Week 5 CRM
Week 5 CRM
Week 5
§ CRM strategy
§ Business Goals and CRM Objectives
§ Organizational Dynamics & CRM Player
§ Sales Channels & Internal Requirements
Understanding
Relationships
Defining ‘relationship’
1. Awareness
2. Exploration
3. Expansion
4. Commitment
5. Dissolution
What are some relationship attributes?
COMMITMENT
Major relationship attributes
§ Trust
§ Commitment
Types of trust
§ Commitment arises from trust, shared values, and the belief that
partners will be difficult to replace.
§ Commitment motivates partners to co-operate in order to preserve
relationship investments.
§ Commitment means partners forgo short-term alternatives in
favour of more stable, long-term benefits associated with current
partners.
§ Commitment entails vulnerability, leaving partners open to
opportunism.
Evidence of commitment
§ Evidence of commitment is found in the investments that one party makes in the other.
§ One party makes investments in the promising relationship and if the other responds, the
relationship evolves, and the partners become increasingly committed to doing business with
each other.
§ Investments can include time, money, and the sidelining of current or alternative
relationships.
§ A partner’s commitment to a relationship is directly represented in the size of the investment
in the relationship, since these represent termination costs.
Attributes of high quality relationships
§ Core attributes
– Trust
– Commitment
§ Additional attributes
– Relationship satisfaction
– Mutual goals
– Cooperative norms
Companies want relationships with customers
§ Why?
– because companies that manage their customer base in order to identify,
satisfy and retain profitable customers enjoy better business results
– reduced customer churn creates
• A larger customer base
• Longer average customer tenure
• Reduced marketing costs to replace defected customers
• Better understanding of customer requirements
• More cross-selling opportunities
Impact of churn on customer numbers
Company A (5% churn) Company B (10% churn)
Year
Existing New Total Existing New Total
customers customers customer customers customers customer
base base
Figure 2.3
Customers are potential income streams
And finally
§ Discount rate
The effect of discounting on customer
value
Figure 2.4
Customer relationship value at US Bancorp
Figure 2.5
Core strategies to improve cohort profitability
1. Improve customer retention rate in the early years of the relationship.
2. Increase the profit earned per customer by
– Reducing cost-to-serve
– Cross-selling or up-selling additional products and services
3. Become better at customer acquisition by
– Using more cost-effective recruitment channels
– Better qualification of prospects.
– Careful nurturing of prospects with high CLV potential.
– Recruiting new customers matched to the profiles of current customers
having a high CLV
When do B2B companies not want
relationships?
§ When they fear loss of control. Relationships are bi-lateral
arrangements, which involve giving up unilateral control over
resources.
§ When exits costs are high. Not all relationships survive. It is
not necessarily easy or cost-effective to exit a relationship.
§ Resource commitment. Relationships require the
commitment of scarce resources such as people, time and
money.
§ When opportunity costs are high. If resources are committed
to one customer realtionship, they cannot be used for another
Business customers want relationships when …..
1. the product or its applications are complex, for example, networking infrastructure
2. the product is strategically important or mission-critical, for example, core raw materials
supply for a manufacturer
3. there are down-stream service requirements, for example, for machine tools
4. financial risk is high, for example, in buying large pieces of capital equipment
5. reciprocity is expected. A financial audit practice may want a close relationship with a
management consultancy, so that each party may benefit from referrals by the other.
When do customers want relationships
with suppliers?
In the B2C context, customers may value relationships for
several reasons:
Group 1: These RFM metrics are important indicators of a customer’s behavior because
frequency and monetary value affects a customer’s lifetime value, and recency affects
retention, a measure of engagement.
Group 3: It's data-driven and has no presumption for any market segments. It treats all
customers as a homogenous group.
Group 4: Helps us understand customer’s behavior to identify those we can retain and
target for personalized marketing.
In-Class Activity 1: Group Exercise
• What facts do RFM factors illustrate?
Group 1:
These facts are shown by RFM factors:
• R: the more recent the purchase, the more responsive the customer is to promotions
• F: the more frequently the customer buys, the more engaged and satisfied they are
• M: monetary value differentiates heavy spenders from low-value purchasers
Group 3:
• the more recent the purchase, the more responsive the customer is to promotions
• the more frequently the customer buys, the more engaged and satisfied they are
• monetary value differentiates heavy spenders from low-value purchasers
Group 4:
• The more recent the purchase, the more customer will respond to promotions
• More frequent buyer, more satisfied and engaged
• Money spent identifies the heavy spenders from low-value buyers
In-Class Activity 1: Group Exercise
• How does RFM analysis help marketers?
Group 1: RFM help us finding insight of customers such as which customers is more valuable
than the other and which to retain or let go, which customers is potential.
From the data and insights, it helps marketers make advertising budget. We can make budget
and create promotion campaigns specifically for each group of customers.
Group 3: To get rid of the presumption of all customers and see the data themselves. It's
especially useful for e-commerce where lots of data are available.
In-Class Activity 1: Group Exercise
• How does CleverTap arrive at an aggregate score of Recency, Frequency
and Monetary?
