Commodity Pricing
Commodity Pricing
Prelude
Pricing depends on demand and supply
2
Equilibrium
A price quantity configuration is said to be an equilibrium if plans of
all the relevant economic agents (buyers and sellers) are realized
simultaneously
3
Equilibrium
At any 𝑃𝑃′ ; such that 𝑃𝑃′ > 𝑃𝑃𝑒𝑒 ; 𝑋𝑋𝑑𝑑 𝑃𝑃′ < 𝑋𝑋𝑠𝑠 𝑃𝑃′
Therefore at 𝑃𝑃′ buyers’ plans are realized, but not that of the sellers.
Similarly, for any 𝑃𝑃′ < 𝑃𝑃𝑒𝑒 , sellers’ plans would be realized.
4
Equilibrium and Clearing of Market
Let’s consider the labour market with rigid wages (may be due to
labour laws or presence of labour union); plans realised, but market
does not clear.
5
Perfectly Competitive Markets
We define a competitive market (or perfect competition) as a market
where agents (buyers and sellers) behave competitively.
8
Perfectly Competitive Markets
competitive equilibrium is a vector of quantities produced and a price
such that –
1. each firm chooses its profit-maximizing output at the given
equilibrium price, and
2. at the equilibrium price, aggregate quantity demanded equals
aggregate quantity supplied
if –
1. p , q solves
e e
i
max π i ( qi ) = p e
qi − TCi (qi ); i = 1, 2
qi
9
Perfectly Competitive Markets
Firm i treats p as a constant, the firm's profit margin defined by ( p − ci )
∞ if p > ci
qi = {[0, ∞) if p = ci
0 if p < ci
10
Perfectly Competitive Markets
Now, if ( p − ci ) > 0, then qi = ∞ which violates the demand function
which ensures that quantity demanded must be finite for every price
level.
Hence, p e ≤ c1
However, p e < c1 ≤ c2 ⇒ q1 = q2 = 0
a − c1
1. If c2 > c1 ⇒ q2 = 0, q1 =
e e
b
a − c1 e e
2. If c2 = c1 ⇒ Q = q1 + q2 = ; q1 , q2 > 0.
e e e
b
Aggregate output can be determined, but not individual output
11
Perfectly Competitive Markets
Observe that if a < c1 (meaning that the demand is low), then neither
firm would produce.
12
Perfectly Competitive Markets
13
Perfectly Competitive Markets
Why not IRS?
F + cq if q > 0
Let’s assume 1 firm with cost function: TC (q ) = {
F if q = 0
14
Perfectly Competitive Markets
Suppose p e = p1e ≤ c ⇒ p1e < F
q + c = ATC (q )
⇒ qe = 0
Therefore this can’t be the equilibrium price
15
Monopoly
Monopoly: theory of a single seller facing competitive (price-taking)
consumers in one or several markets, over one or several periods.
After estimating the demand curve, the monopoly has to study the
market demand to determine its profit-maximizing output.
16
Monopolist’s profit maximization
Let 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇(𝑄𝑄)denote the total cost function of the monopoly.
𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑(𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 ) 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑𝐶𝐶(𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 )
= ⟹ 𝑀𝑀𝑅𝑅 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀(𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 )
𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑
17
Monopolist’s profit maximization
Now, 𝑀𝑀𝑅𝑅 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀(𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 ) is a necessary condition, not sufficient!
If the monopoly has to pay high fixed costs, it is possible that the
monopoly's profit-maximizing output level is 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 0.
How to ensure?
18
Monopolist’s profit maximization
Solve for 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 from, 𝑀𝑀𝑅𝑅 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀(𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 )
Plug the 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 thus obtained into the total profit function to check
whether 𝜋𝜋(𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 ) ≥ 0.
