2023 H2 TA Revision Pack Set 1 Answers - FINAL
2023 H2 TA Revision Pack Set 1 Answers - FINAL
(a) With reference to Table 1, identify one 2019 macroeconomic indicator that [2]
might have been of concern to the Singapore government. Justify your
answer.
Question Analysis:
• “macroeconomic indicators” refers to indicators that measure economic growth, inflation
and unemployment.
• “of concern to the SG government”:
o Government macroeconomic aims are (1) sustainable & inclusive EG, (2) low
unemployment, (3) stable inflation and (4) healthy balance of payment [H2 only]
o Government would be of concerned if the macroeconomic aims are not achieved
as there are harmful consequence to not achieving the aims
Unemployment rate
Identify the indicator SG government might be concerned about the high
unemployment rate.
Unpack the data The high unemployment rate indicates that large
percentage of labour force is actively searching for jobs
but not employed/working.
Unpack the data The low inflation rate indicates that the GPL is increasing
too slowly, which could suggest that AD is rising slowly.
(b) Explain how the weakening of British pound might improve the UK [5]
economy.
Question Analysis:
Suggested Answer:
According to extract 2, there is a sharp depreciation of the British pound against the Euros
and the United States dollar (USD). The depreciation of the British pound can improve the
UK economy.
With a depreciation of the pound, prices of the UK’s exports become cheaper in foreign
currencies like the Euros and USD. Prices of the UK’s imports become more expensive in
Therefore, the increase in revenue due to the more than proportionate increase in quantity
demanded of exports outweighs the fall in revenue due to a fall in prices of exports in foreign
currencies. Thus, British’s export revenue (X) increases. At the same time, the rise in prices
of imports in terms of the pound due to the depreciation of the pound will cause a more than
proportionate decrease in quantity demanded of imports. The fall in expenditure due to a
more than proportionate decrease in quantity demanded of imports outweighs the increase
in expenditure due to the increase in prices of import in terms of the pound. Thus import
expenditure (M) falls.
The rise in X and a fall in M will cause net exports (X-M) to increase. The increase in (X-M)
will increase aggregate demand (AD) since it is a direct component of AD. Assuming the
UK economy is not at full employment level, an increase in AD will increase real national
output.
The increase in real national output can help to increase the actual economic growth of the
UK which has remained low at 1.5% in 2019 as seen from Table 1. Furthermore, to meet
the increase in demand of goods and services, businesses will increase hiring to increase
production, which also leads to a fall in unemployment. Lastly, the increase in general price
level can help to increase the low inflation rate to a higher level.
(c) Using an AD/AS diagram, explain the likely impact of the Productivity [5]
Solutions Grant on Singapore’s economic growth.
Question Analysis:
• “Using an AD/AS diagram”: mark is awarded for correctly drawn, well labelled and
referenced diagram.
• “likely impact”: the word “likely” suggests that the impact may not be found in the extract
Actual EG
PSG encourages companies to adopt IT solutions & equipment → encourage firms to invest
in capital goods → increase in AD0 to AD1 → increase in RNY by multiple times due to
multiplier effects → actual EG
Potential EG
PSG encourages companies to adopt IT solutions & equipment → encourage firms to invest
in capital goods → increase qty and/or quality of capital goods → increase in productive
capacity → increase the maximum amount of goods & services that can be produced →
increase LRAS from LRAS0 to LRAS1 and Yf0 to Yf1 → potential EG.
(d) Discuss the case for a government to aim for a high rate of economic [8]
growth.
Question Analysis:
• “Discuss”. Two sided arguments with evaluation required
• “high rates of economic growth”: Excessive growth
• “case for …high rates of economic growth”: reasons for growth. Positive outcomes
associated with high rates of economic growth
• 2nd POV: “case against… high rates of economic growth”: reasons against growth.
Negative outcomes associated with high rates of economic growth
Introduction:
Economic growth is a measure of the rate of increase in a country’s real GDP. Government
around the world tends to aim for high rates of economic growth as it can bring about many
benefits to the country. However, it is also important to be mindful of the problems that high
rates of economic growth can bring about at the same time.
Body 1:
[Topic sentence] High rates of economic growth can lead to greater improvement in material
standard of living of the residents in a country as mentioned in Extract 3.
[Explanation] With high rates of economic growth in the country, unemployment rates in the
country tends to be low since more labour is required to increase the production of goods
and services in the country. This generates an increase in income for the households which
enables them to consume more goods and services e.g. education mentioned in Extract 3,
increasing their material standard of living. This increase in material standard of living will
be very significant since the rates of economic growth is high/excessive.
