Lovely Professional University, Punjab

Course Code Course Title Course Planner Lectures Tutorials Practicals Credits
MTH302 PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS 16050::Deepak Sharma 3 0 0 3
Course Weightage ATT: 5 CA: 20 MTT: 25 ETT: 50
Exam Category: 13: Mid Term Exam: All MCQ – End Term Exam: MCQ +
Subjective
Course Orientation COMPETITIVE EXAMINATION (Higher Education), COMPETITIVE EXAMINATION(Civil Services), KNOWLEDGE ENHANCEMENT

TextBooks ( T )
Sr No Title Author Publisher Name
T-1 FUNDAMENTALS OF S.C.GUPTA AND SULTAN CHAND & SONS (P) LTD.
MATHEMATICAL STATISTICS V.K.KAPOOR
Reference Books ( R )
Sr No Title Author Publisher Name
R-1 PROBABILITY STATISTICS AND T VEERARAJAN MCGRAW HILL EDUCATION
RANDAM PROCESSES

Relevant Websites ( RW )
Sr No (Web address) (only if relevant to the course) Salient Features
RW-1 http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/prob/index.html Explains basic terms of probability

RW-2 http://www.gs.washington.edu/academics/courses/akey/56008/lecture/lecture5.pdf Explains the properties of a good estimator

RW-3 http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/teaching_aids/books_articles/probability_book/Cha Explains central limit theorem

pter9.pdf
RW-4 http://people.math.aau.dk/~jm/courses/PhD06StocSim/Chapters2.4.5.pdf Explains Markov chain

Audio Visual Aids ( AV )

Sr No (AV aids) (only if relevant to the course) Salient Features
AV-1 http://nptel.ac.in/courses/111105041/10 Explains distributions
AV-2 https://www.khanacademy.org/math/probability/independent- Explains the basic concepts of probability
dependentprobability/basic_probability/a/probability-the-basics
AV-3 http://video.mit.edu/watch/lecture-20-central-limit-theorem-13187/ Explains the central limit theorem

LTP week distribution: (LTP Weeks)

Weeks before MTE 7
Weeks After MTE 7

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.
 Spill Over (Lecture)

Detailed Plan For Lectures

Week Lecture Broad Topic(Sub Topic) Chapters/Sections of Other Readings, Lecture Description Learning Outcomes Pedagogical Tool Live Examples
Number Number Text/reference Relevant Websites, Demonstration/
books Audio Visual Aids, Case Study /
software and Virtual Images /
Labs animation / ppt
etc. Planned
Week 1 Lecture 1 Basics of Probability T-1 AV-2 Lecture1- Student will get Power point Tossing of a
(Sample Space and Events) Introduction to course familiar presentation and coin
by Lecture zero with the basic terms Discussion
Lecture2- Basic of probability therory
Terminology and
definition of Probability
Lecture 2 Basics of Probability T-1 AV-2 Lecture1- Student will get Power point Tossing of a
(Sample Space and Events) Introduction to course familiar presentation and coin
by Lecture zero with the basic terms Discussion
Lecture2- Basic of probability therory
Terminology and
definition of Probability
Lecture 3 Basics of Probability T-1 AV-2 Classical and Axiomatic Student will learn Discussion along Tossing of three
(Probability of an Event) Approach to two perspectives to with white board coins
Probability . measure probability. work

Basics of Probability(Rules T-1 Various rules of Student will learn to Discussion along
of Probability) probability apply various rules of with white board
probability work
Week 2 Lecture 4 Basics of Probability T-1 RW-1 Conditional probability Student will learn the Discussion along Playing Cards
(Conditional Probability and and multiplication concept of with white board
Independent Events) theorem of probability conditional work
probability and will
learn to apply the
multiplication
theorem
Lecture 5 Random variables and its T-1 Discrete and continuous Students will learn Problem solving Waiting time,
Characterization(Random random variables the meaning of pmf, toss of a coin
Variable ( Discrete and df and pdf.
Continuous ))
Lecture 6 Random variables and its T-1 Expectation and Student will learn Problem solving Average Value
Characterization Variance of Single about the average of given data
(Expectation and Variance Random Variable value of the Random
of a Random Variable) Variable in long run.
Week 3 Lecture 7 Random variables and its T-1 Lecture7- Concept of Students will get the Problem solving
Characterization(Moments Moment and moment idea of moments and and discussion
and Moment generating generating functions M.G.F.
functions) Lecture8- Applications

