Portfolio Management Approach: By: Joseph Ventinilla
Portfolio Management Approach: By: Joseph Ventinilla
APPROACH
By: Joseph Ventinilla
1
Portfolio
What is Portfolio?
■ Portfolio is a group of financial assets such as shares, stocks,
bonds, debt instruments, mutual funds, cash equivalents, etc.
A portfolio is planned to stabilize the risk of non-performance
of various pools of investment.
■ Portfolio refers to invest in a group of securities rather to
invest in a single security.
■ “Don’t Put all your eggs in one basket”
■ Portfolio help in reducing risk without sacrificing return.
2
Management
What is Management?
■ Management is the organization and coordination of the
activities of an enterprise in accordance with well-defined
policies and in achievement of its pre-defined objectives.
3
Portfolio Management
Portfolio + Management
■ Portfolio Management is the process of creation and
maintenance of investment portfolio.
■ Portfolio management is a complex process which tries to
make investment activity more rewarding and less risky.
4
Portfolio Management
5
6
Traditional approach
7
8
Traditional approach
1. Analysis of constraints
Income needs – need for current income or constant income
(inflation reduces purchasing power)
■ Liquidity
■ Time horizon – investment planning period of the individuals
3 stages – carrer, mid-career & retirement
■ Safety
■ Tax considerations
2. Determination of objectives
■ Current income – 60% in Debt & 40% inequities
■ Growth income – 60 to 100% in equities & 0 to 40%
■ Capital appreciation –
■ Preservation of capital
9
Traditional approach
3. Selection of portfolio
■ Bonds
■ Bonds and common stocks
■ common stock
4. Assessment of risk and return analysis
■ The ability to achieve higher returns is dependent upon his
ability to judge risk and his ability to take specific risks.. The
investors analyses the varying degrees of risk and construct
portfolio.
5. Diversification
10
Traditional approach
6. Portfolio revision
■ Portfolio is to be periodically revised like shift from one stock
to another or from stock to bond and vice versa. It may called
sector rotation.
7. Performance evaluation
■ These involves quantitative measurement of actual return
realised and risk borne by the portfolio over the period of
investime.
11
Modern Approach
12
MARKOWITZ MODEL
13
MARKOWITZ MODEL
14
Assumptions under
Markowitz model
■ The market is efficient and all the investors have full knowledge about the stock market.
■ Investors make superior returns either through TA or by FA.
■ All investors are aim of risk avoidance
■ An investor is rational in nature
■ All investors would like to attain the maximum rate of return from their investment.
■ The investors take their decisions based on the expected rate of return on an investment.
■ The rate of return and Standard deviation are important parameters for finding out whether the
investment is a worthwhile or not.
■ The investor can reduce the risk if he increases investment to his portfolio.
■ The investors assumes that:
High risk – high returns,
Low risk – low returns
15
Capital Asset Pricing Theory
or CAPM Theory
■ The CAPM theory helps the investors to understand the risk and return
relationship of the securities.
■ Markowitz, William Sharpe, John Lintneer and Jan Mossin develop d this
model.
■ It is a model of linear general equilibrium return.
ASSUMPTIONS
1. An individual buyer or seller cannot affect the price of a stock.
2. This assumption is the basic assumption of Perfectly competitive market.
3. Investors make their decisions only on the basis of the expected returns,
standard deviations, and co-variances of all securities.
16
4. The investors can lend or borrow any amount of funds at the
riskless rate of interest.
5. Investors could buy any quantity of share.
6. There is no transaction cost. i.e. no cost involved in buying and
selling of stocks.
7. There is no personal income tax.8. Unlimited quantum of short
sales is allowed.
17
The expected return on the combination of risky and
risk free combination is
Rp = RfXf + Rm(1-Xf)
Where:
■ Rp = Portfolio return
■ Xf = The proportionate of funds invested in risk free assets
■ 1-Xf = The proportionate of funds invested in risky assets
■ Rf = Risk free rate of return
■ Rm = Return on risky assets
18
■ The capital asset model consists of Capital Market Line (CML)
and Security Market Line(SML).
■ The CML relates expected return and risk for a portfolio of
securities. CML states that there is a risk free rate. i.e. zero
risk.
■ The SML relates expected return and risk of individual
securities.
19
Phases of Portfolio
Management
■ Portfolio management is a process of many activities that
aimed to optimizing the investment. Five phases can be
identified in the process:
1. Security Analysis.
2. Portfolio Analysis.
3. Portfolio Selection.
4. Portfolio revision.
5. Portfolio evaluation.
■ Each phase is essential and the success of each phase is
depend on the efficiency in carrying out each phase.
20
Security Analysis
21
Portfolio Analysis
22
Portfolio Selection
23
Portfolio Revision
24
Portfolio Evaluation
25
3 Methods of portfolio evaluation
Sharpe’s performance index
■ Sharpe’s performance index gives a single value to be used
for the performance ranking of various funds or portfolios.
■ Sharpe index measures the risk premium of the portfolio
relative to the total amount of risk in the portfolio.
Risk premium = Portfolio’s average rate of return - riskless rate or
return.
The standard deviation of the portfolio indicates the risk. The
index assigns the highest values to assets that have best risk-
adjusted average rate of return.
26
27
Treynor’s Performance Index
■ Characteristic line: The relationship between a given market
return and the fund’s return is given by the characteristic line.
■ The fund’s performance is measured in relation to the market
performance.
■ The ideal fund may place its fund in the treasury bills or short
sell the stock during the decline and earn positive return.
■ Beta co-efficient is treated as a measure of undiversifiable
systematic risk.
28
29
JENSEN’S PERFORMANCE INDEX
■ The absolute risk adjusted return measure was developed by Michael Jensen
and commonly known as Jensen’s measure.
■ It is mentioned as a measure of absolute performance because a definite
standard is set and against that the performance is measured.
■ The standard is based on the manager’s predictive ability. Successful
prediction of security price would enable the manager to earn higher returns
than the ordinary investor expects to earn in a given level of risk. The basic
model of Jensen is given below
R p = ά β (R m - R f )
30
“Don’t Put all your eggs in one basket”
31