Module 2 RM
Module 2 RM
Forex Dealer?
An authorized forex dealer is a type of financial institution that has received
authorization from a relevant regulatory body to act as a dealer involved with
the trading of foreign currencies. Dealing with authorized forex dealers
ensures that your transactions are being executed in a legal and just way.
The National Futures Association (NFA) and Commodity Futures Trading
Commission (CFTC) authorize forex dealers in the United States
An exchange rate mechanism (ERM) is a way that central banks can influence the relative
price of its national currency in forex markets. The ERM allows the central bank to tweak
a currency peg in order to normalize trade and/or the influence of inflation.
By the 1990s, many countries adopted flexible ERMs, which have remained
the most popular option in order to maintain liquidity and reduce economic
risks. Governments adopting flexible ERMs will usually intervene to some
degree or another to keep exchange rates within certain parameters.
Other tools that can be used to defend exchange rates include tariffs and
quotas, domestic interest rates, monetary and fiscal policy, or switching to a
floating ERM. These strategies have mixed effects and reliability depending
on the situation. For example, raising interest rates can be an effective way to
increase a currency's valuation, but it's difficult to do if the economy is
performing well.
Since central banks can print their own domestic currencies in theoretically
unlimited quantities, most traders respect the limits of fixed or semi-fixed
ERMs. There are some famous cases of these fixed or semi-fixed ERMs
failing, though, including George Soros' famous run on the Bank of England.
In these instances, traders might utilize leverage to make enormous bets
against a currency that make interventions too expensive for central banks to
undertake without causing significant inflation.
EXAMPLES
If heading to Europe you'll need euros (EUR), and will need to check
the EUR/USD exchange rate at your bank. The market rate may be 1.113, but an
exchange might charge you 1.146 or more.
Assume you have $1,000 USD to buy Euros with. Divide $1,000 by 1.146 (what a
bank may charge) to get 872.60 euros. That is how many Euros you get for your
$1,000. Since Euros are more expensive, we know we have to divide, so that we
end up with fewer units of EUR than units of USD.
Now assume you want 1,500 euros, and want to know what it costs in USD. Multiply
1,500 by 1.146 to get 1,719 USD. Since we know Euros are more expensive,
one euro will cost more than one US dollar, that is why we multiply in this case.
ERMs in Practice
The most popular example of an exchange rate mechanism is the European
Exchange Rate Mechanism, which was designed to reduce exchange rate
variability and achieve monetary stability in Europe prior to the introduction of
the euro on January 1, 1999. The ERM was designed to normalize the
currency exchange rates between these countries before they were integrated
in order to avoid any significant problems with the market finding its bearings.
While the original European ERM has been dissolved, the European ERM II
was adopted in 1999 in order to help new members of the eurozone better
integrate. Countries involved include Estonia, Lithuania, Slovenia, Cyprus,
Latvia, and Slovakia, among others. Not all countries in the EU have adopted
the ERM II.5 6
China also maintains a flexible ERM with the U.S. dollar, but the People's
Bank of China has been notoriously unpredictable when defending it. For
example, the country decided to let its currency float to a large extent in a
controversial bid to become one of the world's official reserve currencies,
alongside the U.S. dollar and the euro. But, skeptics argued that the
devaluation simply made its exports cheaper at a time when the government
wanted to boost economic growth rates.
Rates change when currency values change. There are several key factors that
affect the movement and values of local and foreign currencies. These include three
key factors known as:
1. Interest rates
2. Money supply
3. Financial stability
Due to these factors, the demand for a particular country’s currency, depends on
what is happening in that country.
Interest rates
The interest rates a country’s central bank is setting is a key factor that will influence
the country’s exchange rate. Higher interest rates have positive impacts on the value
of the country’s currency. Investors are more likely to exchange their currency for
one with higher interest rates, and then save it in that country’s bank to benefit from
the higher interest rate.
Money supply
The money supply made available by a country’s central bank can influence the
value of the currency in the foreign exchange market. For example, if there is too
much money in circulation, there will be too much of it in exchange for very few
goods.
Currency holders will most likely bid up the costs of goods and services which will
trigger inflation. In the event that too much money is printed and in circulation in a
particular country, it triggers hyperinflation and drives down their currency value in
the foreign exchange market. Cash holders prefer to invest in countries with little or
no inflation.
Financial stability
The financial stability and economic growth of a country can affect its foreign
exchange rates. Investors are more likely to buy goods and services from countries
with a strong and growing economy. This means they will need more of such a
country’s currency to buy from them. this will increase the demand for such currency
and ultimately boosts its value in the foreign exchange market.
If the economy of the country is in a bad shape, investors are less likely to trade with
them. Investors are only interested in trading with countries that can provide gains
from holding government bonds in that currency
When ExxonMobil is preparing its financial statements, it will require that both Esso
Australia and Mobil Producing Nigeria convert their financial figures into U.S.
dollars, because it is the currency of the United States, where ExxonMobil is
headquartered. The U.S. dollar is the reporting currency. If Esso Australia reported
AUD 1 million, it would convert that AUD 1 million into USD, which is approximately
$750,000. ExxonMobil would then use the $750,000 figure in its consolidated
financial reporting.