𝑎𝑎
Hence, 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 2(𝑏𝑏+𝑐𝑐)
𝑎𝑎 𝑎𝑎(𝑏𝑏+2𝑐𝑐)
Implying, 𝑝𝑝 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 𝑎𝑎 − 𝑏𝑏 =
2 𝑏𝑏+𝑐𝑐 2(𝑏𝑏+𝑐𝑐)
20
Case
Therefore we have the profit function as –
2
𝑎𝑎
𝜋𝜋(𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 ) ≡ 𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 − TC 𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 = 𝑝𝑝𝑚𝑚 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 − 𝐹𝐹 − 𝑐𝑐(𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 )2 = − 𝐹𝐹
4(𝑏𝑏 + 𝑐𝑐)
𝑎𝑎 𝑎𝑎2
𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 = � 2(𝑏𝑏 + 𝑐𝑐) 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝐹𝐹 ≤
4(𝑏𝑏 + 𝑐𝑐)
0 𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜
21
Graphical Illustration ( 𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 >0 )
Case where the demand is high enough (or the fixed cost is low
enough) so that the monopolist would produce 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 > 0
22
Graphical Illustration ( 𝑄𝑄 𝑚𝑚 =0 )
Case where the demand is so low (or the fixed cost is high enough)
so that the monopolist would produce 𝑄𝑄𝑚𝑚 = 0
23
Discriminating Monopoly
The analysis so far has focused, on monopolies charging a single, uniform
price to all customers.
24
Discriminating Monopoly
Monopolies resort to various marketing techniques to prevent arbitrage
from taking place (market segmentation) –
Question: How does a monopolist determine the output level (and, hence,
the price) in each market?
The monopolist chooses the output levels sold in each market, 𝑞𝑞1𝑚𝑚 and
𝑞𝑞2𝑚𝑚 , that solve –
26
Discriminating Monopoly
If the monopolist chooses 𝑞𝑞1𝑚𝑚 and 𝑞𝑞2𝑚𝑚 such that 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀1 𝑞𝑞1𝑚𝑚 > 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀2 𝑞𝑞2𝑚𝑚 ,
then, it is clear that the monopoly should transfer one unit from market 2
to market 1.
To solve for the profit-maximizing output levels 𝑞𝑞1𝑚𝑚 and 𝑞𝑞2𝑚𝑚 , we need to
solve two equations (FOCs) with the two variables.
Graphically – 3 steps
1 1
Prices charged 𝑝𝑝1𝑚𝑚 and 𝑝𝑝2𝑚𝑚 such that 𝑝𝑝1𝑚𝑚 1 + = 𝑝𝑝2𝑚𝑚 1 +
𝜀𝜀1 𝜀𝜀2
27
Discriminating Monopoly
28
Discriminating Monopoly
Implication: A discriminating monopoly selling a strictly positive
amount in each market will charge a higher price at the market with
the less elastic demand
If 𝜀𝜀2 > 𝜀𝜀1 (or |𝜀𝜀2 |<|𝜀𝜀1 |) then 𝑝𝑝2𝑚𝑚 > 𝑝𝑝1𝑚𝑚
29
Cartel and Multi-plant Monopoly
The cartel and the multi-plant monopoly are forms of organizations and
contractual agreements among plants, firms, or countries
Cartel: cartel is an organization that contracts with the plants on how much
each would produce and hence on what would be the price
The multiplant monopoly is very similar to the cartel, except that all the
plants are put under a single ownership.
Multiplant monopoly occurs when several firms in the industry merge
together into a single firm (horizontal merger), or when a monopoly firm
opens several plants producing the same product.
30
Cartel and Multi-plant Monopoly
Thus, unlike the cartel, the multiplant monopoly has the power to decide
whether to shut down some of its plants (or whether to open several
more).
A cartel generally does not shut down plants or countries for the simple
legal reason that the cartel does not own the plants, and no plant would
join the cartel knowing that it could be shut down.
31
Cartel and Multi-plant Monopoly
Let’s assume that each plant has the technology summarized by the total
cost function given by –
Thus, we assume that all plants. have identical cost functions, and that each
plant has a fixed (output independent) cost of F.
𝐹𝐹
𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐶𝐶𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 = + 𝑐𝑐𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖
𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖
𝑀𝑀𝐶𝐶𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 = 2𝑐𝑐𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖
32
Cartel
The cartel organizes all the N plants by directing each plant to produce a
certain amount.
