CBM 112 Sim
CBM 112 Sim
Tagum College
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Table of Contents
Page
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Metalanguage .......................................................................... 59
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
3
DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Penalties for Late Assessments If you were not able to submit exercises on time and
should you want to ask for an extension due for some
important reasons, you shall make a letter of request for
extension which is subject for approval from your course
coordinator. You will also be required to present/attach
evidences which is necessary to strengthen your request.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Re-marking of Assessment Papers You should request in writing addressed to the course
and Appeal coordinator your intention to appeal or contest the score
given to an assessment task. The letter should explicitly
explain the reasons/points to contest the grade. The
course coordinator shall communicate with the
complainant on the approval and disapproval of the
request.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Cashiering Office
Globe: 09458941623
Smart: 09494254457
Sun: 09336032028
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
CC’s Voice: Hello prospective business practitioners! Welcome to this course CBM 112:
Operation’s Management with TQM. By now, I am confident that you really
wanted to become a successful business professional and that you have
visualized yourself already doing business in your own specific field of
expertise.
CO: Before the actual business practice, you have to deal with several challenges
that needs the application of appropriate tools or methods for basic
productions and operations scenarios and solve actual business problems
through the use of quantitative and qualitative tools and techniques which
are the course outcomes of this subject. This particular subject shall dicuss
the nature, scope and limitation, and importance of Operations, Production,
and Total Quality Management in a business entity. This comprise topics on
productivity, project management, forecasting, decision making
environment, and Total Quality Management. Specific cases/problems will
be given to actualize and internalize your comprehension of the topic for
easy understanding
Let us begin!
Big Picture A
Week 1-3: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are expected to
Metalanguage
In this section, the most essential terms relevant to the study of production management
and to demonstrate ULOa was operationally defined and discussed in the essential
knowledge to establish a common frame of reference as to how the texts work in your
chosen field or career. You will encounter these terms as we go through the study of
production management. Specific discussion per topic shall be provided in the later part
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
to help you understand more about the scope in studying this course. There will be
computation as well, formula and sample was also provided to guide you in answering
the exercises in this unit.
1. Production. Production is the creation of goods and services.
2. Productivity. The concept refers to the amount of outputs (goods and services)
divided by inputs (like labor and capital resources).
3. Single-factor productivity. Indicates the ratio of one resource (input) to the (output)
generated products and services.
4. Multi-factor productivity. Indicates the ratio of many or all resources (inputs) to the
products and services (outputs) produced.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the first week of the
course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge that will be laid
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively refer to
these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research articles and
other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc.
1. Hard Rock Café. This multi-national company is a world class restaurant which later
diversify its business to gaming, hotel, and casinos. Hard Rock Café was built in the
year 1971, it was the best dining restaurant in London due to its unique themed food
services which gives customers a rock and roll ambiance.
1.1 This rock and roll themed restaurant prepares and customized over 3,500 meals
every day. Hard Rock Café in Orlando, Florida, is one of the largest restaurants
in the world. Despite the demands of the customers, the operations manager in
HRC is incredibly competitive which consistently serve the “hot food hot and the
cold food cold”.
1.2 Having an efficient work layout and process are just some of the priorities of the
Operations Manager in HRC. This may also be the reason of the employee’s
effective and efficient work job. Operations and Production related process was
carefully and meticulously checked by the managers to ensure that the food was
served right on time with correct measures, temperatures etc.
1.3 In 1979, the famous singer Eric Clapton once visited the cafe and due5 to its
delight he gave his guitar as memorabilia to show satisfaction and delight of the
restaurant magnificent dining experience. Ever since, the idea on covering its
walls with rock and roll memorabilia commence. Many icons/artist who visited the
place did the same and left valuables to the café, which paves its way to become
a Restaurant with mini museum with valuable things hanging at the wall. Some
known artist was Madona/Michael Jackson etc.
1.4 The secret for maintaining its reputation lies in the effective work lay-out set by
the operations manager considering process from grilling, baking, frying, and
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
more of it, which helped in ensuring quality in any aspect of service and goods
served to its customers.
1.5 Operations management is complex, difficult and exciting. It's impacting our daily
lives. The operations managers basically decide how well we live.
2. Operations Management. To define the operations management, it is a sequence
of activities that generate value by transformation of inputs into outputs in the form of
products and services.
2.1 Production. Production is the creation of goods and services.
3. How to organize the production of goods & services. Business entities always
considered the 3 major function that are vital in the creation of goods and services.
Most of its operation are primarily focused in these departments. These are
considered to be a vital key for productivity as well as in surviving organizational
competition.
3.1 Marketing function. This department/function primarily concerns the
identification, advertising and penetrating existing or target market. Thus, this
function is vital as it generates the demands of the product.
3.2 Production/Operation function. Obviously, without this the company does not
have anything to sell. This function mainly concerns the Creation of the product.
3.3 Finance/Accounting function. This function tracks the inflow and outflow of
the company finances which concerns the payment of bills, collection of money
and many others.
4. Why Study Operations Management? Good Om managers are scarce and as a
result, career opportunities and pay are excellent. There are four major reasons why
studying OM is essential for businesses:
4.1 Operation’s Management belongs to the 3 major functions. Thus, it’s
essentially to know basic function of it since it’s related to all.
4.2 In order to know how goods and services are created and produced.
4.3 Operations manager always encounter challenges which requires
decision making, to understand them studying OM will be very helpful.
4.4 In business most specially in manufacturing industry and services
Operations Management holds a big portion of budget and deciding
matters on where to cut cost and other decision is vital.
5. Major Task of the Operation’s Manager. All managers still go back in doing the 5
distinct process of management known as POSDICON.
5.1 Planning. This function tackles about the setting of objectives, long-term/
short-term plans, company policy, operations and procedures which aims
to attain the goals of the company.
5.2 Organizing – This refers to grouping of the different organizational
resources particularly the 6M’s which includes men, money, machineries,
market, method, and moment.
5.3 Staffing. This is a highly HR function that particularly targets on “putting
the right person in the right job”.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
3. Process & Capacity What process & what capacity will these products require?
design What equipment & technology is necessary for these
processes?
4. Location Strategy Where should we put the facility? How large must the facility
be to meet our plan?
5. Layout strategy How should we arrange the facility? How large must the
facility be to meet our plan?
8. Inventory, material How much inventory of each item should we have? When do
requirements planning we reorder?
& JIT
9. Intermediate & Are we better off keeping people on the payroll during
short-term scheduling slowdowns? Which job do we perform next?
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Unique: Your investments and medical care Similar products produced (iPods)
are unique
High customer interaction: Often what the Limited customer involvement in production
customer is paying for (consulting,
education)
Inconsistent product definition: Auto Product standardized (iPhone)
Insurance changes with age and type of car
Often knowledge based: Legal, education, Standard tangible product tends to make
and medical services are hard to automate automation feasible
Services dispersed: Service may occur at Product typically produced at a fixed facility
retail store, local office, house call, or via
internet.
Quality may be hard to evaluate: Consulting, Many aspects of quality for tangible
education, and medical services products are easy to evaluate (strength of a
bolt)
Reselling is unusual: Musical concert or Product often has some residual value
medical care
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
10
DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson:
Let’s Check
QUIZ EXERCISE 1. Now that you know the most essential terms in the introduction of
production management. Let us try to check your understanding of these terms. In the
space provided, write the term/s being asked in the following statements (10 pts):
Services
_______________1. Often produced and consumed simultaneously.
Operation management
_______________2. Activities linked to the production of products and services, through turning
inputs into outputs.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
Single factor productivity
_______________3. Indicates the ratio of one resource (input) to the goods & services produced
(outputs).