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.
Week 3 Lecture 8 Random variables and its T-1 Lecture7- Concept of Students will get the Problem solving
Characterization(Moments Moment and moment idea of moments and and discussion
and Moment generating generating functions M.G.F.
functions) Lecture8- Applications
Lecture 9 Test 1
Week 4 Lecture 10 Random variables and its T-1 Characteristic function Student will learn the Discussion and
Characterization concept of problem solving
(Characteristic functions) characteristic
function.
Lecture 11 Probability Distributions and T-1 Lecture11- The concept The student will learn Discussion and To find the price
Regression(Linear of correlation, mean and linear regression and problem solving of
Regression) standard deviation its use. a commodity in
Lecture12- Linear New Delhi on
regression the
basis of
information of
Jalandhar city
Lecture 12 Probability Distributions and T-1 Lecture11- The concept The student will learn Discussion and To find the price
Regression(Linear of correlation, mean and linear regression and problem solving of
Regression) standard deviation its use. a commodity in
Lecture12- Linear New Delhi on
regression the
basis of
information of
Jalandhar city
Week 5 Lecture 13 Probability Distributions and T-1 AV-1 Lecture13- Concept of Student will learn to Discussion and Tossing of n
Regression(Binomial Binomial distribution recognise and solve problem solving coins
Distribution) Lecture14- Applications the problems on simultaneously
binomial distribution
Lecture 14 Probability Distributions and T-1 AV-1 Lecture13- Concept of Student will learn to Discussion and Tossing of n
Regression(Binomial Binomial distribution recognise and solve problem solving coins
Distribution) Lecture14- Applications the problems on simultaneously
binomial distribution
Lecture 15 Probability Distributions and T-1 AV-1 Lecture15- Concept of Student will learn to Discussion and No. of mistakes
Regression(Poisson Poisson distribution recognize and solve problem solving in the text book
Distribution) Lecture16- Applications the problems on
Poisson distribution
Week 6 Lecture 16 Probability Distributions and T-1 AV-1 Lecture15- Concept of Student will learn to Discussion and No. of mistakes
Regression(Poisson Poisson distribution recognize and solve problem solving in the text book
Distribution) Lecture16- Applications the problems on
Poisson distribution
Lecture 17 Test 2
Lecture 18 Probability Distributions and T-1 AV-1 Lecture18- Concept of Student will learn to Discussion and
Regression(Normal Poisson distribution recognise and solve problem solving
Distribution) Lecture19- Applications the problems on
normal distribution

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.
Week 7 Lecture 19 Probability Distributions and T-1 AV-1 Lecture18- Concept of Student will learn to Discussion and
Regression(Normal Poisson distribution recognise and solve problem solving
Distribution) Lecture19- Applications the problems on
normal distribution

SPILL OVER
Week 7 Lecture 21 Spill Over

MID-TERM
Week 8 Lecture 22 Point Estimation(Definition T-1 RW-2 Population, Sampling, Student will learn the Discussion
,Unbiased Estimators) statistical inference, meaning and
Point estimation properties of a good
estimator
Lecture 23 Point Estimation(Consistent T-1 RW-2 Consistent estimator Student will Discussion and
Estimators) understand one of the problem solving
properties of a good
estimator and will be
able to verify.
Lecture 24 Point Estimation(Sufficient T-1 Sufficient estimator Student will utilize Problem solving
Estimator) using Neymann all
factorization theorem the information in a
sample relevant to the
estimation of theta

Week 9 Lecture 25 Point Estimation(MLE ( T-1 Lecture25- Student will Method of maximum Discussion and
Method of Maximum learn one of the methods liklihood problem solving
Liklihood )) of estimation
Lecture26- Problems on
MLE
Lecture 26 Point Estimation(MLE ( T-1 Lecture25- Student will Method of maximum Discussion and
Method of Maximum learn one of the methods liklihood problem solving
Liklihood )) of estimation
Lecture26- Problems on
MLE
Lecture 27 Limit Theorem , T-1 RW-3 Limit theorems Student will learn the Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic AV-3 applications of Limit problem solving
Process(Limit Theorems) Theorem
Week 10 Lecture 28 Limit Theorem , R-1 Lecture28- Convergence Student will Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic in understand the problem solving
Process(Convergence of Probability convergence in
Random Variables) Lecture29- Weak law of Probability and weal
Large Numbers. law of
large numbers.

