Shivani Maam Final Project
Shivani Maam Final Project
Submitted by:
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1. ACKNOWLEDGMENT
I would like to thank my faculty Dr. Shivani Mohan, whose assignment of such a pertinent topic
made me work towards knowing the subject with a greater interest and enthusiasm and moreover
she guided me throughout the project.
I owe the present accomplishments of my project to my friends, who helped me immensely with
sources of research materials throughout the project and without whom I couldn’t have
completed it in the present way.
I would also like to extend my gratitude to my parents and all those unseen hands that helped me
out at every stage of my project.
THANK YOU!
NAME-DIVYA RAUNAK
ROLL NO. - 2119
3rd Semester (BA LL. B)
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DECLARATION
I hereby declare that the work reported in the B.A. LLB (Hons.) project report titled “GLOBAL
ECONOMIC GROWTH” submitted at Chanakya National Law University Patna, is an authentic
record of my work carried under the mentorship of Dr. Shivani Mohan. I have not submitted this
work elsewhere for any other degree or diploma. I am fully responsible for the contents of my
project report.
DIVYA RAUNAK
Chanakya National Law University
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CONTENTS
1. ACKNOWLEDGMENT ..................................................................... 2
2. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................... 5
8. CONCLUSION .................................................................................. 23
9. REFERENCES .................................................................................. 23
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2. INTRODUCTION
The term economic growth is associated with economic progress and advancement.
Economic growth can be defined as an increase in the capacity of an economy to produce goods
and services within a specific period of time.
In economics, economic growth refers to a long-term expansion in the productive potential of the
economy to satisfy the wants of individuals in the society. Sustained economic growth of a
country’ has a positive impact on the national income and level of employment, which further
results in higher living standards.
Apart from this, it plays a vital role in stimulating government finances by enhancing tax
revenues. This enables the government to earn extra income for the further development of an
economy. The economic growth of a country can be measured by comparing the level of Gross
National Product (GNP) of a year with the GNP of the previous year. The economic growth of a
country is possible if strengths and weaknesses of the economy are properly analyzed.
Economic analysis provides an insight into the essentials of an economy. It is a systematic
process for determining the optimum use of scarce resources and selecting the best alternative to
achieve the economic goal. Moreover, economic analysis helps in assessing the causes of
different economic problems, such as inflation, depression, and economic instability. It is
performed by taking into consideration various economic variables, such as demand, supply,
prices, production cost, wages, labor, and capital.
Secondly, Economic Growth can be defined as as the increase in the inflation-adjusted market
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value of the goods and services produced by an economy over time. Statisticians conventionally
measure such growth as the percent rate of increase in real gross domestic product, or real GDP.
Growth is usually calculated in real terms - i.e., inflation-adjusted terms – to eliminate the
distorting effect of inflation on the prices of goods produced. Measurement of economic
growth uses national income accounting. Since economic growth is measured as the annual
percent change of gross domestic product (GDP), it has all the advantages and drawbacks of that
measure. The economic growth-rates of countries are commonly compared using the ratio of
the GDP to population (per-capita income).
The "rate of economic growth" refers to the geometric annual rate of growth in GDP between the
first and the last year over a period of time. This growth rate represents the trend in the average
level of GDP over the period, and ignores any fluctuations in the GDP around this trend.
Economists refer to an increase in economic growth caused by more efficient use of inputs
(increased productivity of labor, of physical capital, of energy or of materials) as intensive
growth. In contrast, GDP growth caused only by increases in the amount of inputs available for
use (increased population, for example, or new territory) counts as extensive growth.
