) = 61 (1 + 4 + … + 36) = 6
So using the alternative formula
E 7 The random variable X has probability distribution given by
Var(X ) = E(X 2) − (E(X )) 2 = __
91 ___
49 ___
35
6 − 4 = 12
x 1 2 3
P(X = x) a b a
DR

DR
Exercise 1B where a and b are constants.
a Write down E(X ). (2 marks)
1 The random variable X has a probability distribution given by
b Given that Var(X
Var(X ) = 0.75, find the values of a and b. (5 marks)
x −1 0 1 2 3
_1 _1 _1 _1 _1
P(X = x) 5 5 5 5 5

a Write down E(X ).


b Find Var(X ). 1.3 Expected value and variance of a function of X
If X is a discrete random variable, and g is a function, then g(X ) is also a discrete random variable.
2 Find the expected value and variance of the random variable X with probability distribution
You can calculate the expected value of g(X ) using the formula:
given by
■ E(g(X )) = ∑g(x)P(X = x)
a x 1 2 3
_1 _1 _1 This is a more general version of the formula for E(X 2). For simple functions, such as addition and
P(X = x) 3 2 6
multiplication by a constant, you can learn the following rules:
b x −1 0 1 ■ If X is a random variable and a and b are constants, then E(aX + b) = aE(X ) + b
_1 _1 _1
P(X = x) 4 2 4 ■ If X and Y are random variables, then E(X + Y ) = E(X ) + E(Y ).
c x −2 −1 1 2 You can use a similar rule to simplify variance calculations for some functions of random variables:
_1 _1 _1 _1
P(X = x) 3 3 6 6 ■ If X is a random variable and a and b are constants then Var(aX + b) = a2 Var(X ).

6 7
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

Example 5 Example 7

A discrete random variable X has a probability distribution Two fair 10p coins are tossed. The random variable X represents the total value of the coins that
land heads up.
x 1 2 3 4
__
12 __
6 __
4 __
3 a Find E(X ) and Var(X ).
P(X = x) 25 25 25 25
The random variables S and T are defined as follows:
a Write down the probability distribution for Y where Y = 2X + 1.
S = X − 10 and T = _2 X − 5
1
b Find E(Y ).
b Show that E(S ) = E(T ).
c Compute E(X ) and verify that E(Y ) = 2E(X ) + 1.
c Find Var(S ) and Var (T ).
a The distribution for Y is When x = 1, y = 2 × 1 + 1 = 3 Susan and Thomas play a game using two 10p coins. The coins are tossed and Susan records her
x = 2, y = 2 × 2 + 1 = 5 score using the random variable S and Thomas uses the random variable T
T.. After a large number
x 1 2 3 4
etc.
y 3 5 7 9 of tosses they compare their scores.

P(Y = y)
12
___ 6
___ 4
___ 3
___ d Comment on any likely differences or similarities.
25 25 25 25

T
Notice how the probabilities relating to X a The distribution of X is
b E(Y ) = ∑yP(Y = y) are still being used, for example,
P(X = 3) = P(Y = 7). x 0 10 20
12 6 4 3
= 3 × ___ + 5 × ___ + 7 × ___ + 9 × ___
AF

AF
25 25 25 25 1
__ 1
__ 1
__ The distribution of X is symmetric
P(X = x) 4 2 4
121 around 10. More precisely, X has the same
= ____
25 E(X ) = 10 by symmetry. distribution as 10 − (X − 10) = 20 − X.
= 4.84 Var (X ) = E(X 2) − (E(X ))2 E(X) = E(20 − X ) = 20 − E(X ),
Therefore E(
12
___ 6 1 + 102 × __ 1 − 102 = 50
1 + 202 × __ E(X ) = 10.
so E(
c E(X ) = ∑xP(X = x) = 1 × + 2 × ___ Var(X ) = 02 × __
25 25 4 2 4
4 3 48 Use the formulae for the expected value
+ 3 × ___ + 4 × ___ = ___ = 1.92 b E(S) = E(X − 10) = E(X ) − 10 = 10 − 10 = 0
DR

