PETRONAS Activity Outlook 2022 2024
PETRONAS Activity Outlook 2022 2024
Activity Outlook
2022-2024
12
Contracts • Chemicals
36 86
Glossary
Business Overview
• Upstream
• Gas + New Energy
• Downstream
89
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
91
More on PETRONAS
We are pleased to present this year’s edition of the PETRONAS Activity Outlook, covering insights on the industry
and demand outlook from 2022 to 2024. As we enter the year 2022, the global economy is staging with multi-
speed recovery across countries and sectors. At the same time, increased fields complexity and decarbonisation of
operations require more extensive technology deployment and smarter solutions. Accelerated energy transition will
also pose further challenges to the traditional oil and gas business. Thus, the industry must be innovative and remain
competitive in the course of doing business, to ensure projects and production remain feasible in the uncertain
economic climate.
Immediate reforms along the value chain have become increasingly important focusing on greater operational
efficiencies and higher productivity. PETRONAS is collaborating with industry players in pursuit of maximising existing
assets for better efficiency and cost optimisation. Oil and Gas Services and Equipment (OGSE) industry can capitalise
on new opportunities which have emerged from changes introduced in the way we operate, whether it is rethinking
how we do projects or leveraging on the rapid advancements of technology in the form of Artificial Intelligence (AI),
machine learnings, robotics and Internet of Things (IOT). Globally, we have seen companies forming collaboration
to accelerate technology uptake and create an array of new revenue streams while sharing the resources and
investment.
Reform
It is our aspiration to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050 (NZCE 2050) and we have taken steps to realise the
aspiration towards the energy transition and to embrace a low-carbon energy future by accelerating our Stepping
Out strategy into renewables such as solar and hydrogen businesses.
Acceleration As we approach sustainability from the Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) perspective, PETRONAS is
guided by four sustainability lenses - Continued Value Creation, Safeguard the Environment, Positive Social Impact
and Responsible Governance. The oil and gas industry and its players must collaborate in moving forward together,
Foreword by Vice President, embedding ESG as part of our industry’s DNA.
Group Procurement, PETRONAS
There is also a need to intensify the adoption and capitalise on digital transformation and technology advancement.
We must continue to remain focused in our efforts on technological advancements, digitalisation of processes,
as well as harmonisation of standards for equipment and services. Leveraging technology and digital solutions to
optimise cost while securing bottom line and performance are becoming more significant and vital.
PETRONAS has intensified efforts through partnerships to accelerate sustainable industry practices. At PETRONAS, we
remain committed to upholding the highest standards of corporate governance and practices zero tolerance against
bribery and corruption, in line with our Code of Conduct and Business Ethics (CoBE). We will continue to ensure
individual and organisational integrity becomes a way of life in PETRONAS and we espouse the same for the industry.
In navigating through the challenging conditions, safety is not to be compromised. While keeping the operations cost
down and increasing pace, Health, Safety, Security and Environment (HSSE) practices must be upheld at all times.
On behalf of PETRONAS, we look forward to the continuous support and efforts from the entire ecosystem to shift
the norm and foster stronger creative partnership to unlock opportunities in enabling a smooth journey towards a
low-carbon economy. Together, we will move forward and thrive together in enriching lives for a sustainable future.
Freida Amat
As the world reopens and economic activities resuming, the global economy is staging its most robust 1H ’20: US$2.70 2H ’20: US$5.60 1H ’21: US$9.50 2H ’21: US$25.10
post-recession rebound with speedy recovery seen across countries and sectors. A pervasive roll-out of
vaccines in 2021 provided support to the recovery of road transport fuels amid pent-up traveling demand. Q1: US$3.4 Q2: US$2.1 Q3: US$3.4 Q4: US$7.9 Q1: US$9.5 Q2: US$9.4 Q3: US$17.9 Q4: US$32.3
However, the aviation sector is only expected to return to pre-pandemic level by 2024. The path towards
sustained oil demand recovery remains fragile and uncertain due to the emergence of new COVID-19
variants that trigger fresh waves of lock-downs. Northeast Asia LNG spot price (Unit: US$/MMBtu)
While most industry players are optimistic with the economic recovery, they still remain cautious. Thus, 60 Asian spot LNG prices surge
Asian freeze sends natural Southern China's trucked past $50/MMBtu as European
the smarter approach would be to strengthen efforts collectively and be ready to face the oil price gas cargo prices into the LNG prices surge on strong gas crisis intensifies
50
volatility. stratosphere summer demand Platts, June. 2021
40 Bloomberg, Jan. 2021 Platts, June. 2021
0
With the objective of achieving a “Prosperous, Inclusive and Sustainable Malaysia”, the third focus of
Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21 Sep-21 Oct-21 Nov-21 Dec-21 RMK-12 accelerates the nation’s progress in moving towards a low-carbon nation, safeguarding natural
Source: Argus, PETRONAS internal analysis
endowments, and increasing resilience against climate change. The green growth will be strengthened by
a robust enabling environment and supported by a mindset change as well as behavioural shift.
The energy crisis that unfolded in 2021 led to gas and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) prices surging to a In addition, energy sustainability will be further enhanced by an ensuring adequate supply of energy
record high. Asian spot LNG prices soared above US$50/MMBtu, a historic high, due to factors including resources and related infrastructure; while renewable energy as an alternative energy source will be
higher demand as economies re-open, rising competition for gas between Europe and Asia, a hotter augmented to complement energy efficiency measures.
summer and colder winter, as well as a coal crunch in China which led to a spike in demand for gas.
In moving towards a low-carbon nation which will address the energy trilemma, the industry will need to
The LNG spot prices in the coming years are also expected to experience volatility due to the weather brace and act towards supporting RMK-12. It is imperative to relook the business model and mindset shift
pattern and also potential change in policy, altering the supply-demand dynamics. as energy transition is accelerating players to fast-track and step-out. PETRONAS will continue to focus
on maximising value by leveraging the Group’s integrated value chain to capture new opportunities and
This underscores the need for continuous investments in the energy sector to ensure reliable and mitigate the impact of market uncertainties.
sustainable supply of energy in an equitable manner.