Group 1:
They use recency and frequency scores to visualize RFM analysis on a 2-dimensional graph.
They combine a few segments to arrive at more manageable and intuitive segments.
• Champions
• Potential Loyalists
• New Customers
• At Risk Customers
• Can’t Lose Them
Group 1: Using RFM modeling can provide valuable insights about customers, but it does not
take into account many other factors about the customer including customer demographics
such as age, sex and ethnicity.
RFM only uses historical data about customers and may not predict future customer activity.
Predictive methods may be able to identify future customer behavior that RFM analysis
cannot.
Group 3: Not really. The most recent customers may not be the most loyal, and the most
frequent customers do not necessarily spend the most so the company may not profit from
them the most. It's important to get an aggregate score depending on your business nature.
For example, for Shoppers Drug Mart as a retail business, maybe they tend to value the "F" &
"R" more than "M".
The satisfaction-profit chain
Figure 2.6
Customer satisfaction defined
Figure 2.7
Share of market vs. share of customer
Figure 2.8
Researching the satisfaction-profit chain
§ International data
§ National data
§ Industry data
§ Corporate data
§ Individual customer data
The American Customer Satisfaction
Index (ACSI) model
Figure 2.9
Industry studies
§ Telecommunications
§ Banking
§ Airlines
§ Car distribution
§ Multi-industry
Returns from investments in customer
satisfaction
Figure 2.10
Relationship management theory: 5
schools of thought
§ Industrial Marketing and Purchasing (IMP) school
§ Nordic school
§ Anglo-Australian school
§ North American school
§ Asian (guanxi) school
IMP school
§ Interaction
– Inter-firm exchanges occur in a broader context of ongoing interactions.
§ Dialogue
– Suppliers and customers are in dialogue with each other.
§ Value
– Value in relationships is mutual. To generate value from customers,
companies need to generate customer-perceived value, that is, create and
deliver something that is perceived to be of value to customers.
Anglo-Australian school 6-markets model
Figure 2.11
North American school
Figure 5.1
Market segmentation process
1. identify the business you are in
2. identify relevant segmentation variables
3. analyse the market using these variables
4. assess the value of the market segments
5. select target market(s) to serve
Types of competitor (kitchen furniture example)
• Benefit competitors
• other companies delivering the same benefit to customers. These might include window
replacement companies, heating and air-conditioning companies and bathroom renovation
companies
• Product competitors
• other companies marketing kitchens to customers seeking the same benefit.
• Geographic competitors
• these are benefit and product competitors operating in the same geographic territory
Criteria for segmenting consumer markets
Figure 5.2
Criteria for segmenting business markets
Business market
segmentation criteria Illustration
International Standard An internationally agreed standard for
Industrial Classification classifying goods and service producers
Dispersion Geographically concentrated or dispersed
Size Large, medium, small businesses: classified
by number of employees, number of
customers, profit or turnover
Account status Global account, National account, Regional
account, A or B or C class accounts
Account value <$50,000, <$100,000, <$200,000, <$500,000
Buying processes Open tender, sealed bid, internet auction,
centralized, decentralized
Buying criteria Continuity of supply (reliability), product
quality, price, customisation, just-in-time,
service support before or after sale
Propensity to switch Satisfied with current suppliers, Dissatisfied
Current share of customer Sole supplier, majority supplier, minority
spend in the category supplier, non-supplier
Geography City, region, country, trading bloc (ASEAN,
EU)
Buying style Risk averse, innovator
Examples of ISIC codes
Figure 5.3
Sales forecasting methods
• Qualitative methods
• Customer surveys
• Sales team estimates
• Time-series methods
• Moving average
• Exponential smoothing
• Time-series decomposition
• Causal methods
• Leading indicators
• Regression models
In-Class Activity 2: Group Exercise
In-Class Activity 2: Group Exercise
• When is Opportunity Stage Forecasting ideal? When is it not so ideal?
Group 2: Opportunity Stage Forecasting ideal when the various stages of the
sales process each deal is in. It is not ideal when the age of opportunity in the
system is not the same.
Group 4: Since it does not take into consideration the “age of an opportunity”
or the length of a stage in the pipeline and relies on historical data, this is not
ideal when you changed your messaging, products, sales process, or any
other variable.
In-Class Activity 2: Group Exercise
• How can you get accurate results for Length of Sales Cycle Forecasting?
Group 2: You'll need to carefully track how and when prospects enter your
salespeople's pipelines.
Group 3: You'll need to carefully track how and when prospects enter your
salespeople's pipelines. If your CRM doesn't integrate with your marketing
software as well as automatically log interactions, your reps will be spending a
lot of time manually entering data.
Group 4: To obtain accurate results, you must closely monitor how and when
prospects enter your salespeople's pipelines.
In-Class Activity 2: Group Exercise
• What issues do you run into Intuitive and Historical Sales Forecasting?
Group 3: Intuitive: Calculations are subjective, and each sales rep can forecast differently.