The objective is to maximize the Sum of the profits of all the N plants.
Let’s denote 𝜋𝜋𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 be the profit of the ith plant and 𝑄𝑄 = ∑𝑁𝑁
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖
Objective of the cartel: Choose 𝑞𝑞1 , 𝑞𝑞2 , ……, 𝑞𝑞𝑁𝑁 such that –
𝑁𝑁
33
Cartel
𝜕𝜕𝜕𝜕
N FOCs: = 0 = 𝑎𝑎 − 2𝑏𝑏 ∑𝑁𝑁
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 − 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑗𝑗 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗
𝜕𝜕𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗
= 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 𝑄𝑄 − 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑗𝑗 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗 ; 𝑗𝑗 = 1, 2, … , 𝑁𝑁
Since all plants have identical cost functions, we search for a symmetric
equilibrium where the cartel directs each plant to produce the same
𝑎𝑎
output level. Hence, 𝑞𝑞𝑗𝑗 = 𝑞𝑞 ∀ 𝑗𝑗, and we have 𝑞𝑞 = 2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏+𝑐𝑐) such that
𝑁𝑁𝑎𝑎 𝑎𝑎(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 + 2𝑐𝑐)
𝑄𝑄 = 𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑝𝑝 = 𝑎𝑎 − 𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 =
2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 + 𝑐𝑐) 2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏 + 𝑐𝑐)
34
Cartel
Note that for 𝑁𝑁 = 1 the cartel's output and price coincide with the pure
monopoly levels.
It can be easily verified that as the number of firms in the cartel increases
(N increases), both the output level of each firm and the market price fall
(q and p decrease).
Hence, the total revenue and profit of each firm must fall with an increase
in the number of cartel members.
35
Multi-plant Monopoly
The multiplant monopoly is very similar to the cartel, except that it has the
authority (ownership) to shut down some plants, thereby "saving" variable
and fixed costs associated with maintaining the plant.
Thus, if we suppose that the multiplant monopoly can choose the number
of plants, that is, N is a choice variable by the multiplant monopoly owner,
then the question is: What is the profit maximizing number of plants
operated by the multiplant monopoly?
Given that the multiplant monopoly can add or discard plants, the
monopoly would seek to adjust the number of plants to minimize the cost
per unit of production
36
Multi-plant Monopoly
In other words, the multiplant monopoly will adjust the number of plants
to minimize 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 for every plant in operation.
Like the cartel, the multiplant monopoly would equate 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀 𝑄𝑄 − 𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑀𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖
𝑎𝑎
for every operating plant, yielding, 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 =
2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏+𝑐𝑐)
In addition, the monopoly will adjust N so that each operating plant would
operate at minimum 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 where min 𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝐴𝑖𝑖 𝑞𝑞𝑖𝑖 = 𝐹𝐹⁄𝑐𝑐
𝑎𝑎 𝑎𝑎 𝑐𝑐 𝑐𝑐
Hence, 𝐹𝐹⁄
𝑐𝑐 = yields 𝑁𝑁 𝑚𝑚 = −
2(𝑏𝑏𝑏𝑏+𝑐𝑐) 2𝑏𝑏 𝐹𝐹 𝑏𝑏
37
Multi-plant Monopoly
Thus, the multiplant monopoly's profit-maximizing number of plants
increases with an increase in the demand parameter a, and decreases with
the fixed cost parameter of each plant F.
38
Heterogeneous Commodities
Consider an industry with fairly large number of firms (electronic
goods, banks and financial institutions, newspapers, medicines etc..)
39
Observations
1. Most industries produce a large number of similar but not
identical products.
40
Types and Modeling
Horizontal: Different types of consumers prefer different types of
products (preferring Coke over Pepsi) – consumers have brand
preferences. Includes location or address models (buyers buy only
preferred products) and non-address Chamberlinian models.
41
Simple (non-Address) Models
Consider a two-firm industry producing two differentiated products
indexed by i = 1, 2.
Thus, we assume that that there is a fixed number of two brands and
that each is produced by a different firm facing an inverse demand
curve
The last condition implies own price elasticity larger than cross price
elasticity.
