Airthread Acquisition Operating Assumptions
Airthread Acquisition Operating Assumptions
Operating Expenses:
System Operating Expenses 838.9 956.3 1,075.8 1,183.4 1,266.3
System Operating Exp./Service Revenue 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
2,007
Accounts Receivable ca 521.90 594.96 669.33 736.26 787.80 435.50
Days Sales Equip. Rev. ca 134.97 153.86 173.10 190.41 203.73 101.00
Prepaid Expenses ca 46.91 53.48 60.17 66.19 70.82 41.60
Accounts Payable cl 335.42 382.38 430.18 473.20 506.32 260.80
Deferred Serv. Revenue cl 132.26 150.77 169.62 186.58 199.64 143.40
Accrued Liabilities cl 64.61 73.65 82.86 91.15 97.53 59.20
NWC 171.49 195.50 219.94 241.93 258.86 114.70
56.8 24.01 24.44 21.99 16.94
(1) Based on a 360-day year. Days Payable, Deferred Service Revenue, and Days Accrued Liabilities are
based on total cash operating expenses.
(2) Includes investments in property, plant & equipment, as well as licenses and customer lists.
1) Equity betas were estimated on a weekly based on weekly stock returns over a three year period.
Note: The current industry and competitor leverage ratios reflect the historical averages that existed over the past three years.
Business Publishing
AIRTHREAD ACQUISITION
Historical Operating Results
2011 2012
5,917.2 6,331.4
444 475
6,361.2 6,806.5
1,183 1,266
1,066 1,140
2,544 2,723
1,567.5 1,677.3
922 953
645.2 724.4
148 128
0 0
0 0
0 0
497.6 596.1
199 238
298.6 357.7
0 0
298.6 357.7
387 435
922 953
(22) (17)
(970) (1,055)
317 316
5,164
317 5,479
148 128
59 51
utation of Ka
t Capex+Delta NWC)/EBI 27%
IAT/(Total investment) 10.52%
2.88%
2.30%
2.00%
8.23%
be more than economy growth rate
Long Term Debt 1,001.4 1,001.8 1,002.3 3,468 3,161 2,838 2,496 2,506
Forward Contracts 159.9 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0
Derivative Liability 25.8 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0
Deferred Tax Liability 647.1 601.5 554.4 554 554 554 554 554
Asset Retirement Obligation 90.2 127.6 126.8 127 127 127 127 127
Other Deferred Liabilities 46.2 62.9 84.5 85 85 85 85 85
ory calculation
2007
640.2
101.0
5.869
Equity Net Debt/ Debt/ Equity Net
Comparable Companies:
Market Value Debt Value Equity Beta Revenue EBIT EBITDA
1
Income
Universal Mobile 118,497 69,130 36.8% 58.3% 0.86 43,882 11,795 16,949 3,794
Neuberger Wireless 189,470 79,351 29.5% 41.9% 0.89 42,684 7,020 14,099 4,103
Agile Connections 21,079 5,080 19.4% 24.1% 1.17 34,698 1,631 9,914 (30)
Big Country Communication 26,285 8,335 24.1% 31.7% 0.97 38,896 6,702 12,614 3,384
Rocky Mountain Wireless 7,360 3,268 30.7% 44.4% 1.13 4,064 510 1,028 240
Average 26,285 8,335 28.1% 40.1% 1.00 38,896 6,702 12,614 3,384
1) Equity betas were estimated on a weekly based on weekly stock returns over a three year period.
Note: The current industry and competitor leverage ratios reflect the historical averages that existed over the past three years.
Estimation of Beta d
Rd = Rf + Beta d (Rm-Rf)
9.25%
4.25%
5.00%
1.25%
0.250
Wireless Business Subscribers: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Average Monthly Subscribers (in MM's) 0.30 0.50 0.70 1.00 1.20
Average Monthly Minutes 859 885 911 939 967
Total Monthly Minutes 258 442 638 939 1,160
Revenue Per Minute 0.0506 0.0506 0.0506 0.0506 0.0506
Annual Business Revenue Increase 156 269 387 570 704
13,376
Backhaul Savings: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
System Operating Expenses 838.9 956.3 1,075.8 1,183.4 1,266.3
Backhaul Percentage 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%
Estimated Backhaul Costs 167.8 191.3 215.2 236.7 253.3
Reduction in Backhaul Costs 0.0% 7.0% 12.0% 22.2% 30.0%
0.0 13.4 25.8 52.5 76.0
Property, Plan & Equipment 2,553.0 2,628.8 2,595.1 2,521 2,437 2,437
Licenses 1,362.3 1,494.3 1,482.4 1,482.4 1,482.4 1,482.4
Customer Lists 47.6 26.2 15.4 15.4 15.4 15.4
Marketable Equity Securities 225.4 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Investments in Affiliated Entities 172.1 150.3 157.7 157.7 157.7 157.7
Long Term Note Receivable 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
Goodwill 481.2 485.5 491.3 491.3 491.3 491.3
Other Long Term Assets 30.0 31.1 31.8 31.8 31.8 31.8
Total Assets 5,416.2 5,680.6 5,611.9 8,237.4 8,270.9 8,405.3
Common Stock & Paid-In Capital 1,375.0 1,378.9 1,404.1 1,404 1,404 1,404
Retained Earnings 1,366.0 1,614.4 1,792.1 1,972.5 2,245.1 2,635.0
Total Liabilities & Owners' Equity 5,416.2 5,680.6 5,611.9 8,237 8,271 8,405
Balance Sheet
2011 2012
2,887 3,417
16.4 16.4
802 869
190 204
65 70
18.6 18.6
16.2 16.2
3,996.4 4,611.2
Working capital 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
2,485 2,587
1,482.4 1,482.4 Accounts Receivable 540 626 714 802 869
15.4 15.4 Inventory 135 154 173 190 204
0.0 0.0 Prepaid Expenses 48 55 63 70 76
157.7 157.7 723 835 950 1,063 1,149
4.4 4.4
491.3 491.3 Accounts Payable 342 394 448 501 542
31.8 31.8 Deferred Revenue & Deposits 135 155 177 198 214
8,664.0 9,380.9 Accrued Liabilities 66 76 86 96 104
NWC 115 181 209 239 268 289
Change in WC 66 29 30 29 21
468 499
145 160 Working Capital Assumptions (1):
31 35 Accounts Receivable 41.67x 41.67x 41.67x 41.67x 41.67x
43.1 43.1 Days Sales Equip. Rev. ### ### ### ### ###
0.0 0.0 Prepaid Expenses 1.38% 1.38% 1.38% 1.38% 1.38%
0.0 0.0 Accounts Payable 35.54x 35.54x 35.54x 35.54x 35.54x
0.0 0.0 Deferred Serv. Revenue 14.01x 14.01x 14.01x 14.01x 14.01x
0.0 0.0 Accrued Liabilities 6.85x 6.85x 6.85x 6.85x 6.85x
97.7 97.7
784.7 834.6
Asset Schedule
2,496.0 2,506 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
0.0 0.0 Capex 631 720 867 970 1,055
0.0 0.0 Depr 705 804 867 922 953
554.4 554.4
126.8 126.8
84.5 84.5
43.4 43.4
1,404 1,404
3,170.0 3,827.0
8,664 9,381
Harvard Business Publishing
Is there a real option in this context
Yes there exists a real option where the company have the opportunity to invet in ATC and reap the benefits of 4661 Mn in synergies
Call price could be said as the amount paid by ACC to acquire ATC