Present Worth Analysis
Present Worth Analysis
3.1 INTRODUCTION
Interest rate is the rental value of money. It represents the growth of capital per
unit period. The period may be a month, a quarter, semiannual or a year. An
interest rate 15% compounded annually means that for every hundred rupees
invested now, an amount of Rs. 15 will be added to the account at the end of
the first year. So, the total amount at the end of the first year will be Rs. 115.
At the end of the second year, again 15% of Rs. 115, i.e. Rs. 17.25 will be added
to the account. Hence the total amount at the end of the second year will be
Rs. 132.25. The process will continue thus till the specified number of years.
If an investor invests a sum of Rs. 100 in a fixed deposit for five years with an
interest rate of 15% compounded annually, the accumulated amount at the end
of every year will be as shown in Table 3.1.
201.14
0 1 2 3 4 5
i = 15%
100
Fig. 3.1 Time value of money.
F
P=
(1 + i)n
From Table 3.2, it is clear that if we want Rs. 100 at the end of the fifth
year, we should now deposit an amount of Rs. 49.72. Similarly, if we want
Rs. 100.00 at the end of the 10th year, we should now deposit an amount of
Rs. 24.72.
Also, this concept can be stated as follows:
A person has received a prize from a finance company during the recent
festival contest. But the prize will be given in either of the following two modes:
28 Engineering Economics
. .
0 1 2 3 4 . . n
P i%
EXAMPLE 3.1 A person deposits a sum of Rs. 20,000 at the interest rate of
18% compounded annually for 10 years. Find the maturity value after 10 years.
Solution
P= Rs. 20,000
i= 18% compounded annually
n = 10 years
F= P(1 + i)n = P(F/P, i, n)
= 20,000 (F/P, 18%, 10)
= 20,000 ´ 5.234 = Rs. 1,04,680
The maturity value of Rs. 20,000 invested now at 18% compounded yearly
is equal to Rs. 1,04,680 after 10 years.
. .
0 1 2 3 4 . . n
P i%
Fig. 3.3 Cash flow diagram of single-payment present worth amount.
EXAMPLE 3.2 A person wishes to have a future sum of Rs. 1,00,000 for his
son’s education after 10 years from now. What is the single-payment that he
should deposit now so that he gets the desired amount after 10 years? The bank
gives 15% interest rate compounded annually.
Solution
F = Rs. 1,00,000
i = 15%, compounded annually
n = 10 years
P = F/(1 + i)n = F(P/F, i, n)
= 1,00,000 (P/F, 15%, 10)
= 1,00,000 ´ 0.2472
= Rs. 24,720
The person has to invest Rs. 24,720 now so that he will get a sum of
Rs. 1,00,000 after 10 years at 15% interest rate compounded annually.
F
i%
0 1 2 3 4 . .
. . n
A A A A A
Fig. 3.4 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series compound amount.
In Fig. 3.4,
A = equal amount deposited at the end of each interest period
n = No. of interest periods
i = rate of interest
F = single future amount
The formula to get F is
(1 + i)n − 1
F=A = A(F/A, i, n)
i
where
(F/A, i, n) is termed as equal-payment series compound amount factor.
EXAMPLE 3.3 A person who is now 35 years old is planning for his retired
life. He plans to invest an equal sum of Rs. 10,000 at the end of every year for
Interest Formulas and Their Applications 31
the next 25 years starting from the end of the next year. The bank gives 20%
interest rate, compounded annually. Find the maturity value of his account when
he is 60 years old.
Solution
A= Rs. 10,000
n= 25 years
i= 20%
F= ?
The corresponding cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 3.5.
F
i = 20%
0 1 2 3 4 . .
. . 25
(1 + i)n − 1
F=A
i
= A(F/A, i, n)
= 10,000(F/A, 20%, 25)
= 10,000 ´ 471.981
= Rs. 47,19,810
The future sum of the annual equal payments after 25 years is equal to
Rs. 47,19,810.
