Sim Acce 412
Sim Acce 412
Tagum College
Name of Teacher:
Joe Mari N. Flores, CPA, MSA and Argem Jay Porio, CPA
Table of Contents
Page
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
3
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Penalties for Late Assignments/ The score for an assessment item submitted after
Assessments the designated time on the due date, without an
approved extension of time, will be reduced by 5%
of the possible maximum score for that
assessment item for each day or part day that the
assessment item is late.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Students with Special Needs Students with special needs shall communicate
with the course coordinator about the nature of his
or her special needs. Depending on the nature of
the need, the course coordinator with the approval
of the program coordinator may provide alternative
assessment tasks or extension of deadline of
submission of assessment tasks. However, the
alternative assessment tasks should still be in the
service of achieving the desired course learning
outcomes.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Email: mersunfaithdelco@gmail.com
Number: 0927 6086 037
Let us begin!
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Big Picture A
Week 1–3: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Understand, quantify risk and analyse risk-return relationship.
b. Apply commonly used techniques in assessing investment under
uncertainty.
c. Apply Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) concepts in evaluating
investments.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
❖ Risk refers to the chance that some unfavorable event will occur.
❖ Expected portfolio return is the weighted average of the expected returns
from the individual assets in the portfolio.
❖ Standard deviation can be used as a measure of the amount of absolute
risk associated with the outcome.
❖ Coefficient of variation is a standardized measure of the risk per unit of
return.
❖ Portfolio is an investment consists of different assets.
❖ Portfolio risk is the variability of returns of the portfolio as a whole.
❖ Diversification is investing in more than one type of asset to reduce risk.
❖ Correlation coefficient is a relative statistical measure of correlation in the
degree and direction of change between two variables.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 1st to 3rd weeks
of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge laid
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively
refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research
articles and other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. Basic Risk and Return Concept
Risk refers to the chance that some unfavorable event will occur. There is risk
whenever future outcomes are not completely certain. In finance, risk is associated
with the variability of an asset’s return. Hence, if there is possibility that the actual
return of an asset could differ fr1om the expected return, then, the investment
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
involves risk. The greater the variability, the higher the risk. While actual return may
be above or below than the expected return, it should be noted that risk is usually
associated to the probability of loss or earning less than expected.
Investment risk is related to the probability that the actual return is less than the
expected return and the greater the chance of low or negative returns, the riskier
the investment.
Generally, investors are risk averse, which means as much as possible investor
will try to avoid risk. However, it is possible to persuade the investors will be
persuaded to take the risk when they will be compensated for it.
Risk and return have direct relationship to each other. If the investment involves
lower risk, you can expect that it will also give you lower returns. On the other hand,
if the investment involves higher risk, you can expect that such investment will give
you higher returns; otherwise, you will not plunge in that particular investment.
Returns are higher for high risk investments as compared to low risk investments
and the difference is considered a risk premium to compensate the investors for
taking the risk.
The rates of return probability distribution for the two companies are as follows:
XO PRODUCTS, INC.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Based on the payoff matrix presented above, both companies have the same
expected return of 15%. Suppose the investor wishes to invest his money to only
one company, which of the two companies would he invest in? Perhaps, we might
suggest that Mr. Martinez can just invest to any of the two companies since both will
give the same expected return.
If we will only consider the expected value criteria, the suggestion to invest to any of
the companies may seem to be appropriate. However, if we will take a closer look
of the variability of the possible outcomes, we might offer a different proposition.
The range of probable returns for XO Products is from +100% to -70%. This means
that if the economy is in a boom state, it can give the investor earnings of as much
as 100%; however, if the economy is in recession state, investor can incur a loss in
as much as 70% of the investment. On the other hand, the probable returns for
Tagum Electric Company is from +20% to +10%. This means that if the economy is
in a boom state, it can give the investor earnings of 20%, which is far lower than
what XO Products can offer. However, the good thing about Tagum Electric
Company is that even if the economy is in recession, the investor can still earn 10%
of his investment as compared to XO Products where investor will already incur a
loss.
Using the expected return criteria, we suggested that investor can just invest to any
of the companies since they have the same expected rate of return of 15%.
However, after evaluating the variability of the returns, we have concluded that XO
Products is riskier than Tagum Electric Company. With this, a risk averse investor
would normally decide that it would be better to invest to Tagum Electric Company
because it will give the same expected return at a lower risk.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
In the previous section, the expected return computed is applicable for a stand-
alone investment. However, stock investments are usually held in a portfolio. For
example, an investor who has P100,000 investable funds decides to diversify his
investment and purchased three stocks allocated as follows:
Percentage
Amount Allocation
Jollibee Foods Corporation (JFC) P50,000 50%
Ayala Land Inc. (ALI) 25,000 25%
DITO Telecommunity Corporation (DITO) 25,000 25%
Total P100,000 100%
Assuming that the rate of return for each stock in the portfolio is as follows: JFC:
10%; ALI: 15% and DITO: 5%, the expected return of this portfolio can be
computed as follows:
The expected portfolio return is the weighted average of the expected returns
from the individual assets in the portfolio.
Robinsons Land Corporation is evaluating two opportunities, each having the same
initial investment. The project’s risk and return characteristics are shown below:
Project E Project F
Expected return 0.10 0.20
Proportion invested in each project 0.50 0.50
The expected portfolio returns can also be computed using the following formula:
n
řp=∑wi ři
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
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Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
i=1
Where:
Substituting the formula, the expected portfolio return can be alternatively computed
as follows:
Standard Deviation
In the previous sections, it was noted that the riskiness of an investment can be
gauged with the variability of its returns. While we can observe the variability of
returns by considering how scattered or narrow the range is, it would be a big help if
we can quantify the risk. In this section, we will discuss how we can quantify risk
using standard deviation.
There are two types of probability distribution: symmetrical distribution and skewed
distribution.
Symmetrical distribution – one in which each half of the distribution is a mirror
image of the other half.
Skewed distribution – one in which half of the distribution is not a mirror image of
the other half.
It is to be noted that standard deviation is an appropriate risk measure of variability
only if the probability distribution is reasonably symmetrical. Also, when you are to
compare different investments using standard deviation, the size of the initial
investments and the expected value of their probability distributions should be
equal to make the risk comparison; otherwise, the use of standard deviation may be
misleading.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Using in data from the previous section, the standard deviation can be computed
using the steps enumerated:
The computation for expected portfolio returns was already presented in the previous
section. In this section, computation of the standard deviation shall be discussed with
an illustration presented below:
Suppose the following projections are available for three alternative stock
investments.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Required:
1. What would be the expected return on a portfolio with equal amounts invested in
each of the three stocks (Portfolio 1)?
2. What would be the expected return if half of the portfolio were in A and the
remainder to be equally divided between B and C (Portfolio 2)?
3. Compute the standard deviation of Portfolio 1 and Portfolio 2?
4. Based on the portfolio standard deviation computation, which portfolio would
you recommend pursuing? Justify your decision.
Solution:
1.2 Then, expected return on Portfolio 1 can be computed using the formula
given in the previous section, to wit:
n
řp=∑wi ři
i=1
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
= 13.75%
Coefficient of Variation
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The coefficient of variation provides a more meaningful basis for comparison when
expected returns on two or more alternatives are not the same. Based on the above
computations, XO Products is almost 17% riskier than Tagum Electric Company.
Portfolio risk is the variability of returns of the portfolio as a whole. The riskiness of
the portfolio may be less than the riskiness of any individual assets contained in the
portfolio because of diversification.
Diversification is investing in more than one type of asset to reduce risk. It could
also be investment in several different assets of the same type, but this would be
less effective. Diversification reduces risk by combining assets such as, securities
with different risk-return characteristics.
Generally:
• If ρ = + 1.0, the two variables move in the same direction exactly to the same
degree and are perfectly positively correlated.
• If ρ = - 1.0, the two variables move in opposite directions exactly to the same
degree and are perfectly negatively correlated.
• If ρ = 0, the two variables are uncorrelated or independent to each other.
Risk reduction can be achieved through diversification if the returns of the assets
combined in a portfolio are not perfectly positively correlated. Hence, greater benefits
are achieved with less positive or more negative correlation among asset returns.
The following formula could be used to solve for the standard deviation of portfolio
returns for a two-asset portfolio:
where:
w₁ = proportion invested in asset 1
w₂ = proportion invested in asset 2
σ₁ = standard deviation of asset 1
σ₂ = standard deviation of asset 2
ρ₁, ₂ = correlation coefficient between asset 1 and asset 2
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Asset 1 Asset 2
Standard deviation (σ) 8% 8%
As observed, risk reduction occurs through diversification when the assets combined
are not perfectly positively correlated. With a low correlation of +0.2, the portfolio risk
is reduced from 0.08 to 0.062.
Risk Preferences
Investors want to be compensated for the risk associated with an investment. The
greater the risk, the more the demanded return. The actual amount of compensation
demanded is referred as the required rate of return. Such required rate of return is
influenced by the individual decision maker’s attitude towards risk.