The foreign exchange market in India started when in 1978 the government allowed banks
to trade foreign exchange with one another. Foreign Exchange Market in India operates
under the Central Government of India and executes wide powers to control transactions
in foreign exchange.
The FOREX market, also known as the Foreign Exchange Market, is a decentralized
global marketplace for foreign currency trading. The FOREX market is an OTC
(over-the-counter) market and foreign exchange rates are dictated by it. It also
entails selling, purchasing, and exchanging currencies at market rates. In terms of
trade rate, the Foreign Exchange Trading is the largest in the world.
The following are the characteristics of the foreign exchange market in India:
- Low Transaction Costs
Because of the lower online FOREX trading costs, even small investors will make good
money. Unlike other investment options, FOREX traders only charge a small fee. The spread,
or the difference between buying and selling prices for a currency pair, is where the FOREX
commission is limited.
- Elevated Leverage
In the FOREX market, you can sell on margins, which are technically borrowed funds. The
return on your investment is rising exponentially, so the value of your investment is high.
Since the FOREX market is so unpredictable, trading with leverage (borrowed money) will
result in significant losses if the market goes against you. The foreign currency trading is a
two-edged sword. If the market is on your side, you will make a lot of money. If the market
goes against your bet, you will lose a lot of money.
- Extremely Transparent
The foreign exchange market in India is a transparent market in which traders have complete
access to market data and information necessary for successful transactions. Traders who
operate on open markets have more leverage over their investments and can make informed
decisions based on the information available.
- Spot Market
In this market, transactions involving currency pairs happen quickly. In the spot market,
transactions require immediate payment at the current exchange rate, also known as the 'spot
rate.' The traders on the spot market are not exposed to the FOREX market's uncertainty,
which increases or lowers the price between trade and agreement.
- Futures Market
Future market transactions, as the name implies, require future payment and distribution at a
previously negotiated exchange rate, also known as the future rate. These agreements and
transactions are formal, which ensures that the terms of the agreement or transaction are set in
stone and cannot be changed. Traders who conduct major FOREX transactions and pursue a
consistent return on their assets prefer future market transactions.
- Forward Market
Forward market deals are identical to future market transactions. The main difference is that
in a forward market, the parties will negotiate the terms. The terms of the agreement can be
negotiated and adapted to the needs of the parties concerned. Flexibility is provided by the
forward market.
the five main types of foreign exchange exposures that occurs due to
transactions with foreign entities.
The types are:
1. Transaction Exposure
2. Translation Exposure
3. Economic Exposure
4. Contingent Exposure
5. Competitive Exposure.
Type # 1. Transaction Exposure:
Transaction exposure occurs when the company bills its customers
in a foreign currency, say British pounds, and the currency
depreciates between the time the receivable is booked and collected.
Type # 2. Translation Exposure:
The risk that a company’s equities, assets, liabilities or income will
change in value as a result of exchange rate changes. This occurs
when a firm denominates a portion of its equities, assets, liabilities
or income in a foreign currency. Also known as “accounting
exposure”.
Considering a company has borrowed dollars to finance the import
of capital goods worth USD 10,000 @ Rs. 43 per dollar. The entry
was booked at this rate. The depreciation on the asset would be
provided accordingly assuming that the forex rate has not changed.
In all the cases, currency movements will affect future cash flows.
The main risks in the foreign exchange are market are transaction
risks and translation risk.
Transaction risks are the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on
cash flows. Imagine you own U.S.-based company selling to a
Japanese firm, and you send products for 1,150 million yen (10
million dollars at the current exchange rate of 115 yen per dollar),
payable in 30 days. However, during that month, the yen loses value
and the rate changes to 120 yen per dollar. Suddenly, your payment
becomes 9.58 million, reducing your profit.
Translation risks involve an asset losing value because of currency
exchange variations. If your company also owns real estate in
Russia and the ruble devaluates, your property will worth less U.S.
dollars, so your asset loses value.
Forward Contracts
Forwards contracts or forwards are agreements between two parties to buy or a sell a specific
amount of currency at a predefined exchange rate. If the foreign currency you'll be exchanging
into domestic currency loses value, you will still receive the exchange rate specified in the
contract, so you won't lose any money. However, if the foreign currency appreciates, you will still
receive the same exchange rate, so there are no additional earning.
Types of hedging
Forward exchange contract for currencies.
Currency future contracts.
Money Market Operations for currencies.
Forward Exchange Contract for interest.
Money Market Operations for interest.
Future contracts for interest.
Covered Calls on equities.
What are the hedging strategies?
A hedging strategy is a set of measures designed to minimise the risk of
adverse movements in the value of assets or liabilities. Hedging
strategies usually involve taking an offsetting position for the related asset or
liability.