Aerospace America - January 2021
Aerospace America - January 2021
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JANUARY 2021 | A publication of the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics | aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org
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FEATURES | January 2021 MORE AT aerospaceamerica. aiaa.org
An X-51A Waverider
under the wing of a
B-52 Stratofortress in
an artist’s concept.
U.S. Air Force
22
Hypersonic challenge
10
Life after ISS
Axiom Space is
18
Meet the
candidates
32
Training the mind
for space travel
aspiring to build the The two candidates When people who
Engineers and researchers strive to first privately owned vying to be the aren’t professional
build an air-breathing hypersonic hub for research and next AIAA president astronauts blast off
tourism in low-Earth discuss their goals for for another world, they
engine big enough to carry people,
orbit. Here’s how Chief the institute and how are likely to have less
weapons or intelligence equipment. Technology Officer AIAA will adapt to a training than the pros.
By Jan Tegler
Matt Ondler thinks post-covid world. Will that matter?
this promising future
would unfold. By Cat Hofacker By Sarah Wells
By Cat Hofacker
OVERVIEW
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IN THIS ISSUE
J A N U ARY 2 0 2 1 , V O L . 5 9 , NO. 1
Cat Hofacker
EDITOR-IN-CHIEF
As our staff reporter, Cat covers news for our website and regularly
Ben Iannotta contributes to the magazine.
beni@aiaa.org
PAGES 9, 10, 18
ASSOCIATE EDITOR
Karen Small
karens@aiaa.org
STAFF REPORTER
Cat Hofacker Moriba Jah
catherineh@aiaa.org Before becoming an associate professor at the University of Texas at
EDITOR, AIAA BULLETIN
Austin, Moriba helped navigate the Mars Odyssey spacecraft and the Mars
Reconnaissance Orbiter from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab and worked on space
Christine Williams
situational awareness issues with the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory.
christinew@aiaa.org
PAGE 66
CONTRIBUTING WRITERS
Moriba Jah, Robert van der Linden, Jan Tegler,
Sarah Wells, Frank H. Winter
Jan Tegler
Basil Hassan AIAA PRESIDENT Jan covers a variety of subjects, including defense. He’s a frequent contributor to
Daniel L. Dumbacher PUBLISHER Defense Media Network/Faircount Media Group and is the author of the book “B-47
Katie Taplett DEPUTY PUBLISHER Stratojet: Boeing’s Brilliant Bomber,” as well as a general aviation pilot.
PAGE 22
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4 Editor’s Notebook
8 9
5 Flight Path AeroPuzzler R&D
Aerospace America (ISSN 0740-722X) is published monthly Designing for Titan Launching small satellites on
except in August by the American Institute of Aeronautics return velocity an autonomous drone
and Astronautics, Inc., at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive, Suite 6 Corrections
200 Reston, VA 20191-5807 [703-264-7500]. Subscription
rate is 50% of dues for AIAA members (and is not deductible
8 AeroPuzzler
therefrom). Nonmember subscription price: U.S., $200;
foreign, $220. Single copies $20 each. Postmaster: Send 10 42
address changes and subscription orders to Aerospace
America, American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics,
9 R&D Q&A Opinion
at 12700 Sunrise Valley Drive, Reston, VA, 20191-5807, Matt Ondler, chief technology Uncertainty quantification
Attn: A.I.A.A. Customer Service. Periodical postage 47 AIAA Bulletin officer at Axiom Space and computational fluid
paid at Reston, Virginia, and at additional mailing dynamics
offices. Copyright 2021 by the American Institute of
Aeronautics and Astronautics, Inc., all rights reserved. 60 Career Opportunities
62 66
The name Aerospace America is registered by the AIAA
in the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.
62 Looking Back
Looking Back Jahniverse
66 Jahniverse The first unpowered glide Finding the facts we don’t
flight of the Bell XS-1 rocket know we don’t know
research airplane
EDITOR ’S NOTEBOOK CLIMATE CHANGE
ssuming covid-19 is tamed and a giant asteroid or comet isn’t spotted heading our way in 2021,
A
climate change will resume its place as the most pressing science and technology issue facing
humanity. On this topic, the incoming administration of President-elect Joe Biden might soon
experience the power of inertia, as in the “resistance of any object to any change in its velocity,”
as Wikipedia defines it.
The Democratic Party platform has inertia in the forward direction on climate change, calling for
achieving “net-zero” carbon emissions no later than 2050 for the economy overall, in part by creating a
“clean, 21st-century transportation system,” which presumably would include cleaner air transportation.
This forward inertia is not matched by the U.S. government, which became practically motionless on the
issue under the Trump administration.
Restoring that motion won’t be easy. In the aerospace sector, doing so could mean stretching out the
timetables for accomplishing other goals that many reasonable people applaud, including clearing the way
for supersonic air travel, catching up with rivals on hypersonics research, and reviving human exploration
of the moon.
Taking on climate change here in the United States is what the theorists call a “wicked problem,” meaning
one that defies logic and predictable outcomes. If the Biden administration attempts to jar the bureaucracy
into motion through small, painless bumps, the climate won’t wait and innovators around the world will
continue leaping ahead of the United States. What about retooling the entire federal government to meet
the climate challenge? A year ago at the AIAA SciTech Forum, former NASA official Lori Garver pointed to
something like that path, calling climate change the “No. 1 global challenge of our time,” and suggesting
that the talents of NASA and the nation should be reoriented to it much as they were marshaled to beat
Russia to the moon in the 1960s. That makes total sense, but it also sounds like a political nightmare, which
is why climate change is such a wicked problem here in the United States. Progress would likely bog down
in time-sucking side debates over where to spend the money and how to best reshape the bureaucracy.
So, I don’t know exactly what the solution will be. I suspect, though, that the private sector will be a big
part of it. We might discover that relatively small nudges to the government apparatus through new research
initiatives, tax changes or enhanced international collaboration will have an outsized effect by unleashing
private sector innovators in areas such as fuels, propulsion, carbon capture and more. With luck, we’ll see
a whole new class of Elon Musks emerge in the area of clean energy. ★
Together, We Persevere
anuary is traditionally the month when everyone starts In the 1967 Apollo 1 fire, industry pulled together with NASA
courtesy of
U
.S. astronauts were launched from NASA’s ULA in July launched NASA’s Perseverance rover
Kennedy Space Center in Florida for the to Mars on an Atlas V rocket. Blue Origin delivered
first time since 2011. For the Demo-2 mis- a pathfinder BE-4 engine, and Northrop Grumman
sion, Bob Behnken and Doug Hurley flew to completed the first qualification test for a strap-
the International Space Station aboard a SpaceX on booster. Both are being developed for ULA’s
Crew Dragon capsule atop a Falcon 9 rocket in next-generation rocket, Vulcan Centaur.
May, clearing the way for November’s Crew-1 Virgin Galactic’s VSS Unity spaceplane con-
launch. Boeing prepared for an uncrewed test ducted two unpowered glide flights, one in May
flight of its Starliner capsule after the initial De- and one in June. After a failed attempt in July, Cali-
cember 2019 uncrewed flight on a United Launch fornia-based Rocket Lab’s Electron satellite launch
Alliance Atlas V rocket was shortened due to a vehicle returned to flight in August. That flight also
software error. In February, a Northrop Grumman included the first flight of Rocket Lab’s new Photon
Antares rocket delivered a Cygnus cargo vehicle to spacecraft bus. Also this year, Rocket Lab received a
the ISS. SpaceX launched its 19th successful Cargo launch operator license from FAA allowing launch-
Dragon resupply mission to the ISS in March. es from NASA’s Wallops Flight Facility in Virginia
In August, NASA completed the fourth of eight starting in late 2020.