Capital
_______________4. A variable that contributes about 38% of the annual increase.
Production
_______________5. Refers to the creation of goods & services.
_______________6. Hard Rock Café in Makati City was established in what complete date?
Organizing
_______________7. Grouping together of people, establishing relationship among them, and
defining the authority and responsibility the personnel have in the use of
the company’s material resources to attain predetermined goals and
objective.
Multi-
factor
_______________8. Indicates the ratio of many or all resources (inputs) to the goods and
services produced (outputs).
Controll
ing
_______________9. Process of measuring and correcting the activities of subordinates and the
company itself to assure conformity to plans.
Productivity
______________10. The ratio of outputs (goods and services) divided by the inputs (resources
such as labor and capital).
QUIZ EXERCISE 2. Write TRUE if the statement is Correct and write FALSE if it is incorrect
(10 points).
______________ 1. Hard Rock Café in Orlando, Florida , prepares over 1,500 meals
each day.
______________ 2. The use of productivity measures aids manager in determining how
well they are doing.
______________ 3. The formula in measuring productivity is Input / Output used.
______________ 4. The marketing function creates goods and services.
______________ 5. Productivity improvements are easy to achieve.
Let’s Analyze
ASSIGNMENT 1. Getting acquainted with the computations in the topic productivity.
Now, I will require you to solve the problem given considering the requirements.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
PROBLEM: Klaus Mikaelson makes Volleyballs in his New Orlean plant. He has a
renewed belief in productivity with recent increases in the prices. Klaus had an interest
in assessing his organisation 's profitability. He would like to ask if his business achieves
an annual production gain of three percent in manufacturing. He has the following details
reflecting a month from last year, and this year's corresponding month.
REQUIREMENT (Place your solution for each category per box below):
1. Compute for the productivity of each category (up to 4 decimal point per answer).
Show your solution
2.Compute for the productivity percentage change for each category (up to 4 decimal
point per answer). Show your solution.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________
In a Nutshell
Based from the definition of the most essential terms of production management and the
learning exercises that you have done, please feel free to write your arguments or lessons
learned below. I have indicated my arguments or lessons learned.
1. Business practitioners must have basic knowledge on the five management function
process: Planning, Organizing, Staffing, Directing, and Controlling (POSDICON).
2. Argue which is the best measurement of productivity: Single-factor or Multi-factor?
Single-factor productivity is often used especially in the service sector. Measuring
labor productivity has been very important since human resources are considered as
one of the main reasons of its increase/decrease. However, Multi-factor productivity
is a holistic approach in measuring productivity since it does not consider one input
but multiple inputs over time. Thus, it is very helpful as it results to achieve an
objective decision.
Your Turn
3. ______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION
Human Resource Management Program
Mabini Street, Tagum City
Davao del Norte
Telefax: (084)655-9591 Local 116
In this section, you may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in your
review of concepts and essential knowledge. Answers will be specifically tackled in the
scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
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Big Picture A in Focus: ULOb.
b. Discuss the Global Environment and Identify the different
Operations Strategy in an International Environment
Metalanguage
For you to understand ULOb, you will need to have an idea of the Global Company Profile:
Boeing. This international company is a best example on how Boeing’s Global Strategy
yields competitive advantage.
1. Mission. The purpose or rationale for an organization’s existence.
2. Strategy. The organization’s action plan to achieve the mission. Firms achieve mission
in three conceptual ways: Differentiation, Cost leadership, and Response.
3. International Business. Refers to companies that venture in international trade or
investment.
4. Multi-national corporation. It a firm with significant presence in multinational markets,
operates or manages assets in more than one nation.
5. International Strategy. This firms involve in exporting and importing to expand
business in an international setting.
6. Multi-domestic strategy. Operations of this firms are highly decentralized, his is highly
sensitive to the culture and styles of the country where it operates.
7. Global Strategy. Opposite to Multi-domestic global strategy operation is centralized
no matter what country you are in.
8. Transnational Strategy. This is the best strategy yet the costliest one, this is a
combination of global and multi-domestic strategy where standardization of process is
maintained but local responsiveness was also focused on.
Essential Knowledge
Before you proceed further with the topic, it is highly important to rationalize discussion on
the global view of operations, developing missions and strategies, achieving competitive
advantage through operations, issues in operations strategy and global operations strategy
options.
1. Operation in a Global Setting. Thinking globally should be the mindset of all
operation’s managers at this time. In 1990s, a lot of problem was seen as hindrance
in improving productivity and these are: religions, ethnicity, colors politics, and even
cultural barriers. Gone are the days were discrimination is prevalent that affects the
productivity of the people working in a certain company.
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The creation of Boeing 787 dreamliner is considered as one of the best strategy
applied both in global and engineering perspective. This breakthrough in
manufacturing and engineering raises the bar in supply chain management. The
787 dreamliner acquired a record breaking sales dues to its state-of-the-art design
branded as fast-selling commercial jets in history;
Using a virtual work station allows Boeing engineers to coordinate and collaborate
in real time even if sub-parts were made in other countries including partners in
Australia, Japan, Italy, Canada, and across the Unites States. Digital testing was
used in identifying errors before the actual production per sub-part of the
dreamliner;
Lastly, after digital testing, the parts were shipped at Everest Washington for the
final assembly;
35% of the Dreamliner was built by Japanese suppliers and others were distributed
from different countries. This implies that the trust of several Multi-national
companies in Japan is huge due to their robust design and quality product which is
vital in ensuring quality output; and
Therefore, domestic production is not anymore viable for Global companies in this
Globalized era. Many Businesses also considered other strategies in expanding the
market, exporting/importing is already an old strategy, venturing multi-domestic,
global, and transnational strategy for multi-national company is the new normal.
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3.1.1 Labor cost is one of the variables that needs to be focused on and some
countries like Philippines, China, and other Asian Countries offer lesser
cost of labor than in developed countries.
3.1.2 trade agreements have aimed to eliminate taxes and therefore to
decrease the costs of running facilities abroad:
3.1.2.1 World Trade Organization (WTO). An international organization
that promotes world trade by lowering barriers to the free flow of
goods across borders;
3.1.2.2 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). A free trade
agreement between Canada, Mexico, and the United States;
3.1.2.3 Maquiladoras. Mexican factories located along US – Mexico
border that receive preferential tariff treatment; and
3.1.2.4 European Union (EU). A European trade group that has 27
member states.
TRIVIA ► U.S. CARTOON CHARACTERS WERE CREATED IN MANILA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Around 90% of U.S. televised cartoon were created by Filipinos to name some of it are: FRED
FLINSTONE, TOM & JERRY, ALADIN, and DONALD DUCK. Filipinos are flexible in adapting
other country’s culture plus the familiarity and expertise in the universal language paved way to
be one of the outsourced labor in Asian countries. Filipinos are also liked by foreign country due
to its talents, character, and intelligence.
Disney, Marvel, Warner Brother and Hanna-Barbera are the major universal studios that
outsourced Filipinos to create storyboards and sketches per episode and voice tracks to the
Philippines. Approximately, 20,000 sketches were drawn for a 30-minutes episode. These giant
companies were able to save a lot of labor cost from $500,000 dollars if US made to $130,000 if
Philippine-made or $160,000 if Korean-made.
Sources: Journal of Global Information Technology Management (2007): 1-6; The New York
Times (February 26, 2004): A29; and the Wall Street Journal (August 9, 2005): D8.
3.2 Supply Chain improvement. Going near to the main source of supply is also
a wise move for most companies, they were able to save shipping fees and
other costs involve in raw materials acquisition.
3.2.1 Auto mecca of Southern California were known for its world-class auto
styling studios in which most companies move there to learn auto-design;
3.2.2 China is famous for its cheap production costs thus some known athletic
shoe like Nike transferred from South Korea to China to save labor and
production cost;
3.2.3 Grasse, France is where the world’s best essences was located. Most
known Perfume manufacturer has outlet or plant in there to acquire in
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close contact the flowers in the Mediterranean which are used to extract
essence for perfumes.