DR
25 25 25 of a sum.
2 × 1.92 + 1 = 4.84
If you know or are given E(X ) you can use the
formula to find E(Y ) quickly.
( 1 X − 5 = __
E(T ) = E __
2
1 E(
2 ) 1 × 10 − 5 = 0
X ) − 5 = __
E(X
2

c Var(S ) = Var(X) = 50 Subtracting a constant doesn’t change


the variance, so Var(S ) = Var(X ).
( )
2
1 50
Var(T ) = __ Var(X ) = ___ = 12.5
2 4
Example 6 Both random variables have expected value
d Their total scores should both be approximately 0, so we would expect both Susan and
A random variable X has E(X ) = 4 and Var (X ) = 3. zero, but Susan’s scores should be more spread Thomas to have a score of approximately
Find: out than Thomas’s. 0. The random variable S which represents
Susan’s score has higher variance, meaning
a E(3X ) b E(X − 2) we should expect it to vary more.
c Var(3X ) d Var(X − 2)
e E(X 2)
Example 8
a E(3X ) = 3E(X ) = 3 × 4 = 12
b E(X − 2) = E(X ) − 2 = 4 − 2 = 2 The random variable X has the following distribution
c Var(3X ) = 32 Var(X ) = 9 × 3 = 27
x 0° 30° 60° 90°
d Var (X − 2) = Var(X ) = 3 P(X = x) 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3
e E(X 2) = Var(X ) + (E(X ))2 = 3 + 42 = 19 Rearrange Var(X) = E(X2) − (E(X))2
Calculate E(sinX ).

8 9
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

6 In a board game, players roll a fair six-sided dice each time they make it around the board.
The distribution of sin X is
__ The score on the dice is modelled as a discrete random variable X.
1
__ √3
___
sin x 0 1 a Write down E(X ).
2 2
P(X = x) 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 They are paid £200 plus £100 times the score on the dice. The amount paid to each player is
1
__ modelled as a discrete random variable Y.
E(sin X) = ∑sin x P(X = x) = 0 × 0.4 + × 0.2 Using the general formula for E(g(X )).
2 b Write Y in terms of X.
__
√3
___
+
2
× 0.1 + 1 × 0.3 c Find the expected pay out each time a player makes it around the board.
__
8 + √3
= _______ ≈ 0.487
20 P 7 John runs a pizza parlour that sells pizza in three sizes: small (20 cm diameter), medium (30 cm
diameter) and large (40 cm diameter). Each pizza base is 1 cm thick. John has worked out that
3 9 5
on average, customers order a small, medium or large pizza with probabilities ___, ___ and ___
10 20 20
Exercise 1C respectively. Calculate the expected amount of pizza dough needed per customer.
1 The random variable X has distribution given by

T
E/P 8 Two tetrahedral dice are rolled. The random variable X represents the result of subtracting the
x 1 2 3 4
smaller score from the larger.
P(X = x) 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4
a Find E(X ) and Var(X ). (7 marks)
a Write down the probability distribution for Y where Y = 22X
X − 3.
AF

AF
X+1
44X
The random variables Y and Z are defined as Y = 2X and Z = ______.
b Find E(Y ). 2
c Calculate E(X ) and verify that E(2X
E(2X − 3) = 2E(X ) − 3.
2E(X b Show that E(Y ) = E(Z ). (3 marks)
c Find Var(Z ). (2 marks)
2 The random variable X has distribution given by
Challenge Hint Remember that for two random
x −2 −1 0 1 2
DR

DR
Show that E((X − E(X ))2) = E(
E(XX 2) − (E(
(E(XX ))2. variables X and Y we have
P(X = x) 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 E(X + Y ) = E(X ) + E(Y )
a Write down the probability distribution for Y where Y = X 3.
b Calculate E(Y ).

3 The random variable X has E(X


E(X ) = 1 and Var(X ) = 2. Find:
1.4 Solving problems involving random variables
a E(8X ) b E(X + 3) c Var(X + 3)
d Var(3X ) e Var(1 − 2X ) f E(X 2) Suppose we have two random variables X and Y = g(X ). If g is one-to-one, and we know the mean
and variance of Y, then it is possible to deduce the mean and variance of X.