The economic growth rate is calculated from data on GDP estimated by countries' statistical
agencies. The rate of growth of GDP per capita is calculated from data on GDP and people for
the initial and final periods included in the analysis of the analyst. Living standards vary widely
from country to country, and furthermore the change in living standards over time varies widely
from country to country. .if we can learn about government policy options that have even small
effects on long-term growth rates, we can contribute much more to improvements in standards of
living than has been provided by the entire history of macroeconomic analysis of countercyclical
policy and fine-tuning. Economic growth is the part of macroeconomics that really matters. It has
been observed that GDP growth is influenced by the size of the economy. The relation between
GDP growth and GDP across the countries at a particular point of time is convex. Growth
increases with GDP reaches its maximum and then begins to decline. There exists some extreme
value. This is not exactly middle-income trap. It is observed for both developed and developing
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economies. Actually, countries having this property belong to conventional growth domain.
However, the extreme could be extended by technological and policy innovations and some
countries move into innovative growth domain with higher limiting values.
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3. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
The researcher will do doctrinal type of research in which he will go through the primary as well
secondary sources. The researcher through this methodology will be able to get an exact picture
of the topic in question. The doctrinal method helps in doing a comparative study of the topic.
This methodology helps in going through not only the work of one eminent person but of many
other too. This helps in getting the bird’s eye view of the subject. To satisfy the need of the
project, the researcher will go through rigorous online research and will also try to find the
authenticity of the fact. Since the researcher is at home in a global pandemic with the limited
resource, he will try to find different facts from different online authentic websites. The
researcher will also take help from the PDFs of Economics books which are available online.
After giving the introduction on the topic the researcher will deal the topic in detail. He will
also discuss about its factors, different data by various organization and also about
Economic crisis.
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The researcher will collect data from both primary as well as secondary sources
a. Magazine.
b. Books.
c. Journals.
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The economic growth of a country may get hampered due to a number of factors, such as trade
deficit and alterations in expenditures by governmental bodies. Generally, the economic growth
is adversely affected when there is a sharp rise in the prices of goods and services.The following
six causes of economic growth is key components in an economy. Improving or increasing their
quantity can lead to growth in the economy.
1. Natural Resources
The discovery of more natural resources like oil, or mineral deposits may boost economic growth
as this shifts or increases the country’s Production Possibility Curve. Other resources include
land, water, forests and natural gas.
Realistically, it is difficult, if not impossible, to increase the number of natural resources in a
country. Countries must take care to balance the supply and demand for scarce natural resources
to avoid depleting them. Improved land management may improve the quality of land and
contribute to economic growth.
The resources beneath the land or underground resources include oil, natural gas, metals, non-
metals, and minerals. The natural resources of a country depend on the climatic and
environmental conditions. Countries having plenty of natural resources enjoy good growth than
countries with small amount of natural resources.
The efficient utilization or exploitation of natural resources depends on the skills and abilities of
human resource, technology used and availability of funds. A country having skilled and
educated workforce with rich natural resources takes the economy on the growth path.
The best examples of such economies are developed countries, such as United States, United
Kingdom, Germany, and France. However, there are countries that have few natural resources,
but high per capita income, such as Saudi Arabia, therefore, their economic growth is very high.
Similarly, Japan has a small geographical area and few natural resources, but achieves high
growth rate due to its efficient human resource and advanced technology.
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3. Population or Labor
Refers to one of the most important determinant of economic growth of a country. The quality
and quantity of available human resource can directly affect the growth of an economy.
The quality of human resource is dependent on its skills, creative abilities, training, and
education. If the human resource of a country is well skilled and trained then the output would
also be of high quality.
On the other hand, a shortage of skilled labor hampers the growth of an economy, whereas
surplus of labor is of lesser significance to economic growth. Therefore, the human resources of
a country should be adequate in number with required skills and abilities, so that economic
growth can be achieved.
A growing population means there is an increase in the availability of workers or employees,
which means a higher workforce. One downside of having a large population is that it could lead
to high unemployment.
4. Human Capital
An increase in investment in human capital can improve the quality of the labor force. This
increase in quality would result in an improvement in skills, abilities, and training. A skilled
labor force has a significant effect on growth since skilled workers are more productive. For
example, investing in STEM students or subsidizing coding academies would increase the
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availability of workers for higher-skilled jobs that pay more than investing in blue-collar jobs.