In the
12
PETRONAS Activity Outlook 2022-2024
Spotlight PETRONAS Activity Outlook 2022-2024
13
PETRONAS expressly disclaims any liability whatsoever arising from, or in reliance upon, the whole or any part of this report. PETRONAS expressly disclaims any liability whatsoever arising from, or in reliance upon, the whole or any part of this report.
Hydrogen:
The Future
of Energy
PETRONAS will leverage its existing infrastructure and venture
into strategic partnerships to grow its capabilities as a blue and
green hydrogen producer and supplier.
The world has been consuming hydrogen for many decades, primarily for industrial uses. But as the
world moves towards cleaner energy, coupled with hydrogen’s potential in many other sectors, it is Countries are implementing decarbonisation policies, spearheading
projected that the demand for hydrogen will increase by almost eight-fold to 550 million tonnes per the development of hydrogen supply chain and its demand.
year compared to 70 million tonnes in 2020. As such, hydrogen is a key component in PETRONAS’
commitment towards sustainability.
EU
2030: 20 mtpa
2050: 68 mtpa
Demand for hydrogen has quadrupled since the 1970’s
UK
Global demand for pure hydrogen, 1975-2018 (million tonnes) Canada 2030: 1 mtpa China
2030: 4 mtpa 2050: 14 mtpa 2030: 35 mtpa
72 74 2050: 20 mtpa 2050: 60 mtpa
Germany
62 2030: 3 mtpa Japan
54
52 2050: 11 mtpa South Korea
2030: 3 mtpa
2050: 20 mtpa
40 USA 2030: 3.9 mtpa
35 2030: 17 mtpa India 2050: 27.9 mtpa
30 2050: 63 mtpa 2030: 8 mtpa
24
18 2050: 26 mtpa
Malaysia
Singapore Developing hydrogen
2030: 0.3 mtpa strategy via National Energy
2050: 1 mtpa Policy and Hydrogen
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018 Roadmap (2021 - 2022)
H₂ H₂ H₂
Ammonia Liquid Organic
Hydrogen Carrier Short distance Mid distance Long distance Fuel for Heat for Feedstock for
(LOCH) Trucking Pipeline Shipping Mobility Power Buildings Industries Chemicals Products
Grey Blue Green
Hydrogen Hydrogen Hydrogen
H2 H2
Liquefied Compressed
hydrogen hydrogen
KEY INSIGHTS For the power sector, Japan and South Korea have
announced initiatives to co-combust ammonia in their
Production Cost Hydrogen needs to be converted to other forms Transportation is the least matured but a coal-fired power plants, and using hydrogen in combine
Current production cost of blue hydrogen is more than twice of for it to be transportable, especially for long key segment of the value chain to build cycle gas turbine, to decarbonise the power sector.
the cost of grey hydrogen and current production cost of green distance transportation. global network of hydrogen. Unlocking
hydrogen is also more than twice the cost of blue hydrogen. • Ammonia: Most matured form of this will allow demand centres (such International Maritime Organisation (IMO) targets to
transportation, with existing facilities. as Japan and South Korea) to import reduce the total annual GHG emission by 50% when
Key Cost Elements hydrogen from supply centres (such as compared to 2008, reducing 500 million tonnes of
Seventy per cent of the price of green hydrogen comes from the • Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carrier (LOHC):
Malaysia, Australia, and the Middle East). CO2 emissions per year. As such, industry players are
cost of Renewable Energy (RE); 30 per cent of the price of blue Chemically-bonded hydrogen with carriers
collaborating to develop ammonia fuel bunkering supply
hydrogen is from the cost of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS). such as toluene enables transportation in
chain, with ammonia-fueled vessels expected to be
ambient conditions.
Technology to Improve Production Cost rolled out 2025 onwards.
• Compressed: Hydrogen is compressed
For blue hydrogen, further improvements in carbon capture between 350 bar and 700 bar, may be limited Many countries are also looking to decarbonise their
and storage technology, and other new technology like to short-range transportation (such as land). mobility segment and have set targets for the number of
methane pyrolysis can be the catalyst for cost reduction. fuel cell vehicles on the road by 2030. Hydrogen fuel cell
• Liquefied: Energy intensive nascent
For green hydrogen, continuous improvements in terms of technology requiring supercool temperatures technology is expected to provide the solution for long-
renewable and electrolyser efficiencies are needed to reduce of -2530C to liquify hydrogen. haul heavy road vehicles, complementing the battery
green hydrogen cost below USD2/kg. electric vehicle (BEV) for short range and light vehicles.
With emerging clean energy sources like hydrogen, innovation and collaboration amongst industry
In
75%
players in projects and technology will be crucial towards achieving cost competitiveness and scalability
1950
for hydrogen. This is all in the pursuit to make hydrogen more affordable as an attractive clean fuel.
For PETRONAS, we are targeting for our domestic hydrogen projects to commence operation from 2024
onwards starting with blue hydrogen and subsequently green hydrogen production, while we continue to
expand our supply capacity globally to serve our targeted markets.
of the sun is
NASA used liquid made up 1 Legend:
4
hydrogen as fuel for of hydrogen 3 2
space missions
Malaysia as competitive
hydrogen supply hubs
Global market and
supply expansion
H₂
Blue Hydrogen
Produces
H₂
10 3x 2022
1
2024
2
2026
3
2027
4
2028 2030
Green Hydrogen
1
to H₂ demand centres. a reputable LNG and supply competitively. complementing LNG,
H₂
petrochemical supplier. petrochemical and RE.
