Trading Academy Ebook
Trading Academy Ebook
05 Bollinger Bands® 16
09 Stochastic Oscillator 28
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
2
01
RSI
Relative
Strength
Index
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
3
Indicator Profile
• RSI was developed in 1978 by J. Welles Wilder Jr.
• It is among the most widely used trading indicators in technical analysis.
• RSI is a momentum indicator, which means it helps measure the velocity
of a particular assets price changes.
• In its initial form, the RSI was designed for stock trading. As it started
proving efficient, traders began applying it to other assets as well.
The Relative Strength Index is an indicator that helps traders capture market
momentum by measuring the magnitude of price fluctuations. Traders use RSI to
recognize oversold and overbought markets and decide on when to open a position.
The RSI takes the form of a line between two extremes (also known as an
“oscillator”). It can have a value between 0 and 100.
The RSI is estimated on the scale from 0 to 100. The traditional interpretation of the
Relative Strength Index supposes that anything above the value of 70 indicates that
the given asset is overvalued and the market is overbought. On the contrary – assets
with RSI below 30 are considered undervalued and their market – oversold.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
4
What is Overbought and Oversold?
Once we use the RSI to identify an oversold or an overbought asset, then we can
expect a trend reversal or a correction and capitalize on it.
Oversold signals suggest that the selling pressure in the given asset is easing, and
the traders should brace themselves for a potential rebound.
Overbought signals, on the contrary, indicate the momentum when the asset is
reaching its maximum levels for bulls and could soon experience a correction.
Buy Signals
The Bullish Oversold Signal is a trend reversal signal that occurs in situations where
the RSI falls below 30% and bounces back. There is no difference in how low it
will go. The important thing here is for it to rise again above the 30% mark. Once it
does, it is an indication that bulls are taking over, and a new upwards trend may be
forming.
The Bullish Divergence Signal is another trend reversal signal that occurs when the
RSI and the price divert from each other. This happens when the price makes a lower
low while the RSI marks a higher low. Depending on the number of times this event
repeats, this could indicate the strength of the forming signal (the more, the better
for the bulls). This comes to show that it is imperative to look at both – the RSI and
the price movement.
Sell Signals
The Bearish Overbought Signal indicates when a trend reversal may take place. To
spot such an indication, make sure to look for situations where the RSI surpasses
the 70% mark and then falls back below it. This could indicate that the bears are
getting stronger, and a trend reversal is about to take place soon.
The Bearish Divergence Signal is observed when the RSI marks a lower high, and
the price marks a higher high. Once again, the more repetitive this process is, the
stronger the upcoming bearish signal will be. This is another trend reversal signal
that confirms the importance of taking into account both the RSI and the price
movements and not analyzing any of them in isolation.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
5
Calculations
The relative strength index (RSI) is computed with a two-part calculation, starting
with the below formula:
The average gain and loss used in the calculation is the average percentage gain
and loss during a pre defined period, using a positive value for the average loss.
As a standard 14 periods are used to calculate the initial RSI value. For example,
imagine the market closed higher seven out of the past 14 days with an average
gain of 1%. The remaining seven days all closed lower with an average loss of -0.8%.
The calculation for the first part of the RSI would look like the following expanded
calculation:
Once there are 14 periods of data available, the second part of the RSI formula can
be calculated. The second step of the calculation smooths the results.
Using the formulas above, RSI can be calculated, where the RSI line can then be
plotted beneath an asset’s price chart.
The RSI will rise as the number and size of positive closes increase, and it will fall as
the number and size of losses increase. The second part of the calculation smooths
the result, so the RSI will only near 100 or 0 in a strongly trending market.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
6
02
Average
Directional
Index
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
7
Indicator Profile
• The Parabolic SAR is a technical analysis tool developed by J. Welles
Wilder Jr., the creator of the RSI.
• The ADX is a trend indicator and is shown as an oscillator in a window
below the pricing chart.