4 The random variable X has E(X ) = 3 and E(X 2) = 10. Find:


Example 9
a E(2X ) b E(3 − 4X ) c E(X2 − 4X )
X − 150
d Var(X ) e Var(3X + 2) X is a discrete random variable. The discrete random variable Y is defined as Y = _______
50
Given that E(Y ) = 5.1 and Var(Y ) = 2.5, find:
5 The random variable X has a mean µ and standard deviation σ. a E(X )
Find, in terms of µ and σ   : b Var(X ).
a E(4X) b E(2X + 2) c E(2X − 2)
d Var(2X + 2) e Var(2X − 2)

10 11
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

X − 150 In matrix form this is


a Y = ________
50

( ) (
1 1 1 a 0.45
( 1 1 4) c 0.6 )
X = 50Y + 150 Rearrange to get an expression for X in terms of Y. −1 1 2 b = 0.1
E(X ) = E(50Y + 150)
By inverting the matrix on a calculator (or
= 50E(Y ) + 150 So, by inverting the matrix we find
by hand) we find values for a, b and c.
= 255 + 150
(c ) 6 (
a 2 −3 1 0.45 0.2

2 )( 0.6 ) (0.05)
Use your expression for X in terms of Y. 1
__
= 405 b = 6 3 −3 0.1 = 0.2
Remember that the ‘+150’ does not affect the −2 0
b Var(X ) = Var(50Y + 150)
variance, and that you have to multiply Var(Y ) by So a = 0.2, b = 0.2 and c = 0.05.
= 502Var(Y )
502 to get Var(X ).
= 502 × 2.5 Use the expression for Y to write everything
c P(X > Y) = P(X > 3X − 1) = P(1 − 2X > 0)
= 6250 in terms of X only.
So P(X > Y ) = 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.25 = 0.75.
1 − 2X > 0 when X = −2, −1, 0. So
P(X > Y ) = P(X=−
P(X −2)
2) + P(
P(X = −1) + P(X = 0).
Example 10
Exercise 1D

T
The discrete random variable X has probability distribution given by
x −2 −1 0 1 2 1 X is a discrete random variable. The random variable Y is defined by Y = 44X
X − 6. Given that
P(X = x) 0.3 a 0.25 b c E(Y ) = 2 and Var(Y ) = 32, find:
AF

AF
The discrete random variable Y is defined as Y = 33X
X − 1. a E(X )
Given that E(Y ) = −2.5 and Var(Y ) = 13.95, find b Var(X )
a E(X ) and E(X 2) c the standard deviation.
b the values of a, b and c
4 − 3X
c P(X > Y ). 2 X is a discrete random variable. The random variable Y is defined by Y = ______
2
DR

DR
Given that E(Y ) = −1 Var(Y ) = 9, find:
1 and Var(Y
Y+1 Rearrange the formula Y = 3X − 1 to
a We have X = _____ a E(X )
3 get it in terms of X.
b Var(X )
E(X) = E (_____
3 ) 3
Y + 1 = __
1 (E( Y ) + 1) = −
(E(Y −0.5
0.5
Adding a constant does not change c E(X 2)
variance, so Var(Y + 1) = Var(Y ).
Var(X) = Var (_____
3 ) 9
Y + 1 = __
1 Var( Y ) = 1.55
Var(Y
P 3 The discrete random variable X has probability distribution given by
Var(aX + b) = a2 Var(X ).
So E(X 2) = Var(X ) + (E(X ))2 = 1.55 + 0.25 = 1.8.
x 1 2 3 4
b We have P(X = x) 0.3 a b 0.2
a + b + c = 1 − 0.3 − 0.25 = 0.45 The probabilities must sum to 1.
The random variable Y is defined by Y = 2X + 3. Given that E(Y ) = 8, find the values of a and b.
E(X ) = −2 × 0.3 − 1 × a + 0 × 0.25 + 1 × b + 2 × c
= −0.5 We know that E(X ) = −0.5 from part a.
So E/P 4 The discrete random variable X has probability distribution given by
−a + b + 2c = −0.5 + 0.6 = 0.1
x 90° 180° 270°
E(X2) = 4 × 0.3 + 1 × a + 0 × 0.25 + 1 × b + 4 × c
P(X = x) a b 0.3
= 1.8
So The random variable Y is defined as Y = sin X °.
a + b + 4c = 1.8 − 1.2 = 0.6 a Find the range of possible values of E(Y ). (5 marks)
We know that E(X 2) = 1.8 from part a.
b Given that E(Y ) = 0.2, write down the values of a and b. (2 marks)