[Example] An example of a country with high rates of economic growth is China and over
the past few years, it has also been observed that their standard of living did improved with
their high rates of economic growth.
[Link] In view of the greater improvement in material standard of living for the residents, the
government should pursue high rates of economic growth.
Body 2:
[Topic sentence] High rates of economic growth can lead to faster reduction in income-
inequality in a country as mentioned in Extract 3.
[Explanation] With high rates of economic growth, more tax revenue can be collected by the
government since most firms and households are experiencing rising income levels.
Government spending can also be reduced since less unemployment benefits/social
assistance are given out due to the fall in unemployment rate which tends to be associated
with high rates of economic growth. Together, the government budget position can be
improved and the government will have more funds available for the redistribution to the
lower income group, reducing income-inequality in the country. This reduction in income-
inequality will be very significant since the rates of economic growth is high/excessive.
[Example] Taking Singapore as an example, the aim of inclusive growth has enabled the
Singapore government to ensure that no one is left behind as the country progress and
enjoy the high rates of economic growth. The lower income group tends to receive more
transfer payment from the government which effectively lowers the income-inequality in the
country.
[Link] In view of the faster reduction in income inequality, the government should pursue
high rates of economic growth.
Body 3:
[Topic sentence] High rates of economic growth can lead to faster environmental
degradation and also worsen the non-material standard of living of the residents.
[Example] It is also observed in Extract 4 that India environment is increasingly filled with
smog and its lakes are more prone to fires.
[Link] In view of the faster environmental degradation and also worsening of the non-material
standard of living of the residents, the government needs to reconsider the case for high
rates of economic growth.
Body 4:
[Topic sentence] High rates of economic growth can lead to widening income-inequality
[Explanation] If the high rates of economic growth is achieved through the use of automation
and technology, highly skilled workers with relevant skills will be able to experience a faster
increase in their income level. However, those lowly skilled workers with obsolete skills will
be displaced from their jobs as their jobs have been taken over by the machines. As such,
the income inequality in a country may actually increase instead with high rates of economic
growth.
[Example]
[Link] In view of the widening income-inequality, the government needs to reconsider the
case for high rates of economic growth.
Evaluation
Whether government should pursue high rates of economic growth depends on a few
factors:
Firstly, it depends on the ability of the government to minimize the negative impact on the
country while enjoying the benefits associated with the high rates of economic growth. As
mentioned earlier, workers with obsolete skills may be displaced from their jobs and if the
government is able to fund the training for these retrenched workers to help them to move
into new sectors in the economy, the income-inequality may not necessarily worsen.
Instead, investment in human capital can bring in long term benefits for the country as it
promotes potential economic growth. This is also highly dependent on the amount of
government funds available. Taking Singapore as an example, the prudent government has
accumulated budget surpluses over the years and this has enabled the Singapore
government to fund training programme e.g. Workfare to uplift the skills of the low wage
workers.
Conclusion:
As discussed, economic growth can be a means to raise a country’s standard of living, and
is thus highly beneficial. However, governments need to take extra care to moderate the
rate of economic expansion or put in place measures to ensure that growth is sustainable
and inclusive. This is because it is more important in the long term that the state of the
environment and health of the labour force can continue to contribute towards economic
growth, and that the country can remain an attractive economy to invest in. Hence, the
government may wish to implement measures to address the negative externalities in
production, and redistribute income, before the costs of economic growth outweighs its
benefits.
(e) Using the information given and your own knowledge, discuss whether [10]
the standard of living is higher in Singapore or the UK in 2019.
Question Analysis:
Key words from Meaning of the key words
the question
Suggested Answer:
Introduction:
Standard of living (SOL) consists of two aspects, the material and non material standard of
living. Material SOL is reflected by the amount of goods and services individuals in a country
can enjoy whereas non-material SOL looks beyond income and considers factors such as
education, health and the amount of leisure time one can enjoy. To have a good holistic
comparison of the SOL between Singapore and the UK, both aspects of SOL should be
considered.
Body:
[Topic Sentence] Singapore could have a higher material SOL as compared to the UK
as it has a higher real GDP per capita.
● [Evidence] According to Table 1, Singapore has a higher real GDP per capita than
the UK in 2019.
● [Explanation] The higher GDP per capita implies higher household income for the
average citizen in Singapore, implying a higher purchasing power which allows the
average citizen to consume more goods and services.
● [Link] Therefore, Singapore has a higher material SOL than the UK.