Green Run tests for its Space Launch System at In May, the Long March-5B, China’s heavy-lift
NASA’s Stennis Space Center in Mississippi. The The core stage for a rocket intended to support a space station in low-
test verified the main propulsion system com- Space Launch System Earth orbit, delivered an uncrewed version of its
ponents were operable and leak-free. Northrop rocket was transported next-generation spacecraft. In March, China’s first
Grumman fired a full-scale version of SLS’s solid from NASA’s Michoud launch of the Long March-7A, upgraded to include
Assembly Facility in Loui-
boosters in September, and in July, Aerojet Rock- nontoxic propellants and modular systems, failed
siana to its Stennis Space
etdyne completed all of the propulsion hardware Center in Mississippi. to reach geosynchronous transfer orbit.
for the first crewed flight of the SLS. NASA In September, Europe’s Vega rocket returned to
flight to deliver 53 satellites for
21 customers. In July, the United
Arab Emirates launched a probe
to Mars aboard Japan’s H-2A
rocket, and China launched
its Tianwen-1 mission to Mars
aboard the Long March-5. Rus-
sia launched the 27th, 28th
and 29th Gonets-M satellites in
September on a Soyuz rocket.
It had launched the 24th, 25th
and 26th satellites in December
2019 on a Russian Rokot rocket.
It was final launch of a Rokot;
the first one debuted in 1990.
In July, Israel launched its
Shavit-2 smallsat rocket for
the first time since 2016. Japan
launched the final H-2 Transfer
Vehicle to the ISS in March. In
April, Mitsubishi Heavy In-
dustries in Japan test fired its
LE-9 engines for 240 seconds in
preparation for its next-gener-
ation H3 rocket. ★
aerospaceamerica
aerospaceamerica
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.org.org| DECEM
| JANBUARY 2021 | | 73
ER 2020 7
Do you have a puzzler to suggest? Email us at aeropuzzler@aiaa.org.
Designing for
Titan return
velocity
FROM THE DECEMBER ISSUE
For a head start ... find the AeroPuzzler online on the first of each month at
https://aerospaceamerica.aiaa.org/ and on Twitter @AeroAmMag.
very space launch company has its own Florida, its two-stage rocket strapped to its belly. Aevum’s autonomous
E
unpiloted aircraft, part of
secret sauce it believes will set it apart Inside will be an undisclosed number of three-
its Ravn X launch system,
from competitors. For Aevum Inc., that unit and larger cubesats for the U.S. Space Force. would loft a two-stage
something is an autonomous, unpiloted, The $4.9 million experimental mission dubbed rocket to carry satellites
rocket-launching aircraft. ASLON-45, short for Agile Small Launch Oper- to orbit.
The 4-year-old Alabama startup in December ational Normalizer, is part of a Pentagon plan Aevum
unveiled this jet-powered reusable carrier drone to build up the small-launch industry for more
that would be paired with the launch vehicles rapid small satellite launches.
the company is also developing to form Ravn Once aloft, software will command the rocket
X, a launch system for satellite payloads of up to be released at an altitude between 9 and 18
to 500 kilograms, depending on the orbital kilometers, and the drone’s flight computer will
altitude. direct the drone either back to Jacksonville or to
With its sleek black-and-white fuselage and another destination calculated by an algorithm,
tapered nose, the 24-meter drone more closely based on data including air speed and weather
resembles the design of a supersonic airliner conditions from the onboard sensor suite.
than the nonsupersonic carrier aircraft that rivals Aevum expects this flexibility of launch and
including Northrop Grumman and Virgin Orbit landing sites to be especially attractive to military
fly to air-launch their rockets. customers. “This makes it almost impossible to
That resemblance is intentional, Aevum predict where Ravn X is going to take off from”
founder and CEO Jay Skylus says. The Ravn X and land, Skylus says. “So our adversaries who
aircraft would be a precursor to a future variant, are targeting launch sites to keep us on the
Ravn without the X, that would fly at supersonic ground, this will be nearly impossible for them
speeds. This, Skylus says, would give Aevum an for intercept because we can literally change
edge over its air-launch rivals as well as compa- each launch site within the hour.”
nies that launch conventional rockets from the Leading up to the Jacksonville launch, Aevum
ground. “Our model is fundamentally different plans to conduct a series of taxi and flight tests
and really, I believe, built to be sustainable as to verify the Ravn X hardware and software, the
opposed to our peers and industry that are goal being to earn an airworthiness certificate
dependent on this launch-site infrastructure.” from FAA. That certificate is not a requirement of
Ravn X, which has yet to fly, could take off the ASLON-45 launch, but would set Aevum up
from any of the 11 FAA-licensed spaceports in for future launches, Skylus says, because Ravn X
the U.S. In the first operational flight scheduled could then potentially fly from any U.S. airfield
for mid-2021, the carrier drone will speed down with a 1.6-kilometer (1-mile) runway the drone
a runway at the Cecil Spaceport in Jacksonville, needs for takeoff. ★
MATT ONDLER
POSITIONS: Chief technology officer at Axiom
Space since January 2020; president and CEO of
robotic engineering firm Houston Mechatronics,
2014-2019; at NASA’s Johnson Space Center,
chief of the Software, Robotics, and Simulation
Division, 2007-2011.
Q&A
a low-cost lander that concluded in 2014 after
handful of test flights, including a 2012 flight in
which a prototype crashed and caught fire.
AGE: 57
RESIDENCE: Houston
“I
Space are betting in their plan to erect the first privately owned space station. Assembly
will start in 2024 when the International Space Station’s robotic arm attaches the first of
four planned Axiom modules to the Node 2 port to begin a couple years of confidence
More online building before the modules separate to form a free-flying station. As chief technology
aerospace officer of the roughly 100-person Houston company, Ondler oversees the construction of these and
america. future modules that Axiom plans to build for in-space manufacturing, welcoming space tourists and
aiaa.org other needs. I spoke with him via video call ahead of AIAA’s virtual ASCEND conference in November.
Here is our conversation, compressed and lightly edited. — Cat Hofacker
simply having a commercial space station, we can Falcon Heavy or a Blue Origin New Glenn, and that
foster some of those markets as well. The last big ultimately does constrain the size of the module.
piece, too, is to be able to be a place where NASA We have a partnership with Thales Alenia to build
can continue to do fundamental research and do the first two modules. They’ve built about 40% of
experimentation, technology development for, say, the modules on ISS, so they have a lot of expertise.
going to the moon or Mars and also a place to train More importantly, they have all the tooling and
their own astronauts for future missions. All those friction stir welding machines and all the industrial
things together create what we think is a pretty capability to build the module. That really allows us
robust business model. to get a good start on our station, but subsequent
modules may be very different. There may be large
Q: Take us inside the design process for Axiom inflatables, we may do some construction in space,
Station and how these emerging markets are and that allows us to build things that aren’t
influencing those plans. For example, does the necessarily constrained by the launch vehicle itself.
prospect of having humans onboard who are not So the future will end up being a little different,
professional astronauts require Axiom Station to but to get that foothold you have to launch those
have more creature comforts? first modules on a launch vehicle, right? On the
A: Each of our initial modules is being designed overall design, some attention was paid to the
and developed to be either launched on a SpaceX aesthetic and the comfort and the ease at which
aiaa.org/CVD2021
ELECTION PREVIEW
Laura McGill
Member of AIAA Board of Directors/Trustees, 2005-2018. going after increased engagement. Engagement
AGE: 60 will result in broader membership, but that’s not
the goal. The goal is for our members to really get
RESIDENCE: Tucson, Arizona
the same appreciation for their membership that
EDUCATION: Bachelor of Science in aeronautical and astronautical
I have had.
engineering from the University of Washington, 1983. Master of
Science in aerospace systems from West Coast University, 1992
Staying relevant >>
FAVORITE SAYING: “Strive not to be a success, but rather to be of
value.” — Albert Einstein
There’s three aspects of that. The first is I want
AIAA to be a great resource for our members to
Why she wants to be president >> help them in their everyday work. It’s been really
CURRENTLY: Preparing to
Our membership thrives on innovation. We’re all in rewarding for me to be able to reach out to people
become deputy director of
nuclear deterrence at Sandia this industry because we love being at the leading I’ve worked with over the years through AIAA and
National Laboratories in edge of capability and performance for the systems be able to get information or bridge partnerships
January, a new position that we work on, so I think that does translate to between organizations that have actually helped
created to oversee the institute and what we’re able to do and leverage me in my everyday job. I want to be able to do that
development, production
what we’ve all learned about this new environment for members, make those resources more accessible
and management of the U.S.
