CHAP - 5 - Measuring and Evaluating The Performance of Banks
CHAP - 5 - Measuring and Evaluating The Performance of Banks
William Chittenden edited and updated the PowerPoint slides for this edition.
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Key profitability ratios in banking Key profitability ratios in banking (cont.) Breaking down ROE
Noninterest revenue
- PLLL Net Profit Margin = x Asset Utilization =
Earning Assets
Net Noninterest Margin
- Noninterest expenses Net Noninterest Income
Earning Base Net Income/Total Operating Revenue Total Operating Revenue/Total Assets
Total Assets Total Assets Total Assets
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Return on equity (ROE = NI / TE)
… the basic measure of stockholders’ returns Return on assets (ROA = NI / TA) ROA is driven by the bank’s ability to:
…can be decomposed into two parts: …generate income (AU) and control expenses (ER)
ROE is composed of two parts: Asset Utilization (AU) → income generation
Return on Assets (ROA = NI / TA), Expense Ratio (ER) → expense control Income generation (AU) can be found on the UBPR
(page 1) as:
represents the returns to the assets the bank has ROA = AU - ER Int. Inc. Non. int. Inc. Sec gains (losses)
invested in = (TR / TA) - (TE / TA) AU
Where: TA TA TA
Equity Multiplier (EM = TA / TE), Expense control (ER) can be found on the UBPR
TR = total revenue or total operating income (page 1) as:
the degree of financial leverage employed by the = Int. inc. + Non-int. inc. + SG and
Int . Exp . Non int . Exp . PLL
bank TE = total expenses ER *
= Int. exp. + Non-int. exp. + PLL + Taxes TA TA TA
Note, ER* does not include taxes.
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Bank Performance Model Rate
Expense ratio (ER = Exp / TA)
ROE depends on: Returns to
Interest
Composition (mix)
… the ability to control expenses
Shareholders Volume
Equity multiplier=Total assets/Total equity capital ROE = NI / TE INCOME Interest expense / TA
Fees and Serv Charge
Cost per liability (avg. rate paid)
Leverage or financing policies: the choice of sources of Non Interest Trust Int. exp. liab. (j) / $ amt. liab. (j)
funds (debt or equity)
Other Composition of liabilities
Return to the Bank
ROA = NI / TA $ amt. of liab. (j) / TA
Rate
Net profit margin=Net income/Total operating revenue Volume of int. bearing debt and equity
Interest
Composition (mix) Non-interest expense / TA
Effectiveness of expense management (cost control)
Volume
Salaries and employee benefits / TA
EXPENSES
Salaries and Benefits Occupancy expense / TA
Asset utilization=Total operating revenue/Total assets Overhead
Occupancy Other operating expense / TA
Portfolio management policies (the mix and yield on assets)
Degree of Leverage
Other Provisions for loan losses / TA
EM =1 / (TE / TA) Prov. for LL
Taxes / TA
Taxes
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Asset utilization (AU = TR / TA): Components of ROE for all insured U.S.
… the ability to generate income. Banks (1992-2007)
Interest Income / TA
Asset yields (avg. rate earned) Determinants
of ROE in a
Interest income asset (i) / $ amount of asset (i) financial firm
Composition of assets (mix)
$ amount asset (i) / TA
Volume of Earning Assets
Earning assets / TA
Noninterest income / TA
Fees and service charges
Securities gains (losses)
Other income
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Bank risk Bank risks
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Quick quiz …Popular measures of overall risk … most important types of risk
1. What individuals or groups are likely to be interested
in the banks’ level of profitability and exposure to risk? 1. Standard deviation (σ) or variance (σ2) of 1. Credit risk 6. Legal and compliance
2. What are the principal components of ROE, and what
stock price 2. Liquidity risk risk
does each of these components measure?
3. Suppose a bank has an ROA of 0.80% and an equity
2. Standard deviation or variance of net income 3. Market risk 7. Reputation risk
multiplier of 12x. What is its ROE? Suppose this
bank’s ROA falls to 0.60%. What size equity multiplier
3. Standard deviation or variance of ROE & ROA 4. Interest rate risk 8. Strategic risk
must it have to hold its ROE unchanged?
4. What are the most important components of ROA and The higher σ and σ2 the greater the overall risk
, 5. Operational risk 9. Capital risk
what aspects of a financial institution’s performance
do they reflect?
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Credit risk Credit risk measures Credit risk: more ratios to consider
3. Provision for loan losses/Total loan 1. What has been the loss experience?
assets will decline in value and perhaps become
4. Provision for loan losses/Equity capital 2. What amount of losses do we expect?
worthless resulting from nonpayment or delayed
5. Allowance for loan losses/Total loan
payment on loans and securities. 3. How prepared is the bank?