RM
Zero Interruptions for 24/7 Clean Energy CO2
Businesses can now be energy independent with a reliable
supply of clean energy day and night with our battery storage
Up to RM30 million 8.3 MWp solar capacity generating Reduced carbon emissions
and hybrid solutions
cost savings over 10 GWh electricity per annum by 132,000 tonnes of
the next 2 decades (197 GWh electricity over 21 years) carbon emissions
The bigger value proposition of the programme is that, opportunities are largely open, paving ways for corporate
tie-ups with PETRONAS and its partners, where they get to learn from 500 Global top-tier curriculum as well as
Future of Energy access to corporate business experts and networks. In addition, mentors share relevant pain points within specific
• Novel energy generation business segments during a 12-week programme.
• Energy efficiant/storage solutions
• Smart grid, electrification This non-traditional partnership will create a synergy that will open possibilities and maximise benefits for the
• Renewables (solar/wind/bio) startups to accelerate their business and scale up to global standards. As for the corporates, access to business
• Vehicle automation solutions is key. As technology and innovation are fast revolving, startups will play an important role. Through this
• Hydrogen effort, all participating parties gain value from each other’s wealth of knowledge and experience, harnessing key
contributors that help accelerate each other’s journey towards a healthy market strategy. The partnership, clearly
refreshes and changes the corporate innovation landscape and trend by encouraging the innovation culture using
more agile approaches. By leveraging non-traditional thinking embedded in startup culture and the industry
Specialty Chemicals and Advanced Materials know-how of corporates, both stakeholders stand a better chance of fostering smarter, stronger and more resilient
• Electronic Chemicals forms of innovation.
• Surfactant
• Coatings What is more, PETRONAS in playing its role in catalysing technology startup innovation in the energy sector, as well
• Additives (food/feed) as internalising important processes in approaching how startups operate. Through FT2.0, participating startups are
• CO₂ to value products able to extend their services and commercial offerings with PETRONAS and its corporate partners, in ways that are
• Lubricants lean and agile while still conforming with corporate governance standards. In a nutshell, this helps to fast-track their
ability to commercialise within PETRONAS and the partners’ ecosystem.
PETRONAS Ventures is continuously looking for more technology partners with new ideation to ride the wave together!
Start-ups enthusiasts can reach out for more info: petronasventures@petronas.com
Realising the prospects of the startups space in Malaysia, PETRONAS kicked-off its PETRONAS FutureTech in October
2019, an accelerator programme to encourage local innovations and support Malaysian startups. Through FutureTech,
PETRONAS is providing the opportunity to help the startups to realise the opportunity to grow even up to a global level.
the Future (PMoF) Advanced Work Packaging (AWP) and Project Production Management (PPM) methodologies in delivering
projects. A Joint Industry Collaboration (JIC) between industry players was established to accelerate
maturity of the adoption.
Efficiency as Enabler
In the pursuit of maximising existing assets that provide strong and stable cash flow, continuous Advanced Work Packaging (AWP): “Begin with the end in mind”
improvement to the way we operate is inevitable. Rethinking on how projects are being delivered with AWP is a construction-driven project delivery process that adopts the fundamental philosophy of
sustainability at the forefront and leveraging on the rapid advancements of technology in the form of “beginning with the end in mind.” A key requirement of this process is the collaboration between
Artificial Intelligence (AI); machine learnings, robotics and Internet of Things (IOT) supported by 5G data construction and engineering during early project phase to create a constraint-free work environment
network, execution of projects is expected to be faster, cheaper, safer and of the highest quality. The in the field. With construction being part of consideration during project planning, reduction in overall
highest degree of efficiency in our project delivery practices enables better project outlook, which will labour cost is realised through minimised productivity losses.
create value for the industry and maintains its competitive advantage and sustainability.
Procurement
Construction Area Work Package
Project Management Interactive Planning (PWP)
Align with “POC”
- DED deliverables
Team Project Digital Control Tower IOT-enabled
construction site
Path of Construction (POC) Engineering
defined Work Package
(EWP)
Align with “POC”
Constraint-free
construction
Data-centric and Connected worker, material It is important for industry players to be equipped with appropriate knowledge on AWP methodology and
open collaboration
Project Digital Twin
with RFID tracking augment the principles in project delivery work processes. Closer collaboration between Project Owners
and Contractors enables the achievement of common objective, improving productivity and overall
project outcome.
Schedule Process design Establish industry guideline and standardise implementation approach
EPC
Resources Capacity contractors
“PETRONAS is transforming the way we deliver
projects through digitalisation and adoption of
Engineering Solution industry best practices and new ways of working.
Consultants Providers This can only be achieved if the Malaysia’s oil and
Inventory gas industry players collaborate and move forward
Examples for Inventory:
Owner/Operator as the same direction with PETRONAS.
• Equipment and labor handling
• Equipment holding PETRONAS We are in this together as one eco-system.
preservation and degradation PACS ONE TEAM ONE GOAL”
• Equipment obsolescence
due to design change Government Noor Ilias Mohd Idris
Academia
Agencies Vice President, Group Project Delivery,
PETRONAS
Variability Institutional
Examples for Variability: Partners
• Weather
• Resources
• Demand
• Material availability
As PETRONAS and the industry continue to collaborate and move forward together, it is aspired that
industry players are able to provide solutions which contribute to lesser greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
and demonstrate strong commitment towards sustainability. Innovation, creative partnerships and
• Utilising project planning and tracking data to generate critical insights through various analytics acceleration of technological development towards low carbon energy and solutions is paramount in
based on Operation Science. realising PETRONAS’ target of achieving the NZCE 2050 and support Malaysia’s commitment of becoming
a carbon-neutral nation by 2050.
Upstream
competencies.
Below is a snapshot of Upstream Malaysia’s facilities dimension, operated by ~30 Petroleum Arrangement
Contractors (PACs) as at October 2021.
~300
Offshore Platforms
Pipeline
8 Onshore Gas Terminals
2 Onshore Crude and
Gas Terminals
Gas +
The Gas + New Energy portfolio reflects our intent in PETRONAS’ Statement of Purpose that places an
emphasis on sustainability. The illustration below depicts the spectrum of domestic value chain for the
Gas + New Energy business.