nuclear stockpile. we’re in. It’s kind of an inflection point for us to go and make them aware of what the opportunities
take all that and use it to evolve and invigorate the are, to build on those aspects that make them more
NOTABLE: Oversaw 7,800
engineers as the Raytheon membership and our capabilities as an institute to successful in their everyday work. The second el-
Corp. vice president of continue to advance the industry as a whole and the ement is to support their career advancement, by
engineering for the former working professionals to support it. helping them recognize what their opportunities
Missile Systems division, for career advancement are. A lot of us are engi-
2015-May 2020. As chief
No. 1 priority >> neers and scientists in AIAA, but that can evolve
engineer, 2004-2006, oversaw
development and production AIAA has been such a great aspect of my profes- into numerous different career paths as technical
of the Tomahawk cruise sional career but also has given me great personal experts, as chief engineers, program managers. All
missiles primarily launched satisfaction, going from the wonderful, incredibly that builds on those technical foundations, and
by the U.S. Navy; inducted smart and talented professionals that I’ve met AIAA can take a better role in helping members to
into the National Academy of
and been able to work with over the years to the realize their career aspirations in any one of those
Engineering, October 2019.
great new ideas and capabilities that it’s exposed different directions they might want to take. The
AIAA RECORD: AIAA member
to me. I value it so much and it’s been so much a third element is one that’s been greatly satisfying for
for 40 years since joining as
an undergraduate student; part of my life, I want all our members to be able me with AIAA: I have a lot of interest in aerospace
fellow since 2007; led and to experience that. I want our members to not and technologies that aren’t necessarily a key part
participated in a variety of just be members; I want them to be engaged, to of my everyday job. I love that I get exposed to those
AIAA executive and technical be able to recognize that there’s all these benefits through forums, in exchanges with other members.
committees, including chair of
available to them. And I want to structure AIAA so I want our members to realize that benefit, that
the Ground Testing Committee,
1998-2000; currently chair it makes those resources more directly accessible they could explore for their personal satisfaction
of the Honors and Awards and available to our members so they will realize
Committee, since 2019. all those benefits of membership. That’s why I’m Continued on Page 20
THE STAKES: Winner begins a one-year term as president-elect on May 19, followed by two years as president starting in May
2022. Winner also becomes a member of the Board of Trustees.
George Nield
adviser for the United States Air Force Academy Student Branch. accomplishments and enable the development of
Past member of the Atmospheric Flight Mechanics Technical a network of friends, colleagues and acquaintanc-
Committee. Served two terms as chairman of the AIAA Houston es. Third would be: educate the general public.
Section from 1994-1995 and 1997-1998.
Communicate with the media; local, state, federal
AGE: 70 and international government officials; and the
RESIDES: Potomac Falls, Virginia public at large to assist them in understanding the
EDUCATION: Bachelor of Science in engineering science from importance of aerospace. And then finally, inspire
the U.S. Air Force Academy, 1972. Master of Science, 1973, and the next generation. I’d like to see us use the wonder
Ph.D., 1981, in aeronautics and astronautics, both from Stanford of flight and the captivating nature of space explo-
University. Master of Business Administration from George ration to gain the attention of students and to assist
CURRENTLY: President Washington University, 2001.
teachers and educators in order to make sure that
of Commercial Space
FAVORITE SAYING: “Management is doing things right; leadership we will have a motivated and capable aerospace
Technologies LLC, the
is doing the right things.” — Peter Drucker
consulting business he set up workforce in the future.
in 2018 in Northern Virginia
after retiring from FAA. Why he wants to be president >> Making membership a must-have >>
NOTABLE: Oversaw the licensing The opportunity exists for us to shape the future I would love to see us double our membership in the
of 126 commercial launches of aerospace rather than just stepping back and next five years, which would be very challenging,
and six new spaceports
letting it happen, good or bad, right or wrong, at but I think it’s possible. If you look at the largest
before retiring from FAA in
2018 after a 15-year career, its own pace. We can be leading it. That to me is the aerospace manufacturing companies in the world
the last decade as associate key as I think back on my many years in the AIAA. today — Boeing, Airbus, Raytheon Technologies,
administrator for Commercial It’s enabled me to get information not only about Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman Corp.
Space Transportation. Head of the latest technical developments, but the status of — altogether, those five companies employ more
the Flight Integration Office at
launch vehicles and aircraft designs and so forth. than 691,000 people. If we could convince just
NASA’s Johnson Space Center
that established objectives for It’s enabled me to really become a lifelong learner 10% of the workforce at those five companies to
space shuttle flights, 1987- many years after I left school. AIAA is an outstanding fill out an application, AIAA would more than
1994. Taught astronautical organization, and it has the potential to really make double overnight. One of the other aspects of
engineering and directed a difference in the aerospace community and for this is: What really is the target market for AIAA?
research at the U.S. Air Force
society as a whole. Somehow I think people have gotten the impres-
Academy from 1980-1983.
Rated to pilot single- and multi- sion that AIAA is primarily intended for aerospace
engine aircraft. Top-level goals >> engineers. That’s part of the answer, but if instead
AIAA RECORD: Member of First would be: advance the aerospace profession. we were to think of AIAA as being the professional
AIAA for 47 years, including Push the state of the art, expand the envelope, society for people that know about, work in or are
14 years as an AIAA Fellow. discover, explore, use new technologies to deliver interested in aviation and space, it could signifi-
Currently a member of the benefits to society. Second would be: engage and cantly change how we operate. That would be a
Board of Trustees. Completed
support our members. Grow our membership and really major shift in how we’ve thought about our-
two terms on the AIAA Board of
Directors as director-technical then help them to become lifelong learners. Offer selves, but it could open up a lot of opportunities.
of the Space and Missiles career development advice, recommendations
Group. Served as faculty and opportunities. Provide recognition for their Continued on Page 21
ton, guides me online to one particular image of an Scaling up such designs to carry conventional
X-51A hypersonic demonstrator from 2009. The bombs, cameras and eavesdropping equipment for
vehicle is slung under the wing of a B-52H at Edwards the military or passengers in the civil context would
Air Force Base in California, just before a captive-car- require a larger inlet to provide more air and therefore
ry flight. A researcher has placed his hand near the oxygen to burn more fuel and generate more thrust.
inlet of the craft’s supersonic combustion ramjet, or In fact, such an air-breathing engine might need to
scramjet, engine, so called because air and combus- ingest 10 times more air than the X-51A engine,
tion gases must whoosh through the engine at su- depending on the mission, and U.S. military research-
personic speeds without snuffing the combustion. ers have made this 10X performance a top goal.
Cruiser
Modified Army
Tactical Missile
Scramjet engine booster
As with a conventional aircraft, the payoff of an It’s not just the U.S. military’s hypersonics advo-
air-breathing design would be greater range and cates who are excited by the possibility of Mayhem.
simpler ground support, since the atmosphere Maddalena, who is not affiliated with the pro-
supplies an endless amount of oxygen, and there gram-in-waiting, wants each Mayhem to be “a flying
would be no need to compress oxygen into liquid workbench for academics” and also “government
and lug it along. But scaling up raises a host of com- and industry” researchers who have aspirations for
bustion and mechanical challenges that have yet to building a wide range of hypersonic aircraft, perhaps
be fully addressed in the international race among even commercial passenger versions.
China, Russia, the United States and others to create AFRL’s Mayhem information request drew the
air-breathing hypersonic missiles, aircraft and space attention of 30 companies who responded by the
launch vehicles. late September deadline, including Aerojet Rocket-
Here in the U.S., the Air Force Research Labora- dyne, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman.
tory in Ohio hopes to resolve many of those chal- AFRL says that at this point the Mayhem program
lenges through a potential new program nicknamed is still under development.
