Acjc H2 FM P2 QP
Acjc H2 FM P2 QP
Higher 2
3 hours
Write your index number, class and name on the work you hand in.
Write in dark blue or black pen on both sides of the paper.
You may use an HB pencil for any diagrams or graphs.
Do not use staples, paper clips, glue or correction fluid.
At the end of the examination, fasten all your work securely together.
The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.
__________________________________________________________________________________
This document consists of 7 printed pages.
[Turn Over
2
1 Solve the recurrence relation xn2 6xn1 12xn , n 0 , with initial conditions x0 1 ,
x1 6, for positive integers n. [6]
3 Jenny is holding her vocal live performance on a rectangular stage of length 13 m and
breadth 5 m. The technical crew uses a microphone with a cardioid pickup pattern so that
it minimizes the pickup of noise from the audience. The crew places the microphone at a
3
distance of 4 k, k 0 , from the front of the stage as shown in the figure.
13 m
Stage
5m
The boundary of the optimal pickup region is given by the cardioid r k k sin , where
r is measured in meters and the microphone is at the pole. The optimal pickup region on
the stage is indicated by the shaded area in the figure. Find
(a) the furthest distance, in terms of k, that Jenny can be on the stage from the
microphone so that she is within the optimal pickup region, and [2]
(b) the minimum value of k if the optimal pickup region that Jenny has on stage is at
least 75% of the stage area. [6]
4 If a frame consisting of two parallel rings with the same radius is dipped into soap solution,
the soap film formed between the rings can be modelled as the surface of revolution of a
curve around the x-axis (see figure). The frame, which is the boundary of the curve, is
located at x a and x a , where a is positive.
–a a x
O
Let S1 be the curved surface area of a cylinder with height 2a and the same radius as the
such that S S1 .
a
rings. Determine, to 3 significant figures, the value of [5]
k
If V is the volume of the region bounded by the soap film and the planes of the rings, show
that V 12 Sk . [2]
6 A gambler suspected that the slot machines in a nearby casino are rigged. Based on data
supplied by the slot machines’ manufacturer, the machines are supposed to pay out 5% of
the time. The gambler frequented the casino over a period of 100 days, pulling the same
machine 10 times each visit. He recorded the number of his pay-outs per visit in the table
below:
No. of pay-outs 0 1 2 4 7
Frequency 72 25 1 1 1
Carry out a chi-squared goodness of fit test to determine whether the gambler’s suspicions
are merited (according to the data supplied by the slot machines’ manufacturers), stating
your hypotheses clearly. [4]
Discuss what your test indicates based on the p value for your test and the contributions of
individual cells to the test statistic. [2]
7 The manager of a skincare company wishes to test the effectiveness of their online
advertising. Each of the ten products, A, B, C, ..., J is given a week’s intensive advertising,
and the sales of the product during the week are compared with the sales in the preceding
week. The following results are obtained:
Product A B C D E F G H I J
Sales before 171 531 701 686 362 160 479 591 300 872
Sales after 203 534 783 674 388 168 451 633 370 995
Give a reason why a non-parametric test may be more appropriate than a parametric test in
this case. Explain why a paired-sample test is being used in this context. [2]
Test whether the advertising has improved sales at the 5% level of significance using an
appropriate test. State clearly the assumptions you made in carrying out this test. [5]
8 In a netball game, Jane and Claire take turns to shoot the netball into the net. A game ends
when the ball enters the net. In every game, Claire starts first and has a probability of 0.4
of scoring on each throw while Jane has a probability of 0.35 of scoring on each throw.
The number of total throws made by both Claire and Jane, up to and including the
successful throw, is denoted by X.
(i) Find the probability that Claire wins a game on her r th throw. Hence show that the
40
probability that Claire wins a game is . [3]
61
(ii) Given that Claire has won the first two games, find the probability that she wins the
second game on her 6th throw (The 6 throws that Claire makes include the throws
she made in winning the first game). [2]
b
(iii) Show that P( X a b X a) (0.39) 2 where a and b are even integers.
Given that both Claire and Jane have not made two successful throws on their second
throw, find the least even integer n such that the probability that more than n throws
are required to achieve the first successful throw is less than 0.1. (The n throws
include the first successful throw.) [4]
10 Marine biologists have been studying the population of mussels at a particular region in
the United States. The size (in mm) of 15 mussels caught at site A were as follows:
53 44 56 46 50 48 49 43 52 47 46 54 49 46 45
Over-hunting in the last three decades was known to have led to a decrease in the mean
size of mussels caught. Conservation measures were introduced to prevent further
reduction in the mean size of mussels. Following the conservation measures, the size (in
mm) of 15 mussels caught at site B were as follows:
51 53 50 45 49 48 52 50 56 52 46 52 54 50 49
Conduct a t-test to examine whether the conservation measures are effective at the 5%
level of significance, stating clearly any necessary assumptions. Suggest two ways with
reasons to improve the accuracy of this statistical testing. [7]
The statutory minimum mean mussel size of 51 mm is now introduced to provide a
benchmark to the conservation measures. At one particular site where the mussel sizes are
normally distributed and the mean size had fallen to 40 mm, mussel fishing was banned
for a period of 3 years. Following this period, a random sample of 18 mussels was obtained
at this site and used to produce a 95% confidence interval for the population mean size of
mussels. The resulting confidence interval was (45.7, 49.3).
(i) Find unbiased estimates for the population mean size and variance of the
mussels. [3]
(ii) Explain what a 95% confidence interval for the population mean size of mussels
means. Discuss how the limits of this confidence interval may be used to support the
view that the conservation measures are working. Comment on whether the fishing
ban should be lifted for this site. [3]
(iii) Following a further 3-year period, a random sample of 12 mussels was obtained at
this site and the size of each mussel recorded such that the mean was 52.4 mm and
the variance was k. The Environment agency carries out a test at the 10% level of
significance to test whether the conservation measures are working. Explain how the
values of k will affect the conclusion made by the agency. [3]