• Risk averse investors – those that require higher rates of return on higher-risk
securities. The are not willing to pay an amount as much as the expected
value of an uncertain investment.
• Risk-neutral – those that are willing to pay the expected value.
• Risk-takers – those that are willing to pay more than the expected value.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Illustration for Risk Averse, Risk-Neutral and Risk Taker Decision Makers
• A risk averse investor would select project A because it involves the same
expected return as Project B but has a less risk.
In the previous sections, risk and return analysis focus only on both a single asset
and a portfolio or collection of two or more assets. It is noteworthy to mention that
there is what we call portfolio theory. Portfolio theory involves selection of efficient
portfolios. An efficient portfolio provides the highest return for a given level of risk or
the least risk for a given level of return. While portfolio theory originated in the
context of financial assets such as investment in equity shares, the general concepts
also apply to physical assets such as the capital budgeting projects.
21
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Let’s Check
You are considering purchasing two stocks. A brokerage firm has provided
estimated returns for the next year on these two stocks:
Rate of Return
State of Economy Probability Stock A Stock B
Required:
Stock A Stock B
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
4. Which stock would you recommend if the investor wishes to take the less
risky stock? Briefly discuss the basis of your recommendation.
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Rate of Return
State of Economy Probability Stock A Stock B Stock C
Required:
1. Assume that your portfolio is invested 30% each in A and C, and 40% in B.
What is the expected return of the portfolio?
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Read and answer the problem.
Mary Enterprises is evaluating two projects whose returns are normally distributed.
These projects have the following characteristics:
Project X Project Y
Net investment P50,000 P250,000
Expected return 100,000 500,000
Standard deviation 20,000 100,000
Coefficient of variation 0.20 0.20
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
You plan to form a portfolio of two stocks, Gigabyte Computers and Mega Value
Food Stores, and are considering two different options involving the weight of each
stock in your portfolio. You estimate the correlation coefficient of the returns
between Gigabyte and Mega Value to be ρ₁, ₂ = + 0.5. Other characteristics of the
two stocks are as shown on the succeeding page:
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
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Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Plan A Plan B
Plan A Plan B
3. How will the results of the computation affect your investment decision?
Discuss your portfolio of choice.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
In a Nutshell
To summarize the key concepts in this section, answer the following questions:
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
2. The following are the statistical tools that can be used to quantify risk.
Discuss when they are applicable and how to apply them in making
investment decisions.
Standard deviation
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
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Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Coefficient of variation
Correlation coefficient
Keywords Index
✓ Risk
✓ Expected portfolio return
✓ Standard deviation
✓ Coefficient of variation
✓ Portfolio
✓ Portfolio risk
✓ Diversification
✓ Correlation coefficient
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOb, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
❖ Risk Management is the process of measuring or assessing risk and
developing strategies to manage it.
❖ Decision Making under Certainty means that for every decision to make
there is only one event and therefore only a single outcome for each action.
❖ Decision Making under Uncertainty involves several events for each
action with its probability of occurrence.
❖ Probability provides a method for mathematically expressing doubt or
assurance about the occurrence of a chance event.
❖ Payoff (decision) tables are helpful tools for identifying the best solution
given several decision choices and future conditions that involve risk.
❖ Perfect information is the knowledge that a future state of nature will occur
with certainty, being sure of what will occur in the future.
❖ Sensitivity analysis describes how sensitive the linear programming
optimal solution is to a change in any one number.
❖ Simulation is a technique for experimenting with logical and mathematical
models using a computer.
❖ Decision tree is an analytical tool used in a problem in which a series of
decision has to be made at various time intervals, with each decision
influenced by the information that is available at the time it is made.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 1st to 3rdweeks
of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge laid
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively
refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research
articles and other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
29
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
ISO identifies the basic principles of risk management and that risk management
should:
1. Create value
2. Address uncertainty and assumptions
3. Be an integral part of the organizational processes and decision-making
4. Be dynamic, iterative, transparent, tailorable, and responsive to change
5. Create capability for continuous improvement
6. Be systematic, structured, and continually or periodically reassessed.
4. Potential Risk Treatments. As suggested in ISO 3100, once risks have been
identified and assessed, techniques to manage them should be applied. The
following are the four categories of risk:
1. Risk Avoidance. This includes performing an activity that could carry risk.
However, avoiding risks would also mean losing the opportunity to earn that
accepting (retaining) the risk may have allowed.
3. Risk Sharing. This means sharing with another party the burden ofloss or the
benefit of gain and the measures to reduce a risk.
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
4. Risk Retention. This involves accepting the loss or benefit of gain from a risk
when it occurs.
1. Business risk. This refers to the uncertainty about the rate of return caused
by the nature of the business.
2. Financial risk. This is determined by the firm’s capital structure or sources
of financing.
3. Liquidity risk. This is associated with the uncertainty created by the inability
to sell the investment quickly for cash.
4. Default risk. This is related to the probability that some or all of the initial
investment will not be returned.
5. Interest rate risk. This is the risk that fluctuations in interest rates will cause
fluctuations to the value of the investment.
6. Management risk.This is the risk associated with the decisions made the
management and board of directors of the firms.
7. Purchasing power risk. This is the risk that the value of the return from
investment has declined as a result of inflation.
1. Probability
2. Value of Information
3. Sensitivity Analysis
4. Simulation
5. Decision Tree
6. Standard deviation and Coefficient of Variation
7. Project Beta
Probability
Decision Making under Certaintymeans that for every decision to make there
is only one event and therefore only a single outcome for each action. There is
100% chance of occurrence; hence, the probability is 1.0.
Pay-off is the value assigned to different outcomes from a decision which may
be positive or negative. Information is deemed to meet the cost-benefit test if the
expected value of a decision increases as a result of obtaining additional
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
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Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
information. The process in deciding whether the cost-benefit criterion has been
met is called information economics.
1. Mutually exclusive. This is the case when two events cannot occur
simultaneously.
2. Joint probability. This is the probability that the two events will both occur.
3. Conditional probability. This is the probability that one will occur given that
the other has already occurred.
4. Independent.This meansthat the occurrence of one has no effect on the
probability of the other.
M & O Corporation is considering two new designs for their kitchen utensil
products – Product A and Product B. Either can be produced using the present
facilities. Each product requires an increase in annual fixed cost of P4,000,000.
The products have the same selling price of P1,000 and the same variable costs
per unit of P800.
After studying past experience with similar products, management has prepared
the following probability distribution:
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Solution:
❖ Using the given probability distribution, determine the expected
demand for the two products:
Payoff (decision) tables are helpful tools for identifying the best solution given
several decision choices and future conditions that involve risk. It presents the
outcomes (payoffs) of specific decisions when certain states of nature (events not
within the control of the decision maker) occur.
Illustration. A dealer in luxury yachts may order 0, 1 or 2 yachts for this season’s
inventory. The cost of carrying each excess yacht is P50,000 and the gain for each
yacht sold is P200,000. The situation may be described by a payoff table as follows:
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
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Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
The payoff table can be interpreted as follows: If the dealer decides not to order
yacht, it means that regardless of the actual demand, he will not incur any gain or
loss. However, he misses an opportunity to earn in case there will be actual
demand.If the dealer decides to order 1 yacht and there is no actual demand, he
will be incurring a carrying cost of P50,000 and will report a loss of the same
amount. However, if there will be 1 actual demand, he will earn P200,000. Also, if
there will be 2 actual demands of yacht, the dealer would still be earning P200,000.
Lastly, if the dealer decides to order 2 yachts and there will be no actual demand,
the dealer will be incurring carrying cost of P50,000 for each yacht. Hence, he will
be reporting a loss of P100,000. If there is an actual demand for 1 yacht, the dealer
will earn P200,000; however it will also incur P50,000 for the carrying cost of unsold
yacht. Hence, he will have net earnings of P150,000. Lastly, if the actual demand
for yacht is 2 then the dealer will maximize his earnings to P400,000.
Assuming the probabilities of the season’s demand are as follows:
Demand Probability
0 0.10
1 0.50
2 0.40
If the decision will be based on expected value, the dealer should order 2 yachts
since it has the greatest expected value.
34
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Perfect information is the knowledge that a future state of nature will occur with
certainty, being sure of what will occur in the future. Before deciding to obtain the
perfect information, the management should consider how much is the expected
value of perfect information (EVPI) which can be computed as follows:
EVPI = EV without PI – Expected Value of Return for best action to take with PI
The expected value of perfect information represents that amount the company is
willing to pay to the market analysts’ error-free advice. The company should
evaluate whether it is worthy to obtain perfect information and they will just pursue
marketing research if the amount they will spend in it is less than the benefits that
they will get if they will have perfect information. However, it should be noted that
“perfect information” is not perfect in the sense of absolute predictions.
Illustration.Using the information of the yacht dealer, assume that he was able to
poll all potential customers and they truthfully stated that whether they would
purchase a yacht this year, what is the greatest money that the dealer should pay
for this information? What is EVPI?
1. Based on the payoff table, compute the expected value of the best choice
under each state of nature.