Mayhem for its goal of disrupting the hypersonics
status quo. If this Expendable Hypersonic Multi-Mis- Mixing fuel and air
sion Air-Breathing Demonstrator Program proceeds, To sense the technical issues, consider that turbine
then in five years one or more expendable, air- engines and ramjets slow air to subsonic speeds for
launched Mayhem demonstrators could be streak- combustion. By contrast, scramjets have “only a
ing over a test range at over five times the speed of millisecond to mix fuel and air in a combustor” as
sound, equipped with storage bays capable of car- the air whooshes through the flow path supersoni-
rying three distinct kinds of payloads that AFRL has cally, Maddalena explains. Getting the fuel-air mix-
not specified. The lab would not discuss funding for ture right was tricky enough in the comparatively
the potential new program in fiscal 2021, except to small scramjets that powered the X-43 and X-51.
say that hypersonics research dollars are being Doing it in a scaled-up scramjet is “not an incre-
consolidated from various program elements. mental problem,” Maddalena says. “We’ve probably
X-51A X-43A
PROPELLANT Jet Propellant-7, same fuel as the Liquid hydrogen, same as the space
SR-71, and oxygen from the air shuttle orbiters, and oxygen from
the air
CONTRACTORS Cruisers and interstages by Boeing Aircraft and engines by Micro Craft
Phantom Works; scramjet engines by Inc. (now part of Northrop Grumman
Pratt and Whitney Rocketdyne (now Space Systems); flight control software
Aerojet Rocketdyne); modified Army by Boeing Phantom Works; Pegasus
Tactical Missile boosters by Lockheed boosters by Orbital Sciences Corp.
Martin (now part of Northrop Grumman)
SPONSORS U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory, NASA Aeronautics Research Mission
DARPA Directorate
the larger its combustor cross-section must be, There could well be more to learn, but on Mayhem
and if it’s too big, the fuel “cannot penetrate deep engineers would not be starting from zero on the fuel-air
enough near the center line of the cylinder, so a mixing problem and other challenges of scaling up.
large portion of the entering air would not be in- Last month, Aerojet Rocketdyne reported generating
volved in the mixing process,” Maddalena says. in excess of 58 kilonewtons of thrust, during nearly a
Without thorough mixing at the molecular level, year of tests that ended in November. That would be
combustion cannot be ignited or sustained. Even enough thrust, the company says, to accelerate “a
when combustion can be sustained, “we want the vehicle approximately 10 times the size of the X-51.”
fuel to spread as much as we can so to utilize all the A rival design by Northrop Grumman also generated
air coming into the engine,” which maximizes thrust. over 58 kN of thrust in 2019 during tests at the Air Force
Maddalena says it might be tempting to think Arnold Engineering Development Complex in Ten-
you can “photo-scale” an engine — enlarging it like nessee under the same Medium Scale Critical Com-
a photograph. “But unfortunately, the fluid dynam- ponents program. MSCC managers are targeting a
ics of turbulent mixing does not photo scale.” notional 9-meter vehicle.
longer than the entire X-51A cruiser, which mea- Alternative architecture
sured 4 meters. Because of the Arnold experiments, Bigger engines aside, there may be a way to ease the
“the government is confident in our ability to scaling problem. “You could potentially take some-
design” scramjets “at any scales,” says AFRL’s thing that was the size of the X-51 engine and just
Edgardo Santiago-Maldonado, whose portfolio put three of them on a vehicle,” says NASA’s Chuck
as the lab’s next-generation hypersonic lead in- Leonard, who manages NASA’s Hypersonic Technol-
cludes scramjet testing. In Maddalena’s view, the ogy Project. Researchers under that effort are inves-
“chapter on scalability, from a scientific perspec- tigating concepts for hypersonic aircraft that would
tive, is not yet closed as it requires much more be powered by turbine-based combined cycle engines
The AIAA Propulsion and Energy Forum is the world’s only event
that showcases both aeronautics and space propulsion as well as
energy technologies at a single venue.
AIAA is soliciting papers for the 2021 forum in the following technical disciplines:
aiaa.org/propulsionenergy/cfp
32 | JAN UARY 2021 | aerospaceamerica . aiaa .org
Putting our
minds to
space travel
Virgin Galactic is getting ready to send
its first paying customers to the fringes
of space. NASA and European space
leaders are talking about establishing a
Moon Village for scientists, miners and
tourists. Elon Musk famously wants to
establish colonies on Mars. What kind of
psychological training will people need
for these and other bold endeavors?
Sarah Wells spoke to psychologists and
a space travel veteran to find out.
BY SAR AH WELLS | sarahes.wells@gmail.com
“psychological
wild card remains the reactions of those customers
should a mission not unfold exactly as planned. For
example, last month’s Virgin Galactic suborbital test
and physical flight was cut short moments after the release of the
VSS Unity spaceplane from the WhiteKnightTwo
carrier aircraft, when Unity’s flight computer lost its
before the customer ever left Earth. suborbital flights, orbit could be maintained for days
Also, tourists won’t have the stress of operating or weeks. Customers on those flights may include
the vehicle. Rather, they’ll have to be comfortable academics or visiting scientists who, like Ansari,
trusting their fates to automated software. Unlike would have a little more work to do when they’ve
Ansari, who was involved in the ascent and descent reached their final destination, such as Axiom Space’s
procedure of her flight and completed science ex- proposed space station. [See Page 10.]
periments on the ISS, suborbital tourists will just be Kanas is still not too concerned about the
along for the ride. Blue Origin’s New Shepard sub- mental impact of these longer flights, but he does
orbital rocket and capsule would complete flights stress that mental preparation — in addition to
autonomously, and instead of pilots onboard with physical preparation — will be even more import-
passengers, ground controllers would intervene ant during such flights to ensure tourists remain
should the need arise. For a slightly more human calm for the duration.
“Thinking about their family or other things in Positive effects of space travel
their community that provide meaning to them can Space tourists who have paid hundreds of thousands
help them feel more connected,” Rose says. of dollars for a once-in-a-lifetime experience will
Rose imagines that someday artificial intelligence likely want to maximize the positive psychological
and virtual reality software might simulate a trav- effects of this foray to space. In fact, Loretta White-
REGISTER NOW
aiaa.org/ProfessionalCareerFair
OPINION
BY STEPHEN M. LEGENSK Y
I
Intelligent Light, I have had the privilege of Even if we could manage boundary conditions, dis-
meeting some of the pioneers of CFD through cretization and solution method, there is a trade-off
our visualization and knowledge-extraction between what can be directly solved and what needs
software products. These visionaries freely to be modeled. Turbulence, the tendency for many
shared their valuable time, answering my naïve flows to exhibit an almost chaotic behavior, exists
questions and helping me to understand their field at many scales and directly impacts lift and drag,
and how our tools might help the CFD community. In supersonic combustion and other phenomena. The
the late 1980s, United Technologies Research Center quest to understand and model turbulence has been
used our 3DV software to produce animations of an ongoing pursuit for more than a century.
CFD results by converting them into formats that
could be rendered and recorded to video tape. Thus Moving to uncertainty quantification
began my adventure and a great opportunity for Where are we today with CFD and its application to
Intelligent Light through our FieldView software, real-world problems? For many years, engineers
which has helped countless engineers visualize applied CFD most often to analyze performance
and model aircraft performance by solving the trends due to design changes, rather than as a quan-
Navier-Stokes equations, the fundamental mathe- titative, predictive tool. If my airplane was not be-
matics for modeling fluid dynamics that were devised having as I expected, CFD might be used to simulate
in the 19th century. As powerful as the FieldView the flow, computing the velocity in each cell in three
tool remains under its new owner, FieldView CFD dimensions around my vehicle so that, with the
Inc., much innovation remains ahead to fully tap the appropriate software, I could visualize the flow field.
potential of applying the Navier-Stokes equations If the cause of the problem could not be located, a
for modeling aircraft in flight. change could be made to the shape of the wing, and
So why are the Navier-Stokes equations so dif- then another calculation would be performed. This
ficult to tame? Unlike static structural analysis and was probably much less expensive than modifying
other physical modeling regimes, the Navier-Stokes the actual aircraft and testing in flight.