3.3 Provide an Improve Product. Going global permits companies to understand
the culture of other countries inspiring them to innovate and improve current
existing product. Foreign markets can also be a tool to discover something new
in your business thereby contributing in a new and improved version of your
goods and services.
3.4 Understand Markets. Competition can lead to new opportunities. Due to
hypercompetition companies thrives to be better with its rival at all times. With
this, opportunity from service providers are also sufficient. Same with supply
chain improvement the following examples was also noted due to
understanding market competition:
3.4.1 Japan was known for its robust design and quality products. Thus, a lt of
Cell phone manufacturers outsourced computer aided design (CAD)
and computer aided manufacturing (CAM) in Japan.
3.4.2 For developed country like Japan, product life cycle works differently
compared to developing countries. Thus, engaging global operations can
also be a tool to extend the product life cycle of an existing product.
Example, a declining cellphone edition in Japan might be an introductory
edition in the Philippines. So instead of junking it why not sell it to
developing countries to make more profit out of it;
3.4.3 As discussed OM job becomes more demanding because of the different
variations in lifestyle, culture and economic activity in every county. Thus
understanding each is vital, for instance, Whirlpool designs washing
machines with dry washers in countries with four seasons while in tropical
country it’s optional. Likewise, refrigerators in some Asian country like
India or Bangkok were in bright colors because it was displayed at the
living room which became part of their decorations while in others colors
are in white, black, or cream.
3.5 Continuously Learn to Improve Operations. Learning is like a race with no
finish line. It’s fluid and allow a free flow of ideas.
3.5.1 When it comes to product design and inventory management Japanese
and Scandinavians are so good at that. In ergonomics, designing product
must always aim in making our life better, the connection of the design
and on how we use it must be beneficial to the customer considering not
to waste time and save motion.
3.5.2 The international operations will boost customer satisfaction and
response time.
3.6 Attract and Retain Global Talent. Potential employees can be kept intact if
companies gave them opportunities to grow and develop their potentials.
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Wasting such talents is a big loss to global companies, in going global one
needs a highly competitive human resources also to understand well what’s
happening in the bigger picture.
4. Mission and Strategy Development. It is uncommon for companies to set a
mission and develop a strategy. To continue business operation, setting the
preliminaries are vital because every decision must be anchored in the big picture.
4.1 Mission. The purpose or rationale for an organization’s existence.
4.2 Strategy. The organization’s action plan to achieve the mission. Firms achieve
mission in three conceptual ways: Differentiation, Cost leadership, and
Response.
5. Conceptual ways in achieving mission. These strategies paved way for
companies to stay on track and develop its competitive edge over others:
5.1 Competitive Advantage. Something that you have that others do not have. It
is also something about the product leader that you have or the best service
that you offer that others cannot or do not give.
5.2 Differentiation. This strategy can also be matched with the competitive
advantage that you have. Adding value to the product is a tool to attain such
edge. This is attributed to the customer’s transcendent perspective in viewing
your product, the uniqueness and may go into both physical and service
characteristics. Exceeding customer’s perception of value.
5.3 Cost Leadership. This is about offering product in a just price. It does not imply
cheap prices for a product but it tackles about the relationship with quality and
cost. Using Cost Leadership does not imply low quality because it particularly
targets mass market, acquiring quality and affordable product.
5.4 Response. It is normal for a company to experience post-purchase services
and responding timely to customer’s concern is highly relevant. A lot of company
also cater to the specific needs of the customer in which response strategy can
be used in maintaining customer satisfaction.
6. Global Operations Strategy Options. Nowadays, companies that settle in
traditional business operation are associated with less sale records as compared to
a global firm. Going global does not always mean selling product outside the country
but also means improving product using global operations.
6.1 International Business. Refers to companies that venture in international trade
or investment.
6.2 Multi-national corporation. It a firm with significant presence in multinational
markets, operates or manages assets in more than one nation.
6.3 International Strategy. This firms involve in exporting and importing to expand
business in an international setting. In the Philippines, this is very common in
agricultural products were DOLE or SUMIFRU engages in such activities. This
has little local responsiveness and little cost advantage.
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6.4 Multi-domestic strategy. Operations of this firms are highly decentralized, his
is highly sensitive to the culture and styles of the country where it operates.
Example is the leading fast food chain in the world, McDonalds. This Restaurant
offers variety of menu depending on the country they are in. For instance,
Mcdonalds in France offers wine, beer in Germany, Teriyaki in Japan etc. The
strategy has high local responsiveness with little or no cost advantage.
6.5 Global Strategy. Opposite to Multi-domestic global strategy operation is
centralized no matter what country you are in. This is common in BPOs in which
they just expanded their business operation to ot her country. This has
significant cost reduction but little local responsiveness.
6.6 Transnational Strategy. This is the best strategy yet the most costly one, this
is a combination of global and multi-domestic strategy where standardization of
process is maintained but local responsiveness was also focused on. The best
sample for this is the Boeing 787 dreamliner were parts were made across
boarders but maintain business operation standard at home country. This
strategy has significant cost reduction and significant local responsiveness.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you further
understand the lesson:
* Heizer, J. and Render, B. (2011). Principles of Operations management. 10th edition.
Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, pp 59-79.
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* Schroeder, R. G., Goldstein, S. M. and Rungtusanatham, M. J. (2017). Operations
management in the supply chain: decisions and cases. 7TH edition. New York, NY:
McGraw-Hill Education, 18-32.
Let’s Check
QUIZ EXERCISE 3. Please encircle the letter of your correct answer that best reflects your
thinking (10 points).
1. A mission statement is beneficial to an organization because it:
a. is a statement of the organization’s purpose.
b. identifies important constituencies.
c. Details specific income goals.
d. ensures profitability.
2. The three strategic approaches to competitive advantage are _________,
_________, and ________.
a. international, mutidomestic, and transnational strategy
b. response, cost leadership, and differentiation
c. response, global, and multidomestic
d. mission, strategy, and competitive advantage
3. A company that is organized across boundaries, with decentralized authority and
substantial autonomy at each business via subsidiaries, franchises, or joint venture
has:
a. a global strategy c multidomestic strategy
b. a transnational strategy d. international strategy
4. The purpose or rationale for an organization’s existence.
a. Vision b. Goals c. Mission d. company philosophy
5. A Global Operations Strategy that produces goods considering the cultural
background of the country.
a. International Strategy c. Multidomestic Strategy
b. Transnational Strategy d. Global Strategy
Let’s Analyze
RESEARCH EXERCISE 1 - Provide your own discussion in the blank spaces. This activity
will be rated according to the rubrics below:
Note: Answer will be rated per item/requirement including references (5-point is the highest
– total of 25 points)
1. Based on the description and analysis for this topic, would Boeing be better described
as a global firm or a transnational firm? Discuss.
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Answer:
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2. There are three primary ways to achieve competitive advantage. Provide an example
not included in the text for each, support your choices (use APA format 6 th edition in
proper citation and referencing).
Answer:
Differentiation _________________________________________________________
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_______________________________________________________________________
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Response _____________________________________________________________
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__________________________________________________________________Refere
nce
In a Nutshell
The importance of understanding the global environment and operations strategy is vital.
In this unit, you will be required to state your arguments or synthesis relevant to the topics
presented. I will supply the first two items and you will continue the rest.
1. For many organizations, the operations function provides the competitive advantage.
2. The operation’s manager job is to implement an OM strategy, provide competitive
advantage, and increase productivity.