Best Action Expected Value
Pr State of Nature Best Action Pay-off (Pr x Pay-off)
0.1 Demand =0 Buy =0 P 0 P 0
0.5 Demand =1 Buy =1 200,000 100,000
0.4 Demand =2 Buy =2 400,000 160,000
EV of the best choice = P260,000
Hence, with perfect information about future demand, the dealer expects to
make P260,000. While the choice with best expected value under uncertainty is
P225,000 as previously computed.
This means that the dealer will NOT pay more than P35,000 to obtain
information about future demand because it will be more profitable to make the
expected value choice than to pay more to obtain the perfect information.
35
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Sensitivity Analysis
Sensitivity analysis describes how sensitive the linear programming optimal solution
is to a change in any one number. It answers what-if questions about the effect of
change in prices or variable costs; changes in value; addition or deletion of
constraints, such as available machine hours; and changes in industrial coefficients,
such as the labor-hours required in manufacturing in a specific unit.
A trial and error method may be adopted in which sensitivity of the solution to
changes in any given variable, parameter or other assumption is calculated. In
linear programming problems, sensitivity is the range within which a constraint
value, such as a cost efficient or any other variable, may be changed without
changing the optimal solution.
Simulation
SIMULATION
Advantages Limitations
1. Time can be compressed. 1.Simulation model can be costly to
2. Alternative policies can be explored. develop.
3. Complex system can be analyzed. 2. Risk of error.
Decision Tree
36
Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
Let’s Check
Activity 1:Multiple Choice. Write the letter of your choice in the space provided
before the number.
_______ 1. The risk that securities cannot sold at a reasonable price on short
notice is called
a. Default risk c. Purchasing-power risk
b. Interest rate risk d. Liquidity risk
_______ 2. The type of risk that is not diversifiable and affects the value of a
portfolio
a. Purchasing-power risk c. Non-market risk
b. Market risk d. Interest rate risk
_______ 3. Which of the following are components of interest rate risk?
c. Purchasing-power risk and default risk
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Department of Accounting Education
Mabini Street, Tagum City
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Telefax: (084) 655-9591, Local 116
_______ 8. The amount that an investor is willing to pay to reduce if not eliminate
uncertainty.
a. Payoff c. Expected value of perfect information
b. Fixed cost d. Expected value of net investment
_______ 9. This describes the chance or likelihood of each of the collectively
exhaustive and mutually exclusive set of events.
a. Expected value c. Payoff
b. Probability d. Probability distribution
_______ 10. Two events that cannot occur simultaneously
a. Joint Probability c. Conditional probability
b. Mutually exclusive d. Independent
Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Read and answer the problems.
Product X Product Y
Product Probability of Profit Product Probability of Profit
Demand Demand (Peso) Demand Demand (Peso)
(units) % %
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Required:
Product X Product Y
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Problem 2. A beverage stand can sell either soft drinks or coffee on any given day.
If the stand sells soft drinks and the weather is hot, it will make P2,500; if the
weather is cold, the profit will be P1,000. If the stand sells coffee and the weather
is hot, it will make P1,900; if the weather is cold, the profit will be P2,000. The
probability of cold weather on a given day at this time is 60%.
Required:
2.2 Compute for the expected payoff if the vendor has perfect information.
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2.4 What advise can you give to the beverage stand owner, if somebody offered him
to do research and obtain the perfect information at a cost of P1,000?
In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, write the three remarkable lessons you learned
in this section.
1. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
2. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
3. _____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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Q&A List
In this section you are going to list what boggles you in this unit. You may indicate
your questions but noting you have to indicate the answers after your question is
being raised and clarified. You can write your questions below.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keyword Index
✓ Risk Management
✓ Decision Making under Certainty
✓ Decision Making under Uncertainty
✓ Probability
✓ Payoff (decision) tables
✓ Perfect information
✓ Sensitivity analysis
✓ Simulation
✓ Decision tree
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Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOc, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
❖ Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a model based on the proposition that
any stocks required rate of return is equal to the risk-free rate of return plus a
risk premium that reflects only the risk remaining after diversification.
❖ Diversifiable risk also called unsystematic risk or company risk, is a type of
risk can be diversified away.
❖ Undiversifiable risk also called systematic or market risk, is a type of risk
cannot be eliminated by diversification.
❖ Beta coefficient (or beta) is the measure of risk when assets are held in a
portfolio.
❖ Risk-free rate is the rate of return that an investor would require in a riskless
investment. This is composed of the real rate and inflation premium.
❖ Market rate of return is the expected rate of return of the market as a whole.
❖ Market risk premium (or price per unit of risk) is the difference between the
market rate of return and the risk-free rate; computed as: (rm–rf).
❖ Risk premium is the return required as compensation to investors for taking
risk; computed as: [(rm – rf)(bi)]
❖ Security Market Line (SML) a graphical presentation of CAPM.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 5 th and 6th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university’s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
1. The previous sections focused only on the riskiness of stand-alone assets which
is generally appropriate for small businesses, many real estate investments, and
capital budgeting projects. However, the same may not be applicable for banks,
insurance companies, pension funds and other financial institutions as they are
required by law to hold diversified portfolio. It is believed that the risk of a stock
held in portfolio is typically lower than the stock’s risk when it is held alone. Since
most investors dislike risk, they are inclined to hold portfolio to reduce risk. The
next discussion is an attempt to explain how risk should be considered when
stocks are held in a portfolio using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
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Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a model based on the proposition that
any stocks required rate of return is equal to the risk-free rate of return plus a risk
premium that reflects only the risk remaining after diversification. It provides a
general framework for analyzing risk-return relationships for all types of assets.
CAPM uses only one part of the total risk called the systematic risk, in evaluating
the risk-return relationship.
The total risk (previously measured by standard deviation) can be separated into
two major components:
• Undiversifiable risk – also called systematic or market risk. This is the part
of a security’s risk caused by factors affecting the market as a whole. This
type of risk cannot be eliminated by diversification because it affects all firms
simultaneously. Some companies are sensitive than others to factors that
1affect systematic risk. Hence, systematic risk is the only relevant risk and
is affected by such factors as wars, inflation, interest rates, business cycles,
fiscal and monetary policies and therefore cannot be eliminated by
diversification.
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The price per unit of risk is the difference between return on the market and
the risk-free rate, that is:
Illustration 1. Suppose a particular stock has a risk-free rate of 5%, a rate of return
on the market of 12% and a beta coefficient (quantity of risk) of 1.5. What would be
the investor’s required rate of return?
Solution: ri = rf+ (rm – rf) (bi)
ri = 5% + (12% - 5%) (1.5)
ri = 5% + 10.5%
ri = 15.5%
The investor would require a risk premium of 10.5%. Thus, the required rate of
return is 15.5%.
Illustration 2.Using the same illustration, except that the beta coefficient is2.0,
what would be the required rate of return?
Solution: ri = rf+ (rm – rf) (bi)
ri = 5% + (12% - 5%) (2)
ri = 5% + 14%
ri = 19%
The investor would demand for a greater rate of return because of the increase in
risk. The additional compensation (risk premium) required is 14%. Thus, the
required rate of return is 19%. As can be observed, the higher the risk, the greater
would be the required rate of return.
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Figure 9 presents the relative volatility of three stocks. The data below the graph
assume that in 2009 the market, defined as the portfolio consisting of all stocks,
had a total return (dividend yield plus capital gains yield) of k m= 10%, and stocks A,
B and C (for High, Average and Low risk) also had returns of 10%. In 2013, the
market went up sharply, and the return on the market portfolio was km= 20%.
Returns on the three stocks also went up: A soared to 30%; B went to 20%, the
same as the market; and C only went up to 15%. Now suppose that the market
dropped in 2014, and the market return was km= -10%. The three stocks’ return also
fell, A plunging to -30%; B falling to -10% while C reported 0%. Thus, the three
stocks all moved in the same direction as the market, but A was by far the most
volatile; B was a volatile as the market; and C was less volatile.
If a higher-beta-than-average stock is added to an average-beta portfolio, then the
beta and consequently, the riskiness of the portfolio will increase. Conversely, if a
lower-beta-than-average stock is added to an average-risk portfolio, the portfolio’s
beta and risk will decline.
To summarize, the market risk of a stock is measured by its beta coefficient, which
is an index of the stock’s volatility. Some benchmark betas follow:
b = 0.5 : Stock is only half as volatile, or risky, as the average stock.
b = 1.0 : Stock is of average risk.
b = 2.0 : Stock is twice as risky as the average stock.
Since the portfolio beta is lower than 1, we can safely say that this portfolio is less
risky than the market. Hence, it should experience relatively narrow price swings
and have relatively small rate of return fluctuations.
Suppose one of the existing stocks is sold and replaced by a stock with b 1 = 2, what
will happen to the portfolio beta? In this case, since, one of the stocks has
increased its beta, we can expect that the portfolio beta will also increase as
computed as follows:
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Hence, from a portfolio beta of 0.80, it increased to 1.2 as a stock with higher beta
was added in the portfolio.
With a portfolio beta of .62, a market return of 11% and a risk-free rate of 5%, an
investor can expect a return of:
The CAPM is expressed graphically by the security market line (SML). The security
market line represents the linear relationship between a security’s required rate of
return and its risks as measured by beta.