You can't scale or replicate this method. Yet, it's good for verification as you should believe in
your team's intuition sometimes. Historical: It doesn't consider seasonality or market changes.
It doesn't consider buyer demand.
Group 4: It doesn't consider seasonality. Second, it assumes that buyer demand is constant.
The forecast may lack consistency and be too optimistic.
In-Class Activity 2: Group Exercise
• Multivariate Sales and Pipeline Forecasting tend to be the most
accurate. What does it require to do so?
Figure 5.4
How ABC helps CPM
• When combined with revenue figures, it tells you the absolute and relative
levels of profit generated by each customer, segment or cohort
• It guides you towards actions that can be taken to return customers to profit.
• It helps prioritise and direct customer acquisition, retention and development
strategies
• It helps establish whether customisation, and other forms of value creation for
customers, pays off
CLV formula
Margin multiples
Table 5.7
Preparation for data-mining
1. Define the business problem you are trying to solve.
2. Create a data mart that can be subjected to data mining.
3. Develop a model that solves the problem. This is an iterative process of
developing a hypothetical solution to the problem (also known as model
building), testing and refinement.
4. Improve the model. As new data is loaded into the data warehouse, further
subsets can be extracted to the data mining data mart and the model
enhanced.
Data-mining for CPM
• Clustering techniques
• CART
• CHAID
• Decision trees
• Neural networks
Credit risk training set
Table 5.9
Decision tree output
Figure 5.5
Neural networks
Figure 5.6
Customer profitability by sales volume quintile
Figure 5.7
Shapiro et al’s customer classification matrix
Figure 5.8
How costs vary between customers
Pre-sale costs Production costs Distribution costs Post-sale costs
Geographic location: Order size Shipment consolidation Training
close v. distant
Prospecting Set-up time Preferred transportation Installation
mode
Sampling Scrap rate Back-haul opportunity Technical
support
Human resource: Customization Location: close v. distant Repairs and
management v. reps maintenance
Service: design Order timing Logistics support e.g.
support, applications field inventory
engineering
Table 5.10
Fiocca step 1
Figure 5.9
Fiocca step 1: Strategic importance
• Strategic importance is related to
• value/volume of the customer’s purchases
• potential and prestige of the customer
• customer market leadership
• general desirability in terms of diversification of the supplier’s markets, providing access to
new markets, improving technological expertise, and the impact on other relationships
Fiocca step 1: Difficulty of managing relationship
• Difficulty of managing the customer relationship is related to:
• product characteristics such as novelty and complexity
• account characteristics such as the customer’s needs and requirements, customer’s buying
behaviour , customer’s power, customer’s technical and commercial competence and
the customer’s preference to do business with a number of suppliers
• competition for the account which is assessed by considering the number of competitors,
the strength and weaknesses of competitors and competitors’ position vis à vis the
customer
Fiocca step 2
• Assess key easy and key difficult accounts:
• The customer’s business attractiveness
• The strength of the buyer/seller relationship
Fiocca step 2: strength of relationship
• the length of relationship
• the volume or dollar value of purchases
• the importance of the customer (percentage of customer’s purchases on
supplier’s sales)
• personal friendships
• co-operation in product development
• management distance (language and culture)
• geographical distance
Fiocca step 2: strategic options
Figure 5.10
Additional CPA tools
• SWOT analysis
• BCG matrix analysis
BCG matrix
Figure 5.11
Strategically significant customers 1
• High future life-time value customers.
• These customers will contribute significantly to the company’s profitability in the future
• High volume customers.
• These customers might not generate much profit, but they are strategically significant
because of their absorption of fixed costs, and the economies of scale they generate to
keep unit costs low
Strategically significant customers 2
• Benchmark customers.
• These are customers that other customers follow. For example, Nippon Conlux supplies the
hardware and software for Coca Cola’s vending operation. Whilst they might not make
much margin from that relationship, it has allowed them to gain access to many other
markets. ‘If we are good enough for Coke, we are good enough for you’, is the implied
promise. Some IT companies create ‘reference sites’ at some of their more demanding
customers.
Strategically significant customers 3
• Inspirations.
• These are customers who bring about improvement in the supplier’s business. They may
identify new applications for a product, product improvements, or opportunities for cost
reductions. They may complain loudly and make unreasonable demands, but in doing so,
force change for the better.
• Door openers.
• These are customers that allow the supplier to gain access to a new market. This may be
done for no initial profit, but with a view to proving credentials for further expansion. This
may be particularly important if crossing cultural boundaries, say between west and east.
SSC’s at a Scandinavian timber processor
This company considers 5 attributes in identifying their
strategically significant customers
1 Economic return
2 Future business potential
3 Learning value
4 Reference value
5 Strategic value by
● providing access to new markets
● strengthening incumbent positions
● building barriers to new entrants
Seven core customer management strategies
1. Protect the relationship
2. Re-engineer the relationship
3. Grow the relationship
4. Harvest the relationship
5. End the relationship
6. Win-back the customer
7. Start a relationship
Online workshop part 3:
This Week & Next Week
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