Your Turn
25
3.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
4.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
In this section, you may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in your
review of concepts and essential knowledge. Answers will be specifically tackled in the
scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
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Trade Agreement
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Big Picture B
Week 4-5: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are expected to
Metalanguage
In this section, the most essential terms relevant to the study of project management and
to demonstrate ULOa will be discussed. No matter what profession you are in the ability
to manage a project effectively is necessary since project is naturally formulated once in
a while. Remember that the outcome of your project can make or break your company in
general thus, it is a necessity to learn project management. Encountering Challenges are
just normal in project management, delays, fortuitous event, demanding customer/client
are just some of it but knowing how to manage it may lessen the problem on planning,
scheduling, and controlling. In this unit, you will learn of the three phases of managing
the projects, these are:
● Planning. Planning refers to the phase where goals, project description and
project team are planned/formulated. This is a crucial phase because output is
dependent on the input that you used, meaning task, labor, materials and others
shall be planned well for a smooth implementation;
● Scheduling: This phase tackles about the organization of the 6M’s of
management (men, money, market, machinery, method, market, and moment).
Success in project management also depends on how you handle well this
organizational resources; and
● Controlling: The last phase of project management yet the most challenging one.
Normally, when a project is near to its end, common bottlenecks will be
encountered (lack of supplies, budget constraints, client’s change of mind, project
behind schedule) and a sudden shift in client decision’s like fast tracking the
completion of project are usually common. At this phase, project manager should
be adaptive to the demands of time, so revising plan is not common at this phase
but as to how much cost and least time a project can be shorten were just some
of the questions that needs to be addressed in here.
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Essential Knowledge
To discuss the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the next three (3) weeks
of the course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge that will be
laid down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively
refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research articles
and other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc.
In relation, there are four famous methods that project managers used in the 3
different phases, these are: Work Breakdown Structure, Gannt Chart, PERT and
CPM. The Project Management Institute (PMI) stated that “a project is a temporary
endeavor undertaken to create a unique product, service or result.” First to note
here is that project has a start and finishing activities; project are not continuous
with no end because it’s just temporary. Thus, project management requires a
different approach and attention in managing as compared to normal operation in
business.
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Level
1 Project
2 Major Task in the project
3 Subtasks in major tasks
4 Activities (or “work packages”) to be completed
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Note: In order to create a WBS, use the Level ID as guide. In the assessment,
Level ID with Work description will be arranged together in a table in random
order.
3. Project Scheduling. In this phase, it ensures that the entire task was planned,
their connectivity is checked and estimated time of completion considering the
best, worst and the safest are identified. Some activities include:
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4. Controlling of the Project. Controlling is part of the basic management functions and
it’s always the last process or phase since it involves assessment or evaluation of the
activity or project. This contains the following activities like monitoring organizational
resources, project costs, and project schedule. Regular assessment enables the
project team to give recommendations on the possible revisions, status, and shifting
of resources.
4.1 This phase yields the following reports:
● Breakdown of normal and crash cost for every activity;
● labor productivity;
● tables of the distribution of cost;
● Work Costs and timetable summary;
● Expense/Expenditure report or forecast
● Reporting of variances;
● Analyzing and reporting Timeline; and
● Status of work update.
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Below show several activities done for Project Controlling. Further discussions of
the technique used will be discussed in ULOb.
Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson:
* Heizer, J. and Render, B. (2011). Principles of Operations management. 10th edition.
Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice Hall, pp 90 - 94.
Let’s Check
QUIZ EXERCISE 4. Encircle the letter that best describes the answer (10 points).
1. Which of the following statements regarding Gantt Charts is true?
a. Gantt charts give a timeline and precedence relationships for each activity of
a project
b. Gannt Charts use the four standard spines: Methods, Materials, Manpower,
and Machinery
c. Gantt Charts are visual devices that show the duration of activities in a project
d. Gantt Charts are expensive
2. When a firm monitors resources, costs, quality, and budgets which may result to
making necessary revisions or shifting of resources in order to meet time and
cost demands, the firm is under which specific phase of managing a project?
a. Planning c. Forecasting
b. Controlling d. Scheduling
3. Below are activities done in Scheduling a project, EXCEPT;
a. Assigning People c. Scheduling Resources
b. Schedule Deliverables d. Shifting of Resources
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4. Which among the activities listed below would fall under planning the project?
a. Developing Work Breakdown Structure c. Sequencing Activities
b. Shifting Resources d. Monitoring
5. Planning charts used to schedule resources and allocate time.
a. PERT c. CPM
b. Gantt Charts d. Work Breakdown Structure
Let’s Analyze
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Answer:
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In a Nutshell
Knowing Project Management is essential as anybody can be a project manager in a
company. In this portion, you will be required to state your arguments or synthesis
relevant to the topics presented. I will supply the first two items and you will continue the
rest.
1. Differentiating Project to non-project must be done to effectively do the job well.
2. In making a Gantt Chart, labeling the time of completion must be written inside the cell
not in the borderline in order for shading to be clear and concise.
Your Turn
3. ______________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
4. ______________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
In this section, students may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in
your review of concepts and essential knowledge. Answers will be specifically discussed
in the scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
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1.
2.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
Metalanguage
In this unit, you will learn how to use PERT/CPM technique in managing both small and
large projects. Controlling Project is done by several teams which works as one. Time,
cost, and performance were monitored by this team aligned in the set plan of the project.
When troubles are detected, immediate corrective action are considered which includes
plan revision, reallocation of budget, change in personnel, and many others. The decision
to shift or change the original plan must be made realistic by the project team.
1. Project closing is concerned with formally ending a project.
2. Project crashing. Shortening the network of operation to reduce the period on the
critical path, thereby decreasing overall completion time.
3. Program Evaluation Review Technique. A technique for project management
which have three estimates of time for each task. Consider precedence
relationships and interdependencies.
4. Activity on node (AON). A network diagram designating activities by nodes.
5. Activity on arrow (AOA). A network diagram designating activities by arrows.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the next three weeks of
the course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge relating to the
techniques used in Project Controlling. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively
refer to these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research articles
and other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc.
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1. Project Management Techniques: PERT and CPM. The former was formulated
in the year 1950s that serve as aid to several managers in scheduling, monitoring,
and controlling huge and complicated project. The latter was developed first in the
year 1957 as a tool formulated by J.E Kelly of Remington and M.R. Walker of
DuPont for chemical plants. Autonomously, PERT was developed in 1958 by Booz,
Allen & Hamilton for the U.S. Navy, for Polaris missile.
1.1 Program Evaluation Review Technique. A technique for project
management which have three estimates of time for each task. Consider
precedence relationships and interdependencies.
1.2 Critical Path Method. A technique for project management that requires only
one-single factor per task.
1.3 Critical Path. The longest time path (s) over a network computed.
2. The Framework of PERT and CPM. PERT and CPM both follow six basic steps:
● Identifying of the project details and formulation of WBS;
● Identification of its precedence relationship;
● Illustrating the previous step by making a diagram;
● Identification of time estimates per activity;
● Identifying of the different path most especially the critical path, the longest
time path through the network; and
● Utilization of the network for planning, scheduling, and
monitoring/controlling the entire project.
3. Questions PERT & CPM Can Answer.
● The Expected Project Completion time;
● Critical activities and noncritical activities;
● Specific date of completion of the project;
● Project Status if behind, or ahead schedule;
● Project Cost monitoring if it is equal, lesser than or greater than the budget;
● Availability of Resources to finish the project;
● If project will be shorten how much will be incurred in addition and what is
the least time a project can be finished.
4. Network Diagrams and Approaches. Project Network can be done in two ways:
Activity on node (AON) and Activity on arrow (AOA). To differentiate, in AON
nodes represents the activities while in AOA arrows represents the activities. Thus,
the nodes in AON have no time nor resources. For easy understanding, we will
use the AON as our official approach in doing the PERT diagram:
4.1 Activity on node (AON). A network diagram designating activities by nodes.
4.2 Activity on arrow (AOA). A network diagram designating activities by arrows.
4.3 Illustrated below are examples of AON and AOA illustration that helps you
differentiate both approach.
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4.4 Note that in illustration (e) and (f) below under AOA approach provides a
dummy activity (see broken arrow) just to clarify relationships.