A A A A A
i%
Fig. 3.6 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series sinking fund.
32 Engineering Economics
In Fig. 3.6,
A = equal amount to be deposited at the end of each interest period
n = No. of interest periods
i = rate of interest
F = single future amount at the end of the nth period
The formula to get F is
i
A=F = F(A/F, i, n)
(1 + i)n − 1
where
(A/F, i, n) is called as equal-payment series sinking fund factor.
EXAMPLE 3.4 A company has to replace a present facility after 15 years at
an outlay of Rs. 5,00,000. It plans to deposit an equal amount at the end of every
year for the next 15 years at an interest rate of 18% compounded annually. Find
the equivalent amount that must be deposited at the end of every year for the
next 15 years.
Solution
F= Rs. 5,00,000
n = 15 years
i= 18%
A= ?
The corresponding cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 3.7.
5,00,000
i = 18%
0 1 2 3 4 . .
. . 15
A A A A A
Fig. 3.7 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series sinking fund.
i
A=F = F(A/F, i, n)
(1 + i)n − 1
= 5,00,000(A/F, 18%, 15)
= 5,00,000 ´ 0.0164
= Rs. 8,200
The annual equal amount which must be deposited for 15 years is Rs. 8,200.
payment made at the end of every interest period for n interest periods at an
interest rate of i compounded at the end of every interest period.
The corresponding cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 3.8. Here,
P= present worth
A= annual equivalent payment
i= interest rate
n = No. of interest periods
The formula to compute P is
(1 + i)n − 1
P=A = A(P/A, i, n)
i(1 + i)n
where
(P/A, i, n) is called equal-payment series present worth factor.
i%
0 1 2 3 4 . . n
. .
A A A A A
Fig. 3.8 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series present worth amount.
EXAMPLE 3.5 A company wants to set up a reserve which will help the
company to have an annual equivalent amount of Rs. 10,00,000 for the next 20
years towards its employees welfare measures. The reserve is assumed to grow
at the rate of 15% annually. Find the single-payment that must be made now as
the reserve amount.
Solution
A = Rs. 10,00,000
i = 15%
n = 20 years
P=?
The corresponding cash flow diagram is illustrated in Fig. 3.9.
i = 15%
0 1 2 3 4 . . 20
. .
1,00,00,000
10,00,000 10,00,000 10,00,000 10,00,000 10,00,000
Fig. 3.9 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series present worth amount.
34 Engineering Economics
(1 + i ) n − 1
P =A = A(P/A, i, n)
i (1 + i ) n
= 10,00,000 ´ (P/A, 15%, 20)
= 10,00,000 ´ 6.2593
= Rs. 62,59,300
The amount of reserve which must be set-up now is equal to Rs. 62,59,300.
i%
0 1 2 3 4 . . n
. .
A A A A A
Fig. 3.10 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series capital recovery amount.
In Fig. 3.10,
P= present worth (loan amount)
A= annual equivalent payment (recovery amount)
i= interest rate
n = No. of interest periods
The formula to compute P is as follows:
i(1 + i)n
A=P = P(A/P, i, n)
(1 + i)n − 1
where,
(A/P, i, n) is called equal-payment series capital recovery factor.
i = 18%
0 1 2 3 4 . . 15
. .
A A A A A
Fig. 3.11 Cash flow diagram of equal-payment series capital recovery amount.
i(1 + i)n
A=P = P(A/P, i, n)
(1 + i)n − 1
= 10,00,000 ´ (A/P, 18%, 15)
= 10,00,000 ´ (0.1964)
= Rs. 1,96,400
The annual equivalent installment to be paid by the company to the bank
is Rs. 1,96,400.
A1+ (n – 1)G
Fig. 3.12 Cash flow diagram of uniform gradient series annual equivalent amount.
EXAMPLE 3.7 A person is planning for his retired life. He has 10 more years
36 Engineering Economics
of service. He would like to deposit 20% of his salary, which is Rs. 4,000, at
the end of the first year, and thereafter he wishes to deposit the amount
with an annual increase of Rs. 500 for the next 9 years with an interest rate of
15%. Find the total amount at the end of the 10th year of the above series.
