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Ch9 BenefitCostAnalysis

The document discusses benefit-cost analysis for engineering projects. It covers: 1) The differences between public and private sector projects in terms of size, life, funding sources, interest rates, and selection criteria. 2) Types of contracts for public projects including fixed price, cost reimbursable, and public-private partnerships. 3) Guidelines for benefit-cost analysis including classifying cash flows as benefits, disbenefits, or costs and calculating the conventional and modified B/C ratios and profitability index to evaluate projects.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
65 views27 pages

Ch9 BenefitCostAnalysis

The document discusses benefit-cost analysis for engineering projects. It covers: 1) The differences between public and private sector projects in terms of size, life, funding sources, interest rates, and selection criteria. 2) Types of contracts for public projects including fixed price, cost reimbursable, and public-private partnerships. 3) Guidelines for benefit-cost analysis including classifying cash flows as benefits, disbenefits, or costs and calculating the conventional and modified B/C ratios and profitability index to evaluate projects.

Uploaded by

Zaki Wasit
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
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You are on page 1/ 27

Chapter 9

Benefit/Cost
Analysis
Lecture slides to accompany

Engineering Economy
7th edition

Leland Blank
Anthony Tarquin

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


9-1
LEARNING OUTCOMES

1. Explain difference in public vs. private sector projects


2. Calculate B/C ratio for single project
3. Select better of two alternatives using B/C method
4. Select best of multiple alternatives using B/C method
5. Use cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) to evaluate
service sector projects
6. Describe how ethical compromises may enter public
sector projects

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


9-2
Differences: Public vs. Private Projects
Characteristic Public Private
Size of Investment Large Small, medium, large

Life Longer (30 – 50+ years) Shorter (2 – 25 years)

Annual CF No profit Profit-driven

Funding Taxes, fees, bonds, etc. Stocks, bonds, loans, etc.

Interest rate Lower Higher

Selection criteria Multiple criteria Primarily ROR

Environment of evaluation Politically inclined Economic

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


9-3
Types of Contracts
Contractors does not share project risk
 Fixed price - lump-sum payment
 Cost reimbursable - Cost plus, as negotiated
Contractor shares in project risk
 Public-private partnerships (PPP), such as:
 Design-build projects - Contractor responsible from
design stage to operations stage
 Design-build-operate-maintain-finance (DBOMF)
projects - Turnkey project with contractor managing
financing (manage cash flow); government obtains
funding for project

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


9-4
Cash Flow Classifications and B/C Relations
Must identify each cash flow as either benefit, disbenefit, or cost

Benefit (B) -- Advantages to the public


Disbenefit (D) -- Disadvantages to the public
Cost (C) -- Expenditures by the government
Note: Savings to government are subtracted from costs

Conventional B/C ratio = (B–D) / C


Modified B/C ratio = [(B–D) – C] / Initial Investment
Profitability Index = NCF / Initial Investment

Note 1: All terms must be expressed in same units, i.e., PW, AW, or FW
Note 2: Do not use minus sign ahead of costs
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-5
Decision Guidelines for B/C and PI
Benefit/cost analysis
If B/C ≥ 1.0, project is economically justified at
discount rate applied
If B/C < 1.0, project is not economically acceptable
Profitability index analysis of
revenue projects
If PI ≥ 1.0, project is economically justified at
discount rate applied
If PI < 1.0, project is not economically acceptable
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-6
B/C Analysis – Single Project

B-D
Conventional B/C ratio = If B/C ≥ 1.0,
C
accept project;
Modified B/C ratio = B – D – M&O otherwise, reject
C
Denominator is
PW of NCFt
PI = initial investment
PW of initial investment
If PI ≥ 1.0,
Note: Ignore sign –ve for calculation especially the
accept project; cost for B/C analysis
otherwise, reject © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-7
Example: B/C Analysis – Single Project
(C)
A flood control project will have a first cost of $1.4 million with an annual
maintenance cost of $40,000 and a 10 year life. Reduced flood damage is (B)
expected to amount to $175,000 per year. Lost income to farmers is estimated
to be $25,000 per year. At an interest rate of 6% per year, should the (D)
project be undertaken? (Hint: using B/C Analysis)

Solution: Express all values in AW terms and find B/C ratio


Steps: 1) Find
keyword B = $175,000
2)Since using per
year, means use Aw
D = $25,000
3) Find C,B,D C = 1,400,000(A/P,6%,10) + $40,000 = $230,218
(first cost should
involve (factor)+ B/C = (175,000 – 25,000)/230,218
M/O cost)
4) For single
= 0.65 < 1.0
project, B/C>1,
accept project, vice
Do not build project
versa reject 9-8 © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
Defender, Challenger and Do Nothing Alternatives

When selecting from two or more ME alternatives, there is a:


