FINA2209 Financial Planning: Week 3: Indirect Investment and Performance Measurement
FINA2209 Financial Planning: Week 3: Indirect Investment and Performance Measurement
Financial Planning
Week 3: Indirect investment and performance
measurement
Unlisted/Active Equity
Assets
Cash $ 30 M NAV=$300 M – $35 M
Bonds $ 60 M 16 101 324
Equities $120 M
Property $ 30 M = $16.46
International equities $ 60 M
Liabilities
Debentures (loans) $ 35 M
No. of units issued 16 101 324
Listed Managed Funds
Source: http://www.asx.com.au/products/managed-funds/market-update.htm
Investment Structures
• Master trusts
– Pools money, access to range of different fund managers
and investment options. Record keeping and
administrative services.
• Wrap accounts
– Investments held in name of investor and can be
transferred between different providers without CGT (in
specie transfers)
– Benefits
• Investor only deals with one organisation
• Managed funds can be accessed at cheaper wholesale MER’s
• Consolidated reporting of performance, asset allocation and tax
– Drawbacks: Cost - Investors must pay for the product/service
Categories
Multi-sector:
Vanguard growth
Vanguard balanced
Sector specific:
Fidelity Select IT Services Portfolio
Asset class:
Vanguard High-Yield Corporate Fund
Sub-asset class:
Vanguard small-cap index fund
ICI Pru Select Large Cap Fund
Management Styles
• Different management styles may be more suited to different
investor risk profiles
– Active
• Regular trading (Tactical, Fundamental, Technical, ….
Top-down approach, Bottom-up approach, Absolute
Returns, market timing)
• Value (focus on income generating potential), Growth
(Focus on assets potential capital growth or gain)
– Passive
• Seek to replicate rather than attempt to outperform
benchmark or index – limited changes
• Should be cheapest asset class exposure
• Performance determined by the asset class invested
Passive
• Efficient markets hypothesis:
– As new information arises, the news is incorporated into the price of
securities.
– The market is so efficient at incorporating all known information that no
amount of analysis will give you an edge over the millions of other
investors out there.
• - Markets can still be irrational but only in the short term (overvalued tech
stocks in 1999, real estate in 2006). Over the long term, prices will
accurately reflect underlying value.
Key takeaway:
• Financial markets do not allow investors to earn above-average returns
without accepting above average risks. (E.g. $100 bills are not lying around
for the taking, either by professionals or amateur investors.)
A student and a finance professor are standing around having a chat. The
student spots a $100 bill lying on the ground and goes to pick it up. “Don’t
bother” says the Professor. “If it were really a $100 bill, it wouldn’t be there.”
Active
• In 2014, investors withdrew $98.58 billion out of actively managed
U.S stock mutual funds and invested $71.34 billion into index funds.
Total assets in ETF funds reached $2 trillion.
• The case for actively managed funds- It is very difficult to beat the
market… but not impossible if you are (some kind of) special.
1) High-frequency trading (HFT) 2) Or, concentrate on parts of
involves ultra-fast fibre-optic data the market that are less
connections between trading systems efficient Continued over the
and stock exchanges, giving a page
minuscule speed advantage over rival
traders. This millisecond advantage,
allows HF traders to see other buyers’
orders before they are executed.
Does passive investing make
markets more or less efficient?
LESS EFFICIENT:
“The paradox of the indexing process is, of course, that if everyone ignores
valuations and buys portfolios that blindly match the market, asset prices become
extremely inefficient, which only amplifies the opportunities for "active" managers
who profit from these discrepancies to outperform.”
From “ http://www.afr.com/personal-finance/robo-financial-planners-take-active-v-
passive-tussle-to-new-levels-20150306-13xjv2#ixzz4bqiu1tcZ
This is saying that the increase in passive investing will lead to less price discovery
making markets LESS efficient.
MORE EFFICIENT:
Unskilled investors do not have to incorporate their lack of skill into their
investment decisions. They do not have to suffer from uninformed picks. With
index funds, they get a superior return (superior for them).
The effect of unskilled investors taking up passive investments is that the average
skill of the rest of the market increases, without these investors. Those active
investors deal with less noise and less price inefficiency caused by unskilled
investors. They are able to partake in price discovery with more accuracy, making
markets more efficient.
Best of both
(passive and active) worlds
• For what types of companies is information
most readily available?
– U.S. large-cap stock more media attention,
analyst coverage, research etc.
• Build a “Core and Satellite” mutual fund
portfolio (a common investment philosophy)
– Large cap stock index fund (e.g. S&P 500)
represents the largest component of the portfolio
(30-40%)
– The rest is made up of other types of funds (e.g.
small-cap, foreign stock, bonds, sector, money-
market funds etc.) in smaller portions.
Make sure things add up!
Regulator fines Spaceship for false and misleading conduct
(Shapiro, 2018, AFR)
“ASIC was particularly concerned with a statement on the
Spaceship website that said the fund would "fight to get you the
very best assets in your portfolio ... We will measure companies in
our portfolio based on their ability to provide defensibility of profits
and high levels of product differentiation." However, ASIC argued
that, given the fund had 79 per cent of its assets in index-tracking
funds that "involved no qualitative analysis of the underlying
companies", there was little opportunity to pick specific assets.”
“The start-up super fund has also been called out for its relatively
high fees and low returns relative to the risks it takes.”
“Spaceship and trustee company Tidswell Financial Services
have each paid a $12,600 penalty”
Performance
• Suppose Two Fund Managers A & B both start the year with
$100m in assets invested identically: they have exactly the
same assets
• Over Yr 1 these assets grow by 2%.