Solution Here,
A1 = Rs. 4,000
G= Rs. 500
i= 15%
n= 10 years
A= ?&F=?
The cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 3.13.
i = 15%
0 1 2 3 4 . . 10
. .
4,000
4,000 + 500
4,000 + 1,000
4,000 + 1,500
4,000 + 4,500
Fig. 3.13 Cash flow diagram of uniform gradient series annual equivalent amount.
(1 + i)n − in − 1
A = A1 + G
i(1 + i)n − i
= A1 + G(A/G, i, n)
= 4,000 + 500(A/G, 15%, 10)
= 4,000 + 500 ´ 3.3832
= Rs. 5,691.60
This is equivalent to paying an equivalent amount of Rs. 5,691.60 at the end of
every year for the next 10 years. The future worth sum of this revised series at
the end of the 10th year is obtained as follows:
F = A(F/A, i, n)
= A(F/A, 15%, 10)
= 5,691.60(20.304)
= Rs. 1,15,562.25
At the end of the 10th year, the compound amount of all his payments will
be Rs. 1,15,562.25.
EXAMPLE 3.8 A person is planning for his retired life. He has 10 more years
of service. He would like to deposit Rs. 8,500 at the end of the first year and
Interest Formulas and Their Applications 37
thereafter he wishes to deposit the amount with an annual decrease of Rs. 500
for the next 9 years with an interest rate of 15%. Find the total amount at the
end of the 10th year of the above series.
Solution Here,
A1 = Rs. 8,500
G = –Rs. 500
i = 15%
n = 10 years
A=?&F=?
The cash flow diagram is shown in Fig. 3.14.
i = 15%
0 1 2 3 4 . . 10
. .
4,000
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
Fig. 3.14 Cash flow diagram of uniform gradient series annual equivalent amount.
(1 + i)n − in − 1
A = A1 – G
i(1 + i)n − i
= A1 – G (A/G, i, n)
= 8,500 – 500(A/G, 15%, 10)
= 8,500 – 500 ´ 3.3832
= Rs. 6,808.40
This is equivalent to paying an equivalent amount of Rs. 6,808.40 at the end of
every year for the next 10 years.
The future worth sum of this revised series at the end of the 10th year is
obtained as follows:
F = A(F/A, i, n)
= A(F/A, 15%, 10)
= 6,808.40(20.304)
= Rs. 1,38,237.75
At the end of the 10th year, the compound amount of all his payments is
Rs. 1,38,237.75.
a year if the interest is compounded monthly. Under such situations, the formula
to compute the effective interest rate, which is compounded annually, is
E J− 1
Effective interest rate, R = 1 + i /C
C
where,
i = the nominal interest rate
C = the number of interest periods in a year.
Solution
P = Rs. 5,000
n = 10 years
i = 12% (Nominal interest rate)
F=?
METHOD 1
No. of interest periods per year = 4
No. of interest periods in 10 years = 10 ´ 4 = 40
Revised No. of periods (No. of quarters), N = 40
Interest rate per quarter, r = 12%/4
= 3%, compounded quarterly.
F = P(1 + r)N = 5,000(1 + 0.03)40
= Rs. 16,310.19
METHOD 2
No. of interest periods per year, C = 4
Effective interest rate, R = (1 + i/C )C – 1
= (1 + 12%/4)4 – 1
= 12.55%, compounded annually.
F = P(1 + R)n = 5,000(1 + 0.1255)10
= Rs. 16,308.91
There are several bases for comparing the worthiness of the projects. These
bases are:
1. Present worth method
2. Future worth method
3. Annual equivalent method
4. Rate of return method
These methods are discussed in detail in Chapters 4–7.