 Defender – in-place system or currently selected alternative (if ΔB/C<1)
 Challenger – Alternative challenging the defender (if ΔB/C>1)
 Do-nothing option – Status quo system

General approach for incremental B/C analysis of two ME alternatives:


 Lower total cost alternative is first compared to Do-nothing (DN)
 If B/C for the lower cost alternative is < 1.0, the DN option is compared to
∆B/C of the higher-cost alternative
 If both alternatives lose out to DN option, DN prevails, unless overriding
needs requires selection of one of the alternatives

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


9-9
Alternative Selection Using Incremental B/C
Analysis – Two or More ME Alternatives

Procedure similar to ROR analysis for multiple alternatives

(1) Determine equivalent total cost for each alternative


(2) Order alternatives by increasing total cost
(3) Identify B and D for each alternative, if given, or go to step 5
(4) Calculate B/C for each alternative and eliminate all with B/C < 1.0
(5) Determine incremental costs and benefits for first two alternatives
(6) Calculate ∆B/C; if >1.0, higher cost alternative becomes defender
(7) Repeat steps 5 and 6 until only one alternative remains

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


9-10
1) Example: Incremental B/C Analysis
Compare two alternatives using i = 10% and B/C ratio (Y-X)
Alternative X Y
First cost, $ (C) factor 320,000 540,000
M&O costs, $/year (C) 45,000 35,000
Benefits, $/year (B) 110,000 150,000
Disbenefits, $/year (D) 20,000 45,000
Life, years (just use given year) 10 20

1Solution: First, calculate equivalent total cost, C (AW for X and Y) (ignore sign –ve for cost)
AW of costsX = 320,000(A/P,10%,10) + 45,000 = $97,080
AW of costsY = 540,000(A/P,10%,20) + 35,000 = $98,428
2Orderof analysis is X, then Y (lower have to compare to DN)
X vs. DN: (B-D)/C =(110,000 – 20,000) / 97,080 = 0.93 Eliminate X (challenger)
Y vs. DN: (150,000 – 45,000) / 98,428 = 1.07 Eliminate DN (challenger)

9-11 © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


2) Example: ∆B/C Analysis; Selection Required
Must select one of two alternatives using i = 10% and ∆B/C ratio
Alternative X Y
First cost, $ 320,000 540,000
M&O costs, $/year 45,000 - 35,000
Benefits, $/year 110,000 - 150,000
Disbenefits, $/year 20,000 45,000
Life, years 10 20
Solution: Must select X or Y; DN not an option, compare Y to X
AW of costsX = $97,080 - AW of costsY = $98,428
Incremental values: ∆B = 150,000 – 110,000 = $40,000
(Y-X) ∆D = 45,000 – 20,000 = $25,000
∆C = 98,428 – 97,080 = $1,348
Y vs. X: (∆B - ∆D) / ∆C = (40,000 – 25,000) / 1,348 = 11.1 Eliminate X

9-12 © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-13
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-14
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-15
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-16
(C)

(B)

CITY 1

Note:
Divide 1,000,000 (cause per million depends
on question) to be easier calculate cost or
value (let’s say 500,000/1,000,000= 0.5)

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved


1-17
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-18
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-19
Select City 3 (Challenger)
For ME
alternatives

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved


1-20
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-21
B/C Analysis of Independent Projects

 Independent projects comparison does not require


incremental analysis
 *Compare each alternative’s overall B/C with DN
option

+ No budget limit: Accept all alternatives with B/C ≥ 1.0


+ Budget limit specified: capital budgeting problem; selection
follows different procedure (discussed in chapter 12)

9-22 © 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved


Ethical Considerations
Engineers are routinely involved in two areas
where ethics may be compromised:
Public policy making – Development of strategy, e.g.,
water system management (supply/demand strategy;
ground vs. surface sources)
Public planning - Development of projects, e.g., water
operations (distribution, rates, sales to outlying areas)

Engineers must maintain integrity and impartiality and


always adhere to Code of Ethics
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-23
Answer: B/C= 1.26

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved


1-24
Answer: Compare with DN
Proposal 1 vs DN, B/C =0.91, Proposal 2 vs
DN, B/C=1.95 so select proposal 2
© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
1-25
Summary of Important Points
B/C method used in public sector project evaluation

Can use PW, AW, or FW for incremental B/C analysis, but must
be consistent with units for B,C, and D estimates
For multiple mutually exclusive alternatives, compare two at a time
and eliminate alternatives until only one remains

For independent alternatives with no budget limit, compare each against


DN and select all alternatives that have B/C ≥ 1.0

CEA analysis for service sector projects combines cost and


nonmonetary measures

Ethical dilemmas are especially prevalent in public sector projects


© 2012 by McGraw-Hill All Rights Reserved
9-26
END OF CHAPTER 9

© 2012 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved


1-27

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