formulae are partial differential equations that for Quantitative results could be expected only for
most interesting geometries and realistic flow con- certain situations that were well understood with
ditions do not have an analytical solution. You can’t well-behaved designs, such as an aircraft with smooth
just plug algebraic terms into the Matlab software flight surfaces operating at cruise conditions. These
and get an answer. Numerical methods for solving predictions were very important for estimating the
these equations have been under development for fuel efficiency of a new vehicle and identifying the
more than a half-century. The fundamental idea for design that was the best compromise. Airframers
the most popular methods is to discretize the flow have been refining the tools and processes for this
domain around or within the object under study: kind of application for years, but these revisions still
The physical space is divided into cells as small as do not cover more demanding scenarios. You see,
a millimeter on a 747-scale aircraft. Time is also these traditional calculations apply to airplanes that
broken down into very small timesteps, sometimes are deliberately shaped to avoid the types of fluid
on the order of microseconds or even nanoseconds. mechanics phenomena that plague CFD even to
Solution methods with names like Finite Dif- today: flow that separates from the flight surfaces
ference, Finite Volume, Finite Element and Direct and might possess unstable vortex behavior. In
Numerical Simulation are then applied to the millions such cases, the physics of the flow can reveal the
or billions of cells, timestep by timestep. (Techniques shortcomings in the solver code, discretization
such as Lattice-Boltzmann, Particle-in-Cell and and turbulence model. But, if you do not know the
Smooth Particle Hydrodynamics are also used but correct answer for a new design, how does one know
tend to have more specialized applications.) Each of if the calculations are truly predictive?
these methods has advantages and disadvantages in This is where the field of uncertainty quantifica-
terms of memory needs, computing power require- tion comes in. Over the past decades, UQ has gained
ments, stability (meaning: do we get an answer or prominence as a way to understand and to quantify
a program crash) and most importantly, accuracy. the reliability of analysis predictions. The simplest
Solving differential equations has another import- way to understand the role of UQ is that it provides
ant requirement: boundary conditions. For example, a rigorous statistical framework to incorporate ex-
what is the speed of the airplane or the temperature perimental data, variations in CFD methodologies
and pressure at the inlet of a jet engine combustor? and boundary conditions into the analysis process.
These conditions are natural to us in the real world, Rather than just stating that the predicted drag will
but expressing them accurately as inputs to the be 107 under particular conditions, the engineer is
solution program (known as the solver code) or even provided with what are called “confidence intervals”
quantification,
subject to some probability distribution? Finally,
there are the numerical modeling issues: Are there
compromises in the methods of solving the differ-
CFDers.”
NASA funded an effort to set goals for CFD by the
year 2030, and a report was published in 2014. These
goals have brought focus to advancing the areas
of solver methodology, discretization, turbulence
modeling, UQ and also knowledge extraction. An
update is due for publication at AIAA’s SciTech
2021; see that white paper for the technical details
of the progress being made and the teams that are Stephen M.
advancing toward the goals. Legensky founded Intelli-
For our part, Intelligent Light has been playing gent Light in 1984 and remains
a supporting role for the CFD community, focused president and chief technology
on UQ, knowledge extraction and data science officer. He helped grow the
applications for CFD. One of the problems with company from a producer of 3D
the increase in fidelity and the number of simula- animations to a leading suppli-
tions is data size. Although supercomputing has er of tools for CFD workflow and
that might read like: “Within a 95% confidence level, scaled in performance by orders of magnitude over UQ. He has a bachelor’s degree
the drag is predicted to be between 104 and 110.” the decades, we humans have not. Two interesting in engineering and a master’s
Currently, the UQ process can be computationally aspects of work in this area are extract workflows degree in mathematics from
and experimentally expensive, since instead of doing and solution interpretation guided by data science Stevens Institute of Technology
one simulation with fixed boundary conditions or techniques. Extract workflows attempt to get the in New Jersey.
turbulence models, many such computations are most meaningful portions of a CFD solution directly
needed to create the statistical picture of the sim- from the solver memory into a compact useful form.
ulation certainty. Creating efficient workflows for Data science techniques, either modal analysis or
UQ is certainly a topic of extensive research today. machine learning, can help to find patterns or co-
Intelligent Light has been funded in this area by the herent structures within the sea of raw data.
U.S. Department of Energy, whose DAKOTA software It should be clear at this point that CFD, a field of
is the gold standard for UQ and optimization. study with a rich history, still has many opportunities
for improvement. I am confident that the dedicated
Increased precision practitioners out there in the world will continue
Working in UQ is an eye-opening exercise for CFDers. to push the boundaries of the technology for years
Several sources of uncertainty have been identified to come. At the same time, machine learning is
in the CFD workflow: discretization, model form making strides to complement the current state of
and boundary conditions are a few. What were once the art. I read in MIT Technology Review about a
accepted as good enough are no longer: If you real- deep learning technique developed at Caltech that
ly want to predict the behavior and performance of can solve families of partial differential equations
brand new concepts or you want to understand flow such as Navier-Stokes a thousand times faster than
regimes that are not well behaved, then, in reality, traditional methods. Stay tuned. ★
Leading aerospace companies are searching for candidates just like you!
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aerospaceamerica . aiaa .org | JAN UARY 2021 | 51
AIA A BULLETIN | AIA A NEWS AND EVENTS
1 Col. Brian Stahl, U.S. Air Force and Senior Air Force Advisor, Office of Undersecretary of
Defense for Policy, Strategy, and Force Development, discussed career pathways for the
military and public service.
2 Ingo Jahn, deputy director for the Centre for Hypersonics at the University of
3 Allison Tsay, a radio frequency engineer at Lockheed Martin Skunk Works, discussed
professional engineering.
4 Victoria Chibuogu Nneji, lead engineer and innovation strategist at Edge Case Research,
6 Sarah Shull, NASA’s Strategic Architecture and Formulation Lead for Human Missions to
7 Paul Dees, Technical Fellow, Airplane Configuration & Integration at Boeing Commercial
Airplanes, discussed his experiences working as a design engineer and project manager in
the aircraft industry.
FA = Faculty Advisor Manhattan College United States Military Academy-West Point Auburn University University of Florida-Gainesville
SBC: Student Branch Chair (Long Island) (Long Island) (Greater Huntsville) (Central Florida)
FA: John Leylegian FA: Jeremy Paquin FA: Rob Kulick FA: Richard Lind
SBC: Amber Perez SBC: Brandon Cea FA: Norm Speakman SBC: Jose Aguilar
REGION I Massachusetts Institute of Technology United States Naval Academy
SBC: Olivia Green
University of Memphis
American Public University System (New England) (Mid-Atlantic) Duke University (Tennessee)
FA: Marvine Hamner FA: David Darmofal FA: Jeffery King (Carolina) FA: Jeff Marchetta
