Inflation
Inflation
rise in prices
decline of purchasing power over time
The rate at which purchasing power drops can be reflected in the
average price increase of a basket of selected goods and services
over some period of time.
The rise in prices, which is often expressed as a percentage, means
that a unit of currency effectively buys less than it did in prior
periods. Inflation can be contrasted with deflation, which occurs
when prices decline and purchasing power increases
Understanding Inflation
While it is easy to measure the price changes of individual products over
time, human needs extend beyond just one or two products. Individuals
need a big and diversified set of products as well as a host of services for
living a comfortable life. They include commodities like food grains, metal,
fuel, utilities like electricity and transportation, and services like healthcare,
entertainment, and labor.
To combat this, the monetary authority (in most cases, the central bank)
takes the necessary steps to manage the money supply and credit to keep
inflation within permissible limits and keep the economy running smoothly.
Causes of Inflation
An increase in the supply of money is the root of inflation, though this can
play out through different mechanisms in the economy. A country's money
supply can be increased by the monetary authorities by:
In all of these cases, the money ends up losing its purchasing power. The
mechanisms of how this drives inflation can be classified into three
types: demand-pull inflation, cost-push inflation, and built-in inflation.
Demand-Pull Effect
Demand-pull inflation occurs when an increase in the supply of money and
credit stimulates the overall demand for goods and services to increase
more rapidly than the economy's production capacity. This increases
demand and leads to price rises.
Built-in Inflation
Built-in inflation is related to adaptive expectations or the idea that people
expect current inflation rates to continue in the future. As the price of
goods and services rises, people may expect a continuous rise in the
future at a similar rate. As such, workers may demand more costs or
wages to maintain their standard of living. Their increased wages result in
a higher cost of goods and services, and this wage-price spiral continues
as one factor induces the other and vice-versa.
Changes in the CPI are used to assess price changes associated with
the cost of living, making it one of the most frequently used statistics for
identifying periods of inflation or deflation. In the U.S., the Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS) reports the CPI on a monthly basis and has calculated it
as far back as 1913.3
While WPI items vary from one country to another, they mostly include
items at the producer or wholesale level. For example, it includes cotton
prices for raw cotton, cotton yarn, cotton gray goods, and cotton clothing.
In all variants, it is possible that the rise in the price of one component (say
oil) cancels out the price decline in another (say wheat) to a certain extent.
Overall, each index represents the average weighted price change for the
given constituents which may apply at the overall economy, sector, or
commodity level.