• Despite its name, this indicator doesn’t give you any information about
trend direction. It will show the strength of the trend.
As with many trend indicators, ADX lags behind the price, so is not useful if you want
to get in on trends early. But it is useful if you only want to trade strong trends.
Combined with a directional trend indicator, such as Parabolic SAR, ADX can confirm
that a trend is strong and is going to continue. This should give you more confidence
when entering into a position.
When showing a between 0-25, this usually signals a weak trend, when the readings
are between 25 and 50, this shows a strong trend, any readings above 50 indicates a
very strong trend.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
8
Average Directional Index calculation
The ADX oscillator’s values are calculated automatically using the following formula:
ADXi is the Average Directional Index value of the period being calculated.
EMAi is the Exponential Moving Average value of the period being calculated. For
more information.
DMI(+) is the positive Directional Movement Index value of the period being
calculated. For more information.
DMI(-) is the negative Directional Movement Index value of the period being
calculated.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
9
03
Parabolic
SAR
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
10
Indicator Profile
• The Parabolic SAR is a technical analysis tool developed by J. Welles
Wilder Jr., the creator of the RSI.
• They are used to determine the price direction of an asset. It also draws
attention to when the price direction is changing.
• The Parabolic SAR is also referred to as the Stop and Reversal system.
The Parabolic SAR is a trend indicator. Dots are placed on the chart either above or
below the price, as they indicate the potential direction of the price movement.
When the dots are above the current price, this indicates that the market is in a
downtrend. Traders can use this to short or sell. When the dots are below the price,
the market is in an uptrend, indicating that you should go long or buy.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
11
The Parabolic SAR should not be used in a ranging market. When the markets are
moving sideways there will be lots of noise and this will make the dots flip from one
side to the other providing no clear trading or false signals.
The indicator can be used to gauge the direction of the asset and be used for placing
stop-loss orders and is used by traders who want to catch high-momentum moves.
Some good indicators to use alongside the Parabolic SAR are Moving Averages,
Stochastic and the Average Directional Index (ADX).
The Parabolic SAR indicator uses the most recent extreme price (shown as EP
below) along with an acceleration factor (shown as AF) to determine where the
indicator dots will appear.
Where:
EP = Highest high for an uptrend and lowest low for a downtrend, updated each time
a new EP is reached.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
12
04
Moving
Average
Convergence
and
Divergence
MACD
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
13
Indicator Profile
• Invented by Gerald Appel in 1979 and still widely used to this day by
many traders worldwide.
• Moving Average Convergence Divergence is a trend-following
momentum indicator. That shows the relationship between two moving
averages of an asset.
• The MACD is calculated by subtracting the 26-period Exponential
Moving Average from the 12-period EMA.
• The Signal line is represented by a 9-day period EMA.
The MACD on the MT4 platform shows the difference between 26-period and
12-period EMA, this is expressed as a Histogram. To find buying or selling signals a
9-period moving average is also added and we look for crossovers to signal buying or
selling decisions.
The basic rule here is that when the MACD falls below the signal line this indicates a
sell and when the MACD goes above the signal line this indicates a buy signal.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
14
When there are clear instances of divergence. For example, when the MACD is
making new highs and prices are falling to reach new highs this can be a signal
that the current bullish trend may be nearing an end. A bearish divergence would be
when the MACD is making new lows and prices are not reaching new lows. In these
cases, the divergences are more significant when they occur at relatively oversold or
overbought levels.
MACD calculation
When calculating the MACD, the value of a 26-period EMA is subtracted from a
12-period EMA. A 9-period SMA (the dotted signal line) is then plotted on top of the
MACD.
Where:
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
15
05
Bollinger
Bands®
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
16
Indicator Profile
• Bollinger Bands® are a technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger
in the early 1980s, for generating oversold or overbought signals.
• Bollinger Bands® comprise of three lines, a Simple Moving Average
with an upper and lower band set at a standard deviation.