SBC: Catherine Taylor SBC: Shannon Cassady SBC: Alec Engl FA: Kenneth Hall SBC: William Bowen
SBC: Miles Burnette
Boston University McGill University University of Connecticut University of Miami-Coral Gables
(New England) (Niagara Frontier) (Connecticut) East Carolina University (Palm Beach)
FA: Sheryl Grace FA: TBD FA: Chih-Jen Sung (Carolina) FA: Ryan Karkkainen
SBC: Kathryn Moslener SBC: TBD SBC: Stephen Price FA: Tarek Abdel-Salam SBC: TBD
SBC: Jacob Rose
Brown University National Institute of Aerospace University of Delaware University of Mississippi
(New England) (Hampton Roads) (Delaware) Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ-Daytona (Greater Huntsville)
FA: TBD FA: TBD FA: TBD Beach/FL (Cape Canaveral) FA: TBD
SBC: TBD SBC: TBD SBC: TBD FA: Habib Eslami SBC: TBD
SBC: Sarah Ketchersid
Carleton University New Jersey Institute of Technology University of Maine University of North Carolina at Charlotte
(Niagara Frontier) (Northern New Jersey) (New England) Florida A&M University (Carolina)
FA: Steve Ulrich FA: TBD FA: Alexander Friess (Northwest Florida) FA: Jerry Dahlberg
SBC: Carmen Huang SBC: TBD SBC: Jack O’Kelly FA: Chiang Shih SBC: Spencer Owen
SBC: TBD
Carnegie Mellon University New York Institute of Technology University of Maryland, University of Puerto Rico
(Mid-Atlantic) (Long Island) Baltimore County Florida Atlantic University (Palm Beach)
FA: TBD FA: James Scire (Mid-Atlantic) (Palm Beach) FA: Guillermo Araya
SBC: TBD SBC: TBD FA: Charles Eggleton FA: Stewart Glegg SBC: Harrison Rivera Colon
SBC: Caroline Vantiem SBC: Diego Salvatierra
Catholic University of America Northeastern University University of South Alabama
(National Capital) (New England) University of Maryland-College Park Florida Institute of Technology (Greater Huntsville)
FA: Diego Turo FA: Andrew Gouldstone (National Capital) (Cape Canaveral) FA: Carlos Montalvo
SBC: Virginia Boras SBC: Cameron Bracco FA: Norman Wereley FA: David Fleming SBC: Jossellyn Vieyra-Sanchez
SBC: Rachel Cueva SBC: Sean Dungan
City College of New York Old Dominion University University of South Carolina
(Long Island) (Hampton Roads) University of Massachusetts Lowell Florida International University (Carolina)
FA: Prathap Ramamurthy FA: Colin Britcher (New England) (Palm Beach) FA: Michael Van Tooren
SBC: Mazen Alhirsh SBC: Forrest Miller FA: Marianna Maiaru FA: George Dulikravich SBC: Floris Van Zanten
SBC: TBD SBC: Matthew Barreto
City University of New York Pennsylvania State University University of South Florida
(Long Island) (Central Pennsylvania) University of Pittsburgh Florida State University (Central Florida)
FA: TBD FA: Robert Melton (Mid-Atlantic) (Northwest Florida) FA: TBD
SBC: TBD SBC: Ryan James FA: Peyman Givi FA: TBD SBC: TBD
SBC: TBD SBC: Austin Robertson
Clarkson University Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn University of Tennessee Knoxville
(Northeastern New York) (Long Island) University of Toronto Georgia Institute of Technology (Tennessee)
FA: Kenneth Visser FA: TBD (Niagara Frontier) (Atlanta) FA: James Corder
SBC: Colin Branigan SBC: TBD FA: Kamran Behdinan FA: Dimitri Mavris SBC: Benjamin Ingling
SBC: TBD SBC: Andrew Morell
Columbia University Princeton University University of Tennessee Space Institute
(Long Island) (Northern New Jersey) University of Vermont Kennesaw State University (Tennessee)
FA: Robert Stark FA: Michael Mueller (New England) (Atlanta) FA: Trevor Moeller
SBC: Nathan Coulibaly SBC: TBD FA: William Louisos FA: Adeel Khalid SBC: Lauren Lester
SBC: Anthony Julian SBC: Cindy Vo
Concordia University Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute University of Tennessee-Chattanooga
(Niagara Frontier) (Northeastern New York) University of Virginia Louisiana State University (Tennessee)
FA: Hoi Dick Ng FA: Farhan Gandhi (National Capital) (Greater New Orleans) FA: Kidambi Sreenivas
SBC: TBD SBC: Richard Healy FA: Christopher Goyne FA: Keith Gonthier SBC: Morgan Young
SBC: Rikia Freeman SBC: Jacqueline Cloutier
Cornell University Rochester Institute of Technology University of West Florida
(Niagara Frontier) (Niagara Frontier) Vaughn College of Aeronautics and Mississippi State University (Northwest Florida)
FA: Dmitry Savransky FA: Agamemnon Crassidis Technology (Greater Huntsville) FA: Carolyn Mattick
SBC: Christopher Chan SBC: Blake Olson (Long Island) FA: Robert Wolz SBC: William Preston
FA: Amir Elzawawy SBC: Ryan Cook
Dartmouth College Rowan University SBC: Utsav Shah Vanderbilt University
(New England) (Southern New Jersey) North Carolina A&T State University (Tennessee)
FA: TBD FA: John Schmalzel Villanova University (Carolina) FA: Amrutur Anilkumar
SBC: TBD SBC: Nicholas Gushue (Greater Philadelphia) FA: Michael Atkinson SBC: Cameron Schepner
FA: Sergey Nersesov SBC: Donovan McGruder
Drexel University Royal Military College of Canada SBC: Nick Florio
(Niagara Frontier) North Carolina State University
(Greater Philadelphia)
FA: Ajmal Yousuff FA: Ruben Perez Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State (Carolina) REGION III
SBC: Will Culbertson SBC: TBD University (Hampton Roads) FA: Jack Edwards Air Force Institute of Technology
FA: Mayuresh Patil SBC: Carissa Hardy (Dayton/Cincinnati)
École de Technologie Supérieure Rutgers University SBC: Todd Stefan FA: Marc Polanka
(Niagara Frontier) (Northern New Jersey) Polytechnic University of Puerto Rico
Wentworth Institute of Technology (Palm Beach) SBC: Matthew Fuqua
FA: Ruxandra Botez SBC: Steven Calalpa
SBC: Mathieu Lavoie FA: Francisco Diez (New England) FA: Jose Pertierra Case Western Reserve University
FA: Haifa El-Sadi SBC: Yan Casanova (Northern Ohio)
École Polytechnique de Montreal Ryerson University SBC: Kylee Julia FA: Paul Barnhart
(Niagara Frontier) (Niagara Frontier) Tennessee Tech University
FA: Seyed Hashemi West Virginia University (Tennessee) SBC: Genevieve Timmermann
FA: TBD
SBC: TBD SBC: TBD (Mid-Atlantic) FA: TBD Cleveland State University
FA: Christopher Griffin SBC: TBD (Northern Ohio)
George Washington University Southern New Hampshire University SBC: Zachary Halterman
(New England) Tuskegee University FA: Nicole Strah
(National Capital) SBC: Zach Allen
FA: Peng Wei FA: Xinyun Guo Worcester Polytechnic Institute (Greater Huntsville)
SBC: Joshua Groover SBC: Rasheed Blake (New England) FA: Mohammad Khan Illinois Institute of Technology
FA: John Blandino SBC: Stefon Harris (Illinois)
Hofstra University Stevens Institute of Technology SBC: Krystina Waters
(Northern New Jersey) University of Alabama at Birmingham FA: Boris Pervan
(Long Island)
FA: Siva Thangam Yale University (Greater Huntsville) SBC: Zoey Krevitz
FA: John Vaccaro
SBC: TBD SBC: Amir Choudhury (Connecticut) FA: Roy Koomullil Indiana University-Purdue University
FA: Mitchell Smooke SBC: Jordan Fuse Indianapolis (Indiana)
Howard University Stony Brook University SBC: Rowan Palmer
(Long Island) University of Alabama-Huntsville FA: Hamid Dalir
(National Capital)
FA: Sotirios Mamalis (Greater Huntsville) SBC: TBD
FA: Nadir Yilmaz
SBC: Paa Sey SBC: Le Si Qu
REGION II FA: D Brian Landrum
SBC: Jacob Clark
Kettering University (Michigan)
FA: TBD
Johns Hopkins University SUNY/Buffalo
(Niagara Frontier) Alabama A&M University University of Alabama-Tuscaloosa SBC: TBD
(Mid-Atlantic)
FA: Paul Schifferle (Greater Huntsville) (Greater Huntsville)
FA: TBD FA: TBD Lawrence Technological Unversity
SBC: TBD SBC: Michael Berger FA: Weihua Su (Michigan)
SBC: TBD SBC: Abby Feeder
Syracuse University FA: Andrew Gerhart
Lehigh University
(Northeastern New York) Athens State University University of Central Florida SBC: Rose Gebara
(Greater Philadelphia)
FA: John Dannenhoffer (Greater Huntsville) (Central Florida)
FA: Terry Hart
FA: J Wayne McCain Michigan State University (Michigan)
SBC: Michael DeMasi SBC: Paul Mokotoff FA: Seetha Raghavan FA: Patton Allison
FA: Michelle Allen SBC: Emma Turner SBC: Douglas Heine
PREMIER AWARD
› Daniel Guggenheim Medal
LECTURESHIPS
› Dryden Lecture in Research
› Durand Lecture for Public Service
For more information about the AIAA Honors and Awards Program and a
complete listing of all the AIAA awards, please visit aiaa.org/HonorsAndAwards.
