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Bit 2201 Simulation and Modeling

This document contains instructions for an examination on simulation and modeling. It includes 5 questions with subparts testing various concepts. Question 1 has subparts on applications of simulation, generating random variables using the mid-square method, desirable features of simulation software, and components of a discrete event system. Question 2 differentiates between endogenous and exogenous activities, reasons for using animation, and common statistics in simulation output. Question 3 differentiates animation types and defines simulation terms. Question 4 defines verification and validation, discusses simulation pitfalls, and simulates a queuing system. Question 5 differentiates model types, lists advantages of simulation, and simulates container arrival and offloading over 15 days.

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91 views3 pages

Bit 2201 Simulation and Modeling

This document contains instructions for an examination on simulation and modeling. It includes 5 questions with subparts testing various concepts. Question 1 has subparts on applications of simulation, generating random variables using the mid-square method, desirable features of simulation software, and components of a discrete event system. Question 2 differentiates between endogenous and exogenous activities, reasons for using animation, and common statistics in simulation output. Question 3 differentiates animation types and defines simulation terms. Question 4 defines verification and validation, discusses simulation pitfalls, and simulates a queuing system. Question 5 differentiates model types, lists advantages of simulation, and simulates container arrival and offloading over 15 days.

Uploaded by

james kilonzo
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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UNIVERSITY EXAMINATIONS: 2013/2014

ORDINARY EXAMINATION FOR THE BACHELOR OF SCIENCE


IN INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY

BIT 2201 SIMULATION AND MODELING

DATE: AUGUST, 2014 TIME: 2 HOURS


INSTRUCTIONS: Answer Question ONE and any other TWO

QUESTION ONE: 30 MARKS (COMPULSORY)


a) Discuss five applications of simulation and modeling in real life. (5 Marks)

b) Using the mid- square method obtain the random variables using Z0= 1009 until the
cycle degenerates to zero. (10 Marks)

c) Discuss any five desirable features of a good simulation software (5 Marks)

d) Using the banking systems as an example, describe the components of a discrete-


event system. ( 10 Marks)

QUESTION TWO: 20 MARKS


a) Every system exists with an environment. Activities in the systems environment
cause changes in the state of the system. These activities are classified into categories:
Endogenous and Exogenous. Differentiate between the two. (2 Marks)

b) Discuss five reasons why it is necessary to use animation during the process of
modeling and simulation. (5 Marks )

c) Discuss three reasons why it is not possible to perform experiment with a real system.
(3 Marks)

c) Describe five common statistics included in the output report of a simulation


programming system. (10 Marks)

1
QUESTION THREE: 20 MARKS
a) There are two fundamental types of animation; concurrent and post-processed
Differentiate between the two types of animation. (4 Marks)

b) Describe the following terms giving examples from the traffic control systems.
(5 Marks)
i) State of a System
ii) State Variables
iii) Entity
iv) Attribute
v) Activity

c) Discuss four drawbacks simulation and modeling. (6 Marks)

d) Using the Linear Congruential Generator (LCG) with a=5, m=16, c=3 and seed Z0 = 7
to generate the first FIVE random variates on [0,1]. (5 Marks)

QUESTION FOUR: 20 MARKS


a) Define the terms verification and validation in the context of modeling. (4 Marks)

b) Not all simulation and modeling exercises are a success. Discuss five common pitfalls
to successful simulation. (5 Marks)

c) Consider a single server queuing system in the bank. The system starts at time t=0.
The arrival time of customers is: 0.4, 1.6, 2.1, 3.8, 4.0, 5.6, 5.8, and 7.2. The
departure times are: 2.4, 3.1, 3.3, 4.9, and 8.6. Time is in minutes. The first in first out
queuing discipline is followed. Simulate this system for six clients and estimate:
i) The expected average delay in the queue (3 Marks)
ii) The expected average number of clients in the queue at any time t (6 Marks)
iii) The expected utilization of server. (2 Marks)

QUESTION FIVE: 20 MARKS


a) Differentiate between the following types of models (6 Marks)
i) Deterministic Vs Stochastic Models
ii) Discrete Models Vs Continuous Models
b) Discuss any five advantages of simulation (5 Marks)

2
c) The table below shows the probability distribution of container arrival per day at
Mombasa port.

No. of Arrivals Probability

0 0.13

1 0.17

2 0.15

3 0.25

4 0.20

5 0.10

The offloading rate per day follows the probability distribution given below. NB:
Offloading is done on FCFS basis.

Offloading rate Probability

1 0.05

2 0.15

3 0.50

4 0.20

5 0.10

Suppose the following are the random numbers of arrivals and random numbers
offloading.

Arrival Random No. 52, 06, 50, 88, 53, 30, 10, 47, 99, 37, 66, 91, 35, 32, 00
Offload Random No. 37, 63, 28, 02, 74, 35, 24, 03, 29, 60, 74, 85 90, 73, 59

Required: simulate a fifteen day analysis and determine:


i) The average number of container delayed (3 Marks)
ii) The average number of arrivals per day (3 Marks)
iii) The average number of containers offloaded each day (3 Marks)

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