New Energy
Plant/Midstream Marketing and Trading Customers
LNG Assets
4 LNG Plants ~29.3 mtpa
LNG Marketing
2 Floating LNGs ~2.7 mtpa and Trading
LNG Buyers
New Energy
1 Solar Farm ~10.0 MW Renewable
2 Rooftop Solar ~16.9 MW Power
Production
Commercial and
Industrial Users
Hydrogen
(Green and blue hydrogen Low Carbon
under development) Hydrogen Production Industry, Power
and Mobility
Downstream
marketing of petrochemical and specialty chemical products, as well as the supply of lower carbon and
sustainable solutions such as sustainable aviation fuel and LNG bunkering to customers.
1 2 3
PETRONAS Floating LNG SATU Refining Petrochemical Marketing
and Trading
21 Petrochemical >1,000 Retail Stations
Processing Plants*
3 Refineries 1 Lube Oil Blending Facility
*Including the one at
Malaysian Refining Pengerang Integrated Complex
Company Sdn Bhd 11 LNG Bunkering Facilities
PETRONAS Penapisan 1 LNG Bunkering Vessel
Marketing Office
(Terengganu) Sdn Bhd 2 LNG Bunker Distribution Hubs
Headquarters in Kuala Lumpur 4 LNG Bunkering Sites
Pengerang Integrated Complex 4 LNG Trucks
38 Terminals
17 Fuel Terminals
13 Aviation Terminals
8 LPG Terminals and
Bottling Facilities
Pengerang Integrated
PETRONAS Activity Complex
Outlook (PIC)
2022-2024 PETRONAS Activity Outlook 2022-2024
42 PETRONAS expressly disclaims any liability whatsoever arising from, or in reliance upon, the whole or any part of this report. PETRONAS expressly disclaims any liability whatsoever arising from, or in reliance upon, the whole or any part of this report.
43
Methodology
Scope of Coverage
Activity
This section provides the activity outlook for core categories, serving as leading indicators to many other supporting
services. The interdependencies create multiplier effects across the value chain.
For Upstream-related information, this report covers the activity outlook for Malaysia. This includes activities from
PETRONAS Group of Companies and other Petroleum Arrangement Contractors (PACs). Activities governed under
Outlook
the Malaysia-Thailand Joint Development Area (MTJDA) are excluded from this report.
For Downstream and Gas + New Energy-related information, this report covers the activity outlook for PETRONAS
Group of Companies in Malaysia only.
Time Horizon
The report provides information on activities within a three-year period, from 2022 to 2024. Information is accounted
for when a specific activity begins and not by contract award. Using the Offshore Fabrication as an example, we
report the date of the first steel-cut instead of the date of Engineering, Procurement, Construction, Installation and
Commissioning (EPCIC) contract award. Another example is Plant Turnaround that begins in December 2022 and
ends in January 2023, is only accounted for once, which is in 2022.
Directional narratives are provided for the medium-term (which is post-2024), to support outlook analysis using the
following signposts:
Positive
Medium Term Outlook
Steady
Medium Term Outlook
Modest
Medium Term Outlook
Supporting vessels, Oil Country Tubular Goods (OCTG), OCTG and third Supporting
Associated
third party drilling services, e.g. drilling fluids, Directional party drilling vessels, production
Services
Drilling (DD)/Measurement While Drilling (MWD)/Logging services. logging, slickline,
E Logistics
While Drilling (LWD), wellheads, drill bits, cementing, wellhead, fishing
Offshore Supply Vessel fishing, slickline, etc. cementing, etc.
• 114 AHTS • 65 FCB
D General Facilities and
• 57 PSV/SSV • 40 Workboat/Work Barge
Maintenance • 31 GPV/SBV • 11 UV Number of Rigs:
Maintenance, Construction and Modification • 18 LCT 29
(MCM) 6
• 581 days for DP2 DSV (ROV and Air Diving System) F Chemicals 16
3
3 4
• 330 days for DP2 DSV • 0.82 Catalyst 3 3 16
• In 2021, the rig count declined from 2020 due to reprioritisation of investments.
• Positive outlook is expected for the next three years given the oil price recovery with relaxation of pandemic SOP/
Activity Phase (Upstream, Downstream and Gas + New Energy): directives and increase of plug and abandonment (P&A).
• Outlook for 2022 to 2024 is based on full year utilisation. Actual numbers may vary based on campaign duration
and/or optimisation, project deferment, cancellation, etc.
Exploration Development/Project Production/Operation Abandonment
Typical upstream project development comprises Engineering, Procurement, Construction, Installation, The list below depicts upstream greenfield development projects:
Hook-up and Commissioning (EPCIC) stages.
The following portfolio of projects showcase abundant investment opportunities in the Malaysian waters Greenfield Projects1
over a longer period. Large pool of projects are continuously and rigorously reviewed to materialise a
steady pipeline of feasible and economically viable projects for production sustainability. Installation
Project 2022 2023 2024 Facilities Type Requirement
Kasawari CPP C
Kasawari (E11R-AA) L
Project 3 M
Project 4 M
Project 5 F S PETRONAS is
open to any
Project 6 S cost effective
and innovative
Project 7 S
method of
Project 8 H installation.
13 23 11 10 1 32 Proposals are
Brownfield Brownfield Brownfield Brownfield Brownfield Brownfield Project 9 L welcome.
