Consulting Prep - CareerCarve - Guesstimates
Consulting Prep - CareerCarve - Guesstimates
Giridharan Raghunathan
} Guesstimates
Case is a situation or a
simple problem statement Business cases: Revenue or profitability impact
that needs to be (Should IKEA set-up a store in the Delhi-NCR region?)
estimated or solved
Ø Companies across sectors are increasingly preferring the case methodology during interviews
An MBA grad is usually MBA grads end up facing A robust first principles Case interviews check
new to the interviewer’s similar situations at work thinking approach is for this aptitude and
sector / function and cannot always rely hence expected in such attitude in the candidate
on experience to solve situations
problems
Assume you are a Swiggy charges its Your boss asks you to How do you go ahead?
logistics manager in customers Rs. 50 per find ways to reduce this
Swiggy. order. to make it cheaper for
the customers.
1. Guesstimate: Why does Swiggy charge Rs. 50 as delivery charge? Is this how much they incur as costs to
deliver food?
2. Business Case – Profitability improvement: Can routes be optimized to reduce cost of delivery to Rs. 45
or Rs. 40?
3. Business Case – Strategy: Is Swiggy better off outsourcing delivery to 3PL service providerslike Shiprocket or
XpressBees to reduce costs?
7 Case Interviews - Giridharan R
Agenda
} Introduction to case interviews
} Guesstimates
} Demand: Population led estimation
} Demand: Household led estimation
} Supply led estimation
Eg: How many soaps are Eg: How many televisions Eg: How much does a fine
sold in Delhi in a year? are sold in India in a year? dining restaurant in
Koramangala, Bangalore
make in a month?
Eg: How many soaps are Eg: How many televisions Eg: How much does a fine
sold in Delhi in a year? are sold in India in a year? dining restaurant in
Koramangala, Bangalore
make in a month?
Suppose you are You compete against You wish to enter You wish to evaluate How would you go
OCCO, a famous iPhone and the top- the Indian market your hypothesis about identifying the
South East Asian end mobiles of other which you believe is market by first sizing Total Addressable
manufacturer of leading brands such very lucrative. the market for Top- Market?
premium mobile as Samsung, OPPO End phones in India.
phones. and Huawei in China,
Japan and Korea.
A mobile phone Everywhere in India Gender: Both male & Number of buyers of a
female top-end phone in 1 year
Not just any phone – A Not specific states /
top-end model cities Age: Probably between Not users
10 - 50
Not Value of the market
So it is priced at Rs. Economic status: High in Rs. but individual units
50,000 or more – Income / Mid to High
Confirm with interviewer if income
it is safe to assume so?
13 Case Interviews - Giridharan R
Demand: Population led estimation - Solution
Step 2: Solution
Use a top-down approach and start with the overall Indian market
Eg: How many soaps are Eg: How many televisions Eg: How much does a fine
sold in Delhi in a year? are sold in India in a year? dining restaurant in
Koramangala, Bangalore
make in a month?
Suppose you are You manufacture You wish to enter To decide the How would you go
Koyoka, an excellent Washing India and set up a capacity of this plant about identifying the
established Washing Machines and are manufacturing plant you want to size up Total Addressable
machine market leaders in to capture 10% the Indian market. Market?
manufacturer in Japan, USA and market
Japan. Europe.
Washing Machines are So shall I assume the useful Okay. So our market size
typically purchased life to be 10 years? i.e. once is 1.36 Cr. / 10 or 13.6
once in a few years in 10 years these 1.36 Cr. lacs.
basis their life. Correct? Households replace their
machines.
For now we need to For simplicity sakes, let me Okay. So capacity required
target 10% of the assume that the market size is 13.6 lacs / 10 or 1.36
market. Correct? is stagnant i.e. no new lacs.
customers are getting added
every year. Okay
Eg: How many soaps are Eg: How many televisions Eg: How much does a fine
sold in Delhi in a year? are sold in India in a year? dining restaurant in
Koramangala, Bangalore
make in a month?
Suppose you are a You wish to set-up You are evaluating if One of your friends How would you go
young entrepreneur an excellent fine it is a good suggests you first about determining
who wishes to set- dining restaurant in a investment or not. determine how the monthly
up his own happening location in much can you earn revenues?
restaurant business. Mumbai. in a month.
Check if the restaurant earns revenues outside of dine-in – eg: say food delivery
Does the restaurant Assume interviewer says only Analysis will only be for
offer the dine in, pick- dine in. dine-in case – i.e.
up and delivery So to calculate restaurant’s restaurant serving its
services? revenues we only need to guests in its premises.
calculate dine-in revenues.
Correct?
41 Case Interviews - Giridharan R
Demand: Supply led estimation - Solution
Step 2: Solution
Customer footfall varies due to Meal timings, day of week, duration of meal
Make some assumptions for Peak timings – Lunch (12 to 3PM), Weekday customers = Lunch
occupancy and confirm with Dinner (7 to 10 PM) (3 hrs * 1 per hour * 100
interviewer. Make modifications seats * 50%) + Dinner (3 *
Occupancy at 100% for peak and 20% 1 * 100 * 100%) + Non-Key
basis suggestions. for non-peak
(6 * 1 * 100 * 20%) = 570
Weekdays lunch at 50% only
Assume customers eat for 1 hour
43 Case Interviews - Giridharan R
Demand: Supply led estimation - Solution
Step 2: Solution
Make some assumptions for Peak timings – Lunch (12 to 3PM), Weekend customers = Lunch +
occupancy and confirm with Dinner (7 to 10 PM) Dinner (6 hrs * 1 per hour * 100
interviewer. Make modifications seats * 100%) + Non-Key (6 * 1 *
Occupancy at 100% for peak and 20% 100 * 20%) = 720
basis suggestions. for non-peak
Weekdays lunch at 50% only Total weekly customers =
Assume customers eat for 1 hour 570 * 5 + 720 * 2 = 4,290
44 Case Interviews - Giridharan R
Demand: Supply led estimation - Solution
Step 2: Solution
Can we consider if the same Assume the interviewer says yes. So a Total monthly customers = # of
average footfall numbers will month has 4.33 weeks (30.5 days). weeks / month * weekly
extend throughout the year. i.e. Confirm if this is good to go. customers = 4.33 * 4,290 =
seasonalities due to festivals / ~18,600
holidays do not make an impact.
Average bill value in a fine dining Assume the price per meal is Rs. 1,000. Total monthly revenue = Monthly
restaurant is higher as it is a Check with the interviewer if this is customers * Price per meal =
premium experience. reasonable. 18,600 * 1,000 = ~Rs. 1.86 Cr.
3. How many shirts does Amitabh Bachchan have in his wardrobe at home?
5. England cricket team visits India for a 3 match T20 series. All matches are
played at the cricket stadium in Kochi, Kerala. How much money would India
make in selling tickets for the match?
47 Case Interviews - Giridharan R