● [Evaluation] However, it may not be accurate to use real GDP per capita measured
at US dollars to compare the material SOL between Singapore and the UK as it does
not take into account the difference in purchasing power between the two countries.
Using GDP per capita adjusted by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) may provide a
more accurate comparison of material SOL between the two countries as it
measures the amount of foreign currencies needed to buy the same basket of goods
and services in the two countries.
● [Transition Statement] Furthermore, real GDP per capita does not measure the
degree of income inequality of a country and a high degree of income inequality can
reduce the accuracy of real GDP per capita as an indicator of material SOL.
[Transition Statement] Furthermore, real GDP per capita can only compare the material
SOL between the two countries. To have a more comprehensive evaluation of SOL, non-
material SOL such as education and healthcare should also be considered.
[Topic Sentence] The UK could have a higher non-material SOL than Singapore as it
has better work life balance.
● [Explanation + Evidence] From Extract 5, the UK ranks higher than Singapore in
the work life balance survey which measures the average number of hours worked
per week and the perceived level of happiness among other factors. Singaporeans
may not have a higher SOL even if they may be earning higher income as they are
working longer hours and have fewer leisure time as compared to the UK’s citizens.
Long working hours and limited time for leisure can lead to workplace stress that can
affect workers’ physical and mental health, thereby decreasing their non-material
SOL. Therefore, achieving a high material SOL can be at the expense of worsening
the non-material SOL.
● [Link] This suggests that the non-material SOL of the UK in terms of work life
Evaluation 1
● [Stand] Based on the data given, the UK seems to have a higher SOL than
Singapore.
● [Criterion] To accurately evaluate the SOL of a country, the aim is to be as
comprehensive as possible.
● [Justification] However, it is very difficult for one indicator to capture all the different
aspects that contribute to SOL. This is because different individuals will have
different factors that affect their SOL. As such, the aim to have comprehensive
evaluation of SOL can be achieved by using multiple indicators. For example, HDI
together with Gini Coefficient and Work Life Balance survey can be used to assess
the material, non-material aspects of SOL and income distribution. From both HDI
and Gini coefficient, it seems that the SOL of the UK is higher than Singapore.
Evaluation 2
● [Stand] Based on the current data provided, there is insufficient data to conclude
which country has a higher SOL.
● [Criterion] To accurately evaluate the SOL of a country, the aim is to be as
comprehensive as possible.
● [Justification] However, the current data provides limited scope to compare the
SOL of the two countries, especially on the non-material aspects of SOL. While the
current data may suggest that the UK has a higher SOL in terms of the non-material
SOL and income distribution, looking at other aspects of non-material SOL such as
safety and crime and level of corruption can paint a very different picture. To assess
safety, the Safe Cities Index 2019 conducted by the Economist Intelligence Unit can
be used and Singapore is ranked the highest for infrastructure and personal safety.
The Corruption Perception Index which is reported by Transparency International is
often used to assess the level of corruption in a country and Singapore is ranked 4th
while the UK is ranked 12th. Therefore, in order to have a more comprehensive and
conclusive evaluation of SOL between the two countries, perhaps more indicators
or a composite indicator that looks at more areas should be used.
Evaluation
(a) Explain the factors that determine a country’s economic growth. [10]
Approach:
• Explain what is meant by economic growth – actual growth and potential growth.
• Use AD-AS analysis to explain the factors that determine the country’s actual and potential
economic growth
Introduction:
Economic growth is the rate of increase in GDP. GDP refers to the monetary value of goods
and services within the boundaries of a country in a period of time. Economics growth rate is
positive when GDP is rising.
GDP is determined by the economy’s AD and AS. Changes in factors that affect the economy’s
AD and AS would have an impact on GDP, hence affecting actual and potential economic
growth.
L Potential growth is determined by factors that affect the economy’s economic capacity and
hence LRAS
Conclusion:
Focus: Whether GDP is a good indicator of SOL. This question is NOT on space or time
comparison of SOL
Context: “In a country” - Students may use any country as example
Command: “Discuss”. The key word in this questions is “good”. Hence students are required
to assess the extent of GDP as an indicator of SOL and the type of GDP data
that can more accurately indicate SOL
INTRODUCTION:
SOL refers to the material and non-material SOL. While GDP may reflect the kind of material
SOL a country has, it is very limited in indicating the non-material SOL.
Transition: Which GDP can give an indication of a rough gauge of the SOL in the country, it
does not give an accurate indication of SOL.
T The accuracy of GDP as a good indicator of SOL depends on the GDP data that is
used to measure SOL.