Projects Projects Projects Projects Projects Projects L
Project 10
Project 11 L
Project 16 M
The fields to be developed include marginal fields, late life assets, fields with high contaminants,
high complexity reservoirs and distant fields that offer opportunities for investors to turn the projects 1At the time of reporting, high number of projects are still under review
viable through innovative, disruptive and cost-effective solutions. This is a niche play that can create a Engineering
marketspace for a profitable and sustainable business. Fabrication,
Installation and Hook-up Commissioning
In Execution
L WHP Lightweight – total tonnage ≤ 1,000 tonnes H WHP Heavy Weight – total tonnage > 7,500 tonnes
• PETRONAS has announced its endorsement of the World Bank’s Zero Routine Flaring Fixed
by 2030 Initiative and the recommendations of the Task Force on Climate-related structure M WHP Medium Weight – total tonnage ≤ 7,500 tonnes C CPP Heavy Weight – total tonnage > 7,500 tonnes
Financial Disclosures, as part of its broader effort for greater transparency around
its action on climate change, in line with the Group’s aspiration to achieve Net Zero Floating F Floaters – Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) / Floating Storage and Offloading (FSO) /
Carbon Emissions by 2050. structure Mobile Operating Production Unit (MOPU)
• The Zero Routine Flaring Initiative aims to end routine flaring of associated gas from
oil production. Under this Initiative, PETRONAS pledges to avoid routine flaring in new Subsea S Subsea – Subsea Production System and Subsea Umbilical, Riser Flowline (SURF)
structure
oil field developments and end routine flaring at existing oil production sites by 2030.
This is applicable to PETRONAS’ Upstream operations within operational control and ZERO EMISSION
excludes flaring sources due to safety and non-routine flaring.
Legend:
Legend:
11
8
Mobile Offshore Production Unit
Portable structure that can be reused in offshore well
7 1
production. In this report, MOPU refers to the portable
1 6 5
5
wellhead platform.
5 1 5 6
MOPU
4 1 1
2 2
2
Number of Floating Structures Fabrication:
2 1 2 2
1 1 1
WHP Light (<1k MT) WHP Medium (1k MT - 7.5k MT) WHP Heavy (>7.5k MT) CPP Heavy (>7.5k MT) 1 1 1 1 1
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
0 0 0
i Did you know? • Globally, the FPSO market is picking up from 2021 amidst the energy transition and lowering of
carbon emissions. FPSO industry players also need to adapt and move towards achieving the
• PETRONAS focuses on the development and monetisation of high cotaminant fields which include high CO² gas
common aspiration of net zero carbon emissions.
fields. The development of these fields will help meet PETRONAS’ commitment in reducing GHGs which will be
commenced through Sarawak Integrated Sour Gas Evacuation System (SISGES) Plant.
-SISGES Phase 1 (2022); Development of onshore plant and projects engineering for offshore.
-SISGES Phase 2 (2023): Projects engineering for offshore.
2
12 12
1 1 1 1 11 11
8 8
Base Case
0 High Case
4
2021 2022 2023 2023
2024 Base Case
Plan Actual High Case
Three-Year Outlook
2021 2022 2023 2024
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting Plan Actual
Three-Year Outlook
• Subsea tie-backs are gaining traction as they present economic viability for monetisation of previously Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
untapped and less economically viable discoveries, i.e. deepwater and marginal fields.
• Demand for SURF in 2023 could be higher as more deepwater projects are maturing.
• Deepwater projects in Malaysia are maturing and having a long-term arrangements for SURF is one of the
options to support the project requirement. • In 2021, all planned activities for structural installation were materialised despite pandemic challenges and
Movement Control Order (MCO) restrictions.
• Outlook number is measured in terms of number of lifts, counted separately for each jacket and topside,
and excludes heavy lift barges utilisation for facilities decommissioning.
Medium Term Outlook – Post 2024 • This outlook may be read together with the outlook for offshore fabrication.
• Steady outlook is expected for fabrication of fixed structures (especially Lightweight) and subsea • In 2024, most projects are at preconception selection stage, which are still subjected to projects’ economic
facilities as PETRONAS continues monetising its oil and gas resources for cash generation while feasibility. Therefore, there is a disparity in the high and base case.
meeting gas customers’ demand.
• Modest outlook is expected for heavier structures as cost competitiveness drives development
projects to opt for WHP tie-ins to existing nearby facilities.
• Modest outlook is also expected for floaters, as technology advancements present favourable
options for monetisation of remote fields.
539
344
1 1 1 1 1 1
240 240
189 189
64
56
Base Case
Base Case High Case
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
• Outlook number is measured by number of installation days, based on estimated number of pipe joints and
length, and covers carbon steel and Corrosion Resistant Alloy (CRA) pipeline only.
• Numbers indicated are base case and are measured in terms of number of projects. Duration may vary. • This outlook exclude requirement for pipeline replacement.
• Modest outlook is expected for floatover barges with lower number of projects requiring CPPs. • In addition, there are potential installation requirements for flexible pipes as follows:
a) 10 km in 2022
b) 44 km in 2024
• This outlook may be read together with the outlook for supply of linepipes.
6.6
6.3 40
5.4
31
4.7 4.5
4.4
4.1 23
Wells
Pipeline
2.9 13
FPSO/FSO
Subsea
3 3 2 2 3 CPP
1 1 1 1 WHP
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
• Lower number of wells abandonment executed against planned due to COVID-19 restriction. However, for Pipeline
decommissioning activity was executed as planned in 2021.
• PETRONAS currently is focusing on Wells P&A for the next three years as preparation for future facilities removal
campaign.
• In 2021, actual numbers are higher than planned due to acceleration of project execution after CAPEX • PETRONAS is currently exploring innovative decommissioning solutions focusing on technologies, re-use/purpose
deferment in 2020. options, integrated approach as well as identifying potential alternatives that can introduce cost compression. Thus,
• By 2023 and 2024, there are many current projects which are expected to be completed. participation and collaboration are encouraged from all parties.
• Many of the initially planned projects for 2022, 2023 and 2024 had to be deferred and rationalised due to the
COVID-19 pandemic. The projects which survived are expected to resume and peak only in 2025.
• Outlook excludes manhours from EPCC and/or EPCIC projects.