QUESTIONS
1. Explain the time value of money.
2. Give practical applications of various interest formulas.
3. A person deposits a sum of Rs. 1,00,000 in a bank for his son’s education
who will be admitted to a professional course after 6 years. The bank pays
15% interest rate, compounded annually. Find the future amount of the
deposited money at the time of admitting his son in the professional
course.
4. A person needs a sum of Rs. 2,00,000 for his daughter’s marriage which
will take place 15 years from now. Find the amount of money that he should
deposit now in a bank if the bank gives 18% interest, compounded annually.
5. A person who is just 30 years old is planning for his retired life. He plans
to invest an equal sum of Rs. 10,000 at the end of every year for the next
30 years starting from the end of next year. The bank gives 15% interest
rate, compounded annually. Find the maturity value of his account when he
is 60 years old.
6. A company is planning to expand its business after 5 years from now. The
expected money required for the expansion programme is Rs. 5,00,00,000.
The company can invest Rs. 50,00,000 at the end of every year for the next
five years. If the assured rate of return of investment is 18% for the
company, check whether the accumulated sum in the account would be
sufficient to meet the fund for the expansion programme. If not, find the
difference in amounts for which the company should make some other
arrangement after 5 years.
7. A financial institution introduces a plan to pay a sum of Rs. 15,00,000 after
10 years at the rate of 18%, compounded annually. Find the annual
equivalent amount that a person should invest at the end of every year for
the next 10 years to receive Rs. 15,00,000 after 10 years from the institution.
8. A company is planning to expand its business after 5 years from now.
The money required for the expansion programme is Rs. 4,00,00,000.
What annual equivalent amount should the company deposit at the end
of every year at an interest rate of 15% compounded annually to get
Rs. 4,00,00,000 after 5 years from now?
40 Engineering Economics
8,000
8,000 + 1,000
8,000 + 2,000
8,000 + 3,000
8,000 + 9,000
15. A person is planning for his retired life. He has 10 more years of service.
He would like to deposit 20% of his salary, which is Rs. 10,000, at the end
of the first year and thereafter he wishes to deposit the same amount
(Rs. 10,000) with an annual increase of Rs. 2,000 for the next 9 years with
an interest rate of 20%. Find the total amount at the end of the 10th year
of the above series.
Interest Formulas and Their Applications 41
16. A person is planning for his retired life. He has 10 more years of service.
He would like to deposit Rs. 30,000 at the end of the first year and
thereafter he wishes to deposit the same amount (Rs. 30,000) with an
annual decrease of Rs. 2,000 for the next 9 years with an interest rate of
18%. Find the total amount at the end of the 10th year of the above series.
17. A person invests a sum of Rs. 50,000 in a bank at a nominal interest rate
of 18% for 15 years. The compounding is monthly. Find the maturity
amount of the deposit after 15 years.
4
PRESENT WORTH METHOD
OF COMPARISON
4.1 INTRODUCTION
In this method of comparison, the cash flows of each alternative will be reduced
to time zero by assuming an interest rate i. Then, depending on the type of
decision, the best alternative will be selected by comparing the present worth
amounts of the alternatives.
The sign of various amounts at different points in time in a cash flow
diagram is to be decided based on the type of the decision problem.
In a cost dominated cash flow diagram, the costs (outflows) will be assigned
with positive sign and the profit, revenue, salvage value (all inflows), etc. will
be assigned with negative sign.
In a revenue/profit-dominated cash flow diagram, the profit, revenue,
salvage value (all inflows to an organization) will be assigned with positive sign.
The costs (outflows) will be assigned with negative sign.
In case the decision is to select the alternative with the minimum cost, then
the alternative with the least present worth amount will be selected. On the other
hand, if the decision is to select the alternative with the maximum profit, then
the alternative with the maximum present worth will be selected.
R1 R2 R3 . Rj Rn
0 1 2 3 . j n
P
Fig. 4.1 Revenue-dominated cash flow diagram.
42
Present Worth Method of Comparison 43
In Fig. 4.1, P represents an initial investment and Rj the net revenue at the
end of the jth year. The interest rate is i, compounded annually. S is the salvage
value at the end of the nth year.