42
Simple (non-Address) Models
Direct demand functions:
γ
c= 2
β −γ 2
43
Measure of Differentiation
Brand’s measure of differentiation is given by
γ2
δ= 2
β
Brands are quite homogeneous when the cross and own price effects
are almost the same. That is, price of both the brands affect each others
prices significantly. Technically γ 2 → β 2 and hence, δ → 1.
44
Zones of Differentiation
45
Quantity Game
Cournot market structure – firms choose quantity produced as
strategies
46
Quantity Game
Each firm i takes q j as given and chooses qi to
∂π i
FOCs: (qi , q j ) = (α − 2 βqi − γq j ) = 0
∂qi
α − γq j
qi = Ri (q j ) =
2β
47
Quantity Game
Depiction of the best response functions:
48
Quantity Game
α γ
the best response functions are: R1 (q2 ) = − q2
2β 2β
α γ
R2 (q1 ) = − q1
2β 2β
49
Quantity Game
Solving the best-response functions we have –
α αβ α β 2
q =
c
; pi =
c
; πi =
c
2β + γ 2β + γ (2β + γ ) 2
i
50
Quantity Game
This result can explain why firms tend to spend large sums of money
to advertise their brands
Firms would like the consumers to believe that the brands are highly
differentiated from the competing brands for the purpose of increasing
their profits.
51
Price Game
Bertrand market structure, firms choose prices as their strategies
α (β − γ ) β γ
Remember: a= 2 ;b= 2 > 0; c = 2
β −γ 2
β −γ 2
β −γ 2
52
Price Game
Each firm i takes p j as given and chooses pi to
max pi π i ( pi , p j ) = (a − bpi + cp j ) pi ; i = 1, 2; i ≠ j
∂π i
FOCs: ( pi , p j ) = (a − 2bpi + cp j ) = 0
∂pi
a + cp j
pi = Ri ( p j ) =
2b
53
Price Game
Depiction of the best response functions:
54
Price Game
Note that there is something different between the best response
functions obtained in the Bertrand game vis-à-vis the Cournot game.
Definitions –
55
Price Game
Hence, in a quantity game the quantities are strategic substitutes,
whereas in a price game prices are strategic complements.
ab αβ
qi =
b
=
2b − c (2β − γ )( β + γ )
a 2
b α 2
β (β − γ )
πi =
b
=
(2b − c) 2
(2β − γ ) ( β + γ )
2
56
Price Game
The profit levels decline when the products become less differentiated
(γ increases).
57
Cournot versus Bertrand
Which market structure, a Cournot or a Bertrand, would yield a
higher market price?
αβ α (β − γ ) α
p −p =
c b
− = > 0 [ β > γ ]
2 2
i
2β + γ (2β − γ )
i
β 2
4 2 −1
γ
58
Cournot versus Bertrand
Thus, in a differentiated products industry –
2. The more differentiated the products are, the larger the difference
between the Cournot and Bertrand prices.
Formally, ∂ ( pic − pib )
>0
∂γ
Hence, each firm would maintain a low output level since it is aware
that a unilateral output expansion would result in a drop in the market
price.
60
Sequential Game
So far we have analyzed industries where firms strategically choose
their output/price levels.
Both the games were static in the sense that players simultaneously
choose their price/quantity produced.
Let’s we assume that the firms move in sequence.
Best known example is the Stackelberg game which is a sequential
version of the Cournot game (in a two-firm, sequential moves game,
firm 1 will choose its output level before firm 2 does. Then, firm 2,
after observing the output level chosen by firm 1, will choose its
output level, and only then will output be sold and profits collected by
the two firms).
This type of market structure is often referred to as Leader-Follower
structure
61
Sequential Game
However we try to solve for a sequential game in prices (for the
original Stackelberg game see section 6.2)
62
Sequential Game
Our main questions are –
1. Is there any advantage for moving in the first stage rather than the
second? (One related and important question is who moves first?