10.13
607 12
13
582
8.50
368
321 330 38
20 20 330
310
301
186 194
27 47
159 Flexible
81 147
2 50 Corrision
43 Resistant Alloy
7 17 17 17 17 17
41 38 Carbon Steel
2021 2022 2023 2024
2021 2022 2023 2024 2022 2023 2024
Plan Actual
Plan Actual Base Case High Case Three-Year Outlook
Three-Year Outlook
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
• In 2021, the actual man-hours were slightly lower than planned due to directives and restriction of the COVID-19.
• In 2021, the length of linepipes being procured was more than what was planned due to realignment of strategy. • Activity is expected to remain stable over the next three years, given the oil price recovery with relaxation of
• The outlook is for carbon steel, CRA and Flexible pipes only. COVID-19 SOP and contractors are fully adapted to the new norm and improve their overall manpower planning.
• This outlook may be read together with the outlook for installation of linepipes.
614 11 11
581 1 10 1
517 3 1 3 9 9
490 3
1 5
431 2
2 1
330
5 1 3
1 SB/SK<=100k man-hours
243 3 3
4 PM<=100k man-hours
161 164 1
137 SB/SK<=350k man-hours
1 1
DPII DSV - ROV & AIR Diving System PM<=350k man-hours
69 73 2 2 2 2
55 61 SB/SK>350k man-hours
DPII DSV - Built in Saturation Diving System
1 PM>350k man-hours
0
DPII DSV - ROV Intervention
2021 2022 2023 2024 2021 2022 2023 2024
The Logistics category covers transportation, logistics, warehouse, workshop, storage and Off- Number of Vessels Supporting Production Operations:
shore Support Vessel (OSV).
151
10
Offshore Support Vessel (OSV) 131 17
138
9
138
8
137
7 7
13 13
12 13
30
30 28 28 29
Anchor Handling Tug Platform Supply Vessels (PSVs)/
Type of Vessel Supply (AHTS) Straight Supply Vessels (SSVs) Fast Crew Boat (FCB) 2
14 2 3 2
16 15 14 13
Activity Phase • Exploration • Production • Development 47
• Development • Abandonment • Production 46 46 47 UV
• Abandonment 43 LCT
GPV/SBV
WORK BOARD/ WORK BARGE
Application High-speed vessel 31
PSV/SSV
Used to assist in anchor Transport equipment and 26 26
for the transportation 23 25 FCB
handling operation, towing supplies to offshore
of crew to offshore AHTS < 100 MT
and transport supplies to platforms/drilling rigs
facilities and inter rigs
and from offshore
2021 2022 2023 2024
platforms/drilling rigs
Plan Actual
Three-Year Outlook
Associated Vessel inspection services, bunkering services, port services, tank cleaning services
Services Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting
• In 2021, the actual numbers were higher due to additional vessels required in view of compliance to
COVID-19 quarantine requirement for vessels and marine crews, particularly in Sabah and Sarawak.
• Outlook depicts consistent demand for vessels supporting production operation from year-to-year.
Workboat/ General Purpose Vessel (GPV)/ Utility Landing Craft • This is an opportunity for local players and financiers to re-evaluate its position for investment as there is
Type of Vessel Work Barge Standby Vessel (SBV) Vessel (UV) Tank (LCT) consistent demand for vessels supporting production operation.
Activity Phase • Development • Development • Production
• Production • Production
• Abandonment Medium Term Outlook – Post 2024
• Steady outlook is expected for OSV due to the consistent activity of production operations
throughout Malaysian waters.
Application Transport
Accommodation Standby support, rescue and emergency duties
equipment and
for personnel
supplies to
offshore
platforms/drilling
rigs
Associated
Services Vessel inspection services, bunkering services, port services
For the purpose of activity outlook, the number represent OSVs requirements for Production
Operations, Drilling and Projects (Wells).
Outlook includes activities which may have been contracted out at the time of reporting • Continuous requirement for purchases and services related to catalyst and internal media
across PETRONAS’ OPUs in view of multiple change out or top up requirements for the
period 2022 to 2025.
• In 2021, lower actual number of vessel as activities were slowly recovering from the pandemic during the
first half of the year. Majority of the drilling campaigns/projects were deferred to the following year.
Selected major categories outlook highlighted in this report for Process Chemicals, i.e. Catalyst, Production
• Slight decrease in requirement for 2023 and 2024 in view of potential vessel optimisation across drilling
Chemicals and Integrity Chemicals (Corrosion Inhibitors and Biocide) for reference.
campaigns/project (Wells).
• This outlook excludes the requirement of vessels for HUC, MCM and Underwater Services activities, EPCC
and EPCIC which will be sourced separately.
Catalyst is a substance that increases the rate of a reaction without being consumed in the reaction.
In PETRONAS, purchase of new catalyst is for top-up requirements and catalyst-changeout activities, Catalyst
depending on the catalyst lifespan (ranging from 2-10 years) and/or plant turnaround/shutdown activities. Production Chemicals
Lorem ipsum Integrity Chemicals
The usage of production chemicals is crucial to prevent flow assurance and process integrity threat in Note: Chemicals’ Purchase Ratio is based on the forecasted purchase in comparison to actual purchased in base year 2020.
the production system. It is essential to ensure optimum and uninterrupted flow for higher productivity.
Examples of these chemicals are Demulsifier and Pour Point Depressant.
Integrity Chemicals (Corrosion Inhibitors and Biocide) • Catalyst: Continuous requirement for purchases and services related to catalyst across PETRONAS’ OPUs
in view of multiple periodical change-out and/or top-up requirements.
• Production Chemicals: Outlook will depend on the projection of crude oil production and alignment
towards low-carbon world.
Type Description Function Application Criticality • Integrity Chemicals (Corrosion Inhibitors and Biocide): Continuous requirement in ensuring the asset
integrity/reliability especially to the pipeline, equipment and piping from corrosion/leak. Also, additional
Corrosion Any chemical To protect the Upstream: Pipeline, demand for Cooling Water System to remove heat from process or equipment.