• Bollinger Bands® are a highly popular technique used by many traders.
A Bollinger Band® refers to a technical analysis tool. They are shown as a set of
trendlines plotted two standard deviations (positively and negatively) away from a
simple moving average (SMA) of an assets price, but which can be adjusted to user
preferences.
Calculated from a simple moving average, so older price data is weighed the same
as the most recent prices, so new information may be diluted by outdated pricing
data, this may be a concern for some traders. Also, some traders feel that the use of
20-day SMA and the 2 standard deviations may be a bit inconsistent and therefore
will not work for everyone in every situation. Traders are able to adjust their SMA and
standard deviation accordingly and monitor them should they wish.
The central concept of Bollinger Bands is when the bands come close together like
they are constricting the moving average. This is referred to as ‘The Squeeze’. This
signals a period of low volatility and a possible sign of future volatility, a possible
trading opportunity.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
17
The wider apart the bands’ move may also signal that it is likely a decrease in
volatility and the greater the change to exit a trade.
These conditions are not trading signals as the bands give no indication when the
change may happen or the direction the price will move in.
As with all indicators they are not meant to be a stand-alone trading system and
John Bollinger himself suggested using them in conjunction with two or three non-
correlated indicators that provide more direct market signals. Some of his preferred
suggestions are MACD and RSI.
BOLU=MA(TP,n)+m∗σ[TP,n]
BOLD=MA(TP,n)−m∗σ[TP,n]
Where:
MA=Moving average
TP (typical price)=(High+Low+Close)÷3
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
18
06
Linearly
Weighted
Moving
Average
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
19
Indicator Profile
• Also referred to a The Weighted Moving Average. This is one of the
most popular and widely used indicators.
• Developed to try and improve the SMA, by filtering out some of the
market fluctuations by price values over the periods by adding extra
weight to the average prices.
• This allows the most recent prices to play a more important role in the
calculation as all preceding ones diminish in a linearly.
The LWMA is used in the same way that you would use the SMA and EMA and is
quicker to react to market pricing than both. The LWMA gives the trader a more crisp
picture of the market behaviour to make informed trading decisions.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
20
It works best on stable falling or rising markets and should be avoided in ranging or
sideways markets.
As the LWMA uses historical data for its calculations it reveals the market trend that
has already developed and will not show a future trend.
When added to a chart, a trader will now analyse the behaviour and try to predict
where the beginning of a new trend will begin or the old trend will end. This is done
by determining reversal points that can serve as trading signals similar to those of
the indicator.
The LWMA indicator’s values are calculated using the following formula:
SumWeight = N + (N - 1) +.. x + 1 = N x (N + 1) / 2
Where:
Price - is the source (the Closing price or other) price of any period that is
participating in the calculation.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
21
07
Exponential
Moving
Average
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
22
Indicator Profile
• An exponential moving average is a type of moving average that places
greater importance on the most recent price data.
• The EMA also known as an exponentially weighted moving average,
reacts more distinctly to recent price changes than a simple moving
average, which applies an equal weight to all pricing data in the period
set.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
23
An EMA helps to reduce lag by applying more emphasis on recent prices and
therefore they are more sensitive to recent prices.
A 12 day period and 26 day period EMA’s are most often the most quoted and
analysed short-term averages. They are also both used for other indicators like the
Percentage Price Oscillator (PPO) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence
(MACD).
As with all moving averages, an EMAs is better suited for trending markets. When the
asset is in a strong and sustained uptrend, the EMA line will also show an uptrend
and the opposite for a downtrend.
While there are many possible choices in regards to the smoothing factor the most
common choice is 2.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
24
08
Simple
Moving
Average
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
25
Indicator Profile
• The development of moving averages dates back to 1901 by the math
historian Jeff Miller. However, it was only referred to as ‘Moving Average’
until sometime later.
• The technique for smoothing data points was in use for decades before
this came into use.