• At the end of Yr 1 each fund receives a contribution from
investors:
– $50m to Fund A
– $10m to Fund B
– They again invest the new money identically.
• No further contributions are received.
• Over the second year assets grew in value by 10%.
• How have they performed?
22
How have they performed?
• This could have been described this way:
– Fund A starts with $100m and by the end of Yr 1 the fund is valued at
$152m which includes an inflow to the fund at the end of Yr 1 of $50m.
By the end of Yr 2 the fund is valued at $167.2 m
– Fund B starts with $100m and by the end of Yr 1 the fund is valued at
$112m which includes an inflow to the fund at the end of Yr 1 of $10m.
By the end of Yr 2 the fund is valued at $123.2 m
T0 T1 T2
$102m
Fund A $100m $152m $ 50m $167.2m
$102m
Fund B $100m $112m $ 10m $123.2m
How have they performed?
• Over the two year period each fund has grown by:
1/2
167.2
𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹 𝐴𝐴 𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 − 1 = 29.30% 𝑝𝑝. 𝑎𝑎.
100
1/2
123.2
𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹𝐹 𝐵𝐵 𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺𝐺 𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅𝑅 − 1 = 10.99% 𝑝𝑝. 𝑎𝑎.
100
T0 T1 T2
$102m
Fund A $100m $152m $ 50m $167.2m
$102m
Fund B $100m $112m $ 10m $123.2m
How have they performed?
• We could calculate an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) by
comparing the money (cash flows) invested and how long it
was invested for
−𝟓𝟓𝟓𝟓 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏. 𝟐𝟐
−𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 + 𝟏𝟏
+ 𝟐𝟐
, 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰 = 𝟔𝟔. 𝟕𝟕𝟕𝟕𝟕 𝒑𝒑. 𝒂𝒂.
𝟏𝟏 + 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰 𝟏𝟏 + 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰
Money Weighted Rate of Return
−𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏. 𝟐𝟐
−𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 + 𝟏𝟏 + 𝟏𝟏 + 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰 𝟐𝟐 , 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰
= 𝟔𝟔. 𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏𝟏 𝒑𝒑. 𝒂𝒂.
𝟏𝟏 + 𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰𝑰
T0 T1 T2
$102m
Fund A $100m 2% $152m $ 50m $167.2m
10%
$102m
Fund B $100m $112m $ 10m $123.2m
10%
What else?
E(Rp ) = R f +
[E (R ) − R ]
m
σ f
p
σm
E ( Ri ) = R f + ( E (Rm ) − R f ) β i
Standard deviation
• Variability of distribution of returns
• Total risk
Beta
• Sensitivity of returns to market returns
• Systematic risk
Measuring/Assessing Managed
Fund Investment Returns
• Tracking error – not a performance measure but a summary statistic-
standard deviation of the differences between the fund return and
return on the benchmark
- Measure of how closely returns of managed fund follow benchmark
• Say the benchmark is the All Ords.
– Low TE = tracked the benchmark closely
– High TE = invested differently to the benchmark
• Sharpe ratio – reward for total risk
– A measure of the risk adjusted performance of a fund (excess
returns)
• Alpha/ Treynor ratio- reward for systematic risk (compared to CAPM)
– A measure of how sensitive portfolio returns are to market returns
• Information ratio - (excess return / tracking error)
– What has been the reward for straying from the benchmark?
Sharpe Ratio
Risk-adjusted returns
Risk-adjusted returns
TR = ( R p − R f ) / β p
Alpha = R p − [ R f + ( E (Rm ) − R f ) β p ]
A: 0.36 1 0.045 2
B: 0.10 3 0.022 3
C: 0.30 2 0.075 1
Treynor ratio = C is generating a better return for the higher systematic risk
it has but it has higher total variability in returns – its SD is higher.
Exercise
A: 0.006 2
B: -0.016 3
C: 0.042 1
• Rankings are consistent with the Treynor index – it has the same
measure of risk.
• However, the basis of comparison is now quite different, since each
fund is now being rated against what we expect an investment with
the same level of systematic risk would have earned (according to
the CAPM)"the market".
• So C gave a ROR 4.2% higher than would be expected by its beta
risk.
• With Alpha we are getting an “absolute” measure in terms of
percentage points whereas for the Treynor ratio it is per unit of
systematic risk.
How else can you judge
performance?
Case
Lou is 34 and received advice five years ago (exactly) which recommended, based on his stated
objectives and risk tolerance, that he adopt an asset allocation reflected in the values for six
managed funds below. Aside from the allocations, additional data summarising the
performance of the funds over the past five years is also presented.
Lou considers that his risk tolerance has not changed over the period and his personal
circumstances and objectives have also remained unchanged. He has sought advice today
(11/08/2021), specifically:
(a) Whether his current overall asset allocation reflects his objectives and risk tolerance;
(b) What you can advise as to how the investments have performed
Value 5 year annual
11/08/16 return (p.a.)
1. Aust. Equity Fund $40,000 -3.5%
2. Int. Equity Fund $20,000 -4.0%
3. Aust. Fixed Interest $15,000 8.0%
4. Int. Fixed Interest $10,000 9.0%
5. Aust. Property $10,000 2.0%
6. Cash $5,000 5.0%
Case
(a)
•Start with previous allocations
•Look at today’s value
•Then current allocations
•So if Lou’s risk tolerance hasn’t changed, the portfolio would have to
be rebalanced
Information Ratio - IEF and AFI have highest return for risk
All funds earned excess return relative to benchmarks
IFI has not generated a big reward for its large variation from the benchmark
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a41LhZE5Iec
Summary