Figure 10 shows the SML and the risk-return tradeoff of Stock 1 and Stock 2. As can
be gleaned, the risk-free rate is 8% whereas the market rate of return is 14%;
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therefore, the market risk premium is 6% (14%-8%). Stock 1 with a beta coefficient
of 2 would require a high risk premium of 12%; hence, its required rate of return is
20%. On the other hand, Stock 2 with a beta coefficient of 0.5 would require a low
risk premium of 3%, hence, its required rate of return is 11%.
The required rate of return computed under CAPM can also be used as a market-
based hurdle rate for the purpose of evaluating investments. A hurdle rate is the
minimum rate of return required for a project to be accepted. Hence, if an assets’
expected rate of return equals or exceeds the required return (falls on or above the
SML), as computed by CAPM, the asset is accepted; otherwise, it is rejected.
Based on the previous illustration, Stock 1 and Stock 2 have required rates of return
of 20% and 11%, respectively. Assume that the expected return for Stock 1 is 18%
and for Stock 2 is 15%. Should the investments be acquired based on the SML?
Figure 11 shows that Stock 2’s expected return of 15% is above the SML and
therefore should be acquired because it is higher than the required rate of return
(hurdle rate) of 11%. On the other hand, Stock 1 is rejected because it is expected
return is only 18% which is lower than the required rate of return of 20%. Also, based
on the graph, the expected return of Stock 1 of 18% is under the SML; hence, should
be rejected.
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The CAPM is based on restrictive assumptions about investor behavior and the
securities market.
❖ Assumptions about investor behavior include:
• Investors are risk-averse and expect to be rewarded for taking risks;
• Investors act rationally and prefer a security with the highest return for a given
level of risk, or the lowest risk for a given level of return;
• Investors make their decisions based on a single time horizon; and
• Investors share the same expectations about the risk and return
characteristics of securities.
CAPM’s limitation lies on the fact that some of its assumptions do not all reflect
reality. There is also greater possibility that we may not be able to determine the
average return on market portfolio since they could be many possible bases and we
may not be able to determine which is most representative of the market. Another
concern is related to beta estimation because the applicability and relevance of a
company’s beta will depend on the futureplans of the firm.
With these limitations, finance researchers have introduced other asset pricing
models which considers other risk factors to the predictive relationship of risk and
return other than the market risk. These factors such as firm size and book-to-market
ratio are used along with beta as measure of market risk.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2019). Financial markets and institutions (7th ed.).
New York: McGraw Hill Education.
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Let’s Check
Problem 1.Assume that the risk-free rate is 8%. The expected return on the market
is 16%. If a particular stock has a beta of .7, what is the expected return based on
the CAPM?
Problem 2.The ordinaryequity share of Cebu Air, Inc. (CEB) has an estimated beta
of 1.2. The risk-free rate is 7% and the expected return on the market is 12%.
2.3. Assume that the risk-free rate of 7% includes an inflation premium of 4%. What
would happen to the required rate of return if the inflationary expectations of
investors will increase to 6%?
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Let’s Analyze
Joel Securities plans to purchase equal amount of four of the following equity
shares for one of its clients. The client already holds a highly diversified portfolio.
The risk-free rate of return is estimated at 8% and the expected market return at
14%. The beta coefficients of the equity shares are as follows:
Equity Share 1 2 3 4 56
Betai 1.5 1.0 0.8 2.0 0.3 1.2
Questions:
Stock 1: ______________________________________________________
Stock 2: ______________________________________________________
Stock 3: ______________________________________________________
Stock 4: ______________________________________________________
Stock 5: ______________________________________________________
Stock 6: ______________________________________________________
2. If the client wants to have the lowest risk portfolio, what four (4) equity shares
should be selected?
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
3. What is the required rate of return of the four-equity shares portfolio selected?
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_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Stock A: ______________________________________________________
Stock B: ______________________________________________________
Stock C: ______________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
In a Nutshell
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
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_____________________________________________________________
3. What will happen to the required rate of return when beta coefficient increases?
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
5. How do you make investment decisions using Security Market Line (SML)?
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
Keywords Index
✓ Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
✓ Diversifiable risk
✓ Undiversifiable risk
✓ Beta coefficient (or beta)
✓ Risk-free rate
✓ Market rate of return
✓ Market risk premium (or price per unit of risk)
✓ Risk premium
✓ Security Market Line (SML)
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Big Picture B
Week 3-4: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Evaluate factors that can influence optimal capital structure.
b. Calculate the cost of capital.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
❖ Capital is the aggregation of items appearing on the left-hand side of the
balance sheet minus current liabilities except short-term bank loans.
❖ Capital structure refers to the mix of debt, preferred stock and ordinary
(common) equity that the firm uses to finance the firm's assets.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 4 th to 5th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university’s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
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necessary to analyze factors that affect the firm's decision to change the funding
mix.
The financial manager's objective in making capital structure decisions is to find the
financing mix that maximizes the value of the firm. This structure is called the
optimal capital structure.
Market Actions
Changes in the market value of the debt and/or equity capital could result in large
changes in its measured capital structure. For example, a firm could incur high
profits or losses that could lead to significant changes in book value equity as
shown on its balance sheet and to a significant change in its stock price. Also,
interest rates could change due to change in general level of rates or the firm's
default risk that could result to changes in the debt's market values.
Still, at any given moment, most firms have a specific target range of capital
structure in mind. If the actual debt ratio has surpassed the target, a firm can sell a
large stock issue and use the proceeds to retire debt. Or if the debt ratio falls below
the target, a firm can issue bonds and use the proceeds to repurchase stock. A
firm can gradually move toward its target through its annual financing to support its
capital budget.
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or
Figure 1. Relationship of the Cost of Debt and Cost of Equity and Average
Cost of Capital to the Firm’s Total Value
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The chart shows that as lower cost of debt (Kd) is substituted for higher cost of
equity (Ks), the weighted average cost of capital (Ka) declines to a minimum, D/V
and then increases as the amount of debt increases. These relationships produce
a U-shaped weighted average cost of capital curve.
Figure 2. Relationship between the Market Value of the Firm and the amount
of Debt
Figure 2 shows the relationship between the market value of the firm (P) and the
amount of debt.
The above chart shows that the market value of the firm first rises, reaches its peak
at point D/V where Ka, is minimized and finally declines as leverage or debt
increases.
The traditional approach attributes the cost of debt and equity to changing investor
attitudes toward risk. Both Kd and Ks, are almost constant under "moderate
amounts of debt". However, when debt becomes excessive both K d and Ks,
increase in response to the risk.
Illustrative Case. Determination of the Optimal Capital Structure Using the
Traditional Approach
Brandon’s Health Center (BHC) has no debt but is considering two plans to add
leverage.
Plan A – Issue P200,000 bonds
Plan B – Issue P300,000 bonds
The proceeds from both proposals shall be used to return the same amount of
common stock. Management wants to evaluate the impact of increasing BHC’s
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financial leverage. Data about the corporation’s current and proposed capital
structure follow:
Using the Traditional Approach, determine the Market value of the equity, Market
Value of the Firm, and the Weighted Average Cost of Capital. Which plan is
preferable? Why? What is the firm’s optimal capital structure?
Solution:
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It can be observed that the market value of the firm increased from P1,000,000 to
P1,019.048 under Plan A but decreased to P908,333 under Plan B. The weighted
average cost of capital decreased from 10% to 9.8% under Plan A and increased to
11% under Plan B.
Plan A is preferred over both the current capital structure and Plan B.
Plan A has the highest market value of the firm and the lowest cost of capital of the
three capital structures.
Based on the data provided, the firm's optimal capital structure is not determinable.
However, BHC's optimal capital structure must be less than the debt/value ratio of
about 33% (P300,000/P908,333) of Plan B.
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Figure 4 on the other hand indicates that the value of the firm is independent of its
financial leverage.
Figure 3
Figure 4
MM's original theory was criticized harshly but despite the fact that some of the
assumptions are unrealistic, MMs' irrelevance result is extremely important. By
indicating the conditions under which capital structure is irrelevant, MM provided
clues about what is required to make capital structure and therefore to affect the
firm's value.
Subsequent research focused on relaxing the MM assumptions to develop a more
robust and realistic theory.
The MM model with corporate income taxes shows that the use of financial
leverage lowers a firm's cost of capital and raises the firm's value because interest
on debt is tax deductible. Thus, in a world of corporate income taxes, there is a
substantial advantage when debt is used.
The value of an unlevered firm with taxes is determined as follows:
Value of an Unlevered Firm = EBIT (1-T)___________
With Corporate Taxes Cost of equity of an unlevered firm
While the market value of a levered firm with corporate taxes is determined as
follows:
Value of a Levered Firm with = Value of the + Present Value of the
Corporate Taxes Unlevered Firm Interest Tax Shield
Figure 5 and Figure 6 present the Modigliani and Miller Approach to Capital
Structure With Corporate Taxes.
