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Elsmar Software Build Defect Rates

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Boby Saputra
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
54 views6 pages

Elsmar Software Build Defect Rates

Uploaded by

Boby Saputra
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 6

a

a 0.05
a/2 0.02500
1 - a/2 0.97500

Enter data in the green squares only…


sample size # defects proportion Normal Approximatio
Major Category Minor Category n d p 95% CI
d=0 5,000 0 0.0000000 0.0007375
d=1 5,000 1 0.0002000 0.0003920
d=5 5,000 5 0.0010000 0.0008761
d=10 5,000 10 0.0020000 0.0012383

Exact Binomial Confidence Intervals


0.00400000

0.00350000

0.00300000
Propotiton Defective

0.00250000

0.00200000

0.00150000

0.00100000

0.00050000

0.00000000
d=0 d=1 d=5 d=10
Normal Approximation Limits EXACT BINOMIAL LIMITS
UCL LCL UCL LCL
0.0007375 -0.0007375 0.00073750 0.00000000
0.0005920 -0.0001920 0.00111382 0.00004845
0.0018761 0.0001239 0.00233211 0.00044050
0.0032383 0.0007617 0.00367499 0.00109873
Prob of a Defect p=.0002

Exact Probability Calculator for number of defective units in a sample given a defect rate
p: "Known" fraction of defective units…"reject rate"
P(x): The probability of exactly x defective units in a sample of size, n
n= 5,000
p= 0.0002 np = 1
x P(x) Poisson P(x) Binomial
Distribution of Probable Number of Defective Units
0 0.36787944 #VALUE! Poisson Probability

1 0.36787944 #VALUE! 40%


2 0.18393972 #VALUE! 35%

Probability of Occurence
30%
3 0.06131324 #VALUE! 25%
20%
4 0.01532831 #VALUE! 15%
5 0.00306566 #VALUE! 10%
5%
6 0.00051094 #VALUE! 0%

7 7.2992E-05 #VALUE! 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

8 9.124E-06 #VALUE! # Defective Units in the Sample

9 1.0138E-06 #VALUE!
10 1.0138E-07 #VALUE! x
11 9.2162E-09 #VALUE! np −np
12 7.6801E-10 #VALUE! P( x )= e
13 5.9078E-11 #VALUE! x!
14 4.2199E-12 #VALUE!
15 2.8132E-13 #VALUE!

Page 3
Prob of a Defect p=.0002

Distribution of Probable Number of Defective Units


Binomial Probability

1200%
1000%
Probability of Occurence

800%
600%
400%
200%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
# Defective Units in the Sample

n!
P ( x )= p x ( 1− p )n−x
x ! (n−x ) !

0.0001 0.0002 0.0003

Page 4
Prob of a Defect p=.0001

Exact Probability Calculator for number of defective units in a sample given a defect rate
p: "Known" fraction of defective units…"reject rate"
P(x): The probability of exactly x defective units in a sample of size, n
n= 5,000
p= 0.0001 np = 0.5
x P(x) Poisson P(x) Binomial
Distribution of Probable Number of Defective Units
0 0.60653066 #VALUE! Poisson Probability

1 0.30326533 #VALUE! 70%


2 0.07581633 #VALUE! 60%

Probability of Occurence
50%
3 0.01263606 #VALUE! 40%
4 0.00157951 #VALUE! 30%
20%
5 0.00015795 #VALUE! 10%
6 1.3163E-05 #VALUE! 0%

7 9.4018E-07 #VALUE! 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

8 5.8761E-08 #VALUE! # Defective Units in the Sample

9 3.2645E-09 #VALUE!
10 1.6323E-10 #VALUE! x
11 7.4194E-12 #VALUE! np −np
12 3.0914E-13 #VALUE! P( x )= e
13 1.189E-14 #VALUE! x!
14 4.2464E-16 #VALUE!
15 1.4155E-17 #VALUE!

Page 5
Prob of a Defect p=.0001

Distribution of Probable Number of Defective Units


Binomial Probability

1200%
1000%
Probability of Occurence

800%
600%
400%
200%
0%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
# Defective Units in the Sample

n!
P ( x )= p x ( 1− p )n−x
x ! (n−x ) !

0.0001 0.0002 0.0003

Page 6

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