That we will analyze later with an established firm and a new
entrant)
63
Sequential Game
Direct demand functions: q1 = 168 − 2 p1 + p2
q2 = 168 + p1 − 2 p2
64
Sequential Game
FOC: ∂π 1 7
= 210 − p1 = 0
∂p1 2
⇒ p1s = 60
⇒ p2s = 57
⇒ q1s = 105; q2s = 114
⇒ π 1s = 6300; π 2s = 6498
65
Sequential Game
Under a sequential-moves price game (or more generally, under any
game where actions are strategically complements):
2. The firm that sets its price first (the leader) makes a lower profit
than the firm that sets its price second (the follower).
66
Sequential Game
Thus, first to move is not always an advantage.
Here, each firm would want the other firm to make the first move.
68
Address Model (Concepts)
Each person prefers a particular quality. Suppose you prefer a particular
shade of blue emulsion paint. Anything else (even other shades of
blue) you don’t prefer. Now if such shade is not available in the market
then you will have to deviate (may be slightly). In doing so you incur
some cost.
Location:
1. Physical location (consumer checks the price in all the stores and
buys from that in which price plus transportation cost is minimum).
2. Distance between brand characteristics from that of the “ideal”
brand. Consumer disutility arises from buying this less-than-ideal
brand.
3. Brands are not uniformly ranked by all consumers.
4. Given same prices, consumers will buy their preferred brands.
69
Linear City Model (Hotelling)
Consider a linear street of length L > 0
70
Price Game with Fixed Location
Two firms, homogeneous product, location of product sold is different,
zero production cost.
Assume: Firm A located a distance a from the origin and firm B located
at a distance b from L.
71
Price Game with Fixed Location
Each consumer buys only one product.
− p A − t ( x − a) = − pB − t ( L − b − x)
72
Price Game with Fixed Location
pB − p A L − b + a
Or, x= +
2t 2
Anyone left of this point will buy from A
pB − p A L − b + a
Hence, x= + gives the demand function faced
by A 2t 2
p A − pB L + b − a
Similarly for firm B we get L−x = +
2t 2
Assuming Bertrand competition find NE price strategies.
73
Price Game with Fixed Location
pB − p A L − b + a
Firm A: π A = [ + ] pA
2t 2
pB − 2 p A L − b + a
FOC: + =0
2t 2
p A − 2 pB L + b − a
Similarly for firm B: + =0
2t 2
t (3L − b + a ) N t (3L + b − a )
NE prices: p = ; pB =
N
A
3 3
3L − b + a
Equilibrium market share of A: x A =
N
6
t (3L − b + a ) 2
Equilibrium profit of A: π N
A =p x =
N
A
N
A >0
18
74
Price Game with Fixed Location
If a = b then equal market share.
t (3 L − b + a ) 2
The profit of firm A: π A = p AN x AN = >0
N
18
What happens if a + b = L ?
75
Price Game with Fixed Location
If both firms are located at the same point ( a + b = L) ,
meaning that the products are homogeneous), then the
unique equilibrium is p A = p B = 0
76
Price Game with Fixed Location
We consider the simple case where firms are located at
equal distances along the edges.
77
Price Game with Fixed Location
The profit level of firm A as a function of its own price p A
and a given B's price p B = tL for the case of a = b
78
Price Game with Fixed Location
Region I: p A < tL − t ( L − 2a )
In this zone p A is very low, so that even the consumer
located at the same point where firm B is located would
purchase from firm A.
Thus, firm A has the entire market, and its profit is given
by π A = p A L = [tL − t ( L − 2a ) − ε ]L
N N N N
Thus to have an eqm defined by A
p ; p B ; x A ; x B; the
globally profit-maximizing price for firm A would lie in
Region II
80
Price Game with Fixed Location
Hence, we must have profit in region II higher than profit
in region I
When the two firms are located too closely, they start
undercutting each other's prices, resulting in a process of
price cuts that does not converge to an equilibrium.
81
Price Game with Fixed Location
So far, we have assumed that the location of the firms is
fixed
82
Price Game with Fixed Location
Let’s reconsider the profit function
t (3 L − b + a ) 2
π AN = p AN x AN = >0
18
84
Reference
Oz Shy (1995). Industrial Organization. MIT Press. Chapters 2, 4 - 7.
85