4.5 Dummy activity. This is an activity added that don’t possess any time and
resources but used for the purpose of maintaining the logic of the network. In
AON, two dummies are required most especially if the project has multiple star
and end activities. In AON, it is portrayed using a broken/dashed arrow.
5. Activity-on-node Example. Notice below that to make the diagram it is important
to identify the immediate predecessors for each activity.
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5.1 In the sample above, dashed line means having no predecessor (refer to
Activity A and B). So, it means that both can start simultaneously and are
connected to a dummy Start. Dummy Start is necessary in making PERT in
order to clarify the beginning of the project, this actually do not exist since it’s
a dummy. The start activity serves as the predecessor of A and B since both
doesn’t have any.
5.2 Next, as based on the table, activity C succeed activity A. Thus, C must be
connected to A by drawing an arrow and node. As for activity D since it has
two predecessors A and B arrows must be created from both predecessors
and must be connected to activity D.
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5.3 Repeat the process, adding arrow from the predecessor of the activity
connecting it to the activity (its successor). Displayed below is the finished
AON project network of Milwaukee Paper Manufacturing.
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6.3 Assign Time and Cost Estimates, using the formula above, we have:
6.4 Determining the Project Schedule. After computing the estimated activity
completion considering the three time estimates, this is now the time estimates
for Milwauke Paper Manufacturing.
6.5 Although the total time (weeks) when added equals to 25 weeks it does not
entail that it can be completed in 25 weeks in general. Remember that there
are activities that simultaneously started, unless the relationship is linear the
project completion time is always lesser than the added time (in weeks).
6.6 Project Schedule Determination. When you already computed the expected
time completion per activity you are now ready to identify the total project
computation using the forward pass and backward pass.
6.6.1 Note of the parts inside the Nodes. The Earliest time estimates are on
the upper part labeled as ES and EF. The latest time estimates are at
the bottom part labeled as LS and LF. Please refer to the image below:
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6.6.4 Forward Pass/Earliest Start Time Rule. This section assumes that all
antecedents are accomplished accounting the earliest time that an
activity can start. Immediate predecessors should be accomplished
before starting the succeeding activity. Please take note of the rule in
computing forward pass:
● ES = EF for activities with only one predecessor;
● For multiple predecessors, ES is the maximum of all EF values of
its predecessors. That is:
ES = Max (EF of all immediate predecessor)
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6.6.5 Earliest Finish Rule. This is the earliest time that an activity can be
finished. EF is the sum of the ES and activity duration/Expected
completion of the activity. That is,
EF = ES + Activity duration
6.6.6 Shown below is an illustration for the computation using the Earliest
Start time Rule. As you can see, the last EF of an activity is the number
of weeks this project can be completed. In this case, Milwaukee Paper
Manufacturing project will be completed within 15 weeks and not 25
weeks since there are activities that will start simultaneously. In the
case that there are two or more ending activities, the highest
number shall be the ETC.
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6.6.9 Shown below is the complete computation using the forward pass and
backward pass as based on the formula given.
7. Calculating the slack time and identifying the critical Path (s). At this point,
you are now ready to identify which activity or path are critical and which is not.
Completing this activity is crucial as it is the basis for Crashing the project.
7.1 After performing the two-pass computation for the entire activity, it is time
now to calculate the slack time for each activity.
7.2 Slack Time. It applies to the permitted period to postpone an operation without
stopping the whole project. Both formula below will arrive with same answer:
Slack = LS – ES or Slack = LF – EF
7.3 Activities with 0 slack (A, C, E, G, and H) are called critical activities which
means the project manager must closely monitor it since it does not allow any
delay in the activities. Example, if activity A’s completion time is 2 weeks it
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Note: Can you understand that there's more variance than in others? Notice
how the optimistic and pessimistic period stretches.
8.2 PERT takes note of the variance in critical path activities to better assess the
total project variation. The project variance is determined by summing up
variances of critical activities along the critical path (see A-C-E-G-H).
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Then compute for Project standard Deviation using the formula below:
8.4 This is an opportunity to study your statistical skills and using a standard
distribution table This is an opportunity to evaluate your statistical skills and
use a normal distribution table (Appendix 1: Normal Curve Areas of the book
of Heizer and Render, 2011)
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Joni Steinberg would like to find out the possibility that her proposal would be finished on or before the
EPA 16-week deadline.
APPROACH ► To do so, she needs to determine the appropriate area under the normal curve.
This is the area to the left of the 16th week.
SOLUTION ►
In the Normal Table in Appendix 1, the Z value of 0.57 to the right of the mean shows a chance
of 0.7157. Therefore, as seen below, there is a 71.57 percent likelihood that the pollution control
equipment will be placed in operation in 16 weeks or less.
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CPM is a method that has a normal or typical duration for any operation
that we use in our computations. The average expense of the operation is
correlated with the particular duration. Another time in project
management, though, is the crash time, which is described as the shortest
time frame possible to complete an operation. The crash cost of the
operation is correlated with the crash time. We will typically shorten an
operation by introducing additional services (equipment, personnel etc.) to
it. Therefore, it is reasonable for an activity's crash cost to be greater than
its usual cost. The consequence for the Overall Crash Period (the time
required to shorten a project) and the Crash Cost per week of Milwaukee
Paper Manufacturing is seen in the next figure:
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2. Using current activity times, find the critical path and identify the critical
activities
3. If there is only one critical path, then choose the activity that (a) may still
crash on this critical path, and (b) have the lowest crash cost per period.
This activity shall be crashed for one period.
When there is more than one critical path, then choose one activity from
each critical path such that (a) each chosen activity will always crash and
(b) the smallest of all selected activities is the overall crash cost per period.
Each operation crashes by one period. Notice that there could be more
than one critical path common to the same activity.
4. Update all activity times. If her desired due dates has been reached, stop.
If not, return to Step 2.
PROBLEM► Suppose Milwaukee Paper Manufacturing was only granted 13 weeks (rather than
16 weeks) to build the latest pollution control equipment or risk a court-ordered closure. If you know,
the critical path for Joni Steinberg was 15 weeks long, but she still needs to finish the project in 13
weeks ' time.
APPROACH► To reach this due date of 13 weeks Steinberg has to decide which activities to
crash, and by how much. Steinberg is obviously involved in speeding up the project by 2 weeks, at
least at an added expense.
SOLUTION► The normal and crash times of the company, and the normal and crash costs, is
displayed in the following table. Remember, for example, that the average period of operation B is
3 weeks (the approximation used in the critical path calculation), and its crash time is 1 week. It
implies activity B will be reduced for up to two weeks if extra services are made available. The
expense of these additional services is $4,000 (= difference between the cost of crashing and the
normal cost). If we conclude that the crash cost is constant over time (the cost is the same per
week), the crash cost of Activity B is $2,000 a week (= $4,000/2).
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Step 2, 3, and 4 can now be applied to reduce Milwaukee Paper’s project completion time at a
minimum cost.
The original Start A-C-E-G-H path at this point remains critical, with a completion period of 14
weeks. However, with a completion period of 14 weeks, a new path Start B-D-G-H is critical now
too. On all critical paths, however, further crashing must be achieved.
We need to identify one activity on each of these critical pathways which could still be crashed. We
do would like to crash the least of the overall cost of crashing an activity on any path. We may be
tempted to simply pick the activities with the lowest crash cost per cycle for each path. When we
do so we should pick activity C from path one and activity D from path two. Therefore, the overall
risk of the crash will be $2000 (= $1,000+$1,000).
But we spot activity G being common to both paths. This is, we'll concurrently raising the completion
period of all paths by crashing activity G. While the $1,500 crash risk for activity G is greater than
that for operation C and D; we will also choose to crash G, because the overall expense of crashing
would still be just $1500 (compared to $2,000 if we crash C and D).