5. Technology
Another influential factor is the improvement of technology. The technology could increase
productivity with the same levels of labor, thus accelerating growth and development. This
increment means factories can be more productive at lower costs. Technology is most likely to
lead to sustained long-run growth. Technological development helps in increasing productivity
with the limited amount of resources. Countries that have worked in the field of technological
development grow rapidly as compared to countries that have less focus on technological
development. The selection of right technology also plays an role for the growth of an economy.
On the contrary, an inappropriate technology- results in high cost of production.
6. Law
An institutional framework that regulates economic activity such as rules and laws. There is no
specific set of institutions that promote growth.
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3. Flight of Capital
If the country is not delivering the returns expected from investors, then investors will pull out
their money. Money often flows out of the country to seek higher rates of returns.
4. Political Instability
Similarly, political instability in the government scares investors and hinders investment. For
example, historically, Zimbabwe had been plagued with political uncertainty and laws favoring
indigenous ownership. This instability has scared off many investors who prefer smaller but
surer returns elsewhere.
5. Institutional Framework
Often local laws don’t adequately protect rights. Lack of an institutional framework can severely
impact progress and investment.
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1
Malthus, Thomas R. (1798). Gilbert, Geoffrey (ed.). An Essay on the Principle of Population. Oxford: Oxford
University Press (published 1999).
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productive stage, breaking free from economic paradigms appropriate to a lower productivity
stage. The idea was revived and formulated rigorously, in the late 1980s by Kevin Murphy, Andrei
Shleifer and Robert Vishny.2
Solow–Swan model
Robert Solow and Trevor Swan developed what eventually became the main model used in growth
economics in the 1950s.3 This model assumes that there are diminishing returns to capital and labor.
Capital accumulates through investment, but its level or stock continually decreases due to
depreciation. Due to the diminishing returns to capital, with increases in capital/worker and absent
technological progress, economic output/worker eventually reaches a point where capital per worker
and economic output/worker remains constant because annual investment in capital equals annual
depreciation. This condition is called the 'steady state'.
In the Solow–Swan model if productivity increases through technological progress, then
output/worker increases even when the economy is in the steady state. If productivity increases at a
constant rate, output/worker also increases at a related steady-state rate. As a consequence, growth in
the model can occur either by increasing the share of GDP invested or through technological
progress. But at whatever share of GDP invested, capital/worker eventually converges on the steady
state, leaving the growth rate of output/worker determined only by the rate of technological progress.
As a consequence, with world technology available to all and progressing at a constant rate, all
countries have the same steady state rate of growth. Each country has a different level of
GDP/worker determined by the share of GDP it invests, but all countries have the same rate of
economic growth. Implicitly in this model rich countries are those that have invested a high share of
GDP for a long time. Poor countries can become rich by increasing the share of GDP they invest.
One important prediction of the model, mostly borne out by the data, is that of conditional
convergence; the idea that poor countries will grow faster and catch up with rich countries as long as
they have similar investment (and saving) rates and access to the same technology.
Although the rate of investment in the model is exogenous, under certain conditions the model
implicitly predicts convergence in the rates of investment across countries. In a global economy with
a global financial capital market, financial capital flows to the countries with the highest return on
2
Murphy, Kevin M.; Shleifer, Andrei; Vishny, Robert W. (1989). "Industrialization and the Big Push". Journal of
Political Economy.
3
Swan, Trevor W. (1956). "Economic Growth and Capital Accumulation'". Economic Record.
