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Day 7 - Module Linear Regression

This document contains sample problems involving regression analysis and trend lines. 1) It provides data to calculate a regression equation relating variables x and y. 2) A regression equation is given relating the number of natural calamities (x) to hotel profits (y). Several questions are asked about predicting profits based on this relationship. 3) Time series data on COVID-19 cases in the Philippines is analyzed to find a trend line equation predicting future cases over time. 4) A hypothetical time series on cadet clearances each month is analyzed to find its trend line equation and make predictions.

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Joven Jaravata
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437 views2 pages

Day 7 - Module Linear Regression

This document contains sample problems involving regression analysis and trend lines. 1) It provides data to calculate a regression equation relating variables x and y. 2) A regression equation is given relating the number of natural calamities (x) to hotel profits (y). Several questions are asked about predicting profits based on this relationship. 3) Time series data on COVID-19 cases in the Philippines is analyzed to find a trend line equation predicting future cases over time. 4) A hypothetical time series on cadet clearances each month is analyzed to find its trend line equation and make predictions.

Uploaded by

Joven Jaravata
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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ACTIVITY 7 Name: Joven Jaravata (ABPsych1)

1. For the following information obtained from a sample data set, find the regression equation.
Σx = 66, x = 5.5, Σy = 588, Σxy = 2244, Σx2 = 396

Regression Equation: Y’ = -145, 705.22 + 12,151.51X

2. A researcher took a sample of 10 years and found the following relationship between x and
y where x is the number of major natural calamities that occurred during a year and y
represents the total profits (in millions of pesos) of local hotels in Baguio City.
y = 10.6 - 0.2x
10.6 million pesos (a) Assuming that there were no calamities in a selected year, how much
were the total profits of these hotels during that year?
(b) For every natural calamity that occurred, total profits (rose , fell ) fell by rose .
9.2 million pesos (c) A randomly selected year had 7 major calamities. What were the
expected total profits of these hotels for that year?
_4 calamities (d) If total profits of these hotels were Php 9.8M for a certain year, how many
calamities had hit Baguio City during that year?

3. Consider the ff data below: (from worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/Philippines)


Year (t) May (1) June(2) July (3) Aug(4) Sept(5) Oct(6)
# of Positive cases (y) 17,224 37,514 89,291 217,373 311,664 376,927
Of Covid-19 in the Phil

a) Find the trend line equation. y = - 96, 461.065 - 77, 559.97 t Show solution below.
b) Draw the scatter diagram and the graph of the trend line equation below.
c) Predict the number of corona virus positive for the December 2020 - 717, 260.83
Y

300000 --

250000 -- Y = - 96, 461.065 - 77, 559.97 t

200000 --

150000 --

100000 --

50000 --

| | | | | | | | | t
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Page 1 of 7
t = 21; y = 1,049, 993; ty = 5,032,275; t2 = 91; t = 3.5
y = 174,998.83

b = 6 (5,032,275) – (21) (1,049,993) = 77, 559.97


6 (91) – (21)2

a = 174,998.83 – (77, 559.97) (3.5) = - 96, 461.065

Hence, the equation of the trend line is

y = - 96, 461.065 - 77, 559.97 t

Month of December indicates t = 8. Using the trend line equation with t = 8,


we have y = - 96, 461.065 - 77, 559.97 (8) = - 717, 260.83

II.. Shown below is the graph of a hypothetical time-series set of data for y and t where t =
time period in months and y = number of clearing-out cadets for a certain year.
y
16 --
14 --
12 --
10 --
8 --
6 --
4 --
2 --
t (months)
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

a) Find: a = 18 , b = -2 , Trend line equation:_Y’ = 18 - 2 t .

If t = 0 represents the month of June 2020,


b) forecast the number of cadets who shall be clearing out because of resignation,
discharge or being turned-back in December of this year.

Month of December indicates t = 6. Using the trend line equation with t = 6,


we have y = 18 - 2(6) = 30_

c) in what month will there be no cadets clearing out? _February_

Page 2 of 7

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