Figure 5 shows that if the cost of debt, Kd (1 - T) is unaffected by financial leverage
then the weighted average cost of capital, K, declines as the firm borrows more.
Figure 6 indicates that value is maximized with virtually 100% debt financing. This
result is consistent with MM assumptions, but it is not observed in practice.
Figure 5
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Figure 6
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Trade-off Theory of Leverage states that firm's trade off the tax benefits of debt
financing against problems caused by potential bankruptcy. With this theory, the
optimal debt level exists at which point the marginal benefits of financial leverage
equal the marginal costs. Thus the value of the levered firm considering tax effects,
financial distress and related costs could be determined as follows:
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Figures 8 and Figure 9 show the Contemporary Approach to Capital Structure With
Taxes, Financial Distress and Related Costs.
Figure 8 shows that weighted average cost of capital declines because of the
favorable net tax treatment given debt, and then at relatively high degrees of
financial leverage because of high bankruptcy costs and related cost.
Figure 9 shows the value of the firm with taxes, financial distress, and related costs.
Figure 8
Figure 9
The MM model without corporate taxes leads to the conclusion that there is no one
optimal capital structure. Both the traditional and contemporary approaches hold
that there is an optimal capital structure for each firm, but for different reasons.
Empirical research on the exact relationship among leverage, value, and cost of
capital has not produced definitive results. However, managers generally subscribe
to the concept of an optimal capital structure.
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• Income
Another factor to consider is the impact of the method of financing on the
common shareholders' earning per share (EPS) and return on equity (ROE). For
example, if the earnings before income tax (EBIT) is low from EPS point of view,
equity financing is preferable to debt financing. If the EBIT is high from EPS point
of view, debt financing is preferable to equity. If the return on assets (ROA) is
less than the return on the cost of debt, financial leverage depresses ROE. When
the ROA is more than the cost of debt, financial leverage enhances ROE.
• Cost of Capital
Cost of different components of capital will influence the capital structure
decisions. A firm should possess easing power to generate revenues not only to
meet its cost of capital but also to finance its future growth. Generally, the cost of
equity is higher than the cost of debt since the debtors are assured of fixed rate
of return and repayment of principal amount and the maturity date. Firms that
adjust their capital structure in order to keep the riskiness of their debt and equity
reasonable should have a lower cost of capital.
• Financial Leverage
Capital structure decisions should always aim and having debt component in
total component in order to increase the earnings available for equity
shareholders. Generally, the cost of debt (net of tax) is lower than the cost of
equity. Any excess over cost of debt will redound to benefit the equity
stockholders. Trading on equity or leverage is the use of debt at low cost with a
view of enhancing the earnings of the equity shareholder.
Flexibility
Debt capital is considered to have better flexibility than equity capital. When
funds are required, debt may be raised and programmed for repayment after a
fixed period. Pre-termination of debt can also be worked out with the creditors.
In case of equity capital, once the funds are raised through issue of equity
shares, it cannot ordinarıly be reduced except with the permission of the court
and compliance with legal requirements.
• Tax Consideration
The debt has tax advantage over equity because interest charges are deductible
from income and thereby could reduce a firm's tax liabilities.
• Timing
The time at which the capital structure decision is taken will be influenced by the
conditions of the economy. In times of expansion / recovery it would be easier for
the firm to raise equity, but in times of recession, the equity investors will not
show much interest in investing. Generally, firms have to rely on raising debt.
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• Profitability
A company with higher profitability will have low reliance on outside debt and it
will meet its additional requirement through internally generated funds.
• Marketability
The balancing of debt and equity is possible when the marketability is created for
the company's securities. The company's ability to market its securities will affect
the capital structure decisions.
• Company Size
Companies with small capital base will rely more on owner's funds and internal
earnings. But large companies have to depend on capital market and can top
finances by issue of different varieties of securities and instruments.
• Sales Stability
A firm whose sales are relatively stable can safely take on more debt and incur
higher fixed charges than a company with unstable sales. Utility companies,
because of their stable demand, have historically been able to use more financial
leverage than can industrial firms.
• Operating Leverage
Other things the same, a firm with less operating leverage is better able to
employ financial leverage because it will have less business risk.
• Growth Rate
Other things the same, faster-growing firms must rely more heavily on external
capital. Further, the flotation cost involved in selling common stock exceeds that
incurred when selling debt, which encourages rapidly growing firms to rely more
heavily on debt. At the same time, however, those firms often face higher
uncertainty, which tends to reduce their willingness to use debt.
• Management Attitudes
No one can prove that one capital structure will lead to higher stock prices than
another. Management, then, can exercise its own judgment about the proper
capital structure. Some managers tend to be relatively conservative and thus
use less debt than an average firm in the industry, whereas aggressive
managers use a relatively high percentage of debt in their quest for higher profits.
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ROIC measures the after tax return that the firm provides for all of its investors.
Since ROIC does not vary with changes in capital structure, the standard deviation
of ROIC measures the underlying risk of the firm considering the effects of debt
financing, thereby providing a good measure of business risk.
A firm's ROIC fluctuations could be caused by many factors - booms and recession
in the economy, successful new products introduced by the company and its
competitors, labor strikes, fire and so on. Similar events will doubtless occur in the
future and when they do, the realized ROIC will be higher or lower than expected.
Further, there is always the possibility that a long-term disaster- earthquake, flood,
fire will strike, permanently depressing a company's earning power. Or, a
competitor might introduce a new product that would make the firm's products
totally obsolete and puts the company out of business.
The more uncertainty there is about Earnings before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) and
thus ROIC, the greater the company's business risk. So, if the firm has no debt, its
shareholders would face the existing business risk plus some additional financial
risk.
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• Competition
If a firm has a monopoly on a necessary product, it will have little risk from
competition and thus have stable sales and sales prices. However,
monopolistic firms' prices are often regulated, and they may not be able to
raise prices enough to cover rising costs. Still, other things held constant,
less competition lowers business risk.
• Product obsolescence
Firms in high-tech industries like pharmaceuticals and computers depend on
a constant stream of new products. The faster its products become
obsolete, the greater a firm's business risks.
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4. EBIT-EPS ANALYSIS
One commonly used analytical technique used to evaluate various capital
structures in order to select the one that maximizes a firm's earnings per share is
the EBIT - EPS analysis. This approach measures the impact of financing
alternatives on EPS at different levels of EBIT.
Another objective of EBIT - EPS analysis is to determine the EBIT EPS indifference
or breakdown points between the various financing choices. An indifference point
is the level of EBIT where EPS of a firm is the same, regardless of which alternative
capital structures are employed.
At EBIT levels above the indifference point, firms with more financially levered
capital structures will produce higher levels of EPS; at EBIT levels below the
indifference point, firms with less financially levered capital structures will produce
higher levels of EPS. The indifference point between two methods of financing can
be determined either graphically or mathematically.
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The financial break-even point is the level of EBIT at the firm’s EPS equals zero.
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On a graph, the EBIT – EPS analysis chart for the three capital structure is
presented as follows:
Figure 10. EBIT – EPS Analysis Chart for Lavida Equipment Company
Figure 10 shows that there is one indifference point between debt and ordinary
equity share and another between preferred share and ordinary equity share.
There is no indifference point between debt and preferred share because debt
dominates preferred share by the same margin throughout the EBIT and EPS.
Mathematically, the indifference point can be found by solving for EBIT.
a.) EPS (debt) = EPS (Ordinary equity share)
P000’s
Cross multiplying:
P000’s
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Cross multiplying:
P000’s
Plan I (debt) is favored over Plan II (preferred share) at all levels of EBIT. Plan I is
favored over Plan III (ordinary equity share) when EBIT is above the indifference
point of P2,420,000.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
Let’s Check
Activity 1: Multiple Choice. Write the letter of your choice in the space provided
before the number.
_____3. The Modigliani and Miller approach without corporate taxes suggests that
the firm's weighted average cost of capital
a. remains constant as the proportion of debt changes.
b. Increases as the proportion of debt increases.
c. Decreases as the proportion of debt increases.
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_____4. According to the Modigliani and Miller approach with corporate taxes, all of
the following occur as the use of debt financing increases except
a. cost of equity increases.
b. cost of debt decreases.
c. weighted average cost of capital increases.
d. market value of the firm increases.
_____5. Which approach asserts that the value of the firm is independent of its
capital structure?
a. Traditional approach
b. Modigliani and Miller approach without taxes
c. Modigliani and Miller approach with taxes
d. Contemporary approach
_____10. Everything else held constant, management may prefer debt financing if.
a. dilution of control is a concern.
b. Both interest rates and the firm's stock price are low.
c. the proportion of debt in the firm's capital structure is relatively low by
industry standards.
d. all of the given choices.
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Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Read and answer the problems.
Problem 1
Chandee Company has expected earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) of
P800,000 and interest costs of P80,000. The firm's equity and debt capitalization
rates are 12 percent and 8 percent, respectively. Assume no corporate income
taxes. What is the market value of the firm?
Problem 2
Ross Company is financed entirely with 400,000 shares of common stock selling at
P25 per share. The firm pays 100 percent of its earnings as dividends. EBIT is
expected to remain constant at P1,500,000 in the future. Ignore taxes and assume
no growth.