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investment. In the Solow-Swan model countries with less capital/worker (poor countries) have a
higher return on investment due to the diminishing returns to capital. As a consequence,
capital/worker and output/worker in a global financial capital market should converge to the same
level in all countries.4 Since historically financial capital has not flowed to the countries with less
capital/worker, the basic Solow–Swan model has a conceptual flaw. Beginning in the 1990s, this
flaw has been addressed by adding additional variables to the model that can explain why some
countries are less productive than others and, therefore, do not attract flows of global financial capital
even though they have less (physical) capital/worker.
4
Lucas, Robert E. (1990). "Why Doesn't Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?". American Economic Review.
5
Romer, Paul (1986). "Increasing Returns and Long-Run Growth". Journal of Political Economy.
6
Helpman, Elhanah (2004). The Mystery of Economic Growth. Harvard University Press. ISBN 978-0-674-01572-
2.
7
Aghion, Philippe (2002). "Schumpeterian Growth Theory and the Dynamics of Income Inequality".
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8
Galor, Oded (2011). Unified Growth Theory. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
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6. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT
Global warming
Up to the present, there is a close correlation between economic growth and the rate of carbon
dioxide emissions across nations, although there is also a considerable divergence in carbon
intensity (carbon emissions per GDP). Up to the present, there is also a direct relation between
global economic wealth and the rate of global emissions.9 The Stern Review notes that the
prediction that, "Under business as usual, global emissions will be sufficient to propel
greenhouse gas concentrations to over a high margin by the end of this century is robust to a
wide range of changes in model assumptions." The scientific consensus is that planetary
ecosystem functioning without incurring dangerous risks requires stabilization at 450–550
ppm.10
As a consequence, growth-oriented environmental economists propose government intervention
into switching sources of energy production, favoring wind, solar, hydroelectric, and nuclear. This
would largely confine use of fossil fuels to either domestic cooking needs (such as for kerosene
burners) or where carbon capture and storage technology can be cost-effective and
reliable. The Stern Review, published by the United Kingdom Government in 2006, concluded
that an investment of 1% of GDP (later changed to 2%) would be sufficient to avoid the worst
effects of climate change, and that failure to do so could risk climate-related costs equal to 20%
of GDP. Because carbon capture and storage are as yet widely unproven, and its long term
effectiveness (such as in containing carbon dioxide 'leaks') unknown, and because of current
costs of alternative fuels, these policy responses largely rest on faith of technological change.
British conservative politician and journalist Nigel Lawson has deemed carbon emission
trading an 'inefficient system of rationing'. Instead, he favors carbon taxes to make full use of the
efficiency of the market. However, in order to avoid the migration of energy-intensive industries,
the whole world should impose such a tax, not just Britain, Lawson pointed out. There is no
point in taking the lead if nobody follows suit.
9
Jaccard, M. (2005). Sustainable Fossil Fuels. New York: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0-521-67979-4.
10
Garrett, T. J. (2009). "Are there basic physical constraints on future anthropogenic emissions of carbon
dioxide?". Climatic Change.
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Resource constraint
Many earlier predictions of resource depletion, such as Thomas Malthus' 1798 predictions about
approaching famines in Europe, The Population Bomb,11 and the Simon–Ehrlich
wager (1980)[147] have not materialized. Diminished production of most resources has not
occurred so far, one reason being that advancements in technology and science have allowed
some previously unavailable resources to be produced. In some cases, substitution of more
abundant materials, such as plastics for cast metals, lowered growth of usage for some metals. In
the case of the limited resource of land, famine was relieved firstly by the revolution in
transportation caused by railroads and steam ships, and later by the Green Revolution and
chemical fertilizers, especially the Haber process for ammonia synthesis.12
Resource quality is composed of a variety of factors including ore grades, location, and altitude
above or below sea level, proximity to railroads, highways, water supply and climate. These
factors affect the capital and operating cost of extracting resources. In the case of minerals, lower
grades of mineral resources are being extracted, requiring higher inputs of capital and energy for
both extraction and processing. Copper ore grades have declined significantly over the last
century.13 Another example is natural gas from shale and other low permeability rock, whose
extraction requires much higher inputs of energy, capital, and materials than conventional gas in
previous decades. Offshore oil and gas have exponentially increased cost as water depth
increases.