Arizona State University Polytechnic Campus Oregon State University University of California/San Diego Emirates Aviation College Northwestern Polytechnical University
(Phoenix) (Pacific Northwest) (San Diego) FA: TBD FA: Zhicun Yang
FA: TBD FA: Roberto Albertani FA: Mark Anderson SBC: TBD SBC: TBD
SBC: TBD SBC: Adam Ragle SBC: Brenda Williamson Queen’s University Belfast
Ghulam Ishaq Khan Institute of Engineering
Boise State University Portland State University University of Idaho (Pacific Northwest) Sciences and Technology FA: TBD
(Pacific Northwest) (Pacific Northwest) FA: TBD FA: Khalid Rahman SBC: TBD
FA: TBD FA: Andrew Greenberg SBC: TBD SBC: TBD Royal Melbourne Institute of Technology
SBC: TBD SBC: Jim Foley FA: Cees Bil
University of Nevada/Las Vegas Hindustan University SBC: Nick Vrazas
Brigham Young University San Diego State University (Los Angeles-Las Vegas) FA: TBD
(Utah) (San Diego) FA: William Culbreth SBC: TBD Technion Institute of Technology
FA: Andrew Ning FA: Allen Plotkin SBC: Jet Baroudi FA: TBD
SBC: Jon Rice SBC: Diego Chavez Hong Kong University of Science & SBC: TBD
University of Nevada-Reno Technology
United Arab Emirates University
California Institute of Technology San Jose State University (Sacramento) FA: Larry Li FA: Emad Eldeen Jamil Elnajjar
(San Gabriel Valley) (San Francisco) FA: Jeffrey LaCombe SBC: Marco Clark SBC: TBD
FA: Soon-Jo Chung FA: Periklis Papadopoulos SBC: Kevin Watson
SBC: Luis Pabon Madrid SBC: Fernando Ferreira-Velaquez Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur University of Adelaide/Australia
University of Southern California FA: TBD (Adelaide)
California Polytechnic State University- Santa Clara University (Los Angeles-Las Vegas) SBC: TBD FA: Rey Chin
Pomona (San Gabriel Valley) (San Francisco) FA: Geoffrey Spedding SBC: Natalie Hayman
FA: Subodh Bhandari FA: Christopher Kitts SBC: Randi Arteaga Institute of Space Technology/Pakistan
FA: Abid Khan Universidad Pontificia Bolivariana
SBC: Nathan Watje SBC: Karla Raigoza FA: TBD
University of Utah (Utah) FA: Shuja Rehman
California Polytechnic State University-San Stanford University FA: TBD SBC: Muhammad Farhan SBC: TBD
Luis Obispo (Vandenberg) (San Francisco) SBC: TBD Universidad de San Buenaventura
SBC: Aaron Drake FA: Stephen Rock Istanbul Technical University
FA: TBD
SBC: Nicole Bartal SBC: Racheal Erhard University of Washington at Seattle FA: TBD SBC: TBD
(Pacific Northwest) SBC: TBD
California State University, Fresno University of Alaska-Fairbanks FA: Behcet Acikmese Universita di Naples Federico II
(Antelope Valley) (Pacific Northwest) SBC: Athil George Khalifa University of Science Technology FA: Francesco Marulo
FA: Deify Law FA: Michael Hatfield and Research SBC: TBD
SBC: Kyle Sweeney SBC: Zachary Barnes Utah State University (Utah) FA: Ashraf Al-khateeb
FA: Stephen Whitmore SBC: Nouf Al Suwaidi Universita di Roma - La Sapienza
FA: Giuliano Coppotelli
California State University-Fullerton University of Arizona at Tucson SBC: Daniel Falslev SBC: Alessandro Cervelli
(Orange County) (Tucson) Korea Advanced Institute of Science and
FA: Salvador Mayoral FA: Jekan Thangavelautham Washington State University Technology (KAIST) University of Canterbury
SBC: TBD SBC: Matthew Banko (Pacific Northwest) FA: Jiyun Lee FA: Dan Zhao
FA: Colin Merriman SBC: You Hwankyun SBC: Sam Walls
California State University-Long Beach University of California/Berkeley SBC: Roman Sanelli
(Los Angeles-Las Vegas) (San Francisco) Middle East Technical University University of New South Wales (Sydney)
Weber State University (Utah) FA: TBD FA: Danielle Moreau
FA: Eun Jung Chae FA: George Anwar SBC: Muhammad Arfin
SBC: Ian Clavio SBC: Parker Trautwein FA: TBD SBC: TBD
SBC: TBD University of Palermo
California State University-Northridge University of California/Davis MLR Institute of Technoloy
FA: TBD FA: TBD
(San Fernando Pacific) (Sacramento) SBC: TBD
FA: Peter Bishay FA: Case Van Dam SBC: TBD
REGION VII
SBC: Luis Ferrusquilla SBC: Balram Kandoria University of Queensland
Monash University FA: TBD
Beihang University
California State University-Sacramento University of California/Irvine FA: Daniel Edgington-Mitchell SBC: TBD
FA: Zhiqiang Wan
(Sacramento) (Orange County) SBC: Sweta Balakrishna
SBC: TBD Universität Stuttgart
FA: Ilhan Tuzcu FA: Haitham Taha Moscow Aviation Institute FA: TBD
SBC: TBD SBC: Grant Tsuji British University of Egypt
FA: TBD SBC: TBD
FA: Talat Refai
Embry-Riddle Aeronautical Univ-Prescott University of California/Los Angeles SBC: TBD
SBC: TBD University of Sydney (Sydney)
(Phoenix) (Los Angeles-Las Vegas) Nagoya University FA: Gareth Vio
FA: David Lanning FA: Jeff Eldredge Cairo University SBC: Cole Scott-Curwood
FA: TBD
SBC: Elizabeth Mitchell SBC: Oliver Lam FA: Osama Saaid Mohammady
SBC: TBD Von Karman Institute of Fluid Dynamics
SBC: TBD
Northern Arizona University (Phoenix) University of California/Merced Nanjing University of Aeronautics and FA: TBD
FA: TBD (Sacramento) Chulalongkorn University SBC: TBD
Astronautics
SBC: TBD FA: Yang Quan Chen FA: Joshua Staubs
FA: TBD
SBC: Tomny Hang SBC: Supakorn Suttiruang
SBC: TBD
NOMINATIONS NOW
BEING ACCEPTED
The Daniel Guggenheim Medal is as an international award for the purpose
of honoring an individual who makes notable achievements in advancing the
safety and practicality of aviation. The Medal recognizes contributions to
aeronautical research and education, the development of commercial aircraft
and equipment, and the application of aircraft to the economic and social
activities of the nation.