In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, explain the lessons you learned by answering
the questions below.
1. What are the factors other than wealth considerations that may influence
capital structure decisions?
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
2. What are the factors other than wealth considerations that may influence
capital structure decisions?
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________
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Q&A List
Do you have any question or clarification? Write them here.
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keywords Index
✓ Capital
✓ Capital structure
✓ Capital Structure Theory
✓ Market value of equity
✓ Business risk
✓ Financial risk
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Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOc, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
❖ Cost of debt is the minimum rate of return required by suppliers of debt.
❖ Cost of capital is the required return necessary to make a capital budgeting
project, such as building a new factory, etc.
❖ Cost of preferred stock is the rate of return required by holders of a
company's preferred stock.
❖ WACC (Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is computed by multiplying the
specific cost of each type of capital by its proportion (weight) in the firm's
capital structure and summing the weighted values.
❖ Preferred share is a class of equity shares which has preference over
ordinary (common) equity shares in the payment of dividends and in the
distribution of corporation assets in the event of liquidation.
❖ Ordinary share (traditionally known as common stock) is a form of long-term
equity that represents ownership interest of the firm.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the 4 th to 5th
weeks of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential
knowledge laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited
to exclusively refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other
books, research articles and other resources that are available in the university’s
library e.g. ebrary, search.proquest.com etc., and even online tutorial websites.
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In effect, the government pays part of the cost of debt because interest is tax
deductible. If XYZ Corporation can borrow at an interest rate of 12% and its
marginal corporate tax rate is 35%, its after-tax cost of debt will be 7.8%.
After-tax cost of debt = 12%(1-35%)
= 7.8%
Computing the Cost of a New Bond Issue
The computation requires three steps:
1. Determine the net proceeds from the sale of each bond.
Where:
NPd = Net proceeds from the sale of bond, Pd - f
I = Annual Interest Payment in Pesos
Pn= Par or Principal repayment required in period n
Kd = Before-tax cost of a new bond issue
n = length of the holding period of the bond in years
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The before-tax cost of a new bond issue also means cost to maturity or yield to
maturity.
kdt = kd (1 – T)
Where:
kdt = After-tax cost of debt
kd = Before-tax cost of debt
T = Marginal tax rate
Required:
Management wants to calculate the
(a) net proceeds per bond,
(b) the before-tax cost of this bond issue, and
(c) the after-tax cost of the bond issue's flotation costs.
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Solution:
(a) The selling price of the bond P980 (0.98 x P1.000). The net proceeds per bond
are calculated by subtracting the P26 flotation cost from the bond's P980 selling
price.
NPd = P980 - P26 = P954
(b) Using the trial and errors approach, the before-tax cost of debt is computed as
follows:
P954 = (P95) (PVIFAi,n) + P1,000 (PVIFi,n)
Trial at 10%:
P954 = P95 (PVIFA0,10,25) + P1,000 (PVIF0,10,25)
D𝑝
Kp =
NP𝑝
Where:
Dp = Annual dividend per share on preferred share.
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NPp = Net proceeds from the sale of preferred share, (Market price less
flotation costs)
The cost of existing preferred share is determined by substituting the current market
price per share of preferred in the denominator in the above equation that is, in lieu
of net proceeds from sale of preferred share.
P2.40
K p = P23.50= 0.1021 or 10.21%
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Step 1: Estimate the risk-free rate (rRF). We generally use the 10- year
Treasury bond rate as the measure of the risk-free rate, but some
analysis use the short-term Treasury bill rate.
Step 2: Estimate the stock's beta coefficient (bi) and use it as an index of the
stock's risk. The i signifies the ith company's beta. Beta coefficient, b
is a metric that shows the extent to which a given stock's returns
move up and down with the stock market. Beta thus measures
systematic market risk of the asset relative to average.
Step 3: Estimate the expected market risk premium. Recall that the market
risk premium is the difference between the return that investors
require on an average stock and the risk-free rate.
rs = rRF + (RPm) bi
= rRF + (rM – rRF) bi
Thus, the CAPM estimate of r, is equal to the risk-free rate (rRF) plus a risk premium
that is equal to the risk premium on an average stock (rM – rRF), scaled up or down
to reflect the particular stock's risk as measured by its beta coefficient (b i).
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D
K𝑠 = P 𝑙 + g
𝑜
Where:
Ks = Cost or required rate of return of ordinary equity
Dl = Dividend expected to be paid at the end of year 1
Po = Current stock price
g = Expected dividend growth rate
D
K 𝑠 = P 𝑙 + expected g
𝑜
It is not difficult to calculate the dividend yield but if stock prices fluctuate, the
yield shall vary from day to day which leads to fluctuations in the DCF cost of
equity. Also, it is not easy to determine the proper growth rate. If part growth
rate in earnings and dividend have been relatively stable, and if investors
expect a continuation of past events, g may be based on the firm’s historic
rate.
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= 5.4% + 8.3%
= 13.7%
Based on the DCF method, 13.7% is the minimum rate of return that should be
earned on retained earnings to justify plowing earnings back into the business
rather than paying them out to shareholders as dividends. In other words, since the
investors are thought to have an opportunity to earn 13.7% if earnings are paid out
as dividends, the opportunity cost of equity from retained earnings is 13.7%.
E
Ks =
P𝑜
Where :
E = Current earnings per share
Po = Current market price of ordinary equity share
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Where:
Ks = Cost of new ordinary equity shares
Di = Dividends to be received during the year [Do (1+g)]
Do = Dividend Yield
g = Dividend growth rate
NPs = Net proceeds of the new ordinary equity shares, (Po - F)
Po = Current Market price of the firm's Ordinary equity shares
F = Flotation costs
The cost of new ordinary equity (Ks) is higher than the cost of retained earnings
(K^) because of the new issue must be adjusted for flotation costs. These flotation
costs include both underpricing and an underwriting fee. Underpricing occurs
when new ordinary equity share sells below the current market price of outstanding
ordinary equity share, in order to attract investors and to compensate for the dilution
of ownership that will take place. An underwriting fee covers the cost marketing the
new issue.
The Constant Growth Model assumes that dividends grow perpetually at a constant
annual rate, g. Estimates of g are usually based on historical growth rates, if
earnings and dividend growth rates have been stable in the past, or on analysts’
forecasts.
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D𝑖
K𝑠 = P +g
𝑜 −F
P1.54
K 𝑠 = P32.75−P6.55 + .06
= .1188 or 11.88%
Illustrative Case.
Prime Pipe Company's ordinary equity share has a current market price of P45.00
and an expected dividend growth rate of 5%. The firm is expected to pay P3.60 per
share in ordinary equity share dividends during the next year. The sale of new
ordinary equity share involves underpricing of P1.00 per share and underwriting fee
of P0.80 per share. What is the cost of the new ordinary equity share?
Solution:
D
K 𝑠 = NP𝑖 + g
𝑠
P3.60
= + 0.05
P43.20
= 0.0833 + 0.05
= 0.1333 or 13.33%
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• Measurement Problems
There are practical difficulties that are encountered in estimating the cost of
equity. For example, it is quite a formidable task to obtain good import for the
CAPM, for g in the formula K, = D, / P, + g, and the risk premium in the
formula K, = Bond Yield + Risk Premium. As a result, we can never be sure
of the accuracy of our estimated cost of capital.
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Note that only debt has a tax adjustment factor (I- T). As discussed in this section,
this is because interest on debt is tax deductible but preferred dividends and returns
on ordinary equity share (dividends and capital gains) are not.
A WACC can be computed for either the firm's existing financing or new financing.
The cost of capital acquired by the firm in earlier periods is not relevant for current
decision making because it represents a historical or sunk cost. Thus, only the
WACC for new financing is generally calculated.
WACC is computed by multiplying the specific cost of each type of capital by its
proportion (weight) in the firm's capital structure and summing the weighted values.
There two major schemes in computing the weighted average cost of capital,
namely.
A. Historical Weights
a). Book value weights
b) Market value weights
B. Target Weights
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A. HISTORICAL WEIGHTS
Historical weights are based on the firm's existing capital structure. Firms that
believe their existing capital structure is optimal should use historical weights. An
optimal capital structure is the combination of debt and equity that simultaneously
maximizes the firm's market value and minimizes its weighted average ernge cost
of capital. There are two types of historical weights: (a) Book value weights, and (b)
Market value weights.
a) Book value weights measure the actual proportion of each type of
permanent capital in the firm's structure based on accounting values shown
on the firm's balance sheet. This basis however may misstate the WACC
because they ignore the changing market values of bonds and equity over
time, and may not provide a useful cost of capital for evaluating current
strategies.
b) Market value weights measure the actual proportion of each type of
permanent capital in the firm's structure at current market prices. This is
considered more superior to book value weights because they provide
estimates of investors' required rates of return. However, market value
weights are less stable than book value weights in computing cost of capital
because market prices change frequently.