11
Bailey, Ronald (2004-02-04). "Science and Public Policy". Reason.com. Retrieved 2010-12-22.
12
Wells, David A. (1891). Recent Economic Changes and Their Effect on Production and Distribution of Wealth
and Well-Being of Society. New York: D. Appleton and Co. ISBN 978-0-543-72474-8
13
Hall, Charles A.S.; Cleveland, Cutler J.; Kaufmann, Robert (1992). Energy and Resource Quality: The ecology
of the Economic Process. Niwot, Colorado: University Press of Colorado.
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Energy
Energy economic theories hold that rates of energy consumption and energy efficiency are linked
causally to economic growth. The Garrett Relation holds that there has been a fixed relationship
between current rates of global energy consumption and the historical accumulation of world
GDP, independent of the year considered. It follows that economic growth, as represented by
GDP growth, requires higher rates of energy consumption growth. Seemingly paradoxically,
these are sustained through increases in energy efficiency. Increases in energy efficiency were a
portion of the increase in Total factor productivity. Some of the most technologically important
innovations in history involved increases in energy efficiency. These include the great
improvements in efficiency of conversion of heat to work, the reuse of heat, the reduction in
friction and the transmission of power, especially through electrification.14
14
Landes, David. S. (1969). The Unbound Prometheus: Technological Change and Industrial Development in
Western Europe from 1750 to the Present. Cambridge, New York: Press Syndicate of the University of Cambridge.
pp. 289, 293. ISBN 978-0-521-09418-4.
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7. ECONOMIC CRISIS
An economic crisis refers to a major financial crisis in a country or across many countries that
impacts the banking system, the stock market and, often, even the stability of the government.
An economic crisis can occur due to many factors but it is often a combination of factors that
combine to create financial instability.
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3. High Unemployment
High unemployment levels can result from an economic crisis in action or can be one of the
causes of it. An economic crisis can occur when high interest rates, tight lending and a
decrease in consumer spending results in companies letting go of employees to survive the
economic downturn. This turns into a nasty downward spiral as unemployed consumers do not
spend freely, impacting businesses further and leading to more layoffs. Increasing
unemployment can also be found when companies outsource jobs to other countries. This type
of unemployment is more permanent in nature and can lead to longer-term economic
instability.
4. Natural Disaster
An environmental crisis can also spark an economic crisis. Hurricanes, widespread flooding,
insect infestations and crop diseases can impact the food we eat and the prices we pay at the
grocery store. Rising food prices can impact consumer spending habits and begin the
downward cycle that reduces business income and results in unemployment.
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8. CONCLUSION
Economic growth is what every economy tries to achieve for the good of everyone as a whole.
Developing, producing more, increased wages, higher levels of education, better and better
technologies is what we strive for. But doing all that, does that mean that we are living a better
life? Or is it just the ideal of doing better, not really the result that keeps us following the dream
of a perfect world. The effects of economic growth are full of positives points such as boost in
infrastructures, urban development, higher education, globalization, creates employment, higher
wages for workers, better living standards for the population, and the list can go on and on. But
aren’t there any externalities to all of this? There are some of the negative externalities of
growing above what the economy can take, reaching the limits where growing is counter-
productive. Some of those disadvantages of growth are outlined in this report, such as health
problems arising, environmental issues, education issues as well, and how standard of living
doesn’t always mean better is getting more.
9. REFERENCES
WEBSITES
intelligenteconomist.com/economic-growth/
economicsdiscussion.net/economic-growth/5-factors-that-affect-the-economic-growth-of-a-
country
smallbusiness.chron.com/factors-affecting-economic-development-growth
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_growth#Environmental_impact
smallbusiness.chron.com/economic-crisis-factors-1720.html
MISCELLANEOUS
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09418-4.
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