• A moving average is referred to as a trend-following or lagging indicator,
due to it being based on previous/past pricing information. The longer
the time-period, the greater the lag.
It will help to smooth out price volatility and thereby making it easier to view the
price of the asset. So when the SMA is pointing up, this generally means that the
assets price is increasing and when pointing down the price is decreasing.
The SMA is customisable as we can select the number of time periods we want.
A popular method used for trading involves using a 50-day SMA and a 200-day
SMA and when the two lines cross over each other, we either get a Death Cross or a
Golden Cross. The death cross is when a 50-day SMA crosses below a 200-day SMA.
This is generally seen as a bearish signal. A golden cross happens when a 50-day
SMA crosses above a 200-day SMA, signalling a bullish turn.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
26
A simple moving average is a technical indicator that can aid in determining if an
asset price will continue or if it will reverse a bull or bear trend.
Many trader are unclear whether more emphasis should be placed on more recent
pricing data. And feel that more recent pricing data better reflects the current assets
trend. While other tend to think that by giving more significance to recent data will
bias the trend.
While there is no correct time frame to use when setting up your moving averages, it
is best to figure out which one works best for you by applying them to different time
frames based on your preference.
An SMA calculates the average of a selected range of prices. The standard is to use
the closing prices, by the number of periods in that range.
The formula used for calculating the simple moving average is as follows:
Where:
A = Average in period n
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
27
09
Stochastic
Oscillator
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
28
Indicator Profile
• The Stochastic Oscillator is a momentum indicator developed by
George C. Lane in the 1950s.
• The term Stochastic refers to the point of a current price in relation to
its price range over a period of time.
The Stochastic Oscillator follows the speed and momentum of the price, not the
price or volume of the underlying asset so, this means that it changes direction
before the price itself and can therefore be considered a Leading Indicator as it uses
a past price data to forecast future price movements in the market.
The Stochastic is used to identify the bullish and bearish divergences between the
price and the indicator, which can anticipate upcoming price reversals and, as it
oscillates within a range, it can also be used to identify overbought and oversold
levels.
A divergence occurs when the price “diverges” from the indicator, i.e. the price makes
higher highs while the indicator shows lower highs, or the price makes lower lows
while the indicator shows higher lows.
The Stochastic is an oscillator which can range between 0 and 100 and any value
above 80 is usually considered as overbought, while below 20 is considered oversold.
It is drawn on the chart window with 2 lines: the indicator line %K, and the trigger
line %D.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
29
When these two lines cross, traders should look out for a reversal in the price’s
direction.
An upward crossing of the %K-line through the %D line indicates that the current
closing price is closer to the highest high of the specified time period of the indicator
than it has been in the previous three sessions. This is considered a bullish signal,
while the opposite is considered bearish.
Calculations:
The default setting for the Stochastic is 14 periods which means that the %K line
uses the most recent closing price and the highest high and lowest low over the last
14 periods (if the timeframe is set to daily, the last 14 periods are equivalent to the
last 14 days).
%K = (Most Recent Closing Price - Lowest Low) / (Highest High - Lowest Low) × 100
%D = 3-day SMA of %K
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
30
*Risk warning: Trading in Forex/ CFDs and Other Derivatives is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk.
It is possible to lose all your capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone and you should ensure
that you understand the risks involved. Seek independent advice if necessary. Speculate only with funds that you
can afford to lose. BDS Markets is an investment firm, incorporated in the Parliamentary Republic of Mauritius
(Company Number: 143350) and is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius
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BDSwiss.com is operated by BDS Swiss Markets Global Services Ltd which is the primary payment provider
and website operator. BDS Swiss Markets Global Services Ltd is acting on behalf of its related company, BDS
Markets.
Any information appearing on this graph or text is based solely on reasonable assumptions and does not
represent a reliable indication of future performance, nor does it represent a recommendation for trading decisions.
31