12 13
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

P 5 The discrete random variable X has probability distribution given by 3 A discrete random variable X has the probability distribution shown in the table below.
x −2 −1 0 1 2 x 0 1 2
P(X = x) a b c b a _1 _1
P(X = x) 5 b 5 +b
The random variable Y is defined Y = (X + 1)2. Given that E(Y ) = 2.4 and P(Y > 2) = 0.4, a Find the value of b. b Show that E(X ) = 1.3.
a show that: c Find the exact value of Var(X ). d Find the exact value of P(X < 1.5).
2a + 2b + c = 1
10a + 4b + c = 2.4 4 The discrete random variable X has a probability function
a + b = 0.4
k(1 − x) x = 0, 1

{0
b Hence find the values of a, b, and c.
P(X = x) = k(x − 1) x = 2, 3
c Find P(2X + 3 < Y ). otherwise
E/P 6 The discrete random variable X has probability distribution is given by where k is a constant.
a Show that k = _4
1
a x = 1, 2, 3 b Find E(X ) and show that E(X
E(X 2) = 5.5.

{c
P(X = x) = b x = 4, 5 c Find Var(2X − 2).

T
x=6
5 A discrete random variable X has the probability distribution
E(X ) = −
Suppose that Y is defined by Y = 1 − 2X.. Given that E(X −5.6 P(Y < −5) = 0.6,
5.6 and P(Y
a write down the value of E(X ) (1 mark) x 0 1 2 3
AF

AF
_1 _1 _1 _1
b show that: P(X = x) 4 2 8 8

3a + 2b + c = 1 Find:
2a + 3b + 2c = 1.1
a P(1 , X < 2) b E(
E(X
X) c E(3X
E(3X − 1)
a + 2b + c = 0.6 (4 marks)
d Var(X ) e E(log(X
E(log(X + 1))
c Solve the system to find values for aa,, bb,, cc.. (2 marks)
d Find P(X > 5 + Y ). (2 marks)
DR

DR
6 A discrete random variable X has the probability distribution
x 1 2 3 4
P(X = x) 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3
Mixed exercise 1
Find:
1 The random variable X has probability function a P(3 < X 2 < 10) b E(X
E( ) c Var(X )

d E(_____ )
x 3−X __
P(X = x) = ___ x = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. 2
e E(√ X ) f E(2−x)
21
a Construct a table giving the probability distribution of X.
7 A discrete random variable is such that each of its values is assumed to be equally likely.
Find:
a Write the name of the distribution. b Give an example of such a distribution.
b P(2 , X < 5) c E(X ) d Var(X )
A discrete random variable X as defined above can take values 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4.
e Var(3 − 2X ) f E(X 3)
Find:
2 The discrete random variable X has the probability distribution in the table below. c E(X ) d Var(X ) e the standard deviation.
x −2 −1 0 1 2 3
P 8 The random variable X has a probability distribution.
P(X = x) 0.1 0.2 0.3 t 0.1 0.1

Find: x 1 2 3 4 5
P(X = x) 0.1 p q 0.3 0.1
a r b P(−1 < X , 2) c E(2X + 3) d Var(2X + 3)

14 15
Chapter 1 Discrete random variables

a Given that E(X ) = 3.1, write down two equations involving p and q. Find: 14 A fair spinner is made from the disc in the diagram and the 0°
b the value of p and the value of q random variable X represents the number it lands on after
c Var(X ) being spun.
1
d Var(2X − 3). a Write down the distribution of X. b Work out E(X ). 3
90°
c Find Var(X ). d Find E(2X + 1).
E 9 The random variable X has probability function e Find Var(3X − 1). 2