To find the present worth of the above cash flow diagram for a given
interest rate, the formula is
PW(i) = – P + R1[1/(1 + i)1] + R2[1/(1 + i)2] + ...
+ Rj[1/(1 + i) j] + Rn[1/(1 + i)n] + S[1/(1 + i)n]
In this formula, expenditure is assigned a negative sign and revenues are
assigned a positive sign.
If we have some more alternatives which are to be compared with this
alternative, then the corresponding present worth amounts are to be computed
and compared. Finally, the alternative with the maximum present worth amount
should be selected as the best alternative.
0 1 2 . j . . n
. .
. Cj Cn
C1 C2
P
Fig. 4.2 Cost-dominated cash flow diagram.
4.4 EXAMPLES
Table 4.1
Solution In all the technologies, the initial outlay is assigned a negative sign
and the annual revenues are assigned a positive sign.
TECHNOLOGY 1
0 1 . j
2 3 10
i = 20%
12,00,000
Fig. 4.3 Cash flow diagram for technology 1.
TECHNOLOGY 2
Initial outlay, P = Rs. 20,00,000
Annual revenue, A = Rs. 6,00,000
Interest rate, i = 20%, compounded annually
Life of this technology, n = 10 years
The cash flow diagram of this technology is shown in Fig. 4.4.
6,00,000 6,00,000 6,00,000
. .
0 1 2 10
i = 20%
20,00,000
Fig. 4.4 Cash flow diagram for technology 2.
TECHNOLOGY 3
Initial outlay, P = Rs. 18,00,000
Annual revenue, A = Rs. 5,00,000
Interest rate, i = 20%, compounded annually
Life of this technology, n = 10 years
The cash flow diagram of this technology is shown in Fig. 4.5.
5,00,000 5,00,000 5,00,000
. .
0 1 2 10
i = 20%
18,00,000
Fig. 4.5 Cash flow diagram for technology 3.
The present worth expression for this technology is
PW(20%)3 = –18,00,000 + 5,00,000 ´ (P/A, 20%, 10)
= –18,00,000 + 5,00,000 ´ (4.1925)
= –18,00,000 + 20,96,250
= Rs. 2,96,250
46 Engineering Economics
From the above calculations, it is clear that the present worth of technology 2
is the highest among all the technologies. Therefore, technology 2 is suggested
for implementation to expand the production.
Determine which bid should be accepted, based on the present worth method of
comparison assuming 15% interest rate, compounded annually.
Solution
Bid 1: Alpha Elevator Inc.
Initial cost, P = Rs. 4,50,000
Annual operation and maintenance cost, A = Rs. 27,000
Life = 15 years
Interest rate, i = 15%, compounded annually.
The cash flow diagram of bid 1 is shown in Fig. 4.6.
0 1 2 3 4 15
.. ..
The present worth of the above cash flow diagram is computed as follows:
PW(15%) = 4,50,000 + 27,000(P/A, 15%, 15)
= 4,50,000 + 27,000 ´ 5.8474
= 4,50,000 + 1,57,879.80
= Rs. 6,07,879.80
5,40,000
Fig. 4.7 Cash flow diagram for bid 2.
The present worth of the above cash flow diagram is computed as follows:
PW(15%) = 5,40,000 + 28,500(P/A, 15%, 15)
= 5,40,000 + 28,500 ´ 5.8474
= 5,40,000 + 1,66,650.90
= Rs. 7,06,650.90
The total present worth cost of bid 1 is less than that of bid 2. Hence, bid 1 is
to be selected for implementation. That is, the elevator from Alpha Elevator
Inc. is to be purchased and installed in the new building.
EXAMPLE 4.3 Investment proposals A and B have the net cash flows as
follows:
Solution
Present worth of A at i = 18%. The cash flow diagram of proposal A is
shown in Fig. 4.8.
0 1 2 3 4
i = 18%
10,000
Fig. 4.8 Cash flow diagram for proposal A.