21-0009-2021
58 | Guggenheim
JAN UARY Medal
2021AD for Dec2020
| and Jan 2021 AA.indd 1
aerospaceamerica . aiaa .org 11/19/20 2:30 PM
REGIONS & SECTIONS
Alaska
Yukon Teritory
Nunavut
Northwest Territories
Newfoundland and Labrador
British Columbia
Quebec
Alberta Manitoba
Prince Edward Island
New Brunswick
Saskatchewan
I Northeastern NY
New England
Pacitic Northwest Niagra Connecticut
Frontier
Twin Long Island
Sacaramento Cities Wisconsin
Michigan
V
Central PA Northern NJ
San Francisco Greater Philadelphia
Northern Ohio
Iowa
VI
Point Lobos Dayton- Southern NJ
Illinois Indiana Cincinnati
III
Mid- Delaware
China Lake Atlantic
Utah National Capital
Antelope Valley Rocky
Mountain Hampton Roads
Wichita St. Louis
Vandenberg Tennessee
Carolina
II
San Fernando Pacific Oklahoma
Albuquerque
Phoenix Atlanta
San Gabriel Valley Savannah
North Texas Greater
IV
Huntsville Central Florida
Tucson
Los Angeles/Las Vegaas
San Diego Cape Canaveral
International
VII
VII
REGION I
REGION II
REGION III
REGION IV
REGION V
Sections (Australia)
REGION VI
Adelaide
LOOKING BACK
COMPILED BY FR ANK H. WINTER and ROBERT VAN DER LINDEN
1921
1
Jan. 21 Noted aviation pio-
1946
Jan. 10 A U.S. Army Sikorsky
1971
Jan. 1 Two galaxies are discov-
Jan. 25-26 The Intelsat-IV F-2
communications satellite is
launched by NASA for Com-
neer Gianni Caproni launch- R-5 sets an unofficial world ered, according to the Astro- munications Satellite Corp.,
es the first aircraft to feature helicopter record by climbing physical Journal. Maffei 1 and on behalf of Intelsat, on an At-
three sets of triplane wings, the to 21,000 feet from the Sikorsky Maffei 2, named after their dis- las-Centaur booster from Cape
massive Ca.60. It is also the first plant in Stratford, Connecticut. coverer, the Italian astronomer Canaveral, Florida. The satellite
aircraft designed to carry 150 E.M. Emme, ed., Aeronautics and Paolo Maffei, are about 3 million is the first in the Intelsat-IV
passengers. The Ca.60 lifts off Astronautics, 1915-60, p. 52. light years from Earth. In 1968, series and the largest commer-
from the surface of Lake Mag- Maffei had observed two strange cial communications satellite
giore in Italy under the power of Jan. 16 The U.S. upper atmo- objects on an infrared photo of launched to date, at 5.4 meters
eight 400-horsepower Liberty spheric research program, using a region between constellations high, 2.3 meters in diameter
engines. On the second flight, in captured V-2 rockets, is initiated. Perseius and Cassiopeia and that and weighing 1,397 kilograms
March, the aircraft will sink into A V-2 panel of interested agen- had been previously obscured at launch. It has 12 responders,
the lake. David Baker, Flight and cies is created, and more than by interstellar dust. A team of providing a dozen TV channels
Flying: A Chronology, p. 137. 60 V-2s are fired at the Army’s astronomers of the University of and 3,000 to 9,000 telephone
White Sands Proving Range in California at Berkeley, Caltech circuits and is capable of mul-
Jan. 27 The British R.34 New Mexico before the supply and the Carnegie Institution tiple-access and simultaneous
2 airship is destroyed when runs out. As a result of the confirmed the discovery with transmissions. Astronautics and
it flies into a hill in Yorkshire program, the Applied Physics tools including the Mount Astronautics, 1971, p. 14.
under foggy conditions. While Laboratory of Johns Hopkins Palomar and Lick Observatory
attempts are made to save the University develops a medi- telescopes, according to the re- Jan. 26 Sen. Edward
ship, the damage is irreparable. um-altitude research rocket, port in the journal. Astrophysical
5 Kennedy of Massachusetts
The R.34 made history when it the Aerobee, while the Naval Journal, Jan. 1, 1971. introduces a bill in the Senate to
crossed the Atlantic nonstop in Research Laboratory develops a authorize the National Park Ser-
both directions in 1919. David large, high-altitude rocket called Jan. 23 Lovell Lawrence Jr. vice’s acquisition of the historic
Baker, Flight and Flying: A the Neptune (later renamed
4 dies at age 55. He was one site at Auburn, Massachusetts,
Chronology, p. 137. the Viking). E.M. Emme, ed., of the four founders and the first where Robert H. Goddard (in
Aeronautics and Astronautics, president of Reaction Motors photo) launched the world’s
Jan. 28 Robert H. Goddard 1915-60, p. 53. Inc., or RMI, the United States’ first liquid-propellant rocket on
visits the Linde Air Products Co., first liquid-propellant rocket March 16, 1926. Astronautics and
manufacturer of liquid oxygen, Jan. 19 Bell Aircraft test engine company. James H. Wyld, Astronautics, 1971, p. 17.
to obtain a sample, marking his
3 pilot Jack Woolams makes well known for his development
transition from experimenting the first unpowered glide flight of the Wyld regeneratively Jan. 27 The National Religious
with solid fuel to liquid fuel in of the Army Air Forces-NACA cooled rocket motor, John Shes- Broadcasters association at its
rocket development. The liquid Bell XS-1 rocket research airplane ta, Hugh F. Pierce and Lawrence annual convention in Wash-
oxygen, now commonly called at Pinecastle Army Air Base in formed RMI in December 1941, ington, D.C., beams its closing
“lox,” is to be his oxidizer, the Florida. A Boeing B-29 Superfor- two weeks after Pearl Harbor program around the world in
substance in which the fuel tress carries and drops the craft. was bombed. All were members the first international religious
burns. Goddard chooses gaso- Woolams, a noted racing and of the American Rocket Soci- broadcast transmitted live by
line as his fuel since it is cheap test pilot, reports that the new ety, the predecessor of AIAA. satellite, New York Times, Jan.
and readily available, and in experimental aircraft has surpris- Although a small company, 28, 1971, p. 1.
1926, he uses these propellants ingly well-coordinated controls RMI developed and built the
to launch the first liquid fuel and flies well without power. 6000C-4 engine that powered Jan. 31-Feb. 9 NASA’s
rocket. Esther C. Goddard and E.M. Emme, ed., Aeronautics and the Bell X-1 that achieved the
6 Apollo 14 mission carrying
G. Edward Pendray, eds., The Astronautics, 1915-60, p. 53. first supersonic flight in 1947. astronauts Alan Shepard, Stuart
Papers of Robert H. Goddard, New York Times, Jan. 25, 1971, p. Roosa and Edgar Mitchell is
Vol. I, p. 460. Jan. 26 A coast-to-coast speed 39; Frank H. Winter, America’s launched on a Saturn V rocket.
record is set when a Lockheed First Rocket Company: Reaction Shepard and Mitchell land on
P-80 Shooting Star jet fight- Motors, Inc., passim. the moon’s Fra Mauro region
er is flown from Long Beach, in the lunar highlands. During
California, to La Guardia Field, two walks on the surface, they
New York, in 4 hours, 13 minutes, collect 42.8 kilograms of moon
at an average speed of 939 kph rocks and deploy scientific ex-
(584 mph). The Aeroplane, Feb. periments. New York Times, Feb.
1, 1946, p. 124. 1-10, 1971.
B
environmentalist and
ack in 2002, then-Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld famously waxed bureaucratic at a associate professor of
Defense Department briefing: “As we know, there are known knowns. There are things we aerospace engineering and
engineering mechanics at
know we know. We also know there are known unknowns. That is to say, we know there are
the University of Texas at
some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns. The ones we don’t know we Austin. He holds the Mrs.
don’t know.” Well, beyond a funny sound bite, Rumsfeld missed a major category: the Unknown Pearlie Dashiell Henderson
Knowns, which in his phraseology would be “things we do not know that we know.” Centennial Fellowship in
In order to know something, you have to measure it. So, interpret the first word in the pair as Engineering and is an AIAA
fellow. He also hosts the
what you are aware of and the last word in the pair as what you have measured. Therefore, a known
monthly webcast
known is something you are aware of that’s been measured. A known unknown is something you are “Moriba’s Vox Populi” on
aware of that has not been measured. The unknown unknown is something that can’t be known by SpaceWatch.global.
definition because you are unaware of it and you’ve not measured it. Again, anything that is not mea-
sured cannot be known. This leaves us with the unknown knowns, which are things we’ve measured
but just don’t know it. Unveiling these hidden knowns amounts to the holy grail of big data science
and analytics. Finding them requires fusing data from multiple sources to create and exploit what
data scientists call mutual information, meaning knowledge that can be divined only by combining
information housed in discrete data sets, thus bringing to our awareness things that we may have
unknowingly measured. View this as mapping from the unknown knowns to the known knowns.
Let’s take a brief step back and underscore the fact that data exists everywhere in the universe.
For example, we’re in an environment saturated by signals, radio and such. Just because we are not
aware of them doesn’t mean they’re not there. We don’t care about all data. There are specific things
we wish to know, and the thing that determines whether or not the data in our environment is rele-
vant to that is the question we ask of it. Once we pose a question, we can quantify the information
content in said data related to the thing we wish to know. It may indeed be zero.
CONTINUED ON PAGE 61
OVERVIEW
AIAA’s new course will introduce the concept of hypersonic flight and describe
the critical physics encountered at this unique and formidable speed regime.
Gain an understanding of the system benefits and uses for this flight regime
and how system performance and evaluation through test can potentially
create difficulties for the tester, test facility developer, and project manager.
DETAILS
› Every Thursday, 18 March – 8 April 2021
› 1300–1500 hrs Eastern Time USA
› All sessions will be recorded and
available on demand
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