E1 (Explain) Real GDP data is better than nominal GDP in indicating SOL as, unlike nominal
GDP, real GDP is measured at the base year price to take away the effect of changes in
GPL.
(Elaborate) i.e. it takes into consideration the GPL of the goods and service, hence more
accurately reflect the households’ purchasing power, i.e. how much goods and services
they can buy with their given income.
E2 (Explain) Specifically, real GDP per capita is a better indicator of SOL than just real GDP.
(Elaborate) Real GDP is the total value of goods and services produced in the country and
does not take into consideration the population size of the country. On the other hand, real
GDP per capita is GDP divided by population. It reflects the average income earned by
the households in the country.
L Hence, real GDP per capital is a better indicator of material SOL than real GDP and
nominal GDP.
Transition: However, although real GDP per capita indicates the average income earned per
household, it is not a good indicator of the overall SOL of the country.
(Evaluation 2)
T For GDP to be a good indicator of SOL, there is a need to scrutinize closely the composition
of the GDP
E1 (Explain) GDP with large consumption expenditure as a proportion of GDP would indicate
higher SOL as the large Consumptions reflects the higher households’ spending on the
goods and services, giving the impression of the households’ purchasing power.
(elaborate) On the other hand, a GDP with high proportion on export and investment
indicates the economy’s high dependence on export and investment to grow, but does not
reflect the households’ spending on the goods and services produced in the country.
(evaluate) However, one cannot conclude that a country with lower Consumption proportion
of GDP to have a lower SOL than another country with a higher C as a proportion of its GDP.
(Example) One cannot conclude that Singapore, with its C making up less than 40% of its
GDP to have lower SOL than Japan that has more than C more than 70% of its GDP
E2 (explain) Likewise, High government spending does not necessarily indicate high SOL.
(Example) like Pakistan, the high government spending is mainly on defense and military
equipment. On the other hand, a government budget that attempts at narrowing the country’s
income gap and on social development would reflect a high SOL.
L Hence for GDP data to be a good indicator of SOL, there is a need to look closely at the
composition of the GDP
(Evaluation 3)
T Whether GDP is a good indicator of SOL also depends on the accuracy of the GDP
data.
E1 (explain) This is especially so for countries whose economic activities are largely non-
monetised with exchanges of goods and services made through barter trade such as DIYs
and subsistence farming. Such large “shadow economy” makes it smaller than the actual
goods and services produced in the economy.
(example) A developing country with large agricultural sector that is largely made up of
subsistence farming is likely to lead to an undervalued GDP.
(example) In Singapore, the large unlicensed home-based businesses that are transacted
through the social media such as Facebook and Instagram generate incomes are not
reported.
E2 (Explain) Reliability of data is also affected by the quality of the data collected.
(example) Large amounts of income that goes undetected, either due to the illegality of the
activities or under-declaration of income, affect the reliability of the GDP data as an indicator
of SOL
E3 (explain) The accuracy of GDP also depends on the country’s capabilities in gathering
relevant data accurately, depending on the country’s available expertise and technology in
acquiring reliable relevant data.
L Hence GDP is a good indicator of SOL in a country that has the capability to gather more
accurate and reliable data so that the GDP value would be able to accurate determine the
material SOL in the country
• GDP gives an indication of the goods and services that the people on the country can
enjoy, and also the overall income earned by the country
• However, for GDP to be a good indicator of SOL, depends on the GDP data is nominal
GDP or real GDP. Real GDP per capita is possibly a good indicator of material SOL, as it
reflects the average household’s purchasing power.
• However whether it gives an accurate indication of SOL depends on the reliability and
accuracy of the data, given that some economic activities and output produced e.g.
subsistence farming, DIYs are not recorded in the GDP. This is made worse by under-
declared income to avoid paying higher income taxes.
• Even at its best, GDP, and even real GDP per capita is limited as an indicator of non-
material SOL
L2 • Answer that attempts to analyse of how GDP can be an indicator of SOL, but 5-7
not developed and lack use of appropriate examples of both material and non-
material welfare.
• Or
• A generic answer and somewhat not well-developed discussion on problems of
GDP to determine SOL.
Question 3
3 (a) Explain the main macroeconomic indicators that can be used to compare
changes in living standards across countries. [10]
(a)
Question Requirements:
• Explain what SOL is
• Explain significance of comparing changes in SOL across countries
• Explain indicators that can be used to compare such changes
(Requirement 1: Using GDP figures that can be used to compare SOL between
countries)
E [Elaborate]:
• Material SOL: quantity and quality of goods and services available to be enjoyed
• Non-material SOL: quality and affordability of housing, hours of work required to
purchase necessities, gross domestic product, inflation rate, number of holiday
days per year, affordable (or free) access to quality healthcare, quality and
availability of education, life expectancy, incidence of disease, etc
L Comparing indicators may show how the population in the country become better off
over time and shows the progress of the economy
TRANSITION: Comparing changes in SOL across countries through the use of indicators
like GDP figures allows economists to assess how well economies and governments are
doing, relatively, in improving living standards in their countries.