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.
Week 10 Lecture 29 Limit Theorem , R-1 Lecture28- Convergence Student will Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic in understand the problem solving
Process(Convergence of Probability convergence in
Random Variables) Lecture29- Weak law of Probability and weal
Large Numbers. law of
large numbers.

Lecture 30 Limit Theorem , T-1 Stochastic processes Student will get the Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic R-1 idea of stochastic problem solving
Process(Stochastic processes
processes)
Week 11 Lecture 31 Test 3
Lecture 32 Limit Theorem , R-1 RW-4 Lecture32- Idea of Student will get the Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic AV-3 stochastic processes idea of stochastic problem solving
Process(Elementary concept Lecture33- Markov processes and
related to Markov chains) process Lecture34- Markov chain
Problems on Markov
chain
Lecture 33 Limit Theorem , R-1 RW-4 Lecture32- Idea of Student will get the Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic AV-3 stochastic processes idea of stochastic problem solving
Process(Elementary concept Lecture33- Markov processes and
related to Markov chains) process Lecture34- Markov chain
Problems on Markov
chain
Week 12 Lecture 34 Limit Theorem , R-1 RW-4 Lecture32- Idea of Student will get the Discussion and
Convergence and Stochastic AV-3 stochastic processes idea of stochastic problem solving
Process(Elementary concept Lecture33- Markov processes and
related to Markov chains) process Lecture34- Markov chain
Problems on Markov
chain
Lecture 35 Hypothesis Testing(Types of T-1 Lecture35- Random Student will Discussion
Error) sampling, population understand the type I
and sample, parameter and type II error.
and statistic
Lecture36- Null,
Alternative hypothesis,
Errors in sampling, level
of significance, critical
region
Lecture 36 Hypothesis Testing(Types of T-1 Lecture35- Random Student will Discussion
Error) sampling, population understand the type I
and sample, parameter and type II error.
and statistic
Lecture36- Null,
Alternative hypothesis,
Errors in sampling, level
of significance, critical
region

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.
Week 13 Lecture 37 Hypothesis Testing(Student T-1 AV-1 t-test for single mean Students will learn Problem solving
t-test) the test of
significance for small
samples.
Lecture 38 Hypothesis Testing(Chi- T-1 AV-1 Chi square test for Student will learn to Discussion and
Square Test) independence of apply Chi square test problem solving
attributes for contingency table
Lecture 39 Hypothesis Testing T-1 AV-1 Lecture39- Test of Student will learn to Discussion and
(Goodness of a Fit) goodness of fit apply the test of problem solving
Lecture40- Applications goodness of fit in
various situations.
Week 14 Lecture 40 Hypothesis Testing T-1 AV-1 Lecture39- Test of Student will learn to Discussion and
(Goodness of a Fit) goodness of fit apply the test of problem solving
Lecture40- Applications goodness of fit in
various situations.

SPILL OVER
Week 14 Lecture 42 Spill Over
Week 15 Lecture 43 Spill Over
Lecture 44 Spill Over
Lecture 45 Spill Over

Scheme for CA:

CA Category of this Course Code is:A0203 (2 best out of 3)

Component Weightage
Test 50
Test 50
Test 50

Details of Academic Task(s)

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.
Academic Task Objective Detail of Academic Task Nature of Academic Academic Task Marks Allottment /
Task Mode submission
(group/individuals) Week
Test 1 To test the Basics of Probability: Sample Space and Events, Probability Individual Offline 30 2 / 3
understanding of of
the students in an Event, Rules of Probability, Conditional Probability and
probability and it's Independent Events
properties, types
and Independent
events.
Test 2 To check the Random Variable ( Discrete and Continuous ), Expectation Individual Offline 30 5 / 6
understanding and
level among the variance of a Random Variable , Moments and Moment
students about the generating functions ,Characteristic functions
knowledge of
random variables
and properties
associated with
them
Test 3 To test the Point Estimation, Unbiased Estimator, Consistent Estimator, Individual Offline 30 10 / 11
knowledge level of Sufficient Estimator, MLE (Method of Maximum Liklihood).
students in the Limit Theorems, Convergence of Random Variables
concepts of theory
of estimations and
limit theorems

An instruction plan is a tentative plan only and a teacher may make some changes in his/her teaching plan. The students are advised to use syllabus for preparation of all examinations. The students are expected to keep themselves
updated on the contemporary issues related to the course. Upto 20% of the questions in any examination/Academic tasks can be asked from such issues even if not explicitly mentioned in the instruction plan.