Required: Determine the WACC if the firm obtains new capital in Book Value
Proportions
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B. In addition to the data provided in A, assume that the security market prices
of Copper Pipe Company are:
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B. TARGET WEIGHTS
Target weights are based on a firm's desired capital structure. Firms using target
weights establish these proportions on the basis of optimal capital structure they
wish to attain. Thus, the firm raises additional funds so as to remain constantly on
target with its optimal capital structure. The preferable approach though is to use
target weight based on market values rather than historical weights. If these
weights (market values) are used, the share price will be maximized and the cost of
capital simultaneously will be minimized.
Bonds 40%
Preferred share 10%
Ordinary equity share 50%
100%
The firm wants to maintain its optimal capital structure increasing future long-term
capital. The firm also expects to have sufficient retained earnings so that it can use
the cost of retained earnings as the ordinary equity cost component. If Copper Pipe
Company raises new capital in target proportions, the firm's WACC can be
computed as follows:
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2. Using the dividend growth model, what the expected return on Whaller's ordinary
equity share?
3. What is the average cost of equity?
4. In addition to the information given in the previous problem, Whaller has a target
debt-equity ratio of 50 percent. Its cost of debt is 9 percent before taxes. If the tax
rate is 35%, what is the WACC?
5. Suppose that Whaller is seeking P30 million for a new project. The necessary
funds will have to be raised externally. Whaller's flotation costs for selling debt and
equity are 2% and 16%, respectively. If flotation costs are considered, what is the
true cost of the new project?
Solution:
1. Using CAPM approach, the expected return on Whaller's ordinary equity share is
computed as follows:
Ks = rf + bi (rm - rf)
Where:
rf = Risk-free rate of return
rm = Expected return on the market portfolio
rm - rf = Market risk premium
bi = Beta coefficient of ordinary equity share i
Ks = 6% + .80 (6%) = 10.80%
2. Using the dividend growth rate approach, the expected return on ordinary equity
is:
D
K𝑠 = 𝑖 + g
P𝑜
Where:
Di = Projected dividend per share
Po = Current price of ordinary equity share
g = Dividend growth rate
P1.20 x 1.08
K𝑠 = + .08
P45
P1.296
= + . 08
P45
= 10.88%
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3.
The average cost of = 10.8% +10.88%
ordinary equity share 2
= 10.84%
4. The target debt-equity ratio is 50%; hence, Whaller uses P.50 debt for every PI in
equity. The firm's target capital structure is therefore 13 debt and 2/3 equity.
If Walter needs P30 million after flotation costs, then the true cost in the project is:
= P 30M
1-.1133
= P 30M
. 8867
= P33.83M
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson.
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Let’s Check
Activity 1: Multiple Choice. Write the letter of your choice in the space provided
before the number.
_____3. The source of capital that has a special tax advantage to the firm is
a. preferred share.
b. ordinary equity share.
c. debt.
d. retained earnings.
_____4. Which of a firm's sources of new capital has the highest after-tax cost?
a. Preferred share
b. Debt
c. Ordinary equity share
d. Retained earnings.
_____5. Specific costs of capital may vary over time, due to changes in
a. the supply and demand for funds,
b. the risk characteristics of the firm.
c. the marketability of the securities
d. all of the given choices.
_____7. When the constant dividend growth model is used, the cost of retained
earnings equals
a. the current dividend plus the expected growth in sales.
b. the current market price plus expected growth rate in dividends
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_____8. Which of the following approaches can be used to estimate the cost of
ordinary equity?
a. The constant dividend growth model
b. The capital asset pricing model
c. Generalized risk premium approach
d. All of the given choices
Let’s Analyze
Activity 1. Read and answer the problems.
Problem 1
Nelson's Landscaping has 1,200 bonds outstanding that are selling for P990 each.
The company also has 2,500 shares of preferred stock at a market price of P28 a
share. The common stock is priced at P37 a share and there are 28,000 shares
outstanding. What is the weight of the common stock as it relates to the firm's
weighted average cost of capital?
a. 43.08 percent
b. 45.16 percent
c. 47.11 percent
d. 54.00 percent
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Problem 2
Phillips Equipment has 80,000 bonds outstanding that are selling at par. Bonds with
similar characteristics are yielding 6.75 percent. The company also has 750,000
shares of 7 percent preferred stock and 2.5 million shares of common stock
outstanding. The preferred stock sells for P53 a share. The common stock has a
beta of 1.34 and sells for P42 a share. The Philippine Treasury bill is yielding 2.8
percent and the return on the market is 11.2 percent. The corporate tax rate is 38
percent. What is the firm's weighted average cost of capital?
a. 10.39 percent
b. 10.64 percent
c. 11.18 percent
d. 11.30 percent
In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, discuss your insights regarding the topic below.
What role does the weighted average cost of capital play when
determining a project’s cost of capital?
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
__________________________________________________________
Q&A List
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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Keywords index
✓ Cost of debt
✓ Cost of capital
✓ WACC (Weighted average cost of capital)
✓ Preferred share
✓ Ordinary share
✓ Bond financing
✓ Cost of preferred share
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Big Picture C
Week 5-6: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are
expected to:
a. Apply different valuation models to evaluate financial assets such as bonds
and stocks.
Metalanguage
For you to demonstrate ULOa, you will need operational understanding of the terms
enumerated below.
❖ Debt financing includes loans from friends and relatives as well as external
capital
❖ Bonds are fixed income instrument that represents a loan made by an
investor to a borrower.
❖ Preferred share is a class of equity shares which has preference over
ordinary (common) equity shares in the payment of dividends and in the
distribution of corporation assets in the event of liquidation.
❖ Ordinary share (traditionally known as common stock) is a form of long-term
equity that represents ownership interest of the firm.
Corporate Bonds
• Corporate bond is a security sold by corporation that has promised future
payments and a maturity date.
• If the firm fails to make its promised interest and principal payments, then the
bond trustee can classify the firm as insolvent and force it into bankruptcy.
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Step 3: Calculate the present value of the bond’s interest and principal payments
from Step 1 using the discount rate in step 2.
Years 0 1 2 3… Blank 11
Step 3: Solve
Using a Mathematical Equation
‘
Interest year 1 Interest year 2 Interest year 3 Interest year n Principal
Bond Price = + + + + +
(1 + YTM ) 1
(1 + YTM ) 2
(1 + YTM ) 3
(1 + YTM ) n
(1 + YTM )n
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Step 4: Analyze.
• The value of AT&T bond falls to $954.36 when the yield to maturity rises to
9%. The bonds are now trading at a discount as the coupon rate on AT&T
bonds is lower than the market yield.
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• An investor who buys AT&T bonds at its current discounted price will earn a
promised yield to maturity of 9%.
Figure 9-1 Bond Value and the Market’s Required Yield to Maturity (5—Year Bond,
12% Coupon Rate)
Relationship 2
The market value of a bond will be less than the par value (discount bond) if the
market’s required yield to maturity is above the coupon interest rate and will be more
than the par valued if the market’s required yield to maturity is below the coupon
interest rate.
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Relationship 3
As the maturity date approaches, the market value of a bond approaches its par
value.
Figure 9.2 clearly demonstrates the value of a bond, whether a premium or a
discount bond, approaches
its par value as the maturity date becomes closer in time.
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Relationships 4
• Long term bonds have greater interest-rate risk than short-term bonds.
• While all bonds are affected by a change in interest rates, the prices of longer-
term bonds fluctuate more when interest rates change than do the prices of
shorter-term bonds (see Table 9.6)
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Preferred share valuation is relatively simple if the firm pays fixed dividends at the
end of each year. If this condition holds, then the stream of dividend payments can
be treated in perpetuity and be discounted by the investor's required rate of return on
a preferred share issue. A perpetuity is an annuity with an infinite life span. If the
preferred share has high risk, investors normally require a higher rate of return. This
is because creditors have priority over preferred shareholders in their claims to both
income and assets.
Thus, the intrinsic value of a share of preferred share (P.) is the sum of the present
values of future dividends discounted at the investor's required rate of return. This
also can be determined using the following valuation model.
Po=
Where:
Dp = Per share cash dividend
Kp = Investor’s required rate of return on preferred share
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equity shareholders are called residual owners because their claim to earnings
and assets is what remains after satisfying the prior claims of various creditors
and preferred stockholders. Ordinary (common) equity shareholders are the true
owners of the corporation and consequently bear the ultimate risks and rewards
of ownership.
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Ordinary equity share may be sold with or without par value. Whether or not
ordinary equity share has any par value is stated in the corporation's charter. Par
value of ordinary equity share is the stated value attached to a single share at
issuance. It has little significance except for accounting and legal purposes. If
ordinary equity share is initially sold for more than its par value, the issue price in
excess of par is recorded as additional paid-in capital, capital surplus, or capital
in excess of par. A firm issuing no par share may either assign a stated value or
place it on the books at the price at which the equity share is sold.
Authorized shares are the maximum number of shares that a corporation may
issue without amending its charter. Issued shares are the number of authorized
shares that have been sold. Outstanding shares are those shares held by the
public. Both the firm's dividends per share and earnings per share are based on
the outstanding shares. The number of issued shares may be greater than the
number of outstanding shares because shares may be repurchased by the
issuing firm. Previously issued shares that are reacquired and held by the firm
are called treasury shares. Thus, outstanding share is issued share less treasury
share.