L It may be insufficient to just consider Real GDP per capita of each country for
comparison, but to include PPP values as well.
Transition: Real GDP per capita may give an inaccurate level of SOL as the cost of living
can be affected by price differences in similar goods in different countries
L To compensate for that, PPP adjusted real GDP per capita is used.
Transition: There are also other indicators we may use to compare SOL between countries
L To compensate for that, PPP adjusted real GDP per capita is used.
Conclusion
Comparing Sol between countries require a comprehensive set of data on the respective
countries’ macroeconomic performance.
Question requirements:
• Explain impact of improvement in labour productivity in SG on SOL – positive
and negative, material and non-material
• Weigh the significance of impact of labour productivity (against other
variables)
Introduction:
o Explain improvement in labour productivity: an increase in output per labour within a
specific time period.
o Backdrop: Singapore economy faces tight labour market → to attain sustainable, non-
inflationary growth, need to increase productive capacity. Since government is unable to
increase size of labour force much further (political, social instability; infrastructure unable
to cope) the better alternative is to improve productivity of each worker.
o Optional: Some examples of measures like STEP, SPUR, CET, etc. Even PIC can help to
improve labour productivity though enabling workers to work with faster and more
efficient equipment
T Improved productivity can have a positive impact on worker’ motivation and SOL
E • Wages ought to be paid according to productivity level of the worker (because
demand for worker and his/her skills increases)
• Higher productivity → higher wage as fair payment Despite using exchange rates
to convert real GDP per capita into the same base currency, it is not sufficient to
E • Worker productivity can be enhanced not only through skills enhancement, but
also through the use of better and more labour-efficient technology and
machines
• If it is through the latter → fewer people needed to fulfil the same purpose and
produce the same output
• E.g. pre-fabrication of housing units has decreased the amount of labour needed
in the construction industry to piece together a house brick by brick, steel bar by
steel bar.
L Those who can upgrade themselves & are sufficiently adaptable to handle the
changes will remain employed and can enjoy higher compensation → higher SOL.
Their motivation can also benefit their firms
Transition: There are benefits to firms and the economy as well with improved labour
productivity.
T Improved productivity can have a positive impact on Firms and the economy overall.
E LR: when labour productivity rises and translates into lower costs/higher
revenue/higher profits for the firms, firms are able to pass these on to the workers in
terms of higher pay
E • With higher labour productivity → each worker can produce more if fully and
efficiently employed → productive capacity increases → LRAS rises
• In face of rising AD in SG close to full cap., this allows SG to experience potential
and sustainable actual growth → rise in real income levels across SG (give
AD/AS analysis)
• In face of rising cost-push pressures from labour crunch shortages which has
been translating into significantly higher prices (especially in the F&B industry,
tourism industry, construction industry), this allows firms to have some respite
from the rising costs of production and consumers from the rising costs of living
L With productivity improvement schemes specifically targeted at the lower-skilled
groups (SPUR), this can also improve income mobility and lower income disparity →
improve SOL.
T There are parts of the labour force who may not benefit from higher productivity
growth and hence face lower SOL.
E Demand for highly productive workers tends to be higher, but for workers who do not
upgrade themselves → slow or little demand for such labour → depressed wages
E Moreover, there will be a significant number of people who risk being laid off because
technology has replaced them → structural unemployment.
L Firms could bear the higher cost of improving labour productivity through financing of
workers’ skills training.
T SR: Firms may have to bear the cost of the improvement in labour productivity (e.g.
training courses).
E Higher cost of production incurred → might lower profits in the SR → might be unable
to afford passing on pay increases immediately to worker until results are seen
E The extent of cost they have to bear depends on available grants that the
Government may offer to SMEs to upgrade and upskill their workers.
L Overall, SOL improvement depends on the ability of firms to offer their workers the
opportunity to upgrade their skills.
Conclusion:
The Singapore government would need to take a proactive role in developing a skilled
workforce through a seamless progression of skills improvement that is compounded by a fair
wage system so that SOL can be improved. At the same time, the govt must be wary of
structural unemployment happening to workers who are displaced by the on-going
technological shifts in industries.