6. Allowance for loan losses/Equity capital
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Liquidity risk ratios :
Liquidity risk Liquidity risk measures PNC and Community National
PNC BANK, NATIONAL ASSOCIATION COMMUNITY NATIONAL BANK
Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-03 Dec-04
1. Purchased funds/Total assets RISK RATIOS Pg # CALC
0.00% BANK PG 1 CALC 0.00% BANK PG 1 CALC
0.00% BANK PG 4 CALC
0.00% BANK PG 4
Probability the financial firm will not have Liquidity Risk
2. Net loans/Total assets %Total (EOP) Assets (except where noted)
sufficient cash and borrowing capacity to meet Total equity 11 9.07% 9.07% 8.95% 8.26% 8.26% 9.74% 7.29% 7.29% 9.28% 7.23% 7.23% 9.42%
Core deposits 10 67.41% 66.75% 53.75% 64.84% 63.23% 54.19% 84.26% 84.95% 71.85% 85.00% 85.04% 71.10%
3. Cash and due from banks/Total assets
deposit withdrawals and other cash needs. S.T Non-core funding 10 #N/A 11.47% 23.24% #N/A 12.11% 23.42% #N/A 4.10% 11.90% #N/A 4.84% 12.21%
Net loans & leases / Total Deposits 10 73.73% 73.73% 87.72% 81.00% 81.00% 88.28% 65.90% 65.90% 78.94% 67.35% 67.35% 81.42%
4. Cash and government securities/Total sssets Net loans & leases / Core Deposits 10 81.11% 81.11% 115.16% 91.76% 91.76% 116.10% 71.36% 71.36% 93.85% 72.89% 72.89% 97.58%
Avg. Available for sale securities / aTA 6 21.41% 21.90% 21.11% 22.12% 22.03% 21.00% 14.44% 13.39% 15.88% 19.38% 19.04% 15.80%
Short-term investments 10 #N/A 2.73% 6.25% #N/A 3.02% 5.23% #N/A 5.99% 5.41% #N/A 5.72% 5.26%
Pledged securities 10 #N/A
0.00% 46.50% 49.08% #N/A
0.00% 51.76% 54.78% #N/A
0.00% 29.25% 40.34% #N/A
0.00% 28.49% 41.20%
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stock
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strikes and similar events or risk of loss due to Compliance risk includes violations of rules and
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Average performance characteristics of Profitability measures of banks by Risk measures of banks by business
banks by business concentration and size business concentration concentration
Asset Concentration Groups Asset Concentration Groups
Wholesale Banks All
Institu
Credit Inter - Ag.
Comm-
ercial
Mort -
Con – Other All All
summer spec. < Other Other
All
Credit Inter - Ag.
Comm-
Mort -
Con – Other All All
Card national Lending gage Institu ercial summer spec. < Other Other
Lending Lending $1B <$1B > $1B Card national Lending gage
Lending Lending $1B <$1B > $1B
Focus on loans for the largest commercial # of institutions reporting 8,975 34 5 1,730 4,424 990 132 465 1,120 75
Asset Quality
Commercial banks 7,630 30 5 1,725 4,019 250 101 414 1,026 60
Savings institutions 1,345 4 0 5 405 740 31 51 94 15 Net charge-offs to LN&LS 0.56 4.67 0.91 0.21 0.30 0.12 1.57 0.59 0.31 0.25
customers and purchase substantial funds from Performance ratios (%) Loss allow to Noncurr LN&LS 167.8 215.8 135.3 156.7 206.3 97.1 259.4 168.4 155.3 156.3
Return on equity 13.28 22.16 10.35 11.45 13.48 11.61 16.81 10.03 10.18 13.69 LN&LS provs. to net charge-offs 90.6 108.8 63.1 118.3 105.2 100.2 85.5 67.3 99.4 52.0
Return on assets 1.29 4.01 0.76 1.23 1.30 1.18 1.66 1.66 1.10 1.35
corporate and government depositors Pretax ROA 1.90 6.21 1.09 1.51 1.89 1.81 2.56 2.43 1.41 1.98
Loss allowance to LN&LS
Net LN&LS to deposits
1.34 4.27 1.74
91.69 239.79 69.91 76.64
1.43 1.30 0.53
93.90 120.82
1.66
135.96
1.66
33.54
1.34
67.56
1.16
80.51
Equity capital ratio 10.28 20.52 8.05 10.79 10.09 10.55 11.36 16.94 10.79 10.25
Net interest margin 3.53 9.05 2.50 4.07 3.86 3.05 4.71 3.20 3.86 3.27
Capital Ratios
Retail Banks Yield on earning assets 5.02 11.25 4.02 5.68 5.26 4.80 6.88 4.54 5.40 4.54 Core capital (leverage) ratio 8.12 16.64 6.05 10.37 8.29 9.10 8.82 15.17 10.38 7.20
Cost of funding earn assets 1.49 2.20 1.52 1.61 1.40 1.75 2.17 1.33 1.53 1.27 Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio 10.76 14.59 8.38 14.71 10.14 15.36 13.07 34.70 17.32 9.45
Earning assets to total assets 87.13 82.95 81.47 91.91 90.18 92.17 90.73 88.93 92.11 84.36 Total risk-based capital ratio 13.19 17.34 12.03 15.82 12.18 16.86 14.62 35.95 18.55 12.12
Focus on consumer, small business, mortgage, Efficiency ratio 58.03 45.29 70.16 62.07 57.10 56.46 45.53 72.42 66.92 57.71 Structural Changes
Burden 0.97 -2.15 0.75 2.08 1.40 1.07 0.78 0.34 2.01 0.84 New Charters 128 0 0 5 35 4 1 77 5 1
Noninterest inc to earn assets 2.13 11.18 2.51 0.69 1.51 1.20 2.26 6.55 1.16 1.96
and agriculture loans and obtain deposits form Noninterest exp to earn assets 3.10 9.03 3.26 2.77 2.91 2.27 3.04 6.89 3.17 2.80
Banks absorbed by mergers 322 1 2 24 210 26 13 6 20 20
Failed institutions 4 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 0
LN&LS loss provision to assets 0.30 3.96 0.25 0.16 0.22 0.08 1.05 0.11 0.17 0.07
SOURCE: FDIC Quarterly Banking Profile, http://www.fdic.gov/, http://www2.fdic.gov/qbp.
individuals and small businesses
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William Chittenden edited and updated the PowerPoint slides for this edition.
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