3. No maturity
Ordinary equity share has no maturity and is a permanent form of long- term
financing. Although ordinary share is neither callable nor convertible, the firm can
repurchase its shares in the secondary markets either through a brokerage firm a
tender offer. A tender offer is a formal offer to purchase shares of a corporation.
4. Voting rights
Each share of ordinary equity generally entitles the holder to vote on the selection
of directors and in other matters. Shareholders unable to attend the annual
meeting to vote may vote by proxy. A proxy is a temporary transfer of the right to
vote to another party. Proxy voting is done under the rules and regulations of the
Securities and Exchange Commissions, but proxy solicitations are the firm's
responsibility. Not all common shareholders have equal voting power. Some
firms have more than one class of share. Class A ordinary (common) equity
share typically has limited or no voting rights while Class B has full voting rights.
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a) Majority Voting
b) Cumulative voting
The accounting value of an ordinary equity share is equal to the ordinary share
equity (ordinary share plus paid-in capital plus retained earnings) divided by the
number of shares outstanding.
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The characteristics of ordinary shares, preferred shares and bonds are compared in
the following table.
The advantages of ordinary equity share stem from placing minimum constraints on
the firm and include:
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4. Increased creditworthiness
Some of the more significant disadvantages of issuing ordinary equity share are:
Although most firms have only one type of ordinary equity share, in some instances
classified share is used to meet the special needs of the company. Generally, when
special classifications of shares are used, one type is designated as Class A,
another Class B, and so on.
This model is one in which an investor plans to purchase an ordinary equity share
and hold it for a specific length of time. For example, the holding period may be for
one or more periods. During the holding period, the investor expects to receive cash
dividends and to sell the stock for a price at the end of the holding period. The
equation to estimate the value of ordinary equity share is:
n
Po = D𝑡 P𝑛
∑ +
(1 + k 𝑠 ) (1 + k s )n
t=1
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An investor plans to but ordinary share of Borgara Farms and to sell it at the end of
one year. The investor expects Borgara to pay P5.20 cash dividend and to sell for
P50 at the end of the year. If the investor's required rate of return is 15 percent, the
value of the stock to this investor would be computed as follows:
This indicates that the investor should pay no more than P48 per share for a share of
Borgara’s ordinary share to realize an expected return of 15 percent.
This model assumes that an investor plans to purchase an ordinary share and hold it
indefinitely. Hence, returns are only in the form of dividends over multiple periods.
The following equation is an infinite-period model that shows the intrinsic value of a
share of ordinary share is equal to the expected stream of dividends discounted at
the investor's required rate of return.
∞
Po = D𝑡
∑
(1 + k s )t
t=1
The above equation can be simplified into the following valuation model:
Po =
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The valuation models to determine the value of ordinary equity shares based on
dividend growth rates include the following:
A zero growth dividend model assumes dividends remain a fixed amount over time.
The formula is:
Po =
XYZ Company expects to pay a P3.00 cash dividend at the end of the year
indefinitely into the future. If investors in this stock require a 15 percent return, the
value of a share of XYZ would be computed as by substituting D p = P3.00 and ks =
0.15.
𝐷𝑙
Po =
k𝑠 − g
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RST Corporation currently pays P2.00 per share in ordinary equity share dividends.
The firm's dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate of 5 percent per year.
Investors require a 15 percent return on RST's ordinary equity share.
Dl is calculated by using Do (1+g)t where Do is the per share dividend in the current
period.
Po =
P2.10 = P21.00
0.15 − 0.05
m
D𝑜 (1 + g 𝑠 )𝑡
Po = ∑
(1 + k 𝑠 )𝑡
t=1
QC Company expects dividends to grow at a rate of 10 percent a year for the next
five years and 6 percent a year thereafter. The firm's current dividend is P2.00 per
share. An investor, who requires a 16 percent rate of return, would compute the
value of QC's ordinary equity shares four steps.
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Step 1: Find the present value of the dividends during the above-normal growth
period.
Step 2: Find the present value of the stock price in year 5. This step involves
calculating the share value at the end of year 5.
Ps = P3.22 x . 06
10%
P3.413
=
10%
= P 34.13
Step 3: Discount the share value at the end of year 5 to the present at the 16%
required rate of return.
= P16.25
Step 4: Add the present value of the 5 years dividends and the present value of the
share value in year 5 to get the value of the share at the end of the above normal
growth period.
Po = P8.56 + P16.25
= P24.81
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you further
understand the lesson.
Let’s Check
Activity 1: Multiple Choice. Write the letter of your choice in the space provided
before the number.
c. generally is P1,000.
a. semiannually.
b. annually.
c. quarterly.
d. monthly.
a. a discount.
b. a premium.
c. par.
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6.. In an efficient marketplace, the market value of a security should equal its
a. going-concern value.
b. liquidating value.
c. book value.
d. intrinsic value.
10. If the market interest rate is below the coupon rate, a bond will sell at
a. its par value.
b. a discount.
c. a premium
d. a price of P1,000
11. Assuming that two bonds are similar except for their maturities, what is the
sensitivity of the price movements of the shorter-term bond to a given
change in the market interest rate relative to the
longer-term bond?
a. More sensitive
b. Less sensitive
c. Equally sensitive
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13. If the investor's required rate of return for a particular preferred share issue
increases, then the value or price of this preferred share should
a. increase.
b. decrease.
c. remain the same.
d. more information is needed.
14. The valuation of ordinary equity shares is more difficult than bonds primarily
because
a. ordinary equity share generally sells at lower prices than bonds.
b. there are fewer investors in ordinary equity shares than bonds.
c. dividend expenses are not tax deductible whereas interest is.
d. the cash flows are more uncertain for equity shares than bonds.
Let’s Analyze
1. A $1,000 par value 10-year bond with a 10% coupon rate recently sold for $900.
The yield to maturity
a. is 10%.
b. is greater than 10%.
c. is less than 10%.
d. cannot be determined.
2. The Blackburn Group has recently issued 20-year, unsecured bonds rated BB by
Moody's.These bonds yield 443 basis points above the U.S. Treasury yield of
2.76%. The yield to maturity on these bonds is
a. 4.43%.
b. 7.19%
c. 12.23%
d. mortgage bonds.
3. MI has a $1,000 par value, 30-year bond outstanding that was issued 20 years
ago at an annual coupon rate of 10%, paid semiannually. Market interest rates on
similar bonds are 7%. Calculate the bond's price.
a. $956.42
b. $1,000.00
c. $1,168.31
d. $1,213.19
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4. What is the yield to maturity of a nine-year bond that pays a coupon rate of 20%
per year, has a $1,000 par value, and is currently priced at $1,407? Assume annual
coupon payments.
a. 21.81%
b. 6.14%
c. 12.28%
d. 11.43%
4. What is the value of a bond that matures in three years, has an annual coupon
payment of $110, and a par value of $1,000? Assume a required rate of return of
11%, and round your answer to the nearest $10.
a. $970
b. $1,330
c. $330
d. $1,000
In a Nutshell
Based on the concepts presented, write your insights about the topic below.
Define the sources of Capital for Business Firms and their importance.
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
_____________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________
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Q&A List
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Keywords Index
✓ Bonds
✓ Preferred share
✓ Ordinary share
✓ Yield to maturity
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Course Schedules
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5) Plagiarism is a serious intellectual crime and shall be dealt with accordingly. The
University shall institute monitoring mechanisms online to detect and penalize
plagiarism.
7) Teachers/Course Facilitators shall devote time to handle OBD or DED courses and
shall honestly exercise due assessment of student performance.
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10) Students shall not allow anyone else to access their personal LMS account.
Students shall not post or share their answers, assignment or examinations to
others to further academic fraudulence online.
11) By handling OBD or DED courses, teachers/Course Facilitators agree and abide by
all the provisions of the Online Code of Conduct, as well as all the requirements
and protocols in handling online courses.
12) By enrolling in OBD or DED courses, students agree and abide by all the
provisions of the Online Code of Conduct, as well as all the requirements and
protocols in handling online courses.
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(1) The Deans, Asst. Deans, Discipline Chairs and Program Heads shall be responsible
in monitoring the conduct of their respective OBD classes through the Blackboard
LMS. The LMS monitoring protocols shall be followed, i.e. monitoring of the conduct
of Teacher Activities (Views and Posts) with generated utilization graphs and data.
Individual faculty PDF utilization reports shall be generated and consolidated by
program and by college.
(2) The Academic Affairs and Academic Planning & Services shall monitor the conduct
of LMS sessions. The Academic Vice Presidents and the Deans shall collaborate to
conduct virtual CETA by randomly joining LMS classes to check and review online
the status and interaction of the faculty and the students.
(3) For DED, the Deans and Program Heads shall come up with monitoring instruments,
taking into consideration how the programs go about the conduct of DED classes.
Consolidated reports shall be submitted to Academic Affairs for endorsement to the
Chief Operating Officer.
Approved by:
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