Inhibitor used to mitigate pipeline, equipment Crude Pipeline, Wet equipment and
the corrosion at and piping from Gas Pipeline and piping integrity
recommended internal corrosion Dehydrated Gas
concentration threat related to Pipeline
and dosage Carbon Dioxide
(CO2) corrosion Downstream:
Cooling Water Medium Term Outlook – Post 2024
System, Boiler and • Steady outlook is expected given the continuous requirement for upstream and downstream (for
Heat Exchanger maintenance and operation activities).
The key approach for sourcing within the Indirect category will be via:
• Integrated contracts across corporate and business units through volume consolidation to achieve
Economies of Scale (EoS).
i Did you know?
• Established efficient and cost-effective procurement method by providing online buying experience PETRONAS has accelerated the digital transformation through execute-and-adopt digital strategy by being
for low value transactions through external Business-to-Business (B2B) marketplaces, i.e. Lapasar and outcome-led and user-centric; leveraging digital technologies, expertise and infrastructure to achieve the
Dropee, expanding opportunity for suppliers to access wider clientele not limited to oil and gas industry. desired business outcomes supported by the right culture and mindset.
• New ways of working through technology driven initiatives, such as, Scheduled Waste (SW) transition This is achieved through the following;
from disposal to 3R (Reduce, Reuse and Recycle) in line with PETRONAS’ net zero carbon emissions by
2050 (NZCE 2050) aspiration. Award Winning Solutions
Digital solutions built in-house such as the Alpha LNG is transforming
Harnessing data PETRONAS from supply and demand driven, to capture market opportunities.
to deliver value
Data as an via tech-digital Another example is STELLAR which has clinched multiple industry awards in
Asset products and 2021 where the solution has enabled MLNG to achieve an optimised plant
solutions. start-up, leading to millions in savings.
Security - to ensure PETRONAS are cyber secure and safe from the increasing
cyber threats in the current digital landscape.
Focuses on everyday
digital and ICT operations
of the business such as
Archetype 2
Essential Building Block
Foundational infrastructure,
application and security
requirements for enterprise.
Archetype 3
Sandbox and Scale
Outlook Positive outlook for digital and ICT services, in line with active digitalisation efforts in PETRONAS
Individual - Upstream
Contract Start 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
The outlook comprises the following contracts: 11 Wellhead Maintenance Services 2017
Surface Controlled Subsurface Safety Valve System 2018
12 Installation and Services
Geophysical, Geomatics, HSE and Technical Auditor 2018
13
Consultancy Services
Pan-Malaysia contracts Integrated Downstream contracts 14 Remotely Operated Vehicle (ROV) 2018
Joint contracts among Petroleum Joint contracts among PETRONAS’
Arrangement Contractors (PACs) in Malaysia Downstream Operating Units (OPUs) for 15 Drilling Tools, Well Test Tubular and Accessories Rental 2018
for similar scopes of services and material. similar scopes of services and material. 16 Surface Sand Management 2019
Gas Lift Valves (GLV) and Insert Strings Equipment, 2019
17 Accessories and Services
As many of these contracts are due for re-tendering in the period 2022-2024, this would be an
opportune time for players to strategise on resources, new technology offerings and strategic
partnerships, while maintaining the highest degree of efficiency in performing jobs. With that,
industry players will have sufficient time to offer proposals to PETRONAS.
Notes: Notes:
• In contract • In contract
• The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy. • The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy.
• This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy. • This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy.
• The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts. • The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts.
Pan-Malaysia Pan-Malaysia
Mechanical Rotating Equipment Services and Part 2019 01 Inspection and Corrosion Monitoring Services (ICMS) 2018
05 Centrifugal and Reciprocating Type Gas Compressors 2019 05 Pump Maintenance Services (Region 1) 2020
General Electrical Equipment ServicesTank 2020
06
Maintenance 06 Water Treatment Solution Programme 2017
Notes: Notes:
• In contract • In contract
• The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy. • The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy.
• This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy. • This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy.
• The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts. • The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts.
33
Inspection and Servicing Electrical Works at
PETRONAS stations
34 Facilities Maintenance, Associated Works and
2020
2020
F Indirect
Bush Control
Maintenance of Fuel Dispenser, Accessories and
35 2020
Equipment for PETRONAS stations
Overall Upgrading, Renovation and 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
36 2020
Decommissioning of PETRONAS stations
Pan-Malaysia
37 Online Leak Sealing Services 2021 2020
Comprehensive Integrated Medical Services
E Chemicals
04 Environmental Monitoring and Analysis 2017
Notes: Notes:
• In contract • In contract
• The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy. • The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy.
• This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy. • This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy.
• The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts. • The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts.
Individual - Downstream
14 Associated Services for Solid Product Warehouse
2018
H Digital and ICT
16 Digital Agency Services 2018
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
17 Above-The-Line (ATL) Creative Advertising Services 2018
Integrated Upstream and Downstream
18 Janitorial Services for Malaysia LNG 2019
01 Supply of Digital Microwave Radio and Auxilliary Services 2020
19 Above-the-Line (ATL) Creative Advertising Services 2020
Integrated Downstream
20 Supply of New Empty Steel Drum 2019
Supply and Services of Desktop,
21 Geohazard Assessment for Onshore Gas Pipeline 2019 02 Notebook and High-end Workstations 2018
23 Vehicle Leasing for Onshore Plants 2020 Maintenance and Support of Public Address
04 General Alarm (PAGA) System 2020
2020
Notes: Notes:
• In contract • In contract
• The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy. • The final procurement approach may change to fit PETRONAS’ overall strategy.
• This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy. • This list includes contracts for Gas + New Energy.
• The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts. • The list excludes OEM supplied item contracts.