INSIGHT► Steinberg would crash activity A by 1 week, and activity G by 1 week to crash the project
to 13 weeks. The net total expense is $2,250 (= $750 + $1,500). It is significant, as often project
contracts provide incentives or fines for early or late completion.
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson:
Let’s Check
Now that you rationalize the concept of PERT and CPM, let’s try these simple exercises.
ASSIGNMENT EXERCISE 4. Create two AON networks based on the two given problem
(17 points):
Answer:
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No. 1
No. 2
ASSIGNMENT EXERCISE. 5 Create an AON network and perform forward pass and
backward pass. Answer the Questions below:
Answer:
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Questions:
a. What is the Project completion minutes? ___________________
Let’s Analyze
QUIZ EXERCISE 5. Let us raise the bar by answering the given problem below: 41
points
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Answer:
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In a Nutshell
Now that you understand the workings of PERT and CPM, you are ready to master
dealing with projects soon in your career. PERT and CPM is an essential knowledge to
possess on being an effective project manager. In this unit, you will be required to state
your arguments or synthesis relevant to the topics presented. I will supply the first two
items and you will continue the rest.
1. In crashing project, you must be wise to choose the activity with the least additional
cost that can be incurred. Always be mindful with the total crash time and as to what
path you’ll have to crash (must be in critical path).
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2. When to stop crashing? If there is no activity left to crash in at least one critical path
because continuing will not anymore lessen the time of completion.
Your Turn
3. ______________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
4. ______________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
____________________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
In this section, students may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in
your review of concepts and essential knowledge. Answers will be specifically discussed
in the scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
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Big Picture C
Week 6 - 7: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are expected to
Metalanguage
In this section, the most essential terms relevant to the study of forecasting and to
demonstrate ULOa was operationally defined and discussed in the essential knowledge
to establish a common frame of reference as to how the texts work in your chosen field
or career. In business firms, managers are all interested to forecast future sales by
predicting future demands. In the past, forecasting has been difficult since the lack of
system entails manual thinking on how to do it, some may even base it on different factors
like movement of the animals but due to the advancement of technology life has been
better and advantageous to the business firms. A lot of choices are available in
forecasting, some do the simple and others prefer the complex method. Statistical
tools/methods have been very helpful in analyzing extensive data nowadays.
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Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the last two weeks of the
course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge that will be laid
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively refer to
these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research articles and
other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc.
1. Forecasting. Process of predicting a future event. Its result was used as the major
basis for all business-related matters such as but not limited to Human Resource,
Operations and Productions, and Capacity and Lay out.
Forecasting offers Walt Disney a strategic edge. In Disney, forecasting was very
helpful in assessing some crucial business operations like predicting queueing lines
for rides, opening the park early for peak season, identifying when to let cartoon
characters to parade to divert attention of the customers instead of being impatient for
long lines for rides. “Managing demand” is where Disney is good at, they have several
techniques applied to address issues and this was formulated out of the forecasting
that the park managers do every day. Their habit is to conduct daily attendance,
weather forecast, and seasonal assessment of seat sales and vacations in order to
prepare them especially on peak season. Few cast members were working during
slow days. In general, Forecasting is a major key why Disney maintain its popularity
all over the world, all that they do provides customer satisfaction to tourist that is why
it’s considered as the “happiest place on earth”.
2. Forecasting Time Horizons. There are three categories of time horizon that
businesses should consider in making a forecast:
2.1 Short-range forecast. A forecast plan that last for 1 year but usually done in 3
months. This is very important for managers to do this short-range forecast since
it aids them in deciding matters in purchasing, planning, human resource
management and others.
2.2 Medium-range forecast. This category ranges from 3 months to 3 years. This
time forecast is useful for annual planning and other major plans.
2.3 Long-range forecast. This ranges from 3 years to 5 years or more depending on
the firm. Usually this is done first since planning usually starts with the Big Picture.
This is used in strategic planning, Project Management, Business Expansion and
more. It is used in planning for new products, capital expenditures, facility location
or expansion, and research and development.
3. Types of Forecasts. There are three major types of Operation’s planning:
1.1 Economic forecasts. Address business cycle by predicting inflation rate, money
supply, housing starts, etc.;
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1.2 Technological forecasts. Predict rate of technological progress which can result
in the birth of exciting new products, requiring new plants and equipment; and
1.3 Demand forecasts. Projection of demand for a company’s products or services.
These forecast is also called sales forecasts, drive a company’s production,
capacity, and scheduling systems and serve as inputs to financial, marketing,
and personnel planning.
2. Strategic Importance of Forecasting. Forecasting is indeed crucial in business
firms, because applying this makes you one step ahead from your rival competitor.
Forecast outcome drives major decisions in different unit/department that is why it’s
crucial.
3. Seven Steps in Forecasting. Forecasting follows seven basic steps.
● Identify the main use of forecasting;
● Choose the specific items that needs to be forecasted;
● Identify what time horizon to be considered in forecasting;
● Select your chosen forecasting model (s);
● Conduct data gathering in forecasting;
● Do the forecast; and
● Check, validate and implement results
4. Forecasting Approaches. Just like when you are conducting research, forecasting
has 2 approaches, these are:
4.1 Qualitative Forecasts. This forecast includes the use of expertise and
experiences from renowned experts in the company or outside the company.
Their intuition, and wisdom has been seen as relevant especially when there is
unclear or little historical data. Qualitative forecast also has four different
techniques:
4.1.1 Jury of executive opinion. Selected high-level experts were asked
convene to do the analysis by using different statistical models. This
technique needs cooperation and collaboration since it requires working
together. Two heads are better than one yes, however combining
intellectual persons in one room is indeed a challenge due to problems
like “Group think” the tendency to eradicate someone who does not
conform with the idea of the majority.
4.1.2 Delphi method. This technique is Panel of experts, queried iteratively.
This process goes on and on until agreement will be reached. Made up of
three groups of participants: decision makers (evaluate feedback and
decision-making), staff (administer survey) and respondents (people who
can make important judgments).
4.1.3 Sales force composite. To forecast using this technique, estimates was
anchored from the individual salesperson to aggregated, meaning from
micro to macro context. The individual salesperson forecast their sales
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Moving average =
demand in previous n periods
n
4.2.4.1 Weighted Moving Average. This is utilized if trend, and pattern are
present, if there is an unstable operational process WMA is bet to
use than the first two techniques. In this, immediate past data were
treated more that the older data. The experts are the ones who will
identify the appropriate weights based on his/her judgements of
course with analysis of why they choose it.
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Example: A car dealer predicted 142 Ford Mustangs in February. The current
demand in February was of 153 cars. The dealer needs to estimate March demand
using the exponential smoothing model using a smoothing constant selected by
management, α = .20.
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MAD =
Actual - Forecast
n
Compare the actual data with the data we forecast (using each of
the two α values) and then find the absolute deviation and MAD.
Then,
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MSE =
n
4.2.8.3 Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE). The measure of the total
difference between the projection and the actual values, calculated
as a percentage of the actual values. To measure MAPE follow the
following formulation:
n
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4.2.8.4 Comparison of Forecast Error. As you can see, all of the three
Forecast Error Measurement arrived with same conclusion that the
using α = .10 is better than using the α = .50 due to its lesser error.
It is also important to note that in selecting smoothing constant the
underlying previous data should be the basis. To reiterate, choose
high values of α when underlying average is likely to change Choose
low values of α when underlying average is stable.
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson:
Let’s Check
RESEARCH EXERCISE 2. Provide your own discussion in the blank spaces. Cite and
give References following the APA format latest edition (10 points).
Note: Answer will be rated according to this points: Answer= 6 pts, References = 4 pts.
1. Give examples of an international industry in which demand forecasting is dependent
on the demand for other products. Elaborate.