⎧ kx x = 1, 2 225°
P(X = x) = ⎨
⎩ k(x − 2) x = 3, 4, 5
15 The discrete variable X has the probability distribution
where k is a constant.
x −1 0 1 2
a Find the value of k. (2 marks)
P(X = x) 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1
b Find the exact value of E(X ). (2 marks))
Find:
c Show that, to three significant figures, Var(X ) = 2.02. (2 marks)
c E(_3 X + 1) d Var(_3 X + 1)
1 1
a E(X ) b Var(X )
d Find, to one decimal place, Var(3 − 2X ). (2 marks)

T
E 10 The random variable X has the discrete uniform distribution E/P 16 The discrete random variable X has probability distribution given by

P(X = x) = _6
1 x −1 0 1 2
x = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
P(X = x) 0.1 0.3 a b
AF

AF
X ) = __
35
a Write down E(X ) and show that Var(X 12 . (4 marks)
b Find E(2X − 1). (2 marks) The random variable Y is defined Y = 1 − 33X
3X.
X.. Given that E(
X Y ) = 1.1,
E(Y
c Find Var(3 − 2X ). (2 marks) a find the values of a and b. (5 marks)
d Find E(2x). (3 marks) b Calculate E(X 2) and Var(X ) using the values of a and b that you found in part a. (3 marks)
c Write down the value of Var(Y
Var(Y ). ( mark)
(1
11 The random variable X has probability function d Find P(Y + 2 > X ). (2 marks)
DR

DR
3x − 1
p(x) = ______ x = 1, 2, 3, 4.
26 E/P 17 The discrete random variable X has probability distribution given by
a Construct a table giving the probability distribution of X. x −2 0 2 3 4
Find: P(X = x) a b a b c
b P(2 , X < 4)
2 − 3X
c the exact value of E(X ). The random variable Y is defined as Y = ______
5
d Show that Var(X ) = 0.92 to two significant figures. You are given that E(Y ) = −0.98 and P(Y > −1) = 0.4
e Find Var(1 − 3X ). a Write down three simultaneous equations in a, b and c. (4 marks)
b Solve this system to find the values of a, b and c. (3 marks)
12 The random variable Y has mean 2 and variance 9. c Find P(−2X > 10Y ). (2 marks)
Find:
Challenge Hint You can make use of the
a E(3Y + 1) b E(2 − 3Y ) c Var(3Y + 1)
Let n be a positive integer and suppose that X is a discrete following results:
d Var(2 − 3Y ) e E(Y 2) f E((Y − 1)(Y + 1)).
1 for i = 1, …, n.
random variable with P(X = i ) = __
n n(n + 1)
n ∑i = _______
i=1 2
13 The random variable T has a mean of 20 and a standard deviation of 5.
(n + 1)(n − 1)
n + 1 and Var(X ) = ___________ n n(n + 1)(2n + 1)
It is required to scale T by using the transformation S = 3T + 4. Show that E(X ) = _____ ∑i 2 = _____________
2 12 i=1 6
Find E(S) and Var(S).
← Core Pure Book 1, Chapter 3

16 17
Chapter 1

Summary of key points


1 The expected value of the discrete random variable X is denoted E(X ) and defined as
E(X ) = ∑xP(X = x).

2 The expected value of X 2 is E(X 2) = ∑x2P(X = x).

3 The variance of X is usually written as Var(X ) and is defined as


Var(X ) = E((X − E(X ))2)

4 Sometimes, it is easier to calculate the variance using the formula


Var(X ) = E(X 2) − E(X )2

5 E(g(X )) = ∑g(x) P(X = x).

6 If X is a random variable and a and b are constants, then E(aX + bb)) = aaE(
E(aX X ) + b.
E(X
X)
aE(X

T
7 If X and Y are random variables, then E(X + Y ) = E(
E(XX ) + E(
E(Y
Y ))..

8 If X is a random variable and a and b are constants then Var(aX + bb)) = a2 Var(X ).
Var(aX
AF
DR

18
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