COVID-19 2019 novel coronavirus (or 2019-nCoV) MOPU Mobile Offshore Production Unit
C COP26 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties MTJDA Malaysia-Thailand Joint Development Area
D DP Dynamic Positioning
O
OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer
DSV Diving Support Vessel OGSE Oil and Gas Services and Equipment
EPCC Engineering, Procurement, Construction and Commissioning OPEC Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
E EPCIC Engineering, Procurement, Construction, Installation and Commissioning PAC Petroleum Arrangement Contractors
A Aframax
Mid-sized tanker with a dead weight tonnage (DWT) between 80,000 MT-120,000 MT
and oil storage capacity of approximately 600 kkbls–750 kbbls I Infill Drilling
Drilling of new wells in an existing field within the original well patterns to
accelerate production.
A standard unit of measurement for oil production. One barrel contains Natural gas that is liquefied under extremely cold temperatures of about
Barrel 159 litres of oil. Liquefied 260 degrees Fahrenheit to facilitate storage or transportation in specially
Natural Gas (LNG)
Barrels of Oil
A unit of measurement to quantify amount of crude oil, condensates and
natural gas. Natural gas volumes are converted to barrels on the basis of
L designed vessels.
A high strength carbon steel pipe used for transporting crude oil,
Equivalent (boe) Linepipes petroleum products, natural gas and water.
energy content.
The benchmark crude oil price in Europe, as traded on International Achieved by balancing carbon dioxide (CO₂) emissions with removal (for example,
B Brent Price Petroleum Exchange in London. Brent crude refers to a particular grade
of crude oil, which is slightly heavier than WTI crude. See WTI price. N Net Zero Carbon
Emissions
through carbon capture and sequestration) or simply eliminating CO₂ emissions
altogether (for example, decarbonisation of energy systems through solar and
wind energy).
Field that has been previously developed and has reached its peak oil/ gas
Brownfield production level. Organic and inorganic compounds and mixtures derived from petroleum,
Petrochemicals used principally to manufacture chemicals, plastics and resins, synthetic
fibres, detergents, adhesives and synthetic motor oils.
Brownfield Development Projects to improve oil and/or gas recovery from an existing producing
field, inclusive of infill drilling, Improved Oil Recovery (IOR) and Enhanced
Project A contract that combined the requirement for more than one PACs to
Oil Recovery (EOR) projects. Pan-Malaysia Contract
P
get Economies of Scale (EOS).
C COVID-19 The name of the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, SARSCoV- 2,
and is short for “2019 novel coronavirus (or 2019-nCoV)” Panamax
Smaller-sized tanker with a dead weight tonnage (DWT) between
65,000 MT-80,000 MT and oil storage capacity of approximately 350 kbbls.
Projects in water depths exceeding 450 feet. Unique methods are Modifying existing structures to enable rig move-in (for infill drilling) or to serve
Deepwater required to produce the oil and gas from ocean bed at such depths. Platform Modification new/additional operational objectives. May involve minor fabrication works.
See Floating Production Unit.
Activities following discovery that are necessary to begin production and A purification process for natural resources which includes hydrocarbons,
Development Refining using distillation, cooling and/or compression.
transportation of crude oil and natural gas.
D All segments of a value chain that add value to the crude oil and natural
gas produced. For example, oil refining, gas processing, gas liquefaction, R Regasification
Process of converting LNG temperature back to natural gas at|
atmospheric temperature.
Downstream petrochemical manufacturing, marketing of petroleum and petrochemical
products, storage and transportation. The total estimated quantities of petroleum at a specific date to be contained
Resources in, or that have been produced from known accumulations of hydrocarbon.
Decarbonisation is the term used for removal or reduction of carbon
Decarbonisation
dioxide (CO₂) output into the atmosphere.
17 interlinked goals adopted by all United Nations Member States in 2015 as
Sustainable a universal call to action to end poverty, protect the planet and ensure that all
Enhanced Oil Recovery Any method(s) applied to productive reservoirs in order to increase Development Goals people enjoy peace and prosperity by 2030. Also known as the Global Goals.
(EOR) production rates and to improve the overall recovery factor.
E Exploration The search for crude oil and/or natural gas by geological and topographical
S Spars platform
An offshore floating product unit with relatively large aspect ratio
(draft over diameter).
studies, geophysical and seismic surveys, and drilling of wells.
F
Relating to, or being something located beneath a surface and
Field A geographical area overlying a hydrocarbon reservoir. Subsurface especially underground.
G
and production operations, also known as Exploration and Production (E&P).
Greenfield Projects to start the production of oil and/or gas from new,
Development Project undeveloped reserves. Stands for West Texas Intermediate (WTI), which refers to a type of high
WTI Price quality crude oil, as the benchmark crude oil price in the US, measured
W
in USD per barrel.
A compound of hydrogen and carbon, such as any of those which are the
Hydrocarbon chief components of petroleum and natural gas.
H Hydrogen
Hydrogen is a clean alternative to methane, also known as natural gas. It is the
Wellheads
Component at the surface of an oil or gas well that provides the structural
and pressure-containing interface for the drilling and production equipment.
most abundant chemical element, estimated to contribute 75 per cent of the
mass of the universe.
5 6
Is this outlook referring to tenders to be issued or Should I make my investment decisions/business
contracts to be awarded? planning based on this report?
The outlook provided is based on activities per year, not on The intent of this outlook is to provide a general direction
tender issuance nor contract award. Therefore, it includes for the industry and be sufficient for players to make their
activities which may have been contracted at the time of high-level planning. We recommend players to also make
reporting. An overview of contracts with its current duration reference to other sources of data/information to
is provided in this document. Companies may use them as an complement their decision making.
indicator for opportunities that may arise in the future.
7 8
WHP, CPP and rigs information are primarily for Is this a one-off exercise or a regular effort?
larger players. How will smaller players benefit from This is the fourth edition of the report and is part of PETRONAS’
the information? effort to increase engagement with the OGSE sector. We
The outlook in this report prioritises leading indicators for endeavour to provide this report on an annual basis.
a broad spectrum of activities in the oil and gas industry, as
indicated in the list of associated services, which may benefit
smaller players.
Malaysia
Petroleum
Dealership in Malaysia Management
PMoF @
PETRONAS
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