Answer:
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
References
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Let’s Analyze
Answer:
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In a Nutshell
The importance of rationalizing Forecasting is vital. In this portion, you will be required to
state your arguments or synthesis relevant to the topics presented. I will supply the first
two items and you will continue the rest.
1. Predictions are never accurate, and unexpected external conditions will affect the
prediction.
2. Product family and aggregated forecasts are more accurate than individual product
forecasts. Same goes with short and medium-range forecast because of its possibility
to be affected by uncontrollable factors (political, environmental, technological etc).
3. All forecasting error measurement arrives with same analysis, it’s up to you what
option to choose. But, the Mean Absolute Percentage Error gives a more thorough
result since it is presented in percentage. The lowest and highest error is clearly
identified unlike the other two measures who gives you an infinite number of errors.
Your Turn
4.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
5.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
In this section, students may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in
your review of concepts and essential knowledge. Specific discussion on questions
will be tackled on the scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
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3.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
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1. Decision Tables. A tabular way of evaluating alternatives to actions and their state
of nature.
2. Maximax. This criterion was used to identify the best of all the best alternatives
considering the best-case scenario.
3. Maximin. Considering the worst-case scenario, this criterion selects options of the
best among the worst outcome.
4. Equally likely. If decision-makers are uncertain but still wants a safer decision, this
criterion was usually used.
5. Expected monetary value (EMV). The expected payout or value of a variable that
has different possible state of nature, each with an associated probability.
6. Expected value of perfect information (EVPI). The difference between the payoff
under perfect information and the payoff under risk.
7. Decision Tree. A graphical way of evaluating alternatives to judgment and
environment conditions.
Essential Knowledge
Before we proceed further with the topic, it is highly important that we rationalize
discussion on Decision Making Environments then illustrate it in a Decision Tree.
1. Decision Tables. A tabular way of evaluating alternatives to actions and their state
of nature. Tables of decision place reasoning on decision making.
1.1 Shown below is Getz Product decision table, portrayed are the alternatives,
pay-offs for the different states of nature. In each alternative, 2 states of
nature were considered and a conditional value were identified to check the
consequences or outcome of such decision.
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1.2.2 Decision Making Under Risk. If probabilities are known as to what states
of nature will likely to occur, then solving the Expected monetary value
(EMV) per alternatives is the best way to decide under risk. Probabilities
are identified by the expert who analyzes the current situation or the states
of nature, probability must all sum up to 1 or 100.
1.2.2.1 Expected monetary value (EMV). The expected payout or
value of a variable that has different possible state of nature,
each with an associated probability. To compute EMV, we use
the formula below:
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Example:
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson:
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Let’s Check
ASSIGNMENT EXERCISE 6. Identify the term described in every items. Place it in the
blank space provided.
____________________1. This means an occurrence or a situation over which the
decision maker has little or no control.
____________________2. The first step in making a decision Tree is to assign
probabilities to the states of nature.
____________________3. This is the difference between the payoff under certainty and
the payoff under risk.
____________________4. The course of action or strategy that may be chosen by the
decision maker.
____________________5. The expected (average) return if perfect information is
available.
____________________6. A tabular means of analyzing decision alternatives and state
of nature. Decision tables force logic into decision-making.
____________________7. A criterion that finds an alternative that maximizes the
maximum outcomes.
____________________8. A graphical means of analyzing decision alternatives and
states of nature. EMV is the most commonly used criterion
for decision tree analysis.
____________________9. A criterion that assigns equal probability to each state of
nature.
____________________10. The expected payout or value of a variable that has different
possible state of nature, each with an associated probability.
ASSIGNMENT EXERCISE 7. Enumerate the following:
1. Decision Making Environments: ________________________________,
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● __________________________________________________________
● __________________________________________________________
● __________________________________________________________
● __________________________________________________________
Let’s Analyze
QUIZ EXERCISE 7. Solve the problem below and write your answer in the blank space
provided.
PROBLEM► T.S.T. Amer's Nevada stores have a 100-day season. T.S.T. The
probability of specific store traffic, based on historical reports of skiing conditions as seen
in the table below, has been created. T.S.T. Have 4 merchandising strategies, each
targeting a common brand name. Each plan yields a net income for each day as described
in the chart. He also has a meteorologist friend, who for a small fee will accurately tell
tomorrow’s weather so T.S. can implement one of his four merchandising plans. Answer
the requirements below:
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Answer:
a) Develop a decision tree that illustrates all the information in the table.
EMV A3 EMV A3
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e) Given the table above determine the appropriate decision under uncertainty
using Maximax, Maximin, and Equally Likely. Present it in a table:
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In a Nutshell
The importance of rationalizing decision-making environment using table and tree is vital.
In this portion of the unit, you will be required to state your arguments or synthesis relevant
to the topics presented. I will supply the first two items and you will continue the rest.
1. Using decision making under uncertainty highly relies on the kind of personality the
decision maker have. For instance, if the decision maker is optimistic then he/she will
decide using Maximax. If he/she is pessimistic, he/she will use Maximin. Lastly, if the
person wants to be safe then Most likely would be his/her option.
2. “Doing Nothing” option should not be considered at all times. One must check the
situation you are in. Example, since we are experiencing a pandemic right now,
Schools and Universities must not consider “Doing Nothing” option regarding the
resumption of class just because vaccine is not yet available. Educational Institutions
must venture on flexible learning instruction to continue educating students.
Your Turn
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3.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
4.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
In this section, students may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in
your review of concepts and essential knowledge. Specific discussion on questions
will be tackled on the scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
2.
3.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
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Big Picture D
Week 8 - 9: Unit Learning Outcomes (ULO): At the end of the unit, you are expected to
a. Discuss the Total Quality Management’s concept, tools, gurus, and the art of good
housekeeping as used in international business.
Metalanguage
In this section, the most essential terms relevant to the study of Total Quality Management
and to demonstrate ULOc was operationally defined and discussed in the essential
knowledge to establish a common frame of reference as to how the texts work in your
chosen field or career. The total quality concept has been accepted at US in the late
1980s and early 1990s. Yet, many statistical tools emerged such as the Six Sigma, Lean,
teamwork, continual improvement, customer satisfaction, and employee involvement that
aids business firm in the journey to total quality management. With this, combining the
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different elements and statistical tools leads to the birth of the total quality concept. This
topic gives you a general concept about total quality management.
1. Total Quality Management. An all-inclusive and well thought-out means to
organizational management that searches to advance the quality of processes,
products, services and culture through continuing minor changes in reply to constant
feedback.
2. Cost of Quality. A tool that enables a corporation to determine the extent at which its
resources are used for activities that prevent bad quality, that evaluate the quality of
the goods or services of the enterprise, and that benefit from internal and external
failures.
3. THE 5S. This is a method used in good housekeeping that aims to organize offices,
rooms, warehouse and other workstation to achieve efficiency in the company
workflow.
Essential Knowledge
To perform the aforesaid big picture (unit learning outcomes) for the last two weeks of the
course, you need to fully understand the following essential knowledge that will be laid
down in the succeeding pages. Please note that you are not limited to exclusively refer to
these resources. Thus, you are expected to utilize other books, research articles and
other resources that are available in the university’s library e.g. ebrary,
search.proquest.com etc.
1. What is Quality. We have to consider quality first in order to grasp overall output.
Quality has been described by a variety of different entities and organizations in
several different forms. Find the Definitions below:
● Performance that meets or exceeds expectations.
● Performance that meets the customer’s needs.
● Consistently meeting customer needs and expectations.
● Satisfying the customer today and getting better tomorrow.
1.1 Customers that are into businesses will define quality very clearly using
specifications, standards, and other measures. This makes the point that
quality can be defined and measured. Although few consumers could define
quality if asked, all know it when they see it. This makes the critical point that
quality is in the eye of the beholder. With this we can conclude that the definition
of quality lies in the wants of the customers.