48 Engineering Economics
0 1 2 3 4
i = 18%
10,000
Fig. 4.9 Cash flow diagram for proposal B.
Present worth calculation of the second alternative. The cash flow diagram
of the second alternative is shown in Fig. 4.10.
0 1 2 3 10
. . .
Solution Plan 1. The cash flow diagram for plan 1 is illustrated in Fig. 4.11.
12,000
0 1 2 3 . . . . 15
i = 12%
1,000
Fig. 4.11 Cash flow diagram for plan 1.
4,000 4,000
0 1 2 3 . . 10 . 15
i = 12%
1,000
Fig. 4.12 Cash flow diagram for plan 2.
Solution Novel Investment Ltd’s plan. The cash flow diagram of Novel
Investment Ltd’s plan is shown in Fig. 4.13.
8,00,000
i = 12%
0 1 2 3 20
. . .
15,00,000
i = 12%
0 1 2 3 20 25
.
EXAMPLE 4.7 A small business with an initial outlay of Rs. 12,000 yields
Rs. 10,000 during the first year of its operation and the yield increases by
Rs. 1,000 from its second year of operation up to its 10th year of operation. At
the end of the life of the business, the salvage value is zero. Find the present
worth of the business by assuming an interest rate of 18%, compounded
annually.
Solution
Initial investment, P = Rs. 12,000
Income during the first year, A = Rs. 10,000
Annual increase in income, G = Rs. 1,000
n = 10 years
i = 18%, compounded annually
The cash flow diagram for the small business is depicted in Fig. 4.15.
19,00,000
19,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
. .
0 1 2 3 . . 10
i = 18%
12,000
Fig. 4.15 Cash flow diagram for the small business.
52 Engineering Economics
QUESTIONS
1. A project involves an initial outlay of Rs. 30,00,000 and with the following
transactions for the next five years. The salvage value at the end of the life
of the project after five years is Rs. 2,00,000. Draw a cash flow diagram of
the project and find its present worth by assuming i = 15%, compounded
annually.
2. Find the present worth of the following cash flow series. Assume i = 15%,
compounded annually.
End of year 0 1 2 3 4 5
Cash flow
(Rs.) –10,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 30,000
3. Consider the following cash flow series over a 20-year period. Assuming
the interest rate as 18% compounded annually, compute the present worth
of the series; give your comments.
4. The cost of erecting an oil well is Rs. 1,50,00,000. The annual equivalent
yield from the oil well is Rs. 30,00,000. The salvage value after its useful
life of 10 years is Rs. 2,00,000. Assuming an interest rate of 18%,
compounded annually, find out whether the erection of the oil well is
financially feasible, based on the present worth method.
5. The details of the feasibility report of a project are as shown below. Check
the feasibility of the project based on present worth method, using i = 20%.
Initial outlay = Rs. 50,00,000
Life of the project = 20 years.
Annual equivalent revenue = Rs. 15,00,000
Modernizing cost at the end of the 10th year = Rs. 20,00,000
Salvage value at the end of project life = Rs. 5,00,000.
6. Consider the following cash flow diagram. Find the present worth using an
interest rate of 15%, compounded annually.
0 1 2 3 4 .. .. 10
7,000
7,000 + 1,000
7,000 + 2,000
7,000 + 3,000
7,000 + 9,000
7. An automobile company recently advertised its car for a down payment of
Rs. 1,50,000. Alternatively, the car can be taken home by customers without
making any payment, but they have to pay an equal yearly amount of
Rs. 25,000 for 15 years at an interest rate of 18%, compounded annually.
You are asked to advise the best alternative for the customers based on
the present worth method of comparison.
8. The cash flows of two project proposals are as given below. Each of the
project has an expected life of 10 years. Select the best project based on
present worth method of comparison using an interest rate of 18%,
compounded annually.
9. A company has two alternatives for satisfying its daily travel requirements
of its employees for the next five years:
54 Engineering Economics