1.2 Quality issues are dealt with people every day like eating in restaurants, buying
groceries, shopping for clothes, purchasing appliances, furniture and others.
Quality Perception is a key factor in which customers are classified in the
market. In purchasing something, criteria were usually set by the customers
and assessment began whether to buy it or not. If criteria were met, then quality
is determined.
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7. Cost of Quality. A tool that enables a corporation to determine the extent at which
its resources are used for activities that prevent bad quality, that evaluate the
quality of the goods or services of the enterprise, and that benefit from internal and
external failures. Below is a diagram which summarizes the various quality costs.
7.1 Prevention Cost. This cost was incurred to prevent future cost that will be
incurred. Few examples include processes, conduct seminars and training,
Regular inspection, etc.;
7.2 Appraisal Cost. This is also called as inspection costs. These cost are
incurred during the manufacturing process, this is done to avoid defects and
post-purchase service from its customers to ensure high performance product.
Usually a sample per batch produced was inspected based on its specification
and criteria set, if approved then that batch will then be shipped to the
customers;
7.3 Internal failure costs. As a result of inspection some defects were identified
beforehand, these costs incurred for such defective product are known as
internal failure costs. Examples of internal failure costs include cost of rework,
rejected products, scrap etc;
7.4 External failure costs. It is normal for customer to return the product due to
some defects. This activity is part of the post-purchase services of the firm.
However, this is not good to a company since it is part of the external failure
cost in which the company already had incur such cost. External costs of
failure cover replacements, substitutions, lack of revenue due to bad
reputation, liability for losses arising from the usage of faulty goods etc. Default
product shipments will annoy consumers, destroy reputation and may reduce
sales and profits.
8. Elements of TQM:
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4.1 Ethics. A combination of written and unwritten codes of principles that govern
decisions and actions within a company.
4.2 Integrity. Consistency of actions, values, methods, measures, principles,
expectations and outcomes at workplace. TQM does not work in an
environment where employees criticize and backstab each other.
4.3 Trust. Builds cooperative environment. Relationship based on reliance.
9. Benefits of TQM. TQM creates a good corporate culture, better reviews from the
customer, and better performance from employees.
10. Gurus of TQM. The concept of TQM was created due to the individual contribution
of concepts by the different quality guru. It is a combination of interrelated concepts
that aims to formulate a complex approach in doing business. There are three
quality gurus who are considered as the pioneers in developing the concept of total
quality management these are: W. Edwards Deming, Joseph M. Juran, and Philip
B. Crosby. Aside from them notable gurus were also acknowledged and these are:
Armand V. Feigenbaum and a number of Japanese experts, such as Kaoro
Ishikawa.
10.1 W. Edwards Deming. Known as the father of Quality Control. Has been
honored by naming the highest award of quality in Japan known as the Deming
Prize. Known for its contributions of the following: 14 Points, Deming Chain
Reaction, Theory of Profound Knowledge, PDSA (Deming Cycle) as shown
below. Through a distinct phrase he does not define quality and emphasized
that the roles of top management to be the pioneer through evolving processes
and structures are quite significant. He stresses the importance of identifying
and measuring customer requirements, establishing manufacturer
relationships, leveraging functional teams to identify and solve quality issues,
enhancing employee expertise, employee participation, and implementing
continuous improvement.
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Self-Help: You can also refer to the sources below to help you
further understand the lesson:
Let’s Check
QUIZ EXERCISE 8. Identify the terms being described. Provide answer in the blank
spaces.
Set in order.
________________1. The process of taking the required items that are remaining after
the removal of clutter and arranging them in an efficient manner
Kaoro through the use of ergonomic principles.
________________2. He is known as the father of Quality circles (1960). Popularized the
Cause & effect diagram/Fishbone diagram.
Shine
________________3. Refers to making all the cleaning, control and improvement
processes a customary activity in the workplace, allowing for
Total quality control and consistency.
Management
________________4. is an approach to doing business that attempts to maximize the
competitiveness of an organization through the continual
improvement of the quality of its products, services, people,
processes, and environments.
Deming
________________5. He is known as the father of Quality Control.
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Ethics
________________6. A combination of written and unwritten codes of principles that
Integrity govern decisions and actions within a company.
________________7. Consistency of actions, values, methods, measures, principles,
expectations and outcomes at workplace. TQM does not work in
an environment where employees criticize and backstab each
Trust other.
________________8. Builds cooperative environment. Relationship based on reliance.
________________9. The costs incurred to avoid or minimize the number of defects at
Preventi first place.
on cost
________________10. A method that permits an organization to decide on the level to
which its resources are used for activities that avoid poor quality,
Cost that assess the quality of the organization’s products or services,
quality and that result from internal and external failures.
Let’s Analyze
Answer:
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________
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Answer________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
References
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In a Nutshell
The importance of rationalizing Total Quality management is vital. In this unit, you will be
required to state your arguments or synthesis relevant to the topics presented. I will
supply the first item and you will continue the rest.
1. Unless quality is internalized at the personal level, it will never become rooted in the
culture of an organization. Thus, quality must begin at a personal level (and that means
you!).
Your Turn
2.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
3.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
4.____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
Q&A LIST.
In this section, students may list down all emerging questions or issues to help you in
your review of concepts and essential knowledge. Specific discussion on questions
will be tackled on the scheduled video conferencing.
Do you have any Questions or clarifications?
Questions/Issues Answers
1.
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2.
3.
KEYWORDS INDEX.
COURSE SCHEDULES
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(1) All teachers/Course Facilitators and students are expected to abide by an honor
code of conduct, and thus everyone and all are exhorted to exercise self-
management and self-regulation.
(3) All students are likewise guided by professional conduct as learners in attending
OBD or DED courses. Any breach and violation shall be dealt with properly
under existing guidelines, specifically in Section 7 (Student Discipline) in the
Student Handbook.
(4) Professional conduct refers to the embodiment and exercise of the University’s
Core Values, specifically in the adherence to intellectual honesty and integrity;
academic excellence by giving due diligence in virtual class participation in all
lectures and activities, as well as fidelity in doing and submitting performance
tasks and assignments; personal discipline in complying with all deadlines; and
observance of data privacy.
(5) Plagiarism is a serious intellectual crime and shall be dealt with accordingly. The
University shall institute monitoring mechanisms online to detect and penalize
plagiarism.
(7) Teachers/Course Facilitators shall devote time to handle OBD or DED courses
and shall honestly exercise due assessment of student performance.
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shall not resort to dishonesty to improve the result of their assessments (e.g.
examinations, assignments).
(10) Students shall not allow anyone else to access their personal LMS
account. Students shall not post or share their answers, assignment or
examinations to others to further academic fraudulence online.
(12) By enrolling in OBD or DED courses, students agree and abide by all the
provisions of the Online Code of Conduct, as well as all the requirements and
protocols in handling online courses.
(1) The Deans, Asst. Deans, Discipline Chairs and Program Heads shall be
responsible in monitoring the conduct of their respective OBD classes through the
Blackboard LMS. The LMS monitoring protocols shall be followed, i.e. monitoring
of the conduct of Teacher Activities (Views and Posts) with generated utilization
graphs and data. Individual faculty PDF utilization reports shall be generated and
consolidated by program and by college.
(2) The Academic Affairs and Academic Planning & Services shall monitor the conduct
of LMS sessions. The Academic Vice Presidents and the Deans shall collaborate
to conduct virtual CETA by randomly joining LMS classes to check and review
online the status and interaction of the faculty and the students.
(3) For DED, the Deans and Program Heads shall come up with monitoring
instruments, taking into consideration how the programs go about the conduct of
DED classes. Consolidated reports shall be submitted to Academic Affairs for
endorsement to the Chief Operating Officer.
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DEPARTMENT OF BUSINESS ADMINSTRATION EDUCATION /
HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT PROGRAM
Contact: 09955870420 / 09107045559
Approved by:
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